Dr David Evans, a former climate modeler for the Government’s Australian Greenhouse Office, says global warming predictions have been vastly exaggerated in error. . The academic, from Perth, Australia, who has passed 'six degrees' (levels of training, not university degrees) in applied mathematics, has analyzed complex mathematical assumptions widely used to predict climate change (?) -and- . HE predicted (a decade ago or two) world temperatures will 1. ------------->"STAGNATE" up until '2017' 2. --------------> "Before COOLING" dramatically. The Grand Solar Minimum is coming, the Skeptics proclaim. . So, like the 80s, the 90s, 2007-2009, We'll be KNEE DEEP in a ‘mini Ice age’ by 2017. . "...Evans is One of the world’s "leading climate change experts" according to Propaganda sites: Daily Caller, Breitbart, New American, PJ Media, Twitchy, Townhall--- claims to have discovered mathematical anomalies which effectively ‘ DISPROVE ’ global warming." . Dr. David Evans "has analyzed complex mathematical assumptions widely used to predict climate change " -and- HE is predicting "world" temperature will " STAGNATE " UP UNTIL '2017' before " COOLING " Dramatically, . We'll be KNEE DEEP in a " Major Cold Age " . Dr. Evans is NOT a climatologist but rather a Ph.D. in Electrical Engineering, with a Math undergraduate degree. (( Electrical Engineering..like Tony Heller (( aka Steven Goddard )) & Anthony Watts ...also routinely wrong about predictions )) 1. (( THIS Prediction was made in the '80s by SKEPTIC Scientists & DENIERS, 2. THIS Prediction was made in the 1990s & again for 2007-2009 by SKEPTIC/DENIERS CHRISTY & SPENCER )) 3. Now here it is again...up until 2017 temperatures are supposed to stagnate & then decline. (?) 4. 20 of the 21 WARMEST YEARS have ALL occurred since 2000....Making SKEPTICS serial Liars!! 1. 2014 was EARTH'S Warmest year in recorded history... until 2. 2015 was EARTH'S Warmest year in recorded history... until 3. 2016 was EARTH'S Warmest year in recorded history... and 4. 2017 is right behind 2016 in record RISING temperatures... 5. 2018 2019 2020 just snuggled in with High-Temperature World record holder 2016! Record high temperature in Fresh Water Lakes & in Oceans too! , 6. 2020 sets a high-temperature record...identical to the 2016 world record. .... The temperature rise has been more dramatic in the winter months, with the average thermometer reading for the cold season 4 degrees warmer than five decades earlier. WINTERS are about 2 weeks shorter. ...SUMMER is about 1 week longer. . This trend is far more apparent, the farther north or south you go. Alaska, Canada, Russian Siberia...all HAVE ALREADY WARMED for decades at TWICE the world atmospheric temperature increased.
"....HIGHLY PAID FOSSIL INDUSTRY FICTION WRITERS on Climate change (Breitbart) (Daily Caller): Contrarians/Skeptics often choose to spread Uncertainties/Misinformation/ & Doubt-filled but baseless questions. it's the Oceans, It's Cosmic Rays, It's other planets, or any other infrequently heard of force/entity), but the causes surrounding Global Warming Caused Climate Changes have been well-known by all science for a very long time now." . -----> For Over a Century & a half, “The pro-Fossil-Fuel narrative out there is that scientists don’t know the cause of climate change is wrong,” They have Claimed, "Those scientists don't know the degree to which Human/Industrial Activity influences Climate"! . That is wrong! . Study lead author Dr. Benjamin Santer, an atmospheric scientist at the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory said in a statement. . “We do!” The general mechanism is quite well understood! . We burn carbon-based fossil fuels. This process releases ancient stored carbon dioxide (and other greenhouse gases into the atmosphere), which Resists, Traps & Redirects IR heat (which is attempting to escape to the cold of Space as a cooling effect for earth). . There’s absolutely no doubt that the planet’s climate is getting hotter - decades’ worth of multiple satellite & ground data clearly show. . (Alexander von Humboldt coined the term and defined ' CLIMATE CHANGE ' in 1799) . (Eunice Foote's experiments, reported in Scientific American in 1856 proved Earth's Atmospheric Gases (CO2 for example) IMPACT Warming! (Thomas Jefferson & John Adams discussed this changing climate from 1799 to 1804) (Science established human activities were causing these Global Climate Changes in 1811) . There’s Now Overwhelming evidence that points to human activity as the main culprit. While there are natural factors that can cause an equal and even greater impact, human activity is essentially a smoking gun here: the evidence indicates that all of this current global warming is caused by humans. . In this latest study, scientists carried out a statistical analysis of satellite climate data, identifying the anthropogenic fingerprints in climate change. . The analysis showed that humans are causing climate change to a confidence level of 5 sigmas, the gold standard of statistics - which translates to a 99.9999% certainty. . In other words, there’s only a one-in-a-million chance that the pattern of atmospheric heating is not the result of human activity. . Science doesn’t really ever eliminate uncertainty - it just reduces it, and when the uncertainty reaches very low levels, then that’s essentially a scientific certainty. This isn’t the first study to strongly conclude that humans are causing climate change
Did you know that in the United States, where solar energy produced a feeble 2.3% on the electrical grid in 2020, solar had received "more than 200 times more subsidies per unit of electricity generated than oil and gas" in the prior decade? Wind energy performed better, but only slightly - it produced 8.4% of the nation's electricity on the grid last year, despite having gotten nearly 50 times more in subsidies. Wind + solar energy providers are cashing in big time. "Federal subsidies have likely constituted more than 50% of the revenue ... and continue to be the primary driver of their growth and profitability." The only greater waste is that our governments aren't questioning the lunacy of this, nor are taxpayers.
Thanks Rex. You're interviewing the right people on climate: Patrick Moore, Ross McKitrick, Judith Curry, Anthony Watts ... Will Patrick Michaels, William Happer, Steven Koonin, or Bjorn Lomborg be next?
Rick Kooi Anthony Watts Is Only a Self Promoting Blogger! . Willard Anthony Watts is an American blogger who runs Watts Up With That, (WUWT) a popular climate change denial blog that opposes the 200 years of solid research & scientific consensus on climate change. ---------- 1. WATTS is NOT a Meteorologist ---------- 2. WATTS did NOT graduate from Purdue. ---------- Anthony Watts studied Electrical Engineering and Meteorology at Purdue University, but according to correspondence between Purdue University and SourceWatch, he did not graduate. [1], [2] . Background: Anthony Watts is a former television weatherman best known as the founder and editor of the blog Watts Up With That (WUWT), which primarily publishes articles critical of mainstream climate change science. Watts joined the Heartland Institute (a Large Right-Wing, Pro-Fossil Fuel Lobbying Organization) called a think tank proudly at the forefront of promoting doubt about climate change,"
@@sjambler Anthony Watts has claimed for years that he is a Meteorologist....but he does not have a degree in Meteorology....in fact, he dropped out of college, so he seems unable or unwilling to tell the truth.
I hadn't thought about how angry people get if you don't support them in their climate change views. I agree, it's like talking about religion. As one commenter just said "we just go from one hoax to another". Few people want to get below the surface of a point and talk calmly and respectfully about it. What amazes me is if climate change is an imminent and serious problem, why so few people in the world are changing their lifestyles to slow it down. And the same for all of these airports that keep expanding. e.g. Singapore. What people / business say and what they do aren't in sync.
Just like white privilege . . . I wish I could interview my ancestors who were dropped on the shores and bush of Cape Breton and Newfoundland and ask them how privileged they were.
87% of Canadas electricity comes from non-GHG emitting sources today... Replacing the last 13% is trivial in a country that just printed $350 billion last year. Replace the fossil fuel plants with a handful of nuclear plants, and Bob's your uncle. We can all pat ourselves on the back for a job well done, and the global climate will continue to do whatever the hell it wants.
just picking the data you want to prove what you want is easy. But look at the bigger picture, look at the temperature anomaly of the whole world. Not just US, since many of you dont believe in them, look at Japan's, India's, Australia's, China's, Finland's , they all show the temperature has been rising for the last 100 years or so. Many climate change deniers use the point "Fluctuation" to explain global warming, which is quite a good area for scientists to explore into, because it does exist in nature. I cannot say they are right or wrong. But here I am sure, by researching more, your cited data is just a fluctuation.
@@johnlau8461 UAH satellite data is global. Just as the current temperature anomaly is a 'fluctuation' so was the 'highest temperatures ever recorded' at the height of the El Nino in 2018. Its solar activity moderated by ocean currents. CO2 didn't do any of it.
@@johnlau8461 Yes the generally accepted story is that temperatures have risen about 1C since 1880. This follows the Maunder Minimum and the mini ice age. Widely accepted that temperatures plunged on the order of 3C at the end of the Medieval warm period. THAT is a climate crisis; Europe lost half its population due famine; plague; social unrest; war all because of wild cool weather. The proxy data shows temperatures were warmer for most of the past 10000 years. Anecdotally, the Vikings grew barley on Greenland to make beer. Its too cold now to grow barley on Greenland Anecdotally, the Romans grew grapes in the North of England with which they made wine. Its too cold now to grow grapes in the North of England. Anecdotally the battle of Thermopylae was fought over a strip of land 100 meters wide. Spartans vs Persians. That strip of land between the Mountains and the sea is now 1 km wide. What do you think happened to the sea levels there?
@@kenvandeburgt1232 My bad, i misled you. What i Meant is the long term trend. You cant just cherry pick the data you want. Statistics is all about trend. So, you shouldnt just pick two data point over the span of 40 years to prove or disprove something.
Anthony Watts has claimed for years that he is a Meteorologist....but he does not have a degree in Meteorology....in fact, he dropped out of college, so he seems unable or unwilling to tell the truth.
I found this interview quite shallow. I am not a climate scientist but I do have scientific training with a BSc and a Master's degree and am able to review and understand the literature and data being reported. Politically I would view myself as 'centre right'. My read of the data, which comes from many converging sources across many disciplines, is that we are in a pickle from which we may well not extract ourselves without a lot of pain if at all. The issue is not so much climate change but the rate of that change which is exceeding the rate at which organisms can adapt. As a species we rely on a small number of crops which we know are already struggling with increased temperatures: if we lose those crops civilization starves to death. The 1.5 degree figure cited by your guest refers to 'average global temperature' not the room next door! The arctic is showing overall average temperature increases three or more times higher than the global average which is translating into daytime summer temperature of 25 to 30°C. The issue boils down to over population which is overwhelming the planet. Civilization is a heat engine and we cannot easily abandon everything we have gained from fossil fuel energy use and, as your guest points out, at this time we have no viable alternative source of energy to fuel our global society. An unstoppable force meeting an unmovable object indeed.
He's an on-air meteorologist and environmental reporter, as well as a blogger. Didn't you watch the video, did you just drop in to write a snide comment and give it its only downvote?
Nice to have some brain food for the level headed people out there. Thank-you Rex!
Dr David Evans, a former climate modeler for the Government’s Australian Greenhouse Office,
says global warming predictions have been vastly exaggerated in error.
.
The academic, from Perth, Australia, who has passed 'six degrees' (levels of training, not university degrees) in applied mathematics, has analyzed complex mathematical assumptions widely used to predict climate change (?)
-and-
.
HE predicted (a decade ago or two) world temperatures will
1. ------------->"STAGNATE" up until '2017'
2. --------------> "Before COOLING" dramatically.
The Grand Solar Minimum is coming, the Skeptics proclaim.
.
So, like the 80s, the 90s, 2007-2009, We'll be KNEE DEEP in a ‘mini Ice age’ by 2017.
.
"...Evans is One of the world’s "leading climate change experts" according to Propaganda sites: Daily Caller, Breitbart, New American, PJ Media, Twitchy, Townhall---
claims to have discovered mathematical anomalies which effectively ‘ DISPROVE ’ global warming."
.
Dr. David Evans "has analyzed complex mathematical assumptions widely used to predict climate change "
-and-
HE is predicting "world" temperature will " STAGNATE " UP UNTIL '2017' before " COOLING " Dramatically,
.
We'll be KNEE DEEP in a " Major Cold Age "
.
Dr. Evans is NOT a climatologist but rather a Ph.D. in Electrical Engineering, with a Math undergraduate degree. (( Electrical Engineering..like Tony Heller (( aka Steven Goddard )) & Anthony Watts ...also routinely wrong about predictions ))
1.
(( THIS Prediction was made in the '80s by SKEPTIC Scientists & DENIERS,
2.
THIS Prediction was made in the 1990s & again for 2007-2009 by SKEPTIC/DENIERS CHRISTY & SPENCER ))
3.
Now here it is again...up until 2017 temperatures are supposed to stagnate & then decline. (?)
4.
20 of the 21 WARMEST YEARS have ALL occurred since 2000....Making SKEPTICS serial Liars!!
1.
2014 was EARTH'S Warmest year in recorded history...
until
2.
2015 was EARTH'S Warmest year in recorded history...
until
3.
2016 was EARTH'S Warmest year in recorded history...
and
4.
2017 is right behind 2016 in record RISING temperatures...
5.
2018
2019
2020 just snuggled in with High-Temperature World record holder 2016!
Record high temperature in Fresh Water Lakes & in Oceans too!
,
6.
2020 sets a high-temperature record...identical to the 2016 world record.
....
The temperature rise has been more dramatic in the winter months,
with the average thermometer reading for the cold season 4 degrees warmer than five decades earlier.
WINTERS are about 2 weeks shorter.
...SUMMER is about 1 week longer.
.
This trend is far more apparent, the farther north or south you go.
Alaska, Canada, Russian Siberia...all HAVE ALREADY WARMED
for decades at TWICE the world atmospheric temperature increased.
Thanks for this Rex. You are one of the only reasoned voices on this subject. Keep up the good work.
"....HIGHLY PAID FOSSIL INDUSTRY FICTION WRITERS on Climate change (Breitbart) (Daily Caller):
Contrarians/Skeptics often choose to spread Uncertainties/Misinformation/ & Doubt-filled but baseless questions.
it's the Oceans,
It's Cosmic Rays, It's other planets,
or
any other infrequently heard of force/entity), but the causes surrounding Global Warming Caused Climate Changes have been well-known by all science for a very long time now."
.
-----> For Over a Century & a half, “The pro-Fossil-Fuel narrative out there is that scientists don’t know the cause of climate change is wrong,”
They have Claimed, "Those scientists don't know the degree to which Human/Industrial Activity influences Climate"!
.
That is wrong!
.
Study lead author Dr. Benjamin Santer, an atmospheric scientist at the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory said in a statement.
.
“We do!”
The general mechanism is quite well understood!
.
We burn carbon-based fossil fuels. This process releases ancient stored carbon dioxide
(and other greenhouse gases into the atmosphere), which Resists, Traps & Redirects IR heat (which is attempting to escape to the cold of Space as a cooling effect for earth).
.
There’s absolutely no doubt that the planet’s climate is getting hotter - decades’ worth of multiple satellite & ground data clearly show.
.
(Alexander von Humboldt coined the term and defined ' CLIMATE CHANGE ' in 1799)
.
(Eunice Foote's experiments, reported in Scientific American in 1856 proved Earth's Atmospheric Gases (CO2 for example) IMPACT Warming!
(Thomas Jefferson & John Adams discussed this changing climate from 1799 to 1804)
(Science established human activities were causing these Global Climate Changes in 1811)
.
There’s Now Overwhelming evidence that points to human activity as the main culprit.
While there are natural factors that can cause an equal and even greater impact, human activity is essentially a smoking gun here: the evidence indicates that all of this current global warming is caused by humans.
.
In this latest study,
scientists carried out a statistical analysis of satellite climate data, identifying the anthropogenic fingerprints in climate change.
.
The analysis showed that humans are causing climate change to a confidence level of 5 sigmas,
the gold standard of statistics
- which translates to a 99.9999% certainty.
.
In other words, there’s only a one-in-a-million chance that the pattern of atmospheric heating is not the result of human activity.
.
Science doesn’t really ever eliminate uncertainty - it just reduces it, and when the uncertainty reaches very low levels, then that’s essentially a scientific certainty.
This isn’t the first study to strongly conclude that humans are causing climate change
I have been reading his wattsupwiththat blog since 2000 and accessed newsgroup text from the 90s.
Excellent interview! Thank you.
Right on, no man can change what the world is doing.
Did you know that in the United States, where solar energy produced a feeble 2.3% on the electrical grid in 2020, solar had received "more than 200 times more subsidies per unit of electricity generated than oil and gas" in the prior decade? Wind energy performed better, but only slightly - it produced 8.4% of the nation's electricity on the grid last year, despite having gotten nearly 50 times more in subsidies. Wind + solar energy providers are cashing in big time. "Federal subsidies have likely constituted more than 50% of the revenue ... and continue to be the primary driver of their growth and profitability." The only greater waste is that our governments aren't questioning the lunacy of this, nor are taxpayers.
Thanks Rex. You're interviewing the right people on climate: Patrick Moore, Ross McKitrick, Judith Curry, Anthony Watts ... Will Patrick Michaels, William Happer, Steven Koonin, or Bjorn Lomborg be next?
Rick Kooi
Anthony Watts Is Only a Self Promoting Blogger!
.
Willard Anthony Watts is an American blogger who runs Watts Up With That,
(WUWT) a popular climate change denial blog that opposes
the 200 years of solid research & scientific consensus on climate change.
----------
1.
WATTS is NOT a Meteorologist
----------
2.
WATTS did NOT graduate from Purdue.
----------
Anthony Watts studied Electrical Engineering and Meteorology at Purdue University,
but
according to correspondence between Purdue University and SourceWatch, he did not graduate. [1], [2]
.
Background:
Anthony Watts is a former television weatherman best known as the founder and editor of the blog Watts Up With That (WUWT), which primarily publishes articles critical of mainstream climate change science. Watts joined the Heartland Institute (a Large Right-Wing, Pro-Fossil Fuel Lobbying Organization) called a think tank proudly at the forefront of promoting doubt about climate change,"
@@rakooi Ad hominem much?
@@sjambler Anthony Watts has claimed for years that he is a Meteorologist....but he does not have a degree in Meteorology....in fact, he dropped out of college, so he seems unable or unwilling to tell the truth.
If only we could get the media to report truth instead of the 'approved agenda'.
I hadn't thought about how angry people get if you don't support them in their climate change views. I agree, it's like talking about religion. As one commenter just said "we just go from one hoax to another". Few people want to get below the surface of a point and talk calmly and respectfully about it. What amazes me is if climate change is an imminent and serious problem, why so few people in the world are changing their lifestyles to slow it down. And the same for all of these airports that keep expanding. e.g. Singapore. What people / business say and what they do aren't in sync.
Exactly. We stopped buying large V8 powered cars in the 90s, only to replace them with even larger V8 powered pick ups and SUV's in the 2000s.
Rex is a Canadian treasure.
Just like white privilege . . . I wish I could interview my ancestors who were dropped on the shores and bush of Cape Breton and Newfoundland and ask them how privileged they were.
“It's warming, it's us, we're sure, it's bad, but we can fix it,”
Thanks for this, good to see some truth. Just a cash grab.
87% of Canadas electricity comes from non-GHG emitting sources today... Replacing the last 13% is trivial in a country that just printed $350 billion last year. Replace the fossil fuel plants with a handful of nuclear plants, and Bob's your uncle. We can all pat ourselves on the back for a job well done, and the global climate will continue to do whatever the hell it wants.
Advice to caregivers to the Demented: “don’t show them the errors of their ways,it will make them confused and angry
Fellow Canadians do not worry about anything because Justin is going to fix everything.We will all go bankrupt but do not worry about anything.
breathe easy. knowledge is power.
UAH satellite temperature anomaly for April 2021 is the same as April 1980. CO2 isn't causing global warming.
just picking the data you want to prove what you want is easy. But look at the bigger picture, look at the temperature anomaly of the whole world. Not just US, since many of you dont believe in them, look at Japan's, India's, Australia's, China's, Finland's , they all show the temperature has been rising for the last 100 years or so.
Many climate change deniers use the point "Fluctuation" to explain global warming, which is quite a good area for scientists to explore into, because it does exist in nature. I cannot say they are right or wrong. But here I am sure, by researching more, your cited data is just a fluctuation.
@@johnlau8461 UAH satellite data is global. Just as the current temperature anomaly is a 'fluctuation' so was the 'highest temperatures ever recorded' at the height of the El Nino in 2018. Its solar activity moderated by ocean currents. CO2 didn't do any of it.
@@johnlau8461 Yes the generally accepted story is that temperatures have risen about 1C since 1880.
This follows the Maunder Minimum and the mini ice age. Widely accepted that temperatures plunged on the order of 3C at the end of the Medieval warm period. THAT is a climate crisis; Europe lost half its population due famine; plague; social unrest; war all because of wild cool weather.
The proxy data shows temperatures were warmer for most of the past 10000 years.
Anecdotally, the Vikings grew barley on Greenland to make beer. Its too cold now to grow barley on Greenland
Anecdotally, the Romans grew grapes in the North of England with which they made wine. Its too cold now to grow grapes in the North of England.
Anecdotally the battle of Thermopylae was fought over a strip of land 100 meters wide. Spartans vs Persians. That strip of land between the Mountains and the sea is now 1 km wide. What do you think happened to the sea levels there?
@@kenvandeburgt1232 My bad, i misled you. What i Meant is the long term trend. You cant just cherry pick the data you want. Statistics is all about trend. So, you shouldnt just pick two data point over the span of 40 years to prove or disprove something.
@@kenvandeburgt1232 Thats interesting. Do you mind sharing what sort of solar activity is responsible for that? The sunspot cycle?
what the Maldives are going to look like.... 10 years ago... 🤣
September 2023 warmest Sept on record. Not by a little.
Anthony Watts has claimed for years that he is a Meteorologist....but he does not have a degree in Meteorology....in fact, he dropped out of college, so he seems unable or unwilling to tell the truth.
" focused on climate issues."- focused on denying climate science- there, fixed it for you.
I found this interview quite shallow. I am not a climate scientist but I do have scientific training with a BSc and a Master's degree and am able to review and understand the literature and data being reported. Politically I would view myself as 'centre right'. My read of the data, which comes from many converging sources across many disciplines, is that we are in a pickle from which we may well not extract ourselves without a lot of pain if at all. The issue is not so much climate change but the rate of that change which is exceeding the rate at which organisms can adapt. As a species we rely on a small number of crops which we know are already struggling with increased temperatures: if we lose those crops civilization starves to death. The 1.5 degree figure cited by your guest refers to 'average global temperature' not the room next door! The arctic is showing overall average temperature increases three or more times higher than the global average which is translating into daytime summer temperature of 25 to 30°C. The issue boils down to over population which is overwhelming the planet. Civilization is a heat engine and we cannot easily abandon everything we have gained from fossil fuel energy use and, as your guest points out, at this time we have no viable alternative source of energy to fuel our global society. An unstoppable force meeting an unmovable object indeed.
I found your critique quite shallow, almost as though you hadn't really been listening. Congratulations on your BSc and Masters. Very impressive
Ecological habitat destruction by population growth worse problem.
Sad that you are not using that education to delve more deeply than you have. Read more critically.
Seems to me that all of that book learnin you have didn't encourage you to think for yourself.
Nobody cares what you have to say Lyle
And it gives Anthony Watts a job. Who pays your salary Mr Watts?
He's an on-air meteorologist and environmental reporter, as well as a blogger. Didn't you watch the video, did you just drop in to write a snide comment and give it its only downvote?
Go on then who pays his wage?