3 Ways I Set Up a 70% Probability Options Trades

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  • Опубліковано 22 гру 2024

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  • @SeanChandlerSF
    @SeanChandlerSF Рік тому +8

    All education without the flashy influencer fluff, just pure straight education from the pros, thank you so much for these videos.

  • @helloworld6330
    @helloworld6330 Рік тому +13

    thank you for the video. it would be interesting to learn how your desk manages loosing option trades (closing, rolling up/down, rolling in time).

  • @thonygn
    @thonygn Рік тому +7

    Love the videos, I have been profitable last few months due to you all posting and following especially options, so thank you. Great job.

  • @smbcapital
    @smbcapital  Рік тому +1

    Learn the top 3 trade setups we are using on the desk here: tinyurl.com/4receyjt

  • @truthwillalwaysprevail
    @truthwillalwaysprevail Рік тому +1

    Do you look at IV when you are selling SPV, IC , Cash secured puts? I believe just looking at only Delta may not give you the desired probability? Any thoughts on this?

  • @richjohnson3607
    @richjohnson3607 11 місяців тому

    Thanks Doug, I am in AMD but sold 1/19 calls against that position which will be exercised, glad to get out and maybe jump back in when it cools off a bit..

  • @RobertHayes-k5j
    @RobertHayes-k5j Рік тому +1

    Are these the only strategies taught in purchasing class and are adjustments taught for when trade goes against you?

  • @dc-wp8oc
    @dc-wp8oc 9 місяців тому +4

    Wish Seth would have taken a few minutes to discuss the worst-case scenario for the Credit Spread.
    For example, how to monitor this trade throughout the week and how to respond if it goes against you.

  • @owen5819-rq4kb
    @owen5819-rq4kb Рік тому +1

    Is there something badly wrong with my arithmetic, or is the credit spread's EV -200?

  • @ashton9769
    @ashton9769 3 місяці тому +1

    So for the iron condor and put/call credit spread you just want it to expire?

    • @boomclash101
      @boomclash101 2 дні тому

      Indeed .without doing much up or down.

  • @Superflow66
    @Superflow66 11 місяців тому

    Great videos
    What happens as far as capital gains.
    Since the initial portion we were paid for the the first put that we sold and then we spent some of that in order to have a protective put.
    But how does the irs see that ?
    Does the one we purchased offset some of them gains ?
    Or are we liable for covering the taxes on the 9k ?
    Thank you

  • @okayyyy8028
    @okayyyy8028 Рік тому +1

    Video starts 2:16

  • @anonymous-c3v7c
    @anonymous-c3v7c 2 місяці тому

    Давно искал связку, большое человеческое спасибо

  • @EliiWesley
    @EliiWesley 8 місяців тому +25

    I am so happy that I made productive decisions about my finances that changed my life forever. I am a single mother and I live in Spain, I bought my second house in September and I hope to retire next year at 40 if all goes well. thanks to Louise O'Brien for helping me achieve this.

    • @EliiWesley
      @EliiWesley 8 місяців тому +2

      SHE IS ON TELE GRAM.

    • @EliiWesley
      @EliiWesley 8 місяців тому +2

      she's mostly on Telegrams, using the user name.

    • @EliiWesley
      @EliiWesley 8 місяців тому +7

      @louisewealth . ...

    • @EliiWesley
      @EliiWesley 8 місяців тому +3

      That’s her user-name

  • @clabpr79
    @clabpr79 7 місяців тому +1

    If I understand correctly 70% to 80% winning rate. But 2K against 10k. 8 x 2k = 16K gain. 2 x 10K = $20k. There must be a risk management for this or increment premium and delta.

  • @mixxndj
    @mixxndj Рік тому

    What Securities license is required to be a prop trader ? SIE and S57 ?

  • @milonhossain9132
    @milonhossain9132 4 місяці тому

    Hello
    Im new at trading. i cant figure out the outcome of a trade. can you explain me the outcome ?

  • @vangilanteryan713
    @vangilanteryan713 Рік тому

    Awesome. Just what i wanted to learn. I need to learn and apply this nowadays. Obviously.

  • @helloworld6330
    @helloworld6330 Рік тому +1

    15:34 what is the meaning of "not as you deserve"?
    does anyone deserve anything? :o) equal opportunities, do not mean equal outcomes!

  • @facemakerable
    @facemakerable 2 місяці тому

    i like cash secure put and credit spread

  • @Thealtrader3
    @Thealtrader3 Рік тому

    💕 love from India

  • @Eqnotalent
    @Eqnotalent Рік тому +2

    U guys keep making the same option income strategy vid. U guys need a vid that how to adjust or manage losing trades for these 3 strategies

    • @aldomale8163
      @aldomale8163 Рік тому +1

      They would be rich if they could

  • @FatiLbgra
    @FatiLbgra 2 місяці тому

    благодаря тебе начал пользоваться Байбитом)

  • @paulwalsh5534
    @paulwalsh5534 Рік тому

    Happy Thursday night

  • @dllmohh6026
    @dllmohh6026 Рік тому +2

    For the 3rd strategy of selling naked put of $ADBE at support of 320 which to me is a very dangerous trade setup, can you please share the trade management of this trade when the price tanked and consolidated back to slightly below 320 level during the period of end of Feb till early of Mar. On hindsight from the chart it closed well above 320 but in actuality of this trade during that period it has the probability to break the support and risk management is always as important to consider.

    • @deathbybabomb
      @deathbybabomb Рік тому +1

      Normally I view cash covered puts as a means to go long a stock. So in that case you would have just let it get assigned.

  • @christiankacala3175
    @christiankacala3175 6 місяців тому +1

    I have never quite understood the math. It sounds great to win 75% of the time, but if you are risking 10000 to make 2500 a couple unlucky (or poorly placed) trades can wipe you out, or at least make profitability a hard thing to achieve

  • @LG-tw5vm
    @LG-tw5vm Рік тому +2

    Credit spreads also carry hidden risks that not everyone is aware of.

    • @3DON192
      @3DON192 Рік тому

      Like what

    • @LG-tw5vm
      @LG-tw5vm Рік тому

      @brendandonovan2476 The protection side of the trade doesn't get triggered in the afterhours. There are UA-cam videos that explain this. So if you are trading the SPY, you might think your max loss was, say, -$500 dollars for 5 contracts. Instead, you were assigned those 5 contracts and needed $250,000 in your account. If the SPY went up overnight and rose again the following morning, you would likely be ok. However, if the SPY went down, you would see the full weight of those losses that could easily exceed -$500 and perhaps be -$5,000 or even -$10,000, for example.

    • @LG-tw5vm
      @LG-tw5vm Рік тому

      @brendandonovan2476 Your broker can also explain how these risks work if you speak with someone in the trading department.

    • @deathbybabomb
      @deathbybabomb Рік тому +2

      One big example is if the stock stops between your strikes on expiration. You would be assigned the short with no long protection

    • @LG-tw5vm
      @LG-tw5vm Рік тому

      @@deathbybabomb Correct.

  • @stefanychirinos-d5r
    @stefanychirinos-d5r 2 місяці тому

    Друг, это понятно что на байбит работаешь, но людям нужно говорить о том, что Байбит стал блокировать первое пополнение на 24 часа, это нужно иметь ввиду

  • @ksoonsoon
    @ksoonsoon Рік тому +1

    Bueno.

  • @MellowMusic1
    @MellowMusic1 Рік тому +1

    🙏🏽🙏🏽

  • @encompassvideo5429
    @encompassvideo5429 2 місяці тому

    Am I the only guy who watches this to learn how his shop does things.

  • @tonyschwartz8790
    @tonyschwartz8790 Рік тому +1

    major short call pain on a day like today - it was so smooth

  • @bawabro
    @bawabro Рік тому +1

    It's not that simple

  • @GHAAZNI
    @GHAAZNI Рік тому

    Complicated ,the person only knows what's he wants to tell and explain we just understood nuts.

  • @bretthong6137
    @bretthong6137 3 місяці тому

    Most traders lose money

  • @mohanlaljain1056
    @mohanlaljain1056 Рік тому

    Plese speak in hindi

  • @bretthong6137
    @bretthong6137 3 місяці тому

    Lies

  • @dazisgud
    @dazisgud Рік тому +1

    This is useless information. how do we find an edge to trade these strategies? Losing 30% of our trades will blow up our accounts . I would expect better information from a trading firm

    • @johnr2469
      @johnr2469 8 місяців тому

      The edge is your lower probability that the trade will go against you. That’s the 30% chance that’s not 30% of your account. It’s the probability that your stock will go below your option prices. Using out of the money options is a good strategy, but there are pitfalls you have to watch out for.