Anchoring Effect: Guessing How Many Jelly Beans Are In A Jar | Why Are We All So Stupid?

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  • Опубліковано 23 гру 2024

КОМЕНТАРІ • 254

  • @Taikamuna
    @Taikamuna 6 років тому +570

    That's gotta be at least twelve

  • @thatguy7091
    @thatguy7091 6 років тому +299

    Are we all just gonna forgive that man for guessing 11000

    • @quin2910
      @quin2910 6 років тому +4

      Tbh I thought around there as well. Especially after they talked about anchoring. I assumed they would anchor really low and then get funny reactions when there guess is tiny compared to the real amount

    • @benjaminr8961
      @benjaminr8961 6 років тому

      No

    • @mayawright
      @mayawright 6 років тому

      I thought the answer was 301

    • @1HiddenSecret
      @1HiddenSecret 5 років тому

      I reckoned 10,000... so I am also guilty....

    • @marquisofsloth9867
      @marquisofsloth9867 4 роки тому

      Yes

  • @FuryQwerty
    @FuryQwerty 6 років тому +258

    Just pour all the beans out and say zero

  • @Wagmiman
    @Wagmiman 6 років тому +214

    5:16 3,388 beans

    • @viktorberg986
      @viktorberg986 6 років тому

      Thx

    • @DragonDoge869
      @DragonDoge869 6 років тому +1

      You are the true mvp

    • @IIAndersII
      @IIAndersII 6 років тому

      Aria
      I was guessing it to be 4000 😃

    • @Apolloneek
      @Apolloneek 6 років тому

      Lmao I just said 3000 random ass answer i came hella close

    • @benjaminr8961
      @benjaminr8961 6 років тому

      I guesstimated 3250

  • @FN-yf3ub
    @FN-yf3ub 6 років тому +13

    - asks to guess the no of beans in the jar.
    - gives them an estimate they're sure to use for judgment.
    - guesses around the estimate
    - calls them stupid
    *What even*

    • @panie445
      @panie445 2 роки тому +1

      the reason they are "stupid" is they just guessed based on the estimate given instead of actually looking at the jar, like that one person who counted the top layer

  • @tillycomedy2194
    @tillycomedy2194 2 роки тому +2

    this series is so fascinating! shame that not more people have stumbled across it!

  • @jthb
    @jthb 6 років тому +49

    As soon as i saw the jar i was like 700 then she said higher or lower 6000
    So i said 2500..

  • @alanzhu2862
    @alanzhu2862 6 років тому +4

    "Heres the real offer!" I bet he got fooled right there lol.

  • @samhumphries751
    @samhumphries751 6 років тому +56

    1:08 she looks high AF 😂

  • @RamLal-nq2jh
    @RamLal-nq2jh 6 років тому +44

    Anyone remember Phineas and Ferb?

  • @BeJolly3
    @BeJolly3 6 років тому +4

    What i really wanted to know was how many jelly beans were there in the jar and now im satisfied.

  • @ellobobeats6324
    @ellobobeats6324 4 роки тому +1

    This guy does not break eye contact😳😳😳

  • @kidsIIIII009
    @kidsIIIII009 3 роки тому +3

    Buford: “OH FOR CRYING OUT LOUD!”
    *Eats* *All* *Jellybeans*
    Buford: “There Zero!”

    • @noisy99_
      @noisy99_ 3 роки тому +1

      Me: "There Diabetes!"

  • @ozzyfromspace
    @ozzyfromspace 6 років тому

    2:17 that, ladies and gentlemen, is what we in statistics call an OUTLIER.

  • @ahsanulislamtapadar6876
    @ahsanulislamtapadar6876 4 роки тому

    so cant we tell Anchoring is kind of Assumtion or assume mean.what is the importance of Anchoring??

  • @BobMcCoy
    @BobMcCoy 6 років тому +25

    *Mike & Ikes are the best*

    • @vice88
      @vice88 6 років тому

      _Bob McCoy I mean, you aren’t wrong.

    • @amroy1629
      @amroy1629 6 років тому

      Love the limitless refrence!

    • @katzomatzo7448
      @katzomatzo7448 6 років тому

      _Bob McCoy mercy main btw

  • @ToopyAndBinooRulesEst2004
    @ToopyAndBinooRulesEst2004 2 роки тому

    “OH FOR CRYING OUT LOUD!”
    (I eat all the jelly beans and put the jar back in it’s place)
    THERE! ZERO!

  • @RoryMacallister
    @RoryMacallister 6 років тому +2

    I was 55 off. I took a rough estimate of the jelly beans dimensions and made a rectangular prism out of them. 17*14*14 and then I added 1 for fun to make it 3333. I suppose that's an educated guess since I'm using more information than I was initially given.

  • @ItsChurchieYall
    @ItsChurchieYall 6 років тому

    George of the Jungle was a real cartoon and we cant just let that go

  • @zo9608
    @zo9608 3 роки тому

    You just assumed we are stupid in the title? Anchoring!

  • @joshuajoshua46
    @joshuajoshua46 6 років тому

    The name of this series should be thinking fast and slow: a summary

  • @英語わかりません
    @英語わかりません 3 роки тому +1

    Guessed 4.5 at first, figured it was a bit high and adjusted it to 3500.

    • @bunnies9335
      @bunnies9335 3 роки тому

      Lmao for a sec I thought that instead of 4.5k, you thought it was 4.5 exactly

  • @sebbyh9764
    @sebbyh9764 6 років тому +3

    "Why are we so stupid?"
    Triggered.

  • @feltonw
    @feltonw 6 років тому

    pretty impressive a lot of people actually got very close to the real number!

  • @jefflin4547
    @jefflin4547 6 років тому +9

    Do you think the jar will coast more or less than $220.
    Answer is comments before checking answer.
    It is $402.33 because 40 jellybeans coast around $5 and 3388 (this is according to Amazon) divided by 40 is 84.7, which is then multiplied by 5 to give a total of $423.50 then the jellybeans are being bought at a massive amount so I should factor a discount of 5% which bring the coast to $402.325. This is rounded to $402.33.

    • @FMFvideos
      @FMFvideos 6 років тому

      5 dollarz

    • @jefflin4547
      @jefflin4547 6 років тому

      @@FMFvideos nice

    • @boazvan3503
      @boazvan3503 6 років тому +3

      try like 61$ you can buy a ten pound bag for that much on amazon
      35 beans per serving about 23 servings in a 2 pound bag
      23 beans x 35 servings = 805 in a 2 pound bag x 5 because its a 10 pound bag
      about 4025 in a 10 pound bag for only 60$

  • @RobinVesper
    @RobinVesper 6 років тому +16

    Between 300-500, definitely !

    • @RandomGuy-nm6bm
      @RandomGuy-nm6bm 6 років тому +2

      I've got bad news

    • @RobinVesper
      @RobinVesper 6 років тому

      @@RandomGuy-nm6bm Shit !

    • @nihalperera9011
      @nihalperera9011 6 років тому

      Why is your pic the discord official raiders pic

    • @RobinVesper
      @RobinVesper 6 років тому

      @@nihalperera9011 I had this pic long before discord even existed, somewhere since 2013

    • @KyleTokes
      @KyleTokes 6 років тому

      Lol insaid 367

  • @shawnkarasevicz5308
    @shawnkarasevicz5308 6 років тому

    roughly a sphere. radius is 9 jellybeans. 4/3pi(r^3) is 3055. not bad.

  • @joyjoyoo
    @joyjoyoo 6 років тому +4

    There are 3000 ish.
    Interesting series..

  • @javiervalenciagoujon5888
    @javiervalenciagoujon5888 6 років тому

    Rather than counting I would estimate by weight, if each bean weights between .5 and 1 gram you could have between 100-200 beans per 100 grams. Next step is to estimate the weight of bowl which according to result is around 3-4kg.

    • @robbylebotha
      @robbylebotha Місяць тому

      You could never estimate the size of the bowl. Could be plastic could be glass could have a really thick base and lip. Easier to measure the volume of the jar.

  • @zahrao1266
    @zahrao1266 5 років тому

    I think the word stupid, triggers the.... Aah! Feeling to comment the number 😁😁

  • @StephenBolger
    @StephenBolger Рік тому

    Calculate the volume and adjust down to account for space between the contents. My guess was 4,051 when accounting for about 80% filled. When changing answer to 75%, which I usually do, the answer I got was 3,404.

    • @robbylebotha
      @robbylebotha Місяць тому

      How did you know the size of the jar and the size of one jelly bean?

  • @robbylebotha
    @robbylebotha Місяць тому

    First step: Never be forced into a blind answer, you know nothing about the bowl or the beans. It’s a gamble and you will lose.
    Do you homework before negotiating.

  • @Frenchiesonyoutube01
    @Frenchiesonyoutube01 6 років тому

    The real stupid person is the one who counted each jelly bean😂😂💀

  • @loganking5860
    @loganking5860 6 років тому +8

    I said 3,136 i was pretty close😂

  • @217nomiga
    @217nomiga 6 років тому

    I guessed 3200! Mostly because I just won a guessing jar today which was half the size of that jar and it was filled with gumballs about twice the size of those jelly beans.

  • @HellBoy8896
    @HellBoy8896 6 років тому +2

    Had this challenge in my college, I used math and won 😃🤪

  • @grgfrg7
    @grgfrg7 6 років тому

    I thought 6000 sounded so outrageously high that it didn't influence me at all but if I had heard 1500 first it probably would've influenced me especially because I thought there were less than 1500

  • @Marnige
    @Marnige 4 роки тому +1

    My guess was 3257... Well that was close.

  • @CubeKun
    @CubeKun 6 років тому

    3,388 beans saved you 5 minutes

  • @notjin2109
    @notjin2109 6 років тому

    ayeeee I guessed 3500 since I counted around 10 jelly beans from the side to center of the container. 4/3pir^3 is the equation of a sphere so you get 1000*pi*4/3 which is around 3000*4/3 which is around 4000. But it’s not a sphere, it’s a lot less than a sphere so I said around 3500

  • @ethanestalilla8023
    @ethanestalilla8023 6 років тому

    I was literally over by 90 jelly beans. My guess was 3478. Thats a 97.5% accuracy rating

  • @Spacemonkeymojo
    @Spacemonkeymojo 6 років тому

    This series is good.

  • @bethm3152
    @bethm3152 6 років тому

    I woulda been so mad if they didnt say how many jellybeans there were

  • @ladhkay
    @ladhkay 6 років тому +4

    Bruh Indians been using this technique for eons. Every day is a bargain battle from fruits/vegetables to goods at open bazaars. We all know the first number is a high ball number and to counter with something really low...then settling for something in the middle which works for both.
    And when she said if its over or under 6K, I would've been like why did you say 6k?

  • @christinala8763
    @christinala8763 6 років тому +1

    I could be told nearly any number and I’d believe it

  • @ultimatejoshua1082
    @ultimatejoshua1082 5 років тому

    I guessed 3000 by estimating how much were in each 'layer'. I was quite close!

  • @mikeydaone
    @mikeydaone 6 років тому

    good series

  • @Zachgind
    @Zachgind 6 років тому

    What if the number was exactly 6000 jellybeans so no matter what answer they chose, it would be wrong.

  • @AriVovp
    @AriVovp 6 років тому +15

    I'm gonna buy that much jellbean and try to put it in the exact container. If it doesn't fit all to the exact level. I will sue yiu over giving false information without consent

    • @ohno-cz6jb
      @ohno-cz6jb 6 років тому +1

      AriVovp first, learn how to spell.

    • @AriVovp
      @AriVovp 6 років тому

      i don't need to, as long as people understand the meaning of it. who give a thing about correct spelling? only when drafting a contract ,baby.

    • @tenderquasar3789
      @tenderquasar3789 Рік тому

      jellybean* you*

  • @BiggestRedditor
    @BiggestRedditor 6 років тому

    That's a whole lot of beans

  • @varunjain7895
    @varunjain7895 6 років тому

    Really interesting !

  • @arielpacheco7210
    @arielpacheco7210 6 років тому +12

    Elventeen

  • @XD226
    @XD226 8 місяців тому

    I had 3150 , by counting the layer in the open area (90) , and trying to count how often this could be applied(35) and got 3150 x) .

    • @XD226
      @XD226 8 місяців тому

      Counted it again this time the whole top layer had 190 and counted the layers 18 and got 3420 this time

  • @Whatachuck23
    @Whatachuck23 10 місяців тому

    Eat all of the jellybeans and then it’ll be zero

  • @xephyr69420
    @xephyr69420 6 років тому

    I actually guessed 1250 at the beginning of the video and I didn't know what anchoring was

  • @028TuvaluanHero
    @028TuvaluanHero 6 років тому

    I saw this guy on Ted Talk.

  • @harendrasingh_22
    @harendrasingh_22 6 років тому +1

    2:02 I'm 1650 btw

  • @szargos
    @szargos 3 роки тому

    Hmm, what they speak is the truth, however I never want to trust a guy that leases a car.

  • @rapgod9409
    @rapgod9409 6 років тому

    Use random forest regression to solve this problem 😎

  • @CowboyAye
    @CowboyAye 2 роки тому +1

    *Eats everything*
    ZERO!

  • @panikAtCyprus
    @panikAtCyprus 6 років тому

    I am loving this series

  • @cfoples
    @cfoples 6 років тому

    I'm guessing 8,954 jelly beans.

  • @lakhan911
    @lakhan911 6 років тому

    I guessed around 300... so the anchor thing didn’t change my mind

  • @bkshr1172
    @bkshr1172 6 років тому

    We can calculate the estimate....
    Volume of 1 jelly bean by volume of the jar

    • @ghoti41628
      @ghoti41628 6 років тому +1

      That works. You should also account for how densely jelly beans pack given their odd shape, for example if they were perfect spheres you would expect them to occupy about 74% of the total volume of the container. A google search reveals that the packing factor for jelly beans is between 0.7 and 0.715. So now all you need to do is to measure the dimensions of the container.

  • @modernkennnern
    @modernkennnern 6 років тому

    I guessed 3400, I can't believe I got that close..

  • @bamaboy9846
    @bamaboy9846 6 років тому +8

    Look I just want to know how many jelly beans there are

  • @THEGAMINGHELP101
    @THEGAMINGHELP101 6 років тому

    Or you can use your phones screen as a baseline measurement and get an estimate of the volume of the part of the jar that is full than get an estimate of the volume of a gelly been and do some math and than you can at least have a guess that will be in the ball park of the actual number.

  • @bngr_bngr
    @bngr_bngr 6 років тому

    Must not be a fan of jelly beans, I guessed 320.

  • @yodoodler5951
    @yodoodler5951 6 років тому +6

    I guessed 700 oh whoops 😐

  • @nisak8911
    @nisak8911 3 роки тому

    wait, i thought they will teach us how to count it or solve it. :/

  • @The-DO
    @The-DO 2 роки тому +1

    I guess 3200

  • @Wil-sk2yi
    @Wil-sk2yi 6 років тому

    1056 did this before the video “i am way off”

  • @trover1922
    @trover1922 6 років тому +1

    I said over 6000 then said that there’s probably 2500 jellybeans, am I stupid?

  • @journeydomnar
    @journeydomnar 6 років тому

    My answer would be I don’t know.
    Because I might accidentally making a wrong decision.

  • @alexgarza2165
    @alexgarza2165 3 роки тому

    There’s no way there’s that many beans

  • @choisansanartist
    @choisansanartist 6 років тому

    I will guess 1 less jelly beans after i eat 1.

  • @kevinbaileyjr9433
    @kevinbaileyjr9433 Рік тому

    Just wen I'm helping out I do it because I want to not because I have to and do care

  • @KnightSlasher
    @KnightSlasher 6 років тому +4

    I am hurgry now 😥

  • @santiagoalvillar7927
    @santiagoalvillar7927 6 років тому

    NO WAY...I guessed 3,500 🤟😌🤟

  • @alexisgomezsalinas3560
    @alexisgomezsalinas3560 6 років тому

    Missed it by 12 beans

  • @Nicekittty
    @Nicekittty 6 років тому

    he doesn’t blink

  • @marquisofsloth9867
    @marquisofsloth9867 4 роки тому

    Oblongon. First is 999 but I’ll give it 1998

  • @thefifthhour45
    @thefifthhour45 6 років тому

    Based on the dimensions, i think that there are about 7200.

  • @mohammadmalik8157
    @mohammadmalik8157 6 років тому

    I guessed 3457, so close...

  • @reidhubbard9479
    @reidhubbard9479 6 років тому +3

    I guessed 3456 cause y not

  • @Keivz
    @Keivz 6 років тому

    Way more than I thought

  • @rogerandersen7046
    @rogerandersen7046 6 років тому

    2:45 who in their right mind said 11 000?

  • @zermancamero2ndofficialytu711

    I will eat everything in that jar and I will answer 0

  • @sophiayun7913
    @sophiayun7913 6 років тому

    831?

  • @codezier2738
    @codezier2738 6 років тому

    Under 1500?? 😂😂

  • @niyazhaider8082
    @niyazhaider8082 6 років тому

    Thinking Fast and Slow

  • @DicedTea
    @DicedTea 2 роки тому

    I thought 792

  • @LlamasPvP
    @LlamasPvP 6 років тому

    I trusted the Asian guy

  • @benjaminr8961
    @benjaminr8961 6 років тому

    How do we know they are telling the truth about how many jelly beans are in the jar? Count it on camera or I say bullocks.

  • @MegaSuuuperman
    @MegaSuuuperman 6 років тому

    lol i said 15x15x15 by counting height length and depth, to get M^3. got 3375. soooo close

  • @cassandramartinez6409
    @cassandramartinez6409 6 років тому

    Is that Gina darling at 1:14?

  • @ztechnology4334
    @ztechnology4334 6 років тому

    1430 I guessed before I knew

  • @TechnoGlowStick
    @TechnoGlowStick 2 роки тому

    Crap! I said 2,200. 🙁

  • @Mirsab
    @Mirsab 6 років тому

    12,684 is guesstimate

  • @samuelsofa
    @samuelsofa 6 років тому

    I got 3,600, close enough