Ses 9: Forward and Futures Contracts I

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  • Опубліковано 26 лис 2024

КОМЕНТАРІ • 113

  • @alwaystoyou123
    @alwaystoyou123 4 роки тому +40

    His analogies are always on point. You better understand the concepts when you listen to his analogies. Amazing Professor and intellectual.

    • @jacoboribilik3253
      @jacoboribilik3253 2 місяці тому

      he hasn't made any significant breakthroughs so he's not a great intellectual. He's a smart guy and a very good professor.

  • @andrewstoehr
    @andrewstoehr Рік тому +14

    What a privilege to be able to watch this over and over again with instant replay for free. What a public good this is

    • @jacoboribilik3253
      @jacoboribilik3253 7 місяців тому +4

      Education should be a free, essential resource.

  • @rnavarrorubio
    @rnavarrorubio 8 років тому +85

    He is such a great professor.

  • @hosszu2010
    @hosszu2010 9 місяців тому +1

    I am teaching very similar material (undergrad though) and I am watching him to learn how to teach better. Great service to share these videos, thank you.

  • @user-tm8wy1hx7n
    @user-tm8wy1hx7n 9 років тому +57

    excellent... his lectures tells a whole new perspective... This is very different from the book reading of what futures and forwards are... Infact he cleared my year long doubts :) BTW thanks MIT for sharing

  • @rohank2825
    @rohank2825 3 роки тому +7

    @55:40 this happened during covid-19 pandemic during march 2020, demand for oil dropped suddenly, and they were ready to supply to fill the contract.
    As the no body had storage solution oil price went negative at that time.

  • @sudhirpatil3434
    @sudhirpatil3434 5 років тому +28

    Prof is really interested in teaching -
    he makes complex stuff simple!
    By the way he seems to be genius...

    • @himjanand2034
      @himjanand2034 4 роки тому +1

      would u like to work with me through this course if u r still studying this ?

    • @ajibolaoshunnuga8441
      @ajibolaoshunnuga8441 4 роки тому +3

      Himja Nand I am. Are you?

    • @rahulsolai
      @rahulsolai 4 роки тому +2

      @@himjanand2034 i would

  • @manavkashyap1927
    @manavkashyap1927 3 роки тому +8

    I love the discussion, everybody is welcomed with as many questions as possible.

  • @BoloBouncer
    @BoloBouncer 2 роки тому +4

    Honestly that visual of "If you're sales report is one currency, it's basically the opposite of selling in this other currency" really made things click for me.

  • @amrahabbasov5267
    @amrahabbasov5267 2 місяці тому

    A brilliant professor with incredible teaching skills.

  • @Xoro-rbk
    @Xoro-rbk 4 роки тому +5

    46:42 If any one didn't get the joke on AAA rating bonds. I will highly recommend you to watch the Oscar winning movie - The Big Short (2015)

  • @amcgregor679
    @amcgregor679 10 років тому +25

    Funny, had he had actually agreed to buy oil at $40/barrel in February 2009 (roughly 6 months from when this was made) he would have profited.

  • @malayali-appreciator-69
    @malayali-appreciator-69 3 роки тому +6

    I like how he's explaining current monetary policy at the beginning

  • @prdtrader
    @prdtrader 9 років тому +3

    Trading is a business ,who understand that they will succeed,off course you need a system to give you an edge and discipline.What a system does ,it will show you entry ,exit,how much you can risk,if you stick to the system you will be disciplined.But saying that only your risk to reward ratio will bail you out at the end of the day.

  • @mumuxi8823
    @mumuxi8823 4 роки тому +31

    funny that today 2020.04.20 oil price is < 1 dollar / barrel

    • @qwerty6574
      @qwerty6574 3 роки тому +2

      Hopefully you didn't buy puts with that price in mind

  • @theasz3012
    @theasz3012 3 роки тому +5

    That's great. Thanks for sharing.
    Long live MIT

  • @alexlee557
    @alexlee557 8 років тому +26

    29:37 today after 3 years oil barrel costs USD 48

    • @VoltageLP
      @VoltageLP 4 роки тому +7

      less than $10 12 years later hahaha, so much for oil scarcity

    • @onceappuonatime
      @onceappuonatime 4 роки тому +13

      Oil price is negative as of April 23 2020

    • @naderetaiwi4683
      @naderetaiwi4683 3 роки тому +1

      @@onceappuonatime should have bought that goddamn forward contract and sold for $40.

  • @mmx914
    @mmx914 10 років тому +5

    I am glad I found these awesome lectures.
    Thank you very much!

  • @SmartInvestor
    @SmartInvestor 10 років тому +10

    This topic was always a bit confuse for me, but now it is clear :). Thank you so much for sharing this content.

    • @NazriB
      @NazriB 2 роки тому

      Lies again? FAS FUS

  • @msa3533
    @msa3533 2 роки тому +3

    literally the best timing for a finance course lol

  • @robertkelly9836
    @robertkelly9836 2 роки тому +2

    Oil price 3-3-22 Brent crude 118.11.

  • @RaylinRecords
    @RaylinRecords 4 роки тому +4

    14:54 - I was listening to a podcast recently from Robert Kiwosaki, and he indicated his involvement in investing in Uranium and other commodities. Does anyone know why he would be interested in this venture? He was also speaking about Warren Buffet buying Gold miner and how he's buying other commodities like agriculture. It's interesting that during this pandemic, he would buy Uranium. He didn't explicitly say why. Does anyone know?

  • @RaylinRecords
    @RaylinRecords 4 роки тому +6

    18:36 - This is also very interesting because American Barrick is considered a safe-haven in gold mining and market volatility. During the pandemic, Warren Buffet, who had an aurophobia, decided to invest in this gold mining company. According to my research, gold mining is a good way to hedge against concerns about rising inflation and is a safe-haven in very volatile markets. Does anyone agree or have additional information?

    • @sgpleasure
      @sgpleasure 3 роки тому +1

      To hedge against Inflation, you are better off buying Gold ETFs. Get exposed to Gold as an asset and remove the company specific risks with American Barrick.

    • @ozcanyldz1718
      @ozcanyldz1718 2 роки тому +1

      @@sgpleasure well i heard buffet doesnt like anything that doesnt have cash flow so cant say i would be surprised that he invesst in mining company rather than buying gold or gold etf :) also he probably know the company well enough to bet on it so he can get extra earnings from growth of the company in addition to rising(if) gold price.

  • @aku2rabie
    @aku2rabie 9 років тому +4

    This is soooo good! now got the real basics in ma head

  • @normanjtongmd
    @normanjtongmd 8 років тому +7

    $40/barrel of oil?
    DEAL!
    (iT IS 29.71 TODAY!)

    • @arupian666
      @arupian666 8 років тому +1

      +Jay Musting Ha ! Yeah, I'd love crude @ $40/barrel right now... my long calls wouldn't be looking so unhappy....

    • @alexb8560
      @alexb8560 4 роки тому +2

      Oh yeah? A month ago it was -$38.

  • @oussamachouichi5677
    @oussamachouichi5677 8 років тому +5

    You rock Professor. Thank you

  • @monsiribalsook6017
    @monsiribalsook6017 3 роки тому +3

    Thank you, professor.

  • @sajalsalahuddin5861
    @sajalsalahuddin5861 3 роки тому

    How would the changing future contract prices relate to the strategic pricing of Soy bean product by the manufacturer who buying the soybeans from the farmer?

  • @badrakhariunchimeg1031
    @badrakhariunchimeg1031 7 місяців тому

    Some times it's just that hard how you people manage all together

  • @Tom-tb7sq
    @Tom-tb7sq 4 роки тому +6

    Guy at 29:00 is laughing now with the negative spot price and the oil market in contango

  • @pwadamdennis2345
    @pwadamdennis2345 4 роки тому +2

    Very insightful lectures

  • @zenglin01
    @zenglin01 2 роки тому +2

    So so so so great professor!!!!!

  • @pratekag
    @pratekag 3 роки тому +1

    Uranium - 235

  • @ABWprod
    @ABWprod 4 роки тому +11

    Here we go about Argentine again

  • @maxberghofer4775
    @maxberghofer4775 3 роки тому +1

    Great video and great prof

  • @mikerosy6924
    @mikerosy6924 2 роки тому +1

    As a person with substantial science/arts of finance and statistics background, he explains it extremely well patiently. I’m surprised this is a MIT fin402 course; students are asking weak questions. Then again, im 36 years old and have been a Wall Street junky since I was 14. Cheers 🥂 folks, hope you’ll succeed.

    • @treyk7239
      @treyk7239 2 роки тому +1

      I think it's because it's an mba course; not everyone is coming into the program with prior finance or business education. I'm undergraduate and just getting into finance and this is really simple to follow even without the supplemental textbook readings.

    • @liamtarr
      @liamtarr 2 роки тому +1

      People are coming here to learn, no such thing as a weak question.

  • @Life_with_Darnell
    @Life_with_Darnell 7 місяців тому

    Would there be countries that would be opposed of the idea of using blockchain technology? 😅

  • @thinkmackay8954
    @thinkmackay8954 3 роки тому +1

    Great lecture 👌 Thanks.

  • @HassanAli-mb8cv
    @HassanAli-mb8cv 4 місяці тому

    Will this work for the Indian markets, cuz I am in INDIA

  • @angryjalapeno
    @angryjalapeno 11 років тому

    I don't understand; professor derides people who want to suspend mark to market but then goes ahead and say that prices are wrong when there is no liquidity. But that's exactly the problem with some interest rate products at the time; there were no liquidity therefore the prices are not valid and therefore should not be used for marking to market.

    • @duartepombo551
      @duartepombo551 5 років тому +1

      Although the price is not valid, theoretically it is still the best guess there is, meaning that you should take that price as valid for the time being I guess

  • @muhammadaliimranbjalaludin653
    @muhammadaliimranbjalaludin653 2 роки тому

    damn I wish I studied finance in America, such a useful lecture

  • @hugom6388
    @hugom6388 6 років тому

    Where are the 'brent seas'?

  • @ayubwangera4833
    @ayubwangera4833 7 років тому +3

    very informative

  • @hellokitty-k9z6d
    @hellokitty-k9z6d 3 роки тому

    1:01:00
    if forward contract's price is 15$ 1 month into contract, then why the value of contract not 5$ at t=0, when spot price = 160 and forward price = 165$?

    • @sgpleasure
      @sgpleasure 3 роки тому +2

      Refer back to his lectures on Net Present Value. The forward price $165 is the value in the future. The spot price is NOW.

    • @hellokitty-k9z6d
      @hellokitty-k9z6d 3 роки тому +1

      @@sgpleasure thanks

  • @unknownx2k7
    @unknownx2k7 9 років тому

    Thanks to the wonderful andrew lo

  • @harryhu3090
    @harryhu3090 4 роки тому +1

    Look at the oil price now...

  • @BC-lz4sv
    @BC-lz4sv 6 років тому

    Thanks Andrew Lo

  • @kasivamutisya7172
    @kasivamutisya7172 Рік тому +1

    Great lecturer.

  • @badrakhariunchimeg1031
    @badrakhariunchimeg1031 7 місяців тому

    I buy gas don't khow how gas station undergoes structure don't have to khow it as long as people pay for km

  • @daphnecheung1026
    @daphnecheung1026 5 років тому

    Online brokerages are so popular now.

  • @AufBerghofNAM
    @AufBerghofNAM 4 роки тому

    These forward markets are highly liquid *Coughs*

  • @ItsRhssoo
    @ItsRhssoo 7 років тому +1

    Excellent

  • @arrowb3408
    @arrowb3408 3 роки тому

    Coming here to get the forward contract rule and principles in European style. Yes, got all what I want from the Critical Concept. Yeah.
    Time changes rapidly compared the time of this lecture esp the prices. But the main principle of finance is THE SAME. HAHAHA

  • @MrAbdulaziz05
    @MrAbdulaziz05 8 років тому

    im going to* get smart and get back to you prof .peace

  • @sethwils6077
    @sethwils6077 7 років тому

    Thank you

  • @marcogelsomini7655
    @marcogelsomini7655 2 роки тому

    1:01:05 that's interesting

  • @johnstfleur3987
    @johnstfleur3987 Рік тому

    "PRIME."(61)

  • @kopde
    @kopde 3 роки тому +5

    I wonder if anyone in that audience is a billionaire yet...

  • @kartikeygarg3694
    @kartikeygarg3694 3 роки тому +1

    Lol oil price went negative in 2020.

  • @gyuyu6243
    @gyuyu6243 6 місяців тому

    43:38

  • @johnstfleur3987
    @johnstfleur3987 Рік тому

    "I AM L."

  • @SphereofTime
    @SphereofTime Рік тому

    46:14

  • @johnstfleur3987
    @johnstfleur3987 Рік тому

    "15."

  • @neelmoradiya1389
    @neelmoradiya1389 Рік тому +1

    🇮🇳🇮🇳🙏🙏👍👍

  • @ayamkampus7385
    @ayamkampus7385 4 роки тому

    10:40

  • @Signonthisline
    @Signonthisline 3 роки тому

    Money printer go brrrrrrrr

  • @johnstfleur3987
    @johnstfleur3987 Рік тому

    V.

  • @arrowb3408
    @arrowb3408 5 років тому +6

    At 3:30 that foreign female student brought up numerous lengthy comments without any point at all but her personality speech show. Come on. What is her point among whole bunch of words?.....STF

    • @no_type0122
      @no_type0122 4 роки тому +4

      What's ur point writing that?

    • @boo7840
      @boo7840 3 роки тому +2

      “foreign” countries have financial markets that function on the same economic grounds that ours do. She lived through a similar situation that occurred in Argentina and wanted to share her experience. Hope that helps bro

    • @atlas.shrugged.alex.delarge
      @atlas.shrugged.alex.delarge 2 роки тому +1

      Average Argy, so self important and trying to show off

  • @Dboyvc1
    @Dboyvc1 9 років тому +1

    who the hell is this guy?

    • @scrubbreviews9482
      @scrubbreviews9482 8 років тому +13

      +Danny Riley a finance professor at MIT with a PhD in econ from harvard that founded a quant investment company. he governed the boston exchange and is an editor for like 5 stat journals.

    • @MyKkata
      @MyKkata 8 років тому +16

      who the hell r U?

    • @lincha3216
      @lincha3216 8 років тому +1

      +MyKkata LOL

    • @viprawsrivastava8824
      @viprawsrivastava8824 4 роки тому +1

      big daddy!!

  • @Zoheba
    @Zoheba 10 років тому +36

    Kanye West doing his MBA :-P He's on the right side sitting :P

    • @noueruz-zaman7894
      @noueruz-zaman7894 6 років тому +2

      haaaa.this comment made my day

    • @MichaelTheThinker
      @MichaelTheThinker 4 роки тому +2

      Kanye wishes this was him.

    • @VNH05
      @VNH05 3 роки тому +1

      In 2021 Kanye has already 4 kids with Kim and filed for divorce ☺️

  • @Chris-ez2sc
    @Chris-ez2sc 2 місяці тому

    25:18