URGENT: Federal Reserve Pushes Rate Cuts, Prices Rise, Market Hits All-Time-High!
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- Опубліковано 8 чер 2024
- Let's talk about the latest Federal Reserve meeting with Jerome Powell, his rate hike decision in 2024, and what this means for the stock market, housing prices, and the economy - Enjoy! Add me on Instagram: GPStephan
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THE LATEST INFLATION REPORT:
Inflation increased from 3.1% to 3.2%, year over year, mainly driven higher by the fact that several categories won’t go down. In terms of specifics, Energy increased by 2.3% in the month of February…Food stayed exactly the same, increasing 0.4% month over month (which is the same as Shelter), and Services are up 0.5%, with transportation making up the largest portion of that (rising 1.4% in the last 30 days).
THE STOCK MARKET:
The number of stocks hitting a 52-week high - has hit a 52-week high. In the past, all-time highs led to even more all-time highs one year later - and, besides the 1960s and 1970s era of stagflation - 3,5, and 10-year total returns were also positive.
However, Bespoke Analysts have reported that “Sixty-seven stocks in the S&P 500 that are related to AI have surged by an average of 45.3% since the end of November 2022, when the first iteration of ChatGPT was released to the public.” To make matters even more impressive, "year to date, the average S&P 500 AI stock is up 3.7% compared to a gain of 1.1% for the non-AI stocks."
On the other hand, the WallStreetJournal does reference the risks of today’s market, comparing it to a company like Cisco in the early 2000s. Back then, “its price-to-earnings ratio of 126 in the year 2000 was clearly overblown…although the issue wasn’t being in a bubble, but selling networking equipment to firms that were. When the digital rush ended, Cisco’s profit and growth suddenly halved.”
THE HOUSING MARKET:
As Jerome Powell says: “The housing market is in a very challenging situation right now’ and interest rate cuts alone won’t solve a long-running inventory crisis” - which, for anyone wondering - amounts to a shortage of 3.5-5.5 million homes. But even when interest rates DO eventually come back down…Jerome was quick to point out that “we’re still going to be back to a place where we don’t have enough housing.”
That’s partly the reason why the top markets are going to be in the Midwest and Northeast, where prices tend to be lower and more affordable. For example, Realtor.com forecasts that in Toledo, Ohio…“existing-home sales will surge 14% and home prices will rise 8.3% this year. Rochester, N.Y., is also positioned for above-average home price gains of 10.4%.” On the other hand, more “trendy” neighborhoods will fall significantly, like Austin Texas, which is projected to decline 12.2% - St Louis at an 11.7% drop - Dallas at 8.4% - and Denver at 5.1%.
Although, nationwide, there is SOME good news in the fact that: inventory IS beginning to rise. According to Zillow, “new listings are up 21% in February compared to last year, and they rose 20% from January.” This is also evidenced by the fact that “more homeowners plan to sell their home in the next 3 years,” possibly with anticipation of mortgage rates eventually coming back down.
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@GrahamStephan Your comment concerning Kate has not aged well. Perhaps now, you should 'photoshop' your snide comment about her since she was doing her best to break devastating life altering news to her children as gently as possible as well as dealing with the shocking news personally.
Hey Graham - curious to hear your thoughts (as a millionaire, and agent) on the latest NAR ruling. I may even smash that Like button for ya
Ok, Guys. Thanks for the info.
The Federal Reserve is aware. They have no intention of combating inflation. They will not stop inflating, and commodities and stocks will rise in tandem with everything else. You can't merely hoard cash and wait for the market to crash; instead, you need to make your money work for you by starting small and accelerating your purchases as the market continues to decline.
The best course of action is to make sure you're prepared for recessions and have a solid plan in place, as they are an inevitable part of the economic cycle. I personally felt the effects of inflation as someone who joined the workforce in 2009 amid a recession, and I learned how crucial it was to create more passive income in order to offset my experiences.
Long-term investors with experience know that economies and markets tend to rebound over time, so it makes sense for investors to be ready for when this happens. I can speak from personal experience when I say that I have made huge returns from my heavy investments in this unpredictable market; at this writing, my portfolio has increased by 60%. I'll keep a close eye on things for the time being and progressively increase my stock holdings when possibilities present themselves.
How did you manage to accomplish that? My attempt has been to remain with index funds. This economy could collapse, in my opinion, due to the recent interest rate hikes. I want to find a better way to invest because I have a lump sum that inflation is steadily depleting.
Well, there are a few out there who know what they are doing. I tried a few in the past years, but I’ve been with Vivian Carol Gioia for the last five years or so, and her returns have been pretty much amazing
I appreciate you sharing this. When I looked up the woman you named and read through her credentials, it was obvious that she was a complete professional. I just need her to respond to the message I wrote her.
I think investors should always put their cash to work, especially In 2024, we'll start to see more market diversification. I'm hoping to invest about $350k of my savings in stocks this year. Hope to make millions in 2024.
There are a lot of strategies to make tongue-wetting profit especially in this down market, but such sophisticated trades can only be carried out by proper market experts
I think having an investment advisor is the way to go. I've been with one because I lack the expertise for the market. I made over $490K during the recent dip, highlighting that there's more to the market than we average folks know.
Who’s your CFP??
Amber Dawn Brummit is the licensed advisor I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.
I just looked her up on the web and I would say she really has an impressive background in investing. I will write her an email shortly.
I was advised to diversify my portfolio among several assets such as stocks and bonds since this can protect my portfolio for retirement. I'm seeking to invest $200K across markets but don't know where to start.
the strategies are quite rigorous for the regular-Joe. As a matter of fact, they are mostly successfully carried out by pros who have had a great deal of skillset/knowledge to pull such trades off.
I agree, having a brokerage advisor for investing is genius! Amidst the financial crisis in 2008, I was really having investing nightmare prior touching base with a advisor. In a nutshell, i've accrued over $2m with the help of my advisor from an initial $350k investment.
Please can you leave the info of your lnvestment advsor here? I’m in dire need for one
Laila artine kassardjian' is the licensed coach I use. Just research the name. You'd find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.
Thank you for the lead. I searched her up, and I have sent her an email. I hope she gets back to me soon.
The swaps today are bugging...
I put video to show you!!! It's giving almost 8x
Did you guys catch the latest US CPI numbers? They're showing a significant increase ahead of elections. Looks like inflation might continue to rise. How can I impact my portfolio of $400,000 which has taken a big hit in recent times?.
yeah, I saw that. The inflation numbers are higher than anticipated. I wonder how the stock market is going to react to this.
@@Higuannn I think that is a brilliant idea, I was managing my portfolio by myself and Incurred a huge loss which made me hire an advisor. It's been 2yrs already and I have made up to $380,000 in returns.
@@Aurierserge50 Glad to have stumbled on this comment, Please who is the consultant that assist you?
@@hullbruce Well, they are hundreds of consultants out there, I've worked with a few personally but I chose Alicia Estela Cabouli as my advisor. She is quite frankly a genius with portfolio diversification. She has a wide web presence so it shouldn't be a hassle finding her.
@@Aurierserge50 Thanks for sharing. I curiously searched for her full name and her website popped up after scrolling a bit. I looked through her credentials and did my due diligence before contacting her. Once again many thanks
AMX100T potential impact on Ethereum is huge! An ETH pump seems very likely with such a game-changing upgrade on the horizon
Roughly $120K in my portfolio are in tech/TSLA stocks, can I get an advice on any other stocks that I can acquire to diversify my reserve across multiple markets while creating a comprehensive portfolio allocation that balances my concerns of risk aversion and returns that meet yearly inflation.
For the average person, the strategies are fairly demanding. In actuality, most professionals who have the necessary expertise to pull off such trades effectively carry them out.
I agree, before the pandemic got real serious, I used to handle all my investment and I was pretty good at it, fast forward to post-pandemic and my-portfolio is steady in the red with profit rate down to the lowest, that's when I touched-base with a coach I saw featured on businessweek, who restructured my portfolio and over the last couple months, I've made over $850k from initially $210K
fascinating! I am new to this whole thing. I've heard that now is a wonderful time to buy, and basically, I have some cash hanging around in the bank that I would really like to spend, especially since inflation is at an all-time high. Who is this coach that helps you, and may I check them up?
@@JanineJ.Cromwell I work with Alicia Ann Jordan, a licensed fiduciary. Simply look up the name. The information you need to work with a letter to schedule an appointment would be included.
I copied her whole name and pasted it into my browser; her website appeared immediately, and her qualifications are excellent; thank you for sharing.
Do you own bitcon ? Should I invest in bitcoin?
It's tough out there with home and car prices soaring, especially for single folks or those with just one income. Even dual-income families are feeling the pinch.
Thanks for shedding light on the real estate crunch. It's high time prices matched family budgets, even if it means a market correction. Diversifying income outside of government support sounds like a smart move.
I get your point about investing, but where do you even start if you're not familiar with any?
@@GreggVElrod You're spot on. Knowing where to invest can be daunting, especially if you're new to the game.
Having a knowledgeable investment coach guiding your decisions sounds like a game-changer. Been using one for over two years now and it's paid off big time.
You can't double the price of food in a year and then keep it the same for the next 12 months and say there's no inflation month to month. Data is tricky.
Yes they can. Who’s going to stop them?
Unfortunately that is literally how the definition of inflation works. If everything goes up 100% this year, but never go up again for the next 30 years, by definition, all the years other than this one had 0% inflation.
The only way to "fight" that is to stay informed and continue to look at the data. That is our job.
Smooth brain take lol
Inflation is mostly measured YOY, not month to month.
You aren't moral if you do, and they obviously can because they have... Indebted serve themselves at the expense of the purchasing power of the poor. Which means they are central banking or fascist operators.
"Whats up graham, its guy's here", never gets old
Haha I gotta figure out what's next
Here grahams, whats up guys
@@GrahamStephan "its up Graham, what's guys here"
That's funny because I fucking hate that lol
Grahams whats up guys, it's here!
AMX100T going up like crazy! Pick up around 0.67 and now it’s hit $1! I wish i had bought more!😂😂😂
Funny how when rates go up prices go up, and when rates go down prices go up. Meanwhile pay goes down in both scenarios too.
Lmaoooo so true. They just keep promising us a solution and things stay relatively the same.
@@phillips8366Not the same,worse
Inflation is up because of massive money printing. Rates are meaningless, that's just a little fed game they play with the sheeple. it's all about the money supply and trillions are still floating around. If they touch that printing press again it's likely hyper inflation. That's why Bitcoin is 70gs, people are losing faith in the dollar. They've over manipulated it playing their games.
Only under democrats. Under republicans, wages go up and stuff goes down.
Idk why it works that way, but it seems that when businesses see republicans in office, they keep prices low and wages high because republicans will actually go after them.
Can you point to when prices went down during rate cuts? Because the historical inflation data does not agree with you. Like at all
My Blcktken300 shorts are doing pretty well and I plan to hold much longer.
Blcktken300 gang in the house! Thanks for the analysis!
This is where i get my financial news. I appreciate your speed sir
You got it!
Ditto! ❤❤❤
X3 Thanks Graham!
Did you take his advice on FTX?
Just print more money to pay off the debt. Easy solution. What could go wrong?!?!
Stonks only go up!
@@GrahamStephantoo big to fail! 🗣️🗣️🗣️
Hyperinflation, Nazi Germany?
@@GrahamStephan apes together. strong
😂
Hit 200k today. Thank you for all the knowledge and nuggets you had thrown my way over the last months.
Started with 14k in last month 2023..
Wow that's huge, how do you make that much monthly?
I'm 37 and have been looking for ways to be successful, please how??
@@AnitaRays
Have you not heard of Lauren Hopkins ?
Woah for real? I'm so excited. Lauren Hopkins strategy has normalised winning trades for me also. and it's a huge milestone for me looking back to how it all started
I'm new at this, please how can I reach her?"
Way to hustle to get this info to the masses. We really appreciate your input. Keep up the great work!!
You got it!
Graham, you are the GOAT! Thanks for all that you do
I appreciate that!
I was watching Jerome Powell's meeting literally an hour ago and to see you already on top of the news is mind boggling. Thank you for all the information as always sir!
You got it!
Your hard work is recognized and appreciated Graham. Thank you.
I appreciate that!
Your work regarding understanding and explaining the market has grown significantly through the years. Well done, and thank you for sharing!
subscribed right after you said you try to get these videos out within an hour of the speech. I salute you sir.
Thanks for the increasing value of your content!
You're the man, Graham
:)
Great update as usual Graham. Love how you keep your finger on the pulse of what’s happening in the country.
Golly gosh one of the most comprehensive well put together videos on the net. Very impressive. Very professional.
Your output is superlative
Good cereal joke 😂 I couldn't tell you how many times when I was a kid my mom would say figure out dinner on your own cuz im too tired to cook and I'd have several big bowles of cereal 😊😂
...as a kid, I would've loved to have eaten cereal for dinner
Bro. I used to fill an entire popcorn bowl and use basically a whole bag of marshmallow maties hahaha.
i had a "figure out food yourself" mom too! i got a huge bowl of cereal once, she looked at it, looked at me and just said "you know youre wrong for that, right?" i nodded my head, and she sighed in relief because she was way too tired to punish me that evening LOL
Haha I just did
Our house too. And when my mom did bother to cook, we prayed after we ate (Old Rodney Dangerfield joke).
Poor person: the economy is so bad i may not be able to eat.
Rich people: shut up the stock market is at an al time high...
This is the kind of income inequality that leads to uprisings
@dirtydinner6463 if biden smartens up and puts policy's in place that actually lowers inflation and the costs of every day things everything will go back to normal. But this was done on purpose so that probably won't happen
Thanks for always bringing your best for your UA-cam family!
Thanks Graham! Im 23 and on my way to financial freedom you have been such a help
I don't know how you get these videos out so fast. The script, recording, research, editing.... Leading by example. I need to put in that hustle like you.
Thanks! I film / edit what I can in advance...then I patiently wait for 11am PST to film / script / edit the rest.
@@GrahamStephanNot to mention he has a whole team
Man probly has 2-3 teams to draft everything and a team to film and produce these vids. Minimum. lol love the products
@@GrahamStephanGreat job!
Teams my dude...he has teams do everything for him.
Graham You're the best !
thanks!
Don't be misled, stocks do not equate to the economy. I had $250k set aside, anticipating the Fed to halt rate hikes. Now, I aim to re-enter the markets, but with the expected rate hikes and rising stock prices, I find myself unsure. I am Open to discussing further.
The stck mrket will go down further and goodluck on the fed pausing rate hikes w/ all the hawkishness that has failed to keep up with inflation.
If the unemplyment rate is able to remain steady while the Fed hikes nd inflation falls back to target, a soft landing might be on the table
I wish I had enough knowledge to share a thought. At this point all I can say I greatly enjoy your content and I greatly appreciate your coaching ability. You are a tremendous financial coach, my financial coach.
Always like it when your videos pop up first on my feed 👌🏻
thanks!
Masterclass, Graham.
:)
Thanks for the updates Graham!
Do you think with feds buckling down, once they do ease on rates it'll cause an indirect mini-inflation with everyone rushing to buy cars and houses again since they've been waiting on the side lines?
Loved your insights on the market in general these days.
Cost to consumers will never drop. Why? Because manufacturers and suppliers got used to charging big money for their goods. Once the cost of goods drop then supposedly the cost to consumers should drop but it won’t but if it does it will just be a slight drop. We as consumers are getting conditioned to pay higher prices. While your paychecks get cut in half.
Exactly! They’re not going to lower the rates. Had consumers stopped buying, we’d have a different conversation.
@@randomboozewe cut our home budget significantly and instead invest in equities. But when we go window shopping the people are piling their carts with useless items like there is no tomorrow. We need to change our mentality from consumers to investors. This is why people cry poor all day long.
Exactly! I always laugh when people talk about insane fast food prices. If you're willing to pay it then you deserve the price. If people stopped paying the ridiculous prices then maybe the prices would drop.
Costs to consumers never drop because we can't stop consuming non-essential, discretionary items.
There's no "Boogeyman". We do it to ourselves.
Thanks for the FED update my brother 👊🍺
you got it!
Good job of informing, Graham. Thank you.
All I know is..I love your videos! Never stop
Inflation is still coming in hot....
Feels like the bubble is inflated to the max... could pop at any time.
The big risks are commercial real-estate, regional bank failures, Out of control government spending, treasury auction failure driving interest rates through the roof.
Very informative. Gas prices just went back up. Grocery shopping is out of control
I know - our grocery bill is wayyyy higher
Appreciate the quickness graham!
Love videos like this, you’re very insightful and explain things in such simple terms that anyone can understand. Been a fan for years now. Congrats on everything graham!
Thank you so much!
Have I made it early enough to be blessed with a reply from Graham?
YES
Hit 200k today. Thank you for all the knowledge and nuggets you had thrown my way over the last months. Started with 14k in last month 2024
Wow that's huge, how do you make that much monthly?
I'm 37 and have been looking for ways to be successful, please how??
Sincerely speaking. I will continue to trade and stick to expert ca therine daily signals and guides as long as it works well for me.
Woah for real? I'm so excited. Adriana's catherine strategy has normalised winning trades for me also. and it's a huge milestone for me looking back to how it all started
she's mostly on Telegrams, using the user name.
....
I’ve seen changes in prices of food recently. Sometimes each item goes up 50 cents. That adds up if you are getting 30 items or more.
Excellent logic on Fed incentive to rate cut!! Great video, and thank you!
Imagine Graham working at the Federal Reserve. He'd just be pushing the agenda of spending as little money as possible haha.
We'd work ourselves out of half the National Debt if I had my way!
@@GrahamStephan If only!
@@GrahamStephanwell now, we can't have that, can we?
@@GrahamStephanslacker
If that was the case, then we wouldn’t have monetary problems to talk about. 😊
Maxxed out all the credit cards
Now hiding car from repo man
repo men are the best detectives i swear lol
@mmmm69420 get rid of its name tag and spray paint it
Ok got payed two times for helping repoman get the banks property back . 😂
find someone with a garage or buy a big tarp and disguise the shape.
@@mmmm69420 Because they track your phone.
Pre 24 hourssss, thank you for the content!
Nice to meet you Guys.
Great to meet you, too, Graham
I love you, big daddy Graham!
Investing in TE$LA has significantly bolstered my portfolio's growth over time, distinguishing it as a reliable asset even amidst market downturns. Tesla stocks offer an opportunity to align with a company known for its innovative prowess and resilience in navigating ever-changing market landscapes.
I've set aside more than $240k for retirement investments in the stock market, but I'm struggling to determine the best trades to open due to my limited knowledge of the market. Could anyone offer any advice or suggestions?
Avoid attempting to navigate the market on your own, especially with limited knowledge. It's advisable to enlist the services of a Financial Advisor who can handle trades and help in making strategic market decisions that will benefit you .
The concept of a Financial Advisor never crossed my mind before, but now it seems like a logical step. How can I connect with a reliable Advisor?
I have always worked with SUSAN MARA BERCHAK .
She's been managing my Portfolio for a considerable period, and her performance in her role has been nothing short of remarkable.
Much respect Graham, here I was yesterday thinking eh he’ll probably push it out tomorrow. Nope , same day! Well done per usual.
I love the content. Thank you for all the work you put into these updates.
That “whats up graham its guys here” had me double take lol
;)
When ‘Dude Where’s My Car?’ Popped up I laughed
Love that movie lol
Here because I want to encourage the good work! Funny and insightful as always
Wow. A+ on this video, Graham. So good, I had to watch it twice!
The roaring 20’s
Graham: Let's say you make 60,000 a year. Pretend you make 45,000
Me: Bro! Its called taxes 😭😭😭
Love this guy!
Thanks for bringing up Bitcoin ❤
First time smashing the like button… and yes I’ve been a subscriber for years 😂
THANK YOU SO MUCH!
i actually do eat cereal for dinner lol.
Me too
What kind?
I like strawberry awake with the dried strawberries or corn Chex.
Atleast it's not bugs. Yet. 💀
@@GrahamStephanhoney nut cheerios!
You’re the best! 🤘 thanks for the great info
Appreciate your information and fast turnaround... No small task. Thanks, Guys!
You got it, thanks for watching!
I bought my house last September by only eating cereal and poptarts for dinner, your comment made me roll on the floor laughing. I was and am very willing to do that.
Me as a kid would've LOVED to have the chance to eat Cereal for dinner.
Pop-tarts cannot be cheap calorically lol
I want to buy a house too but i gotta hit my macros, wtf am i supposed to do when i have to pick between a house and getting swol
@@R0CKtheR3D House now, SWOL later
It's here guys, Graham's whats up?
I would like to see a video talking about your thoughts on the NAR (National Association of Realtors) recent legal troubles and its effects on housing in the future.
My three favorite channels: Graham Stephan, Stock Brotha, & How Money Works. Make my week complete! 🔥 🔥 🔥
First off, the belief that the Federal Reserve would stop raising interest rates was the driving force behind the entire economic chaos. What should we do now that we have a situation where interest rates are crashing? At this point, how would you suggest that I safely allocate $300k?
Although the market is currently volatile, aren't the current valuations a result of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and low interest rates? Therefore, my recommendation is that you consult a financial advisor who can give you entry and exit points for the shares or ETF that you are interested in.
Agreed, my portfolio is well-matched for every market season yielding 85% from early last year to date. I and my CFP are working on a 7 figure ballpark goal, tho this could take another year. IMO, financial advisors are the most sought-after professionals after doctors.
How can I participate in this? I sincerely aspire to establish a secure financial future and am eager to participate. Who is the driving force behind your success?
Sonya lee Mitchell is the licensed advisor I use. Just search the name. You’d find necessary details to work with to set up an appointment.
I searched her up, and I have sent her an email. I hope she gets back to me soon. Thank you
This is one of GS’ best videos in awhile, gotta give credit where it’s due
Graham, can you make a video on how you think the fact that we’re in an election year could affect the market? What does history say in terms of how the market economy and the housing market react to a presidential election year?
Lets be real... the market has been juiced up primarily due to AI stocks, or primarily Nvidia.. that doesn't mean or indicate that the market is actually doing good.. it's more like, it's holding onto dear life, and if something goes wrong all hell starts coming down
We need rate hikes- rate cuts shouldn't be remotely on the table. People cant afford to buy groceries and they are talking about how many rate cuts there will be.
Yeah, seems like they believe any further rate hikes will hurt the economy / jobs market
it's easy Graham... you give me a finance fact, I will like the vid
As just a random guy on UA-cam this is another very well researched and prepared report.
“Lol whats up graham? Its guys here!”
;)
You caught that too haha
YOU HAVE BEEN WRONG FOR FOUR YEARS ABOUT THIS IMPENDING CRASH. CLICK BAIT!!!
What could possibly go wrong?? Everything!
:o
Agree it is best to live beneath one's means.
👍I love the grounded reality of this channel!!,Despite the recession, I no longer depend on Government Grants since I acquire $16,400 bi weekly profits
Wow that's huge! How did you achieve this?
❤❤I'm favoured only God knows how much I praise Him, $130k every 4weeks! I now have a good house and can now afford anything and also support my family
Can I also do it??? My life is facing lots of challenge lately.
I Thank God for Bringing Mrs Renee Marie Harisson brokage service into my life, I'm happy for God's grace have found me ..Amen ❤❤❤
God has used her to save so many lives including mine, could remember when I started with her back in 2022,she is indeed a good woman
I'd love connect Renee Marie, how do I do that please?
Thank you so much I'm really fascinated about investing and I'm lucky I saw your comment. I will look up for her and drop a message. You really inspired me. God bless you.
Haven't watched Graham in a while, very happy to see a section of the video for bitcoin only
Thank you for your hard work. What do you mean by structural and foundational issues? Could you give me some examples?
❤❤❤ appreciate your insight Graham thank you!
you got it!
I will be on the ground for the Shows starting in April. I am shopping for sure. I have watched you for a very long time. I have always loved your show.
Hey Graham, do you think the fed is managing for inflation or more for the deficit and the treasury market functioning (i.e., getting debt/gdp below 100% and weakening dollar for liquidity)?
“What's up Graham it's guys here,”😂😂😂😂
MR.Graham Love the economy vids you the one that got me so curious in the stocks/micro economics/money
Would love to interview you on my podcast 🤞🏾🤞🏾
Hey graham, I love the videos! Maybe a good video idea could be do show the math of how and when you should refinance a home if rates came down. Accounting for loan fronted interest.
Great video Graham. Thank you.
Thanks Graham. You are very good at what you do, and I appreciate the service you provide.
Thanks for the timely response!
Not exactly sure how to live under my means where rent and grocery prices are, though. The math ain't mathin'.