Oil Companies in the Era of Energy Transition (NEAH)

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  • Опубліковано 1 сер 2024
  • In the turbulent age of climate change and energy transition, what challenges and opportunities do oil producers face? Learn more from a discussion featuring Dr. Adi Imsirovic, Director, Surrey Clean Energy; Senior Associate, Centre for Strategic & International Studies, Washington, and Dr. Tatiana Mitrova, NEAH Founder and Director.
    Although oil and other fossil fuels are largely responsible for significant #GHG emissions, they won’t disappear overnight. Therefore, oil companies need to find their place in the energy transition, and the sooner, the better. How can they do that, and what are the key drivers of this process?
    This conversation outlines the possible future of oil and considers the roles of every player, from companies and consumers to governments and intergovernmental organizations. Will we always need oil? Or will we just stop burning it? Tune in and find out!
    Guest Expert: Dr Adi Imsirovic ( / adi-imsirovic-41a73729 )
    Adi Imsirovic has 35 years of experience in oil trading. He has held a number of senior trading positions, including global head of oil at Gazprom Marketing & Trading and regional manager of Texaco oil trading for Asia. Dr. Imsirovic was a Fulbright scholar and studied at the Graduate School of Arts and Sciences, Harvard University. There, he was also an adjunct research fellow at the Kennedy School of Government. Adi taught economics at Surrey University for several years, including energy economics and resource and environmental economics. For a number of years, he was a senior research fellow at the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies. Adi has a PhD in economics and a master’s degree in energy economics. Dr. Imsirovic has written a number of papers and articles on the topic of oil and gas prices, benchmarks, and energy security. He is the author of the book Trading and Price Discovery for Crude Oils: Growth and Development of International Oil Markets, published by Palgrave in August 2021. Adi also edited the book Brent Crude Oil: Genesis and Development of the World's Most Important Oil Benchmark, published by Palgrave in June 2023.
    Moderator: Dr. Tatiana Mitrova, NEAH Founder and Director ( / tatiana-mitrova-53bb012a )
    What do you think about the future of oil and oil companies? Share your opinion in the comments!
    #NEAH_events #EnergyTransition #ClimateChange #OilIndustry #Sustainability #CleanEnergy #FutureOfOil #EnergyEconomics #EnvironmentalEconomics #CarbonEmissions #OilProducers #EnergySecurity #RenewableEnergy #GreenEconomy #SustainableFutures #ClimateAction #OilTrading #EnergyPolicy #EnergyDiscussion #ClimateCrisis #Decarbonization #GHG_emissions
    00:00 Introduction
    01:48 Historical trends to know: oil prices are difficult to predict in the short term, but long-term prices are predictable based on market structure, with market power leading to stability in prices, although OPEC is unable to control the market
    05:15 Where Governments are needed - to internalize externalities such as climate change and their impact on energy security
    07:38 Energy security is a public good
    08:13 Examples of poor market interventions - Nixon’s price freezes and modern price caps
    12:23 Will governments’ interventions mess things up in the energy industry? Where is it excessive, and where we witness lack of action
    15:35 How do policies and market drivers affect decision making in the energy industry? Political fluctuations and lack of a level playing field makes investors disorientated and companies retreat from the green energy transition
    18:40 Who wants the carbon tax and why?
    22:18 Energy transition is very expensive. But going for it ASAP is cheaper than later
    24:00 Climate change and oil companies’ adaptation strategies - do they exist?
    26:30 Should we expect a Super Cycle for oil prices? Spoiler - no. And why?
    31:10 Politics and technology - transition to environmentally friendly technologies is not linear and requires a transition period
    37:35 Why do they go for shale
    39:50 National oil companies and their strategy
    43:15 What countries have gone much further in the energy transition
    44:50 Is OPEC a cartel or a partnership to survive? OPEC needs to help member countries make that energy transition before it's too late
    48:00 What could be a positive OPEC legacy
    51:00 The role of oil benchmarks
    55:07 The future of oil markets - a blockchain technology
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