Stronghold will stalk 3/4 wide all the way around. Long path will make it tough. Surprised the fav is being dismissed by so many. Might be more tactical than perceived.
It is possible that Stronghold is wide throughout from the outside post. He could also end up wide early and ease his way in, depending on the race shape and tactics of other riders. Dragoon Guard might have to alter his front running style if others are intent on the lead. It is possible that he rates kindly but I would not want to take a short price to find out. Interesting race and I would not be surprised if we saw an upset.
Going for better odds than the favorite, taking the 8 unmatched wisdom wps triple the show, boxing ex and tri 8,7,11....throwing in the 5 for a superfecta box5, 7,8, 11. gonna add extra ex box 7,8
@@JarrodHorak if it wasnt for the price, My pick to win would be Dragoon Gaurd, if he was 3-1 instead of 9-5 id take him on top. he handled stronghold easily in indiana derby. It was a toss up for me 7 or 8 to win this. looking at that 99 beyer the 8 got in the curlin with the price. But also looking at that nice bullet work(1/61) second back of dragoon, looks like brad cox has him ready.
@@markciessau7192 Dragoon Guard has been getting easy leads through moderate fractions and I am not sure that will happen in the PA Derby. That's why I took Stronghold to turn the tables. I was just checking Thorpedo Anna's double prices into the PA Derby and Unmatched Wisdom is the second lowest behind Dragoon Guard.
Unmatched Wisdom has "all I do is win G1 stakes" Flavian Prat on board, is great value here if he can stalk the pace and rally before Stronghold closes.
Unmatched Wisdom might offer some wagering value in this spot but I would not be surprised if he was bet to half his morning line due to his connections and overall record. I can see him running a quality race here.
We will just have to see how the race plays out. It is possible that the outside post will lead to a wide trip,. It is also possible that he is wide early and drops in and works out a decent trip,
My top pick Stronghold finished a solid 2nd after racing wide from the outside post. Seize the Grey controlled the pace and turned away my top choice in a nice winning effort.
@@italianwaterice9594 I thought Stronghold did the best he could considering the post, trip, and pace dynamics. A mile and an eighth is probably as far as he wants to go. I would like to see him cut back in distance and try the BC Dirt Mile next.
20/20 hindsight is the best decision
I would rather be right in real time and cash tickets.
Stronghold will stalk 3/4 wide all the way around. Long path will make it tough. Surprised the fav is being dismissed by so many. Might be more tactical than perceived.
It is possible that Stronghold is wide throughout from the outside post. He could also end up wide early and ease his way in, depending on the race shape and tactics of other riders.
Dragoon Guard might have to alter his front running style if others are intent on the lead. It is possible that he rates kindly but I would not want to take a short price to find out.
Interesting race and I would not be surprised if we saw an upset.
Going for better odds than the favorite, taking the 8 unmatched wisdom wps triple the show, boxing ex and tri 8,7,11....throwing in the 5 for a superfecta box5, 7,8, 11. gonna add extra ex box 7,8
Unmatched Widsom could easily rebound in this spot. It is possible that you might get a fair price on a Prat/Brown runner. Good luck.
@@JarrodHorak if it wasnt for the price, My pick to win would be Dragoon Gaurd, if he was 3-1 instead of 9-5 id take him on top. he handled stronghold easily in indiana derby. It was a toss up for me 7 or 8 to win this. looking at that 99 beyer the 8 got in the curlin with the price. But also looking at that nice bullet work(1/61) second back of dragoon, looks like brad cox has him ready.
@@markciessau7192 Dragoon Guard has been getting easy leads through moderate fractions and I am not sure that will happen in the PA Derby. That's why I took Stronghold to turn the tables.
I was just checking Thorpedo Anna's double prices into the PA Derby and Unmatched Wisdom is the second lowest behind Dragoon Guard.
Unmatched Wisdom has "all I do is win G1 stakes" Flavian Prat on board, is great value here if he can stalk the pace and rally before Stronghold closes.
Unmatched Wisdom might offer some wagering value in this spot but I would not be surprised if he was bet to half his morning line due to his connections and overall record. I can see him running a quality race here.
Strong hold don't have no chance worst of all the draw outside time out look better
We will just have to see how the race plays out. It is possible that the outside post will lead to a wide trip,. It is also possible that he is wide early and drops in and works out a decent trip,
Wrong !!
My top pick Stronghold finished a solid 2nd after racing wide from the outside post. Seize the Grey controlled the pace and turned away my top choice in a nice winning effort.
@@JarrodHorakhe trolls you after the race. lol... hes envious of your streak
@@italianwaterice9594 The trolls always show up when I don't have the winner, but it is crickets when I hit the races. Haters gonna hate.
@@JarrodHorak youre forced to defend a 2nd place finish from outside post against the Preakness winner and a slow pace ..lol
@@italianwaterice9594 I thought Stronghold did the best he could considering the post, trip, and pace dynamics. A mile and an eighth is probably as far as he wants to go. I would like to see him cut back in distance and try the BC Dirt Mile next.