Try out the Patreon risk free here: www.patreon.com/josephcarlson Free investor Philosophy presentation: www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/vrtexx5dnv06npg1oatrn/Joseph-Carlson-Investment-Philosophy.pdf?rlkey=hsyb4c3ttf6nuvo3gknteyav9&dl=0 Patreon includes: Over 100 exclusive videos, and new ones every week. Full access to Qualtrim.com, the stock analysis website I built from the ground up Transparent portfolio updates, with every buy and sell I do, as well as monthly one-pager updates. Access to the Joseph Carlson Show private discord community, with 4,500 members Try it out now with a free trial!
I've been an investor in Tesla because I strongly believe in the company. I've always believed in the stock, but now I don't know whether to re-distribute my $70k portfolio and put some money in Nvidia. Very optimistic for H2. What do you think?
Don't be in a hurry to get back in. The market needs several days of strong performance to signal that the downturn might be over; It's a time to be largely, if not entirely, in cash
It's unfortunate most people don't have such information. I don't really blame people who panic. Lack of information can be a big hurdle. I've been making more than $30k passively by just investing through an advisor, and I don't have to do much work. Doesn't matter if the economy is misbehaving; great wealth managers will always make returns.
Annette Christine Conte is her name. She is regarded as a genius in her area and works for Empower Financial Services. She’s quite known in her field, look-her up.
We Are in Unchartered Financial Waters! every day we encounter challenges that have become the new standard. Although we previously perceived it as a crisis, we now acknowledge it as the new normal and must adapt accordingly. Given the current economic difficulties that the country is experiencing in 2024, how can we enhance our earnings during this period of adjustment? I cannot let my $680,000 savings vanish after putting in so much effort to accumulate them.
Keeping some gold is usually a wise decision. You would be better off keeping away from equities for a bit or, even better, seeking advice from an expert given the current market conditions and everything that is at risk with the current economy.
You have a very valid point, I started investing on my own and for a long time, the market was really ripping me off. I decided to hire a CFA, even though I was skeptical at first, and I beat the market by more than 9%. I thought it was a fluke until it happened two years in a row, and so I’ve been sticking to investing via an analyst
My CFA ’Melissa Terri Swayne’ , a renowned figure in her line of work. I recommend researching her credentials further. She has many years of experience and is a valuable resource for anyone looking to navigate the financial market.
Thank you for saving me hours of back and forth investigation into the markets. I simply copied and pasted her full name into my browser, and her website came up first in search results. She looks flawless.
Tesla's stock looks just attractive for a long-term investment once the short-term volatility and smoke settle. Right now i'd appreciate suggestions short-term opportunities that could fetch $50k or less..
Don't be in a hurry to get back in. The market needs several days of strong performance to signal that the downturn might be over; It's a time to be largely, if not entirely, in cash
It's unfortunate most people don't have such information. I don't really blame people who panic. Lack of information can be a big hurdle. I've been making more than $30k passively by just investing through an advisor, and I don't have to do much work. Doesn't matter if the economy is misbehaving; great wealth managers will always make returns.
I was advised to diversify my portfolio among several assets such as stocks and bonds since this can protect my portfolio for retirement of about $150k. I want to know: Do I keep contributing to my portfolio in these unstable markets, or do I look into alternative sectors?
the strategies are quite rigorous for the regular-Joe. As a matter of fact, they are mostly successfully carried out by pros who have had a great deal of skillset/knowledge to pull such trades off.
I agree, having a brokerage advisor for inveesting is genius! Not long ago amidst the pandemic crash in March 2020, I was really having investing nightmare prior touching base with a advisor. In a nutshell, i've accrued over $550k with the help of my advisor from an initial $120k investment thus far.
Laila artine kassardjian' is the licensed coach I use. Just research the name. You'd find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.
My car drives me around by itself. I love my car and I still believe in the company. I hope we dip close to $100-$120 again. I wanna load the boat. Apart from Tesla what would be the best 5 etfs for a beginner
In no order: 1) VOO 2) QQQM 3) SCHG/VUG 4) VTI 5) SCHD/DGRO. Personally I put down 1.3m$ on few ETFs, still diversifying. it was this time last year I made my first million with a liquid 200k.handed it to a trader here in CA, I get weekly pay out which I put back on long term ETF's. Google will be a huge buy for me when the market bottoms.
I've known Kath since my early days as an investor. She trades for me and advised me to diversify dividends to 50% FXAIX, 25% SCHD, and 25% QQQM, which has been great. I highly recommend her.
Katherine !! I know her from my early days as an investor. She's brilliant and patient. Many of my colleagues have worked with her, and I highly recommend her.
I recently sold some of my $TSLA stock to secure profits, but I'm retaining a portion for the long term. Tesla's growth potential remains robust. I'm considering diversifying my 200K stock portfolio, but I'm uncertain about managing risks in my next move.
I believe a healthy portfolio has 3 things, at the bare minimum: Exposure to ETFs for increased diversification, Exposure to assets that generate cash flow like dividend stocks, Exposure to market-leading tech.
De-risk your portfolios, shore up your core holdings, and take some profits while balancing your portfolio allocations. I’d also suggest you go with a managed portfolio, but even those don’t perform so well, so it’s best you reach out to a proper fiduciary to guide you, that’s what works for my spouse and I. We've made over 80% capital growth minus dividends.
There are a handful of experts in the field. I've experimented with a few over the past years, but I've stuck with ‘’Jennifer Leigh Hickman” for about five years now, and her performance has been consistently impressive. She’s quite known in her field, look her up.
I appreciate this. After curiously searching her name online and reviewing her credentials, I'm quite impressed. I've contacted her as I could use all the help I can get. A call has been scheduled.
Another great video, thanks! I think the market is over-heated. And I am concerned that people are focusing less on fundamentals and just chanting the mantra of dollar cost averaging and driving the market higher without considering fundamentals. It is a catch-22 for me. I mean I like stock prices going higher but I also hate buying over-priced stocks and ETFs. Personally, I have stopped buying growth ETFs- they are ridiculously over-valued. Dividend stocks and ETFs are a little better but they are still over-valued. There is some hope with small and mid caps. I am not sure they are undervalued but at least they are less over-valued..This pattern offers a valuable insight for strategic planning. Despite these trends, i have delve deeply into active trading and managed to grow a nest egg of around 100k to a decent 442k in the space of a few months... I'm especially grateful to Kelvin Hurdle, whose deep expertise and traditional trading acumen have been invaluable in this challenging, ever-evolving financial landscape
It is refreshing to see a comment about Kelvin Hurdle. have worked with him also ; his approach consistently keeps you ahead of the trend, he's a guru i'll say
@joseph: Thursday is also S&P Global, right? Surprised that you don’t cover that as it’s one of your biggest holdings. What are your expectations here?
Joseph Carlson's style is perfect for everyone. Important information delivered with a easy to digest flow, and mega usage of graphics to explain numbers. I think the guy is fantastic, so enjoyable. And you can work in the kitchen and move around, just put the sound up, so when you turn on the faucet you can still hear. Goes over Google, Visa, Tesla, etc. Better than any show on Linear TV! 🎯 High-five Joseph 🥁 from Stuart in Florida!
I wonder why people like Amazon as much as they do, if you look at the long(er) term, the stockprice goes up and down a lot, but hasn't really shown too much stable growth. True, it's less volatile than Tesla, but it's nothing compared to Microsoft, Apple, Costco and the likes… hence my confusion why people like Amazon :)
I disagree when you say robotaxi is a large "step" of growth, you can measure incrementally from FSD version updates since it's directly correlated, what's hard to measure is the rate of improvement because some version updates may see significant improvement, and some version updates may see a plateau due to constraints in computing power, I think in the near term you might see exponential growth with advancements in AI chips, I would bet on robotaxi in the near term imo definitely buying this dip.
@@JosephCarlsonAfterHours Markets are forward looking, if you want to make money you have to look even further than the market, by the time robotaxi's actually do start making money it will all be priced in, missing all the gains.
The rate of improvement of FSD is hard to measure because Tesla chose to not publish miles between critical disengagement metrics. If they did we could easily plot the rate of improvement. Pretty sure Elon is looking at that plot every day.
I hope TSLA hits 120 or lower on Wednesday so I can buy more shares, buying every day under 147. Love the people that try to time this stock. Only bought half my allocation at 105 as I got all caught up in people thinking it will go to 65. DCA every day the stock is below your target buy price. You will never call the bottom...or the top. Optimus, and licensing FSD to other auto companies is your SAAS AI play, and that news will happen faster than you think.
Terry Smith's fund has all kinds of limits, only X percent can be in positions above 5%, positions have to be trimmed above certain % (he's talked about how messed up it is that he worries about Microsoft or Novo Nordisk going up because he has to trim them), Y% has to be in consumer goods companies... etc. anyway I'm thinking Pepsi is there because he's held it for a long time, it's been a winner, and it fits into those sector weight requirements... if he sold, he'd have to replace it with the same type of company. 🤷♂️
Your take on PEP is VALID, the debt also scare’s me. CPG brands are forced to compete with store brands. Buffett lamented Heinz predicament in this battle
FSD won’t be the money maker investors think. It isn’t a money maker now, and no company can invest in it like Uber without regulatory approval which will take years. They don’t have the charging network figured out for charging FSD taxis. They don’t have a cleaning service setup when people are sick in the car. They can sell FSD to vehicle owners only because the rest of the plan hasn’t even been thought out or tested. It would be one thing to have a fleet of 100 FSD taxis in New York City if they’re gas. Have a single Tesla taxi gas station with a worker or two that handles the pump itself. A few minutes and the vehicle is back to work. How’s that scale going to work when it takes 30-45min to charge if they continuously drain down until you hit 20% and have the fastest charge time? You’ll need 150 taxis with 1/3 of them always charging.
@@musa7606 But Tesla is way behind every other player in AI, even in FSD, they aren't really even close to robo taxi's while other companies already offer robo taxi services in SF. I just don't see what edge Telsa has other than brand value, and spotlight (which arguably isn't even a bonus, with Elon Musk continually making a fool of himself...).
@@scramptha5949 How do you know they are behind in AI? And are they really behind Google, who can't figure it out for their life? And even if they are behind, how much? Perhaps their AI is behind in some ways, but ahead in other applications...
Got post but disagree on Tesla price cuts, these Evs are expensive. The whole point was too make the transition to sustainable energy future affordable. Prices were expected to reduce over time. Btw they make among the highest margins per vehicle in this segment. Comparing op margins with Apple is comparing with Oranges.
Yeah, but TSLA's insane share price was partly based on presumption of massive margins continuing indefinitely - that part of the investment thesis is well and truly shot.
Thanks for a great analysis. There are a few companies that I found that might be worth analysis. Do you mind sharing your insight on these tickers? IESC, GCT, AXNX, EME, CWCO, CRWD?
I agree Tesla is cyclical, but denying the megatrend in the EV market is short -sighted, in my view. Even if FSD didnt pan out (which I agree is a long shot), the growth potential is huge. With awful results, as we've seen, the bottom may be in. This is because the market has already discounted the worst case scenario. Turnarounds are always preceded by technicals. Awful results and a +10% is a great sign, company is probably going from awful to bad, soon.
Joseph would love to hear your thoughts on Alibaba at some point. Company has a market cap has a share price of $71 and a free cashflow per share of $63 last year. The numbers are outrageous. They have a market cap of 171 billion but have approximately 500 billion in cash and investments on hand. The price teams totally whacked out of its mind and i want a sanity check before i sell my kidney and all of my furniture to buy more BABA. Also if anyone in the chat can see what im missing let me know. I know if china invades taiwan thats a risk but is that it?
I feel like you're missing the point of pepsi. The whole reason why i love pepsi is the same reason you dont like it. I want a dividend payer that can do a little bit of everything as far as current yield, dividend growth, sustainable dividend payout ratio, and a history of increasing dividends year after year without a pause or cut through hard times. I feel better investing in pepsi compared to texas roadhouse. You could say the same thing about it being more expensive going out to eat for a family of 4 and those same familes not eating out as much. There is a reason why people love PEP, JNJ, and MCD and its for a lot of the same reasons. Dividend investors want CONSISTENSY over long periods.
If you did a bit of research, Tesla didn't cut prices because of a lack of demand. The "delivered vehicle rate" was even growing overtime (except now ofc). They just do this to get rid of competition from for example China. This forces them to also lower their prices, and they are in a worse position than Tesla (except byd atm).
My car drives me around by itself. I love my car and I still believe in the company. I hope we dip close to $100-$120 again. I wanna load the boat. Apart from Tesla what would be the best 5 etfs for a beginner
Lookint at FCF/Share highly favors companies that do buybacks over those that do dividends. Both are paying out a portion of FCF to you, but one method inflates FCF/Share and one doesn't.
This argument makes no sense….there a better companies in specific things for every single company in the world unless they are literally the best in a specific thing….sorry losing me here with this…..and using Costco because they are more defensive or whatever is dumb as you ignored valuation. Yea they have a better balance sheet or growing more but they are valued WAY more
I hope tesla go down more. I want to buy more. The only thing you miss in your analyses is the full ecosystem. Not just the robo taxi. I see cars, solar panels, fast chargers and now robo taxi. They manage a robo taxi what will happen to distribution systems?
i own no Chipotle stock, but ive said time and time again that their food is like crack to young adults. When in college, the lines for chipotle were always out the door.
I am one of the lucky ones on tesla stock i bought last year at around 133 i was very polished on the company. Until i watched you reasoning on why you are not polish on it, i was convinced by your reasoning and sold it at around 250
I've never been a Tesla shareholder, but at what point should I become one? I said 150 I would consider it, now I'm thinking 100 Should probably just stick to my guns and buy more MSFT and AMZN
About PEPSI, don't forget that each one play a different game. If you are 55 and want a stable and sure dividend, wihtout having to wait 15 years to have the same div from TXRH, it can be a good choice. If you are 20, indeed you should prefer a big div growth company.
According to an October study by Cumulus and Signal Hill, 28 percent of weekly podcast listeners say they use UA-cam the most for podcast consumption. That's more than the next two competitors - Spotify with 15 percent and Apple Podcasts with 12 percent - combined.
Bro, you can’t pick what is clearly the tallest bar on the margins graph and call it the norm. I get apple has better operating margins but don’t be like that. You are better. Long time subscriber. Love the show
The large cap tech trend has been basically, the more H100's a company has, its a bellwether to casual AI investors about how advanced they are .. hence why MSFT and Meta have been outperforming
Regarding your comment on dividend growth, I think you’re doing a calculus error here. Please correct me if I’m wrong and just understand it wrongly, but when you compare 5 and 1 year growth rates, the 1 year growth rate should be higher than the 5 year growth rate to indicate a growing dividend, no? So Pepsi grows the dividend faster than Texas roadhouse?
More people using fb for the marketplace feature. More exposure to selling new and used junk. And fb takes a cut on long distnace deals involving shipping costs.
Try out the Patreon risk free here: www.patreon.com/josephcarlson
Free investor Philosophy presentation: www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/vrtexx5dnv06npg1oatrn/Joseph-Carlson-Investment-Philosophy.pdf?rlkey=hsyb4c3ttf6nuvo3gknteyav9&dl=0
Patreon includes:
Over 100 exclusive videos, and new ones every week.
Full access to Qualtrim.com, the stock analysis website I built from the ground up
Transparent portfolio updates, with every buy and sell I do, as well as monthly one-pager updates.
Access to the Joseph Carlson Show private discord community, with 4,500 members
Try it out now with a free trial!
All the cheap brands are charging $1.50+ for offbrand 2L soda now, there's little difference.
I've been an investor in Tesla because I strongly believe in the company. I've always believed in the stock, but now I don't know whether to re-distribute my $70k portfolio and put some money in Nvidia. Very optimistic for H2. What do you think?
Don't be in a hurry to get back in. The market needs several days of strong performance to signal that the downturn might be over; It's a time to be largely, if not entirely, in cash
It's unfortunate most people don't have such information. I don't really blame people who panic. Lack of information can be a big hurdle. I've been making more than $30k passively by just investing through an advisor, and I don't have to do much work. Doesn't matter if the economy is misbehaving; great wealth managers will always make returns.
Please can you leave the info of your lnvestment advsor here? I’m in dire need for one
Annette Christine Conte is her name. She is regarded as a genius in her area and works for Empower Financial Services. She’s quite known in her field, look-her up.
Thank you for this Pointer. It was easy to find your handler, She seems very proficient and flexible. I booked a call session with her.
We Are in Unchartered Financial Waters! every day we encounter challenges that have become the new standard. Although we previously perceived it as a crisis, we now acknowledge it as the new normal and must adapt accordingly. Given the current economic difficulties that the country is experiencing in 2024, how can we enhance our earnings during this period of adjustment? I cannot let my $680,000 savings vanish after putting in so much effort to accumulate them.
Keeping some gold is usually a wise decision. You would be better off keeping away from equities for a bit or, even better, seeking advice from an expert given the current market conditions and everything that is at risk with the current economy.
You have a very valid point, I started investing on my own and for a long time, the market was really ripping me off. I decided to hire a CFA, even though I was skeptical at first, and I beat the market by more than 9%. I thought it was a fluke until it happened two years in a row, and so I’ve been sticking to investing via an analyst
Could you possibly recommend a CFA you've consulted with?
My CFA ’Melissa Terri Swayne’ , a renowned figure in her line of work. I recommend researching her credentials further. She has many years of experience and is a valuable resource for anyone looking to navigate the financial market.
Thank you for saving me hours of back and forth investigation into the markets. I simply copied and pasted her full name into my browser, and her website came up first in search results. She looks flawless.
Tesla's stock looks just attractive for a long-term investment once the short-term volatility and smoke settle. Right now i'd appreciate suggestions short-term opportunities that could fetch $50k or less..
Don't be in a hurry to get back in. The market needs several days of strong performance to signal that the downturn might be over; It's a time to be largely, if not entirely, in cash
It's unfortunate most people don't have such information. I don't really blame people who panic. Lack of information can be a big hurdle. I've been making more than $30k passively by just investing through an advisor, and I don't have to do much work. Doesn't matter if the economy is misbehaving; great wealth managers will always make returns.
Please can you leave the info of your lnvestment advsor here? I’m in dire need for one
“Sharon Lynne Hart” is the licensed advisor I use. Just search the name. You’d find necessary details to work with to set up an appointment.
Joseph trying to get himself canceled by talking about Tesla and Taylor Swift in the same video.
😂
He’s playing with fire 😂
Are you saying both have cult-like following? 😊😊
😆 🤣 😂 😹
and it s not like he s sending them flowers either xDDD
I was advised to diversify my portfolio among several assets such as stocks and bonds since this can protect my portfolio for retirement of about $150k. I want to know: Do I keep contributing to my portfolio in these unstable markets, or do I look into alternative sectors?
the strategies are quite rigorous for the regular-Joe. As a matter of fact, they are mostly successfully carried out by pros who have had a great deal of skillset/knowledge to pull such trades off.
I agree, having a brokerage advisor for inveesting is genius! Not long ago amidst the pandemic crash in March 2020, I was really having investing nightmare prior touching base with a advisor. In a nutshell, i've accrued over $550k with the help of my advisor from an initial $120k investment thus far.
Please can you leave the info of your lnvestment advsor here? I’m in dire need for one
Laila artine kassardjian' is the licensed coach I use. Just research the name. You'd find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.
Thank you for this Pointer. It was easy to find your handler, She seems very proficient and flexible. I booked a call session with her.
My car drives me around by itself. I love my car and I still believe in the company. I hope we dip close to $100-$120 again. I wanna load the boat. Apart from Tesla what would be the best 5 etfs for a beginner
In no order: 1) VOO 2) QQQM 3) SCHG/VUG 4) VTI 5) SCHD/DGRO. Personally I put down 1.3m$ on few ETFs, still diversifying. it was this time last year I made my first million with a liquid 200k.handed it to a trader here in CA, I get weekly pay out which I put back on long term ETF's. Google will be a huge buy for me when the market bottoms.
Good picks, Smart strategy for beginners, Please share this Expert with me.
She is Katherine Elizabeth Humphreys look her up online
I've known Kath since my early days as an investor. She trades for me and advised me to diversify dividends to 50% FXAIX, 25% SCHD, and 25% QQQM, which has been great. I highly recommend her.
Katherine !! I know her from my early days as an investor. She's brilliant and patient. Many of my colleagues have worked with her, and I highly recommend her.
I recently sold some of my $TSLA stock to secure profits, but I'm retaining a portion for the long term. Tesla's growth potential remains robust. I'm considering diversifying my 200K stock portfolio, but I'm uncertain about managing risks in my next move.
I believe a healthy portfolio has 3 things, at the bare minimum: Exposure to ETFs for increased diversification, Exposure to assets that generate cash flow like dividend stocks, Exposure to market-leading tech.
De-risk your portfolios, shore up your core holdings, and take some profits while balancing your portfolio allocations. I’d also suggest you go with a managed portfolio, but even those don’t perform so well, so it’s best you reach out to a proper fiduciary to guide you, that’s what works for my spouse and I. We've made over 80% capital growth minus dividends.
I've been looking to get one, but have been kind of relaxed about it. Could you recommend your advis0r? I'll be happy to use some help.
There are a handful of experts in the field. I've experimented with a few over the past years, but I've stuck with ‘’Jennifer Leigh Hickman” for about five years now, and her performance has been consistently impressive. She’s quite known in her field, look her up.
I appreciate this. After curiously searching her name online and reviewing her credentials, I'm quite impressed. I've contacted her as I could use all the help I can get. A call has been scheduled.
Another great video, thanks! I think the market is over-heated. And I am concerned that people are focusing less on fundamentals and just chanting the mantra of dollar cost averaging and driving the market higher without considering fundamentals. It is a catch-22 for me. I mean I like stock prices going higher but I also hate buying over-priced stocks and ETFs. Personally, I have stopped buying growth ETFs- they are ridiculously over-valued. Dividend stocks and ETFs are a little better but they are still over-valued. There is some hope with small and mid caps. I am not sure they are undervalued but at least they are less over-valued..This pattern offers a valuable insight for strategic planning. Despite these trends, i have delve deeply into active trading and managed to grow a nest egg of around 100k to a decent 442k in the space of a few months... I'm especially grateful to Kelvin Hurdle, whose deep expertise and traditional trading acumen have been invaluable in this challenging, ever-evolving financial landscape
He mostly interacts on Telegrams, using the user-name..
@KelvinHurdle...
Kelvin risk management techniques have consistently prevented me from incurring potential losses on numerous occasions.
Been looking for someone trustworthy to listen to for a while, and I'm delighted I came across your comment
It is refreshing to see a comment about Kelvin Hurdle. have worked with him also ; his approach consistently keeps you ahead of the trend, he's a guru i'll say
@joseph: Thursday is also S&P Global, right? Surprised that you don’t cover that as it’s one of your biggest holdings. What are your expectations here?
Joseph Carlson's style is perfect for everyone. Important information delivered with a easy to digest flow, and mega usage of graphics to explain numbers.
I think the guy is fantastic, so enjoyable. And you can work in the kitchen and move around, just put the sound up, so when you turn on the faucet you can still hear.
Goes over Google, Visa, Tesla, etc. Better than any show on Linear TV! 🎯
High-five Joseph 🥁 from Stuart in Florida!
I agree !!!
I wish there is a stock for UA-camr, then I will invest him
TESLA WILL GO DOWN TO 100 AFTER EARNINGS REMEMBER THIS COMMENT!!!!
I also put 30k of my own money in Chipotle, not in stocks tho 😥
Guac is extra $
I wonder why people like Amazon as much as they do, if you look at the long(er) term, the stockprice goes up and down a lot, but hasn't really shown too much stable growth. True, it's less volatile than Tesla, but it's nothing compared to Microsoft, Apple, Costco and the likes… hence my confusion why people like Amazon :)
I disagree when you say robotaxi is a large "step" of growth, you can measure incrementally from FSD version updates since it's directly correlated, what's hard to measure is the rate of improvement because some version updates may see significant improvement, and some version updates may see a plateau due to constraints in computing power, I think in the near term you might see exponential growth with advancements in AI chips, I would bet on robotaxi in the near term imo definitely buying this dip.
Good luck. Be sure to reference this comment as a step where you lost your a$$ and wonder where all your funds went.
@@adan7182 😂😂😂😂😂😂
How much does Tesla make in revenue from Robotaxi today?
@@JosephCarlsonAfterHours Markets are forward looking, if you want to make money you have to look even further than the market, by the time robotaxi's actually do start making money it will all be priced in, missing all the gains.
The rate of improvement of FSD is hard to measure because Tesla chose to not publish miles between critical disengagement metrics. If they did we could easily plot the rate of improvement. Pretty sure Elon is looking at that plot every day.
" dividend a little bit below Pepsi's" , It's literally 1/2 of Pepsi's dividend. lol
Also TXRH dividend seems much more risky than PEP one if you ask me.
Dividend yield
Literally just listened to a bunch of Taylor swifts new songs and you are spot on. They sound the same.
can you make video on mastercard / visa vs american express
This would be interesting.
I hope TSLA hits 120 or lower on Wednesday so I can buy more shares, buying every day under 147. Love the people that try to time this stock. Only bought half my allocation at 105 as I got all caught up in people thinking it will go to 65. DCA every day the stock is below your target buy price. You will never call the bottom...or the top. Optimus, and licensing FSD to other auto companies is your SAAS AI play, and that news will happen faster than you think.
Terry Smith's fund has all kinds of limits, only X percent can be in positions above 5%, positions have to be trimmed above certain % (he's talked about how messed up it is that he worries about Microsoft or Novo Nordisk going up because he has to trim them), Y% has to be in consumer goods companies... etc. anyway I'm thinking Pepsi is there because he's held it for a long time, it's been a winner, and it fits into those sector weight requirements... if he sold, he'd have to replace it with the same type of company. 🤷♂️
It’s fun to watch Tesla, not invest in it.
Your take on PEP is VALID, the debt also scare’s me. CPG brands are forced to compete with store brands. Buffett lamented Heinz predicament in this battle
Would love to see a video on ZTS (Zoetis) from Joseph! Love the way he delivers numbers and all related insights! Greetings from Germany
FSD won’t be the money maker investors think. It isn’t a money maker now, and no company can invest in it like Uber without regulatory approval which will take years. They don’t have the charging network figured out for charging FSD taxis. They don’t have a cleaning service setup when people are sick in the car. They can sell FSD to vehicle owners only because the rest of the plan hasn’t even been thought out or tested.
It would be one thing to have a fleet of 100 FSD taxis in New York City if they’re gas. Have a single Tesla taxi gas station with a worker or two that handles the pump itself. A few minutes and the vehicle is back to work. How’s that scale going to work when it takes 30-45min to charge if they continuously drain down until you hit 20% and have the fastest charge time? You’ll need 150 taxis with 1/3 of them always charging.
FSD has always been a meh to me as a Tesla investor. To me the bigger long term buy is just the overall AI they are developing as part of FSD.
But it will be owner base like airbnb. Tesla just take some fees
@@musa7606 But Tesla is way behind every other player in AI, even in FSD, they aren't really even close to robo taxi's while other companies already offer robo taxi services in SF. I just don't see what edge Telsa has other than brand value, and spotlight (which arguably isn't even a bonus, with Elon Musk continually making a fool of himself...).
@@scramptha5949 How do you know they are behind in AI? And are they really behind Google, who can't figure it out for their life? And even if they are behind, how much? Perhaps their AI is behind in some ways, but ahead in other applications...
Got post but disagree on Tesla price cuts, these Evs are expensive. The whole point was too make the transition to sustainable energy future affordable. Prices were expected to reduce over time. Btw they make among the highest margins per vehicle in this segment.
Comparing op margins with Apple is comparing with Oranges.
Yeah, but TSLA's insane share price was partly based on presumption of massive margins continuing indefinitely - that part of the investment thesis is well and truly shot.
Anyone knows why in my Qulatrim Visa has a FCF yield of 3.50% but in this video @23:39 has 5.41% ??
Was a state change issue for some reason. Refreshing fixed it.
@@JosephCarlsonAfterHours thanks for letting us know. Last night I was thinking on selling few positions to buy heavily in Visa with that FCF yield 🤣
In Zuck we trust!
China is gonna be an issue I would be cautious
Said no one ever.
Thanks for a great analysis. There are a few companies that I found that might be worth analysis. Do you mind sharing your insight on these tickers?
IESC, GCT, AXNX, EME, CWCO, CRWD?
I agree Tesla is cyclical, but denying the megatrend in the EV market is short -sighted, in my view.
Even if FSD didnt pan out (which I agree is a long shot), the growth potential is huge.
With awful results, as we've seen, the bottom may be in. This is because the market has already discounted the worst case scenario.
Turnarounds are always preceded by technicals. Awful results and a +10% is a great sign, company is probably going from awful to bad, soon.
You BY FAR are a long term investor.... AND that's cool. BUT your stock pics are terrible.
Another great video Joseph. Can you please update your portfolio links? Salesforce and Moody's aren't on thee
Joseph would love to hear your thoughts on Alibaba at some point.
Company has a market cap has a share price of $71 and a free cashflow per share of $63 last year. The numbers are outrageous. They have a market cap of 171 billion but have approximately 500 billion in cash and investments on hand. The price teams totally whacked out of its mind and i want a sanity check before i sell my kidney and all of my furniture to buy more BABA.
Also if anyone in the chat can see what im missing let me know. I know if china invades taiwan thats a risk but is that it?
I feel like you're missing the point of pepsi. The whole reason why i love pepsi is the same reason you dont like it. I want a dividend payer that can do a little bit of everything as far as current yield, dividend growth, sustainable dividend payout ratio, and a history of increasing dividends year after year without a pause or cut through hard times. I feel better investing in pepsi compared to texas roadhouse. You could say the same thing about it being more expensive going out to eat for a family of 4 and those same familes not eating out as much. There is a reason why people love PEP, JNJ, and MCD and its for a lot of the same reasons. Dividend investors want CONSISTENSY over long periods.
If you did a bit of research, Tesla didn't cut prices because of a lack of demand. The "delivered vehicle rate" was even growing overtime (except now ofc). They just do this to get rid of competition from for example China. This forces them to also lower their prices, and they are in a worse position than Tesla (except byd atm).
🤢🤮TRAILER SWISS🤢🤮
My car drives me around by itself. I love my car and I still believe in the company. I hope we dip close to $100-$120 again. I wanna load the boat. Apart from Tesla what would be the best 5 etfs for a beginner
Lookint at FCF/Share highly favors companies that do buybacks over those that do dividends. Both are paying out a portion of FCF to you, but one method inflates FCF/Share and one doesn't.
Hi Joseph, can we get a breakdown on your thoughts in MSCI? 13% drop on earnings but I feel the fundamentals are still intact
I bought some more here!
This argument makes no sense….there a better companies in specific things for every single company in the world unless they are literally the best in a specific thing….sorry losing me here with this…..and using Costco because they are more defensive or whatever is dumb as you ignored valuation. Yea they have a better balance sheet or growing more but they are valued WAY more
i have pep thx Joseph
Tesla is going back down to 109
The game is up for TSLA's severely bloated share price - it's going sub. $100 soon.
I bought TSLA at $14 and hold VISA. I feel like Joseph is speaking to me directly in this video.
I hope tesla go down more. I want to buy more. The only thing you miss in your analyses is the full ecosystem. Not just the robo taxi. I see cars, solar panels, fast chargers and now robo taxi. They manage a robo taxi what will happen to distribution systems?
i own no Chipotle stock, but ive said time and time again that their food is like crack to young adults. When in college, the lines for chipotle were always out the door.
Instant click
I pulled out of Tesla. Afetr 3 years I just show big losses. If I had a crystal ball .....................
I am one of the lucky ones on tesla stock i bought last year at around 133 i was very polished on the company. Until i watched you reasoning on why you are not polish on it, i was convinced by your reasoning and sold it at around 250
Doubled my MSCI position after the dip. Q1 looked great
Joseph, you are right about SNAP. Good job, but I missed it, hahaha
What's going on with Meta? It just tanked after reporting like it's going out of business.
Joseph "Big Tech" Carlson
Hail Pepsi & Visa. Time to buy MSCI now Joseph?
Tesla the company is doing awesome....the stock not so much. It will soar soon.
Question: It seems that you do not go over Gross and Profit Margins in your analysis. Why?
Comment section never disappoints. 🇨🇦
Fingers crossed for bad CMG earnings. I want the dip.
i really appreciate the fact that you put time stamps of the companies you cover
im not interested in all of them, so that helps
sold half my Pepsi position and put it into SBUX and Ulta after this
I have pep stock too but I think pep will do ok
Does Qualtrim have Uk and EU stocks?
45 min video!? Great time for chores around the house! 🔥
45 minutes of Joseph motherfucking Carlson?
What a treat!
Have you ever looked into ansys and synopsys great companies with a good moat
What? Snap still isnt bankrupt lol
I Snapchat all the girls
IMPOR ANT WEEK
Tesla’s self driving is BS.
I've never been a Tesla shareholder, but at what point should I become one? I said 150 I would consider it, now I'm thinking 100
Should probably just stick to my guns and buy more MSFT and AMZN
I think you answered your own question. Stick to what you understand.
Is Amazon stock in trouble?
This is completely random hahahahah 44:56
KRUS, CAVA, REGN not in your list and why? AXP, V and MA should go together, very neutral om MSFT, bullish on META and GOOG
I agree and have the same take on Taylor swift lol
And what are the better and cheaper defensive alternatives to PEP?
Visa.
About PEPSI, don't forget that each one play a different game.
If you are 55 and want a stable and sure dividend, wihtout having to wait 15 years to have the same div from TXRH, it can be a good choice.
If you are 20, indeed you should prefer a big div growth company.
Google heard you about that buyback 😊
hey, by any chance do you require a video editor ?
According to an October study by Cumulus and Signal Hill, 28 percent of weekly podcast listeners say they use UA-cam the most for podcast consumption. That's more than the next two competitors - Spotify with 15 percent and Apple Podcasts with 12 percent - combined.
Now Meta is decent one and half years ago it wasn't 😅
Universal Music is the music royalties play, however much I love the Spotify product.
Looking forward to the day my tesla investment goes from venture capital investment to blue chip stock investment😅
CAVA might be worth looking at, at some point. The next CMG, TXRH?
Thank you for all the hard work, easy-to-understand and digest summary . Wish you the best and for your channel.
Bro, you can’t pick what is clearly the tallest bar on the margins graph and call it the norm. I get apple has better operating margins but don’t be like that. You are better. Long time subscriber. Love the show
I like the diversity of PEP. They own a number of food brands as well like Quaker Oats and Grandma Cookies.
Why didn’t you comment on MSCI!? I thought you were following that company
The large cap tech trend has been basically, the more H100's a company has, its a bellwether to casual AI investors about how advanced they are .. hence why MSFT and Meta have been outperforming
Regarding your comment on dividend growth, I think you’re doing a calculus error here. Please correct me if I’m wrong and just understand it wrongly, but when you compare 5 and 1 year growth rates, the 1 year growth rate should be higher than the 5 year growth rate to indicate a growing dividend, no? So Pepsi grows the dividend faster than Texas roadhouse?
Surprised a Major Fin Media Co. hasn't signed you up for your own Young Investors Show.
I bet seeing that SNAP is finally reporting after META put a smile on Mark's face.
More people using fb for the marketplace feature. More exposure to selling new and used junk. And fb takes a cut on long distnace deals involving shipping costs.
First time watching this channel and I can say I like the way you explain. Nothing obnoxious or rambling about something with no pauses
Tesla will rebound 10% on earnings call despite them being bad, pin this comment.
Love your video's, but do u have an opinion on Oracle and Adobe? And would they make it to your stock list?
Moes > Chipotle
Meta over pumped
Joseph thank you for your insights! I am a tesla investor and this year has been very painful, but I trust on Elon's vision
Lots of great content. Thanks 🙏
yeah joseph you don't need to show new things, just keep doing what you do in your simple way
it's always so informative
You're going to see alphabet snap back up because alongside Apple and Tesla, it's been underperforming
Tesla stock price on April 1 2025 $ 94 is my prediction.
Can you do a breakdown of Autodesk (ADSK)? Love your channel!