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- Опубліковано 14 жов 2024
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#Thebausffs #ShillingGang
Riot hire this guy. Everything has 50% winrate because it either wins or loses.
lmao exactly my thought
This bothered me more than it shouldve
Not only that but the math made no sense hahaha
tbf the teams that make it to BO5 stage are probably the closest to a 50/50 winrate in the tournament, especially since a lot of teams this year actually have a decent shot at winning it
“I read calculus at school” -baus 2022
When he said severe mistake I literally thought he was talking about sivir until he started explaining the joke he did
Bausffs and sion have a very on and off relationship 😂
Like ur mom and dad
I think because sion needs a buff he is so easy to play against prob even worse in higher elo and because he got kinda famous for sion in the lol scene
wdym, he plays houndreds of sion games every season
@@RandomGamplaysShoty it was a yoke man
@@Mrkrabbss lmao
Man I just love watching Baus. I don’t really play league anymore and I play a lot less in general, I don’t watch any league content anymore but I still watch Baus because he’s a very likeable person. Keep it up man!
Ikr and I already quit league for 3 years, like every league player he complains about how weak his champ is and how broken others are but he doesn't come off as toxic and a know it all
Haha, the way he calculated the 6.25%. I am guilty of doing the same.
7:57 is probably the single best example of a good death.
- You baited their entire team into the same place lmao; you set seraphine up for that shit
@Vietnamese I disagree. His team could just as easily have taken the dragon since he pulled the entire enemy team off of it.
@Vietnamese yep thats how tp get challanger by getting carried
I think he was just trying to get the r angle and in the worst case he was a bait. The worst case happened but it worked out, in my opinion he got kinda lucky w the team performance
@Vietnamese Surely Baus is just super lucky that he’s gotten good teammates nearly every game for years. Surely it can’t be for anything he does.
@Vietnamese copium
Why was twitch chat in disbelief at the fact that Babus is good a math? Did they think he was schooled in USA?
The math was wrong though
Probaby they are from usa and they thought that baus was from there as well since he speaks english but i don't know.🗿🗿🗿🗿🗿
you cant really apply math to the amount of reverse sweeps either, its not just 50/50 to win 1 game
@@bizw yep, but even under that presumption its wrong
@@bizw i mean isn’t it 50/50 given what we currently know now(nothing). Obviously once we have a look at the matchups the probability will change (Bayes Theorem).
I love watching this guy so much he make me smile 😅❤
Anyone know the song name thats around 4 minutes in the video?
everytime baus talks about school it sounds so extremely alien. 'I read calculus at school, i was the smartest in the class.' Like that just sounds SO ALIEN. Like his school was a singular teacher and 5 other kids around a camp fire handing out pieces of paper with 'MATH' written on it. XD
I died when Baus put forward 50% and assumed 50% = 50.
His method is questionable but the numbers are correct
Let’s go guys! We’re so early here we’re shilling hard
I see babus new upload on my YT feed. I smile
baus, after doing statistics: yeah i was really good at calculus
polymath king and sion god….what can’t he do
Baus in previous video : I am smarter than 99.99% of the chat
Also baus with that math at the start :
What is the answer then? I think he is correct
@@yousz123123 well he assumed everything has a 50% winrate because it either wins or it loses so that's one mistake , you don't need any other mistake for the calculation to be wrong so that's it
@@yousz123123 basically every other multiplication he made , made no sense haha
he did it wrong but knew how many zeros to remove so he got the right answer, you have a 6.25 percent chance of winning 4 games is a row because .5 x.5 x.5 x.5 is 0.0625
baus doing maths luul
what did you choose for champions, players, teams, events?
Mayby full ap sion support but jgl?
Great video baus man
I love how the chat was like, "game is over just ff"
its about baus its a about power we stay siononing he devours
1:50 I guess that makes sense why league isn't torture for you
For those who want to know the actual calculation done to figure out how many reverse sweeps there will likely be, here it is:
First, let's assume a 50/50 between two teams. It doesn't matter who wins the first game, as long as the second is won by the same team, and the other 3 are won by the other team. Therefore, the probability of it happening is 1*0.5*0.5*0.5*0.5 = 0.0625 (or 6.25%). Then, we consider 11 chances of this event happening, and we can construct a Binomial Probability Distribution with n=11 and p=0.0625. If you input those values here: stattrek.com/online-calculator/binomial we can calculate the chance of x events happening, which give us the following distribution
0 - 0.49168
1 - 0.36057
2 - 0.12019
3 - 0.02404
4 - 0.00321
5 - 0.00030
6 - 0.00002
7 -> 11 - basically 0
It's easier to see the distribution on a graph like this shiny.rit.albany.edu/stat/binomial/ but you can't input exactly p=0.0625 there.
Anyway, it's most likely (49%) there will be no reverse sweeps, but there is also a high enough chance of happening once (36%) or twice (12%). I'd bet on either 0 or 1 reverse sweeps
Ah, it's worth noting 50/50 is not a correct assumption, but it's the one which will result in the higher value for p (probability of a reverse sweep). If you consider, let's say, a 70/30, then p becomes 0.7*0.7*0.3*0.3*0.3 + 0.3*0.3*0.7*0.7*0.7 = 0.0441 (which is smaller than 0.0625). So for any variation from the 50/50 in any of the Bo5, it will increase the probability of no reverse sweeps happening at all
I was watching Midbeast Vid then popup u uploaded switched videos straight away haha
ILY sm papa Baus I was gonna sleep but is see your vid I'm so happy rn best time of day papa baus ty sir so nice
0:34 Shogun of Saigon Buffalo
In top when i use phase rush instead of grasp?
when/why does the 0/22/0 kda pop up? Is it something people redeem with channel points?
Twitch command #showemote or if enough people use the same emote in a small timeframe.
@@MrSanctuarys oh i see ty
6:06 HAHAHAHAHAHHAHAAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHSHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAAHHAHAHAHQHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAH.
It is a genius comment
9:22 does Sivir get pulled even with spellshield? wat.
Also babus great video, good job mr kipro as well.
she gets hit by maokai R as well that's why
can someone help i want to know the name of the second song that started playing right on 5:17
1:36 the amount of this monkeys flaming baus when he is right but he calculated in weird way. 50% is basically 1/2 so people was expecting this: 1/2× 1/2× 1/2× 1/2 so it would be 1/16 × 100% it gives 6.25% chance. Baufs made the same but the numer was bit higher but correct as u see
Baus got 68% lol
@@ddddddddd378 That 0.68 is not 68% it’s the expected amount of games reverse sweeps will happen which is rounded to 1.
@@ddddddddd378 no?
@@feiyu8817 It is the chance that a reverse sweep happens if every game is a coin toss, but he failed to relize that its not 50/50 that a team goes up 2 to 0, but 25% chance. So a chance a reverse sweep happens in one series is 3.125%, or 1/32. Multiply that by 11, number of series that will be played, and the chance is 34.375% or half what baus got.
im sorry boy but you are also wrong about that, the ideia is ok but you are not considering all the possible results, fist of all game order matters so u cant just multiply those numbers like that, example: you are considering LLWWW and LWLWW and LWWLW as reverse sweeps), second you are assuming tha it will always be 5 games, but it can be 3 or 4 games, you should consider that and it woud reduce A LOT the probability of a reverse sweep happening.
Please try againg considering all this things.
I open UA-cam and greeted by this fantastic Video
My rabbit died 5 years ago, but im still watching babus play
that seraphine ult hnggggg
I was waiting for this video :)
That math gave me a brain aneurism
But its correct
@@AnToZKrul It is not. Its half of what he said they were.
@@ddddddddd378 its not, it is way lower than that
When did baus get mastery level7??
Mad will get it les goooo
Baus you should audition for the show Nordseman.
Shoutouts to Simpleflips
Nautulis is now my favourite champion
DO ULTIMATE BRAVERY ON SION TOP IN RANKED
8:15 haha for playing AdC
Thanks bro =) 6:33
ily baus
OH YO YO!!
It's funny that his math was *kind of* on the right track. Assuming every game is a coinflip, a reverse sweep can only occur with the patterns HHTTT or TTHHH. Thus, the chance of any one BO5 being a reverse sweep is 2 out of 2^5, or (0.5^5) x 2 (which was baus' calculation), resolving to 0.0625 = 6.25%. He only neglected to find how many times it'll happen on average in 11 BO5s, which by the linearity of expectation comes out to be 11 x 0.0625 = 0.6875.
So we see that on average, out of 11 BO5s, less than one of those would be a reverse sweep. However, league games obviously have far more nuance than coinflips, and some players relent when they are two wins ahead while some others shine when they are two losses behind.
1:03 swept in quarters big rip
Took to long to upload sir , still great vid , yiyi
What was that 0/22/0 about?
Thank you for the "pick them" stats
Tbh I would be suprised if Babus would have most right with his totally shill pickem
Babus??
What the fuck is that poro dance! I love it lmao
I LOVE U BAUS🎉
I like how he said he so fed easy win after that he died 3 times with no kill lol
Edit: Baus was calculating the mathematical chance of a reverse sweep happening beginning with the first game. I misinterpreted and believed he was starting at the 2-0 point and calculating the chances of a reverse sweep.
Baus’s math is not correct. He multiplies 50% by itself 3 times but if 50% is supposed to stand for a single game then he would only need to multiply itself 2 times because the reverse sweep needs 3 games. Therefore: 50% (2-1) * 50% (2-2) * 50% (2-3) would be the proper equation. This gets you a 1/8th chance assuming equal chances for a team to win (unlikely considering better and worse teams but whatever) and when multiplied by the sample size of 11, you would get 1.375. This gives you either 1 or 2 reverse sweeps as your whole number answer depending on how optimistic you are for the underdogs.
TL;DR- Baus needed to double his answer bc he multiplied once more than he should have.
thanks for the actual correction and not a dumb meme response
But you have to account that it can go (1-1) and never get to (2-0). So (1-0) is 100%, then 50% for (2-0), 50% for (2-1), 50% for (2-2) and 50% for (2-3)
im sorry boy but you are also wrong about that, the ideia is ok but you are not considering all the possible results, fist of all game order matters so u cant just multiply those numbers like that, example: you are considering LLWWW and LWLWW and LWWLW as reverse sweeps), second you are assuming tha it will always be 5 games, but it can be 3 or 4 games, you should consider that and it woud reduce A LOT the probability of a reverse sweep happening.
Please try againg considering all this things.
hint: o calculate the possibily of a reverse sweep happening you should instead calculate the possibility of it not happening and the do a |x-1|
Considering five games:
First game: irrelevant
Second game: 1/2 chance
Third game : 1/2 chance
Fourth game 1/2 chance
Fifth game 1/2 chance.
So 1/2^4th. Baus is correct
FUCK YES BABUS MORE MIDLANE AD LETS GOOOO
Baus and sions relationship is even more complicated than Ross and Rachel 😅
and who are these
Hi babus, can i know why u do dominik as fast as sion cause u have way more hp than opposent so item lose a part of his value. Ty for answer
He has explained it once. For stats of the item. Crit/Pen. It's worth the gold :D
Inting sion is my most favorite top lane pick
it is not as good as it was before the nerf of its passive
@@Dafooq. sadly :c
@@Dafooq. but at least it really fun to just laugh about it while you are playing it when youre playing with your friends cuz its soo goofy doesnt matter if its nerfed its still very fun
@@brothersaturn3937 if its fun for you , you are not higher ranked than bronze :Dd cause i don't see the fun in just inting :Dd
@@Dafooq. imagine playing ranked games
Babus midlane buff... winstreak incoming?
not 11 games but 11 best of fives
I love baus 🇵🇱👍
Polska Górą
Polska górą
0:55 oh no... whos gonna tell him
When I saw the 0/22/0 hover over Sion as he was fighting a Crown Sylas, I knew it was game.
just wonder guys, why the "0/22/0" alwaý appear in the edit version?
i think the chat has the option to make stuff appear on screen (maybe by using stream currency), but not sure
it would be a 1/10 chance for a BO5 to be a reverse sweep right?
No. There's a 25% chance team A wins two in a row, and then a 12.5% of that 25 that team B wins 3 in a row. So a 3,125%. Add the other 3,125% for the exact reverse happening (team B 2 wins, team A 3 wins) and u get 6,25%. That's the chances of a reverse sweep in one series. The mathematically correct guess, is 1 reverse sweep in 11 games, however this doesn't apply the skill difference variable between the teams, and if one team wins 2 in row they are most likely superior, so losing 3 in a row is very unlikely, meaning 0 could be the best option
Oh boy 10am
7 am here
@@bryanincommiefornia5629 west coast 🤢
@@arandomperson6293 you mean left coast 🤢
this SION only strikes at you
Even mad lions wouldn't put themselves as winners not even out of groups 😂😂😂
Watched this right after mad dropped out in playins :'(
How about bot lane sion can you do it?
I played that a bunch and carried a game with Morg supp. Morg root into max charge Q is a pretty sick combo on squishy botlaners.
The math is making my eyes bleed
Been honoring you on wild rift. Lol
Thanks
@@wuj0-themanthemyththelegen856 ?
@@SleepySanOwO ?
So…anyone know where the 0/22/0 meme comes from?
Hey Babus!
Babus is a math yinuis.
i meant good job king babus
That double kill...
more rammus
Baus is confusing probability of outcome, also absolutely nothing to do with calculus
Very cool
I was watching him do math like wtf is he doing why isn’t he doing decimals and he just got it anyway. The NA mentality has proved me ignorant once again
We shiling in mid
Babus feat nisqy when ?
Nautulis
6:15
skeletons
"nowtulis"
ΙIn this question I was going to put Sion but then I realized that noone playes Sion in worlds (this is my answer and in Matty Love Gaming's Video about this)
Lmfao that was some shit math at like 1:30
Watching on 360p because I have no power :(
WTF was that math 😱
why the fuck did sylas flash away at 3:05 like they arent even close to him after using closers and cooldowns there is no way he dies if he just walks away...literally no need to flash so so so bad lol
more like bernoulli schema babus xd
That math aint mathing. Dont even have to make it complicated. There are 16 differenft possible outcoms in a bo5, 2 of which will be reverse sweeps, resulting in a 12.5% chance. The reason its not 6.25%, which is what Baus gets, is because he does not factor in, that not all bo5's will go all 5 games. Example, the scenario for team A and B can not be A-A-A-A-B, because that series would have ended at 3 games. If u question the math, just sit for a minut and write down all possible ways a bo5 can end, and see how many of them are reverse sweeps
anyone got the song around 8:30
I play mid sometimes as well since it gets so lonely top
w
Bring back AP Sion