CFTC COT Report Data - Understanding where Big Banks & Institutions create Supply and Demand Zones

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  • Опубліковано 8 лис 2024

КОМЕНТАРІ • 362

  • @marcuswynn1448
    @marcuswynn1448 7 років тому +31

    Kevin, thank you! This was perhaps the clearest explanation and interpretation of the COT I've seen yet. Very appreciated. Your insight on discerning the shift in market bias early was exciting. These are the elephants that move the market, so it makes sense that we can learn to spot their footprints. I look forward to seeing more video content from you. You have a pleasant manner of delivery and a clear way of imparting the concepts. You reveal a key secret at the end - two secrets really. 1) You learned this by consistent practice and weekly analysis over time and 2) you're still learning. Great lessons. Thanks again.

    • @efeigho324
      @efeigho324 4 роки тому

      Magic Trader FX please what is your Instagram name

  • @vackebula3108
    @vackebula3108 10 місяців тому +1

    you are one of the best trader i've come across on youtube. this is my first time watching you, but i already know that i will be sticking for the next decade

  • @rona523
    @rona523 5 років тому +17

    The Commercial banks have to provide liquidity so they will always match the end of the trades (as well as trying to get out of any bad trades). So most volume/s are actually insurance bets (options/futures). The clients are protecting themselves from future uncertainty. So by hedging against themselves they are actually protecting themselves from price swings, which explains why the commercials and non commercials are always opposite on tables/graphs. 😁

    • @xaviercomelli
      @xaviercomelli 5 років тому

      Sorry Ron, but you got all wrong... study further the topic...

    • @rona523
      @rona523 5 років тому +1

      @@xaviercomelli In a simplistic way to have a market 1 has to be Long and the other Short.
      And the client needs a Broker. And the Broker need a Market (Volume/liqudity....whatever you want to call it).

  • @OraqilTG
    @OraqilTG Рік тому

    Sir, the way you deploy the positions/numbers of the retail traders and the understanding of the banks manipulate them to trade is excellent.
    Nothing beats the organic system of the market and you have it to the core. I can wait to learn from you. You are great sir! You really are!!

    • @unknowndaytrader
      @unknowndaytrader Рік тому

      Can you please tell me that why did he reverse the data

  • @SwingingPrime
    @SwingingPrime 5 років тому +2

    First, a very BIG THANK YOU. Your time and patience putting together these data and transforming it into a goldmine of information...it’s still teaching us about the markets more than 2yrs after. Thank you.
    The only issue I had was with the music. It’s too soothing. It was dampening my excitement, time and again. At a point I was getting too relaxed, it became hard to focus on your words. When learning, it’s always good to get adrenaline moving in cycles. It helps the student gather focus on cycles...lol almost like price action.

  • @mainaccount8181
    @mainaccount8181 3 роки тому +4

    The reason you give for switching the longs and shorts for the CAD is because the USD comes first, before the CAD, in the forex pairing, which makes it an exception. This is confusing, as the CHF and the JPY also follow the USD in forex pairings.

  • @cajunphilippine
    @cajunphilippine 3 роки тому +7

    This is brilliant and I would like to make a spreadsheet just like that. That was pure talk and easy to understand. I see the benefit of the 13 Average. That's a great Tata tail on the reversal

  • @kenchen3044
    @kenchen3044 2 роки тому

    Appreciate for your teaching sir, recently I am doing a interview, and they asked us to trade FX in a virtual account and basically I know nothing about FX, now get a lil bit of idea, thanks.

  • @Pip_breedersFx
    @Pip_breedersFx 4 роки тому +2

    Nice break down, for the very first time I listen to anything about COT report..... I need more time thou to break them down for better understanding.
    .......thanks so much for this detail analysis. GOD bless man....!!

  • @guillermodinanno8432
    @guillermodinanno8432 4 роки тому +5

    Wow this is exactly what I was looking for!! Thanks for your work sir. I am currently learning how to do this kind of work in Excel so I can lay up the data from CoT and take conclusion from that and apply it to my technical analysis. And of course I also need to have a better interpretation of CoT report. I guess it takes time and practice.
    Thank you!

  • @ASH1818
    @ASH1818 2 роки тому +5

    Kevin thank you it was helpful,
    can you explain the part when you switched the number of the longs and shorts and the part when you said that you multiply the commercial net positions by -1 ? Thank you

    • @adegokebaustin
      @adegokebaustin 2 роки тому +1

      This Same questions brought me to the comment section.

  • @huytrvan1176
    @huytrvan1176 6 років тому +33

    Video starts at 5:11, you’re welcome

  • @CitizenErased11
    @CitizenErased11 7 років тому +3

    Great video Kevin, thanks for taking the time to make it and all you do for the Set & Forget community

  • @buhlemahala4451
    @buhlemahala4451 4 роки тому +10

    Big ups to you Chief... Can you please show us how to create a COT DATA TABLE.

  • @DS-gn5vu
    @DS-gn5vu Рік тому

    Best video ever on this topic may God bless you for sharing freely.

  • @HolyProfit
    @HolyProfit 4 роки тому +2

    I'm a bit curious about your calculation for the total difference in net profit. What if the Non- commercials are Net short -38 on an asset and the commercials are net short -1960... how would I get the total difference for the net positions?????

  • @Jayfinly
    @Jayfinly 4 роки тому +2

    I understand why you switched the non commercial stats around, if you look at the chart, the forex chart compared to the futures chart is the inverse. So that is why you switch them around, I just don't get the part where you add the positive (54,330) to the negative (-60,123) and get a positive number

  • @georgekwakyeaddo916
    @georgekwakyeaddo916 3 роки тому +1

    Great video ever on CFTC. Really like your delivery. Thank you Sir

  • @marcoellaga7759
    @marcoellaga7759 3 роки тому +1

    I just fall in love in this vid. Thank you - Philippines

  • @thabssadam15
    @thabssadam15 4 роки тому +4

    You just teach me something Sir. God Bless You!!!!

  • @EirikKaasaEliassen
    @EirikKaasaEliassen 7 років тому +3

    Hello Kevin, Wow! in every sense of the word. The insights you share with us are a huge inspiration. I think your discoveries about the COT is a perfect addition to the SD toolbox. I am looking forward to more videos. Cheers, Eirik :-)

  • @tomatadic5472
    @tomatadic5472 3 роки тому +2

    Hi Kevin,
    Thank you for your detail explanation of COT reports and how to use them in my trading. Can you explain what does total difference mean and why is sometimes negative and sometimes positive ?
    I havent understood that part.
    Thank you in advance

  • @rhoque83ify
    @rhoque83ify 4 роки тому +1

    This was the most awesome piece of trading idea/video i came across since practising to trade for the last 8 years and trying to find a tool to at least offer some confidence when executing a trade in the direction of the 'smart money' rather just solely relying on charts and news sources. Excellent work. Had to subscribe to your channel, you have a lot to offer and i can definitely learn from your experience, skill and analysis.

  • @AYoonesi
    @AYoonesi 2 роки тому

    Wow, this video made me emotional! Thanks! Hope I had seen it 2 years ago!

  • @smisomazibuko7625
    @smisomazibuko7625 6 років тому +1

    Hello sir thanks for such generosity someone else would have kept quiet and sell the trading signals and make money over people more than in forex trading. My question is how do I get the USD results because in the reports I see other major currencies except the US dollar?

  • @mdehghaniv76
    @mdehghaniv76 3 роки тому +1

    Hi Kevin
    thank you for this video it is great and one of the beneficial video I have seen so far regarding COT report, just a question and how you calculate a net position of a pair like AUD/USD, we can calculate the net position of AUD and USD separately but how to mix up this two to calculate the net position of pair currency AUD/USD.

  • @MarlonSadler
    @MarlonSadler Рік тому

    This is an amazing video. I am now going to build my own spreadsheet.

  • @mozieaa3873
    @mozieaa3873 5 років тому +1

    few years later! great content!! love your channel and the way you explain things.

  • @iwian64
    @iwian64 4 роки тому +2

    One of the most interesting theory and well explained thanks

  • @yohanesfillipo3326
    @yohanesfillipo3326 4 роки тому +1

    Very great video. One of the greatest. Thanks!

  • @saeedlawaf2809
    @saeedlawaf2809 5 місяців тому

    very well thank you so much to share these very useful ideas and data with us

  • @louaimajor7070
    @louaimajor7070 4 роки тому +1

    Can you please clarify why did you reversed the short into long and Vice-versa? Thanks

  • @DennisRamiro
    @DennisRamiro 6 років тому +1

    Hi Magic Trader. If I want to monitor CADJPY which COT data I will used? Thanks for your time and answer.

  • @DoubleEmmanuel-h7t
    @DoubleEmmanuel-h7t 6 місяців тому

    Sir on the main sheet, do you just replace the old figures or you create new tables every week. This question is based on the main sheet where the datas are initially posted. Thank you

  • @mastertrader3491
    @mastertrader3491 4 роки тому +2

    Good day; didn't you try to produce some form of MT-4 indicator with this data that we can plot on MT4 ...?

  • @longdarkhair7886
    @longdarkhair7886 9 місяців тому

    Omg! I have to rewatch this and study all your video 😍

  • @luisescalante6766
    @luisescalante6766 Рік тому

    Thanks......shines light to our understanding...

  • @KiloBravo90
    @KiloBravo90 4 роки тому +1

    Nice video Kev. Can you please elaborate on why you flip, the negative into a positive?

  • @mikegalaraga2030
    @mikegalaraga2030 2 роки тому

    Saving up to enrol. Thanks for this Kevin.

  • @gekkegerrit5245
    @gekkegerrit5245 4 роки тому +1

    Do you use SL? If so, what do you base your SL on?

  • @oIABSIo
    @oIABSIo 8 місяців тому

    Kevin. In what video do you explain the 13per avg market Shift. I appreciate

  • @mangonam343
    @mangonam343 4 роки тому +1

    Wow.... This is a great insight to how to trade.... Thanks alot

  • @positive_man_jb
    @positive_man_jb Рік тому

    @12:43 we see commercials are highly short bias but you say that's because they're thinking the dollar is gonna up. Should it not be because they're thinking the dollar is gonna go down?

  • @AbdulSalamswat
    @AbdulSalamswat 7 років тому +1

    your analysis very useful and i understand you know everything about commitment of trader report . . . .

  • @DennisRamiro
    @DennisRamiro 6 років тому +1

    Hi there. Which data I should use for WTI Oil and Brent Oil? Thank you for your help.

    • @DennisRamiro
      @DennisRamiro 6 років тому

      Magic Trader is it the NYME?

  • @marcosmendonca7
    @marcosmendonca7 2 роки тому

    Very good the video, made me understand more about CFTC, I hope to learn more from you, I did not know this forum you mentioned, I will subscribe to it, I liked it a lot. Good trades to all

    • @WhiteOakFX
      @WhiteOakFX  2 роки тому

      You can join us at www.whiteoakfx.com ;)

  • @padula77
    @padula77 4 роки тому +1

    Kevin, thank you, One question: Why do you invert figures from the COT report, putting Long instead of Short and viceversa?

    • @mithubab6064
      @mithubab6064 4 роки тому

      Did you get an answer to the question? I am looking for the same answer. Please if you already know it by now could you assist me :)

    • @mithubab6064
      @mithubab6064 4 роки тому +1

      lol the same question was answered before here is the reply just in case you do not have it yet "longs and shorts are swapped because we are dealing with futures and not forex and forex those pairs have the USD in front of them so they need to be reversed. Ex:usd/cad had usd in front and it's not CAD futures"

  • @chewbacag914
    @chewbacag914 6 років тому +1

    Great video! It definitely gives insight to what is driving the market. I did lookup the COT report and see several currencies but I do not see the US dollar index. Can you tell me where you found the info for the US dollar index?

  • @maulajatt5655
    @maulajatt5655 Рік тому

    Can a COT report help you to predict wether the week ahead is going to be bullish or bearish?

  • @thedreamville
    @thedreamville 4 роки тому +2

    Well done sir! Very helpful what you’re doing for the community! What are the odds of getting this data into an on-chart indicator Or EA for algorithmic strategy? Kind regards

  • @tannguyen-yf3eq
    @tannguyen-yf3eq 5 років тому +1

    where do you get the data for the USD long or short in the COT. I really appreciate the work from you to everyone

  • @TheSeanxy
    @TheSeanxy 5 років тому +4

    DO YOU SWITCH AROUND THE COMMERCIAL FIGURES AS WELL?

  • @wassimr1998
    @wassimr1998 4 роки тому +1

    Cool video and simple to understand, but cftc cot report only futures of a single currency, how do you compare two currency shorts and longs and plot them on the spreadsheet?

  • @peredomansillagary823
    @peredomansillagary823 Рік тому

    Hi Kevin, thank you for share this information¡. I have cuestion; the report cot have a relate with the forex? or is it only with futures?

    • @WhiteOakFX
      @WhiteOakFX  Рік тому +1

      Hi I use it for currencies as well. You just have to switch the data for all pairs starting with USD -> usd/***

  • @brandonandrews8499
    @brandonandrews8499 6 років тому +1

    This is awesome!!!!! Thank you very much for a new indicator!!!! Wow......truly amazing.

  • @topmind5751
    @topmind5751 4 роки тому +1

    Thanks for your description, but a question based on the COT data we just have some information about SHORT and Longs on a currency (for example USD) but in your chart i can see that after first row you mentioned the pair names, so what does it mean? could you please explain it more ...

  • @SadinCss
    @SadinCss 7 років тому +5

    I notice that on the Long Spread Sheet you have the the Long and Short switched, But on the Main Sheet they arent switched?

  • @davidmercado8309
    @davidmercado8309 2 роки тому

    Great Video Kevin one question what does the column difference mean? why do you subtract non-commercial minus commercial? thanks

    • @WhiteOakFX
      @WhiteOakFX  2 роки тому

      I want to see what the total would be for both non and commercial keeping in mind that commercial does the opposite of non com.

  • @alfredot.8426
    @alfredot.8426 3 роки тому +1

    Great video! Can you tell us how the long/short positions relate to open imterest? Thanks!!

  • @ericwei8707
    @ericwei8707 Рік тому +2

    Hi Kevin, thanks for uploading this. I have some questions to ask. Do you combine fundamental analysis with COT Report Data for entry? Or, is COT Report Data plus Technical Analysis for Forex is good enough for consistent monthly gains? If I can drop fundamental, please let me know. Appreciate.

    • @peacefulmind5946
      @peacefulmind5946 10 місяців тому +1

      For timing and entry you will need technical - direction is ( uptrend or downtrend is fundamental

    • @ericwei8707
      @ericwei8707 10 місяців тому

      @@peacefulmind5946 Thanks!

  • @LeagueOvGamers
    @LeagueOvGamers 6 років тому +1

    you are a smart guy. I can help you find the answers you are looking for

  • @clashwithhalo731
    @clashwithhalo731 5 років тому +3

    Wow, impressive video. Pretty amazing! I have a favor to ask. Could you share the link of the excel file? Would be nice to have that.

  • @iggyp1971
    @iggyp1971 4 роки тому +1

    So looking at COT for USD, let's say 100,000 long.. 30,000 short positions. CAD 40,000long and 15,000 short. If you trade USDCAD, that would mean buy USDCAD?

  • @dungphamquoc1405
    @dungphamquoc1405 5 років тому +2

    Thank you for your lesson. I'm wondering how to make multiple charts in just one screen like yours. Would you please show me the way to do that?

  • @icecoldcoin4606
    @icecoldcoin4606 2 роки тому +1

    That was some awesome information man. Question: why do you flip the commercials net positions to positive when its negative?

    • @WhiteOakFX
      @WhiteOakFX  2 роки тому +2

      Because we trade currency pairs and not the futures contract!

  • @t_barraca
    @t_barraca 6 років тому +2

    Congratulations for your work!

  • @Hashimismael
    @Hashimismael 3 роки тому +4

    Hey Kevin, thanks for your valuable insight in the COT report. I just want to ask one questions that's really been bothering me.
    So how do I know that the institutions are adding longs or shorts in a particular pair? For instance the Yen pairs USDJPY, NZDJPY, GBPJPY, AUDJPY or EURJPY. The COT data generalizes the long and short positions for their trades on the given currency.

    • @siyamgazi9454
      @siyamgazi9454 3 роки тому

      U won't know that

    • @Hashimismael
      @Hashimismael 3 роки тому +1

      @@siyamgazi9454 okay then please help me understand how I can at least filter the weakness and strength of these currencies. In my mind, am thinking let's say, from the last report, the institutions are shorting the YEN only in huge amounts but could be against those currencies that show strength and not all currencies. I can't just assume the Yen is weak overall and go about selling it against every other currency.

    • @siyamgazi9454
      @siyamgazi9454 3 роки тому +1

      @@Hashimismael if they're shorting the yen then you would generally look for a currency they are longing, eg. NZD, then in the pair NZDJPY would surely go up. It's not that simple though and u have to just use this as confirmation to your technicals. Quick disclaimer, I haven't mastered it myself.

    • @WhiteOakFX
      @WhiteOakFX  3 роки тому

      What we do it takes what we learn about the majors, what is strong and weak and use that to determine what the cross pairs will do alongside the supply/demand on each chart.

  • @skylerstewart
    @skylerstewart 4 роки тому +1

    So do you manually update this spreadsheet for each pair? I'm looking to automate it if I can. Thanks for the insight.

  • @JesusMoreno-bu4fu
    @JesusMoreno-bu4fu 5 років тому +3

    I don't understand the column "difference". Shouldn't you be subtracting the amount instead of adding them? Can you elaborate a little bit more on how you get this "difference" number?

  • @kingschannel8105
    @kingschannel8105 4 роки тому +1

    Excellent Video!

  • @ajahashraff8020
    @ajahashraff8020 3 роки тому

    This is awesome...Lots of Love....

  • @GreenFuryGaming
    @GreenFuryGaming 7 років тому +2

    Hello, will you make a video about, how to properly draw trend lines, support and resistant lines as well :)

  • @PavlinValyovskiFX
    @PavlinValyovskiFX 4 роки тому +1

    Hello! Can you please explain to me how you get the data for the US Dollar only - there is no data in CoT for the USD by it's self? How can you gather the date for the positions in the USD show on your row 2191 (C2191:R2191) in 10:39? Thank you!

  • @bonganimiya2388
    @bonganimiya2388 3 роки тому +1

    Hi, the info which I get from the COT Report for gold is totally different from yours how interpret the data to be simply the way you have shown in it the spreadsheet?

  • @ZZZ333
    @ZZZ333 6 років тому +1

    Hi Magic trader, how has all this improved your win ratio?

  • @peterban5387
    @peterban5387 4 роки тому +1

    Brilliant work

  • @ezrasitali7575
    @ezrasitali7575 2 роки тому

    Brilliant presentation

  • @SatoshiHODL
    @SatoshiHODL 2 роки тому


    Thank you, Kevin!

  • @oliviermboma1115
    @oliviermboma1115 4 роки тому +1

    very insightful !!

  • @erismeirishidalgoreyes656
    @erismeirishidalgoreyes656 2 роки тому

    Good video. I would like to know, did you insert all data typing or or did you create some programs to do that?

    • @WhiteOakFX
      @WhiteOakFX  2 роки тому +1

      Thanks i do it manually.

  • @syedrizvi2359
    @syedrizvi2359 4 роки тому

    I don’t understand why you switch the long and the shorts? Please could you kindly explain this.

  • @mithubab6064
    @mithubab6064 4 роки тому

    at 8:00 why did you switch the positions ? You said the SHOT (51683) is actually long. Please could anyone explain? It will be really helpful. As I know going long meaning BUY and SHORT meaning selling . Sorry I am too young on trading

  • @juliemachette2927
    @juliemachette2927 Рік тому

    Sir can you plz explain why you slip the long to short ...sir but on gold you don't normal slip it ...

  • @gsmmarket
    @gsmmarket 5 років тому +1

    Very interesting.. Thank you !

  • @kurcaci11
    @kurcaci11 5 років тому

    Wow you can make the excell. Im new about COT data, i trying to learn it, but i still stuck to make the excell.

  • @MaxTor2112
    @MaxTor2112 3 роки тому

    why is the neg value for net positions in commercials a positive ? (13:27) Is this tool for sale ? Not the COT but the s[preadsheet ?

  • @okwarajiikechukwu9464
    @okwarajiikechukwu9464 2 роки тому

    You are very car good sir. I appreciate your work.
    Please Sir how do calculate for the GBPUSD 35,184 long and 88,302 short in 28/6/2022?
    I will appreciate
    Thank you

    • @WhiteOakFX
      @WhiteOakFX  2 роки тому

      All information is from the CFTC website. Was there an error?

  • @badofashionofficial
    @badofashionofficial 4 роки тому +1

    Hello sir how did you set up your multi chart?

  • @MilVetGaming
    @MilVetGaming 3 роки тому +1

    Im curious, if a company needs to exchange 500 thousand dollars (or any massive sum of money) of their national currency into the foreign currency to pay contractors would they do it all at once or do they play the market and actually make 5 transactions of 100K at different intervals? If they do the latter, is it because they want to be subtle about it and if so, why? Do large corporations have any interest in ensuring they do not move the market on a large scale quickly? I would assume they just need to make a business transaction and have no interest in the trading game. With that being said, those large institutions that play the trading game might also want to align their transactions with other institutions or even companies to ensure volatility moves in the same direction of their trade as well. Am I missing something here?
    Sorry about multiple questions being placed in the same paragraph.

  • @edwardlau5229
    @edwardlau5229 5 років тому +1

    Hi Kevin! Appreciate the time taken to create this insightful video! By the way, based on your excel report, may I know how you derived the US dollar's figure? I can't seem to search it in the COT report itself.

  • @weirdtheory9516
    @weirdtheory9516 3 роки тому +2

    Where do I find the USD DATA

    • @weirdtheory9516
      @weirdtheory9516 3 роки тому

      I worked it out. You can find it in the ICE FUTURES US

    • @WhiteOakFX
      @WhiteOakFX  3 роки тому

      From this link: www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/index.htm

  • @Youarturo
    @Youarturo 3 роки тому +1

    Hello Kevin, I have been following you on IG for a while now, and what a surprise to see that you were a member of Alfonso´s community. I did follow Alfonso and found substance in the S/D approach. Now with the COT you have put the cherry on the top of the cake.
    BTW, do you have a "suggestion" about how to BEST view ( in what order ) all your videos on your youtubechannel ???
    All the best and here I am going thru the CFTC report and "making sense of it" !!! ... saty safe and healthy !!! Thank you so much !!! =)

  • @patrickpontee7985
    @patrickpontee7985 6 років тому +1

    great video, great explanation, thanks!!

  • @SevenDeuce072
    @SevenDeuce072 6 років тому +5

    Have two questions, not sure how fast you will get back to me, but 10:54 "The Institutional Bias Indicator", where is the percentages based off from from the main chart? How is that determine? 2nd question is... earlier in your video at around 8:08 you swapped the long and the short on the non-commercial section for the CAD. Why did you do that? You never really explained that. Why is Long 51,000 and short 35,000? Why didn't you do it with the commercial traders? Is that how its represented for all futures contracts including agriculture, metals etc... Also is that how you represent the figures in your charts? You swap around the short and long?

    • @rona523
      @rona523 5 років тому

      www.cmegroup.com/trading/why-futures/learn-to-trade-futures.html
      This is a good place for free courses/or start.
      If USD is stronger the other currencies are weaker (in thoery).

  • @Mr_Lake
    @Mr_Lake 2 роки тому

    What do you mean if you want to reverse it it’s a positive number? 13:05

  • @vocalist1
    @vocalist1 4 роки тому +1

    Hi kevin. Something I'm trying to find out please. Does anyone know if there is an equivalent of a C.O T report for cross pairs. Am I wrong in guessing it's just dollar orientated on the main cftc website? Cheers

  • @wlker23wayne
    @wlker23wayne 4 роки тому +1

    Where can I find information on the USD positions?

  • @chicagowebexpert
    @chicagowebexpert 7 років тому +5

    nice video. How do I download your spread sheet?

  • @oluwalasinubamidele9642
    @oluwalasinubamidele9642 3 роки тому +1

    Have you ever gotten a %Change higher than -/+(100%) for the Institutional bias Indicator? Nice video by the way.

  • @MaurizioGesualdo
    @MaurizioGesualdo 3 роки тому

    So Statistically is better to follow commercials or non commercials?

    • @MaurizioGesualdo
      @MaurizioGesualdo 3 роки тому

      @@WhiteOakFX thank you for the answer ...where i can see the pairs cot report? on cot report there is just single currencies index