September 4, 2024 | Driving It Home with ABoR's Housing Economist

In this episode of Driving It Home, Dr. Clare Knapp and Emily Chenevert discuss the recent decline in mortgage rates and its impact on the housing market. The conversation highlights that mortgage rates have dropped from around 7% in early July to approximately 6.35% by late August. While this reduction has increased buyers' purchasing power slightly, it has not significantly altered the market dynamics, given the historically high home prices.
The discussion also touches on the Federal Reserve's role in influencing mortgage rates. Dr. Knapp suggests that any further reductions in mortgage rates will depend on the Fed's rate cuts and monetary policy signals. While a 25-basis point cut is anticipated in September, it's unlikely that mortgage rates will fall below 6% by the end of 2024. The conversation emphasizes the importance for both buyers and sellers to remain realistic about market conditions, considering that while lower mortgage rates might motivate buyer activity, they do not drastically change affordability.
In conclusion, Emily and Clare advise agents to guide their clients by recognizing the limited impact of recent rate changes. Sellers should be mindful of setting realistic list prices, even as they capitalize on increased buyer interest due to rate declines. Buyers, especially first-time buyers, should consider the small but meaningful improvements in affordability that come with lower rates. Both buyers and sellers can benefit from understanding these market shifts and leveraging the expertise of real estate professionals.
Links Mentioned
Market Shift Conversations - 30 Days Post Changes | September 12 (www.abor.com/e...) www.abor.com/e...
Download an episode transcript: www.abor.com/c...
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