Forecasting Methods made simple - Measures of Forecasting accuracy

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  • Опубліковано 18 гру 2024

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  • @vedantgupta1162
    @vedantgupta1162 4 роки тому +2

    Excellent and simple explanation of Forecasting Methods.... Many Thanks

  • @evelynregalado26
    @evelynregalado26 7 років тому +2

    One million thank you's! I learned this stuff back in college, but when it recently came up at work (almost a decade later🤦‍♀️) I really needed a refresher/crash course! 🤷‍♀️😭
    Thank you, one million and one times! 🙏🤗👍

    • @piyushashah1
      @piyushashah1  7 років тому

      One million and two thank yous for leaving such a wonderful message! Glad that the video could help you.

  • @AlanMckenzie
    @AlanMckenzie 10 років тому +3

    You're a great teacher sir! I learned this material about a year ago but it's always good to refresh your skills if you don't use them everyday. You're a genius, keep them coming :) I really appreciate it.

    • @piyushashah1
      @piyushashah1  10 років тому +1

      Thanks a lot Alan. It really feels good to receive such feedback...makes the effort worth it!!

  • @charlesrobbins8893
    @charlesrobbins8893 9 років тому +1

    Thank you for your summary. My company asked me to learn how to be a forecast analyst. I am looking for a way to master this material. Your explanation was very helpful. You are a good teacher. Congratulations on a job well done.

  • @cooktube7355
    @cooktube7355 4 роки тому +2

    awesomeeeee!!!!! very very simple to understand

  • @TheMunishk
    @TheMunishk 5 років тому +2

    Thanks for informative videos. Could you tell further that out all error accuracy determination methods you explained which one is most effective? Is it MAD ,MAPE or tracking signal?

    • @piyushashah1
      @piyushashah1  5 років тому +1

      Tracking signal is a method to judge if the current forecasting method is good enough, so per se, it is not a method to determine forecast accuracy. Between MAD and MAPE I don;t think it matters what you choose. Since MAPE is in per cent, you can compare accuracy across products. For MAD, it is very easy to calculate and understand.

    • @TheMunishk
      @TheMunishk 5 років тому

      @@piyushashah1 What benchmark of tracking signal or in other words what number of tracking signal will tell me about quality of my forecast?

    • @piyushashah1
      @piyushashah1  5 років тому

      @@TheMunishk en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tracking_signal

  • @dan684al
    @dan684al 3 роки тому +1

    Very informative...I've one question, why didn't you take the MAD= 6.16 in calculating the Tracking signal based on the formula.. and what is the difference between the two?

  • @ismailnassar4103
    @ismailnassar4103 4 роки тому +1

    Thanks a lot & hope you more success

  • @raamyschroeder
    @raamyschroeder 9 років тому +1

    Simple and effective, Thank you!

  • @manisakhonechinttaphong5304
    @manisakhonechinttaphong5304 8 років тому +1

    Thank you,
    Nice lesson.
    recently, I'd like to do the Time series analysis-trend about climate such as rainfall, temperature for predicting 5 years, 10 years by using mann kendall test method.
    Could you please give me some example how to predict rainfall or temperature in future 5 years and 10 years using mann kendall test method?
    Thank you so much for your kind.

  • @pradeepraj4397
    @pradeepraj4397 8 років тому

    Thank you Sir. So helpful work you are doing. Keep it up sir :)

  • @aarongnanam
    @aarongnanam 9 років тому

    Great videos Sir, really appreciate it.

  • @ravindrapashte5259
    @ravindrapashte5259 3 роки тому

    Excellent

  • @pashtun-travels-uk
    @pashtun-travels-uk 2 роки тому

    it was very clear sir.... just didnt understand whats the tracking signal?

  • @noraiz5105
    @noraiz5105 4 роки тому

    hi Piyush how to choose a forecasting method? I mean on what qualitative basis?

  • @ravindrapashte5259
    @ravindrapashte5259 3 роки тому

    Please do some videos related to SAP APO, IBP, HANA

  • @Nuno911sz
    @Nuno911sz 9 років тому

    Very helpful!

  • @3jayendra
    @3jayendra 2 роки тому

    Please sir ..share the excel sample

  • @HoneiiBii
    @HoneiiBii 8 років тому

    very helpful

  • @NiharikaReddy1988
    @NiharikaReddy1988 5 років тому

    how do you calculate mape when some actuals are zero

    • @piyushashah1
      @piyushashah1  5 років тому

      If this is an academic question - we have many research papers that deal with the issue, for example www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0169207016000121
      And, if this a real life problem, I need more data, for MAPE may not be the right measure for you.

  • @avinashyadav949
    @avinashyadav949 5 років тому

    thank you sir

  • @Nuno911sz
    @Nuno911sz 9 років тому

    Very helpful!