@@progamerboy2.059u idiot, dont compare bullock cart with ferrari. In japan there is deflation. 5% cagr is enough if there is 2% deflation. Do you think petrol price will become Rs 50 by 2030??😂😂😂
@@progamerboy2.059 Japan's market (NIKKEI 225) P/E was 85. Whereas other developed country's P/E like UK and USA was 15-18. First know the entire thing and then comment. NIFTY 50's P/E is no way near to that neither smallcap and midcap index.
Don't compare japan with India. Japan's consumption is on decline due to aging population. While India has the advantage of demographic dividend. And moreover, pessimists have no business in stock market.
As usual great analysis by Subra sir. One thing to consider just like positive returns in equity is very unlikely, similarly a decline may not be linear, there could be a 20/30/40% crash and then a slow recovery.
Seems like a cyclic pattern, if it happens then buy more gold, silver and equities during that time. Siyltuation will turn around at some point of time.
Thanks for sharing such valuable information! I have a quick question: I have a SafePal wallet with USDT, and I have the seed phrase. (alarm fetch churn bridge exercise tape speak race clerk couch crater letter). What's the best way to send them to Binance?
Last five years nifty 50 return is around 15% which is not so out of average..so what they said for USA is for USA for us may be it would be slightly lower than 12% if all this is just based on that equity all ready delivered for the decade
Given the dollar printing, the returns which goldman sachs said are highly hypothetical. Ask them to stop printing money, world will be happy with less inflation. Both of them not happeninf and dollar will still dominate the world currency and returns will he more than 10% going forward
Very nice broad picture. 🙏 I also believe tepid equity returns in next few years. But I don’t understand why “only” 10% move away from equity ! I do understand equity allocation, risk appetite varies !! Still…… Borrowing from Bogle : Market returns are from 2 sources . (1) Investment return is current dividend yield plus whatever earnings growth in future (2) speculative return depends on valuation. Applying P/E of < 10 (S & P ) speculative returns not expected. P/E 10-20 (S & P ) means ,up to 7% additional return ! The dividend yield in nifty is 1.1%. The steady earnings growth till 2020 spanning 13 years was from 180 to 425. That is 6.8% per annum. After 2020 earnings growth was quite steep and is not considered for lean years . In the bearish scenario speculative return are not expected. So market returns computed as 1.1+6.8= 7.9% . Already treasury yields are 6.7% . So in a gloomy economy bond returns and market returns are not far apart . Market returns are associated with volatility though .
No don't expect those types of returns you will be foxed I have been investing since 2005 regularly I have seen most of up and down I have stayed invested I made huge returns but going forward expecting the same is foolishness
Might be an analogy (though not very good). The downsides are very different. What happens if you miss a SIP versus if you miss an EMI? What happens if you stop paying an SIP for an extended period versus EMI? Basically, you shouldn't lose the asset.
He is confused. He is mixing us market & Indian market and he himself not clear whether he is advising Indian investor or us investor. Bla, bla, bla & just full of gas.
Sir, what was the Goldman Sachs projection ten years back? Let's compare that with the actual performance
If it really happens ie 5% cagr for even next 3 years -- will you deactivate your UA-cam?
Why?
Because this video is BS crap ... He doesn't know economics @@sarathyishere
Stock market can not give less than inflation in long run!
Good Assumption..
Than see the market of JAPAN ..MKT History
@@progamerboy2.059 His point stands. Look at Japan's inflation. It was negative. Prices were stagnant throughout 30 years.
@@progamerboy2.059u idiot, dont compare bullock cart with ferrari. In japan there is deflation. 5% cagr is enough if there is 2% deflation. Do you think petrol price will become Rs 50 by 2030??😂😂😂
@@progamerboy2.059 Japan's market (NIKKEI 225) P/E was 85. Whereas other developed country's P/E like UK and USA was 15-18. First know the entire thing and then comment.
NIFTY 50's P/E is no way near to that neither smallcap and midcap index.
Don't compare japan with India. Japan's consumption is on decline due to aging population. While India has the advantage of demographic dividend.
And moreover, pessimists have no business in stock market.
As usual great analysis by Subra sir. One thing to consider just like positive returns in equity is very unlikely, similarly a decline may not be linear, there could be a 20/30/40% crash and then a slow recovery.
Sensex will cross 1 lac in next 1 year...jo bhi bol rahe hain they want mkt to come down..keep doing sip dont try to time the mkt
If equity can't perform than no other equity class can in long term , so don't try to create panic among retail.
धन्यवाद गुरु जी 🙏
everything is possible, keep money in multi-assert is always key and safer!
Seems like a cyclic pattern, if it happens then buy more gold, silver and equities during that time. Siyltuation will turn around at some point of time.
Thanks for sharing such valuable information! I have a quick question: I have a SafePal wallet with USDT, and I have the seed phrase. (alarm fetch churn bridge exercise tape speak race clerk couch crater letter). What's the best way to send them to Binance?
Last five years nifty 50 return is around 15% which is not so out of average..so what they said for USA is for USA for us may be it would be slightly lower than 12% if all this is just based on that equity all ready delivered for the decade
Sir,
I think the slip of tung.....2014 around 2:30 minutes.
Thanks sir 😊 for making us a real investor.
Slip of keyboard..Tung .😂
Stock market is the place where rich people make money from retail investors. They know how to market money irrespective of market
Sir this is important as many are moving to passive investing based on Index. Usually retailers underperform Index.
Sir, why are you generalizing by taking US Markets alone.
Given the dollar printing, the returns which goldman sachs said are highly hypothetical. Ask them to stop printing money, world will be happy with less inflation. Both of them not happeninf and dollar will still dominate the world currency and returns will he more than 10% going forward
Any news on direct tax code. How it is going to affect stock market investment.
Very nice broad picture. 🙏 I also believe tepid equity returns in next few years.
But I don’t understand why “only” 10% move away from equity ! I do understand equity allocation, risk appetite varies !! Still……
Borrowing from Bogle :
Market returns are from 2 sources . (1) Investment return is current dividend yield plus whatever earnings growth in future (2) speculative return depends on valuation. Applying P/E of < 10 (S & P ) speculative returns not expected. P/E 10-20 (S & P ) means ,up to 7% additional return !
The dividend yield in nifty is 1.1%. The steady earnings growth till 2020 spanning 13 years was from 180 to 425. That is 6.8% per annum. After 2020 earnings growth was quite steep and is not considered for lean years . In the bearish scenario speculative return are not expected. So market returns computed as 1.1+6.8= 7.9% .
Already treasury yields are 6.7% . So in a gloomy economy bond returns and market returns are not far apart . Market returns are associated with volatility though .
Great future is still ahead of US ❤❤❤
Sip returns will alwyas be higher
Old man has gone crazy. Need to unlearn stuff
Nothing happen, 15 percent is minimum return for next 15 years dont worry we have 150 crore population
No don't expect those types of returns you will be foxed I have been investing since 2005 regularly I have seen most of up and down I have stayed invested I made huge returns but going forward expecting the same is foolishness
Thank you so much
How to invest in
Uk , japan eqyuty
& usa t bills
From india
Thank you Sir
Thanks sir 🎉
Be a good stock picker. Index funds out
😢
What will happen to Tesla ? Since it’s also big AI company & Elon is close to Trump .. will that also affect ?
6:58 kindly make a video on real estate. current situation.
If that has be true .. then the whole AI thing is a bubble ..
Very scary news
Thank you sir, excellent advise for free 😂
Good morning Sir ji .
Sir EMI is a way of SIP in buying real estate
Might be an analogy (though not very good). The downsides are very different. What happens if you miss a SIP versus if you miss an EMI? What happens if you stop paying an SIP for an extended period versus EMI?
Basically, you shouldn't lose the asset.
Debt mae rakhoo and stp tfr to equity monthly sip karoo
My return is 5 .5 percentage in 2 wks
😂
15 to 21 cagr sure
He is confused. He is mixing us market & Indian market and he himself not clear whether he is advising Indian investor or us investor. Bla, bla, bla & just full of gas.
ये डरपोक आदमी है, लॉस करके मार्केट को गालियां दे रहे हैं
India will give far more returns if inflation is more.
Sir , pls retire from UA-cam now .
what is this double Tika.?
Goldman Jhooth 😂
Sir EMI is a way of SIP in buying real estate