Clan Nova Cat vs Ghost Bear Dominion | Battletech Alpha Strike Battle Report | Clan Invasion

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  • Опубліковано 10 лис 2024

КОМЕНТАРІ • 135

  • @arclightminiatures3140
    @arclightminiatures3140 2 роки тому +21

    Definitely been missing the AS BatReps! Big fan of CNC and CGB, so this is very enjoyable so far.

  • @androssthered1157
    @androssthered1157 2 роки тому +19

    Finally a clan on clan battle! It always seems like the IS side with the having the lower BV has an advantage in a clan vs IS match. Glad to see the Ghost Bear crushing the clan drug kitties

  • @lesjames2478
    @lesjames2478 2 роки тому +12

    Dan beat Aaron like Aaron owed him money, ruthless. Love it!!

  • @nicopwg
    @nicopwg 2 роки тому +5

    Thanks for bringing back alpha strike! Keep them coming.
    On turn 2 the nova cat rolled a 12, that's a through armor crit!

    • @DeathfromAboveWargaming
      @DeathfromAboveWargaming  2 роки тому +1

      Arg crap did I miss one?

    • @nicopwg
      @nicopwg 2 роки тому +1

      @@DeathfromAboveWargaming could have changed the game! 1 in 36 chance :). next turn the turkina I think also got one. You guys picked up the crit rolls on turn 3 I think.

    • @nicopwg
      @nicopwg 2 роки тому

      I meant masakari, not turkina. Flat heads all of them.

    • @kcaudle52
      @kcaudle52 Рік тому

      @@DeathfromAboveWargaming Yep, you missed one.

  • @jasonrucker4722
    @jasonrucker4722 2 роки тому +3

    DFA - another great mission and batrep. Dan, congrats on the W! So, the Warhawk pilot name is Felix 'Lucky' Snuka and the Warhammer pilot name is Mjollnir 'Hammer' MacKenzie. All legitimate Ghost Bear bloodnames. I did enjoy watching the Clan on Clan fight.
    Aaron, boom or bust on the dice rolls. I agree, the Black Lanner would have changed the initial dynamics even with Dan's dominance on the initiative rolls. The Night Cow totally underperformed, I think it scored one point of damage and did a poor job of being a meat shield for Aaron's left flank. Dan did a good job of getting the Warhammer into medium range fairly early on and did a great job maneuvering the Warhawk to focus down the Nova Cat while limiting damage; Felix Snuka is a survivor.

  • @berserkerdad2490
    @berserkerdad2490 2 роки тому +5

    So glad to see you guys coming back to Alpha Strike!! Great batrep! Congrats on the win, Dan. Keep the Alpha Strike coming!

  • @jeffbrown1958
    @jeffbrown1958 2 роки тому +2

    Thank you for posting these videos. I didn't know this was still a relevant board game, but I do remember playing it in the late 90's I might have been 9 or 10. It would be fun to get into again.

  • @barryxanchez2965
    @barryxanchez2965 2 роки тому +2

    Hard fight. Awesome game!

  • @RemTV
    @RemTV 2 роки тому +5

    i've been missing these alpha strike batreps! keep em coming, you guys rule!!!

  • @Daemonettee
    @Daemonettee 2 роки тому +1

    Amazing batrep, the production quality is mind blowing!
    So glad to see more Alpha Strike 😃

  • @Joric78
    @Joric78 2 роки тому +2

    Whatever you changed with the miniature footage at the start is a huge improvement. Good job.

  • @jaguargrenadier1111
    @jaguargrenadier1111 2 роки тому +4

    Glad to see another AS report! I'm an unabashed Smoke Jaguar fan. I hate the Cats for selling out the Jaguars. The Combine didn't go far enough in the 3140s to stamp them out. That said, I root for the Nova Cats more than I root for almost anybody whenever they go up against the Ghost Bears.
    Also, Peace of Blake be with you and all the heretics watching this video. Break out your SPF 5000, cuz we're coming for you nonbelievers!

  • @Kaiju-Driver
    @Kaiju-Driver Рік тому +1

    I'm watching these old-to-new, and it's very interesting to see the development of tactics. Yall Is very entertaining.

  • @Linkous12
    @Linkous12 2 роки тому +2

    Despite it's Smoke Jag origins, the Warhawk has always been one of my favorite Clan assaults, and that mini looks freakin' amazing. Love the white paint job.

  • @brianhenry152
    @brianhenry152 2 роки тому +6

    All right! A Clan on Clan fight to the finish!
    As a die hard Spheroid, I do have a question though... Who do you root for when both sides are terrible? 😁
    This was fun! Keep up the great work guys!

  • @troyradford75
    @troyradford75 2 роки тому +3

    Keep them coming guys. Your content just keeps getting better. Love Clan vs Clan action.
    On a side note: burn some fluffy pink dice to appease the dice gods. 😁

  • @Sirbuzzkilington
    @Sirbuzzkilington 2 роки тому +2

    Glad to see alpha strike again and hoping to see some massive combined arms battles where alpha strike really shines

  • @omegavulture8379
    @omegavulture8379 2 роки тому +1

    Battlereport on the main screen! In this solem matter may none interfere.
    Seyla!

  • @madcat3525
    @madcat3525 2 роки тому +2

    Great Alpha Strike Battle! Congrats to Dan! Dan and Thom had some outstanding painted mechs. The Dice lords have forsaken Aaron. Maybe Aaron needs to do some ritual to regain his Dice Mojo.Looking forward to more videos.

  • @shaneflickinger
    @shaneflickinger 2 роки тому +6

    "I hate clan mechs. No, I love clan mechs. No wait, I hate them again." LOL, Aaron you crack me up. I admit I was rooting for the Ghost Bears only because the kickstarter forced me to pick a clan and they were who I went with. New scenery also looks awesome. I really like those pipelines. Were they 3D printed? You guys have such high production quality in your videos, it's a crime that you don't have more subs. Hang in there, I think 10k will happen soon. Cheers gentlemen!

    • @DeathfromAboveWargaming
      @DeathfromAboveWargaming  2 роки тому

      Haha I appreciate that you get my humor!! 😆
      The pipes are actually also Hardware Studios! Great products. Aries may have them pre-printed but you can also get the STLs from hardware if you’ve got a printer!

  • @anthonybrown3480
    @anthonybrown3480 2 роки тому +1

    Great to see a new AS bat rep. Really enjoyed this keep up the good work

  • @WRXSEVEN
    @WRXSEVEN 2 роки тому +2

    Praise be the Word of Blake!

  • @Ichaerus
    @Ichaerus 2 роки тому +2

    Loved the battle report as always, guys. Dan got a win! Warhammer IIC finally made an in game appearance and got a win! I would like to think that the Star Commander was in the Warhammer IIC, and made good on her proclamation, by blowing out the Timber Wolf's candle with the final shots. Remember folks, it is not arrogance if you can back it up!
    I could hear and feel Aaron deflating like a salty whoopie cushion when seeing what a monster the Warhammer IIC is. Still #2 on the Battlytics charts, with only the Dire Wolf A topping it!
    Well played though. Enjoyed watching the whole thing. Also looking forward to the 2nd Wargames album to launch.

  • @briane8627
    @briane8627 2 роки тому +1

    This was a fun one. Though I really miss combined arms in alpha strike. Some BA support might have made a big difference in controlling those objectives.
    Congrats to Dan!
    Oh, and the voice acting at the beginning was really good once again. You've found some real pros!

  • @andrewburgoyne4728
    @andrewburgoyne4728 Рік тому

    Love your intro segments! Also a big fan of Ghost Bears and Nova Cats.

  • @timpage6766
    @timpage6766 2 роки тому +3

    Great game guys. Would love to see a rematch where you use the black Lanner and see if that tactic wins the day

  • @agamelift
    @agamelift 2 роки тому +1

    It's awesome to see some Ghost Bear and Nova Cat mechs on the field! Although, I would totally opt out of the pilot die idea. Seeing it come up as a one would be horrifying. Just roll 3 pairs of dice all at once, then pair them up.

    • @DeathfromAboveWargaming
      @DeathfromAboveWargaming  2 роки тому

      What happens when you have 7 points of damage? How do you know which dice pair together?

  • @supersiamesisk
    @supersiamesisk 2 роки тому +2

    The GB win ratio remains high. Makes me not regret siding with the Care Bears.

  • @Boseeinsteinshake
    @Boseeinsteinshake 2 роки тому +1

    Great Star v Star action. Thanks a lot for the BatRep!

  • @faithmcclosky4528
    @faithmcclosky4528 2 роки тому +2

    What a bloodbath! This one seemed like it was over from the start, the early 2v2 fight just did not go Aaron's way, and that was really the end of it. Terrible shooting on the Nova Cat's part. I still prefer Destiny to AS, but this fight definitely still had some flavor to it.

  • @Wolf_Rayet
    @Wolf_Rayet 2 роки тому +1

    that was a fun game to watch,looking forward for more

  • @castenmackerer3278
    @castenmackerer3278 2 роки тому +1

    Very good BatRep, looking forwards to seeing you all run a new campaign someday, keep it going ya'll.

  • @cmbunit01
    @cmbunit01 2 роки тому +1

    Great game as usual, and really nice board set up.

  • @kereminde
    @kereminde 2 роки тому +1

    Finally getting a chance to sit and watch the whole battle without pausing or stopping. Love looking at those buildings, and just wish I had a 3D printer which could manage them. (The one I have access to with a friend is FDM and he's not sure most of the Hardware models will print well with it.) The gravel as scatter terrain is a nice touch for the camera, did it count as rough terrain or something during the combat?
    I'm gathering there's not all too many alterations to Alpha Strike base rules here:
    - The change to range bracket modifiers, and adding Extreme. This seems like it permits long-range 'Mechs to start shooting earlier even if they're at a sizable disadvantage to hit. As well as the mentioned +1 at Short (3"?) making it a little less of a sure thing.
    - The 'variable damage' and pilot die. I do love this rule (or pair of rules) and plan on introducing it to the table. I wonder if how well this sort of "pilot die" thing works for CBT? Though that ruleset is remarkably sensitive to tinkering, I've found, have to be cautious.
    I'm not sure if I'm missing many others which are custom/altered rules.
    Planning on showing this video to sort of illustrate how AS plays out to my brother so we can give it a try after we finish out our CBT campaign. :) Rough luck for Clan Nova Cat, but maybe they just were Spirit Cats which had done too many drugs before being returned to the Clan proper.

    • @DeathfromAboveWargaming
      @DeathfromAboveWargaming  2 роки тому +1

      Thanks! And yes - extreme range and the long range targeting mods are all published optional rules in the Commander’s Edition.
      The pilot die is a homebrew, and we have used it with classic - there is a video in the classic batreps playlist that explains how it works 👍

    • @kereminde
      @kereminde 2 роки тому +1

      @@DeathfromAboveWargaming I'll go hunting for it and see what happens when you folks use it. I've long decided not to go tinkering with things while in the middle of it, so until I get the last few missions done for this campaign... no major changes.
      But I've already been asked: "So what's next? We hunting Clanners?" So needing to make plans :)

  • @kaibechtloff5674
    @kaibechtloff5674 2 роки тому +1

    alpha strike too save my day thx guys

  • @bartekzx88
    @bartekzx88 2 роки тому +1

    Love the Battle Reports!

  • @EricVulgaris
    @EricVulgaris 2 роки тому +1

    Hell yeah new battle report

  • @AndrewUrosevic-SonofGod
    @AndrewUrosevic-SonofGod 3 місяці тому +1

    Glad to see ghost bear win this one!

  • @RobinOttens
    @RobinOttens 2 роки тому +1

    Not sure if this is a new feature, but I loved the rotating green screen close ups of the mechs at the start of the video. I mean, the rest of the video was cool too I guess.

    • @DeathfromAboveWargaming
      @DeathfromAboveWargaming  2 роки тому +1

      Haha - a lot of our more recent batreps (at least 6 months or so?) have this. Glad you enjoyed it 👍

  • @stevenmoebes1071
    @stevenmoebes1071 Рік тому +1

    Love the BATREPs! 😄

  • @derekburge5294
    @derekburge5294 2 роки тому +2

    For a REAL Nove Cat experience, mix up some LSD with peyote tea thirty minutes before the game!
    Love the paint jobs and well played!

  • @theredbeardbard
    @theredbeardbard 2 роки тому +1

    Aaron, you need to burn some sage and give some good energy to those yellow pilot dice... they're consistently giving you the stink eye...

    • @DeathfromAboveWargaming
      @DeathfromAboveWargaming  2 роки тому

      LOL its true. I was on a tear there for a while, but it seems the luck went to the other side of the table!

  • @jeromepeters9842
    @jeromepeters9842 Рік тому +1

    I like the rolling per damage but it also increases the chance for crita

    • @DeathfromAboveWargaming
      @DeathfromAboveWargaming  Рік тому

      Its true, but crits are already so rare in AS I don’t mind - plus it’s fair game equally for both players!

  • @jessepunch8945
    @jessepunch8945 2 роки тому +1

    Alpha strike! Lets goooo!

  • @maxanderson2180
    @maxanderson2180 2 роки тому +1

    Always fun with big mechs, lots of damage being flung around on both sides!

    • @DeathfromAboveWargaming
      @DeathfromAboveWargaming  2 роки тому +1

      Man it gets nuts with the big clan assaults in AS… so much damage with OV!

    • @maxanderson2180
      @maxanderson2180 2 роки тому +1

      @@DeathfromAboveWargaming the only real question with clans is do you want speed or armor, damage is a certainty

    • @DeathfromAboveWargaming
      @DeathfromAboveWargaming  2 роки тому +1

      I am an armor guy for sure!

  • @JohnDoe-qi5zl
    @JohnDoe-qi5zl 2 роки тому +1

    Hey Death From Above Wargaming Team, I love your Alpha Strike houserules and my friends and me use most of them. We also developed alternative Weapon houserules to use weapons like PPC, all kinds of Lasers and Gauss Rifles. Because we thought this fast paced Game also needs some alternate weapon Love. If you want me to share, just tell me.
    Nice Battlereport. Keep it up you guys

    • @DeathfromAboveWargaming
      @DeathfromAboveWargaming  2 роки тому

      Sounds interesting! Send it over

    • @JohnDoe-qi5zl
      @JohnDoe-qi5zl 2 роки тому

      @@DeathfromAboveWargaming Okay nice, iam still correcting some stuff and make some explanations, then I send you an Email

    • @JohnDoe-qi5zl
      @JohnDoe-qi5zl 2 роки тому +1

      @@DeathfromAboveWargaming Sorry for the long wait, I was busy with work. You got the mail

    • @DeathfromAboveWargaming
      @DeathfromAboveWargaming  2 роки тому

      Thanks again!

  • @spamuraigranatabru1149
    @spamuraigranatabru1149 2 роки тому +3

    Ghost Bear! Ghost Bear! Ghost Bear!

  • @adammorey9882
    @adammorey9882 2 роки тому +1

    Alpha strike fantastic 👍

  • @deleonfrancis60
    @deleonfrancis60 2 роки тому +2

    They help the smoke Jaguars redeem themselves so I always fine clan nova cat with honor.

  • @barryxanchez2965
    @barryxanchez2965 2 роки тому +2

    Definitely TPK. But a good battle

  • @henryortega9203
    @henryortega9203 2 роки тому +1

    Love it!

  • @chadevans7519
    @chadevans7519 2 роки тому +1

    It feels like Aaron sent a sibko instead of veterans for this fight.

  • @daggettpyrox8512
    @daggettpyrox8512 2 роки тому +1

    Nice one! I like it! 👍
    But… what about Kevin?

  • @tciaravino
    @tciaravino 2 роки тому +1

    Time to retire those yellow dice!

  • @RecklessFables
    @RecklessFables Місяць тому +1

    Is that Turbo Dork color shift paint?

    • @DeathfromAboveWargaming
      @DeathfromAboveWargaming  Місяць тому +1

      It is not - but Turbo Dork is the best name ever lol

    • @RecklessFables
      @RecklessFables Місяць тому

      Yeah, and they make some very fun paints. How did you do the color shift on the Timber Wolf?​@@DeathfromAboveWargaming

    • @RecklessFables
      @RecklessFables Місяць тому +1

      Ah, looking very closely it isn't shifting. Looks like blending with an airbrush maybe?

    • @DeathfromAboveWargaming
      @DeathfromAboveWargaming  Місяць тому

      Yah exactly - Thom did an amazing job with the airbrushed nebula effect! All his handiwork here.

  • @benrossy2k
    @benrossy2k 2 роки тому +1

    You sure that isn't Comstar clan mechs 👀

  • @PureBrawler
    @PureBrawler 2 роки тому +1

    Where did you get that Warhammer model it's amazing

    • @DeathfromAboveWargaming
      @DeathfromAboveWargaming  2 роки тому +1

      Daniel-san 3D printed it

    • @PureBrawler
      @PureBrawler 2 роки тому +1

      @@DeathfromAboveWargaming is this STL available to buy? One of the coolest prints I have ever seen.

    • @DeathfromAboveWargaming
      @DeathfromAboveWargaming  2 роки тому

      I believe it is a Polygon Masterworks model… so should be available.

  • @ultrazerglings2233
    @ultrazerglings2233 2 роки тому +1

    Night Gyr is named after the Gyrfalcon, not a cow lol. I'd still take a Warhawk over that particular falcon o7

    • @DeathfromAboveWargaming
      @DeathfromAboveWargaming  2 роки тому +1

      The whole gyrfalcon thing is a cover up… it was definitely supposed to be the night cow but the clan media had a field day with it, so the engineers pretended it was an April Fool’s joke (huge holiday in clan space) and scrambled to find a suitable bird.

  • @sebastiang.5032
    @sebastiang.5032 2 роки тому +1

    You big deceivers! I was promised a Battletech:Destiny BatRep (as per the thumbnail), but got Alpha Strike instead! That's nearly Capellan-treachery levels of evil! 😜 Just kidding, every DFA BatRep is a good BatRep. 🐺🤟

  • @SBBurzmali
    @SBBurzmali 2 роки тому

    Yet another match that seems to have been largely decided by initiative rolls...

  • @uialion1740
    @uialion1740 2 роки тому +1

    I dislike Clan Nova Cat because the guy playing them called Delta Galaxy a second line force! (Kidding). I am just a big CGB player, if an Omni Trinary and Elemental Binary of my own and my Discord pic in Camospecs is not clue enough.
    Awesome game, thanks for another project well done.

    • @DeathfromAboveWargaming
      @DeathfromAboveWargaming  2 роки тому

      Haha yah yah sometimes the lore and mechs and forces are tough to line up 😛 Thanks for watching!!

  • @verysilentmouse
    @verysilentmouse 2 роки тому

    I also think that both sides should have had a faster unit with tmm 3 or 4

  • @Kanas83
    @Kanas83 2 роки тому +1

    Team Spirit Cat and Sea Fox

  • @verysilentmouse
    @verysilentmouse 2 роки тому +2

    Madcat turn 6 should have been dead because -1 tmm with the motive hit

    • @DeathfromAboveWargaming
      @DeathfromAboveWargaming  2 роки тому +1

      Yah I noticed when I edited but such is life! At least there was no tangible impact to the game - Dan had it in the bag at that point.

  • @stormcrow28
    @stormcrow28 2 роки тому

    Still sad we never see any classic bt anymore. Alpha Strike and Destiny lack the detail I enjoy from Classic.

  • @mathewkelly9968
    @mathewkelly9968 2 роки тому +2

    Yeh fully who would play Word of Blake ?
    Well at least a Clan force is actually going to get a win on the board ....... because they're fighting other Clanners lol

  • @gavincross2902
    @gavincross2902 2 роки тому +1

    Nice. The non-sensical Jihad killed BT. stay clear. Lol

    • @DeathfromAboveWargaming
      @DeathfromAboveWargaming  2 роки тому

      Haha truth!

    • @briane8627
      @briane8627 2 роки тому +3

      @@DeathfromAboveWargaming I, on the other hand, would love to see the wobbies make it to DFA!

    • @DeathfromAboveWargaming
      @DeathfromAboveWargaming  2 роки тому +1

      If anyone would do it, Thom would.

    • @briane8627
      @briane8627 2 роки тому +3

      @@DeathfromAboveWargaming that's why he's the people's champ! 🏆

    • @gavincross2902
      @gavincross2902 2 роки тому +1

      @@DeathfromAboveWargaming lol

  • @joshkellemen5931
    @joshkellemen5931 2 роки тому

    3068 was jihad, classic era doesn't end until end of fed com war in 3067

    • @DeathfromAboveWargaming
      @DeathfromAboveWargaming  2 роки тому +2

      Splitting hairs - all the same amorphous narrative soup between the clan invasion and ilclan.

    • @joshkellemen5931
      @joshkellemen5931 2 роки тому +1

      @@DeathfromAboveWargaming that would be one perspective on one of my top three shared narrative universes of my youth I guess. To me there is a very clear through line on both tech and history from 3025-3067 with the first "amorphous soup" only happening with the intentionally disjointed (and intentionally amorphously filled in) jihad and dark age eras. Followed up by the tightly focused "pardoe over all" late Republic and early ilkhan era
      End of invasion through end of fed com civil war is fascinatingly complex in the techs and mechs and conflicts which develop over these 15 years.
      C3, C3i, more and more arrow IV units, more tsm, more melee, inner sphere Omni, ecm and counter ecm. Rotary autocanons, heavy and light ppcs, capacitors, inner sphere battle armor, clan battle armor. Each year of this 15 year period gives a different balance but not one that totally changes things like WoB.
      Marik liao vs fed com, St Ives vs liao, jade falcon vs steel viper, ghost bear combine (with nova cats), hell horses with their clan armor/vehicles combined arms. Fed com civil war with all this tech in play.
      To me this is not splitting hairs or a narrative soup. This is important stuff for most of the fandom. I think you are an outlier to say that anything after end of active invasion is soup.

    • @DeathfromAboveWargaming
      @DeathfromAboveWargaming  2 роки тому

      I’m just messing. Take a breath my friend. Love your passion.

  • @verrezen
    @verrezen Рік тому +1

    That pilot die mechanic makes no sense. Yeah, it speeds things up but it makes that single pilot dice waaaaay to important. And no, the statistics don’t work out. The distribution curve is very scewed when compared to the normal rolls.

    • @DeathfromAboveWargaming
      @DeathfromAboveWargaming  Рік тому

      Appreciate the comment, and understand your knee-jerk reaction - but check your math. Specifically, look up how independent probabilities work and build a spreadsheet to simulate the rolls or calc the probabilities for you.
      Roll 2d6 or 4000d6, you will always have the same chance to roll a given number on any one die.
      From a probability to hit perspective, the pilot die mechanic sits somewhere between the RAW 2d6 method and the optional “multiple attack rolls” rule.

    • @verrezen
      @verrezen Рік тому +1

      @@DeathfromAboveWargaming Thanks for the quick response. I’ll check later. My comment was not about the average chance to hit but the distribution. Let me explain. Say you have 4 pips and a target number of 8. If you roll a one on the pilot die in round 1 and 2 (1 chance in 36) you do 0 damage whatever your second dies roll. True, if you roll sixes twice you ace the shots if you avoid 1’s on the second die and statistically over 4000 rolls it will check out. But the distribution curve will be very different.
      In the pilot die system the example (all 8 misses no matter what the second die is) = about 3%. With the old system it is about 1%.
      The pilot die system flattens out the distribution curve but I need to check that to be sure what the shape is.
      Correct me if I’m wrong because math classes are 30 years in my past. ;) ( yeah, I played the original original classic battletech)

    • @DeathfromAboveWargaming
      @DeathfromAboveWargaming  Рік тому

      Right but if you need an 8 and roll 2d6, the same thing applies… if you roll a 1 on the first dice, you are going to miss no matter what you roll on the second.

    • @verrezen
      @verrezen Рік тому +1

      @@DeathfromAboveWargaming Yes, nut the chances of that happening eight times in a row are far less likely to happen than just twice in a row. As I said, statistically ON AVERAGE it is the same. But the likelihood of getting extreem results is way higher as so much depends on a flat d6 roll instead of multiple bell-curved 2d6 rolls..

    • @DeathfromAboveWargaming
      @DeathfromAboveWargaming  Рік тому

      I’m not sure we are on the same page.
      Let’s assume you need an 8+ to hit.
      In the 2d6 method you attack four times over four turns. You roll dice A and dice B. In this regard you roll dice A four times. The probability of getting a 1 four times in a row on dice A is 1 in 1296.
      In the pilot die method, you roll four times as well. You roll dice A (the pilot die) and n number of dice B. The chance of getting a 1 four times in a row on dice A is still 1:1296.
      In the 2d6 method you are only able to have ALL or NONE results. There is no gradient of damage, so while the argument about extreme results is a common perception (and for certain TNs can feel very boom/bust), it is not really supported by the data when compared to the RAW method. Actually the pilot die method is more likely to “do something” than “do everything” or “do nothing”. So in that regard you are right that the average damage over some number of turns will eventually converge between the two methods.
      Apply the same logic of independent (dice A) probabilities to any TN. If its 4+, all I need is a 4 or better on one dice (50%) to hit everything.
      I am not saying the probability to do X damage is identical - its not. But as mentioned in an earlier comment, it is statistically between the RAW 2d6 method and the optional “multiple attack rolls” rule in the Commander’s Edition.