Can you tell me the name of or link of the channel Ian(New world econ) were talking about. That military guy back from Afghanistan. Who does the interview.
Amazing colaboration thank you . I'm proficient in russian and I Watch telegramm channels and I must Say that the info that you provide Is on the Money ! 👍 If you Need info you can ask me .
My reasons are West cant afford to lose , so is russia. Goal is soften russia by sending ukrainians endlessly then polish fighters. By end of this russia will be end of their weapon supply. Russians will be frustrated by this endless war. They thought the war would have been over in 3 months. It clearly shows putin had bad intelligence about ukraine. Putin went in there to protect crimea. For him it has to be done but issue for russia is ....Ukraine is a stalker running near house... if you let stalker walk around , you are inviting trouble. I can clearly see West subjudicate russia with missile strike to assasinate putin and russian leadership and pay off russian generals. it will happen end of this year or beginning of 2024
Great collab! I am so tired of western media lies and misinformation. Kudos to you for bringing us deep and educated analysis of the front. Please do this again. Thanks
I'm glad DPA got to share a Map... xD Being able to see what areas everyone is talking about.. makes it easier to follow along. (Also, DPA's Arrow drawings are 2nd to none.. xD)
One big thing I like about weeb is that he usually will point out topography in the battle area which is very important in regards to artillery, communications and reconnaissance.
Great work guys every interesting...one question is have is a "what if" question. What if the RaF was brought in and heavy bombers were used on Ukr fortified positions? This is taking for granted that Ukr AD can be eliminated. It seems that supply lines being cut in the West is another thing that could change the out come here being bridges and actual locomotives not just electrical power but the diesel locomotives being hit. Anyways just some macro thoughts it would save a lot of weeks of slogging.
This is one of the very best Russo Ukraine war analysis with 4 super cool analysts. Hope you guys get together once a month or so. Super cool and fun to watch everyone's contribution.
also Lithuania's gas pipeline blew up last night (the anniversary of Lithuania's break away from of the USSR) after they tried to increase flow capacity back in December to offset their sanctions on Russia the mayor seems to think it was bombed “There were unexpected sounds, it seemed as if planes were flying somewhere low - a high-pressure gas pipeline exploded on the side of Valakėliai, on the Pasvalys-Šiauliai road, a couple of kilometres from Pasvalys," said District Mayor Gintautas Gegužinskas. According to the Baltic News Service, the pipeline carries natural gas from Klaipeda in eastern Lithuania to Latvia. Klaipeda sits on the Baltic Sea and is the only major seaport in Lithuania. so Lithuania & latvia might have a rather cold end to winter/ukraine wont be the only humanitarian disaster/failed state europe is dealing with by the end of winter because even though the second line that carrys 260,000 is still operating the one that blew carried 270,000 so they have lost just over 1/2 their flow which will mean all the ppl at the end of line, the poor, miss out because even if america could ship enough gas to their one port, their capacity to move it out is now 1/2 what it was a week ago
Hi guys, nice work, thanks! One point to the some difficult sound (most bad understanding by room resonances). Go near to the mic and use a eq to reduce the room frequencies around 150 to 400 Hz. For DPA, try to rise a little between 2000 and 4500 Hz for clearing up your voice.
Can you tell me the name of or link of the channel Ian(New world econ) were talking about. That military guy back from Afghanistan. Who does the interview.
Thank you for your analysis. You are really doing a good sense and enlightening us. Unbiased and logical analysis out of this world. You are the best guys.
Well done all! I just have to point out Ian’s prediction that once soledar falls, soon crimea will become vulnerable through melitopul. Soledar has already fallen and crimea is never a possibility.
Is everybody using a special NATO supplied phone? (or is it me) Should I check back in a bit to use the close caption text so any reply is 'more focused'?
Tnx you boys - do you really consider they will open new front at north and go thought some troubles like last time? An very favorable option is at table for RU - The main attack from Zaparoznie front ( open area, easy logistic from Crimea, small towns easy to bypass and block , no heavily fortified lines of defense ) in general direction in between Pavlohrad and Pokrovsk- the support effort east of Kharkiv in direction of Balakliya and Izyum again. After that they can achieve their main goals which are some from beginning of war - surround or force to retreat all AU unit from Donbass. Even if they take Bahmutm Siversk and all that part they will have to face main defensive line Slovyansk - Kramatorsk -Konstantyivka which is the worst kind of urban area to fight i quess they will avoid that scenario
Why are you dreaming? You just talk random nonsense. If they could not do it in half a year, you think the ruzzians suddenly opens new fronts and just push through? You think they wouldnt have done that if they could?
@@1991slsd It is very real option - with new mobilized troops they more than enough sufficient force structure to do it - taking all Donbass area is their goal from beginning
@@tonycugura1866 no, you think poorly trained conscripts will somehow just push through? That is why ruzzia is planning a new mobilisation? Ruzzia had more equipment and artillery shells half a year ago, also better trained regular troops. But now they will simply push through? Lol
@@tonycugura1866 again, you are just talking random stuff. Ukraine with newly mobilised troops can take over ruzzia. Or maybe not? Who knows, it just some random thoughts, same as yours
We're not live! Ahahahahhaa love the humor and chemistry. All four of you guys looks like good friends that can just drink beer together and talk for days on end.
Lemme just say this: you guys gave a lot more thorough analysis, than the so-called "experts" at these MSMs, such as Sky News, or DW, for example. Also, if I may make suggestions for your next livestream: 1. You should analyze the news coverage on your respective region (North America, Asia, Europe), regarding this conflict, for example, how different regions view the sanctions on Russia, or the West supplying weapons to Ukraine. And please include the other regions as well (Africa and Australia, Latin America), if possible. 2. (this is proabably for individual presenter here) You should consider inviting "Willy OAM" to share his perspective, if possible, especially since he's been to Ukraine and has interviewed people who were directly involved in the conflict. Good job for the livestream, gentlemen!
It really is a waste of time to anylise the MSN. They have been given their scripts from "propaganda Ukraine", and are not permitted to stray from said script. Otherwise they will be sanctioned by the usa. They are a zelinsky. ( aka a joke).
Opytne is captured definitely more than Spirne. There was a time when both UKR and RU MoD report capture of Opytne once every two days but none reports that it was lost.
There's been a lot of comments here about how Russia might push into Ukrainian lines, but precisely zero information about how Ukraine could push into the Russian lines. Will it be more militarily advantageous to push on Popasna or Lusychansk/SieveroDonetsk? Both options will cut off a huge chunk of the Russian army and will relieve the Sieversk-Bahmut front. Of course, there's a lot of speculation on how breaching Kreminna and going into the sparsely populated regions of the northern Lugansk oblast could get both locations encircled - do you believe that is the current plan? How large of a "goodwill gesture" we are talking here, about 50k troops and about 20k square miles of territory?
@@seadfacic2924 Somehow, that didn't stop UAF from making significant pushes in the past. Documented losses have decreased, if anything, over the last three months since high-intensity of the Kherson offensive. So the ability is there; it's just that very few reporters ever do any reports about Ukrainian counter-offensives, which is baffling.
@@fare-5174 IDK where you live but here in Europe is the opposite.The media is totaly on Ukranian side.Propaganda in Ukraines favour 100%. And again-at this moment Ukraine cant do offensives.They have to wait for hardweare.
Since the end of 2022 February, the regular Russian forces have not launched major infantry or armored attacks, only the artillery and air force are working and shredding the Ukrainians, who have already lost more than 300,000 soldiers. This is called battle of attrition, the main object right now is not to take territory, but to reduce the combat capability of the AFU. Soledar was also taken by the Wagner group. I think that the Russians will only launch an all-out decisive attack when, due to the lack of trained Ukrainian non-commissioned officers, the Ukrainian forces will no longer be able to mount a coordinated resistance. Then they can attack them with an army, which by then had swelled to 600-700 thousand people, which is triple the size of their initial army, and sweep them off the map.
Agree with History Legends mostly. Cutting the M04 north of Bakhmut is a major target. If can take the T0513/M04 interchange, the optimal strategy for Russia is to then thrust up the M04 to the canal and then north to the river, preferably taking Mykolaivka which would basically make the T0514 unusable at Raihorodok. Even if the Russians cannot make this push because of Ukrainian resistance, it will be because Ukraine needs to prioritize this defence over Bakhmut and Seversk. If progress slows on this advance, then drive directly north to Seversk advancing on the high ground on both sides of the T0513 road so can fire down into the towns along the river. SInce Seversk is the key to protecting Kreminna that should take priority. But continue effort to take Klishchiivka, then advance through the southern suburbs of Bakhmut to take Ivanivske from two sides. Just let Ukrainians stay in Bakhmut and pound them from the heights---the fish in a barrel. However need Bakhmut to advance onto Kostyantynivka with emphasis on the south so as to make supplying the southern cities hard.
I don't buy that the Ukrainians can just set up another defense line like the one that the Russians have encountered in the Bakhmut region. They will have suffered way too many losses: personnel, equipment, and morale. If the Russians can achieve a definitive breakthrough north of Bakhmut and cut it off from the west they can dramatically reduce the possibility of any real defense line being set up, much less a super strong one.
@@fk4410 Understood. But the purpose of defense in depth is NOT to fight to the last man on the first defense line like the Ukrainians have done in Bakhmut. Who will they have left after all of this to man the fortifications in Kramatorsk/Slavyansk?
What if the opening of new front ll be different? Wouldnt it make sense for Russians to start offensive in 3 directions at once to apply old good divide and conquer rule? Norhern offensive through Černigov region towards kiev alojng Dnepr river to cut the northern supply lines , deal ideological damage by being at capitols gate forcing ukrainian general staff to reinforce Kiev on the expense of eastern front since as we have seen lately , political vicotries t end to be prefered over tactical decisions. If that attack would be followed by offensive from south towards Zaporozhie and city of Dnipro , it would cut the southern supply line and leave whole south eastern frontline vulnerable to attacks from several directions , while the amunition would be scarce. Any bigger groupings of force that might be redirected towards those cities would have to be sent hastily , most likely poorly equipped and easily spotted by russian rocket artilery and targeted on their way. If coupled with destruction of certain bridges , the help could be delayed so much they wouldnt be able to arrive in the most crucial moment. Even if the russians wouldnt be able to capture those cities , the weakining of eastern frontline could allow them for breakthrough in several key areas. If such action were to happen russian could attack from third direction from north of Kharkiv to split the forces in half , while not neccesarily for purpose of capturing teritories , but simply by tiing huge chunks of ukrainian forces and equipment to them , preventing them from strenghtening other regions. Goal number one is to protect Kyiv , no doubt about that , but doing so with limited resources would come at price. Most likely elite units would be called for that task in combination with mechanized brigades leaving other areas vulnerable. On the other hand if such offensives were to take place while no important cities would be captured, it could shake the seats under russian general staff and high rankling politicians.
What you wanna look for, is where Russia wants to be when or if Ukraine gets the gear from the West. Which is probably going to be an easily defendable place. Like in Kherson. Draw the line there and it's where Russians are going to be in the spring.
Same view I had 6 months ago. Russia gave up on negotiations when Moscow claimed the 4 districts, securing that border is only a month away. Due to Brussels shipping big bore weapons east of the river Russia has to control the military hardware that is there. Their goal is 'zero pieces', Kyiv (Brussels) will not stop shipping in such weapons, so east of the river will become an 'occupied territory', patrolled by hunter/killer drones. Farming and industrial hardware will be moving as the goal will be to export what you can as that is income for the residents. Russia picks up the tab without any cost to the locals, unlike it is for Russian citizens. 10 years later a local government can be voted in, or the occupation can be continued for another decade, at minimal costs for experts. West of the river will be free from any NATO supplied weapons crossing the border, without being attacked and destroyed. The locals will be the ones to demand it stops. Then the power comes back on. 1+1 doesn't always equal 11 in the real world.
I have no dog in this fight so call me neutral. I just try to analyse the strategic situation. I'm not a militairy expert but in my opinion there are only 2 options for Russia to be succesfull. They need to stop the supplies from te West or the West must stop supplying Ukrain on their own. I don't see these conditions happening in the future. Weapons will continue to enter via Poland and the West keep sending more and better weapons. Therefore Now this conflict has become a war of attricion Russia will have to widraw in the end because they fail to cut of the supplies.
Each one of you do excellent analysis in your own right. When you come together and break your perspective against one another's it became better still. You should do this again. Thank you for great content. Also, I understand you are young men at the top of your game in an exhilerating world. I just want to remind you that for some, this war is very tragic. Imagine someone watching this content in ten years time who lost a loved one in this war. So be young men, and do pay homage to entertainment, that is UA-cam, but can be good idea to end on a serious note or throw something in there that just, well, you know what I mean. Just a thought.
My prediction: Russians build up 2 strike forces in the north and south of Donbass, cut off Eastern Ukraine from resupply by hitting the Dniepr bridges, and apply 2 large pincers, cutting off the main Ukrainian army in the Donbas. It's an ambitious plan not unlike operation Uranus in WWII, but with 500,000 men it can be done. It makes more sense than attacking Kharkov, Kiev or Lviv, as this would disperse their forces too far from each other.
I don't think he is pro Russian. Lol. There is so much brain dead propaganda going around that apparently just being neutral is labeled as pro Russian....
They tried. They failed. They retreated. Now it's time for Ukraine to make Russia land-locked (according to NCD who had been prophetic about a lot of idiocy that happened in this war).
so apparently Ukraine has a new air defence strategy, not shooting down missiles so they dont reveal their position..... apparently they didnt even try to intercept the latest wave of russian missiles according to military summary channel for fear they would be destroyed by the second wave of course if you dont try to shoot them down theirs no reason to send a second wave because first wave takes out its targets... a perfect air defence strategy? or do i detect a fatal flaw ? :P
Ukraine probably should never have been a country in the first place. It's infrastructure and fragmented society wasn't remotely prepared enough to manage itself when the USSR collapsed.
The problem of Ukraine is the same as Russia. Corruption, and as a result the country´s wealth is controlled by people who don´t care about the population. And why would they? The oligarchs belong to a different tribe of people.
@@JurisZiverts Because the pro-russians left. A jewish president doenst mean much when your army capture something and start nazi saluting and seig heiling.
@@JurisZiverts Nah, when trials come who called the banderite police and where their neighbours disapeared, every Ukrainian is going to claim wasn't me, I was against the nationalists, I didn't beat people tied up to the poles, I don't mind different language speaking neighbours, I didn't know this is a nazi symbol,...
The area of land known by many as "Ukraine" and that self-identifies as "a country" and who's pronouns are "sovereign" and "independent" was just a collection of Soviet administrative oblasts slapped together by Stalin. The USSR also included parts of Poland and Hungary and Romania in "Ukraine" too. The whole thing should have been broken up like Yugoslavia at the end of the cold war. There are big areas with no shared language, history and culture that would probably work better separately.
You want offensives to be mutually supportive. That is, in an extreme example, attacking to the east and to the west simultaneously is stupid if you can avoid it, because they are completely independent. Keep your offensives near each other with the ability to link up and they will be mutually supportive. So: do NOT attack along the Polish border, that is insane. Attacking from north to south in the east is much better.
Part 2 has been out for 38 minutes people go check it out: ua-cam.com/video/jJWkO9Hc8GI/v-deo.html&ab_channel=WeebUnion
Already watched
Can you tell me the name of or link of the channel Ian(New world econ) were talking about. That military guy back from Afghanistan. Who does the interview.
@@hunnysingh2489 www.youtube.com/@willyOAM
Amazing colaboration thank you . I'm proficient in russian and I Watch telegramm channels and I must Say that the info that you provide Is on the Money ! 👍 If you Need info you can ask me .
My reasons are West cant afford to lose , so is russia. Goal is soften russia by sending ukrainians endlessly then polish fighters. By end of this russia will be end of their weapon supply. Russians will be frustrated by this endless war. They thought the war would have been over in 3 months. It clearly shows putin had bad intelligence about ukraine.
Putin went in there to protect crimea. For him it has to be done but issue for russia is ....Ukraine is a stalker running near house... if you let stalker walk around , you are inviting trouble.
I can clearly see West subjudicate russia with missile strike to assasinate putin and russian leadership and pay off russian generals. it will happen end of this year or beginning of 2024
This is the highest ranking meeting of arm chair generals ever convened.
Security Council Member's Meeting
Great collab! I am so tired of western media lies and misinformation. Kudos to you for bringing us deep and educated analysis of the front. Please do this again. Thanks
I'm glad DPA got to share a Map... xD
Being able to see what areas everyone is talking about.. makes it easier to follow along.
(Also, DPA's Arrow drawings are 2nd to none.. xD)
You guys are doing an excellent job! Bravo 👏!
Love this, most of the good guys in one place.
One big thing I like about weeb is that he usually will point out topography in the battle area which is very important in regards to artillery, communications and reconnaissance.
I watched all the 3 parts ... And god you guys nailde it ... That's the kind of work we need ... Do it more bravooo❤️
Great work guys every interesting...one question is have is a "what if" question. What if the RaF was brought in and heavy bombers were used on Ukr fortified positions? This is taking for granted that Ukr AD can be eliminated. It seems that supply lines being cut in the West is another thing that could change the out come here being bridges and actual locomotives not just electrical power but the diesel locomotives being hit. Anyways just some macro thoughts it would save a lot of weeks of slogging.
This is one of the very best Russo Ukraine war analysis with 4 super cool analysts. Hope you guys get together once a month or so. Super cool and fun to watch everyone's contribution.
THESE 4 GUYS KNOW MORE THAN all those crappy generals we hear from on the news
Great discussion. I'm hoping for a quick end to this war, but realize it may take some time.
Nato: sends tanks
Russia: feed me more
Gladly
I would love @DouglasAMacgregor to be invited and have him grade you all on your presentations. I think he'll be pretty impressed.
That would be so cool..;)
The hilarious thing about Spirne is that in english it means "Contested".
Part 1 and part 2 were great waiting for part 3.
also Lithuania's gas pipeline blew up last night (the anniversary of Lithuania's break away from of the USSR) after they tried to increase flow capacity back in December to offset their sanctions on Russia
the mayor seems to think it was bombed
“There were unexpected sounds, it seemed as if planes were flying somewhere low - a high-pressure gas pipeline exploded on the side of Valakėliai, on the Pasvalys-Šiauliai road, a couple of kilometres from Pasvalys," said District Mayor Gintautas Gegužinskas.
According to the Baltic News Service, the pipeline carries natural gas from Klaipeda in eastern Lithuania to Latvia. Klaipeda sits on the Baltic Sea and is the only major seaport in Lithuania.
so Lithuania & latvia might have a rather cold end to winter/ukraine wont be the only humanitarian disaster/failed state europe is dealing with by the end of winter because even though the second line that carrys 260,000 is still operating the one that blew carried 270,000 so they have lost just over 1/2 their flow which will mean all the ppl at the end of line, the poor, miss out
because even if america could ship enough gas to their one port, their capacity to move it out is now 1/2 what it was a week ago
Good work guys. Great three parter. Keep up the good work. Hard to get real news in the US.
My favorite combination of analysts!!!
Brian Berletic, Douglas McGregor and Alexander Mercouris would have made this even better...but yes this is excellent!!!
thank you very much guys, i like this collaberation, and nice to see you guys are having fun.
Informative and knowledgeable
part 3 is going to be soo good that they don't need part 2
Hi guys, nice work, thanks! One point to the some difficult sound (most bad understanding by room resonances). Go near to the mic and use a eq to reduce the room frequencies around 150 to 400 Hz. For DPA, try to rise a little between 2000 and 4500 Hz for clearing up your voice.
Great to see 4 young people seeking and exposing the TRUTH!!!!
Can you tell me the name of or link of the channel Ian(New world econ) were talking about. That military guy back from Afghanistan. Who does the interview.
www.youtube.com/@willyOAM
Great info guys! Real information form real data. Keep up the good work!
Thank you for your analysis. You are really doing a good sense and enlightening us. Unbiased and logical analysis out of this world. You are the best guys.
Thank you all 4 of you. I would like to see more of this kind.
Part 2?
Great job, guys. Thanks.
Well done all! I just have to point out Ian’s prediction that once soledar falls, soon crimea will become vulnerable through melitopul. Soledar has already fallen and crimea is never a possibility.
All my best in one place,just tickles every fiber of nerves in my body
Is everybody using a special NATO supplied phone? (or is it me)
Should I check back in a bit to use the close caption text so any reply is 'more focused'?
Excellent program respect to all of you
this is a great team of advisers
Tnx you boys - do you really consider they will open new front at north and go thought some troubles like last time? An very favorable option is at table for RU - The main attack from Zaparoznie front ( open area, easy logistic from Crimea, small towns easy to bypass and block , no heavily fortified lines of defense ) in general direction in between Pavlohrad and Pokrovsk- the support effort east of Kharkiv in direction of Balakliya and Izyum again. After that they can achieve their main goals which are some from beginning of war - surround or force to retreat all AU unit from Donbass. Even if they take Bahmutm Siversk and all that part they will have to face main defensive line Slovyansk - Kramatorsk -Konstantyivka which is the worst kind of urban area to fight i quess they will avoid that scenario
Why are you dreaming? You just talk random nonsense. If they could not do it in half a year, you think the ruzzians suddenly opens new fronts and just push through? You think they wouldnt have done that if they could?
@@1991slsd It is very real option - with new mobilized troops they more than enough sufficient force structure to do it - taking all Donbass area is their goal from beginning
@@tonycugura1866 no, you think poorly trained conscripts will somehow just push through? That is why ruzzia is planning a new mobilisation? Ruzzia had more equipment and artillery shells half a year ago, also better trained regular troops. But now they will simply push through? Lol
@@1991slsd Yea, it is my humble opinion, obviously you have different one so lets close this discussion.
@@tonycugura1866 again, you are just talking random stuff. Ukraine with newly mobilised troops can take over ruzzia. Or maybe not? Who knows, it just some random thoughts, same as yours
I am so sorry I can put one 👍🏼only.
It was amazing, very entertaining and very educational.
Thank you for your efforts guys
We're not live!
Ahahahahhaa love the humor and chemistry. All four of you guys looks like good friends that can just drink beer together and talk for days on end.
Great session guys much appreciated
Lemme just say this: you guys gave a lot more thorough analysis, than the so-called "experts" at these MSMs, such as Sky News, or DW, for example. Also, if I may make suggestions for your next livestream: 1. You should analyze the news coverage on your respective region (North America, Asia, Europe), regarding this conflict, for example, how different regions view the sanctions on Russia, or the West supplying weapons to Ukraine. And please include the other regions as well (Africa and Australia, Latin America), if possible. 2. (this is proabably for individual presenter here) You should consider inviting "Willy OAM" to share his perspective, if possible, especially since he's been to Ukraine and has interviewed people who were directly involved in the conflict.
Good job for the livestream, gentlemen!
It really is a waste of time to anylise the MSN. They have been given their scripts from "propaganda Ukraine", and are not permitted to stray from said script. Otherwise they will be sanctioned by the usa. They are a zelinsky. ( aka a joke).
Opytne is captured definitely more than Spirne. There was a time when both UKR and RU MoD report capture of Opytne once every two days but none reports that it was lost.
Where can get raibaar report channel link please
There's been a lot of comments here about how Russia might push into Ukrainian lines, but precisely zero information about how Ukraine could push into the Russian lines. Will it be more militarily advantageous to push on Popasna or Lusychansk/SieveroDonetsk? Both options will cut off a huge chunk of the Russian army and will relieve the Sieversk-Bahmut front.
Of course, there's a lot of speculation on how breaching Kreminna and going into the sparsely populated regions of the northern Lugansk oblast could get both locations encircled - do you believe that is the current plan? How large of a "goodwill gesture" we are talking here, about 50k troops and about 20k square miles of territory?
Kreminna is not a worry for Russia because it is easy to defend.. Zaporonye is easier to cut of and that's why most troops are located there..
They attack kreminna and svatovo since weeks, lost man and go back to her positions. Everyday they failed and lost man.
That's bacause Ukraine can not do offensive manuvers at the moment.Without tanks from the west they can only defend and pray to God.
@@seadfacic2924 Somehow, that didn't stop UAF from making significant pushes in the past. Documented losses have decreased, if anything, over the last three months since high-intensity of the Kherson offensive. So the ability is there; it's just that very few reporters ever do any reports about Ukrainian counter-offensives, which is baffling.
@@fare-5174 IDK where you live but here in Europe is the opposite.The media is totaly on Ukranian side.Propaganda in Ukraines favour 100%.
And again-at this moment Ukraine cant do offensives.They have to wait for hardweare.
I see only part one and part three, what about the part in between ?
it came out as you wrote this
@@WeebUnionWU , I watched it, it was good 🤘.
Since the end of 2022 February, the regular Russian forces have not launched major infantry or armored attacks, only the artillery and air force are working and shredding the Ukrainians, who have already lost more than 300,000 soldiers. This is called battle of attrition, the main object right now is not to take territory, but to reduce the combat capability of the AFU. Soledar was also taken by the Wagner group. I think that the Russians will only launch an all-out decisive attack when, due to the lack of trained Ukrainian non-commissioned officers, the Ukrainian forces will no longer be able to mount a coordinated resistance. Then they can attack them with an army, which by then had swelled to 600-700 thousand people, which is triple the size of their initial army, and sweep them off the map.
Agree with History Legends mostly. Cutting the M04 north of Bakhmut is a major target. If can take the T0513/M04 interchange, the optimal strategy for Russia is to then thrust up the M04 to the canal and then north to the river, preferably taking Mykolaivka which would basically make the T0514 unusable at Raihorodok. Even if the Russians cannot make this push because of Ukrainian resistance, it will be because Ukraine needs to prioritize this defence over Bakhmut and Seversk. If progress slows on this advance, then drive directly north to Seversk advancing on the high ground on both sides of the T0513 road so can fire down into the towns along the river. SInce Seversk is the key to protecting Kreminna that should take priority. But continue effort to take Klishchiivka, then advance through the southern suburbs of Bakhmut to take Ivanivske from two sides. Just let Ukrainians stay in Bakhmut and pound them from the heights---the fish in a barrel.
However need Bakhmut to advance onto Kostyantynivka with emphasis on the south so as to make supplying the southern cities hard.
25:36 Fun fact that Spornoe means "controversial".
very nice keep it up!!!
DPA really sounds like Uncle Roger 😂
This isn't 100% objective until you have at least one guy on here saying Ukraine will be in Moscow by February.
🤣🤣
I don't buy that the Ukrainians can just set up another defense line like the one that the Russians have encountered in the Bakhmut region. They will have suffered way too many losses: personnel, equipment, and morale. If the Russians can achieve a definitive breakthrough north of Bakhmut and cut it off from the west they can dramatically reduce the possibility of any real defense line being set up, much less a super strong one.
The kramatorsk sloviansk are is already build up for defense. Its the last of 3 lines they will have that was build over 8 years
@@fk4410 Understood. But the purpose of defense in depth is NOT to fight to the last man on the first defense line like the Ukrainians have done in Bakhmut. Who will they have left after all of this to man the fortifications in Kramatorsk/Slavyansk?
Love you guys 💪❤️
Russia will own all those NATO tanks and trucks when this is over. They will be a nice addition to the Russian Army.
To the russian Museum of Tank wreckages instead.
@@galimbertino4939 yes and take some ideas and improve the t-14 but they already had those tanks before
The Russians might buy them from the Ukrainians.
What if the opening of new front ll be different? Wouldnt it make sense for Russians to start offensive in 3 directions at once to apply old good divide and conquer rule? Norhern offensive through Černigov region towards kiev alojng Dnepr river to cut the northern supply lines , deal ideological damage by being at capitols gate forcing ukrainian general staff to reinforce Kiev on the expense of eastern front since as we have seen lately , political vicotries t end to be prefered over tactical decisions. If that attack would be followed by offensive from south towards Zaporozhie and city of Dnipro , it would cut the southern supply line and leave whole south eastern frontline vulnerable to attacks from several directions , while the amunition would be scarce. Any bigger groupings of force that might be redirected towards those cities would have to be sent hastily , most likely poorly equipped and easily spotted by russian rocket artilery and targeted on their way. If coupled with destruction of certain bridges , the help could be delayed so much they wouldnt be able to arrive in the most crucial moment. Even if the russians wouldnt be able to capture those cities , the weakining of eastern frontline could allow them for breakthrough in several key areas. If such action were to happen russian could attack from third direction from north of Kharkiv to split the forces in half , while not neccesarily for purpose of capturing teritories , but simply by tiing huge chunks of ukrainian forces and equipment to them , preventing them from strenghtening other regions. Goal number one is to protect Kyiv , no doubt about that , but doing so with limited resources would come at price. Most likely elite units would be called for that task in combination with mechanized brigades leaving other areas vulnerable. On the other hand if such offensives were to take place while no important cities would be captured, it could shake the seats under russian general staff and high rankling politicians.
Guys why part 3 ? I don’t see any part 2 uploaded
great video, excellent analysis, no sperging
This is such a great initiative
Can you please do captions in English when the Wyatt (DPA) speaks. The accent is a bit too thick
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Ill agree with history legends.
Well done guys
What you wanna look for, is where Russia wants to be when or if Ukraine gets the gear from the West. Which is probably going to be an easily defendable place. Like in Kherson. Draw the line there and it's where Russians are going to be in the spring.
Will say..about 2/5 mobilised reserve didnt event sent to action From Russia side..maybe more..
Wher is part 2
In soledar 😁
It came out after you wrote this comment xD
great team you 4 guys, you're not hard selling your product like the alex's, not repetitive seriously you guys get on better.
Great! Everyone learnt from the others. Still, the numbers/firepower will provide the momentum for the Russians,
Excellent brainstorming thanks
WAR IN UKRAINE: The fellowship of the analysts....
Klischiivka in the south and Sil railway station in the north reported fallen to the russians
Spirne (Ukrainian: Спі́рне; Russian: Спорное) literally means "debatable", "contested", "disputed". It's in the name.
After captured solidar and bakmooth. I don't think Russia not going to attack next town same aria. I think they will attack somewhere else
Same view I had 6 months ago. Russia gave up on negotiations when Moscow claimed the 4 districts, securing that border is only a month away. Due to Brussels shipping big bore weapons east of the river Russia has to control the military hardware that is there. Their goal is 'zero pieces', Kyiv (Brussels) will not stop shipping in such weapons, so east of the river will become an 'occupied territory', patrolled by hunter/killer drones. Farming and industrial hardware will be moving as the goal will be to export what you can as that is income for the residents. Russia picks up the tab without any cost to the locals, unlike it is for Russian citizens. 10 years later a local government can be voted in, or the occupation can be continued for another decade, at minimal costs for experts.
West of the river will be free from any NATO supplied weapons crossing the border, without being attacked and destroyed. The locals will be the ones to demand it stops. Then the power comes back on.
1+1 doesn't always equal 11 in the real world.
Ruzzians pushed one small town in 6 months and you think they will suddenly capture entire cities in 2 months? What are you smoking?
@@1991slsd Reality? How long before your only available is 'crow'.
That is a very big mortar isn't it?
Awesome!!
I have no dog in this fight so call me neutral. I just try to analyse the strategic situation. I'm not a militairy expert but in my opinion there are only 2 options for Russia to be succesfull. They need to stop the supplies from te West or the West must stop supplying Ukrain on their own.
I don't see these conditions happening in the future. Weapons will continue to enter via Poland and the West keep sending more and better weapons.
Therefore Now this conflict has become a war of attricion Russia will have to widraw in the end because they fail to cut of the supplies.
for some reason i feel like wyatt is right, in his theory of the russians going south
Great Collab
Each one of you do excellent analysis in your own right. When you come together and break your perspective against one another's it became better still. You should do this again. Thank you for great content.
Also, I understand you are young men at the top of your game in an exhilerating world. I just want to remind you that for some, this war is very tragic. Imagine someone watching this content in ten years time who lost a loved one in this war. So be young men, and do pay homage to entertainment, that is UA-cam, but can be good idea to end on a serious note or throw something in there that just, well, you know what I mean. Just a thought.
My prediction: Russians build up 2 strike forces in the north and south of Donbass, cut off Eastern Ukraine from resupply by hitting the Dniepr bridges, and apply 2 large pincers, cutting off the main Ukrainian army in the Donbas. It's an ambitious plan not unlike operation Uranus in WWII, but with 500,000 men it can be done. It makes more sense than attacking Kharkov, Kiev or Lviv, as this would disperse their forces too far from each other.
It's good to see history legends here the only pro Russian Canadian youtuber
I don't think he is pro Russian. Lol. There is so much brain dead propaganda going around that apparently just being neutral is labeled as pro Russian....
Yay Canada, where this morning ( Jan 15th) it's colder than the Bakmut front. Go Russia go, the world needs you to put the yankees in their place.
Interesting meeting of war profiteers :)
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ISW watched this and took notes.
Spirne translates into Dispute/ Disputed, so it lives up to it's name))))))
Muscling through was not the idea, The Russians have drawn Ukraine into a meatgrinder. Still, cutting oof supplies will work.
The four horsemen
4 of my favorite Ukraine war analyst in one frame great
We are not live xDD
😎😎😎😎♥️♥️♥️♥️👍👍👍👍👏👏👏👏
Very good vedeo guys, russian army need more people to get their goals, lets see what is going to happened.
nice!
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It seems that your intelligence is not as good as it was in first 3 months of the War...
Wouldn't you think they would focus on making Ukraine land locked to cut off outside supplies
They tried. They failed. They retreated. Now it's time for Ukraine to make Russia land-locked (according to NCD who had been prophetic about a lot of idiocy that happened in this war).
@@fare-5174 😂😂😂😂 you should take your comedy show on the road 😂 😂😂😂
@@fare-5174 are you one of the brothers of the black sun 😂😂 banderights
supplies literally go through poland, or did you mean like food supplies? like on ships and such.
@@FordFalcon1962nBlue yea ships
Historylegends: Kishievka will fall in a few days.
Today Russians took over Kishievka. It is really his fault. 😀
so apparently Ukraine has a new air defence strategy, not shooting down missiles so they dont reveal their position.....
apparently they didnt even try to intercept the latest wave of russian missiles according to military summary channel
for fear they would be destroyed by the second wave
of course if you dont try to shoot them down theirs no reason to send a second wave because first wave takes out its targets...
a perfect air defence strategy? or do i detect a fatal flaw ? :P
A map off 😍
Ukraine probably should never have been a country in the first place. It's infrastructure and fragmented society wasn't remotely prepared enough to manage itself when the USSR collapsed.
The problem of Ukraine is the same as Russia. Corruption, and as a result the country´s wealth is controlled by people who don´t care about the population. And why would they? The oligarchs belong to a different tribe of people.
@@JurisZiverts Because the pro-russians left. A jewish president doenst mean much when your army capture something and start nazi saluting and seig heiling.
@@JurisZiverts Nah, when trials come who called the banderite police and where their neighbours disapeared, every Ukrainian is going to claim wasn't me, I was against the nationalists, I didn't beat people tied up to the poles, I don't mind different language speaking neighbours, I didn't know this is a nazi symbol,...
An even bigger basket case than Belgium lol :DDD
The area of land known by many as "Ukraine" and that self-identifies as "a country" and who's pronouns are "sovereign" and "independent" was just a collection of Soviet administrative oblasts slapped together by Stalin. The USSR also included parts of Poland and Hungary and Romania in "Ukraine" too. The whole thing should have been broken up like Yugoslavia at the end of the cold war. There are big areas with no shared language, history and culture that would probably work better separately.
where is Denys Davydov? ROFLMFAO
You want offensives to be mutually supportive. That is, in an extreme example, attacking to the east and to the west simultaneously is stupid if you can avoid it, because they are completely independent. Keep your offensives near each other with the ability to link up and they will be mutually supportive. So: do NOT attack along the Polish border, that is insane. Attacking from north to south in the east is much better.
Four 🐐🐐🐐🐐💯👏🏻👏🏻