I get (approximately) 0.26% There are 8 ways to choose the shot that doesn't matter. There are 7 ways to choose the shot that has to hit face, from the remainder. All remaining shots are completely determined (they must hit the taunt). The shot that doesn't matter can hit any of the 3 non-taunt targets (because the taunt is dead anyway). So there are 8*7*3 = 168 possible results that win the game. Computing the total possible number of results is not easy because there is a limit to how many times we can hit the same target, but we can overestimate it as 4^8 = 65536. Then 168/65536 ~ 0.00256. Since we overestimate the total number of possible results, we underestimate the final probability so it should actually be slightly higher than this. Still unlikely, but only about 1 in 400. Not 1 in 16,400.
6:00 lol😂😂😂😂😂😂
So he's not actually wearing glasses?
Lol I just found this out in 2023
@@zf5656 same dude. I am feeling kind of betrayed. That clip messed me up man I watched this guy for YEARS and never knew that.
The true Arena Master
3:57 had a 0.000061% chance of succeeding
I get (approximately) 0.26%
There are 8 ways to choose the shot that doesn't matter.
There are 7 ways to choose the shot that has to hit face, from the remainder.
All remaining shots are completely determined (they must hit the taunt).
The shot that doesn't matter can hit any of the 3 non-taunt targets (because the taunt is dead anyway).
So there are 8*7*3 = 168 possible results that win the game.
Computing the total possible number of results is not easy because there is a limit to how many times we can hit the same target, but we can overestimate it as 4^8 = 65536. Then 168/65536 ~ 0.00256. Since we overestimate the total number of possible results, we underestimate the final probability so it should actually be slightly higher than this. Still unlikely, but only about 1 in 400. Not 1 in 16,400.
wich one is you're favorite mine is the lyra with mind blast XD thats so insane XD follows of lyra and the sparky XD
We know how to count
AMAZing LUCK
laughing flash at 5:23
Just 10 comments, weird. '-'
This is not best of amaz it is best of RNG
I mean, that's how he wins games, so I guess it's about right.