蕭生，作為曾經研究經濟學的學生有件事提提你，人口不是always positive factor,因為人口同時是gdp per capita的份母,簡單講就是每多一個人,所有人就會分小一點.在economic development角度來說，人口增加其實意味gdp per capita下降,尢其Muslim 中東國家,其實講緊negative effect.
Thank you for your very thoughtful video. In the long run, growth rates in GDP PER CAPITA is probably a more important measure of economic strength than total GDP growth of a country. The demographic issue of China has been well researched / documented / discussed by economists for many years, but the implications on future economic growth are not exactly conclusive. A smaller population also means that each individual gets a larger share of the economic pie and there’s less competition for resources (think Japan, Germany etc). On the other hand, a country like India with a very young population faces the long-term challenges of job creation and chronic underemployment in this age of increasing automation and robots, which could lead to political instability and economic stagnation if not managed well. In that sense I think there are certainly arguments to be made that ageing demographics can work in favor of the country, depending how policy makers manage the issue or even make use of it to introduce / speed up technological innovation. If anything it certainly alleviates the need to create jobs and maintain employment, which i think is going to be a very big issue for many emerging markets in the coming years.
謝謝！
一年後再聽翻,世界,香港及G那之變化天翻地覆真令人感慨。
蕭生萬歲! 講完沒補充
建議蕭生多一點到內地走走看看，有利於提高節目水準。
博學多才，識多廣聞，耳目一新。好節目。
農村很多都冇限制，生左好多。
中國不是50歲退休，是女性55歲、男性60歲退休。另外，無論是公私企事業，衹要不夠人手，都可以“返聘”，就是把已經退休的原職員用略高薪金請回去工作。
以後 內地的房地產，係屋比人多，接盤的人越來越少，是否可以預測未來5年內，盡量把內地的資產盡量縮小到一個自住的範圍，資金全部外移，這個想法如何
係 diminishing marginal return
萧生有没有发现某些人的ad在target 你的youtube 视频？
蕭生，作為曾經研究經濟學的學生有件事提提你，人口不是always positive factor,因為人口同時是gdp per capita的份母,簡單講就是每多一個人,所有人就會分小一點.在economic development角度來說，人口增加其實意味gdp per capita下降,尢其Muslim 中東國家,其實講緊negative effect.
蕭生講經濟無佢講history咁好
萧生讲教育问题是否应该要加入滞后性？德国和日本现在的教育与二三十年前已经不一样了
蕭先生講的中國人口問題唔夠全面, 只講了量化的問題, 冇提質化上的問題, 經濟起飛會導致小子化, 人口會老化, 但教育水平提升, 人的生產力進步, 會抵消人口老化的經濟問題, 但中國由於黨管教育, 沒有學術自由, 令人的生產力進步十分有限, 所以相同量化的人口老化, 中國比其他國家大鑊
所以大陸嘅出路就係智能化革命，減少就業人口需求，此外就係發展農村城市化及機械化生產。自由化並非經濟高速發展嘅最主要原因，最主要原因係路通財通，所謂嘅路唔單指交通，而更指門路，貪腐讓發財之路一路綠燈，使效率提高，而貪腐的花費只係算在交易成本裡面，貪腐讓法律的底線一再拉低，讓對自然的巧取豪奪永無止境。在追逐資本利益最大化的博弈中，只要冇底線就一時風光無限⋯
可否解釋多啲
Support
最近几年仲系度讨论紧65岁退休
Thanks Mr Siu. Please keep commenting and criticizing the PRC nonetheless you label your criticism
Thank you for your very thoughtful video. In the long run, growth rates in GDP PER CAPITA is probably a more important measure of economic strength than total GDP growth of a country. The demographic issue of China has been well researched / documented / discussed by economists for many years, but the implications on future economic growth are not exactly conclusive. A smaller population also means that each individual gets a larger share of the economic pie and there’s less competition for resources (think Japan, Germany etc). On the other hand, a country like India with a very young population faces the long-term challenges of job creation and chronic underemployment in this age of increasing automation and robots, which could lead to political instability and economic stagnation if not managed well. In that sense I think there are certainly arguments to be made that ageing demographics can work in favor of the country, depending how policy makers manage the issue or even make use of it to introduce / speed up technological innovation. If anything it certainly alleviates the need to create jobs and maintain employment, which i think is going to be a very big issue for many emerging markets in the coming years.