The Mahayuddh: Who Will Win? | Nothing But The Truth With Raj Chengappa
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- Опубліковано 2 тра 2024
- Why the battle for Maharashtra will be a gamechanger in Election 2024.
#loksabhaelection2024 #maharashtraelection #nothingbutthetruth #rajchengappa
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According to me BJP is in a better position then 2019, one of the main reason, opposition is very weak, 2019 opposition was stronger, only place BJP is doubtful of performing like last time is Maharashtra, that said 28 seats which BJP is contesting , 25 is sure, 30 seats In Maharastra for NDA is almost sure, opposition if it gets 18 seats they will consider it has success, if NDA wins 40, they will be happy.
Then we should not have election if you consider bjp will win. Why waste 1.2 trillion ₹. So just wait and watch.
@@parnamsingh1716 see buddy bjp has already cross 180 4 phases are left its now about will it be 310 or 350 for bjp
You are an Andhbhakt.. Do you know what is the main problem of Andhbhakts, you guys can't see anything other than the narrative creative by bhakt-controlling agents like Godi media and RSS
@@parnamsingh1716 it's my analysis, your free to do your analysis, isnt it, I respect your opinion, according to me, Congress if it wins 60 seats, they should and will be happy and even if Indi alliance comes to power, with the main party congress heading the Government with 60 seats, it will be a disaster.
Ohh really man @kakun63
Bjp came close to a majority in 2014 no small achievement considering it was very much a junior partner for all the time. Now it is the largest party in the state. As for the congress it is in steep decline with many leaders including Ashok Chavan and Milind Deora leaving the party. Also sharad pawar is now quite old
Wow , everything was explained in so crisp way. No chemistry and all arithmatic explains everything how this electoral battle is getting to "who holds the throne".
I have a feeling that Uddhav Thackeray will come out a winner in this battle. I also think Supriya Sule will retain Baramati. The rest will all be a hotch-potch.😅
_Of course I will be happy if I'm proved wrong and BJP gets all the seats that they are aspiring for._
Good discussion. This is how things are to be discussed
Brilliant interview, both 👏👏
Excellent interaction... Sahil was honest and forthcoming after a very long time... Thanks...
The best thing to happen for Maharashtra was that the BJP got rid of Udhav Khan and his despicable, Pappu son. The naughty duo are disgrace to all of Maharashtra.
Uddhav Thackeray negated Bala Saheb's principles, ideology & legacy: Uddhav joined Congress party to grab undeserving CM's post (he didn't contest election but was catapulted as MLC) & fell into the trap laid by Sharad Pawar.
Seeing Uddhav's burning desire to become CM & his rookie son's urge to become Minister both NCP & Congress hijacked most of Ministerial posts leaving senior Shiv Sena leaders, who had struggled life-long, stranded without power & blushing their eyes. The son was given insignificant Tourism portfolio. Both father & son duo grabbed power at the cost of Shiv Sena's ideology & rights of hard-working grass root leaders. Shiv Sena naturally broke up.
Wake up
Everything has become a khichri now, old Shiv Sena had a distinct ideology from both the Congress and BJP.
@@tayeng123. Udhav Khan's ideology is closer to Sonia, Rahul's and Muslim League's ideology than to BJP's and Modi's ideology.
@@PS-ej2xnKhan Khan kya krta hai😂😂😂.
Marathi log, itne bevakuf nahi jitne Gujju hai...har baat mei dharm dharm krne vaale
Modi🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉
Good analysis
Very nicely explained!
Kudos to both
33:46 -only arithmetic, no chemistry. Quite a new phenomenon 😂
Politicians corruption is more during Modi and unfortunately he has not made any effort to end corruption of politicians
I am quite confused about this TV Channel. While they seem impartial on National TV, their regional channel Mumbai Tak takes a partisan stance. If you see their Marathi editions, you will get what I mean.
Modi is media king not to ordinary citizens
After the three phases of polling the bubble is already busted, BJP now only can become a single largest party with no full majority
The gentleman talking to Mr. Raj is a staunch supporter of kangress. Please don't consider him a journalist
So what about bjp supporting anchors or journalist ?
He s talking truth of washing machine
I didn't feel anything like that about him. He was giving the true picture of the situation in the state.
@@ansil0197 correct but that doesn't take out the fact that he is a staunch darbari
Great perspective…from history to the present to the future….Sahil Joshi has excellent grip on the dynamics of Maharashtra politics….To me, Maharashtra is the most crucial state for 2024….
It is very unfortunate that very less cm have completed 5 years tenure
BJP crossing 150 seats is difficult this time.
Very incisive analysis, a rare thing 👍
Mumbai north west constituency 1side ravindra waikar ( alleged 500 cr scam ) candidate of NDA AND OTHER SIDE AMOL KIRITIKAR ( KHICHDI SCAM ALLEGATIONS)
IN BETWEEN THEM 😅I FEEL
NOTA IS best because whosoever comes will ultimately loot goregaon and specially aarey colony the lungs of mumbai
Iam resident of royal palms and the road here and the situation if the gutters is like mughal times
People vote for a candidate not for a leader
Bcoz you can question a candidate but can't question a leader
So choose wisely
You are talking past. Talk future
Excellent by joshi sir corruption cannot be used as a plank anymore
Since this election is localised Marathas will not let the North Indians to rule them- as in TamilNadu.
This election in Maharashtra is between Marathi pride and Gujarati plunder.
Chengappana...if 400 is declared as death wish by Viswaguru and his Shakuni...where is the Mahayud.. it should be one sided.
Well Maharastra... Break the party ...money power and gaddi kinchloh.
It is an insult to Maharastrian. The mandate was taken for granted. Now the pride is above imposed nationalism. Fighting Pak is manly? Small chicken.igore.
Well I am from Maharashtra ..not sure where I see shiv Sena uddhav win here...or Congress winning anywhere...Sharad Pawar might still be a force but rest r dead..
You are Shetty. You may be living in Maharashtra.
But you are NOT from MAHARASHTRA.
Marathi People have soft corner for Shivsena and Thackeray family, coz they stand for marathis no matter what...they started with "Hatao Lungi, Bajao Pungi" ...to teach Shetty's like you a lesson.
Dekhte reh, ...tere jaise par prantiya ko sabak sikhane ke liye hi hai, Shivsena.
@@Rit799 what do u mean I am not from Maharashtra..? I am born and brought up here... I am as Maharastrian as anyone here.. and I have grown up with them and know what r the realities here.. and whom they support... Marathis have soft corner only for one that's hindutva and hindvi... nothing else... Everything else come and go.. they r one off the most patriotic people and proud Hindus.. nothing is gonna change that... u shall see june 4th
@@Rit799 aani ha Shetty ha Gujarati ha Marathi ekdha Mumbaith Yeun saang Zara... mag konaacha pungi vaaznaar baguya aapan Zara..
@@Rit799Please don't make such shitty comments. He's as much a Maharashtrian as all other Shettys and others living in Maharashtra. And it's not only you Marathi speaking guys with love and respect for the Thackeray family, so shut up.
As far as my reading goes, Uddhav Thackeray will come out the winner here due to the sympathy (here I agree with you) for the son of Balasaheb.
Like I've said in my reply to Rit799, I feel Uddhav Thackeray will be the winner here. And Supriya Sule in Baramati. The rest, as you say are 'dead!'😅
In times of Godi media, it is great to see experienced journalists like Sahil Joshi bringing unbiased objective analysis of the incredibly murky Maharashtra politics.
What UA-cam are doing Congressi godi media channel
JUST COMPARE NDA AND UPA AND CAST YOUR VOTE. JUST COMPARE KASHMIR BEFORE 2014 AND AFTER 2014. JUST COMPARE INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT DONE BY MODI AND UPA. JUST COMPARE RAILWAY BEFORE 2014 AND AFTER 2014. THEN IAM 100% SURE NO ONE WILL VOTE FOR CONGRESS. NOW INDIAN FLAG IS PROUDLY FLYING IN JAMMU KASHMIR BECAUSE OF MODI ONLY. IF CONGRESS LED GOVT COMES TO POWER THEN CORRUPTION AND UNEMPLOYMENT BOTH GET TRIPPLED FOR SURE. I DONT THINK YOUTHS IN INDIA BELIEVE THAT CONGRESS CAN DO ANYTHING ON UNEMPLOYMENT. JUST LOOK AT THEIR ALLIES DMK OF STALIN, TMC OF MAMATA, COMMUNIST PARTY, MUSLIM LEAGUE IN KERALA AND FINALLY THE MOST CORRUPTED LALU FROM RJD. JUST THINK A GOVT BY ALL THESE TEAMS 😂. SO VOTE FOR BJP FOR A BETTER INDIA. IAM NOT SAYING BJP IS PERFECT BUT FAR FAR FAR BETTER THAN CONGRESS AND ITS ALLIES
The biggest godi media is currently run by Congress using Social media and UA-cam
All the chennals get good money for this election
BJP will be finished after this election in Maharashtra? Is Sahil showing his cards?
Inherent biasness of Maharashtra india today expert towards Specific coalition is appalling ...Plz review and think for a while
Reasonable analysis. Despite your past record of leaning towards Modi, you stayed to keep your head above waters so far. Let us see if you will come out alive chengappa.
What are you saying PM is not corrupt than what is electoral bonds
With bjp winning its like whole India is being ruled by Gujratis😅
How many Dalit HINDUS working as priest in Ram temple. Ayothya.
Hinduism has no caste system it has varnas..
Bramhin (One who has knowledge)
Kshatriya (One who protects society)
Vaishya (Business)
Shudra (One who maintains cleanliness in society)
Not necessary you are born in any of the varna and you should be same.
Your work or Karma decides it.
There might be a dalit(By caste) as priest and a bramhin as worker(House keeping).
So stop asking questions on caste base as Hindu religion doesn't believe in.
@@prasannap4219 Britishers artificially created the Hindu Religion on the advice of Brahmins by clubbing all non-Abrahamic religions / Castes under the umbrella of the Hindu Religion for their administrative ease. In History, no king has ever called himself a Hindu King. Even Lord Ram was not known as a Hindu King. There is no mention of the Hindu religion in our Vedas, Upanishads, Bhagwat Gita or Ramayana. ALL those who call themselves HINDUS should be aware of this fact and be aware they have taken up an artificial religion created by the Britishers. Caste is a more significant religion than the artificial Britishers imposed Brahmanical Hindu religion. ( AS ALL CHARITY OF HINDUS GIVEN AT OUR TEMPLES IS USED FOR PERSONAL-WELLBEING OF BRAHMINS)
Most people who call themselves Hindus practice Racist Manu Smriti in their personal lives.
Have you seen a Barhamin do an arranged marriage of his daughter with a Dalit Boy even if he is an IAS officer? Present-day hindus have abandoned the Verna system and believe in caste, which is determined by Birth. They have abandoned even Sanatna Dharma.
0
As this Hindu Ekta do not include sc st..even some obc..it is all about Dabang cast.
The winners are the print & electronic media.
What has to happen it happened . Man proposes God disposes.
Nothing from him is Truth!!...
Hiring the mouth for an earning!!
Vote for development Vote for Bjp
Of which state
What development had the BJP done for the common people, only for the super rich!!
No development. 10 years wasted.
@@ravimsr8872😂😂😂😂 don't make any statements off hand. Don't you read papers or watch news on TV _or_ listen to it on radio? Still _or_ have you actually gone and seen any of the development work _done_ in this period? Just imitating Congress parrots shouldn't be done by us objective voters.
Joke 😂 bjpeee
I have just seen trailer and I am commenting even before seeing the whole analysis because I know that Joshi guy very well.. he is extremely biased and never spoke in favour of BJP. I have seen his coverage in 2019 when Fadnavis formed govt for 3 days and then Shiv Sena went to Congress and NCP. He fully supported Maha Vikas Aghadi govt.
Washing machine party bhakt spotted😂
@@parnamsingh1716😂 i was about to say that
Modiji gave business, jobs, development safety security from 2001 onwards.
Hence people voted and again.
People didn't demand freebies for vote. Seeing growth.
Compare in others states till 2014.
Today 2024 giving guarantee to nation. Go for jobs not freebies. 🕉🇮🇳🙏
The only thing is BJP did not provide Job ..unemployment is higher than ever
Let's assume In 3 phases BJP has lost nothing there is no discontent for it and retains its last time Vote share 37%
Add EC ghochi of 6%
Let's give them a gain of 2% in 2024
Total: 45%
India alliance had 63%
Non alliance partners vote share 8% minus
EC ghochi 6% minus
2024 Bjp gain of 2% minus
Add Shiv Sena Uddhav vote share of 2%
NCP (SP) 1%
Total vote share
50%
5% low voter turnout
Who wins?
The flaw in Sahil's argument about voteshare that bjp voteshare cannot grow more than 30% is - it is in a fluid state , not static. Older generation had fixed and rigid prefernces. Younger generation is more skewed towards bjp. There is slow and steady structural shift towards bjp. It is the case in MH also. So , in 10 years time, 30 % voteshare of bjp would have grown to 33 to 35%. Add a modi premium of 5 to 7%. Plus Sginde sena is with nda , and a section of NCP. And minority population unlikely to vote for shivsena, and i wouldn't be surprised they vote nota or abstain. That takes way apprx 5 % voteshare of mva. And they have a concentrated population.
I think nda will have 35 to 40 seats in MH with 50 to 55% votes.
Nice interview, so with 50-50 another 20 lost for NDA from 2019. From other predictions, 20 lost for NDA in karnataka. So far totaling 40 lost. 353 - 40 = 313 … ab ki baar… waiting to see how Rajastan & MP turns out ( to start with )
Dream on...no tax ....but do it 24 hrs, will end on 4th june
TV studio analysts are not going to Vote. Voter doesn't care what these arm chair journalists think. They know what they got and what they did not. So they know better whom to vote. Don't celebrate so early. June is long way to go
Oh so you conveniently forgot Orissa , Telengana , WB , TN where they loose they gain here
@@nandishkumar0802 not convenience , but the gain is not enough covering the losses. TN may be +1, WB more chances of loosing 4-5 … not gaining .. worst case will stay around 17/18.
@duraisingamvelu boss, you are daydreaming listening to someone who has never given an objective analysis. In the last 10 years, can you show me one election where this guy said bjp would win??? Never. There are elections bjp lost, but it won more than it lost. So if you want to get that high till june 4 - continue....
i am a very experinced maharastra pollster take it from me NDA = 41 SEATS MVA = 7
Aapke muh mein ghee shakkar!!👍
Today caste is more and BJP is canvassing based on castes OBC no question of casteless society 😂😂😂😂
India alliance will win
Definitely not, I N D I Alliance will not be able to win more than only six seats in Maharashtra. BJP will win more than 360 seats, in all & NDA more than 410 seats.
K2a
@@rajendradhavalikar1388 its only your dream bro.
@@afnanabdullatheef2911 says a abdul
@@afnanabdullatheef2911 You will get the confirmation on fourth June, you will be definitely disappointed.
Truth? या ईसा था पहेला
Mmr has 10 seats more than many states
Excellent analysis by Mr. Joshi.
Win India 2024 PM Ragul
Wtf is Rahul? Tamil dog
Indi alliance 🇮🇳 is a clear winner in 2024! No doubt in the minds of our majority voters in our country!
Modi was for with Uddhav Thackeray's, but Amit Shah wanted Uddhav Thackeray's vote bank to get converted to them & BJp was unsuccessful to do that..
Udhav Khan has no vote bank except some deluded people.
Modi ❤
Koothi 😂
Fakir will go...
Which way the electoral wind is blowing? Rajsir, the BJP may clinch a simple majority, for being in power in the 2024, having all the administrative machinery at their BECK and COMMAND. That aside, Raj Saab, a MIRACLE cannot be cast aside and the voters may pull out a NEW RABBIT out of the Hat, that may sideline the obvious and bring in new surprises
The Maharashtra results may not resonate in the rest of India, not at least, in 2024
If you watch this episode with a view to get a clear picture and a definitive answer, you will be highly disappointed. This is a Gol Gol narrative.
sahil and rajan kindly remember your quality and credibility is at stake.. on june 4 you may need to fae people again after the result.Bjp is the single largest party and mandate was alwas went for bjp from people. It may repeat once again on 4th june
He is lying through his teeth on "Nothing but the Truth". All the leaders, including Uddhav, were making it absolutely clear that Devendra Fadnavis will be the CM for the upcoming term. Liar. Liar. Liar.
Are you talking of Jim Carrey's movie?
Why is hiccups in your comments
Ten years rule enough for any party and if you give third time they will become full authoritarian and autocratic people must thing wisely and vote
This is how journos from aajrak support congress. Talk about vague anslysis
You didn't understand the discussion properly then. Go watch Barkha Dutt's 'Dhabas of Democracy' for a live coverage of the roadside sentiment in Thane, Eknath Shinde's constituency.
Modi
Sonia clever like big fox
Not sure if it's just me, but this so called journalist sounds so one sided..he is ignoring all the games shiv sena played after winning the elections. He is recalling what Dev Fad said about Pawar but comfortably ignoring what Shiv sena has been calling Pawar, congress and Sonia..
Oh, he _did_ mention it but also said that the MVA was able to get the time to tell people how they have done the right thing (2 and a half years), due to which Uddhav Thackeray has been able to generate enough sympathy for himself.
@shyambajekal8084 i respectfully disagree. He just mentioned it once while most of the interview, he is clearly narrating only MVA perspective. He fails to mention that SS, in spite of being in government in the first term, acted as an opposition.
Anyway, i watched a few more of his video analysis interviews and now know that he is definitely not neutral
Congress will win... No doubt about it. Rahul Ghandi will replace modi✌️✌️✌️
*ALL INDIA--BJP WILL WIN BELOW 200 SEATS*...
You are repeating that fool pattabi patta naamam
It's time for BJP to pack up.
Its better this media gets a lesson.this honcho should follow shrri Ramnath Goenkaji
Nothing but the truth or nothing but BJP. Is India today not ghodi media.
When the elections began, the question was 'Will BJP cross 400?'. The question has now changed to "Who will win?". That's a positive development. Opposition is the lifeblood of democracy.
U always take Maharastra,Bihar Rajdeep also gives company to support suppose BJP gets less number that will compensate in otther states IndiaTaday packed commnist ideas ideas
Next chief minister of Maharashtra will be from Congress
Congress has already finished in MH
i am from Maharashtra, not gonna happen. This coming from a long time congress voter. Thee is no congress in Maharashtra. even if BJP looses there will be no congress in Mah.
So you people will calpit for maharashtra
Partly agreeing to reality at the same time cushioning Mr Modi and BJP
Once a godi always a godi
Bla bla bla of Chengappa ji.431 seats BJP and NDA alliance ,all opposition sunk in BJP Waves .India Today a jalra of Italian Congress.
I am leaving the video mid way simply because he is lying. I am a staunch supporter of the BJP. BJP Karyakarta myself. But, I love to listen to Mr. Chengappa, for it is always better to listen to all the sides. He seems neutral and a person with balanced criticism. But this guest is a completely politically oriented journalist.
Being a karyakarta I can understand your feelings. But being an objective voter I have a feeling that BJP will find it difficult to match its earlier victory.
_Of course, I'll be most happy if I'm proved wrong_ .😅
Maharatra result BJP may get 10 seat (maximum)
Sahil is making us mamu. Useless analysis
गोदी मीडिया
bjp single digit
In kerala maybe....
In Tamilnadu & Kerala....That itself is Big For BJP,.Jai Modiji
Stalin running a pathetic government. DMK will suffer heavily in 2026 upcoming elections.
Even during peak of Modi wave, it was duck for Vishwaguru. We will give the same this time too.
@sukumarvenkatraman it was peak of dmk, historically dmk when fall off, they normally do after 5 years in power, they fall hard.
🤞
@@sukumarvenkatramanviswaguru can win only in illiterate north India
Don't underestimate
Modiji,s Kingdom will fall in the first month of June 2024.
Keep dreaming and start crying in first week of June.
In Your Dreams Only
Modi all the way.
Congress ke jindabad🎉
How much of lies will Sahil tell? He says Manohar Joshi was CM from 1995 to 1999. Then he says BJP had early elections. For his information there was election in 1999 because of Sonia Gandhi, Jayalalitha and Giridhar Gomango where Vajpayee lost by one vote. It was in 2004 that elections were held early by BJP and not in 1999. So kniw your facts and then speak Mr. Sahil Joshi.
India needs educated PM to understand
Employment
Education
Hunger
Nation unity
Jai congress ❤❤❤❤
😂😂😂😂....
Congress ❤
Nothing but lies
EVM will give BJP seats which the people already rejected them.....
cry more
Did EVM give seats to Congress in Karnataka and Himachal?
Godi media
Therr shd be no bjp third party in tamil Nadu only tamil nadu parties
Rahul ji❤❤❤❤❤❤
Sahil is s chela of rajdeep, so his view will always be against bjp
Boycott indiatoday
Balatkaar & Brastachaar party will lose
Vote for INDIA
Vote for protestors
Vote for Democracy
Vote against Religious hatred
Vote for development
Vote for people
Vote against anti national
Vote against terrorists
Vote against corruption
Vote fir security
Vote fir anti dynasty
Vote fir Bharath😂❤😂
@@truthspeaksforever Vote against Adani and Ambani
Vote against RSS, PFI
Vote against ED and CBI under one party control
Vote against Unemployment
Vote for secularism
Vote for CPIM
@@TheCapitalismCritic We will vote for CAA
NRC
UCC
TRIPLE TALAK ban
Border security
Development
Nuclear power
Article 370 repeal
Anti love jihad
Anti rohingyas
Anti terrorists
అంటi conversion fanatic parties.
Love Adanis and Ambas who are part of nation building.. we are not secular fools quatrochis or Gandu chamchaas.
Finally we don't want Secularism which is anti Hinduism and anti national.
We need Brarath not Slavery I.N.D.I.A block
Vote for
croynism corruption
Nepotism
Dynasty
Music league
Undevelopement
Talk talk talk
@@jamesraja1056That's the BJP
NDA will get 9 to 15 max in maharashtra 😂😂
Vajpa hatao desh bachao 😅
Congress needs to be banned
Bhai chullu bhar paani dhoondhna shuru kaar lo. Swimming ati ho to bhi dharti ka bozh kaam karo
@@samdes678Bengalistani hai. What else to expect?
Mamata bano hatao bengal bachao