You Won't Believe These 2024 WSOP MAIN EVENT Hands
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- Опубліковано 1 сер 2024
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It's the 2024 World Series of Poker Main Event. Players are competing at the highest level, vying for a dream of high stakes poker immortality, millions of dollars, and the coveted gold bracelet. All-time greats like Phil Hellmuth, Daniel Negreanu, and Phil Ivey are on the featured table, and new up and comers are taking their shot at the title. But lately, something seems quite different about this prestigious poker tournament. Let's dive in. - Розваги
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How can you upload this video without mentioning the KK vs AA on the bubble?
Never mind the antemask brigade doug, I've chosen to never wear one, that's my choice, people want to wear one that's their choice, don't judge me on mine I won't judge you on yours then
Aye the next lockdowns will be because the government fake an alien invasion, convid was j7st the test run😅😅😅😅😅😅😅😅
Phil’s last 20 years of televised nittiness is finally paying off. What a legend.
AA vs KK vs QQ . Always happens. And I get screwed no matter which hand I have
I have seen that too many times. A new one I have been a part of is AKs vs AKo vs QQ(me) and suited AK makes the nuts. Happen a spam of 1 week. 😅
The one time it happened to me, I had kings, the real short stack had Aces, and the big stack had Queens. So would of still doubled up basically but a Q was first card up.
Craziest hand ever saw was with Queens, raise UTG, saw a raise, followed by 4 all ins, and I folded. Aces, 2 people with Kings, another with Queens, and Jacks. Aces held. This was live also.
dont talk about it. save your energy. be in today my frens
Had one where a dude not raising all night went all in with aces. I had kings. A guy with queens and a short stack goes all in. I fold the kings preflop and the dude surely enough ended up having aces. Great fold on my part. BUT THE TURN WAS A GOD DAMN KING AND I WOULDVE HELD.
because you fail to fold KK and QQ correctly like the guys in the video
1:53 “can some nerd let me know” Doug my brother in christ you are the nerd this is why we are here
lol
that simpsons plug was hillarious
Timestamp?
Nvm found it
The official swaps in By-bit has lagged!!!
I just put up vid to show this
When you swap it gives you almost x 8=
"Maybe 8-2 is in the fold range, but 10-2, of course, gotta pay your respects, then everything better is in there, I guess." XDDD
8-2 is actually better than 10-2, if the board runs 3-4-5-6-7 then you'll have a hecking 7-card straight and win the bracelet straight up
Jerry Yang trying to avoid Homeland Security
And the IRS
Story time?
He's not with the Proud Boys, eh?
Wrong, he is just a brainwashed sheep.
while doing his best impression of the Unabomber... the original one!
Really good humor in this video tbh. Good video Doug
Andrew neime and Phan are the only two people that I’ve seen play there AA so bad that they got KK and QQ to fold
Yeah, the backraise here was terrible. Assuming neither player had a read on her, which I'm guessing at least one of them probably did, the back raise in this spot is so strong it just screams AA. Much the same way in low level games, if you ever see an amateur or a fish flat from UTG or another very early position, and then back raise, it's AA like 90-95% of the time.
Exactly. You are so far ahead, and you know from their prior bets they have pocket face cards, why scare them off preflop? Maybe she was feeling some bad ju-ju on the flop?
Great to hear your commentary and I enjoy your sense of humor! I'll come over from Houston sometime and play at your place. I believe that as long as the economy is doing ok, the fields in the main event will grow every year.
The Jomboy of poker lol... the comedic timing is great Doug!
Perfect mix of funny, hand history and information. Thank you Doug. Big fan!
This feels like semi-retired, working a part time job for the fun of it Doug. I like it
I remember when you folded KK's pre flop to Andrew Neeme ........ that was cold blooded !
Neeme kicked him under the table.
Doug - Your poker knowledge, content and humour is greatly appreciated.
You have the only poker podcast worth watching in terms of entertainment value alone
More tournament breakdowns please ❤
Last year's WSOP was won because the worst hand in KK vs QQ vs JJ spiked a set and took got a HUGE chip stack after that. Not saying he didn't play well (he certainly did), but that one hand is what got him to the final table and setting himself up to win.
JJ gets a set way too often.
@@pilocrap statistically speaking, JJ has a slightly higher chance of hitting a set than any other pocket pair but some would argue it's not too often.
Finally you post a vid. Lol always love ur stuff Douglas K Polk 😊
Buddy prolly thought that quads beat straight flush 😂
its more likely he tought he had a flush and not a straight flush.
I've seen it before at the casino. but instead it was a 4 card flush on board and the guy folded his straight flushes because he said the other guy must has the Ace high flush.. then when he folded he realized his 1 card made a straght flush and not just a small flush
If they got it, they got it
Nothing is as crazy as that FT bubble hand with nick manion kings vs kings vs aces but folding kings pretty sick
I've folded KK pre exactly once. It was versus a tourist where I was just sure he had it. And... I was close, he had the other two kings.
Seeing a new video of Polker hands is as exciting as flopping a set.
Keep 'em coming!
Doug crushing these videos 😂
Doug you're so hilarious. KILLIN it out here.
Doug poker genius!! Watch, listen and learn!
I'm guessing that, at Bilzerian's home game, his opponents are his dad's business partners who keep saying, "Wow, you bluffed me again. That's enough for me. Tell your dad I said hi."
"Put that in your smoker and smoke it"
Best comment of the year...along with the Jerry Yang comments 😂
Doug I adore your humor - thank you
Calling with the straight flush on the river must’ve been the GTO play 😂😂
"He's never calling you with anything less than a higher str8 flush, bro."
more likely is that the player didn't realize he had the straight flush, he just thought he had the flush when he called
It was nearly an illegal play in the WSOP. If it wasn't for J10cc it would have been. If you have the nuts and you are last to act in a hand, you MUST raise. This is to prevent collusion, although I'm not sure how well it does that or even how often that situation would ever arise where two players who are colluding face each other and one has the stone cold nuts on the river, to the point they had to actually make this a rule. Seems very unlikely to happen.
@@nathanparsons3145Aaron was interviewed by pokernews about the hand and said the guy who called didn’t think of a hand that Aaron could have there other than JTcc
Or is just a giant nit
I’m friends with Aaron and he told me he prob would’ve folded to a shove
Quality content!
Hey Doug, been watching your videos for a long time and really have developed a strong hatred for that out of place outlet in the bottom left corner of your facecam. Your videos wouldn’t be complete unless that outlet was removed from existence. Thank you.
Also keep making videos lol, always funny :)
Nice channel dude, please keep doing more like this = success 😉
@dougpolkpoker do you ever feel like going to the WSOP main event?
Doug!?? Can we please get the breakdown on the check check four-of-a-kind vs full house hand between mizrachi and Hachem? It was super weird. I still don't understand what happened.
Was four of kind first to act or last act if he was first he check to check raise
Board was AA464. Mizrachi had 44 and Hachem had 66. Check check on turn. Check check on river.
@@noelcook2389Four of a kind was first to act.
Its simple, quads quy thought the opponent has an ace or nothing. So he checked for an check raise.
But the opponent had only a bad FH because any ace beats him.
So he did a check back.
lmfao. this was a VERY funny video Doug. Hate ya and love ya at the same time but this was quality work.
Bilzerian and Hellmuth playing like Mike Postle!
Your last sentiment was funny and on point. Cheers
Cool to see Aaron Barone still going strong playing poker. Remember him from the old 2+2 STTF days and loading on top of his SNG sessions 😅
Doug is one cool cat! Jayrentv rocks with homie.. the finger snap at the end is classic
lol Doug your outlet in the bottom left corner had me trying to wipe what I thought was a smear on my phone
chance of you getting aces/kings/queens paired is 221/3. so thats 73.66:1. if you get that- 2 pairs are left, with 5 other players (in six way) that is 221/5/2 for another player have one of the others thats 22,1:1. last pair is 221/4 (four players left) 55,25:1.
so chance for having QQ+KK+AA on same table (six way) is 73,66*22,1*55,41:1 = 90201 to 1 - meening that you expirience 3 players having exacly QQ+KK+AA, where you are one of them on the same table, every 90201 hand you play. for expirienced players thats not as uncommon as one might think.
This isn't quite right. The odds of AA vs KK vs QQ in a random deal at a 6 player table, where you are one of these players is 1 in 141,378. The reason for the discrepancy is two-fold:
1. In the second part of your calculation, you overcount combinations by a factor of 2.
2. After the first pair is removed, the odds change a little from 1 in 221 for the subsequent pairs.
Here's how you could make your approach perfect:
The odds you have one of AA,KK,QQ are 18/(52 choose 2), which is 1 in 73.66 as you said. Now that one of the pairs is removed, two remain, pair A and pair B. Out of the remaining 5 players, select 2. There are (5 choose 2) = 10 ways to do this. Now that we have the remaining 2 players selected, there are two ways to proceed. Both are fine,, but I will write both to illustrate why we don't have an extra factor of 2:
i) Select which player has pair A and which has pair B. There are 2 ways to do this. The odds of each player having their pair are 6/(50 choose 2)~1/204.16 and 6/(48 choose 2)=1/188. Thus we come to final odds of 10 * 2 * 1/73.66 * 1/204.16 * 1/188 ~ 1/141,378
ii) Out of the 2 chosen players, pick one, it doesn't matter which. This player can have either pair, and there are 12/(50 choose 2) ~ 1/102.08 ways to do this. The remaining player can only have the remaining pair, and there are 6/(48 choose 2)=1/188 ways to do this. Thus we come to final odds of 10 * 1/73.66 * 1/102.08 * 1/188 ~ 1/141,378
well agree that i did forget the less combinations after i get set a or b or c (101 combinations removed with first set and 99 more with 2nd set).
dont agree with the following "pick two"
since there are 5 players to get set b or c
and there is 4 playes to get remainding set.
(all factors have to happen)
you simply just cant say 10 * 2 * 1/73.66 * 1/204.16 * 1/188
but have to say 1/73.67 (set a or b or c) * (204,16/2(sets b+c)/5 random players) * 4/188 (set c amongs 4 random players)
so with my miss calculation factored in - the odds go down not up.
1:70634,8
lets ask you this : "if someone have AA, what are the chance of you having KK or QQ?" you would say 204,16/2
and if i asked you "if someone have AA and someone have KK, what are the chance of you having QQ?" you would say 188/1
if i said
"someone on the table have AA, and there are 5 players left, what are the chance of someone holding KK or QQ" you would say 204,16/2/5
if i said
"someone on table is holding AA and someone else KK on the table, and there is 4 players left, what is the chance of one holding QQ" you would say 188/4
but thx for the correction, had it in mind, at first but dident understand its impact, so i ignored it - that was a mistake.
Content too good 👏
the blue "call now" screen was very funny
Great content
What a deep cut with the Ivey massage pic omg lol.
you missed out on one of the sickest hands ever. i think it was hachems son vs michael mizrachi with quads vs full and they checked it down! was one of the day ones i think or day two
Amazing reporting as always @FougPolkPoker
I think WSOP should give out BBB - B3 - B (cubed) = Bat Beat Busted chip or card weight
"You'd rather play for 1 minute and leave". Cold blooded haha
Phan totally misplayed her hand. She basically played her hand face up. Sucks for her not being able to get any value.
Lol u havent played enough poker , she was probably happy they folded , too many suckouts in that tourney
Yeah, the backraise here was terrible. Assuming neither player had a read on her, which I'm guessing at least one of them probably did, the back raise in this spot is so strong it just screams AA. Much the same way in low level games, if you ever see an amateur or a fish flat from UTG or another very early position, and then back raise, it's AA like 90-95% of the time.
@@derenkov I'm not so sure about that... That kind of mindset is not how you win tournaments, this is a dream spot. And while it may have been nerve racking if both players had called, I'm sure she would have at the very least wanted QQ to call, as she had 10x what he had left to go all in with. Any player would take that all day, it would be totally insane not to. And if they both call and QQ wins, she's still going to almost double up. The more I think about it, the more I realize how wrong you are. Maybe in a cash game you'd be happier just to take it down and win $40,000 with no risk, but in a tourney, you have to take risks to win. Those blinds will eat you alive if you are conservative.
@@augustgreig9420 yea she was happy the big stack folded then wanted small stack to call
Do they still do a heads up event? Definitely wish you were still participating in wsop events
Why did he stop ?
excellent!
Amazing background music choice with the RJD2!
I liked the music at the start.
hi,Doug,can u analize lena900 call for the tornment?
Hellmuth playing like 2010 Tom Dwan is so pure.
The correct odds of AA vs KK vs QQ at a 9 player table in a given hand is 1 in 16,830.78 or 0.00594%.
Some other comments are incorrect, as you have to be careful here with the combinatorics. Lets calculate it right:
Number the players 1 through 9. The odds that exactly player 1 has AA, player 2 has KK, and player 3 has QQ is precisely 6/(52 choose 2)*6/(50 choose 2)*6/(48 choose 2). There are then (9 choose 3) ways to pick 3 players out of 9, and 3! ways to order those 3 players, so there (9 choose 3)*3!=9!/6! different ways to assign AA, KK, QQ, among the individually numbered 9 players. Thus the precise amount is the product of these quantities, 6/(52 choose 2)*6/(50 choose 2)*6/(48 choose 2)*9!/6! = 108/1817725, which is approximately 1/16,830.78.
The same approach implies that, in a given hand at a 9 player table, we have the following odds:
AA vs KK: 1 in 626.67
AA vs AA: 1 in 3760.06
AA vs KK vs QQ: 1 in 16,830.78
AA vs AA vs KK: 1 in 100,984
AA vs KK vs QQ vs JJ: 1 in 483,885
Where was this video on Saturday when I had Kings?
This is the kind of gold we expect from you
simpsons clip made me lol. well done.
Day 2 entry has helped with the numbers more days for unique entries
@1:50(nerd checking in) How common is AA vs KK vs QQ?
let's do some math...
there are (52!/34!)/(2^9) ways to deal a full 9 ring game ~ 5.3359755e+26 (move the decimal point to the right 26 times. big number!)
now lets imagine each of the players' hands (i.e. two hole cards) as its own bin, so in a 9 ring game, we have 9 bins.
to simplify things, lets assume that the first three bins are the aa, kk, qq hands (we will rearrange this later to avoid under-counting).
there are 6 ways to make each pair, we have 6^3 = 216 ways to make the first three bins the way that we want them, and as for the next 6 bins, there are (46!/34!)/(2^6) ~ 2.9122263e+17 ways to deal out the remaining 6 hands. so we have 6^3*(46!/34!)/(2^6) ~ 6.2904087e+19 ways to deal out a 9-ring game, with seats 1,2,3 having the pairs that we care about
now, we restricted the table to have the pairs at seats 1,2,3, but in reality any seat can have them, so we have to multiply by 9! ---> 9!*(6^3*(46!/34!)/(2^6)) ~ 2.2826635e+25
the answer will be the number from the previous paragraph divided by the number in the first paragraph... (9!*(6^3*(46!/34!)/(2^6)))/((52!/34!)/(2^9)) ~ .00000016318797 or 000016318797% or about 1:10,000,000, so we would expect to see this scenario once every ten million hands.
did i miss the part where the #1 mistakes poker players make is covered?
Put that in your solver. I laughed so hard I almost tore my stitches
I am here for the double tshirt look!
What about the Mizrachi hand on the bubble hand where he just called with the full house (2nd nuts) afraid of aces full!
how that feel? sick
12:25
What a straight flush !
Top pros might not like the mask/glasses combo, but as a rec player who saves all year to go to the WSOP to fire one bullet in one tournament, I'm wearing both. Gotta get over it.
I haven’t commented awhile. FUN VIDEO to watch!
Doug … the jokes Doug 😂🤣😂🤣
Doug are you going to review Lena900s elimination hand from main event FT?
I think if we ever get back to a situation where online cash poker is legal everywhere, you’re gonna see 15k+ players in the main really soon.
Could the straight flush guy have called all-in? I didn't see anything in the tweet that said he had anything behind.
Would a 1e for second entries be a way to get even more in the prize pool?
5:10 is that a reference to Charlie's line "put that in your solver"...?
15:14 shots fired 😂😂😂
That simpsons bit got me GOODDD
Poker is alive and well for those who’ve already made money in poker and then Crypto
Can you do POKER HANDS analysis of Lococo A-3 VS Lu A-4 ??? and Adrian Mateos AA vs Hernandez AK ??? PLEASE !!!!! If you do this , i promise to sign up for Upswing Poker Lab
Yohviral vs Galiana HU bluff for a bracelet????? YOU'VE SEEN IT, RIGHT?????
Poker is alive and mostly well, my only problem is that so much of the US is unable to legally get to online poker. If they could, I’d venture we be at 15k+ main event entries already.
What was the #1 mistake?
table shuffler rigging it up real good......................
That’s a cool photo of Darth Ngyuen.
I had a guy not raise with quads because he was worried I had a royal when I just had second nut flush.
so you were 1 card away from royal?
Loans are the biggest mistake
1:50 I have been in two hands with AA,KK,QQ, I was QQ both times. Another hand, KK,QQ,JJ and I was JJ.
I've folded KK preflop three times, I was up against AA two of those times. These are rare situations, but I tend to trust my reads, 2 outta 3 ain't bad.
Doug, how does it feel to simultaneously be the best looking man in poker while paradoxically bearing the most resemblance to Vanessa Selbst of anyone in the world?
I think I missed the answer to the question in the clickbait. I mean title. Is it "not raising or value-betting the river" ?
Doug just wanted to flex his kings fold. I see you Dougy. Don’t worry.
Missed some Doug vids!
Gone are the days with a few hundred plays at WSOP 🤣
A8 is not leading out into two players on the flop.
J8 and T8 is not always a call preflop from the SB, though sometimes the suited combos are in there.
JJ is almost always raising preflop.
So 88, JJ, J8, T8 are the only hands he can have for value, out of which 88 is most likely.
*you are safe to fast forward as Polk video to the 2 min mark
How to tell everyone you have AA without telling everyone you have AA.
Get in there next year. I know you gonna hate it. BUT your fans would love it!
That was a very savvy humble brag of yourself folding kings preflop 😂