Market Cycles Report: July 15 | Silver & Gold Miners Cycles Update
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- Опубліковано 24 сер 2024
- Market Cycles Report: July 15 | Silver & Gold Miners Cycles Update
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Lars von Thienen hosts Market Cycles Report, a weekly session that reviews datasets using cycles analysis methods. Watch live on Mondays at noon ET.
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such a great work and analysis. I love certainly your work with metals gold and silver and GDX-miners. Thank you so much. All the best, roland
Hi Lars, I was wondering if you could consider doing a cycles analysis of lithium at some point as I wonder whether we are approaching a bottom (everyone is extremely bearish lithium miners). Thank you.
Can you identify market manipulation?
Absolutely. It happened right now on miners sector. Whenever it goes against cycle consider someone dirty sticky hands behind it. LOL
Do you have any jobs at Cycles?
Hi Lars, I have a general question about reading the Cycle Analyser:
Let's say a data series oscillates around its zero line; sometimes with very high amplitudes and sometimes (and recently) with lower amplitudes.
1) Can a predicted downward movement of the detected dominant cycle be interpreted as a prediction that a HIGHER NUMBER of data points BELOW the zero line is to be expected?
2) This would mean that the underlying data series would decrease?
Thank you.
I have one more question to add on. When you do next tech video how to pick cycle, please explain when do you extend range in bar for better pics? I see by default in all your videos you have 850 bars. But if you add more it will change outcome and as a result whole picture what could lead to wrong cycle readings. Am I correct or missing something? Also please let me know where is an option to reset profile settings to default? Thanks so much fro your videos!
In general you are right: More bars could potentially change the dectected cycles.
1) You can extend the number of bars to verify that the detected dominant cycle is still correct even with more bars, i.e. you would have a confirmation that the previously detected cycle is actually important.
2) Or you can extend the number of bars when no clear cycle was detected in the original 850-bars range. Then an extension of bars could help identifying which of the "non-clear-cycles" is important.
And you can shift the range to the left (i.e. into the past) to check if the then detected dominant cycle showed the correct prediction as you then do have real price data (on the right side) but which were not taken into account for the calculation of the cycle (light blue cycle line = out of sample).