Incredible video! Are you still hoping to release the other 3 parts? I think your episode on WAR is going to help demystify a very important yet very convoluted stat in baseball.
I can't believe you don't have more subs or views! I just found your channel and am thoroughly enjoying it! My partner's family is really into cricket and I found that vid very useful! I'm really into baseball so I'll definitely rec this series to them! You're so informative and thorough, thank you!! looking forward to the rest :)
Yet another baseball video from you where I knew most of it but still enjoyed the video. Will definitely share this series with friends learning the game. Also seeing a scale for each stat from poor to elite was very informative. For example I never realized that the difference between an elite pitcher and a poor one in terms of WHIP was just a single baserunner every other inning. Gives me a better idea of how to evaluate a pitcher's WHIP. Great stuff, look forward to more
Your videos are really good man and I’m not just saying that I’m actually for real! Like I’m so surprised you don’t much more views. Literally your videos have everything. I’m going to help ya get your name out there.
I love this video, and your channel! I AM just getting into baseball and I’m thankful you made this video lol (1:30). Love the detail in this video (and in them all)
Thanks for making one of the most concise (and well-produced) videos about baseball stats yet! I've already been using these as a go-to for people who don't yet understand the stats and your way of explaining them really helps them understand. I still use them for review for myself as well! I can't wait to see the rest of this series, so keep it up!
Thank you! This video was very helpful. I'm new to the MLB betting world, and I'm always seeing cappers using these terms but didn't know what they stand for. 🙌🙌🙌
I’ve watched this video around 6 or 7 times now, and it’s extremely helpful, so thank you, I’m looking forward to the rest of the series One thing I’m a little puzzled about is why people aren’t using plus stats on tv more often. It completely eliminates the need for fans to know what a good stat is vs what a bad stat is. And for a sport that needs new fans, I’d say that’s a pretty big barrier to entry. Would love to hear your thoughts on this.
I think you should have made a quick distinction when it comes to the "Innings Pitched" used in ERA/WHIP/etc. versus the counting stat of Innings Pitched. Let's say a pitcher goes for 7.2 innings with 2 earned runs. The calculation for ERA should be (7.6666/2)x9=2.35 versus the naïve (7.2/2)x9=2.5 Granted, as the number of innings increases the discrepancy massively decreases, but it can still exist, especially for specialist elite closers that have absurdly low ERAs already. Overall though a great explanation.
Another great video! I'm just some schlub online, so take it with a huge pinch of salt, but it felt like this video had a lot more stock video footage than past installations (though maybe I'm wrong). I find that stuff can come off a little goofy and detract from the video. Again, I'm just some random and I love the videos on the whole, very excited for the next one!
Other than the SIERA thing that you acknowledge at the end, I think the only other thing I would have mentioned is that the rate- and park-adjusted pitching stats that are most commonly used are technically "minus" stats, not "plus" stats, like ERA-, FIP-, etc. This isn't simply a pedantic correction because ERA+, FIP+, etc. are real stats, it's just that their reciprocals of the "minus" stats. Like, for example, ERA+ is (league ERA) / (player ERA) whereas ERA- is (player ERA) / (league ERA). This is important because it's the "minus" pitching stats that are comparable to the "plus" batting stats in their interpretation, which happens because ERA and FIP are stats you want to minimize while OPS and wOBA are stats you want to maximize. For example, a pitcher with an ERA- of 86 has an ERA that is 14% LOWER (better!) than the league, whereas that same pitcher's ERA+ might be, I dunno, maybe 117 or something, which would mean the league has an ERA that is 17% HIGHER (worse!) than the pitcher. These percentage differentials are not the same because the denominator is changing; for example, 3 is 50% larger than 2 (3/2 * 100 = 1.5, 1.5 - 1 = 0.5), but 2 is not 50% smaller than 3, it's 33.3% smaller than 3 (2/3 * 100 = 0.66..., 0.66... - 1 = -0.33...). Otherwise, this video was excellent, and I hope you get to finish the series soon!
I had part 3 completed over this past winter winter but realized that the new rules were going to make parts of the video incorrect or irrelevant. So it’s on hold til I can sit down with it and make adjustments!
Thanks so much for the great video! It's very helpful. But I have one small question. here @6:13, you said that for OBP, it doesn't include error, but in the first video, AB already incudes error? ua-cam.com/video/roWV4BFVlEg/v-deo.html
The ball rolled foul when hit off the bat after a swing. Because it rolled foul (beyond that line) before going past 1st base the batter returns to plate to continue at-bat but counts as a strike but you cant strlkeout on it unless you bunted with two strikes. Any player(s) on base at that time goes back to previously held base. If the ball rolls foul after it passes 1st base then that's a hit. Sounds weird buy it isn't really. Understand? Lol
I feel like there should be an alternative to ERA where an inherited runner on first counts .25 of a run for a departing pitcher and .75 of a run for the new pitcher who comes into the game, a runner on 2nd counts as .5 of a run for the departing pitcher and .5 run for the new pitcher, and a runner on third counts as .75 of a run for a pitcher departing the game and only .25 against the era of the new pitcher. So for instance, lets say Cionel Perez of the Orioles allows a single to Gleyber torres of the Yankees and then walks Juan Soto to bring up Aaron Judge and is then pulled from the game for Yennier Cano. And lets say Judge hits a 3 run home run on the first pitch off Cano. Perez would be charged with .75 runs (one runner 25% around the bases and the other 50% around the bases) and Cano would be Charged with 2.25 runs because he gave up the home run (1) and where on the bases the runners were when he entered the game (.75 for Soto on first and .5 for Torres on Second.) Maybe a way of counting ERA like this already exists, but I've never heard of it.
Yeah. I've thought something similar many times! If a pitcher leaves with two outs and a runner on first base, and then the next pitcher gives up a home run, it definitely feels like the new pitcher is at least somewhat responsible. I'd appreciate if there were a stat that took this into account. I wonder if any team has an analytics department that looks at things this way. At the same time, with a large enough sample size, maybe the idea is that things cancel each other out -- a starting pitcher's butt gets saved just as often as the next pitcher allows a baserunner home?
You can have a plus stat for any length of time! It’s simply one player (or team’s) performance in a stat compared to league average over some range of time, adjusted for ballpark. They are most commonly used within the context of one season. But you can compare players’ career OPS+, or since the all star break, etc.
PO% is acknowledged by MLB as a statistic but it’s not really used much or at all. I don’t actually know what a good PO% looks like Fly Ball % (FB%) Ground Ball % (GB%) and Line Drive % (LD%) are important, as are certain ratios involving these stats (HR/FB, GB/FB)
Ok! I've blurred it on the video, which should go live in a couple hours, and added this to the description: SLUGGING PERCENTAGE (SLG) CORRECTION: The scale for Slugging Percentage (SLG) looks something like this: Poor: .310 Below Average: .360 Average: .410 +/- .15 Above Average: .450 Great: .500 Elite: .600 Thanks, again, for catching this!
BABIP generally deviates about .50 in either direction from .300 But it's a bit much to call a high BABIP "elite" and a low BABIP "poor" so I left it out... I probably could have just done a scale with "High" and "Low"
Incredible video! Are you still hoping to release the other 3 parts? I think your episode on WAR is going to help demystify a very important yet very convoluted stat in baseball.
I can't believe you don't have more subs or views! I just found your channel and am thoroughly enjoying it! My partner's family is really into cricket and I found that vid very useful! I'm really into baseball so I'll definitely rec this series to them! You're so informative and thorough, thank you!! looking forward to the rest :)
Thanks for the kind words 🥳
Thanks for all the hardwork! Waiting for the next part of this series!
Probably the best way I’ve ever heard all of the stats explained
Yet another baseball video from you where I knew most of it but still enjoyed the video. Will definitely share this series with friends learning the game.
Also seeing a scale for each stat from poor to elite was very informative. For example I never realized that the difference between an elite pitcher and a poor one in terms of WHIP was just a single baserunner every other inning. Gives me a better idea of how to evaluate a pitcher's WHIP. Great stuff, look forward to more
Thanks!
Dude keep it going! Great videos man!
Your videos are really good man and I’m not just saying that I’m actually for real! Like I’m so surprised you don’t much more views. Literally your videos have everything. I’m going to help ya get your name out there.
Alright! Thanks 🥳
please finish this 😢 incredible way to put all of this together
Your fans are waiting for the next video in this incredible series!
You’re awesome bro I can’t wait to watch this channel blow up
🥳🥳
So cool to see you’re still working on it!!!
Really hoping you finish this series. Very clearly presented !!
I love this video, and your channel! I AM just getting into baseball and I’m thankful you made this video lol (1:30). Love the detail in this video (and in them all)
Homerun for the algorithm. Glad I found your channel.
Thanks!
Thanks for making one of the most concise (and well-produced) videos about baseball stats yet! I've already been using these as a go-to for people who don't yet understand the stats and your way of explaining them really helps them understand. I still use them for review for myself as well! I can't wait to see the rest of this series, so keep it up!
Thank you! This video was very helpful. I'm new to the MLB betting world, and I'm always seeing cappers using these terms but didn't know what they stand for. 🙌🙌🙌
Wow, I cant belive this doesnt have a million views
Thanks! Feel free to share
I’ve watched this video around 6 or 7 times now, and it’s extremely helpful, so thank you, I’m looking forward to the rest of the series
One thing I’m a little puzzled about is why people aren’t using plus stats on tv more often. It completely eliminates the need for fans to know what a good stat is vs what a bad stat is. And for a sport that needs new fans, I’d say that’s a pretty big barrier to entry.
Would love to hear your thoughts on this.
OPS+ is becoming more common on broadcasts, but it's not widespread. I agree that they should use plus stats more! I don't know why they don't.
P.s. i enjoyed it so much that I was glued to the video and didn't get bored like the other youtube I've seen lol
Love the quality of the videos
Thanks 🥳
Life long baseball fan. Needed this,tired of not knowing what my mlb THE SHOW stats mean :)
Really great content, thoroughly enjoying this series
Thanks!
Great Video! I’d love to see defensive stats such as DRS & OOA explained.
Coming soon!
I think you should have made a quick distinction when it comes to the "Innings Pitched" used in ERA/WHIP/etc. versus the counting stat of Innings Pitched.
Let's say a pitcher goes for 7.2 innings with 2 earned runs. The calculation for ERA should be (7.6666/2)x9=2.35 versus the naïve (7.2/2)x9=2.5
Granted, as the number of innings increases the discrepancy massively decreases, but it can still exist, especially for specialist elite closers that have absurdly low ERAs already.
Overall though a great explanation.
Another great video! I'm just some schlub online, so take it with a huge pinch of salt, but it felt like this video had a lot more stock video footage than past installations (though maybe I'm wrong). I find that stuff can come off a little goofy and detract from the video. Again, I'm just some random and I love the videos on the whole, very excited for the next one!
Other than the SIERA thing that you acknowledge at the end, I think the only other thing I would have mentioned is that the rate- and park-adjusted pitching stats that are most commonly used are technically "minus" stats, not "plus" stats, like ERA-, FIP-, etc. This isn't simply a pedantic correction because ERA+, FIP+, etc. are real stats, it's just that their reciprocals of the "minus" stats. Like, for example, ERA+ is (league ERA) / (player ERA) whereas ERA- is (player ERA) / (league ERA). This is important because it's the "minus" pitching stats that are comparable to the "plus" batting stats in their interpretation, which happens because ERA and FIP are stats you want to minimize while OPS and wOBA are stats you want to maximize.
For example, a pitcher with an ERA- of 86 has an ERA that is 14% LOWER (better!) than the league, whereas that same pitcher's ERA+ might be, I dunno, maybe 117 or something, which would mean the league has an ERA that is 17% HIGHER (worse!) than the pitcher. These percentage differentials are not the same because the denominator is changing; for example, 3 is 50% larger than 2 (3/2 * 100 = 1.5, 1.5 - 1 = 0.5), but 2 is not 50% smaller than 3, it's 33.3% smaller than 3 (2/3 * 100 = 0.66..., 0.66... - 1 = -0.33...).
Otherwise, this video was excellent, and I hope you get to finish the series soon!
Looking forward to having WAR explained to me for the umpteenth time (maybe this time it will click). Keep it up :)
Love this series!
Still working on the rest of the series? Inquiring minds want to know! I think you're doing a great job. Looking forward to the rest of the series.
I had part 3 completed over this past winter winter but realized that the new rules were going to make parts of the video incorrect or irrelevant.
So it’s on hold til I can sit down with it and make adjustments!
Looking forward to its release! These first two videos were great.
Does away n home stats truly matter? Or night and day?
Or is its just matchup…
Great vids by the way
When’s the next video coming out?
The specifics of these stats have always been so blurry to me but you are really clear in explanations and easy to understand. Thanks so much
Thanks!
I love this
John C Reilly. It took me awhile but I finally figured out it’s you!
Solid vid!
thx!
Do you have that Jose Ramirez simulator on GitHub? There was so much good stuff in this video- thank you!
I threw it together on jsfiddle:
jsfiddle.net/sprtsxplnd/u3n6s204/2
Have fun. Thanks for the comment!
Thanks so much for the great video! It's very helpful. But I have one small question. here @6:13, you said that for OBP, it doesn't include error, but in the first video, AB already incudes error? ua-cam.com/video/roWV4BFVlEg/v-deo.html
Errors are not counted as AB, and they don’t factor into OBP
@@SportsExplained AB = H + RBOE + RBOFC + non-sac Outs
PA = AB + BB + HBP + SF + SH + Other (Times Reached Base on Interference + Obstruction?)
What a nice video!And a question,what is the most important stats for hitters now in mlb?ops,avg or any other stats?Thank you.
Probably OPS! Followed by AVG for the sake of tradition.
I think runs scored, is most important. It shows you can get on base, if you are consistently on base you score more. Whoeverscores more wins, simple.
Is there a way to find the formula for rOBA as cleanly expressed as they do wOBA on fangraphs?
This is the place to look: www.baseball-reference.com/about/war_explained_wraa.shtml
thanks, i saw the article.
I couldn't find it there, I thought maybe you knew since you are making videos on the subject.
Question for you does night and day games matter like does it really affect performances
Whatever happened to Bill James' Runs Created and RC/9? I thought those were pretty useful stats for batters.
beautiful video. create a playlist!
I wouldn't worry too much about Sierra, it's just a more complicated version of FIP anyway.
Yea, I’ve seen enough to believe it’s not necessarily any better than what came before it.
Love Siera for pitchers.
Could you do a video about the WAR stat? I have never understood what that is or how they get it.
It’s coming!
@@SportsExplained Thank you.
Can someone explain what's happening in the "goofy looking play" at 5:35?
The ball rolled foul when hit off the bat after a swing. Because it rolled foul (beyond that line) before going past 1st base the batter returns to plate to continue at-bat but counts as a strike but you cant strlkeout on it unless you bunted with two strikes. Any player(s) on base at that time goes back to previously held base. If the ball rolls foul after it passes 1st base then that's a hit. Sounds weird buy it isn't really.
Understand? Lol
Can you put rOBA formula on the screen?
This is the place to look: www.baseball-reference.com/about/war_explained_wraa.shtml
I feel like there should be an alternative to ERA where an inherited runner on first counts .25 of a run for a departing pitcher and .75 of a run for the new pitcher who comes into the game, a runner on 2nd counts as .5 of a run for the departing pitcher and .5 run for the new pitcher, and a runner on third counts as .75 of a run for a pitcher departing the game and only .25 against the era of the new pitcher. So for instance, lets say Cionel Perez of the Orioles allows a single to Gleyber torres of the Yankees and then walks Juan Soto to bring up Aaron Judge and is then pulled from the game for Yennier Cano. And lets say Judge hits a 3 run home run on the first pitch off Cano. Perez would be charged with .75 runs (one runner 25% around the bases and the other 50% around the bases) and Cano would be Charged with 2.25 runs because he gave up the home run (1) and where on the bases the runners were when he entered the game (.75 for Soto on first and .5 for Torres on Second.) Maybe a way of counting ERA like this already exists, but I've never heard of it.
Yeah. I've thought something similar many times! If a pitcher leaves with two outs and a runner on first base, and then the next pitcher gives up a home run, it definitely feels like the new pitcher is at least somewhat responsible. I'd appreciate if there were a stat that took this into account. I wonder if any team has an analytics department that looks at things this way.
At the same time, with a large enough sample size, maybe the idea is that things cancel each other out -- a starting pitcher's butt gets saved just as often as the next pitcher allows a baserunner home?
What is the timeframe that + stats are usually calculated by? Is it single year, or specific era, and if era how is that range decided?
You can have a plus stat for any length of time! It’s simply one player (or team’s) performance in a stat compared to league average over some range of time, adjusted for ballpark.
They are most commonly used within the context of one season. But you can compare players’ career OPS+, or since the all star break, etc.
Hoping for the rest of this series as a newly inducted Mariners fan
What about what’s a good or bad pop-up percentage? For batters & pitchers
PO% is acknowledged by MLB as a statistic but it’s not really used much or at all. I don’t actually know what a good PO% looks like
Fly Ball % (FB%) Ground Ball % (GB%) and Line Drive % (LD%) are important, as are certain ratios involving these stats (HR/FB, GB/FB)
What is RMU
Thumbs Ups. Thank you.
Ops+?
Slugging and OBP have same scale?
Nope! That is an error! Ooops!
Slugging is a bit higher on average. I'll have to put a card up or something.
Thanks for catching this!
Ok! I've blurred it on the video, which should go live in a couple hours, and added this to the description:
SLUGGING PERCENTAGE (SLG) CORRECTION:
The scale for Slugging Percentage (SLG) looks something like this:
Poor: .310
Below Average: .360
Average: .410 +/- .15
Above Average: .450
Great: .500
Elite: .600
Thanks, again, for catching this!
Baseball Rate And Plus Statistics: BRAPS for short
BABIP doesn’t have a scale?
BABIP generally deviates about .50 in either direction from .300
But it's a bit much to call a high BABIP "elite" and a low BABIP "poor" so I left it out... I probably could have just done a scale with "High" and "Low"
Someone just put it in the comments so I can do it on mlb the show
love your videos! not gonna sub tho
They forgot the best stat: Runs produced
Why is there no stat for something as simple as an out recorded by the defense?
There is! This video was just hitting and pitching stats.
I cover fielding in the next video, which i am working on