🔥 BLACK FRIDAY DEAL! GET 40% OFF 🔥 👉 bit.ly/4eDy12g (EXPIRING December 1, 2024, at 11:59 PM ET) Subscribing to our website gives you ACCESS to: ✅ All our current ACTIVE trade ideas 🔔 Trade alerts on any adjustments and NEW trades 📊 Our short-medium-long term outlooks on the stock market (3 episodes a week) ⚠ Emergency updates on market opportunities 🎓 A TON of education on becoming a profitable trader
@@willaerley7140 Also, PPP loan forgiveness. Zero oversight on that. Adding $8T to the debt from 2017 to 2021 and $6T in newly printed dollars in 2019 is absurd. Since then, we've added half as much to the debt and much of the spending has been relatively economically stimulative.
most of the private sector is already in a recession - just defence and pharma and a bit of AI are holding up the private sector - the rest of the sectors are already in a deep recession - it all depends on where the government throws its borrowed money from the laughably called Inflation Reduction Act
As much as it hurts to say, we need to go through a recession. Shittiest thing though would be the fact that poorer people would get hit the hardest, even though they never really benefited from our stupid inflationary policies in the first place.
Agreed many companies and people are living one waiting for it to end. So much of the bubble and benefit went to random people. Being middle class, the layoffs already happened and we already can’t afford houses so a recession will not impact us
Labor market also looks recessionary but they track it wrong. They need to start looking at living-wage jobs not just counting every job the same. And there is an obvious trend of well paying jobs getting cut and replaced with Uber driver and food service jobs
It will show up once everyone is long and on margin. Once that occurs we will see the rollover in stocks. Not there yet. It will happen when everyone least expects it.
Meanwhile the stock market has been rising for the last two years, which comes to prove the old maxim that the market can stay irrational way longer than you can stay solvable. Since covid, we live in stupid times and so it's better to be stupid (aka take risks and invest in crypto and stocks) than predict the doom and gloom. It's more than likely that the everything bubble will pop next year, but we are not there yet, so just enjoy the crazy ride.
4:30 so DOGE might become the catalyst for the unemployment numbers and then it snowballs from there. 2025 doesn't look very bright, but we'll just have to wait and see.
The billionaires have, through regulatory capture, decoupled themselves from the business cycle. They no longer experience recession even when the 99.99% do. Since economists only look at GDP, they no longer detect recessions because GDP is always increasing - to serve the asset owning class. If they looked at per-capita, they would see all the recessions the models predicted.
"The government is responsible for keeping us out of recession." The government is the reason we'll HAVE a recession when it inevitably hits. Not to mention the massive inflation we've experienced as they continue to try and keep us out of it.
They should not. All they do is induce demand on goods and services while creating no supply. It drives inflation as much as printing money and giving everyone stimulus checks
the problem with this analysis, like all economic analysis. Is everything is reflected on the stock market. So yes at present the stock market has never been stronger, but only top 1 percent profit from the stock market. It does not trickle down wealth to middle and working class. For example nvidia has exploded with recorded rocket profits and share growth in the stock market. Yet its growth does not reflect the average American income, wage growth, assets or disposable income.
I don't agree with your "Top 1%" but I have read stats several times that stocks are mainly owned by about 10%-15% of the population. Much of the professional middle class is exposed to the market because they have 401k plans instead of pensions. A bad bear market will affect *many* people.
And when the market recession happens there’s literally no way of telling whether or not that’ll hit the ground level the same way. I do appreciate these videos as the market IS an important part of the economy, but it’s important not to let the concerns of the 1% freak us out down here.
That's not true. I'm not top 1% and I profit off nvda and some of the market. You just have to make some sacrifices in life to profit...like skip that cup of Starbucks everyday or not replacing your furniture everytime you throw a party. American are just too wasteful but I guess that's also another reason why our economy is so resilient. People spend even when they can't afford it.
I just can’t see the stock market skyrocketing like this forever. 17% is a huge massive melt up to something. Inflation or crash is the only two ways to go. One way keep your money working against inflation the other leaves you bankrupt.
Honestly, I thought the pandemic rally was a sucker's rally. I bought that bottom, made umpteen percent, but got out way too early. I bought the 2023 bottom too, and did the same. I get spooked out by such rapid and emotional moves upwards. I agree, it's unsustainable, but I have no real idea when to predict that the final fool buys.
2025 - Variable effects from termed debt needs to hit which it will especially outside the US. So as long as there is no crash, the 10Y will stay high, the fed wont be able to lower short term rates quick enough and non-US countries won't be able to lower short term due to currency instabilities. Thus the debt spread from ZIRP will be realised abroad first destroying the economy and that will ripple back to the US. Probably in the form of DXY spike upwards. It is inevitable.
How does "printing money" compare to banks reserve requirements. If a bank only has to keep 10% of it's cash deposits, then loan out 90%, isn't that a far greater contributor to inflation than anything else? That is literally creating money in the economy on a scale far beyond adding currency into the economy.
The banks are required to perform due diligence on borrowers, in effect guaranteeing that they pay the money back. The government just prints and spends, often on their chums schemes!
Yes, but that is also one of the greatest contributors to our economic growth. Without the ability to loan out money, banks would not be lucrative, and business's would not be able to get the capital they need to get off the ground. The more we make banks hold onto, the less money that is available to be loaned out. I know it's easy to look at that 10% and 90% and come to the conclusion that they are getting rich off of our money, but it's also mutually benefits everyone to be able to get a loan and take a risk on a start up business when needed.
" In 2023, around 19.58 million people were working for state and local governments in the United States. This is much higher than the number of federal government (civilian) employees, which stood at about 2.87 million people in that year. " Calculations as of Oct 2024 - Statistica Sorry, posting links in youtube comments section can block my reply here, but you can google this.
After taking a year off for Covid, my Biz improved every year consecutively. This is my best year so far (all time) if it holds up. Been in biz for 25 years selling my handmade flutes. I got no debt and my place is payed off. We will see if I can hang on through it. Sucks to see sales drop off.. makes me stop spending money too.
If you look at the logarithmic data since 1970 we are currently >20% over the regression mean. In the past this was always followed by a dip under that line. So also a regression is incoming.. Albeit it still can take years too. Anyway, I'm convinced that I can buy the SP500 at 5900 still in a few years, and that is the best case scenario for the 5900 (that it will rise up even more and then drop down to todays price).
The problem is that the economy is bifurcated - larger companies, investors and pre-2021 upper middle class homeowners are sitting on significant assets that mean they can handle the increased cost of living due to inflation without too much issue. Small businesses and middle class/lower class wage earners are struggling with these increased costs and increased credit costs; many are underwater and simply utilizing greater levels of credit to keep going. The behemoth that you mentioned - the US government spending and hiring - has kept the investor classes happy by juicing the economy, instead of allowing for a smaller recession to reset prices, cleanse some debt from the system, and lower housing prices. If I may so bold, the previous administration spent all they had to try and stay in power. They failed, and now the new administration is going to inherit a likely far more painful recession.
Economic indices often resemble cloud-watching-selectively highlighting patterns while ignoring contradictions, shaping narratives from fleeting figures in chaotic skies.
Do you think it's a good time to consider selling some stocks, or is it better to hold onto them for the long term? I’m considering rebalancing my $2M portfolios, So I'm curious about the best strategies to invest this year.
Regarding the number of government jobs created, I think we should look at that as a percentage relative to the total workforce. This should provide a common denominator to compare the number of government employees today compared to the number of government employees from 30 to 50 years ago.
@@ricardoconqueso It certainly is what is happening. Labor participation is at record lows and keeps dropping. Those are people who became unemployed, were unable to find a job, so they ceased to "count" as unemployed. The true unemployment rate is at least double the official number, probably more. I know multiple people who are unable to get a job, but they are not counted as unemployed simply because they ran out of benefits.
When you're trying to keep 4 numbers in a good zone, eventually measures will be taken to control those 4 numbers instead of actually focusing on a strong economy. The perfect example is the government hiring like crazy. This is just one example. Many examples of Fiscal Dominance with the Biden Admin can be given. But, it suffices to say there has been more focus on this ridiculous 4 numbers rather than an actual healthy economy.
Too much liquidity coming in to crash. Market always does well during the crypto/liquidity bull cycle. The cycle ends early 2026. Then crash or trade side ways for a couple years.
I'm perfectly ok with my retirement accounts getting 5% in short term treasuries and money markets. I'm too old to risk a significant downturn. I have some "play money" allocated to try to capture any upside should the markets bubble up from here, but i'm perfectly ok with losing that.
The U.S. economy relies on ongoing credit and debt generation for sustenance. The Federal Reserve is expected to increase the money supply, leading to further debt accumulation for the average American. Meanwhile, foreign nations continue to desire the U.S. dollar, despite their own economies facing significant challenges, some even worse than that of the U.S. This situation raises concerns about who will ultimately bear the consequences of these economic dynamics.
The economy, like politics is a system of beliefs and gambling. When things look good and flashy then people bet more. When things cause questions to the blind belief, like a pandemic or a significant event in economic policy then the system tanks. In 1928 Republicans passed a major protective tariff bill after years of prosperity. Sound familiar?
The $2 trillion in deficit spending helped...just a little. Got to wonder if there would be rainbows and unicorns around AI, crypto, and stock market without that.
Could the huge amount of people that buy into the s&p500 and other ETFs with every pay check using trading apps/ 401k stop these ETFs from being hit hard even if a recession does come?
wait a second, SPX is up 25% this year, you're underperforming by a good amount. how lol just how are you underperforming THIS year. No santa rally. we're topping or have topped for the year. No sell in may and go away, No bullish july and august No sept weakness No oct crash NO december rally. its Too easy to look at the seasonality chart and expect to be right, fact trading against seasonality since may has been quite amazing. you and the entire world see the seasonality chart for election years, you really think the casino is going to allow everyone to win? Nov Bottom in 2022 Nov Bottom in 2023 NOV TOP in 2024
The situation we are in isn't the same as past recessions. It should have happened back in 2022. Something to do with the curve. Idk. The American rescue plan didn't go to the wealthy it was geared to the middle class.
You’re mad an American got on an American platform and discussed whatever they wanted to talk about from their own point of view, and that you freely chose to watch that video? Tell me you’re European without telling me you’re European.
You know that for a fact? More likely, fiscal policy would continue in its current trajectory upwards, unless taxes are increased on large corporations and high-wealth individuals (those greater than 100M).
🔥 BLACK FRIDAY DEAL! GET 40% OFF 🔥
👉 bit.ly/4eDy12g (EXPIRING December 1, 2024, at 11:59 PM ET)
Subscribing to our website gives you ACCESS to:
✅ All our current ACTIVE trade ideas
🔔 Trade alerts on any adjustments and NEW trades
📊 Our short-medium-long term outlooks on the stock market (3 episodes a week)
⚠ Emergency updates on market opportunities
🎓 A TON of education on becoming a profitable trader
You are definitely not alone with those capabilities lol
Alright guys. If you want the market to crash, I can make it happen. All I have to do is buy back in.
Lol
Take one for the team homie
Me too 😂
You and me both 😆
MMTLP took 100 percent of my portfolio
Issuing massive amounts of debt is the only reason why we have avoided recession. We basically every 100 days are doing 2008 bail out
The Covid giveaways were insane. Just now, my town has finished spending the Covid money.
@@willaerley7140 Also, PPP loan forgiveness. Zero oversight on that. Adding $8T to the debt from 2017 to 2021 and $6T in newly printed dollars in 2019 is absurd. Since then, we've added half as much to the debt and much of the spending has been relatively economically stimulative.
most of the private sector is already in a recession - just defence and pharma and a bit of AI are holding up the private sector - the rest of the sectors are already in a deep recession - it all depends on where the government throws its borrowed money from the laughably called Inflation Reduction Act
As much as it hurts to say, we need to go through a recession. Shittiest thing though would be the fact that poorer people would get hit the hardest, even though they never really benefited from our stupid inflationary policies in the first place.
Agreed many companies and people are living one waiting for it to end. So much of the bubble and benefit went to random people. Being middle class, the layoffs already happened and we already can’t afford houses so a recession will not impact us
How is this the only finance channel that doesn't have loads of bots comment threads about fake financial advisors?
For real lol
Comment moderation 🪄
Labor market also looks recessionary but they track it wrong. They need to start looking at living-wage jobs not just counting every job the same. And there is an obvious trend of well paying jobs getting cut and replaced with Uber driver and food service jobs
It will show up once everyone is long and on margin. Once that occurs we will see the rollover in stocks. Not there yet. It will happen when everyone least expects it.
Meanwhile the stock market has been rising for the last two years, which comes to prove the old maxim that the market can stay irrational way longer than you can stay solvable.
Since covid, we live in stupid times and so it's better to be stupid (aka take risks and invest in crypto and stocks) than predict the doom and gloom.
It's more than likely that the everything bubble will pop next year, but we are not there yet, so just enjoy the crazy ride.
I'm so happy rich people are doing so well, what a great economy
4:30 so DOGE might become the catalyst for the unemployment numbers and then it snowballs from there.
2025 doesn't look very bright, but we'll just have to wait and see.
I think 2025 will be fine but it will start showing at the end of the year is 2026 I think that the recession will be full blown.
My Motto has always been - Buy High Sell Low
Roger. I'll keep adjusting my stop-losses upwards - and watching where Warren is putting his money.
Good video.
The billionaires have, through regulatory capture, decoupled themselves from the business cycle. They no longer experience recession even when the 99.99% do.
Since economists only look at GDP, they no longer detect recessions because GDP is always increasing - to serve the asset owning class.
If they looked at per-capita, they would see all the recessions the models predicted.
"The government is responsible for keeping us out of recession."
The government is the reason we'll HAVE a recession when it inevitably hits. Not to mention the massive inflation we've experienced as they continue to try and keep us out of it.
They shouldn't be able to count government jobs in the numbers.
Trump is looking to eliminate a lot of those jobs.
They should not. All they do is induce demand on goods and services while creating no supply. It drives inflation as much as printing money and giving everyone stimulus checks
the problem with this analysis, like all economic analysis. Is everything is reflected on the stock market. So yes at present the stock market has never been stronger, but only top 1 percent profit from the stock market. It does not trickle down wealth to middle and working class. For example nvidia has exploded with recorded rocket profits and share growth in the stock market. Yet its growth does not reflect the average American income, wage growth, assets or disposable income.
I don't agree with your "Top 1%" but I have read stats several times that stocks are mainly owned by about 10%-15% of the population. Much of the professional middle class is exposed to the market because they have 401k plans instead of pensions. A bad bear market will affect *many* people.
And when the market recession happens there’s literally no way of telling whether or not that’ll hit the ground level the same way. I do appreciate these videos as the market IS an important part of the economy, but it’s important not to let the concerns of the 1% freak us out down here.
ANYONE can profit from the stock market. It only takes a few dollars to open an account and invest. It is not only for the rich.
That's not true. I'm not top 1% and I profit off nvda and some of the market. You just have to make some sacrifices in life to profit...like skip that cup of Starbucks everyday or not replacing your furniture everytime you throw a party. American are just too wasteful but I guess that's also another reason why our economy is so resilient. People spend even when they can't afford it.
I just can’t see the stock market skyrocketing like this forever. 17% is a huge massive melt up to something. Inflation or crash is the only two ways to go. One way keep your money working against inflation the other leaves you bankrupt.
Honestly, I thought the pandemic rally was a sucker's rally. I bought that bottom, made umpteen percent, but got out way too early. I bought the 2023 bottom too, and did the same. I get spooked out by such rapid and emotional moves upwards. I agree, it's unsustainable, but I have no real idea when to predict that the final fool buys.
Yeah. I have stocks but my favorite way to save is in physical gold and silver.
The Fed has chosen inflation for now... until some kind of hyper inflationary event that triggers a crash.
Not if you load up on spy puts like I'm going to hehe
We have been in a recession for the past 3 years. We are heading into an economic depression.
Always the best research. Thanks guys.
Your editing is fantastic!
Learn like him buddy
Have you backtested your strategy through more serious downturns?
2025 - Variable effects from termed debt needs to hit which it will especially outside the US. So as long as there is no crash, the 10Y will stay high, the fed wont be able to lower short term rates quick enough and non-US countries won't be able to lower short term due to currency instabilities. Thus the debt spread from ZIRP will be realised abroad first destroying the economy and that will ripple back to the US. Probably in the form of DXY spike upwards. It is inevitable.
Dollar spikes and that sends US stocks down, and causes a whole host of other problems, if it doesn't go back down relatively quick.
The party ends march 2025
The second biggest risk right now is dipping out of the markets too early. The first is being too late. Pick your poison.
If you don't invest in equities, it's not a risk, but simply a loss of potential opportunity.
Best channel on UA-cam - thanks for the great insight & daily videos
Some event will jump out anytime, dont feel too comfortable.
WW3
Very true, black swan can start a chain reaction that can lead to meltdown.
Market might be fooling all to fomo and then the big rigs will sell and you are poor. Happened before many times.
How does "printing money" compare to banks reserve requirements. If a bank only has to keep 10% of it's cash deposits, then loan out 90%, isn't that a far greater contributor to inflation than anything else? That is literally creating money in the economy on a scale far beyond adding currency into the economy.
The government can also borrow from financial markets
That IS adding currency into the economy. When people talk about "printing money", what you described is what they're actually talking about.
But the bank doesnt just only circulate its own money. I dont think they can ever balance the amount of deposit and loan.
The banks are required to perform due diligence on borrowers, in effect guaranteeing that they pay the money back. The government just prints and spends, often on their chums schemes!
Yes, but that is also one of the greatest contributors to our economic growth. Without the ability to loan out money, banks would not be lucrative, and business's would not be able to get the capital they need to get off the ground. The more we make banks hold onto, the less money that is available to be loaned out. I know it's easy to look at that 10% and 90% and come to the conclusion that they are getting rich off of our money, but it's also mutually benefits everyone to be able to get a loan and take a risk on a start up business when needed.
So much value in these updates, thank you so much!
Great analysis
I'm very worried about my 450k stock portfolio losing value. What strategies should I be employing in my portfolio right now?
How many of the government jobs are state and local government versus federal jobs?
"
In 2023, around 19.58 million people were working for state and local governments in the United States. This is much higher than the number of federal government (civilian) employees, which stood at about 2.87 million people in that year.
"
Calculations as of Oct 2024 - Statistica
Sorry, posting links in youtube comments section can block my reply here, but you can google this.
According to Google, State and Local job growth for 2023 was 581K, double that of 2022. That's not an insignificant number.
Thoughts on if Trump makes a depression vs recession more or less likely?
There's no substitute for making stuff.
This was done very well thanks.
The punch that you dont see coming hits the hardest......
After the inauguration, Jan-Feb are cold months. It's coming like in Feb/March and the drop's gonna be haaaaaaard.
Republican president expect a recession and voting for Trump expect the national debt to go up again
After taking a year off for Covid, my Biz improved every year consecutively. This is my best year so far (all time) if it holds up. Been in biz for 25 years selling my handmade flutes. I got no debt and my place is payed off. We will see if I can hang on through it. Sucks to see sales drop off.. makes me stop spending money too.
Very niche biz idea good luck
The audio was weird/off. Sounds like enhanced speed?!
If you look at the logarithmic data since 1970 we are currently >20% over the regression mean. In the past this was always followed by a dip under that line. So also a regression is incoming.. Albeit it still can take years too. Anyway, I'm convinced that I can buy the SP500 at 5900 still in a few years, and that is the best case scenario for the 5900 (that it will rise up even more and then drop down to todays price).
The problem is that the economy is bifurcated - larger companies, investors and pre-2021 upper middle class homeowners are sitting on significant assets that mean they can handle the increased cost of living due to inflation without too much issue.
Small businesses and middle class/lower class wage earners are struggling with these increased costs and increased credit costs; many are underwater and simply utilizing greater levels of credit to keep going.
The behemoth that you mentioned - the US government spending and hiring - has kept the investor classes happy by juicing the economy, instead of allowing for a smaller recession to reset prices, cleanse some debt from the system, and lower housing prices.
If I may so bold, the previous administration spent all they had to try and stay in power. They failed, and now the new administration is going to inherit a likely far more painful recession.
Economic indices often resemble cloud-watching-selectively highlighting patterns while ignoring contradictions, shaping narratives from fleeting figures in chaotic skies.
It’s coming, but you can’t predict when it comes unless you’re backtesting
Do you think it's a good time to consider selling some stocks, or is it better to hold onto them for the long term? I’m considering rebalancing my $2M portfolios, So I'm curious about the best strategies to invest this year.
Regarding the number of government jobs created, I think we should look at that as a percentage relative to the total workforce. This should provide a common denominator to compare the number of government employees today compared to the number of government employees from 30 to 50 years ago.
Easy to avoid recession when you juice the job numbers
Except that is not what is happening, "ElonMuskNewsNetwork." Go be a "dork maga" elsewhere
@@ricardoconqueso It certainly is what is happening. Labor participation is at record lows and keeps dropping. Those are people who became unemployed, were unable to find a job, so they ceased to "count" as unemployed. The true unemployment rate is at least double the official number, probably more. I know multiple people who are unable to get a job, but they are not counted as unemployed simply because they ran out of benefits.
When you're trying to keep 4 numbers in a good zone, eventually measures will be taken to control those 4 numbers instead of actually focusing on a strong economy.
The perfect example is the government hiring like crazy. This is just one example. Many examples of Fiscal Dominance with the Biden Admin can be given. But, it suffices to say there has been more focus on this ridiculous 4 numbers rather than an actual healthy economy.
thx
Where do you get your data from?
Too much liquidity coming in to crash. Market always does well during the crypto/liquidity bull cycle. The cycle ends early 2026. Then crash or trade side ways for a couple years.
I'm perfectly ok with my retirement accounts getting 5% in short term treasuries and money markets. I'm too old to risk a significant downturn.
I have some "play money" allocated to try to capture any upside should the markets bubble up from here, but i'm perfectly ok with losing that.
The U.S. economy relies on ongoing credit and debt generation for sustenance. The Federal Reserve is expected to increase the money supply, leading to further debt accumulation for the average American. Meanwhile, foreign nations continue to desire the U.S. dollar, despite their own economies facing significant challenges, some even worse than that of the U.S. This situation raises concerns about who will ultimately bear the consequences of these economic dynamics.
Could it happen that the increased in productivity from AI is having now some results? I really don't understan why we are no in recession
We just delaying the inevitable like canada did with housing bubble of 2008
It's likely the case that absent those government jobs, the real job market looks awful
It all depends on how much the FED prints and give away to the big banks.
And Trump becoming president sure ass hell isn’t going to help the situation. In fact it’ll make it 10X worse/faster
Why cant you be followed on bsky?
So, there was a short-squeeze on sentiment, resulting in a melt up?
The economy, like politics is a system of beliefs and gambling. When things look good and flashy then people bet more. When things cause questions to the blind belief, like a pandemic or a significant event in economic policy then the system tanks. In 1928 Republicans passed a major protective tariff bill after years of prosperity. Sound familiar?
12 of the last 13 recessions have started when a Republican was President. The exception is Jimmy Carter.
600,000 layoff in 2024. I understand there's nuance but that's a lot for all time highs and booming economy
eat big, shit big
Love the play on your name but shouldn’t it be Bravo’s research?
6:47
It looks like a clear accumulation.
The $2 trillion in deficit spending helped...just a little. Got to wonder if there would be rainbows and unicorns around AI, crypto, and stock market without that.
Cotton and white sock sales. We are in a recession.
Name one country that paid the debt that was created?
USA under Clinton. Paid off debt and had a budget surplus
They will let go of the breaks when the administration changes
trump will just make it way worse
Very interesting video, thanks.
Throw in some idiotic tariffs and 2T in spending cuts (won't happen, but that's the claim) and it'll hit soon.
The tariffs are to prevent funding the Chinese military, who continuously threatens us and Taiwan and most other Asian nations.
Don't forget about the estimated of $1T for the cost of "mass deportations".
Pumped for the election
more debt pleaseeeee
That's why they try to use crypto, to unlock the investments, so the people can spend this frozen purchasing power to suport the economy.
A major global conflict could be the trigger for the next recession. Hope it’s not WW3 .
How are you supposed to have a stock market recession when the DXY has been going down while the HYG has been going up since Oct. 2022?
And it looks like it's working. ✌
Does anyone here WANT a recession?
Some that are too deep in the trading rabbit hole might but most people don't.
Recession will come alright. After 2026.
5,594th
Hey
Keynesian economics works.....
until it doesn't
Could the huge amount of people that buy into the s&p500 and other ETFs with every pay check using trading apps/ 401k stop these ETFs from being hit hard even if a recession does come?
there will be no recession as long as stock keep growing
you mean fixing inflation?
wait a second, SPX is up 25% this year, you're underperforming by a good amount. how lol just how are you underperforming THIS year.
No santa rally. we're topping or have topped for the year.
No sell in may and go away,
No bullish july and august
No sept weakness
No oct crash
NO december rally.
its Too easy to look at the seasonality chart and expect to be right, fact trading against seasonality since may has been quite amazing. you and the entire world see the seasonality chart for election years, you really think the casino is going to allow everyone to win?
Nov Bottom in 2022
Nov Bottom in 2023
NOV TOP in 2024
Trump 2024 enters the chat
The situation we are in isn't the same as past recessions. It should have happened back in 2022. Something to do with the curve. Idk. The American rescue plan didn't go to the wealthy it was geared to the middle class.
This will change when Trump is in office.
Waiting for trump to get in
What do you expect from him?
When Republicans are in office, you can set your watch on a recession. They'll still spend like drunken sailors, though, but collect less tax
2026 recession
What happens to the market when some country decides to lob a nuke at another?
the solitaire card castle falls
Once the crypto bros get their supporters into key cabinet positions we won't need the FED...right Bros?
But but trump is gonna make groceries and houses affordable 🙄
I bet we see eggs go down a whole .25 cents
_The Government_ ......
Say your American, without saying your American.
You’re*
*you're *you're
My American what?
You’re mad an American got on an American platform and discussed whatever they wanted to talk about from their own point of view, and that you freely chose to watch that video?
Tell me you’re European without telling me you’re European.
The orange genius will lower interest rates lower so anyone with a heartbeat can borrow money and go further in debt.
Well Trump is talking about cutting spending to lessen the debt burden on economy maybe he can do something about it
He's also said he'll add 2000% tariffs and will deport a ton of workers, the operational cost which is estimated to exceed 1 Trillion dollars
If the Federal Reserve was closed, there would be stability in the value of the dollar and deficit spending would not be possible.
No government in the world wants a monetary system without deficit spending. Trump is king of debt, he will spend more than every president before.
You know that for a fact? More likely, fiscal policy would continue in its current trajectory upwards, unless taxes are increased on large corporations and high-wealth individuals (those greater than 100M).
Stop trading. Buy $MSTR and then buy some more.
First
I wanted that spot😂