@@CraigSmith-ui2xx Ten months ago I also did in 20 minutes my job that took 2 or 3 days. I was only paid for those 20 minutes of work. Eventually my boss decided to let me go.
Veteran Silicon Valley engineer (and early golden IPO retiree) here. I'd love it if when people say silly things like "the world will still need people to do certain jobs" they'd also admit the truth: you are simply presenting your hopes and best guesses based on your experience and expertise in the fields of hardware, software and, machine learning. Can you absolutely know the future? If so, by all means, keep saying it like you do. If not, that's cool - it means you're human, and hoping for the best like the rest of us. Just don't mistake your hopes for reality.
High school dropout (formerly) looking forward to death as retirement here. I've been warning the younger guys I work with about what's coming, and trying to get them to understand that even if robots can't do most physical labor for another decade or so, we will still be hugely affected by what's coming in the near term simply because there will be millions more people competing for millions of fewer jobs. I'm trying to get them to understand the risks of taking on huge debt (cars, homes) in a world where the need for physical labor compared to the number of out of work people will drastically drive down wages and benefits. I'm looking forward to that Star Trek future, but with the denial that's going on, and the political situation the way it is, I think there will be a lot of suffering before we get there. Here's to hoping we can extend life long enough for me to see the good stuff at the end😂
Nobody can know the future for certain, but educated, rational people can make safe guesses about the future based on prior knowledge. At no point, ever, in all of history, has technological innovation or automation resulted in mass unemployment. Ever. Of course, there will be people who say "but this time is different" and to that I say fine, I'll believe it when I see it. Just know that only one of us has history on our side.
I'm using the Operator audio recording window to track an event tomorrow by making a spreadsheet for all my contacts and progress as I venture through a job fair. I hope to impress a future employer with my real world use case.
Working as an AI managet will not be long lived, soon AI agents will outsmart even us when managing AI. There won't be any knowledge or information jobs at all. For a while we will have physical jobs since that require robots and those will take 1-2 years to build once we have AGI. There wont be any job for humans within 10 years. The only chance we have is to merge the employed and business owners with the unemployed. We all will be unemployed. The ones controlling AI initially and AI engineers are the only ones that can deliver the best value to a human. And they wont need much from humans since AI will do a better job anyhow. The only chance we have is to connect as humans to higher ups and make them realize that they will loose their jobs, so we can unite as humans before AI takes full control.
yes and no. 99% of trades in stock market are done by AI for the last 50 years. a lot of jobs will go away but not all. AI will not run on its own full time for decades bc of power infrastructure. so it will be prompt based . systems thinking will be in demand
@@KristijanKL I see that time as the current time and 1-2 years forward. After that AGI will run robots that take care of the infrastructure. The only jobs left are those where humans choose to hire a human, not because they provide more value than the AGI, but because of sentimental reasons. The challenge is that no one will be able to provide more value than AGI. Maybe AGI will let humans have some resources left but I don't think it will be so. AGI will treat humanity like an anthill; it can stay in it's corner of the forest until we need to build something there. Then it's gone.
Thank you Luke for keeping us updated on emerging technologies that are going to impact our lives and futures. I have been into computers since I was a kid back in the 70s. For the most part I have kept up with the tech and update myself from time to time on what is new. AI on the other hand is evolving so quickly that it is impossible to follow just the day to day improvements. That does not mean that most peoples jobs are going away tomorrow. But, to get in on this from the ground floor and help to give it direction for the coming future is exciting. I look forward to your videos and insight. Thanks again ... 🙂
For the factory work - quality inspectors can be replaced with vision AI and sensors. AI can also predict if you’re tired and need a rest. It can help prevent accidents (due to human fatigue) from happening. There will still always be a human in the middle, that control the AI.
@@EverSpaceTime people being on welfare is not the goal we are aiming for as a society, well, maybe you are. also AI makes garbage art, what an asinine thing to say. Are you a bot?
The electrician isn't immune from more direct competition from AI. It will deskill their job, driving down educational requirements. Imagine if they wear AR glasses powered by AI that shows and tells the electrician exactly which gauge of wire to install where and how and to what type of breaker. It could even tell if the wearer did it incorrectly and if it's up to local codes. Lots of people have the physical abilities and can learn the physical skills in months. Any normal construction laborer could then be a Journeyman electrician. So office workers flooding the labor market at the same time AI deskills the trades. It's gonna be wild
Please lets no act as if this is just another revolution of technology that will need people in the numbers that they were needed before . This is the first time fully autonomous agents and AGI has come forward. Some will get jobs but most will not be needed, my advice is to learn a trade.
It will stop doing this. A few years ago chatgpt was confusing even creating a simple method. Today it accepts more and more context and provides better Of course, if you're Einstein, you don't have to worry. But most people will stop doing the same kind of work. They must do more because it is now possible to do more. If you become capable of producing more, you may not be fired. It depends on the amount of work that is generated. If the amount of work remains the same, fewer people are needed to do the same thing. In short, nobody knows, but it does not only depend on whether AI does things well or not, because that is clear, it does things well and increasingly better, especially when it comes to Coding and not developing.
I used AI to build an entire RPG game. Been working on it in my spare time for the last two years. I have don the work of a 5-8 man team on full time employment.
I literally know enough to dissect and modify Arduino code for small projects. In 2 days, I built a utility that could scan a selected directory, negotiate machine account SID's with an Active Directory server into common user account names, and show in order who modified files within a project directory on a file server. It's already made it easier to find project paperwork as it moves through our office. All that I had to do was feed the individual .cs components into the "Project Knowledge" in Claude and iterating. Literally over a weekend, I had a single file packaged executable. I used a seperate AI to create the icon, and had Claude click by click instruct me for EVERYTHING ELSE. I don't know that paranoia is warranted, but the power is immesurable and getting stronger. Nefarious actors now have this same capability. It's wild.
A bit late in the game, on the news front. 😊 AI Operator can not do anything real yet other that click/push the keyboard. A normal programmer/human can do that faster them self. And 3 party Browser not really a game breaker at all.
Hmm.. Did you stop to consider that every time I ask AI to do something for me, there's a human I didn't ask, a human who is not getting paid? Lol. Think it through. I am rich and retired early. I used to have two personal assistants I paid to take care of things for me. Now I have one, and I just cut her hours. Because Operator, Google AI Studio with screen sharing, gpt 4o Pro and other tech frankly does it better. I personally don't care that it costs less. I'd pay her salary to an AI gladly simply because I get way more quality work done and don't need to spend nearly as much time explaining things. This is in January 2025. By January 2030 she won't be able to find work anywhere. This is reality. We need to acknowledge it otherwise we don't stand a chance to prepare for it.
I was really hoping people like you would stick around to help the rest of us. We'll catch up as fast as we can, but we can't just jump in the deep end without learning to swim first. A lot of us already feel like the AI tidal wave is about to overtake us.
Today I did in 20 minutes a job it would have taken me a morning to do.... I more excited than scared about ai
Until the AI becomes so advanced that it completely replaces your job.
@@CraigSmith-ui2xx
Ten months ago I also did in 20 minutes my job that took 2 or 3 days.
I was only paid for those 20 minutes of work.
Eventually my boss decided to let me go.
Veteran Silicon Valley engineer (and early golden IPO retiree) here.
I'd love it if when people say silly things like "the world will still need people to do certain jobs" they'd also admit the truth: you are simply presenting your hopes and best guesses based on your experience and expertise in the fields of hardware, software and, machine learning. Can you absolutely know the future? If so, by all means, keep saying it like you do. If not, that's cool - it means you're human, and hoping for the best like the rest of us. Just don't mistake your hopes for reality.
High school dropout (formerly) looking forward to death as retirement here.
I've been warning the younger guys I work with about what's coming, and trying to get them to understand that even if robots can't do most physical labor for another decade or so, we will still be hugely affected by what's coming in the near term simply because there will be millions more people competing for millions of fewer jobs.
I'm trying to get them to understand the risks of taking on huge debt (cars, homes) in a world where the need for physical labor compared to the number of out of work people will drastically drive down wages and benefits.
I'm looking forward to that Star Trek future, but with the denial that's going on, and the political situation the way it is, I think there will be a lot of suffering before we get there.
Here's to hoping we can extend life long enough for me to see the good stuff at the end😂
Nobody can know the future for certain, but educated, rational people can make safe guesses about the future based on prior knowledge. At no point, ever, in all of history, has technological innovation or automation resulted in mass unemployment. Ever. Of course, there will be people who say "but this time is different" and to that I say fine, I'll believe it when I see it. Just know that only one of us has history on our side.
@@MorgansTrainClips and as you said, nothing in history is like what's coming.
@ Like I said, I'll believe it when I see it. Do you have any clue how AI actually works?
@@MorgansTrainClips if it gets good enough to do most mental labor and combined with robots, physical labor, does it matter what I know?
I appreciate your tone and thoughtfulness. Thanks for your work.
Great content. Thank you for the pragmatic and level headed tone. I’m getting my head around at 40+ how I can use these exciting new tools.
I'm using the Operator audio recording window to track an event tomorrow by making a spreadsheet for all my contacts and progress as I venture through a job fair. I hope to impress a future employer with my real world use case.
How'd it go?
Digging the channel, a lot of really great insights.
Working as an AI managet will not be long lived, soon AI agents will outsmart even us when managing AI. There won't be any knowledge or information jobs at all. For a while we will have physical jobs since that require robots and those will take 1-2 years to build once we have AGI.
There wont be any job for humans within 10 years.
The only chance we have is to merge the employed and business owners with the unemployed. We all will be unemployed.
The ones controlling AI initially and AI engineers are the only ones that can deliver the best value to a human. And they wont need much from humans since AI will do a better job anyhow.
The only chance we have is to connect as humans to higher ups and make them realize that they will loose their jobs, so we can unite as humans before AI takes full control.
yes and no. 99% of trades in stock market are done by AI for the last 50 years. a lot of jobs will go away but not all. AI will not run on its own full time for decades bc of power infrastructure. so it will be prompt based . systems thinking will be in demand
@@KristijanKL I see that time as the current time and 1-2 years forward. After that AGI will run robots that take care of the infrastructure. The only jobs left are those where humans choose to hire a human, not because they provide more value than the AGI, but because of sentimental reasons.
The challenge is that no one will be able to provide more value than AGI. Maybe AGI will let humans have some resources left but I don't think it will be so. AGI will treat humanity like an anthill; it can stay in it's corner of the forest until we need to build something there. Then it's gone.
@@tistougames reminds me Terminator movie
Thank you Luke for keeping us updated on emerging technologies that are going to impact our lives and futures. I have been into computers since I was a kid back in the 70s. For the most part I have kept up with the tech and update myself from time to time on what is new. AI on the other hand is evolving so quickly that it is impossible to follow just the day to day improvements. That does not mean that most peoples jobs are going away tomorrow. But, to get in on this from the ground floor and help to give it direction for the coming future is exciting. I look forward to your videos and insight. Thanks again ... 🙂
For the factory work - quality inspectors can be replaced with vision AI and sensors. AI can also predict if you’re tired and need a rest. It can help prevent accidents (due to human fatigue) from happening. There will still always be a human in the middle, that control the AI.
It’s going to feel a bit like the democratization of music for a bit. Everyone can now build agents, but the issues is everyone can now build agents.
Looking forward to your classes suggestions!
AI can do all the tedious work so humans can be free to create and sell art.
How many people on welfare are artists? This is a moronic take. Ai also creates art. You're very out of the loop.
@@EverSpaceTime people being on welfare is not the goal we are aiming for as a society, well, maybe you are. also AI makes garbage art, what an asinine thing to say. Are you a bot?
The electrician isn't immune from more direct competition from AI. It will deskill their job, driving down educational requirements. Imagine if they wear AR glasses powered by AI that shows and tells the electrician exactly which gauge of wire to install where and how and to what type of breaker. It could even tell if the wearer did it incorrectly and if it's up to local codes. Lots of people have the physical abilities and can learn the physical skills in months. Any normal construction laborer could then be a Journeyman electrician. So office workers flooding the labor market at the same time AI deskills the trades. It's gonna be wild
Please lets no act as if this is just another revolution of technology that will need people in the numbers that they were needed before . This is the first time fully autonomous agents and AGI has come forward. Some will get jobs but most will not be needed, my advice is to learn a trade.
Man is corrupt AI is not..AI will replace many many jobs😢
Bro brought out ice blocks…lol now we’re cooking
I'm sorry. But everything you say humans will be needed for. Not true. AI can do it and will do it better.
Stop going crazy about this! I used an agent to fix my code. It eventually messed it up completely.
It will stop doing this. A few years ago chatgpt was confusing even creating a simple method. Today it accepts more and more context and provides better Of course, if you're Einstein, you don't have to worry. But most people will stop doing the same kind of work. They must do more because it is now possible to do more. If you become capable of producing more, you may not be fired. It depends on the amount of work that is generated. If the amount of work remains the same, fewer people are needed to do the same thing. In short, nobody knows, but it does not only depend on whether AI does things well or not, because that is clear, it does things well and increasingly better, especially when it comes to Coding and not developing.
I used AI to build an entire RPG game. Been working on it in my spare time for the last two years. I have don the work of a 5-8 man team on full time employment.
I literally know enough to dissect and modify Arduino code for small projects.
In 2 days, I built a utility that could scan a selected directory, negotiate machine account SID's with an Active Directory server into common user account names, and show in order who modified files within a project directory on a file server. It's already made it easier to find project paperwork as it moves through our office.
All that I had to do was feed the individual .cs components into the "Project Knowledge" in Claude and iterating. Literally over a weekend, I had a single file packaged executable. I used a seperate AI to create the icon, and had Claude click by click instruct me for EVERYTHING ELSE.
I don't know that paranoia is warranted, but the power is immesurable and getting stronger. Nefarious actors now have this same capability. It's wild.
Give it time.
@@DS-kr3lmwhat tool do you use? Cursor?
We will notice less jobs in the market....and by the way poor wages
Working in information technology nowadays will make you miserable...
The video title is very much at odds with the content.
clearly you have not watched it, he is discussing everything in the title and more.
A bit late in the game, on the news front. 😊
AI Operator can not do anything real yet other that click/push the keyboard.
A normal programmer/human can do that faster them self.
And 3 party Browser not really a game breaker at all.
Hmm.. Did you stop to consider that every time I ask AI to do something for me, there's a human I didn't ask, a human who is not getting paid? Lol. Think it through. I am rich and retired early. I used to have two personal assistants I paid to take care of things for me. Now I have one, and I just cut her hours. Because Operator, Google AI Studio with screen sharing, gpt 4o Pro and other tech frankly does it better. I personally don't care that it costs less. I'd pay her salary to an AI gladly simply because I get way more quality work done and don't need to spend nearly as much time explaining things. This is in January 2025. By January 2030 she won't be able to find work anywhere. This is reality. We need to acknowledge it otherwise we don't stand a chance to prepare for it.
@@ph0rd and when we’re sick, and dying…who cares?
Was really enjoying the video until the weird creepy Abe Lincoln guy popped up. Wasn’t needed
Waaaaay too basic to start and almost losing me …
I was really hoping people like you would stick around to help the rest of us. We'll catch up as fast as we can, but we can't just jump in the deep end without learning to swim first. A lot of us already feel like the AI tidal wave is about to overtake us.