According to the owner of the company I work for, this single quarter has been more profitable than the last 6 combined, all thanks to "inflation." Which is to say, he heard there was inflation and jacked our prices by 25%, then blamed inflation. I have to assume this is not uncommon.
@@suzanpai9146 Indeed times are changing and the smart ones are using the oportunity to put down some investment, you don't have to be a pro to begin. The best way to start is to start.
@@angelabailey5823 Wow, thank you so much, information is quite easy to find when you have a clue of what you are looking for, I found her website and her credentials are very nice. thanks once more.
@@vanuchipaige4049 I think the pandemic and in general, the year 2021 has taught people the importance of multiple streams of income, the world is realizing that having a job doesn't mean financial freedom or security, I too have heard of this Suzanne before, she is one of the good ones.
Such wisdom and intelligent insight ! 15 minutes that every amateur investor should spend to learn about history and the present reality from some of the smartest guys on UA-cam.
@@nofurtherwest3474 population only benefits if that population contributes to GDP# otherwise they are a liability whose funding reduces the value of GDP. This is why the current # of baby boomers is worrisome.
Recently I've been really interested in investing into cryptocurrency, but it's strange how people talk about all the profits they have been making through trading of bitcoin. While am here not making any profit at all, please can someone put me through on the right path or at least tell me what I'm doing wrong?.
@@jamesmarcus4105 That's true, most people today has been having a lot of failure in forex and crypto sector because of poor orientation and lack of experience.
If you listen carefully to Jeremy you will come to understand what is really happening right now. The higher the stock market climbs, the further it will fall. I have been burnt before by market euphoria, and I am seeing it again.
I’m no stock market expert but didn’t all stock market crashes all preceded by excessive speculation with no real value in the market bubble? For example, can land and property values be pushed above an intrinsic value? Same thing with immature technology or already mature commodity? Tesla might be pushing the limits and also crash but is it pushing the limits of physics? That is for highly knowledgeable people to comment, I think.
Well it is America so it will get saved. No matter what happens, disasters, pandemics, plagues, war, terrorism etc, the Govt or administrations in power will always put the stock market first. Anytime anything ever happens, they don't save the people, the citizens, the poor, the homeless, the jobless, they pump the markets with steroids and artificially save the 1% and the lucky upper class that actually have enough money on the sidelines to invest. America doesn't care about the bottom, only their precious markets. I'm not worried, I am 45, prepared to lose it all but everything I have ever worked for is tied up in investments at the moment, no debt, but nothing liquid either so if it all busts, The fed and the Administration will do everything they can to make the markets look good again no matter who gets burnt, that seems to be the only thing that matters to them. I was underwater and let it ride after the .com bubble since I was a new investor I was learning and devastated but I held long and did alright. 911 same thing, 2008 was the worst, I did take some losses and pulled some cash off the table but jumped back in slowly and made that back and then some. Now it's just a wash, rinse and repeat cycle. Everyone has their 2 cents and over analysis meaningless crap that is irrelevant to the long term. I'm prepared to see my portfolio lose 20% and if it takes 2-3 years to see that recover, I am ok with that because look at history. Nothing to get alarmed about. After we recover to out of the red, it is a sure bet we take off for another 10 years and it's almost guaranteed to repeat with the exception of the next pandemic since we obviously still haven't learned anything from the last one, or any that have come before. I guess we could say the same about bail outs and deregulations, but hey, it's all good. If you want to wait for the bottom or the next crash and cross your fingers for a better position then so be it. The smart money and the brave will hold and buy more on the crash. I say bring it. Lets get it on and over with it if all these "experts" are so sure. After all it was the "experts" that got smoked by reddit users so I hope it crashes, It will only force me to increase my positions. Allez.
Lines I love... It is ludicrous to use a highly overpriced asset as a bench mark. We have designed a market place to be more a measure of hysteria, than a measure of value.
In investing, many times, risk is high at higher prices and low at lower prices. I have often disliked a stock at 100, liked at 50, loved at 20. If data improvement has led to lower prices, your risk has actually decreased.
@@emilyfranklin8190 I disagree with you because I don't see any reason why one would prefer a bear to a bull market, because in the last four months I have lost more than $47k in stock market which is the biggest I have loss since I ventured into stock investment.
@@Mcdd7-_- It should be known that the bull market is for everyone but the bear market is for professionals who understand the market situations and price actions Because of this reality, I personally use a coach (Freda Lynn Johnson) in bear seasons and the dividends have been mind blowing.
@@christinadixon6974 Well, you could be right. How can someone go about getting investment guidance from a coach like that. Would you mind sharing your coach's details?
we say that, but it just keeps going and going. basically, the TINA thing, combined with drunken-Fed money-printing. is the killer. think about this: an entire generation has been driven to buy housing at up to a 50-percent premium. is the Fed now going to let them all fall on their swords? this is truly worrisome.
@@MP-zf7kg All of humanity has been indoctrinated into having their existence commercialized. The power structure has perfected the psychological manipulation of the human mind into thinking the only way to have a meaningful existence is by participating in consumer culture. Social media along with the mind control device they fooled people into believing is a smart phone is the perfect tool to facilitate that control and it is working just as planned.
Whether it was Japan in the 80's or USA in the 20's, markets like that were very leveraged by not just institutions but also the retail investor. Today in the USA we don't see that, though that might be on the way? It's notable that people use leverage at the worst and most dangerous ratios in history with Real Estate but have yet to really transfer that to their liquid assets. I've been an advisor for 30 yrs, a deep value guy, and with all the Rosey economic news coming...if there's going to be a crash, first we need more euphoria from all the "good news" about the post covid economies of the world. Once that wears off? One would think a big downturn from excessive valuations will be due.
I 100% agree. Jeremy Grantham is a knowledgeable guy and historic data is a great resource, especially when it's all we have. Still, he doesn't seem like the best source of information for a world where the majority of retail investors don't have a dedicated advisor and essentially have access to the same sorts of information as advisors do, if they chose to review that information and know-how to interpret it. Will there be corrections in the stock market in the future? Of course. Will massive corrections happen after a bunch of 19-year-olds thought a cannabis company was the next Apple? I anxiously await that one, honestly. It's not an exact science and he speaks of it in this video as if it is. Literally, every daily factor of life contributes to the valuations of the market at large. Father knows best may be based on outdated or at the very least, incomplete information. The players in the market have changed quite drastically in the last 15 years and especially in the last 5 years. Statistical analysts need to rethink their cost and effect data-sourcing.
@Fahad Amin You buy and expect it to worth more; then sell and buy goods and services. You can also buy goods and services by converting them into other cryptocurrencies that has fast transaction times and low fees.
Great video thanks for uploading it. Jeremy Gratham is a legend and his track record speaks for itself. As others have said in the comments he doesn't seem to have an agenda. He's not selling books or trying to sell newsletters unlike Harry Dent, etc. This man is the real deal, so in my opinion we should listen to what he thinks.
Me: "let me just sit back and take in some words of wisdom of one of the stock market's great wise men, with over half a century of experience under his belt, who believes there's currently great excess and frivolity in the market". UA-cam: "Oh, so you like stocks do you? Here watch this commercial from some idiot daytrader who wants to sell you his unique method despite his baseless claims he's been making money for four years."
hahaha I hate those idiots selling those dumb courses. It's all a huge scam, literally the only reason why they're (moderately) Succesful in life is because they make money scamming you. LITERALLY!! I used to hang out with a guy that's currently doing the same thing. It's not really scamming in his case since he doesn't claim to be a succesful investor who got rich doing so but he told me people automically make the assumption you are when your are selling a course like that.
I know, and to be honest, I get those commercials SO often I've been tempted to click on them just to see how they are "so successful"... But then I slapped myself and get my senses back.
My advice is not to enter the market without basic knowledge. Stock trading is a zero sum game. It’s complex, so you need math skills to understand the market trends and different algorithm. Stocks are a sure way to get rich in long term, I'm currently more focused on investing aggressively.
To succeed in trading options. you must review and put into consideration, the dynamics of your trading asset prior to investing. Analysis Based on Research is Vital which is why; I recommend trading with a Professional if you don't know the basics.
HOW DO YOU GET OUT OF REOCCURRING LOSS IN THE MARKET?? I AM LOSSING SO MUCH AND I LACK MATH SKILLS WATCHING MORE UA-cam VIDEOS AT THIS POINT JUST LEAVE ME MORE CONFUSED I DONT FEEL CONVENIENT ABOUT THE STOCK MARKET ANYMORE. ANY ADVICE ON WHAT I CAN DO TO GET OUT OF LOSSES.
Tesla stocks are a sure way to get rich long term. speaking from experience tesla stocks are the best stocks I ever bought thanks to my expert trader, if you are in your rookie days you need and expert to overview your investments that's my advice to any new investor because why lose money trading yourself when you can gain good returns I mean the commission these experts take for the work done don't even come close to the profits you get from your investments.
@@liamsmith6338 You should get an expert you sound like you need one. Also do a little research on this brökr Janet Lee Tracy She was really helpful in my early days
True Martin, the stock market had been a really tough one this past year, but I watched an interview on CNBC where the anchor kept mentioning a financial advisor "Janet Lee Tracy". This prompted me to get in touch with her, and from June till now we have been working together, and I can boast of $740k in my trading portfolio.
Better yet, complare the curerent stock market to the price of tulips in Holland in 1637; it's a bargain. Jeremy is brilliant, a rare voice of reason in this mania.
So Hertz has a guaranteed value of nil according to Jeremy @ 3:00? It was recently bought out of Chapter 11 for $8 a share, those that bought in at $1-2 have done very nicely.
Lots of older professionals and academics don't want to fuss with that side of things. Could also be located somewhere very remote where a higher quality output stream would be undesirable and laggy.
@@vahednafaiz don't think the stimy cheques will be enough. The tell tale sign will be the housing industry post moratoriums on foreclosures/ rents etc.
I think gme was incorrectly speculated as having little or no value, hence the short interest. It is still a strong value for atleast a couple more years and has the potential for much more value into the future with good leadership from the board. Their sales are still quite strong even for physical discs.
I’d like to see GameStop convert some of their stores to vr gaming centers where they have all the latest vr tech to use on site. I think that could be pretty big with all the tech coming out but a lot of it will be unaffordable or too big to fit in most peoples homes.
The last part is masterpiece indeed. Market bouncees when today is less doomed than yesterday, and market crashes when today is less optimistic than yesterday. So where are we now??
It took nearly one year since this interview for it to play out. The fed kept inflating the bubble stating their 'transitory' narrative. Jeremy was bang on with his prediction.
We’d be better off with a fed that actually enforced regulations. The Fed should being going back to pre-Greenspan rules. Hell, let’s go back to Glass-Speigle, let’s go back to holding private enterprise responsible for its failures.
The imf and the world bank are the federal reserve and how can you say that's better all the world problems started in 1913 and the federal reserve act they are the central banks for the planet as the united nations who seem to be in control of everything and have us living in a global scientific dictatorship is the global govetment for the planet now I dont agree with the united nations views on globalstion and I have no reason to they have lied about the liberal world order created after ww2 and the mulitlatral organisations connected to it and all I saw from that was greed and russia making it out they are not part of that when they joined the federal reserve in 1991 5 days before the soviet union collapsed in 1991 and was replaced with the russian federation is so clear to see now the same happend with the eu when the ru and came into existence at the same time With the technology these people have and collapsing everything within the system in the uk and america to replace it with a new system built around the interent is just crazy now
The biggest joke about this game stop scandal is that the people who have really profited from the stockmarket and stole tax payers money globally do exactly the same thing as those that have done at gamestop they run companies into the ground buy them up cheap and create corporations from that The uk is about to collapse everything is under corporate control that's how your government in Russia with the kgb and westminster have destroyed both countries for the globalists now and this is a good thing whats happening with game stop but they are obviously stopping a loophole which I dont think they can do because it is possible for normal people to take control of the stockmarket this way
If you listen to Jeremy grantham and Robert kiyosaki interviews, I won’t have to wait for long. Anyway, I am a investor invested in European and China equities. Merely waiting to enter US equities for diversification. Assume you are a US citizen.
@@PBrousse did you get this info from Elon memes? Search on google after: "selling cars europe 2020" or whatever you want to search and after tell to everyone wtf are you talking about?
The speculation that tsla has never made a profit? Not speculation it’s true. Tsla loses billions and say they are profitable because of carbon credits that won’t even exist in a couple years.
Keep your head on ice, and your cash at hand, stand your ground, and wait for it. Buy the heck out of the dip and thank yourself for your patience when you sell off... Do this every decade or so.
GME +$56 to $193.72. 43% to day. Start to take it serius, the shorts is to blame for it. GME have total 72 million stocks. About 30-35 million stocks are free for trade. About 200 million stocks are shorted??? Thats the problem.
Let's all keep a cool head. Choose your horses before the race starts... What are some of yours mate? I will focus on defense, pharma, chem, semicon, and one black sheep I know with a 10% dividend.
@Financial Times No thanks. Bitcoin, may not have alot of noticeable patterns, but there is one pattern I've noticed: On really bad days Stocks, Oil & BTC can ALL FALL SIMULTANEOUSLY. You're lucky I can't short Bitcoin. Or I would bet that you fall with us as well📉 Alas, I'm stuck shorting regular equities
This speaks my mind exactly: The problem is that the real value of a company is starting to be less improtant; and that the hype of investors, so called ''trust'' makes stock rise fast and high, also due to the computerized speed how stocks are traded. Of course the more buyers are on a stock, the more priced it will get; until the sale begins and the stock will drop dramatically. It can even get so dramatic that it will drop further then the real value. But unless the company's stock get to zero (and thus bankrupt), it still will have the real value it has had. The basics of stock trading should be dividend: you invest in a stock to give the company ability to invest and grow and in return for that you get a profit. But dividend these days is even less then inflation. Divedend isn't the drive of the stock market anymore. And that makes no sense.
POOR MINDSET IMMEDIATELY SEES A SURPLUS AS AN OPPORTUNITY FOR CONSUMPTION. RICH MINDSET SEEKS TO SPEND THEIR TIME, RESOURCES, AND ENERGY ON WORK THAT CONTINUES TO PAY OFF LONG AFTER THE EFFORT HAS BEEN INVESTED.
if you are having the mindset of been rich then invest in these assets. Stocks, indices/index, commodities, bonds, Real estate, bitcoin,foex ethereum and gold Etc.
@@heeinashe8422 Yes, Investing or trading in these asset especially forex trading and crypto trading, you must learn and know how to read chart patterns, Trends continuation, reversals, double tops, double bottom, moving averages, resistance and support.. And must master pure price action.
Jeremy mentions the price going up so many % and sales only so-so. He forgets to mention the reason for this isn't a sales one, its a technical market induced one.
its not 5 year ongoing bubble. In 2016 he said invest in emerging markets. In 2017 he said invest in US stocks. He's been calling the bubble since June 2020(the earliest I can find)
Who agrees with Grantham? Who disagrees? Why? Whilst I agree that one day there will be a downturn (hot take 😂 ) listening to folk like him, I think his 'sample data' is bias. Since WW2, and especcially since the Reagen revolution things have been peachy for markets long term in a 'the future will be better tomorrow' sense... Well... Eventually... The problem is the markets have not had to deal with any big fundemental change in the socio-economic paradigm in which they operate, least of all in a society that is no longer growing forward but has objectively stagnated for most. I think the creaks are starting to show. The reasons people vote for Trump? Did a Gamestop? The grievances after the Great Recession 1.0 nevermind the impending 2.0 'the corona update', being left unadressed? That is just the start. There are things going on irl that if not properly handled could get messy, in the next 10 years or so. And I dont think Grantham or the folks at the FT are in the habit of factoring them into their, shall we say, 'traditional' analysis.
@warrenrose68 I saw the interview of 2010. He was warning of the over stimulation of the FED, but he did not predict a crash. Now he does. With good arguments. The facts will make him be right.
@warrenrose68 Off course. But now he predicts with good arguments, crazy consumer behavior in a zero interest environment that the crash will come in a few months. Historically it always had. That is a good reason to go a few months in cash to wait and see. I shorted the sp 500 and the rest in cash. Lets see what happens.
"that really hit the spot", faint to black? I don't know who did the video editing on this but I think that being FT you really need to step your game up.
GameStop will cause the market crash when it moons, or the stock market crash will cause GME to moon, check out r/gme or r/superstonk on Reddit. You can thank me later 👍🏼
If I received a dollar for every time I’ve heard Grantham call the end of the world and a crash, I would be a billionaire now. Do the absolute and complete opposite of what this guy says and you will make money. I guarantee it.
He's right and has been right every time on previous occassions. But it's like he said, these bubbles can go on for a long time. 1 year, 2 year, 5 years. He's not trying to predict when it will happen because he simply doesn't know. He's only pointed out the obvious fact that this is a bubble and investors should be warned. In every bubble, people will try to justify the valuation of such bubbles relative to the economic conditions and Grantham was spot on about this. I'd rather listen to him than some random guy on the internet
old investors with old formate ( Gold & PE )-------- new investors ( young ) with new ideal ( future earning, bitcoin & coming formate ).............. WARS bet. them
i think one major difference between the investment environment now vs before is that equity investing has never been more accessible globally for individual investors and informations regarding assets and equities have never been more readliy available for the masses. this in turn will inflate/exaggerate the valuation across the board for all investable assets and is going to redefine what is 'fair value' and 'efficient market'
I 100% agree. Jeremy is a knowledgeable guy and historic data is a great resource, especially when it's all we have. Still, he doesn't seem like the best source of information for a world where the majority of retail investors don't have a dedicated advisor and essentially have access to the same sorts of information as advisors do, if they chose to review that information and know-how to interpret it. Will there be corrections in the stock market in the future? Of course. Will massive corrections happen a bunch of 19-year-olds thought a cannabis company was the next Apple? I anxiously await that one, honestly. It's not an exact science and speaks of it in this video as if it is. Literally, every daily factor of life contributes to the valuations of the market at large. Father knows best may be based on outdated or art the very least, incomplete information.
Not ALL markets are overvalued. The U.K. FTSE is still BELOW pre COVID levels. US tech stocks are way over the top. TESLA is valued as if it is the only electric car manufacturer in the world. Every single major car manufacturer is now making EVs.
Humanity is what I invest in. Like Morley's ghost admonished. It's really the best deal. Lift up your neighbor so he'll / she'll / they'll be able to lift you up when it's your turn. Like they did me.
According to the owner of the company I work for, this single quarter has been more profitable than the last 6 combined, all thanks to "inflation." Which is to say, he heard there was inflation and jacked our prices by 25%, then blamed inflation. I have to assume this is not uncommon.
@@suzanpai9146 Indeed times are changing and the smart ones are using the oportunity to put down some investment, you don't have to be a pro to begin. The best way to start is to start.
@@angelabailey5823 About the lady you spoke about in your previous comment, I'd like to know more about her?
@@angelabailey5823 Wow, thank you so much, information is quite easy to find when you have a clue of what you are looking for, I found her website and her credentials are very nice. thanks once more.
@@vanuchipaige4049 I think the pandemic and in general, the year 2021 has taught people the importance of multiple streams of income, the world is realizing that having a job doesn't mean financial freedom or security, I too have heard of this Suzanne before, she is one of the good ones.
Such wisdom and intelligent insight ! 15 minutes that every amateur investor should spend to learn about history and the present reality from some of the smartest guys on UA-cam.
Sorry but this guy sounds old and in the way. Why compare Japan to US - US is growing in population, Japan is declining. Very different cases.
@@nofurtherwest3474 Totally agree, this time it's different!
@@nofurtherwest3474 LOL
@@nofurtherwest3474 population only benefits if that population contributes to GDP# otherwise they are a liability whose funding reduces the value of GDP. This is why the current # of baby boomers is worrisome.
It’s essential to compare the U.S and Japan cause they have similar economies and often implement similar monetary policies.
Genuine vibe from 60yrs market experience.... thank you Jeremy.
A very wise man spoke with true tone, unlike those who pretend everything is FINE!
I'm not sure if anyone cares but I hacked off my girlfriends hand lol
@@jamesbund9888 what are you doing with it 👀
@@tomlxyz it's up for grabs
Ryan Gosling and Christian Bale are preparing for Big Short 2
Steve Carell too
I’ll bet you they’re not.
@@brentbecroft2890
Cv
Recently I've been really interested in investing into cryptocurrency, but it's strange how people talk about all the profits they have been making through trading of bitcoin. While am here not making any profit at all, please can someone put me through on the right path or at least tell me what I'm doing wrong?.
Choosing to invest in bitcoin s the best decision anyone can make with the right approach, it works.
@@jamesmarcus4105 That's true, most people today has been having a lot of failure in forex and crypto sector because of poor orientation and lack of experience.
Investing in crypto was fun till looses came in, couldn't figure out what I was doing wrong, till I lost all my money.
@@alanfuller7176 that was my case till I came across Bella
@@alanfuller7176 Literally making £8000 on every £1000 invested in a space of 1week 4days from Bella isn't that mind blowing?
I’m more interested in that fireplace. The stonework is tremendous
Yeah
Me too😅
These guys are real high end cocktards no ?
If you listen carefully to Jeremy you will come to understand what is really happening right now. The higher the stock market climbs, the further it will fall. I have been burnt before by market euphoria, and I am seeing it again.
financial gravity
I’m no stock market expert but didn’t all stock market crashes all preceded by excessive speculation with no real value in the market bubble? For example, can land and property values be pushed above an intrinsic value? Same thing with immature technology or already mature commodity? Tesla might be pushing the limits and also crash but is it pushing the limits of physics? That is for highly knowledgeable people to comment, I think.
@@ismailnyeyusof3520 that’s why he drew the chart of GDP.
Well it is America so it will get saved. No matter what happens, disasters, pandemics, plagues, war, terrorism etc, the Govt or administrations in power will always put the stock market first. Anytime anything ever happens, they don't save the people, the citizens, the poor, the homeless, the jobless, they pump the markets with steroids and artificially save the 1% and the lucky upper class that actually have enough money on the sidelines to invest. America doesn't care about the bottom, only their precious markets. I'm not worried, I am 45, prepared to lose it all but everything I have ever worked for is tied up in investments at the moment, no debt, but nothing liquid either so if it all busts, The fed and the Administration will do everything they can to make the markets look good again no matter who gets burnt, that seems to be the only thing that matters to them.
I was underwater and let it ride after the .com bubble since I was a new investor I was learning and devastated but I held long and did alright. 911 same thing, 2008 was the worst, I did take some losses and pulled some cash off the table but jumped back in slowly and made that back and then some. Now it's just a wash, rinse and repeat cycle. Everyone has their 2 cents and over analysis meaningless crap that is irrelevant to the long term. I'm prepared to see my portfolio lose 20% and if it takes 2-3 years to see that recover, I am ok with that because look at history. Nothing to get alarmed about. After we recover to out of the red, it is a sure bet we take off for another 10 years and it's almost guaranteed to repeat with the exception of the next pandemic since we obviously still haven't learned anything from the last one, or any that have come before. I guess we could say the same about bail outs and deregulations, but hey, it's all good. If you want to wait for the bottom or the next crash and cross your fingers for a better position then so be it.
The smart money and the brave will hold and buy more on the crash. I say bring it. Lets get it on and over with it if all these "experts" are so sure. After all it was the "experts" that got smoked by reddit users so I hope it crashes, It will only force me to increase my positions. Allez.
P/E ratio helps.. Even though Tesla is overvalued, the true value is in Elon Musk. If an ice cream truck hits him, bye bye Tesla stock!
Lines I love...
It is ludicrous to use a highly overpriced asset as a bench mark.
We have designed a market place to be more a measure of hysteria, than a measure of value.
Why is the professional journalist not able to get himself a decent audio set-up. Even the old guy managed to do it.
Because the old guy as you stated is worth billions. This youtuber isn't.
Old guys are the best. MSM is not
Why do you care what colour his parachute is?
The old guy apparently "invested" wisely in good equipment.
@@guidobit He invested in an Apple device, they simply have great mics in their headphones :)
In investing, many times, risk is high at higher prices and low at lower prices. I have often disliked a stock at 100, liked at 50, loved at 20. If data improvement has led to lower prices, your risk has actually decreased.
I agree with you totally. Bull market are much more fun than the bear market but there are more opportunities in bear market than in bull market.
@@emilyfranklin8190 I disagree with you because I don't see any reason why one would prefer a bear to a bull market, because in the last four months I have lost more than $47k in stock market which is the biggest I have loss since I ventured into stock investment.
@@Mcdd7-_- It should be known that the bull market is for everyone but the bear market is for professionals who understand the market situations and price actions Because of this reality, I personally use a coach (Freda Lynn Johnson) in bear seasons and the dividends have been mind blowing.
@@christinadixon6974 Well, you could be right. How can someone go about getting investment guidance from a coach like that. Would you mind sharing your coach's details?
@@Mcdd7-_- I think it is inappropriate to drop such details here. You can look up her name online to get her details from her web page.
Old guys know a thing or two.
Living 70 years gives a personal perspective on history that is hard to get from books.
I am an investor , not a trader . I always listened to Jeremy and went out or entered markets . He doesn't miss :)
He seems really good, I want to read that article investing while terrified
He admits though this bullishness/craziness could go on for years and years.
You know it is about to hit the fan when the degenerates I play poker with are talking like their the next Warren Buffet.
I know right? Everyone who gambles has started to believe that they are the Oracle himself
we say that, but it just keeps going and going.
basically, the TINA thing, combined with drunken-Fed money-printing. is the killer.
think about this: an entire generation has been driven to buy housing at up to a 50-percent premium. is the Fed now going to let them all fall on their swords?
this is truly worrisome.
@@MP-zf7kg All of humanity has been indoctrinated into having their existence commercialized. The power structure has perfected the psychological manipulation of the human mind into thinking the only way to have a meaningful existence is by participating in consumer culture. Social media along with the mind control device they fooled people into believing is a smart phone is the perfect tool to facilitate that control and it is working just as planned.
they’re
Well worth watching again in October 2022. Jeremy Grantham is an amazingly rational investor.
Great content, however it seems that you cut him off during his answer to pretty much every question...
😂
Same feeling here, if he won't let him finish then why to ask?
Whether it was Japan in the 80's or USA in the 20's, markets like that were very leveraged by not just institutions but also the retail investor. Today in the USA we don't see that, though that might be on the way? It's notable that people use leverage at the worst and most dangerous ratios in history with Real Estate but have yet to really transfer that to their liquid assets. I've been an advisor for 30 yrs, a deep value guy, and with all the Rosey economic news coming...if there's going to be a crash, first we need more euphoria from all the "good news" about the post covid economies of the world. Once that wears off? One would think a big downturn from excessive valuations will be due.
Rather than keep saying that market is about to crash, one could say it is highly overvalued.
”About to crash” means within a year, not tomorrow. Saying it is overvalued is an understatement
Why? The blunter the better. These are not diplomatic conversations.
A bad investment is a bad investment.
It doesn't matter who gets offended
Because he is honest. You want lies go watch a video of some high school drop out criminal that is trying to convince you to buy tsla or btc lol
Every year people say there will be a crash. Eventually you will get it right.
What about the correction last March? Was that completely unrelated to what was being called a bubble in 2019?
I wonder that as well. Was that just a msall correction or has it just started? Stocks seem te be climbing back up again.
I 100% agree. Jeremy Grantham is a knowledgeable guy and historic data is a great resource, especially when it's all we have. Still, he doesn't seem like the best source of information for a world where the majority of retail investors don't have a dedicated advisor and essentially have access to the same sorts of information as advisors do, if they chose to review that information and know-how to interpret it. Will there be corrections in the stock market in the future? Of course. Will massive corrections happen after a bunch of 19-year-olds thought a cannabis company was the next Apple? I anxiously await that one, honestly. It's not an exact science and he speaks of it in this video as if it is. Literally, every daily factor of life contributes to the valuations of the market at large. Father knows best may be based on outdated or at the very least, incomplete information. The players in the market have changed quite drastically in the last 15 years and especially in the last 5 years. Statistical analysts need to rethink their cost and effect data-sourcing.
Yes. Fair point. Fundamentals always eventually count.
Can FT post the unedited version? It's a treat to listen to Jeremy without the interuptions. They seem to have cut his sentences mid-way
I'm selling Bitcoin and Tulips, which one do you prefer?
Bitcoin is better. Bitcoin is proof of work, which means that you are paying for the hard work of mining.
@Fahad Amin By what people are willing to pay for it. Duh 🤷♂️
@Fahad Amin You buy and expect it to worth more; then sell and buy goods and services. You can also buy goods and services by converting them into other cryptocurrencies that has fast transaction times and low fees.
Boomers don't understand the value so just move along.
Apple’s & oranges
Great video thanks for uploading it. Jeremy Gratham is a legend and his track record speaks for itself. As others have said in the comments he doesn't seem to have an agenda. He's not selling books or trying to sell newsletters unlike Harry Dent, etc. This man is the real deal, so in my opinion we should listen to what he thinks.
Me: "let me just sit back and take in some words of wisdom of one of the stock market's great wise men, with over half a century of experience under his belt, who believes there's currently great excess and frivolity in the market".
UA-cam: "Oh, so you like stocks do you? Here watch this commercial from some idiot daytrader who wants to sell you his unique method despite his baseless claims he's been making money for four years."
You meant half a century
hahaha I hate those idiots selling those dumb courses. It's all a huge scam, literally the only reason why they're (moderately) Succesful in life is because they make money scamming you. LITERALLY!! I used to hang out with a guy that's currently doing the same thing. It's not really scamming in his case since he doesn't claim to be a succesful investor who got rich doing so but he told me people automically make the assumption you are when your are selling a course like that.
I know, and to be honest, I get those commercials SO often I've been tempted to click on them just to see how they are "so successful"... But then I slapped myself and get my senses back.
Gotta love the UA-cam ads!
I think most would rather listen to Cathy Wood babble her nonsense
If everyone thinks a crash is going to happen, it will do the opposite
Yep, as long as central banks and governments keep intervening then you’re probably right.
It’s a bull market right now, your right, the opposite is going to happen, crash awaits
@@muneebiqbal5584 very well said...logically that's what happening right now.
Well if money printer keeps going brrrr then stonks will probably keep going up in dollar value. The question is will they go up in purchasing power?
Jeremy Grantham is the real deal 50+ years old experienced stock guru :-)
Excellent commentary and wise advice from Mr Grantham.
My advice is not to enter the market without basic knowledge. Stock trading is a zero sum game. It’s complex, so you need math skills to understand the market trends and different algorithm. Stocks are a sure way to get rich in long term, I'm currently more focused on investing aggressively.
To succeed in trading options. you must review and put into consideration, the dynamics of your trading asset prior to investing. Analysis Based on Research is Vital which is why; I recommend trading with a Professional if you don't know the basics.
HOW DO YOU GET OUT OF REOCCURRING LOSS IN THE MARKET?? I AM LOSSING SO MUCH AND I LACK MATH SKILLS WATCHING MORE UA-cam VIDEOS AT THIS POINT JUST LEAVE ME MORE CONFUSED I DONT FEEL CONVENIENT ABOUT THE STOCK MARKET ANYMORE. ANY ADVICE ON WHAT I CAN DO TO GET OUT OF LOSSES.
Tesla stocks are a sure way to get rich long term. speaking from experience tesla stocks are the best stocks I ever bought thanks to my expert trader, if you are in your rookie days you need and expert to overview your investments that's my advice to any new investor because why lose money trading yourself when you can gain good returns I mean the commission these experts take for the work done don't even come close to the profits you get from your investments.
@@liamsmith6338 You should get an expert you sound like you need one.
Also do a little research on this brökr Janet Lee Tracy
She was really helpful in my early days
True Martin, the stock market had been a really tough one this past year, but I watched an interview on CNBC where the anchor kept mentioning a financial advisor "Janet Lee Tracy". This prompted me to get in touch with her, and from June till now we have been working together, and I can boast of $740k in my trading portfolio.
Better yet, complare the curerent stock market to the price of tulips in Holland in 1637; it's a bargain. Jeremy is brilliant, a rare voice of reason in this mania.
Jeremy Grantham always great to hear whatever he has to say
Jeremy is a decent guy 👍
So Hertz has a guaranteed value of nil according to Jeremy @ 3:00? It was recently bought out of Chapter 11 for $8 a share, those that bought in at $1-2 have done very nicely.
You would think FT would provide HD cameras or a friggin secondary mic to the employees.
ikr! This camera is not even facetime more like iSight!!
Lots of older professionals and academics don't want to fuss with that side of things. Could also be located somewhere very remote where a higher quality output stream would be undesirable and laggy.
There won't be a crash in 2021, it will be delayed and made worse until it hits in 2023
Why 2023? Why not 2022? Got a solid reason?
@@vahednafaiz why not this month?
@@radigeorgiev9662 because the Feds going *krrrrrrrr* with the machines for now with the stimulus cheques
@@vahednafaiz don't think the stimy cheques will be enough. The tell tale sign will be the housing industry post moratoriums on foreclosures/ rents etc.
agree - I think 2021 will be opening up bounce, 2022 will try to push higher and not manage, 2023 collapse
Very nice fire place.
Fantastic interview. 👏🏻
I think gme was incorrectly speculated as having little or no value, hence the short interest. It is still a strong value for atleast a couple more years and has the potential for much more value into the future with good leadership from the board. Their sales are still quite strong even for physical discs.
physical is coming back in the form of NFT crypto
i dont hear people talk enough about the amount of customers gamestop added. many loyal followers who will purchase from them now!
I’d like to see GameStop convert some of their stores to vr gaming centers where they have all the latest vr tech to use on site. I think that could be pretty big with all the tech coming out but a lot of it will be unaffordable or too big to fit in most peoples homes.
@ it’s current price you will be 125 years old before their earnings justify the price.
It's quite interesting that FT us calling it a bubble, a few years late. But better kate than never I guess.
The last part is masterpiece indeed. Market bouncees when today is less doomed than yesterday, and market crashes when today is less optimistic than yesterday. So where are we now??
The end game
Bear market is already here. When the bond yield spikes last week.
they're going to let the market go to 45k then "crash" to 30k what a joke
It took nearly one year since this interview for it to play out. The fed kept inflating the bubble stating their 'transitory' narrative. Jeremy was bang on with his prediction.
I didn't know Michael Stipe got into finance.
lol
Isn’t this the guy who predicted 10 of the last 2 recessions?
We’d be better off with a fed that actually enforced regulations. The Fed should being going back to pre-Greenspan rules. Hell, let’s go back to Glass-Speigle, let’s go back to holding private enterprise responsible for its failures.
The imf and the world bank are the federal reserve and how can you say that's better all the world problems started in 1913 and the federal reserve act they are the central banks for the planet as the united nations who seem to be in control of everything and have us living in a global scientific dictatorship is the global govetment for the planet now
I dont agree with the united nations views on globalstion and I have no reason to they have lied about the liberal world order created after ww2 and the mulitlatral organisations connected to it and all I saw from that was greed and russia making it out they are not part of that when they joined the federal reserve in 1991 5 days before the soviet union collapsed in 1991 and was replaced with the russian federation is so clear to see now the same happend with the eu when the ru and came into existence at the same time
With the technology these people have and collapsing everything within the system in the uk and america to replace it with a new system built around the interent is just crazy now
The biggest joke about this game stop scandal is that the people who have really profited from the stockmarket and stole tax payers money globally do exactly the same thing as those that have done at gamestop they run companies into the ground buy them up cheap and create corporations from that
The uk is about to collapse everything is under corporate control that's how your government in Russia with the kgb and westminster have destroyed both countries for the globalists now and this is a good thing whats happening with game stop but they are obviously stopping a loophole which I dont think they can do because it is possible for normal people to take control of the stockmarket this way
It's the glass steegall act, not Spiegel. en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Glass%E2%80%93Steagall_legislation
I have been waiting PATIENTLY FOR A STOCK MARKET CRASH FOR THE PAST 4 YEARS
When you wait for a crash for 4 years but don't buy the dip last March
@@johnnytifosi the dip does not meet my requirements of margin of safety
@@MasterChiefSpartan Keep waiting
If you listen to Jeremy grantham and Robert kiyosaki interviews, I won’t have to wait for long. Anyway, I am a investor invested in European and China equities. Merely waiting to enter US equities for diversification. Assume you are a US citizen.
But remember the market can remain irrational longer then you can remain solvent.
I'm waiting the moment when the big speculations around Tesla will be revealed. Popcorn ready. Beers ready. Satisfaction will be enormous.
Definitely Tulips!
You see way more Teslas in Europe than any other American car company. They will be very successful around the world in the near future
@@PBrousse did you get this info from Elon memes? Search on google after: "selling cars europe 2020" or whatever you want to search and after tell to everyone wtf are you talking about?
@@Accidentlly0nPurpose you didn't watch the video or you didn't understand nothing for it?
The speculation that tsla has never made a profit? Not speculation it’s true. Tsla loses billions and say they are profitable because of carbon credits that won’t even exist in a couple years.
Jeremy has the wisdom that not all fund managers possess
Some very good insights!
Keep your head on ice, and your cash at hand, stand your ground, and wait for it. Buy the heck out of the dip and thank yourself for your patience when you sell off... Do this every decade or so.
If everyone plays this same strategy, wouldn’t it be worse for you?
@@a0um believe it or not, almost no one does this, most can't resist the temptation of risking their hard earned cash.
Great show thanks
Way too many adverts.
Otherwise Thank you
Pay premium & drop adds as more professional
Graham Norton, is the true renaissance man.
😂😂😂
Every year somebody says it going to crash.
Thanks for your insight, i will change my investing strategy from tomorrow
GME +$56 to $193.72. 43% to day. Start to take it serius, the shorts is to blame for it. GME have total 72 million stocks. About 30-35 million stocks are free for trade. About 200 million stocks are shorted??? Thats the problem.
Time to take profits at very least. History says current market levels cannot last. Better safe than sorry.
Why buy high and sell low. Why not wait for bargains
Just don't catch any falling knives.
Spot on
There is always a strong case for both bear and bull markets.
Nasdaq being 30-40% above pre covid levels is stupid no matter how you slice it. Makes zero sense whatsoever.
Will the emerging market de-couple with the Dow Jones or the U.S. Market ?
That's got to be a new world record for ads in a 15min video. JFC!
Try adblockers............Paul
I await in glee for this to happen to load up big on cheap stocks
Let's all keep a cool head. Choose your horses before the race starts... What are some of yours mate? I will focus on defense, pharma, chem, semicon, and one black sheep I know with a 10% dividend.
AI, cyber security, robotics, biotech
Electric cars, apple and tesla
I'm buying SQQQ & SDOW this week. If it drops slightly?
I'll make a decent profit.
If it crashes?
I'll make a killing
@Financial Times No thanks. Bitcoin, may not have alot of noticeable patterns, but there is one pattern I've noticed:
On really bad days Stocks, Oil & BTC can ALL FALL SIMULTANEOUSLY.
You're lucky I can't short Bitcoin. Or I would bet that you fall with us as well📉
Alas, I'm stuck shorting regular equities
How did it go?
This speaks my mind exactly:
The problem is that the real value of a company is starting to be less improtant; and that the hype of investors, so called ''trust'' makes stock rise fast and high, also due to the computerized speed how stocks are traded. Of course the more buyers are on a stock, the more priced it will get; until the sale begins and the stock will drop dramatically. It can even get so dramatic that it will drop further then the real value. But unless the company's stock get to zero (and thus bankrupt), it still will have the real value it has had.
The basics of stock trading should be dividend: you invest in a stock to give the company ability to invest and grow and in return for that you get a profit. But dividend these days is even less then inflation. Divedend isn't the drive of the stock market anymore. And that makes no sense.
Guys, please capture your video streams locally and then edit the chat together. This is just painful to watch
Outstanding Outstanding Outstanding
I see for you 🙏🏼🦉
POOR MINDSET IMMEDIATELY SEES A SURPLUS AS AN OPPORTUNITY FOR CONSUMPTION. RICH MINDSET SEEKS TO SPEND THEIR TIME, RESOURCES, AND ENERGY ON WORK THAT CONTINUES TO PAY OFF LONG AFTER THE EFFORT HAS BEEN INVESTED.
if you are having the mindset of been rich then invest in these assets. Stocks, indices/index, commodities, bonds, Real estate, bitcoin,foex ethereum and gold Etc.
@@frankjustin6370 yes, these are assets mostly traded and can make you rich,, but can also make you very poor and beg for money to eat.
It's not recommendable to go into trading or investment when you Don't know how it's done.
I recommend you sign up for mentorship or contact an expert to help you trade, while you sit in your confort.
@@heeinashe8422 Yes, Investing or trading in these asset especially forex trading and crypto trading, you must learn and know how to read chart patterns, Trends continuation, reversals, double tops, double bottom, moving averages, resistance and support.. And must master pure price action.
I can't get over that Robert Armstrong reminds me of Obadiah Stane (Jeff Bridges) from Iron Man 1.
Dude i was just thinking that hahaha
“Your services are no longer required”
What about the output gap that Fed is deeply concerned about?
Way, way too many ads. Ludicrous. BTW, have you seen what’s happened with Hertz?
I didn't get any........Have adblockers................Paul
Jeremy mentions the price going up so many % and sales only so-so. He forgets to mention the reason for this isn't a sales one, its a technical market induced one.
@Financial Times 🛑SCAM ALERT🛑
Both GME and Hertz were short squeezes. Bitcoin is the real deal.
The 5 year ongoing bubble. Keep calling it and one would eventually be right.
its not 5 year ongoing bubble. In 2016 he said invest in emerging markets. In 2017 he said invest in US stocks. He's been calling the bubble since June 2020(the earliest I can find)
People only started to call a bubble after the meteoric rise, months after the march 2020 crash. Not in 2015 or 2016 you clown
Grantham is a sage...
Crash or correction ?
Who agrees with Grantham? Who disagrees? Why?
Whilst I agree that one day there will be a downturn (hot take 😂 ) listening to folk like him, I think his 'sample data' is bias. Since WW2, and especcially since the Reagen revolution things have been peachy for markets long term in a 'the future will be better tomorrow' sense... Well... Eventually...
The problem is the markets have not had to deal with any big fundemental change in the socio-economic paradigm in which they operate, least of all in a society that is no longer growing forward but has objectively stagnated for most.
I think the creaks are starting to show. The reasons people vote for Trump? Did a Gamestop? The grievances after the Great Recession 1.0 nevermind the impending 2.0 'the corona update', being left unadressed? That is just the start.
There are things going on irl that if not properly handled could get messy, in the next 10 years or so. And I dont think Grantham or the folks at the FT are in the habit of factoring them into their, shall we say, 'traditional' analysis.
That guy looks like the villain from Iron man 1.
Why is the price of bonds at all time highs?
Grantham is the new chief in town, but not everybody knows that, yet.
@warrenrose68 I saw the interview of 2010. He was warning of the over stimulation of the FED, but he did not predict a crash. Now he does. With good arguments. The facts will make him be right.
@warrenrose68 what would be a horrible decision? I do not understand.
@warrenrose68 Off course. But now he predicts with good arguments, crazy consumer behavior in a zero interest environment that the crash will come in a few months. Historically it always had. That is a good reason to go a few months in cash to wait and see. I shorted the sp 500 and the rest in cash. Lets see what happens.
The crash will come slowly he predicts, and it looks like we are already getting down.
@warrenrose68 True. But here we are.
"that really hit the spot", faint to black?
I don't know who did the video editing on this but I think that being FT you really need to step your game up.
so in what to invest ? inverse etfs ?
thank you
GameStop will cause the market crash when it moons, or the stock market crash will cause GME to moon, check out r/gme or r/superstonk on Reddit. You can thank me later 👍🏼
@@sh1vr651 my brother ape I'm in since January ❤️, thank u, I meant with related to this is there any etf that they are good for risk management
Ahh glad to hear you're already strapped into the rocket! 💎🙌🏼🦍🚀
It pays to be a bull.idk why they are bearish.
It didn’t pay in 2000,2008,2020.
@@Newlinjim but it did right after
If I received a dollar for every time I’ve heard Grantham call the end of the world and a crash, I would be a billionaire now.
Do the absolute and complete opposite of what this guy says and you will make money. I guarantee it.
He's right and has been right every time on previous occassions. But it's like he said, these bubbles can go on for a long time. 1 year, 2 year, 5 years. He's not trying to predict when it will happen because he simply doesn't know. He's only pointed out the obvious fact that this is a bubble and investors should be warned. In every bubble, people will try to justify the valuation of such bubbles relative to the economic conditions and Grantham was spot on about this. I'd rather listen to him than some random guy on the internet
old investors with old formate ( Gold & PE )-------- new investors ( young ) with new ideal ( future earning, bitcoin & coming formate ).............. WARS bet. them
Stonks. Bad. Real Estate. Bad. Bonds. Bad. Bitcoin. Very Bad. Gold. Meltdown. USD. Weak. Good times...
i think one major difference between the investment environment now vs before is that equity investing has never been more accessible globally for individual investors and informations regarding assets and equities have never been more readliy available for the masses. this in turn will inflate/exaggerate the valuation across the board for all investable assets and is going to redefine what is 'fair value' and 'efficient market'
I 100% agree. Jeremy is a knowledgeable guy and historic data is a great resource, especially when it's all we have. Still, he doesn't seem like the best source of information for a world where the majority of retail investors don't have a dedicated advisor and essentially have access to the same sorts of information as advisors do, if they chose to review that information and know-how to interpret it. Will there be corrections in the stock market in the future? Of course. Will massive corrections happen a bunch of 19-year-olds thought a cannabis company was the next Apple? I anxiously await that one, honestly. It's not an exact science and speaks of it in this video as if it is. Literally, every daily factor of life contributes to the valuations of the market at large. Father knows best may be based on outdated or art the very least, incomplete information.
No better time to buy.
To the moon 🚀
Unfortunate that he keeps bringing Bitcoin up. Cause I think that is were he is wrong. The rest of the story makes total sense.
Grantham's wisdom keeps getting interrupted by annoying get rich quick ads. the irony could not be greater.
still, waiting, keep trying to time that market though while I keep adding to my positions and averaging over time.
The time is here, well the peak was 3 weeks ago
😂😂😂😂 say it every year then u will get lucky someday
My thoughts exactly. Every-dang-year! Without exception!
Did they correctly predict last year?
@@georgeemil3618 no
@@mikelentz833 Ha ha. Missed the big one.
are you guys referring to Grantham? because if you are that's a dumbass comment, he doesn't predict a crash every year
Not ALL markets are overvalued. The U.K. FTSE is still BELOW pre COVID levels. US tech stocks are way over the top. TESLA is valued as if it is the only electric car manufacturer in the world. Every single major car manufacturer is now making EVs.
Humanity is what I invest in. Like Morley's ghost admonished. It's really the best deal. Lift up your neighbor so he'll / she'll / they'll be able to lift you up when it's your turn. Like they did me.
Why is shorting legal?
Do you have any good news?
I think we are there now,regarding his last comment!!! Look out below 👀😬