AI will take your job | Mark Cuban
Вставка
- Опубліковано 8 вер 2024
- Billionaire investor Mark Cuban, owner of the Dallas Mavericks, discusses his views on the future of jobs. Showcasing the increasing importance of UBI as AI dividends.
Technology created the middle class and now is destroying it. Dividends from the proceeds of AI is how we share the fruits of technological progress with everyone, because technology is our common wealth.
Source: • Mark Cuban on Trump Ad...
---
Follow UBI Works
Facebook: / ubiworkscanada
X: / ubi_works
Instagram: / ubi_works
Tiktok: / ubiworks
Sign up for our email list: ubiworks.ca/join
I keep saying this in the office. Everyone is in the “don’t look up”phase right now.
Exactly
Like wtf. No one thought world war 2 was gonna happen, especially when the British prime minister of the time signed the deal with hitler and booom. 70 million deaths in a time span of 6 years. WAKE THE FUCK UP..
Yup. Everyone in my entire family too.
Not necessarily , I think it’s just the ok you’ve told us this now what’s the solution? If you can’t give solutions people generally don’t care
It's funny you say that because when I first saw what Sora could do it felt like going outside and seeing an alien mothership blocking out the sun. My whole world changed in a moment. I'm a film and TV makeup artist and guess what? No other makeup artists even know what Sora is! They are effed! I'm already pivoting our business to live entertainment and education. I'm building an ark. They are all laughing saying I'm paranoid. No joke.
Im 28 and AI already took my first job. I was a bond trader for 5 years and tech eliminated like 85% of the job. A bond desk of 5 in 2018 with Chicago or NY salaries can now be operated by 1 person living in Ohio who also receives less 401k matching and equity bonuses then before. Now Im in FX and derivitives and took a paycut cause I think thatll be the one of the last portions of finance to get taken over. Just delaying the inevitable a few years lol. Its a survival game now. Marks right though get that money inside the most secure stocks possible now so the AI works partially for you.
But could you use AI, team up with a few professionals like yourself, start a business offering services that you were doing before, and compete against the companies that eliminated your jobs?
AI doesn’t just benefit the companies that want to eliminate jobs. It can benefit people who have lost their jobs as well.
Automate it yourself and offer the service.
Literally everything in finance can be automated...
It's math...
Yeah, people are going to be running away from the downsizing. Everyone discusses this as if the replacement of labor is a binary when it's a process. Labor will slowly get squeezed sector by sector.
Move to Texas or Louisiana and go to trade school. Look at becoming an electrician or Instrumentation Tech, Im a coatings Quality Control tech and i believe this is the best position for me once all the office positions like the estimators and HR people are gone. It will take some pretty advanced robotics to replace high dexterity jobs like welders, electricians, painters, scaffold builders, etc
What in gods name did you do? Im working in corporate finance and AI cannot do one thing correctly and never will.... because accouting is based on intentions, laws, standards and judgements, not on stable set of rules. You must have just been doing some really simple tasks.
I'm a janitor and there's already robots that clean bathrooms and stuff. My job is just too cheap to invest in it though. Lol
Until humanoids cost less than your salary, which would be relatively soon I’d imagine
Just wait.
thats what you think, until someone from higher up does the math.
not for long, robots will be building robots and you would never be able to match the cost.
I knew of a story once about a janitor at MIT who would solve difficult mathematical proofs and equations on chalkboards posted outside of classrooms during his shifts at night. He eventually found some good gigs with the help of a good therapist and an esteemed math professor at the university. So I think that’s what you have to do.
This what Andrew yang has been saying for a long time. Capitalism needs Reformation, there should be a Data VAT where companies using peoples data should be charged and that money should be used to fund a UBI.
That’s the only candidate I would have voted for. Such a shame the never ending pissing match between dems and republicans always ends with the people getting pissed on.
But that takes away from the risk I took on...
Agree it’s just so politically unpopular cause Repubs hate handouts (except for corporations)
From companies point of view, they only use our data for targeted ads and it’s our fault if we succumb to it and they spent money (developing an algorithm) to get something from our raw data.
I am not saying I disagree with you but I am just thinking on their shoes right now
@@butwhytharum what risk?
The real answer is he doesn't know and nobody knows, just be flexible, open-minded and positive.
real.
But we know it’s coming
Nope they have the answer, social system that you need. Idk if you believe in the bible. But this is how they bring in the mark of the beast. Force everyone into a system of welfare because they gave all work over to machines. So now you need the system and more willing to take the mark.
naa we know its coming. maybe not in 5 years but 5-15 looks quite likely.
Yeah!
As someone who works in software. AI in its current state is not replacing us. Its is making us more productive by finding answering a bit faster than searching via stackoverflow threads. It only knows information thats out there. It is not generating anything new. It also cannot build an entire software application. It requires a lot of understanding across multiple systems before you can get an app to someones phone.
Edit:
LOL @ the comments about Devin and AI advancements.. Looks guys, AI will get better and better. There is no denying that but it will be a gradual change before it replaces an engineer, dev, or whatever the hell you want to be.
Just like when 3D printing was released, and Testlas self driving claims of 100% autonomous, its all over hyped. You dont see houses being built by machines in 1 week and you dont see a empty car delivering your amazon packages. There are way too many variables in software especially creating ***NEW*** products. Anyone who has ever worked in the real world will know that new problems come up every day.
Yea
Check Devin AI and edit this comment later
If you were to extrapolate that it will only be so much better from now on. That’s not the only issue. Even in it is current state, making you much more productive will result in reducing the overall demand for software engineers.
Why should I hire 10 engineers when I can hire only 3!
AI has improved exponentially the last few years. Impossible to imagine where we’ll be at a few years later
Yeah, but do you really need other team mates? One or two people can do the work of the rest of the team. So AI isn't replacing them, you using AI will replace them. Software field is going to have millions of layoffs around the world in the next few years.
I hope it frees people to truly do what they enjoy, without worrying about working to live.
I hope that you're right and I'm wrong. The computer was originally invented to help people be more productive and spend more time with their family. The galling gun was invented by a physician in the hopes that less men would be drafted. I suspect that what will happen is that institutions will just continue to waste our time with more and more productivity and never get satisfied.
exactly🙌
Ubi is gonna happen in the next 15 or 30 years
I don't have faith in those in power to lead us to that reality. Get ready to be poor.
Good point
AI generated basketball league will have this guy sweating too
Fortunately, for people simply put when it comes to entertainment we will always prefer humans (it also fascinates us to see what our talent and capabilities are with hard physical work, especially the Olympics), but even if ai generated basketball took over tomorrow... ok.. he still owns an entire stadium worth hundreds of millions if not more. He has heavily diversified his assets and businesses. He will not sweat a drop lol at this point he is just living life to build the biggest legacy possible for his family, which sadly most Americans fail to do. The ones that do focus on legacies will be the ones that thrive as assets will be kind. Corps are buying every bit of commercial real estate property possible to then lease them or sell for astronomical prices for elites only. Corps like Blackrock are buying every bit of real estate to force rent. House owners are being greedier than ever before so you can either succeed and understand how to adapt or you fall behind. People like Mark succeeded lol he is going to be A ok
He just sold his team like a month ago lol
A.I. + Boston Dynamics Robots playing basketball. No need for human players anymore.😎😎😎😎😎😎😎😎
they are gonna have AI generated games for people to watch
Nah he already cashed out on the Mavs
Yep. This is the last breaths of the Capitalist economic system.
Dude the rich don’t care about us we can die for all they care.
total nonsense. we are actually headed towards hyper capitalism and the collapse of the state. capitalism is eating the state, not vice versa.
if you don’t have ai, bitcoin and land you’ll be fucked.
In a dream scenario, in the pretty distant future, perhaps. But as of now, who do you think is gonna own all the AI ??
We'll just replace it with some sort of corporative oligarchy :(
@@danieltucker6941 The US has been an Oligarchy for almost a decade now.
If all jobs are gone, then who will all corporations be selling their goods and services to?
ubi may be
The government will have to give the people some sort of Universal Basic Income (UBI) so we can continue to be consumers
You act like they need money. They have already bought everything they need with the money. The money is useless now
They need workers. But they will pay them less.
@@dasaavawarsuploads1143 In that case too they won't be able to spend on shopping. I am just trying to understand the cycle.
What a wonderful time to be a senior in high school… Good luck young folks!
its mostly bullshit what theyre saying dont worry
I like how the reporter was completely clueless to what Mark was saying. "So you are emphasising the importance of education?" He completely missed the point that AI will take away most desk jobs, that re-education is pointless cause there is no demand for anything higher education teaches now.
I’m using Claude 3 Opus and GPT 4 and still waiting for it to not suck
Claude 3 is decent though
True but it’s just a matter of when not if. It will not stop evolving.
lol
Give it 1 or 2 more system updates :)
It's only going to get better. So much progress has been made so quickly. You are in denial.
we need unlimited workers in the healthcare industry......... like millions
Lol
For now. By 2100 I'm not so certain.
That's what Robotics will give us!
lol, this is the biggest industry that will be hit... dont be silly
@@bobronsons5780 Robot healthcare workers will make healthcare more affordable for all Americans.🇺🇸🤷♂
I think this is kind of overblown, especially with regards to programmer jobs. Look, the reason why these models are especially good at code is that there's a gigantic volume of high quality code out in the open on which these models could have been trained. That isn't the fact for the tasks of your average office worker. If these models had nearly as much data for those tasks, then nobody would single out programmer jobs as being especially threatened by this technology. And also it's worth noting that even with this gigantic volume of high quality data no model comes even close to replacing programmers today. Given that pretty much all of the potential training data for code has already been exploited (unless all of the proprietary code is released out in the open, which well...) the upside for these kinds of models is limited.
You have no idea what you're talking about
Look at Devin AI- they call it a software engineer because that's literally what it can do.
It can auto correct it self and literally make money doing online jobs with software tools used by humans.
They are inviting people to check it out.
What I don’t get is his point about English and Philosophy majors being better than CS.
For AI maintenance, you still need to study AI. For English and Philosophy, there’s no practical purpose other than creative writing and existential thinking, which have no “job” prospects anyway. Anyone can write blogs or produce art without academic training.
@@mecanuktutorials6476 My guess is that AI will not completely satisfy all job industries, at least it won't be able to carry out complex human activities such as deep language learning, emotional intelligent communication, philosophical thinking on the human condition, and the psychology of learning how to interact with these machines and so on..
And just 3 days later: Devin AI software developer proves you 100% wrong. Its only gonna get more and more intelligent as time goes on. Its already free lancing. They have "Hire Devin" as their slogan
"the automation of automation" Yep that's going to change the labor force, unemployment, and the GDP all at the same time. I guess no one is rushing to be the first one to get to space anymore.
He is so giddy about this. You can hear it in his voice when he said “you’re gone”
But ,the prick still dyes his hair >So ,his achilles heel is over concern about being pushed aside because of ageism.
telling my kid to be an essential worker like nurse, electrician, plumber
That won't work either, there will be a tsunami of people trying to become electricians and plumbers which will cause wages to plummet in that sector. UBI is the way forward, at least as a stopgap until AI gets so powerful everything might as well be free.
Yep, trade school beckons not college.
@@gbw28Except everyone who is getting displaced in a desk job will be trying to become plumbers and electricians too making pay far cheaper and much more difficult to get into.
Well they're making robots too
@Bebtelovimab or buy a lot of guns
I actually likes his personalities. I think he pretty laid back for a billionaire and relatable to a lot out there .
AI taking up jobs would be hypothetical but real too.
I’m a gold miner. No AI is gonna come out to the river without internet or cell service and dig in the river and pan out the gold nuggets.
That would require mass production of bipedal AGI level robots that are efficient and cost effective enough to be used for that
No-one is buying those nuggets without jobs
Exactly. It's all doom and gloom scare tactics to make people feel there is no future. If you could automate everything start to finish, mcdonalds and walmart wouldn't have a single employee. But you can't and never will be able to. Does AI remove a few jobs here and there, sure. But just as the computer eliminated some jobs, it created so many more jobs than it destroyed. Adjust with the world.
A humanoid robot can easily do that
You will be surprised
Bullish on liberal arts majors? I got a history degree and highly disagree. The quality of candidates graduating with these degrees is very low based on my experience with others in my classes. The curriculum just isn't rigorous at all. The business school at my college had a minimum GPA to apply to get, humanities take all the flunkies
He's talking about 3 years from now after OpenAI, Anthropic or Meta start selling AGI LLMs. Basically an average employee replacement. Listen to Sam Altman on his goals. He thinks AGI will replace most corporate jobs.
Even these current models like ChatGPT 4 and Claude 3 Opus can pass any undergrad test and even graduate level. They do math now too.
On top of that more and more jobs will get outsourced to 2nd/ 3rd world countries.
He's saying in 10 yrs or so. Maybe the caliber of students going into liberal arts will increase thus making the curriculum more rigorous.
120+ IQ programmers retraining into liberal arts will be taking over, not current history major grads, if any of this even happens.
A lot of people doing software engineering right now could do many many other things. their focus is just on tech at this moment in time.
Universal basic income seems like the proper way to handle this
Instead of ubi what about free housing like finland does.
The USA would have had UBI for years now if they had voted for Andrew Yang back in 2020
Someone gets it
It is the only way.
That would require new laws and raising taxes on the mega corps. They need to monitor company sales and profits as well as payroll and AI usage and if they see lots of layoffs and revenue rising then start increasing taxes
Andrew Yang has been saying this for a long time! Now the idea of universal basic income can become a serious discussion when millionssssss of people do not have work.
Facts
I’m betting billionaire-boy here is right. The next ten or fifteen years is going to dwarf the past 30 years. And there was a helluva lot of change over the past 30 years.
Star Trek. Everyone lives on a ship and wears the same uniform.
Duncan used to blow his whistle on the train
That's the point of a uniform.
i can install a robot arm inside my taco truck to flip the meat for me!
And then no one can afford your tacos anymore
😂😂
Nobody will be able to afford to go out with no jobs. EVERYBODY WILL BE SCREWED
@@jaronloar1762universal basic income
Check out Figure robotics (search “Figure Open AI demo”)
We are less than a decade from completely dynamic humanoid robots. You could have it run your taco truck while you enjoy your leisure!
Lol why is programming always get singled out when it comes to job lost? If AI can execute perfect code and deploy it without any developers than It can also run a business without anyone. So all you have to do is tell it what you want and boom you’re rich.
AI can certainly produce code but can it maintain software projects? I doubt that because there is way too much manual configuration and variety in operations.
To Automate Automation, you’d have to essentially obsolete all of the previous iterations of software and ask AI to replace them. For example: a desktop program like MS WORD or POWERPOINT or games like Batman, replace them such that it is Interfaceble by the AI to maintain and expand. That sounds ridiculously unrealistic to just happen based on a prompt of requirements. In my own experience in the tech industry, software projects are not managed in a way that is suitable for automation even, even if that is what the end purpose of the projects are.
I’d go as far as saying the job of a software developer is akin to that of a historian, detective, artist, engineer, politician, policeman all wrapped up into one within their project(s). It is completely different that singular work functions like a security guard or checkout cashier. People who aren’t programmers don’t get that fact. And Mark Cuban’s “if this then that” blurb confirms he’s among them.
@@mecanuktutorials6476 Well put. He does not understand Software Engineering.
Well said. I think programmers will exist, but they will essentially become Ai managers overseeing the I/O of the machine. But if we can just please for the love of God get rid of middle managers. Worthless lot, all of em.
Well, in this interview they talked about all desk jobs being potentially lost to AI, not just programming. The reason why programming is often brought up is because of how hard it is to do. So if AI can do that, it can do pretty much any other white collar job.
@@mecanuktutorials6476Devin AI
I find it hard to believe there will be a lack of demand for software devs.. these will grow infinitely IMO from big data to systems integration to pure coding, security and testing code
healthcare is going to grow infinitely as well
Tell this to Mark C*mbag and he will deny that. He's just an idiot with money.
But what happens when AI codes on its own, using the AI is where the power is
Wow. It’s crazy how intelligent Mark looks here compared to the interviewer. He is spot on.
Fr this dude life smart
Glazing
He seems normal to me.
Bro is gifted with high iq
He says people with liberal arts and philosophy degrees will be in demand. What a load of horseshit. Yall crazy
Why is it that the only perspective we're getting on this issue is from only the people that will benefit from it?
This video is 7 years old. This should be in the description.
They're letting us know that it'll be reality
Which makes it all the more prescient😮
“So, adult higher education is the answer?”
“What are you gonna go back and do?”
…….
………….
Checkmate
Game over humans
in the process of buiying land and being off grid. Solar panels, garden, hunting, raising animals. Preserving food. Going to back to the 1800's with a few modern twists
As a programmer less than a decade away from retirement, I've long drawn the conclusion that if I were starting today, I'd be screwed. I don't know what to tell young kids today in terms of where to focus. There are very, VERY few jobs that can't be disrupted by AI.
* pilot - 90% of a flight is already automated and the only reason why planes aren't 100% flown by computer is because pilot unions fought to make sure that didn't happen, for obvious reasons
* doctor - computers already pick up things in MRI images that doctors miss. Robots already perform man surgeries. Heck, if you're a pharmacist, you're just dispensing drugs. That can so easily be replaced by a drug dispensing ATM machine
* even jobs like teacher can be replaced. Imagine one teacher broadcasting a math lesson and students log in to watch it. Better still, the teacher records the lessons and students can replay them whenever they want. Better still, get AI to record the lesson, eliminating all teachers
* truck drivers/taxis - it's only a matter of time
As of now, the only jobs that can't be replaced (yet) are plumbers and electricians. You need a physical person there to do the work, so if there's any job I don't see being replaced anytime soon, it's those two jobs. But I'd tell anyway to save, save, SAVE your money, because the day will come that your only form of income will be the interest from your savings. It's too hard to figure out what skills you should learn to keep your head above water.
So musicians até safe, especially live performers?
This is all misleading. Doctors will not be replaced because no one will be choosing "ATM DOC" as their primary care. Truck drivers" Nope. A robot cannot pretrip a trailer, hook up airlines, replace parts on trailers, etc etc etc. Or report damages to trailers from malicious intent. Teachers? Nope. State schools are not adopting AI to teach. Parents do not want AI to teach kids. Mountains of psychology evidence on incidental learning being primary source of knowledge from k-12th grade. Pilot? Nope. Flight planning is automated, but human decisions are necessary the moment weather is involved, and in a plane, it is always involved. Especially landing with wind. There is no AI that can land a ATR 72 in a storm and there wont be for some time. My subaru with starlink can't even discern a line on a road you think an AI can see a runway? please. This guy. No idea what you are talking about.
Plumber and electrician WILL be replaced too... it's too easy to do. WE ARE ALL FUCKED
I would add automotive mechanics to the list. I couldn't see an AI robot doing repairs on cars and using the skills needed to do it correctly. Theres always a need for mechanics.
In my opinion it’s a shallow point of view saying that “it’ll be all gone”. I don’t believe we’ll see this change in decades. But the problem is, near future AI will cause beginner/junior level devs losing their job or not being hired in the first place. Because as lead developer or senior developer, it comes to constantly teaching stuff to a junior dev and checking his work quality versus getting AI assistant generated code and checking its quality and debugging. On top of that, one hand there is a person, a human with salary, additional costs and occasional complaints, on the other an AI tool as low as $10-20 per month. I constatly use copilot and I must say most of its suggestions and generated codes are barely useful, maybe one or two lines is alright. But comparing it to a junior dev, well it might catch up pretty soon.
But of course the hotshots don’t care about what’s gonna happen to society because they’re financially safe. Right or wrong people say “these professions will be history” but no one giving a viable alternative. Even this guy is talking about art and creativity would be safe but currently AI’s greatest impact is on those industries actually. Either this is just a hype or someone is cooking something terrible.
Becoming an actor would be good or not?
Should I continue my pursuit to software developer because it's been 3 years now and I'm still struggling to master javascript. I'm starting to have doubts and think it's best to quit and save myself the stress.
I'm a makeup artist in film & TV and my job will be gone as soon as Sora is released. 💯 I've already begun writing my congressperson and senator asking about WTF they are going to do when this happens. I got one canned response from my senator saying AI is our friend and helper and I'm 100% sure it was AI generated. No response from the others. We are going to be seriously effed because the government moves at a snail's pace and this is happening at light speed. Buckle up. This is going to get crazy. 😳
Automation replaces labor. Not consumption. As long as human beings drive demand, they will not be replaceable in the economy. Only redefined within it.
What abt jobs?? You can buy only if you have money, money will come from Jobs or services
We are already seeing that this is not true..
@@bobronsons5780 what’s not true? That labor is being redefined in the economy? Look at all the prompt engineering jobs sprouting up. Robots don’t drive demand. People do. And as our demands become more dynamic so will the ways we meet those demands.
If AI becomes advanced enough for me to say to it, "Create an application for me like Amazon, Netflix or Facebook with the entire project infrastructure, architecture, expandable and scalable, then deploy it in the cloud, maintain near-continuous availability, and develop it according to my constantly and fast changing requirements without introducing any bugs, then we won't need programmers or IT specialists anymore. However, at that point, we probably won't need anyone other than physical workers either.
The point is not to build the entire infrastructure. 1 developer doesn't build the entire infrastructure as well. The point is to introduce AI to different stages of development, each specializing in certain tasks. And AI to monitor the entire system. You drastically reduce the number of people required.
Once AI reaches AGI and can build new robotics it will easily figure out how to do the manual labor easier than humans.
The problem is that demand will fall of a cliff if more people are unemployed that in turn affects all of the companies. It’s important to keep a balance between automation and labor. The scenario of handful companies controlling everything works only in theory and not in reality
Not true, the elite rich are replacing that demand. WE ARE ALL FUCKED
Sounds like folks from Industrial Revolution are back at it
This is much worse because it will be too quick for people to change or skill up. This will be 10 times worse
@@ABanRocks tell that to the switchboard users, data entry clerks, elevator operators, automobile workers, video store clerks, etc.
There’s always a chance technology can replace you, and at least in the US, it’s your job to prepare yourself for it and keep up to date about what could happen in the future related to your job.
People just don’t want to learn new things, and I get it, some people have a lot of responsibilities outside of work to prepare for the worst.
You just need to look back and think about those moments in your life when you were still deciding what you wanted to make as your career. If you didn’t think about longevity and low probability of being replaced by technology as being apart of your criteria then something was missed
@@Scientist287this is dofferent. This is obsolescence of the human mind. There is no job new or old you can do that it wont be able to. And with the humanoidrobota fast advancing you wont have any place. You are not the buggy driver faced woth the automobile you are the horse😊
ppl keep saying new jobs will come but it wont be enough for everyone that needs them
Oh cmon people think outside the box. The world isn’t perfect. Plenty to build, new job types to come, like for example a computer programmer never existed 50 years ago, I’m sure new types of jobs will be needed
AI manager 😅
The problem, the difference this time is the ubiquity of AI ability. Once we reach an AGI or some competent level of AI, any job that may be created by AI, can also be done by AI!
This is the end all for jobs my friend this is the final product of capitalism. There is no maintenance man for Ai systems there are only guides, and once the Ai powerful enough they too are no longer needed. Also as Ai helps develop better robotics manuel labor jobs will also be automated away.
But the point here is AI is expanding at the rate that we didn't have enough time for the economy to grow as well where the new types of jobs are in place for us to take. We're still in the age of before AI but with AI, if you know what I mean. It will take a while but there will be a bloodbath until it happens
Universal Basic Income, real human freedom
Too many people competing so we need to limit births to only 5% of people to reduce the massive oversupply within 5 years of AI
in the mean time on the streets....
Or you know, they'll just kill us
paper money is fake. so is democracy. they will both be smashed my bitcoin and ai.
You think UBI will mean a good living though? What if its just barely enough to scrape by?
My Career advice: Create a career and use AI as one of your tools for success instead of worrying about AI taking over your job! Take control of your own mind and life! BE a champion! Good luck.👍🏾
Sometimes I wonder how Mark became a billionaire. Maybe he’s playing a next level game or something but to suggest that liberal arts is going to overtake technical and engineering jobs is just baffling.
Since I don't have a job, robots can't really take it from me.
Today I saw a robot cleaner in a grocery store. And I live in a 3rd world country. So it is pretty much already here.
😮what kind of country is this
I was in Japan last year and one robot took my fast food dinner order, and another brought my meal from the kitchen.
1 minute in and I learned mark cuban doesnt know shit about AI or programming. Its not replacing programmers.
Well this interview took place 7 years ago so if nothing else, Cuban has wildly overstated the speed of all this change.
Covid delayed a bit of this progress he is talking about. There were massive layoffs and still the attrition rate is high. But we are back at it, GPT is already replacing incompetent people for startups and low cap MNCs while Devin AI is around the clock to eat jobs. Amazon is already relying heavily on automations, NVIDIA is working on AI like a monster, Crypto is rising hence the blockchain will rise massively, and a lot more things. You have any idea how the world is gonna change by the end of this year itself not to mention the explosive growth which your mind cannot even comprehend. Some AI tools which are already in market are replacing jobs and freelancers. It's just the beginning. If anything Cuban isn't even aware of half the technologies and still very much afraid of the future. In any case be ignorant and be destroyed or be prepared and go with the flow.
I was on that hype train not long ago but we can observe that the current transformer based architecture doesn’t scale well beyond what has been achieved by GPT-4, which is more than a year old by now. And that makes it largely useless for anything but assistant applications. Perhaps a different architecture will come along, now that interest in the field has exploded and the number of researchers is increasing.
CEO'S are about to be out of a job, that's probably the simplest job to replace with AI, but the skilled tradesmen is much more difficult, not only do you need the AI but you also need the robotics. When you can replace the guy lying in a ditch with a ft of mud and water welding out a pipeline with just inches of space to move around in then it might be capable of replacing skilled trades but then again just one of these machines and the AI to go with it would be insanely expensive probably multi billions of dollars... but chat gpt can replace a ceo now for a few bucks
Heh! CEOs will vote to not be replaced.
Estimates are that 300 Million Jobs could be PARTIALLY affected by AI over the next 10 years and the creation of AI Jobs (97M) vs elimination (85M) over the same period will be slightly net positive (more jobs). So the issue is those 300M jobs that are changing. They won't change tomorrow. They will change task by task and function by function over time. People will need to relinquish tasks and pivot to other more Human-Centric ones. The successful worker of the future will be the one who adopts an attitude of constant learning. There has never been a technology that ultimately ended up costing jobs in the economy. Eyes open. Don't panic. Keep learning.
The only mistake he made was talking about Liberal Arts majors, because they are now the first to be replaced. Not surprising as "creativity" is the original combination of life experiences and inspirations, which is naturally best done by an objective machine that was trained on the internet.
Software engineering doesn't exist in a vacuum, it builds off many layers of pre-existing abstraction where there's many ways to do a single thing. AI, as a language model, doesn't know how to choose right from wrong from all the available tooling. I suspect this is why it's so unreliable at generating working code. At best we can handhold it to generate modular units of behavior, fix and refactor it to our use-case, and massage it into architecture.
I think one job that will be in high demand in the coming decades is robot maintenance.
Until the robots can repair the robots
can be done by robot
What makes you think robots can't be maintained by robots?
Need basic income and a 20 or 15 or 10 hour work week.
But these things must be coordinated by an international entity. You cannot coordinate it locally or nationally due to competitive concerns.
AI will take your job
AI has been coming after your job since a caveman picked up a stick to use as a tool. The goal of all technological innovation has always been to do _more work_ with _less human input._ 100% automation of all jobs is the terminal end of that endeavor, so people can't really moan about AI "taking their jobs" -- thousands of jobs have been sacrificed in the past so you can live your life the way you do today. Telegraph operators for example, were all out of work the day Alexander Bell invented the telephone. Telephone operators were all out of work the day dial phones were developed.
Humans have never _wanted_ to work; they only do it because they HAVE TO, which is why they've spent thousands of years developing tools to make work easier, faster, etc.
@@sixstanger00 That is if computers or robots can do all the work and human won't need to work anymore and robots will grow our food, make our stuff and give every human being on earth a comfortable life. That is, they don't become self aware like Skynet and decide that they are better off without us around.
Meantime, while in transition to this presumed nirvana, because of the accelerated evolution of AI and our capitalist system dictates that business must goes the route of maximum cost efficiency, which means accelerated adoption of AI and as a result millions and even billions of jobs will be lost faster than they can be replaced and those humans whoose skills are made redundant will be in despair. That will lead to social upheavel like human civilisation have never experienced before.
The key difference from what you mentioned is that unlike in the past where changes are gradual and humans have time to retrain and adapt, this time there is going to be simply no time to slowly adapt. That's the danger to human society the person in the video is trying to point out.
Take yer jerbs!
@@sixstanger00 Absolutely spot on. If anything, it will free up creativity and brain power for us to focus on more important and interesting matters like expanding our civilization beyond earth, exploring the depths of the galaxy and even the depths of our own seas.
Edit: Also even brain power can be focused on expanding our being and life expectancy / disease. All that human resources would not go to waste as there would be more people to put energy towards these matters.
people been saying that for 5 years I have more job ppportunitites than ever, i hope all you losers never develop skills because you believe this fear
Job descriptions are changing & IT employees have been used to it ( they tend to always reinvent themselves ) Practical skills in certain roles might get replaced with AI but the intelligence will always remain with employees...
Foreign language majors are toast. There will be instantaneous translations to any language, and a choice of hundreds of voices, and altered to be more polite or casual etc...
That sounds super dope
This will be the toughest social transition stage for our world. There will be a big shift in employment causing terrible economic situations. Tax income will go down......on and on
'Automation of Automation' - how will you debug when the automated automation delivers hallucinations?
Everyone is entitled to their Opinion. Time will tell. There are other jobs being created to help fill the gaps in AI. I'll be impressed when AI can spit out a cure a disease.
It begs the question sbould the work in AI be allowed to continue while these questions go unanswered?
Lol, like anyone could stop it
At this point there's no law against creating AI.
Every man out for himself. Winners don't wanna stop winning.
Elon just dropped one for everyone to nab.
1. Who’s gonna buy stuff if nobody is making money. 2. If people lose their jobs and you ignore them, there’s gonna be a revolution and everything will be destroyed. 3. I fear that government is too stupid to figure this out and the corporations can’t see past their own greed.
People think he is crazy or exaggerated due to his views about other things. But he is dead on. And is crazy to think that people with degrees in the liberal arts by on demand in the future- but he is right. Is insane.
The fastest and easiest automation to replace is the one that requires less moving parts and just processing data. Is crazy to think the ubiquitous almost standard job of coder will be something replaced by AI, data processors, certain engineers, computer scientists, hr, even teachers, etc.
Crazy.
LOL this fucking interviewer "you gotta go back for education to learn.... whatever it takes" guy, a robot can do those things 10000 times better than a college student
He's right. Same thing then as now. You should always have the "do whatever it takes mindset" otherwise you quit learning and lose the perspective. You still have to be an engineer to use AI for engineering. Same thing when i ask it mechanic questions, you actually need to know many different things that AI still doesn't know, otherwise it will feed you a lot of BS.
@@allbaugh04 how about doing whatever it takes to fight for rights and equal distribution. People are tired of being led around like dogs by corporate
The most valuable resource is human labor. People like this strive to pay as little as possible for it. Al is a tool to make people believe they’re not needed but without the proper skills the system will collapse. He’s encouraging the youth to waste their time on skills that are worthless. Learn to be electricians and plumbers and the world will always need you.
Language majors? But current chatgpt and google translate can do that, you can even translate videos already :/
You're missing the point. It's not about the skill itself, but the way it makes the person think outside the box compared to STEM majors who apply. For me the real winners are gonna be researchers, not liberal arts, not engineers.
I think he’s referring to having the language ability for better prompting
If 5 million people have their jobs disrupted.....what are we going to do with them?
Put them on Universal Basic Income equating to roughly the same level of support as welfare, then tell them they can earn additional income by becoming content creators on social media platforms, payable by subscribership/engagement metrics and by marketing services and products on behalf of commercial interests.
People need to own some of those stocks to get dividends from the robots doing that work
Is that what Yang was saying?
There are more jobs in 2024 than 1924. The same will be true 100 years from now. Technology creates jobs.
Thank Jesus. UBI will help humanity in an invaluable way.
As a former liberal arts major who works in tech, it was interesting to hear Cuban's words. That said, I think the future is a tax on AI to support UBI - universal basic income, so that humanity can support itself by doing more creative endeavors, which are harder for computer algorithms to do well.
Really wild times we are living in! We humans still struggle to grasp the concept of exponential growth in a tangible way. It literally could go from "waiting for the current technology not to suck" to it being "smarter than you will ever be" within 1 or 2 system updates lol. I don't blame people for having a hard time facing that type of existential dilemma. It really is a lot to deal with cognitively.
Mark is correct. Education can not solve this when AI and robotics can do the job faster and at less cost than humans. The great economic reset will happen sooner than most people know. It will impact everyone.
This is a interview that 7 years ago, this is crazy
Wow no way.
Proves that he was wrong saying in 5-10 years all these layoffs would happen
or 7 days ago
7 years ago? This was 7 days ago
@@MrBunny53 I check the orginal interview, it was 7 years ago, crazy
I have an interesting perspective as a machinist who’s worked in manufacturing since before computers. As soon as computers started entering the factory, people have been saying a robot was going to take my job. And it did, kinda, over the span of 30 years. I now do the work of 5 machinists of old. But those 4 had time to retire out or retrain. This is happening too fast to too many jobs with the advent of AI. Our government is so ineffectual that they can’t pass parking rules, much less tackle an issue like this. Corporations are gonna eat everything and the serfs are gonna fight over the crumbs
Modern monetary theory is one of the best ways to push forward the cause of ubi
Funny thing is, I work at a popular shipping company. They have this machine that could... potentially... replace two workers. Problem is, it works half as fast and cannot physically do all of the work. It can't handle bags or nonconveyables. It also costs a million dollars to install and i imagine thousands to maintain a year. My company is *squeezing* to get every last dime out of the budget. You think they gonna fork over mils for automating a single door? Or they gonna pay 300 dollars a week for some poor underpaid worker? No automation is not going to take everything over. Just bits and peices at a time.EDIT: My point is, eventually, automatings things becomes more expensive than the thing itself. After that, it is pointless. Automating was to make labor cheaper or faster or more productive. Sometimes, the human is the best choice for all three. Just saying. There's a plateau to automation in some areas. And at the point we make robots that have the intelligence and motor skills of humans, they will just erase us all anyway.
Take my fuckin barista job pls
If your job right now is sitting at a desk, you are screwed in the next 5-10 years. After that manual labor will be screwed too. So scary. I don't even know how to prepare my children.
Manual labor will be screwed near the same time too as desk job people try to move into that field making it more competitive and lowering the pay further. The next 5-10 years is going to be rough, the governments as usual will be dragging their feet and the billionaires will be trying to prevent schemes such as UBI.
This is all overblown. People in the 1920s thought all jobs would be done with machines by the 1970s. Some doors close and others open.
@@user-or5lb6rl3s This is not the same as the 1920s. Those machines were only very specific to certain tasks. It's funny that people claim new jobs will be created but can't give a single example of one.
@@jaspercaelan4998 I'm truly not worried at all. AI is a tool. Not the labor itself. It's being over sold. Like a million other things in the past.
@@user-or5lb6rl3s Not right now but you will see in the next 5~10 years or it could be much sooner. Most desk jobs will be gone and they won't be replaced.
That's what I'm counting on
Edit: finance and software engineering were his suggestions? This person does not know where the market is going. Mark is on point.
And this why I haven't quit my job because everything is gonna replace little by little
And one solar flare will bring world back to stone age.
More like age of sail ⛵
Robots are already capable of doing 95% of human jobs, where the remaining 5% are quickly being integrated and taught by ai. Only reason it's still not the case is because too many people in power are afraid of what will happen when too many people lose their jobs. In 10 years, I expect over 60% of all jobs around the globe to be done by robots with the remaining 40% quickly becoming replaced as well. What's more, unlike before, there won't be new jobs to replace the old, because unlike before, ai will be able to handle any old and new jobs and do it far better than humans ever can.
Introduce AI tax. Introduce AI tax. Introduce AI tax.
Interesting thought, If AI does the work that I did it should be taxed like I was taxed.
Its not just that. Imagine the economy, if AI reduces 20% workforce, the general working population has a lower 20% purchasing power , and the companies earn
s 20% higher. Creating further division in society.@@dashriprock2916
The problem is that you can't have true knowledge loss, otherwise AI isn't sustainable.
1) You need an expert to "teach" the AI.
2) You need continued experts to continue "teaching" the AI, and correct for all niche scenarios between now and the end of time if/when things go wrong
People seem to think that once AI begins doing something, it will just flawlessly do that thing for the rest of eternity. Modern AI has already done a great job of showing that, while it IS a powerful tool, it makes TONS of mistakes... we've all seen those AI-generated images of people with 3 eyes, dogs missing half of their bodies, etc... If you are an "expert", perhaps your job as you know it today will be "taken over", but your expertise will always be required to keep learning so you can keep teaching the AI.
A.I. is a tool for all humans to be more
productive, generative & influential.
AI is still not out of its toy phase. It still gets a lot of basic stuff wrong. When it doesn’t understand or know something, it just makes shit up. Or it confuses two separate things that might be named the same, and tells you information about both as if it were true for one thing. Lots of examples of where the tech has major pitfalls that you would never want to put into production.
Capitalism is on its way out. Time for society to come up with post labor economics. I believe there will be a period of dystopia as we figure this out. Then a beautiful future.
The thing about it is everything works out in the end. No need for all the doom and gloom. Human beings will evolve and adapt. All organisms adapt and correct itself. We see that today. Birth rates are declining that’s a reactive adaptation to changing demands. No need for the doom and gloom. Your kids will adapt or you will phase out. Either way enjoy life and don’t entertain the fear mongering.
Ai ain't taking my job. I got a hands on/ technical job that requires travel...not happening
Many people are furiously working on Artificial General Intelligence right now along with robotics/androids. Once AGI is achieved, the pace of development of robotics/androids will be massively accelerated and they'll be integrated with AGI. Jobs like yours will maybe take an extra few years to automate, but they will be automated.
We're all facing fundamental existential threat here unless you're rich. We're all living on borrowed time now. The question is whether or not we can create some arrangement where society doesn't fall apart or where the 99% aren't exsanguinated by the rich.
Did you not see the new Ai powered Robot that can perform complex physical tasks? You think the technical innovation is just going to stop?
ALL JOBS ARE AT RISK. Stop coping. Youre just as risk as everyone else
Says u.
what job, sir?
AI is not taking your job. Humans are replacing humans with AI because it is cheaper, never misses a day of work and will never ask for a salary raise. In my opinion it is just the last excuse to make businesses more profitable and investors happier.
What am i supposed to major in anymore fam 💀
Computer science cuz you will run the models
Anything from this list that interests you: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_life_sciences. Also psychology will probably always stay valid. In a world where robotics can take care of all manual labor, as well as lots of other kinds, and human labor is no longer needed, it will be crucial for people to help each other through the massive change, and so psychologists and caretakers will be needed. Anything that relies heavily on analysis and interaction with life will be safe for a long time, rather than jobs that purely focus on information. For example, just like he said, I'm a software engineer currently and my job will be one of the first to go. I already see it happening more every day. HR, marketing, finance, copywriters, analysts, any kind of role that used to be described as "management", all of these will become extinct. Also teaching jobs won't be around for very long when AI becomes more and more reliable. When you have an AI that can custom tailor itself to every students exact needs and learning style, plus has access to all of human knowledge, there's no way a human can compare.
Anyway this is just a bunch of my thoughts as someone constantly watching and researching AI growth all the time. Not trying to say this is guaranteed how it'll happen, but I think it's gonna be similar.
@@StockPursuit idk abt that , people get outsourced
Wrong.. forget about majoring in things in careers and jobs that is over. The world you see today is a museum.
Plumbing and Electrical Engineering.
Coding jobs are gone (The bar has been raised way too high due to ai meaning only the experienced will have a future)
Art will lose some market value because of cheap AI replacement but skilled artists will see an uprising
Graphics design jobs will become really hard to get into because of the bar being raised very high
Infrastructure and construction will be overcrowded but valued
Network engineering and cyber security is on the rise
I really hope this becomes a reality
So the jobless can move back to the farmlands billionaires are buying up
None of that is going to happen until Quantum computing comes online. Solving exponential problems and the “last mile” issue is only going to be solved with practical Quantum imo. These small incremental improvements of AI isn’t going to scale in meaningful ways that won’t include developers there to dysect the code & make sense of it as well as debugging the endless issues that AI itself creates. So, I’m not switching my career until it’s here and the road is clear for where developers go next. If you listen to this hype and fear you’re going to end up leaving the industry 15 years early. I don’t see AI replacing devs fully at least until 2035. 50% at most in 2030
I hope it takes my job i hate data entry
Thanks. I was thinking about switching…
Just create a python script from chatGPT and youll get paid to do nothing. You should love your job lol
You will rent things and be happy. No more ownership. Universal income unless you have a major tech job. Somebody gotta fix these machines 😒
Don't get your AI news from Mark Cuban. AI is a joke and can't do half the crap these people claim it can do. Maybe in 20 years.
I feel bad for you. Please get your head out of the sand. Moores Law, exponential growth. Its progressing really really fast.
Except in this instance Mr. Cuban isn't wrong. The future is now and it's already too late.
Keep up the spirit. You are obsolete you live in a museum
As a software engineer myself i see the largest amount of layoffs in the IT industry. So Cuban isn't far from the truth.
Youre scared and delusional. Just two years from now, you’re going to be stunned. AI is advancing so rapidly that humans will very soon not be able to keep pace.