I'm Asian. Of course I want Michelle Yeoh to become the first Asian actor or actress to win an Oscar in a LEADING role. Then I saw the trailer for Tar...yup, I think Blanchett is nabbing her third Oscar. She's my favorite actress ever so it's kind of my solidarity prize.
@@mackielunkey2205 I rlly don’t see her winning. It would be awesome to see her win. But the academy doesn’t seem to award performances in action movies. Imo people are putting her high on their lists because they WANT to see her win as opposed to thinking that she actually will.
Here’s my predictions for 2024 Oscar’s Killers of the flower moon Dune part 2 Oppenheimer Maestro Poor things Next goal wins The color purple musical Rustin Ridley Scott’s napoleon Megalopolis
Don’t forget Mad Max Fury Road was nominated for Best Visual Effects and that was 90% practical. Top Gun is shaping up to be this years Mad Max: Fury Road with all the technical categories.
2022 is honestly such a stacked year for film. I feel like it's already up there with '82, '94, '07. Just absolute bangers and no one's even seen Avatar yet.
Fraser will probably get it, and I'm cool with that (haven't even seen the performance yet but I trust what I hear from respected critics), but I really, REALLY want Austin Butler to get it. What a breakout performance! Admittedly, winning an Oscar at his age and with minimal exposure thus far could be a bit much to live up to in subsequent years and performances. Fraser on the other hand is the comeback kid right now and I think he's pretty much got this in his pocket. Money on Fraser, hopes on Butler.
Based on how long it took Joaquin Phoenix and the fact that Viggo didn't win one for LotR, I have a feeling Austin won't win. Brendan is too deserving and old.
I'd say Elvis is going to perform better than you seem to expect. Keep in mind it was a big hit that specifically brought out older skewing audiences, and that rarely happens these days. They are going to LOVE that movie. Also, isn't anyone predicting "I Ain't Worried" in Song? It's currently in the top 10. If it qualifies, they'd be crazy not to nominate it.
Have you seen the past four years? The Academy made a lot of changes to increase international representation in 2017 and 2018, and unlike a lot of their usual “changes”, this one absolutely paid off. We had the first foreign-language Best Picture winner in Parasite. Roma and Drive My Car also received nominations in addition to winning Best International Feature. The ATL has seen a major resurgence in foreign films not only with the above films, but Cold War and Another Round receiving Director nods, The Worst Person in the World getting a screenplay nod, and Pain & Glory and Parallel Mothers getting notable acting nods. Let’s face it: international representation at the Oscars is truly better than ever before, and I’m all for it.
@@Gemnist98 Still not enough BP nominees (or winners) I'd argue that Flee or The Worst Person in the World were better choices compared to some of the actual nominees for BP. Belfast won over TWPITW for Original Screenplay, while CODA snatched the Adapted Screenplay against Drive My Car. They're just doing the bare minimum.
for real, I mean Oldboy, Memories of Murder, La Haine, The Handmaiden, harakiri, the intouchables, and come and see got no nominations, meanwhile Seven Samurai was barely recognized
i am honestly so so hyped for Babylon, the whole Hollywood in 1920’s setting makes me think of William Holdens line in sunset boulevard “it looks like a house the crazy movie people built in the crazy 20’s” it really was a crazy time in the us, an unprecedented amount of wealth, right before the great big fall that was the Great Depression. it’ll be interesting to see if the script is any good
My current GoldDerby predictions (as of October 1): *Best Picture:* 10. Elvis 9. TÁR 8. Top Gun: Maverick 7. The Woman King 6. Avatar: The Way of Water 5. The Banshees of Inisherin 4. Babylon 3. Everything Everywhere All at Once 2. Women Talking 1. The Fabelmans Other movies I think have a decent shot to get in: The Whale (just swapped it out for Elvis minutes before writing this), All Quiet on the Western Front, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, Till. Unlikely movies I'm still not feeling comfortable to rule out entirely: Glass Onion (can't see a sequel to a movie that didn't get nominated be nominated itself, unless it got significantly better reception than the first like Maverick did), She Said, Triangle of Sadness, Decision to Leave, Bones and All. Out of the race completely in my eyes: Empire of Light, The Son, Bardo, Amsterdam, The Greatest Beer Run Ever, Whitr Noise, Nope, The Batman, Armageddon Time, virtually any other movie not yet mentioned. *Best Director:* 5. Sarah Polley (Women Talking) 4. James Cameron (Avatar: The Way of Water) 3. Daniels (Everything Everywhere All at Once) 2. Damien Chazelle (Babylon) 1. Steven Spielberg (The Fabelmans) Took me a long time to finally accept that they're gonna break the international director streak this year, but I just don't feel like either Park or Berger are strong enough contenders, though they are obviously high on the HMs by sheer virtue of being international. A lot of people think Todd Field will get in for TÁR but I can't quite see that movie getting in for Director. Same goes for McDonagh for The Banshees of Inisherin, following the famous Three Billboards snub. Gyna Prince-Bythewood (The Woman King) and Joseph Kosinski (Top Gun: Maverick) are strong, undervalued contenders IMO. Baz Luhrmann (Elvis) might be a way outside shot. Don't think anyone else besides those mentioned above stands a chance. *Best Lead Actress:* 5. Viola Davis (The Woman King) 4. Danielle Deadwyler (Till) 3. Margot Robbie (Babylon) 2. Michelle Yeoh (Everything Everywhere All at Once) 1. Cate Blanchett (TÁR) First things first: the reason I don't have Michelle Williams on here is I'm still holding out hope that she's gonna get LaKeith'd into Best Supporting, where she clearly should've stayed all along. As to the category itself: it's really fucking stacked (big part of why moving Michelle to Lead was extremely dumb. Not too late to change your mind Universal!). Olivia Coleman (Empire of Light) and Ana de Armas (Blonde) are very real possibilities but removed mostly due to the massive strength of the other contenders, but also because of the mixed reception for both movies. Can't see anyone else pose a threat, if only because of the caliber of the 8 names mentioned. *Best Lead Actor:* 5. Tom Cruise (Top Gun: Maverick) 4. Diego Calva (Babylon) 3. Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin) 2. Austin Butler (Elvis) 1. Brendan Fraser (The Whale) I went to see Top Gun: Maverick yesterday with Hugh Jackman (The Son) in my 5 spot and Tom Cruise precieved in my mind as a strong 6. First thing I did after returning home was pop open my laptop and swapping out Jackman for Cruise, who I think gives an award worthy performance in the movie. With that said, Jackman is still an extremely strong contender, even despite the critical bath the movie took. Due to strength of these top 6, I see everyone else as an outside shot at best. I would award that title to Song Kang-ho (Broker), who I'd say is the honorary 7, Bill Nighy (Living), Kelvin Harrison Jr. (Chevalier), Timothee Chalamet (Bones and All) and Adam Sandler (Hustle). Not looking at anyone else. *Best Supporting Actress:* 5. Hong Chau (The Whale) 4. Kerry Condon (The Banshees of Inisherin) 3. Claire Foy (Women Talking) 2. Stephanie Hsu (Everything Everywhere All at Once) 1. Jessie Buckley (Women Talking) Now, keep in mind, I'm still speculating Michelle Williams will be nominated in this category, but the way things are now allows me to increase my chances by essentially betting on 6 people. Thuso Mbedu (The Woman King) is also an extremely strong possibility here. The 2 other decent contenders are Vanessa Kirby (The Son) and Sadie Sink (The Whale). I'm feeling dubious about Janelle Monaé (Glass Onion) since the first movie didn't get any acting buzz and neither did Janelle in her other roles in Oscar nominated films (Hidden Figures, Moonlight, etc.). Also, I find it ridiculous that there's no campaigning for Nicole Kidman in The Northman, as that strongly competes with Stephanie Hsu as my favourite performance in this category so far this year. Not considering anyone else at this time. *Best Supporting Actor:* 5. Ben Whishaw (Women Talking) 4. Paul Dano (The Fabelmans) 3. Brad Pitt (Babylon) 2. Brendan Gleeson (The Banshees of Inisherin) 1. Ke Huy Quan (Everything Everywhere All at Once) Ke Huy Quan is winning an Oscar les goooooooooo I'm constantly flip-flopping between Ben Whishaw and Judd Hirsch (The Fabelmans) in the 5 spot. In fact, I started writing these lines with Hirsch in the 5 spot and swiched them again on a whim. Micheal Ward (Empire of Light) and Brian Tyree Henry (Causeway) are right the other 6's tails. Not giving serious thought to anyone else right now. *Best Adapted Screenplay:* 5. White Noise 4. Till 3. Top Gun: Maverick 2. Glass Onion 1. Women Talking Holy shit this category is weak. Struggling to believe in The Whale due to the tame reception, but it could steal that 5 spot if it has enough wind in its sails to also get the 10th Best Picture spot. Refusing to have faith in She Said for any category because I strongly feel that nobody wants to talk about this subject in this way right now, in the industry or outside of it, and would much rather the more fantastical angle of Women Talking. However, I am starting more and more to think of Bones and All as a real contender, and feeling tempted to switch it in soon. The only reason I even have White Noise in there anyway is the identity of the screenwriter. WB you absolute cowards, launch a real campaign for The Batman! It can and should be in this shockingly lacking discussion. *Best Original Screenplay:* (SUPER BET) 5. Babylon 4. TÁR 3. The Banshees of Inisherin 2. The Fabelmans 1. Everything Everywhere All at Once Nothing to add, just feeling generally confident these 5 movies are the ones that will be nominated come February.
Yeah Pretty much agreed on some of this (But i do have Williams in Best Actress , because MICHELLE WILLIAMS IS MICHELLE WILLIAMS AND SHE IS A QUEEN) . I honestly think Butler is slightly better than Fraser (But i wouldn't count out Fraset from winning) , i mean Butler is Elvis Presley in that movie . Ngl , i have Baz Luhrmann at no.6 in my best director prediction because he direct the heck out of Elvis and i can see a world where Tom Hanks and Olivia DeJonge gets nominated for supp actor and supp actress respectively (But probably wouldn't happen) . I think you missed Miss Florence Pugh for The Wonder (Because i heard a lot of great thing of her perfomance in that film .) . So far my clearest winner for Best Picture is The Fabelmans (I BADLY NEED SPIELBERG TO WIN HIS 2ND BEST PICTURE) , folowed by EEAAO and Tár . My wildcard for best picture winner is Elvis (Seriously , Elvis delivered an S+ class of cinematic experience i haven't feel in years) . I feels positive about She Said . The test screening audience say it was good and if NYFF loves it , the race might get flipped
I have a strong feeling that Decision to Leave is going to be the international contender that breaks through and I don't understand why it's getting underestimated. It's easily a frontrunner for international feature, Park Chan-wook is looking great for a director nom and it could crawl its way up to actress and cinematography too. It's gonna be this year's Drive My Car. I have my fingers crossed!!🤞
I don't know why WE Still send a movie to the Oscars because french movies never had a chance to win these past 10 years even if France is the country with most wins with italy in this category
Nah. Despite its length, Drive My Car was very human and accessible. Decision is way too stylized to get that broad support. Plus it will score no nominations outside of International.
@@pb.j.1753 I disagree. If they can nominate Cries and Whispers and Amour for best picture then Decision to Leave will definitely not face accessibility issues. It's narratively compelling and romantic and can easily tingle the senses of a certain section of the academy with good taste. Also if any international film is breaking into director it's definitely that. PCW commands more than enough respect to get in.
After watching *Decision to Leave* very recently, I can easily say it will definitely be one of the final five nominees. It could be the front runner too, which I personally think it should be. For a long time I was thinking Bardo would be the one to take the top prize, mostly because of Inarritu. But the underwhelming response from the festivals really changed my mind. Also I haven't seen that one, so I can't say much. Decision to Leave has some good chance of winning too. The Reception is by far very positive and the audience seems to like it too. The Cinematography and Score has a shot to be nominated as well as its Screenplay. As for Director Park Chan-Wook, I wouldn't rule him out as a possible Best Director Contender too. Given that, for the last 4 years, one Foreign Language Film Director was among the final five nominees. Pawel Pawlikowski in 2019, Bong Joon-ho in 2020, Thomas Vinterberg in 2021 & Ryusuke Hamaguchi in 2022. And just like fellow South Korean director Bong Joon-ho, Park is very well-known among the cinephiles around the world because of his movies like Oldboy and The Handmaiden. And he has the best possible chance to receive a Best Director nomination for a Foreign Language Film. And Believe me if you haven't seen it yet, Decision to Leave is very well directed, written and acted film. It thoroughly deserves these nominations.
I have a feeling that Ana de Armas is going to get a surprise nomination for Blonde. Despite the movie being so controversial I think acting wise she slayed and honored the craft of acting with this performance. Is the level of commitment I wished to have for roles. And I admire her for that.
I dont think so. Nothing against ana i like her sm in Knives out and she is gorge. She was ok but not an amazing performance. She is no MM she just looks like Ana with blonde wig for me..A good actor should've got the accent right She even had an accent coach for 9months! And her excuse why she cant hide her accent is laughable.
I would love if The Batman surprises and actually gets some of the technical nominations that it is in 6-8 spots… I wonder how that movie would play at the Oscar if it was released right now.
@@ramonalbertoanayahernandez7828 I TOTALLY agree, but I think no one even though about doing a proper campaign because we spent all year thinking it would be a super competitive year but so many films disappointed or was pushed…
I really enjoyed it, hell I'd like to see Pattinson in the best actor running, and I thought he'd be a terrible fit for the role. I think it deserves a few nominations in various categories. Cinematography was next level. It was a super dark super hero film.
For Original Song I would also put ''I Aint Worried' from Top Gun:Maverick, it's also pretty good and popular enough they played it when I went to Walmart the other day.
It might be more likely the exact opposite happens, as Black Panther is coming out before Avatar. That said, it’s also wholly possible for us to get an unprecedented three blockbusters in the running - those two and Top Gun Maverick - just because of how many of the usual players have folded in on themselves (many blockbusters did too, but I digress).
@@The0Kiyubii0Kid Ryan Coogler is a very talented director and a strong storyteller. Marvel played scenes from Wakanda Forever at D23 recently exclusively for the audience there and they loved it. Also keep in mind Logan got a best adapted Screenplay few years ago. If audiences and critics LOVE this movie and makes close to No way home numbers it could get a bunch of nominations!
I hope I’m wrong on this one because EEAAO is my favorite movie of the year so far, but I think everyone is being way too optimistic on its chances. Even if it does well in the early critic awards, I don’t know if the older Academy members will respond to it. I could see them thinking it’s just weird as hell. I think it’s most likely nominations are for Picture, Actress, Original Screenplay, and Editing with a good possibility of Supp Actor as well. Actress and Screenplay are the only ones I could see it winning at this stage, but personally I’m betting on Blanchett and Banshees.
I don't think anyone has anything better than an outside shot to win Best Supporting besides Ke Huy Kwan. He's the clear frontrunner and I feel pretty strongly he can, should and will win.
I have seen TAR, Cate Blanchett goes beyond just acting. She's full blown becomes the character to the point you question whether this is based on real person. She's undeniable. Cate is the front runner for upcoming Oscar.
Honestly, even if Naatu Naatu gets snubbed for song, they should still make room to perform it. It would be a great way to partially make up for RRR's goose egg and if the Academy has room for Adam Lambert doing a Queen medley and that We Don't Talk About Bruno bullshit, I don't see why they can't fit in a performance that's guaranteed to be batshit insane fun.
The Screenplay, Supporting Actor and Picture package could also potentially apply to Women Talking. I haven't seen it (but have read the book), but Ben Wishaw is one of the best actors of his generation and should have been nominated already (Bright Star, Cloud Atlas). He truly is amazing to watch.
The only winning cast member being male in a movie called Women Talking would be something else lol Also I honestly think Wishaw wasn’t that great in the role.
The Febelmans has it all to win the big one. Remember with Spielberg at the helm and the love people have for him with this being loosely based on his life there is no way it can’t lose. That’s my opinion anyway
I’m just here to comment that Martin McDonagh deserves to win Original Screenplay this time, I mean In Bruges, 2 Billboards are just some of the best, unique & original screenplays ever written, even 7 Psychopaths, for Banshees Inisherin, for what I know could me more dramatic & since it took home the biggest prize in Venice, it could even increase the chances because of Colin for Best Actor nom, we’ll see.
Question: Could Nope get more Oscar love than we’re expecting? Sure it’s a summer blockbuster, which we already have: Top Gun Maverick, and yes it’s not the most awards bait movie ever, but when it comes to be people’s favorite movie of the year, Nope is showing up on a lot of people’s top 5 or even top 3 favorites of the year. It’s a movie about movies. It’s critically acclaimed. It’s already in contention for VFX and sound. It’s also not like Us where people are mixed and it’s purely a horror movie. I’m wondering if it can pull a Jaws or Nightmare Alley where it gets a few tech’s and barely sneaks in for best picture, who knows. Also, best Picture is becoming more and more unstable when it comes to knowing what’s actually getting nominated, so we could totally be under estimating Nope.
Honestly I think it has the best chances in Visual Effects. There is a precedent of A24 pushing a small budget, visually innovative movie (Ex Machina) that uses its effects mostly for storytelling, beating megabudget blockbusters with CGI in every shot.
For Best Actor if Bill Nighy and Diego Calva get nominated along with the Top 3 instead of Hugh Jackman it would be the first time since 1971 (certainly the first time this century) where the Best Actor lineup consists of all first time nominees, and it’s something that I can happen especially if Calva for Babylon has a last minute surge in the same way Bradley Cooper got nominated for American Sniper.
She is an incredible actress. We all know Portrait of a Lady on Fire, but TBH she's just as good in this year's French romantic ensemble, Paris 13th District.
the academy is so preditcable in the animated feature ranking, heres my gusses for the next 3 years 2022: pinocchio, turning red, strange world, wendell and wild, and my father's dragon 2023: Elemental, Across the spiderverse, Wish, How do you live, and the peasants 2024-elio, inside out 2, beyond the spiderverse, the wallace and gromit movie, and anime lord of the rings
I just hope that Cate Blanchett will finally win her 3rd long awaited Oscar! She is one of my all time favorites and her performance in Tár is no exception of her work. I also think that you underestimate Avatar's chances for Best Picture and Best Director. I can see both of them happening. I also have a feeling that The Fabelmans might end up being Belfast of the year. An early frontrunner that wins one Oscar.
Tbh I am categorically against anyone winning 3 Oscars. Though Cate Blanchett is one of the very few who actually deserves it , I'd much rather see someone else's career & talent be represented by the Oscars. It makes the prize more interesting and valid.
@@HeelPower200 I think that we should award only based on the quality of the performance and not based on the number of Oscars that the actor has. So you tell me that Brando didn't deserve his second Oscar for The Godfather?
@@madman00774 The oscars are not just about quality of a single performance or movie. They rarely ever are. There is so much more that goes into these awards than simply "who did it best". There is more at stake here.
Here Are My Predictions: Best Picture: 1. The Fabelmans 2. Women Talking 3. Everything Everywhere All At Once 4. Babylon 5. The Banshees of Inisherin 6. Top Gun: Maverick 7. All Quiet on the Western Front 8. Avatar: The Way of Water 9. Elvis 10. TAR 11. Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery 12. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever 13. The Whale 14. Decision to Leave 15. Triangle of Sadness 16. The Woman King 17. Empire of Light 18. Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio 19. She Said 20. The Son Best Director: 1. Steven Spielberg (The Fabelmans) 2. Damien Chazelle (Babylon) 3. Sarah Polley (Women Talking) 4. Daniel Scheinert and Daniel Kwan (Everything Everywhere All At Once) 5. Edward Berger (All Quiet on the Western Front) 6. Todd Field (TAR) 7. Martin McDonagh (The Banshees of Inisherin) 8. James Cameron (Avatar: The Way of Water) 9. Park Chan Wook (Decision to Leave) 10. Ruben Ostlund (Triangle of Sadness) Best Actor: 1. Austin Butler (Elvis) 2. Brendan Fraser (The Whale) 3. Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin) 4. Diego Calva (Babylon) 5. Hugh Jackman (The Son) 6. Bill Nighy (Living) 7. Tom Cruise (Top Gun: Maverick) 8. Song Kang Ho (Broker) 9. Kelvin Harrison Jr. (Chevalier) 10. Tom Hanks (A Man Called Otto) Best Actress: 1. Margot Robbie (Babylon) 2. Cate Blanchett (TAR) 3. Michelle Yeoh (Everything Everywhere All At Once) 4. Michelle Williams (The Fabelmans) 5. Olivia Colman (Empire of Light) 6. Naomi Ackie (I Wanna Dance With Somebody) 7. Viola Davis (The Woman King) 8. Danielle Deadwyler (Till) 9. Carey Mulligan (She Said) 10. Jennifer Lawrence (Causeway) Best Supporting Actress: 1. Claire Foy (Woman Talking) 2. Jessie Buckley (Women Talking) 3. Kerry Condon (The Banshees of Inisherin) 4. Stephanie Hsu (Everything Everywhere All At Once) 5. Janelle Monae (Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery) 6. Hong Chau (The Whale) 7. Sadie Sink (The Whale) 8. Jean Smart (Babylon) 9. Nina Hoss (TAR) Best Supporting Actor: 1. Brendan Gleeson (The Banshees of Inisherin) 2. Ke Huy Quan (Everything Everywhere All At Once) 3. Ben Whishaw (Women Talking) 4. Brad Pitt (Babylon) 5. Paul Dano (The Fabelmans) 6. Judd Hirsch (The Fabelmans) 7. Micheal Ward (Empire of Light) 8. Brian Tyree Henry (Causeway) 9. Barry Keoghan (The Banshees of Inisherin) Best Original Screenplay: 1. The Fabelmans 2. Everything Everywhere All At Once 3. The Banshees of Inisherin 4. Babylon 5. Bros 6. TAR 7. Triangle of Sadness 8. Decision to Leave 9. Empire of Light Best Adapted Screenplay: 1. Women Talking 2. Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery 3. The Whale 4. She Said 5. All Quiet on the Western Front 6. Top Gun: Maverick 7. Living 8. Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio Best Cinematography: 1. Avatar: The Way of Water 2. Babylon 3. The Fabelmans 4. All Quiet on the Western Front 5. Empire of Light 6. The Batman 7. Bardo: False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths 8. Top Gun: Maverick Best Film Editing: 1. Top Gun: Maverick 2. Everything Everywhere All At Once 3. Babylon 4. Women Talking 5. Avatar: The Way of Water 6. The Banshees of Inisherin 7. Elvis 8. TAR Best Production Design: 1. Babylon 2. Avatar: The Way of Water 3. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever 4. All Quiet on the Western Front 5. The Fabelmans 6. Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery 7. Elvis 8. Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio Best Costume Design: 1. Babylon 2. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever 3. Elvis 4. Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris 5. The Woman King 6. The Fabelmans 7. Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery 8. Chevalier Best Makeup and Hairstyling: 1. The Whale 2. The Batman 3. Elvis 4. Babylon 5. Roald Dahl’s Matilda the Musical 6. All Quiet on the Western Front 7. The Woman King 8. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Best Original Score: 1. Babylon 2. Women Talking 3. The Fabelmans 4. The Banshees of Inisherin 5. Empire of Light 6. The Batman 7. Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio 8. The Woman King Best Original Song: 1. Hold My Hand from Top Gun: Maverick 2. TBD from Black Panther: Wakanda Forever 3. Nobody Like U from Turning Red 4. Applause from Tell it Like a Woman 5. Carolina from Where the Crawdads Sing 6. TBD from Bros 7. This is a Life from Everything Everywhere All At Once 8. Top of the World from Lyle Lyle Crocodile Best Sound: 1. Top Gun: Maverick 2. All Quiet on the Western Front 3. Avatar: The Way of Water 4. Babylon 5. The Batman 6. Elvis 7. Everything Everywhere All At Once 8. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Best Visual Effects: 1. Avatar: The Way of Water 2. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever 3. Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness 4. Everything Everywhere All At Once 5. Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio 6. Top Gun: Maverick 7. The Batman 8. Jurassic World: Dominion Best Animated Feature: 1. Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio 2. Turning Red 3. Strange World 4. Wendell and Wild 5. My Father’s Dragon 6. Marcel the Shell with Shoes On 7. Puss in Boots: The Last Wish 8. Lightyear Best International Feature: 1. All Quiet on the Western Front (Germany) 2. Decision to Leave (South Korea) 3. Close (Belgium) 4. Saint Omer (France) 5. The Quiet Girl (Ireland) 6. Argentina 1985 (Argentina) 7. Holy Spider (Denmark) 8. Bardo: False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths (Mexico) Best Documentary Feature: 1. All The Beauty and The Bloodshed 2. Navalny 3. Fire of Love 4. Descendant 5. The Territory 6. Moonage Daydream 7. Good Night Oppy 8. Sidney
I mean it might be It's Del Toro , so it must be good And i would be so happy seeing an animated film being a serious contender at the pscar so who's know
Maybe this is A hot take, But I don't think that strange world will be nominated. I've heard a lot of behind the scenes buzz, saying that while the world building is really well done, the story is insanely flimsy, And that the behind the scenes production was very rocky. Like in my head I'm getting Frozen 2 vibes, and I don't see them kicking out Marcel for Strange World
You probably just didn't know/remember, but GDT's Pinocchio a musical, and there's no way, especially when it's viewed as the frontrunner to win animated, that it's not getting at least a nomination for best song.
I thought Ben Whishaw was very good in Women Talking (and he's fantastic in This Is Going to Hurt), but I'm not convinced he wins in a film that is so focused on a female cast. Without Michelle Williams in Supporting Actress, I could see either Claire Foy winning (as an Emmy-winning TV star breaking into cinema) or Jessie Buckley winning (the new/recently Oscar-nominated "ingenue").
Idk personally I just think that The Batman should in more categories and should be higher in the categories it’s already in. I thought it was a phenomenal movie idk if anyone thinks the same and ik it’s based on what we think the voters will think but still. Also didn’t think top gun was the impressive
i’m so glad you guys are sticking to your guns with eeaao. months later, it’s still far and away my favorite movie of the year, and i can’t imagine anything from the film festivals coming close, even the fablemans
@@poett8875 that's not what they said in the video. He asked: "when was the last time a movie won BP without screenplay" and he said Shape of Water, then the Artist
Yeah And hot take of 2022 = Pearl might be this year "Get Out" . I know it wouldn't happen , but if it did I WOULD BE SO HAPPY (And Mia Goth should be in oscar radar because she is terrific in it and that monolouge is everything) TOO BAD OSCAR WILL 100% AVOIDED IT LIKE HOW THEY AVOIDED TONI FOR HEREDITARY , LUPITA IN US , AND FLORENCE FOR MIDSOMMAR .
This year is already way better than last year's shitshow. CODA Best Picture & Adapted Screenplay, Chastain Best Actress, Belfast Best Original Screenplay - yikes
I'd honestly put Carolina on my top 3 contenders for Best Original Song. The vibes are so reminiscent of Taylor's album Folklore, which is considered to contain some of her best work to date.
One thing i would change in the best actress race, it would be to absolutely put Ana de Armas in there and slowly push her up. Her performance as Norma Jeane is one of the best performances I have ever seen. The movie has a lot of critisism but it doesnt take away from Anas oscar worthy role.
Even thou Michelle Williams is campaining for lead, Can the Academy not put her in the Supporting Actress category. I feel the kid is the lead and Paul Dano and Michelle Williams are supporting.
Let's be real, we all know Avatar The Way of Water is gonna win Best Visual Effects at the Oscars. It's probably the easiest Oscar win prediction so far
@@m.syauqiabdurahman2798 indeed and the first film won an Oscar for Visual Effects (and Cinematography and Production Design) so maybe Avatar The Way of Water might win the same category as the first one. I mean I can't say about Cinematography and Production Design but Visual Effects shouldn't be hard to beat especially if they're competing with the Marvel movies
@@800Ms-k6n Yeah I think it's only biggest contender is Top Gun : Maverick but i'm more comfortable it will win sound than VFX , and if someone say "Why not Black Panther : Wakanda Forever ?" , i think it's in my top 3 , the trailer looks gorgeous but i hope when the full movie comes in , the cgi isn't gonna be too obviously bad (Because we have a lot.of debate of MCU's current cgi quality) . So the VFX race is Avatar 2 vs Top Gun : Maverick , but i'm betting on Avatar 2 . And you're right about it's not gonna win production design and cinematography (Which in my prediction is pretty much Babylon and Elvis having a cat and dog fight)
Michelle Yeoh In Everything Everywhere All At Once. I mean c‘’Mon! What a bravura performance! It was extraordinary, it is something that I had not seen before. Cate Blanchett in “TAR” was phenomenal but Yeoh performance was different and I think in the end she will end up taking home the Oscars trophy for best actress.
I rlly don’t see her winning. It would be awesome to see her win. But the academy doesn’t seem to award performances in action movies. Imo people are putting her high on their lists because they WANT to see her win as opposed to thinking that she actually will.
You're much too confident in EEAAO. Alone the release date will make it difficult to get more than 4-6 nominations and A24 really isn't a big contributor
I really like these guys but sometimes i think their criterion is a little shallow, like assuming Bafta would nominate and give prices to fellow brits only for being British; but i would like to see EEAAO with a good amount of nominations even when i don't considered It the best film of the year that would be Tár for me in the english speaking field...
I adore Cate, adore her (I hope this comment doesn’t age badly) and I want her to win SO badly, but Yeoh winning would be MASSIVE and I’d be happy for either of them to win, Blanchett because I love her and Yeoh because of the amazing implications of that win
I just need Michelle to get nominate, I really hope that having the “Oscar nominated” title will help her find more work and possibly return in the future for best actress.
Best Picture: 1. The Fabelmans 2. Women Talking 3. Everything Everywhere All At Once 4. Babylon 5. TAR 6. The Banshees of Inisherin 7. Top Gun: Maverick 8. All Quiet on the Western Front 9. Avatar: The Way of Water 10. The Batman
I can see a scenario where Black Panther is beyond this world and suddenly everyone starts talking about Angela Bassett... the trailer shows her screaming and crying so the narrative to give her the award she couldn't win in 1994 may be before us in such a rare category this year.
These are conservative safe predictions. I’m most invested in Austin Butler winning. The Fabelmans look like something I might love or just be slightly bored with like the Batman but Spielberg still has that magic cinematic touch seldom found anymore so I can forgive his self indulgence. Feel-bad movies (Tar, Triangle, Women Talking, Whale) can win some stuff but probably not the Grand Prix. Like vegetables, most people won’t go out of their way to eat it up. Mia Goth deserves a little more attention for Pearl. EEAAO to me only truly deserves an editing win. Because of the pandemic, the big winners have been small obscure ones. It’s time for something BIG
Avatar The Way of the Water gonna surprise everyone. It's gonna be the technical movie of the year, and its gonna do GREAT at the box office. Especially since the first one's re release has done so well too.
could babylon win if it really blows everyone away? Because I'm fairly certain people didn't expect La La Land to be a masterpiece prior to its release. Plus the narrative of La La Land being egregiously robbed of the picture win over moonlight
@@GoodnightJonboi Its egregiously robbed because not only did it garner a record tying 14 noms, it also literally won every where else. I also believe that its craft and technicals are way more impressive than the story of moonlight, albeit the indie film is one of the best of its kind.
I feel like I am in the minority but I just don't get the hype with Babylon. it's just former movie stars from the 1920s living a hedonistic extremely self indulgent lifestyle and that's it like what's the point???
Critics’ year end lists come before Oscar nominations anyway, so the first question is how high it will score there? Aside from being horror it appears to be way more stripped down of a film than ordinary awards contender movies. That might be to its credit as a movie, but I think regardless of how good it is it doesn’t look enough like what ordinarily gets nominated, unless the critics actually push it. I love Luca Guadanigno’s films by the way, also Taylor Russell’s Waves had Oscar worthy cinematography, but these films miss nominations oftentimes, it is what it is.
Get Out could also be tagged ‘social thriller’ like the Parasite mini-genre. Superficially it has stuff in common with Ari Aster’s films, but those are definitely horror, while you just call Get Out a thriller. Suspiria 2018 is my favorite horror film. The screenwriter of that, A Bigger Splash and Bones and All is extraordinary.
Guys for all the love ‘everything’ has I just don’t think it’s enough to win best picture. A film that has Hot dogs for hands I hope does not win it. It was quirky, different and original but the insane sequences in the film put me off. I liked the film overall but I really don’t want it to win the best picture Oscar.
FOR BEST ACTRESS.... N1... Is Ana de Armas, you like it of not because she is latin... she deserves the Oscar for best actress! and... the Golden Globe... and... everything else... ana de Armas was just... FABULOUS in Blonde! 🏆🏆🏆she has no competition but racism.
About International, I think Bardo is still there at least for that category, Argentina 1985 is with Amazon, and maybe I'm a little bias about it but I woldn't discard Brazil's submition Mars One, considering the academy's track of nominating one out of the main options, small, intimate and culturally imersive movie, such as Lunana last year, and this is what Mars One is all about
@@agaistin maybe, but as I said, I'm a little bias towards Mars One as a Brazilian and because I already seem it, and it's pretty good and also fits that bill
If Brendan Fraser gets nominated or win the Oscar, it would be the biggest justice Hollywood has ever done
Period.
He's winning
@@lilchaos4792 100%
And imagine what a comeback for both Brendan and Ke Huy Kwan if both are nominated and win the Oscar
That would be so glorious
Martin McDonagh actually does have an Oscar for short film
And that short film f****** slaps
Yeah . Six Shooter - excellent short film
I'm Asian. Of course I want Michelle Yeoh to become the first Asian actor or actress to win an Oscar in a LEADING role. Then I saw the trailer for Tar...yup, I think Blanchett is nabbing her third Oscar. She's my favorite actress ever so it's kind of my solidarity prize.
Lmfao nope she didn't, Michelle Yeoh won
Michelle won!
I'm excited and nervous to see the Best Actress nominations. It's really the most stressful category in the Academy
Would love to see Blanchett, De Armas and Yeoh 🙏🙏
I swear if Yeoh doesn’t win, I’ll freak
@@mackielunkey2205 I rlly don’t see her winning. It would be awesome to see her win. But the academy doesn’t seem to award performances in action movies. Imo people are putting her high on their lists because they WANT to see her win as opposed to thinking that she actually will.
@@poett8875 Yeah that’s fair, but it’s the best thing she did as an actress, and as a 60 year old, she’s kind of overdue lol.
No stress. It's Yeoh or Blanchett.
Here’s my predictions for 2024 Oscar’s
Killers of the flower moon
Dune part 2
Oppenheimer
Maestro
Poor things
Next goal wins
The color purple musical
Rustin
Ridley Scott’s napoleon
Megalopolis
U got a list there- but where’s Joker 2 🤔
@@PLOTTHICC that's for 2025.
@@PLOTTHICC joker 2 is released on october 4th, 2024 so it will be a contender for the oscars of 2025
maybe barbie?
@@livefast.dieyoungg doubt that -- it seems like a parody already
Don’t forget Mad Max Fury Road was nominated for Best Visual Effects and that was 90% practical. Top Gun is shaping up to be this years Mad Max: Fury Road with all the technical categories.
There's a difference between practical effects and sending your actors flying in the cockpit of jetplane
The Batman HAS TO make it for Original Score IMO. Phenomenal score
2022 is honestly such a stacked year for film. I feel like it's already up there with '82, '94, '07. Just absolute bangers and no one's even seen Avatar yet.
As a Canadian I would be so happy if Sarah Polley gets nominated. Love her as director since Take This Waltz. McDonough will win screenplay
1:01:15 sometimes Brother Bro is actually more oscar expert than the oscar expert himself. He has really good instincts
Fraser will probably get it, and I'm cool with that (haven't even seen the performance yet but I trust what I hear from respected critics), but I really, REALLY want Austin Butler to get it. What a breakout performance! Admittedly, winning an Oscar at his age and with minimal exposure thus far could be a bit much to live up to in subsequent years and performances. Fraser on the other hand is the comeback kid right now and I think he's pretty much got this in his pocket. Money on Fraser, hopes on Butler.
My exact thoughts.
Yeah
Best Actor race is pretty much Fraser and Butler , the rest can just joined in .
It SHOULD be Austin. Period
@Thomas Gonder I really liked Butler’s performance, but I don’t think it’s fair to pick a favorite until you’ve seen both films
Based on how long it took Joaquin Phoenix and the fact that Viggo didn't win one for LotR, I have a feeling Austin won't win. Brendan is too deserving and old.
Babe wake up new Oscar Expert predictions just dropped
I'd say Elvis is going to perform better than you seem to expect. Keep in mind it was a big hit that specifically brought out older skewing audiences, and that rarely happens these days. They are going to LOVE that movie.
Also, isn't anyone predicting "I Ain't Worried" in Song? It's currently in the top 10. If it qualifies, they'd be crazy not to nominate it.
Didn't think I Ain't Worried would be apart of that category. Shit now I hope that wins lmfao.
I just want the Oscars to nominate more international films 😭
Then the studios and US distributors should make and buy more international films
They should expand the nominees to 10 atleast 😭
Have you seen the past four years? The Academy made a lot of changes to increase international representation in 2017 and 2018, and unlike a lot of their usual “changes”, this one absolutely paid off. We had the first foreign-language Best Picture winner in Parasite. Roma and Drive My Car also received nominations in addition to winning Best International Feature. The ATL has seen a major resurgence in foreign films not only with the above films, but Cold War and Another Round receiving Director nods, The Worst Person in the World getting a screenplay nod, and Pain & Glory and Parallel Mothers getting notable acting nods. Let’s face it: international representation at the Oscars is truly better than ever before, and I’m all for it.
@@Gemnist98 Still not enough BP nominees (or winners) I'd argue that Flee or The Worst Person in the World were better choices compared to some of the actual nominees for BP. Belfast won over TWPITW for Original Screenplay, while CODA snatched the Adapted Screenplay against Drive My Car. They're just doing the bare minimum.
for real, I mean Oldboy, Memories of Murder, La Haine, The Handmaiden, harakiri, the intouchables, and come and see got no nominations, meanwhile Seven Samurai was barely recognized
i am honestly so so hyped for Babylon, the whole Hollywood in 1920’s setting makes me think of William Holdens line in sunset boulevard “it looks like a house the crazy movie people built in the crazy 20’s” it really was a crazy time in the us, an unprecedented amount of wealth, right before the great big fall that was the Great Depression. it’ll be interesting to see if the script is any good
My current GoldDerby predictions (as of October 1):
*Best Picture:*
10. Elvis
9. TÁR
8. Top Gun: Maverick
7. The Woman King
6. Avatar: The Way of Water
5. The Banshees of Inisherin
4. Babylon
3. Everything Everywhere All at Once
2. Women Talking
1. The Fabelmans
Other movies I think have a decent shot to get in: The Whale (just swapped it out for Elvis minutes before writing this), All Quiet on the Western Front, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, Till.
Unlikely movies I'm still not feeling comfortable to rule out entirely: Glass Onion (can't see a sequel to a movie that didn't get nominated be nominated itself, unless it got significantly better reception than the first like Maverick did), She Said, Triangle of Sadness, Decision to Leave, Bones and All.
Out of the race completely in my eyes: Empire of Light, The Son, Bardo, Amsterdam, The Greatest Beer Run Ever, Whitr Noise, Nope, The Batman, Armageddon Time, virtually any other movie not yet mentioned.
*Best Director:*
5. Sarah Polley (Women Talking)
4. James Cameron (Avatar: The Way of Water)
3. Daniels (Everything Everywhere All at Once)
2. Damien Chazelle (Babylon)
1. Steven Spielberg (The Fabelmans)
Took me a long time to finally accept that they're gonna break the international director streak this year, but I just don't feel like either Park or Berger are strong enough contenders, though they are obviously high on the HMs by sheer virtue of being international. A lot of people think Todd Field will get in for TÁR but I can't quite see that movie getting in for Director. Same goes for McDonagh for The Banshees of Inisherin, following the famous Three Billboards snub. Gyna Prince-Bythewood (The Woman King) and Joseph Kosinski (Top Gun: Maverick) are strong, undervalued contenders IMO. Baz Luhrmann (Elvis) might be a way outside shot. Don't think anyone else besides those mentioned above stands a chance.
*Best Lead Actress:*
5. Viola Davis (The Woman King)
4. Danielle Deadwyler (Till)
3. Margot Robbie (Babylon)
2. Michelle Yeoh (Everything Everywhere All at Once)
1. Cate Blanchett (TÁR)
First things first: the reason I don't have Michelle Williams on here is I'm still holding out hope that she's gonna get LaKeith'd into Best Supporting, where she clearly should've stayed all along.
As to the category itself: it's really fucking stacked (big part of why moving Michelle to Lead was extremely dumb. Not too late to change your mind Universal!). Olivia Coleman (Empire of Light) and Ana de Armas (Blonde) are very real possibilities but removed mostly due to the massive strength of the other contenders, but also because of the mixed reception for both movies. Can't see anyone else pose a threat, if only because of the caliber of the 8 names mentioned.
*Best Lead Actor:*
5. Tom Cruise (Top Gun: Maverick)
4. Diego Calva (Babylon)
3. Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)
2. Austin Butler (Elvis)
1. Brendan Fraser (The Whale)
I went to see Top Gun: Maverick yesterday with Hugh Jackman (The Son) in my 5 spot and Tom Cruise precieved in my mind as a strong 6. First thing I did after returning home was pop open my laptop and swapping out Jackman for Cruise, who I think gives an award worthy performance in the movie. With that said, Jackman is still an extremely strong contender, even despite the critical bath the movie took. Due to strength of these top 6, I see everyone else as an outside shot at best. I would award that title to Song Kang-ho (Broker), who I'd say is the honorary 7, Bill Nighy (Living), Kelvin Harrison Jr. (Chevalier), Timothee Chalamet (Bones and All) and Adam Sandler (Hustle). Not looking at anyone else.
*Best Supporting Actress:*
5. Hong Chau (The Whale)
4. Kerry Condon (The Banshees of Inisherin)
3. Claire Foy (Women Talking)
2. Stephanie Hsu (Everything Everywhere All at Once)
1. Jessie Buckley (Women Talking)
Now, keep in mind, I'm still speculating Michelle Williams will be nominated in this category, but the way things are now allows me to increase my chances by essentially betting on 6 people. Thuso Mbedu (The Woman King) is also an extremely strong possibility here. The 2 other decent contenders are Vanessa Kirby (The Son) and Sadie Sink (The Whale). I'm feeling dubious about Janelle Monaé (Glass Onion) since the first movie didn't get any acting buzz and neither did Janelle in her other roles in Oscar nominated films (Hidden Figures, Moonlight, etc.). Also, I find it ridiculous that there's no campaigning for Nicole Kidman in The Northman, as that strongly competes with Stephanie Hsu as my favourite performance in this category so far this year. Not considering anyone else at this time.
*Best Supporting Actor:*
5. Ben Whishaw (Women Talking)
4. Paul Dano (The Fabelmans)
3. Brad Pitt (Babylon)
2. Brendan Gleeson (The Banshees of Inisherin)
1. Ke Huy Quan (Everything Everywhere All at Once)
Ke Huy Quan is winning an Oscar les goooooooooo
I'm constantly flip-flopping between Ben Whishaw and Judd Hirsch (The Fabelmans) in the 5 spot. In fact, I started writing these lines with Hirsch in the 5 spot and swiched them again on a whim. Micheal Ward (Empire of Light) and Brian Tyree Henry (Causeway) are right the other 6's tails. Not giving serious thought to anyone else right now.
*Best Adapted Screenplay:*
5. White Noise
4. Till
3. Top Gun: Maverick
2. Glass Onion
1. Women Talking
Holy shit this category is weak. Struggling to believe in The Whale due to the tame reception, but it could steal that 5 spot if it has enough wind in its sails to also get the 10th Best Picture spot. Refusing to have faith in She Said for any category because I strongly feel that nobody wants to talk about this subject in this way right now, in the industry or outside of it, and would much rather the more fantastical angle of Women Talking. However, I am starting more and more to think of Bones and All as a real contender, and feeling tempted to switch it in soon. The only reason I even have White Noise in there anyway is the identity of the screenwriter. WB you absolute cowards, launch a real campaign for The Batman! It can and should be in this shockingly lacking discussion.
*Best Original Screenplay:* (SUPER BET)
5. Babylon
4. TÁR
3. The Banshees of Inisherin
2. The Fabelmans
1. Everything Everywhere All at Once
Nothing to add, just feeling generally confident these 5 movies are the ones that will be nominated come February.
Yeah
Pretty much agreed on some of this (But i do have Williams in Best Actress , because MICHELLE WILLIAMS IS MICHELLE WILLIAMS AND SHE IS A QUEEN) . I honestly think Butler is slightly better than Fraser (But i wouldn't count out Fraset from winning) , i mean Butler is Elvis Presley in that movie . Ngl , i have Baz Luhrmann at no.6 in my best director prediction because he direct the heck out of Elvis and i can see a world where Tom Hanks and Olivia DeJonge gets nominated for supp actor and supp actress respectively (But probably wouldn't happen) . I think you missed Miss Florence Pugh for The Wonder (Because i heard a lot of great thing of her perfomance in that film .) . So far my clearest winner for Best Picture is The Fabelmans (I BADLY NEED SPIELBERG TO WIN HIS 2ND BEST PICTURE) , folowed by EEAAO and Tár . My wildcard for best picture winner is Elvis (Seriously , Elvis delivered an S+ class of cinematic experience i haven't feel in years) . I feels positive about She Said . The test screening audience say it was good and if NYFF loves it , the race might get flipped
Nice analysis
@@Martinmarshallmargella thanks!
I have a strong feeling that Decision to Leave is going to be the international contender that breaks through and I don't understand why it's getting underestimated. It's easily a frontrunner for international feature, Park Chan-wook is looking great for a director nom and it could crawl its way up to actress and cinematography too. It's gonna be this year's Drive My Car. I have my fingers crossed!!🤞
I don't know why WE Still send a movie to the Oscars because french movies never had a chance to win these past 10 years even if France is the country with most wins with italy in this category
Nah. Despite its length, Drive My Car was very human and accessible. Decision is way too stylized to get that broad support. Plus it will score no nominations outside of International.
@@pb.j.1753 I disagree. If they can nominate Cries and Whispers and Amour for best picture then Decision to Leave will definitely not face accessibility issues. It's narratively compelling and romantic and can easily tingle the senses of a certain section of the academy with good taste. Also if any international film is breaking into director it's definitely that. PCW commands more than enough respect to get in.
After watching *Decision to Leave* very recently, I can easily say it will definitely be one of the final five nominees. It could be the front runner too, which I personally think it should be. For a long time I was thinking Bardo would be the one to take the top prize, mostly because of Inarritu. But the underwhelming response from the festivals really changed my mind. Also I haven't seen that one, so I can't say much.
Decision to Leave has some good chance of winning too. The Reception is by far very positive and the audience seems to like it too.
The Cinematography and Score has a shot to be nominated as well as its Screenplay. As for Director Park Chan-Wook, I wouldn't rule him out as a possible Best Director Contender too. Given that, for the last 4 years, one Foreign Language Film Director was among the final five nominees. Pawel Pawlikowski in 2019, Bong Joon-ho in 2020, Thomas Vinterberg in 2021 & Ryusuke Hamaguchi in 2022. And just like fellow South Korean director Bong Joon-ho, Park is very well-known among the cinephiles around the world because of his movies like Oldboy and The Handmaiden. And he has the best possible chance to receive a Best Director nomination for a Foreign Language Film. And Believe me if you haven't seen it yet, Decision to Leave is very well directed, written and acted film. It thoroughly deserves these nominations.
@@rambunctiousrohan Cries and Whispers and Amour. Again two films with a human touch which Decision to Leave doesn't offer. But hey, we'll see.
I have a feeling that Ana de Armas is going to get a surprise nomination for Blonde. Despite the movie being so controversial I think acting wise she slayed and honored the craft of acting with this performance. Is the level of commitment I wished to have for roles. And I admire her for that.
What are you smoking? She couldn’t even hide her accent. Her performance was awful and exploitative.
I second this. I´m pretty sure she is getting nominated.
I dont think so. Nothing against ana i like her sm in Knives out and she is gorge. She was ok but not an amazing performance. She is no MM she just looks like Ana with blonde wig for me..A good actor should've got the accent right She even had an accent coach for 9months! And her excuse why she cant hide her accent is laughable.
@@17pinksoda i really don’t care your opinion. Don’t ruin my comment with your nonsense. Put it somewhere else…I’m the trash can lol
@@ririschannelx what do you think now?
I would love if The Batman surprises and actually gets some of the technical nominations that it is in 6-8 spots… I wonder how that movie would play at the Oscar if it was released right now.
the batman has cinematic quality to even compete for best picture.
@@ramonalbertoanayahernandez7828 I TOTALLY agree, but I think no one even though about doing a proper campaign because we spent all year thinking it would be a super competitive year but so many films disappointed or was pushed…
I really enjoyed it, hell I'd like to see Pattinson in the best actor running, and I thought he'd be a terrible fit for the role. I think it deserves a few nominations in various categories. Cinematography was next level. It was a super dark super hero film.
YES YES YES U AGREE ABOUT BABYLON.
The trailer was awesome and people need to not give up on Chazelle this quick.
Chazelle will win best director. Calling it right now
Babylon surprised me in a good way. Sad that it flopped on the Oscar's
For Original Song I would also put ''I Aint Worried' from Top Gun:Maverick, it's also pretty good and popular enough they played it when I went to Walmart the other day.
I Ain’t Worried cannot be nominated because it uses a sample from another song.
Your mom
Hey fam!
Their mom
The new footage of Avatar was absolutely gorgeous. It does make me think the Avatar fever will come back, unless Black Panther steals its thunder.
Same.
It might be more likely the exact opposite happens, as Black Panther is coming out before Avatar. That said, it’s also wholly possible for us to get an unprecedented three blockbusters in the running - those two and Top Gun Maverick - just because of how many of the usual players have folded in on themselves (many blockbusters did too, but I digress).
Nah BP is gonna suck Avatar will get nommed. Woman King def wont.
@@The0Kiyubii0Kid Ryan Coogler is a very talented director and a strong storyteller. Marvel played scenes from Wakanda Forever at D23 recently exclusively for the audience there and they loved it. Also keep in mind Logan got a best adapted Screenplay few years ago. If audiences and critics LOVE this movie and makes close to No way home numbers it could get a bunch of nominations!
@@The0Kiyubii0Kid i'll take that bet
I hope I’m wrong on this one because EEAAO is my favorite movie of the year so far, but I think everyone is being way too optimistic on its chances. Even if it does well in the early critic awards, I don’t know if the older Academy members will respond to it. I could see them thinking it’s just weird as hell.
I think it’s most likely nominations are for Picture, Actress, Original Screenplay, and Editing with a good possibility of Supp Actor as well. Actress and Screenplay are the only ones I could see it winning at this stage, but personally I’m betting on Blanchett and Banshees.
Correct on Cate and Banshees
I don't think anyone has anything better than an outside shot to win Best Supporting besides Ke Huy Kwan. He's the clear frontrunner and I feel pretty strongly he can, should and will win.
I'm glad to say that you were wrong for this. EEAAO actually won so much on Oscar's night. I'm glad that Oscar's trend is now for the better.
@@jeshellecerbito6697 I’m very glad to be wrong about this as well. Happy it won as much as it did last year!
Still rooting hard for EEAAO and Michelle Yeoh nomination!
I have seen TAR, Cate Blanchett goes beyond just acting. She's full blown becomes the character to the point you question whether this is based on real person. She's undeniable.
Cate is the front runner for upcoming Oscar.
Honestly, even if Naatu Naatu gets snubbed for song, they should still make room to perform it. It would be a great way to partially make up for RRR's goose egg and if the Academy has room for Adam Lambert doing a Queen medley and that We Don't Talk About Bruno bullshit, I don't see why they can't fit in a performance that's guaranteed to be batshit insane fun.
the letterboxd curve could keep out the Mmongolians is THE best quote to ever come out of this channel
The Screenplay, Supporting Actor and Picture package could also potentially apply to Women Talking. I haven't seen it (but have read the book), but Ben Wishaw is one of the best actors of his generation and should have been nominated already (Bright Star, Cloud Atlas). He truly is amazing to watch.
The only winning cast member being male in a movie called Women Talking would be something else lol
Also I honestly think Wishaw wasn’t that great in the role.
Instead of Whishaw, I think it will be Foy or more likely Buckley. But yeah, of the films this year, it’s the one most likely to win the package.
50:49 Aged worse than milk left in the hot sun.
The Febelmans has it all to win the big one.
Remember with Spielberg at the helm and the love people have for him with this being loosely based on his life there is no way it can’t lose.
That’s my opinion anyway
1 hour plus? LET'S GO!
I’m just here to comment that Martin McDonagh deserves to win Original Screenplay this time, I mean In Bruges, 2 Billboards are just some of the best, unique & original screenplays ever written, even 7 Psychopaths, for Banshees Inisherin, for what I know could me more dramatic & since it took home the biggest prize in Venice, it could even increase the chances because of Colin for Best Actor nom, we’ll see.
The Batman should be on that list for best picture
Been waiting for this. Crazy past couple of weeks.
Looking back it's crazy how hard Babylon fell off.
Question: Could Nope get more Oscar love than we’re expecting?
Sure it’s a summer blockbuster, which we already have: Top Gun Maverick, and yes it’s not the most awards bait movie ever, but when it comes to be people’s favorite movie of the year, Nope is showing up on a lot of people’s top 5 or even top 3 favorites of the year.
It’s a movie about movies. It’s critically acclaimed. It’s already in contention for VFX and sound.
It’s also not like Us where people are mixed and it’s purely a horror movie.
I’m wondering if it can pull a Jaws or Nightmare Alley where it gets a few tech’s and barely sneaks in for best picture, who knows.
Also, best Picture is becoming more and more unstable when it comes to knowing what’s actually getting nominated, so we could totally be under estimating Nope.
I would love that. “Nope” is severely under appreciated from what I am hearing though-
Answer: Nope
There’s no room
I don’t think it will. It already isn’t tracking nearly as well as Us, let alone Get Out.
Nope. Lots of people didn’t like it. Hated even.
I could see everything everwhere all at once win
Picture
Director
Screenplay
Editing
Lead actress
Supporting actor
Supporting actress
Honestly I think it has the best chances in Visual Effects. There is a precedent of A24 pushing a small budget, visually innovative movie (Ex Machina) that uses its effects mostly for storytelling, beating megabudget blockbusters with CGI in every shot.
@@benjamintillema3572 I think the way of water takes it
@@benjamintillema3572 Avatar has Visual Effects so deep in the bag they'd need a Navi sized arm just to reach for it
New camera or lighting? The quality looks great!
was gonna comment this too - color looks a bit more saturated. looks great!
For Best Actor if Bill Nighy and Diego Calva get nominated along with the Top 3 instead of Hugh Jackman it would be the first time since 1971 (certainly the first time this century) where the Best Actor lineup consists of all first time nominees, and it’s something that I can happen especially if Calva for Babylon has a last minute surge in the same way Bradley Cooper got nominated for American Sniper.
I thought Noémi Merlant's character in TÁR was way more complex than Nina Hoss'. Nina felt underused actually.
She is an incredible actress. We all know Portrait of a Lady on Fire, but TBH she's just as good in this year's French romantic ensemble, Paris 13th District.
@@reeldeal3227 Also she has great comedic talent. I loved The Innocent with her and Louis Garrell.
every video gets better genuinely
the academy is so preditcable in the animated feature ranking, heres my gusses for the next 3 years
2022: pinocchio, turning red, strange world, wendell and wild, and my father's dragon
2023: Elemental, Across the spiderverse, Wish, How do you live, and the peasants
2024-elio, inside out 2, beyond the spiderverse, the wallace and gromit movie, and anime lord of the rings
I just hope that Cate Blanchett will finally win her 3rd long awaited Oscar! She is one of my all time favorites and her performance in Tár is no exception of her work.
I also think that you underestimate Avatar's chances for Best Picture and Best Director. I can see both of them happening. I also have a feeling that The Fabelmans might end up being Belfast of the year. An early frontrunner that wins one Oscar.
Tbh I am categorically against anyone winning 3 Oscars. Though Cate Blanchett is one of the very few who actually deserves it , I'd much rather see someone else's career & talent be represented by the Oscars. It makes the prize more interesting and valid.
@@HeelPower200 I think that we should award only based on the quality of the performance and not based on the number of Oscars that the actor has. So you tell me that Brando didn't deserve his second Oscar for The Godfather?
100% Cate's performance is above anything I have seen this year including all male performances
@@HeelPower200 that's BS. No one could play lydia tar the way cate did. No one comes close, therefore, she deserves this Oscar.
@@madman00774 The oscars are not just about quality of a single performance or movie. They rarely ever are.
There is so much more that goes into these awards than simply "who did it best". There is more at stake here.
The fact most of the frontrunners in acting categories are on their first ever nomination. when was the last time this happened? 2005 I guess?
I was blown away by EEAAO and I don’t hear any of the hype before I saw it
Here Are My Predictions:
Best Picture:
1. The Fabelmans
2. Women Talking
3. Everything Everywhere All At Once
4. Babylon
5. The Banshees of Inisherin
6. Top Gun: Maverick
7. All Quiet on the Western Front
8. Avatar: The Way of Water
9. Elvis
10. TAR
11. Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
12. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
13. The Whale
14. Decision to Leave
15. Triangle of Sadness
16. The Woman King
17. Empire of Light
18. Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio
19. She Said
20. The Son
Best Director:
1. Steven Spielberg (The Fabelmans)
2. Damien Chazelle (Babylon)
3. Sarah Polley (Women Talking)
4. Daniel Scheinert and Daniel Kwan
(Everything Everywhere All At Once)
5. Edward Berger (All Quiet on the Western Front)
6. Todd Field (TAR)
7. Martin McDonagh (The Banshees of Inisherin)
8. James Cameron (Avatar: The Way of Water)
9. Park Chan Wook (Decision to Leave)
10. Ruben Ostlund (Triangle of Sadness)
Best Actor:
1. Austin Butler (Elvis)
2. Brendan Fraser (The Whale)
3. Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)
4. Diego Calva (Babylon)
5. Hugh Jackman (The Son)
6. Bill Nighy (Living)
7. Tom Cruise (Top Gun: Maverick)
8. Song Kang Ho (Broker)
9. Kelvin Harrison Jr. (Chevalier)
10. Tom Hanks (A Man Called Otto)
Best Actress:
1. Margot Robbie (Babylon)
2. Cate Blanchett (TAR)
3. Michelle Yeoh (Everything Everywhere All At Once)
4. Michelle Williams (The Fabelmans)
5. Olivia Colman (Empire of Light)
6. Naomi Ackie (I Wanna Dance With Somebody)
7. Viola Davis (The Woman King)
8. Danielle Deadwyler (Till)
9. Carey Mulligan (She Said)
10. Jennifer Lawrence (Causeway)
Best Supporting Actress:
1. Claire Foy (Woman Talking)
2. Jessie Buckley (Women Talking)
3. Kerry Condon (The Banshees of Inisherin)
4. Stephanie Hsu (Everything Everywhere All At Once)
5. Janelle Monae (Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery)
6. Hong Chau (The Whale)
7. Sadie Sink (The Whale)
8. Jean Smart (Babylon)
9. Nina Hoss (TAR)
Best Supporting Actor:
1. Brendan Gleeson (The Banshees of Inisherin)
2. Ke Huy Quan (Everything Everywhere All At Once)
3. Ben Whishaw (Women Talking)
4. Brad Pitt (Babylon)
5. Paul Dano (The Fabelmans)
6. Judd Hirsch (The Fabelmans)
7. Micheal Ward (Empire of Light)
8. Brian Tyree Henry (Causeway)
9. Barry Keoghan (The Banshees of Inisherin)
Best Original Screenplay:
1. The Fabelmans
2. Everything Everywhere All At Once
3. The Banshees of Inisherin
4. Babylon
5. Bros
6. TAR
7. Triangle of Sadness
8. Decision to Leave
9. Empire of Light
Best Adapted Screenplay:
1. Women Talking
2. Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
3. The Whale
4. She Said
5. All Quiet on the Western Front
6. Top Gun: Maverick
7. Living
8. Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio
Best Cinematography:
1. Avatar: The Way of Water
2. Babylon
3. The Fabelmans
4. All Quiet on the Western Front
5. Empire of Light
6. The Batman
7. Bardo: False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths
8. Top Gun: Maverick
Best Film Editing:
1. Top Gun: Maverick
2. Everything Everywhere All At Once
3. Babylon
4. Women Talking
5. Avatar: The Way of Water
6. The Banshees of Inisherin
7. Elvis
8. TAR
Best Production Design:
1. Babylon
2. Avatar: The Way of Water
3. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
4. All Quiet on the Western Front
5. The Fabelmans
6. Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
7. Elvis
8. Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio
Best Costume Design:
1. Babylon
2. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
3. Elvis
4. Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris
5. The Woman King
6. The Fabelmans
7. Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
8. Chevalier
Best Makeup and Hairstyling:
1. The Whale
2. The Batman
3. Elvis
4. Babylon
5. Roald Dahl’s Matilda the Musical
6. All Quiet on the Western Front
7. The Woman King
8. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Best Original Score:
1. Babylon
2. Women Talking
3. The Fabelmans
4. The Banshees of Inisherin
5. Empire of Light
6. The Batman
7. Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio
8. The Woman King
Best Original Song:
1. Hold My Hand from Top Gun: Maverick
2. TBD from Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
3. Nobody Like U from Turning Red
4. Applause from Tell it Like a Woman
5. Carolina from Where the Crawdads Sing
6. TBD from Bros
7. This is a Life from Everything Everywhere All At Once
8. Top of the World from Lyle Lyle Crocodile
Best Sound:
1. Top Gun: Maverick
2. All Quiet on the Western Front
3. Avatar: The Way of Water
4. Babylon
5. The Batman
6. Elvis
7. Everything Everywhere All At Once
8. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Best Visual Effects:
1. Avatar: The Way of Water
2. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
3. Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness
4. Everything Everywhere All At Once
5. Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio
6. Top Gun: Maverick
7. The Batman
8. Jurassic World: Dominion
Best Animated Feature:
1. Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio
2. Turning Red
3. Strange World
4. Wendell and Wild
5. My Father’s Dragon
6. Marcel the Shell with Shoes On
7. Puss in Boots: The Last Wish
8. Lightyear
Best International Feature:
1. All Quiet on the Western Front (Germany)
2. Decision to Leave (South Korea)
3. Close (Belgium)
4. Saint Omer (France)
5. The Quiet Girl (Ireland)
6. Argentina 1985 (Argentina)
7. Holy Spider (Denmark)
8. Bardo: False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths (Mexico)
Best Documentary Feature:
1. All The Beauty and The Bloodshed
2. Navalny
3. Fire of Love
4. Descendant
5. The Territory
6. Moonage Daydream
7. Good Night Oppy
8. Sidney
What if Del Toro's Pinocchio is the REAL shit. I mean, it could be *something* more than animated (music, screenplay)
I mean it might be
It's Del Toro , so it must be good
And i would be so happy seeing an animated film being a serious contender at the pscar so who's know
Maybe this is A hot take, But I don't think that strange world will be nominated. I've heard a lot of behind the scenes buzz, saying that while the world building is really well done, the story is insanely flimsy, And that the behind the scenes production was very rocky. Like in my head I'm getting Frozen 2 vibes, and I don't see them kicking out Marcel for Strange World
1:27:40 jesus cole you were never right omg😭
I hope that Doja Cat Elvis song can be eligible
Elvis could get costumes actor makeup song production design, could so easily sneak in whether we like it or mot
36:46 What about Madeline McGraw as Gwen for The Black Phone? Her performance was sad and incredibly good
I HAVE BEEN WAITING SO LONG FOR THIS! YEEESSSSS!!!!!
I really enjoyed this video. Thanks for sharing!!!
90 minute vid? Im surprised this video isnt on the best picture list
You probably just didn't know/remember, but GDT's Pinocchio a musical, and there's no way, especially when it's viewed as the frontrunner to win animated, that it's not getting at least a nomination for best song.
I thought Ben Whishaw was very good in Women Talking (and he's fantastic in This Is Going to Hurt), but I'm not convinced he wins in a film that is so focused on a female cast. Without Michelle Williams in Supporting Actress, I could see either Claire Foy winning (as an Emmy-winning TV star breaking into cinema) or Jessie Buckley winning (the new/recently Oscar-nominated "ingenue").
Claire Foy didn’t really just break into film, she received a lot of hype and awards for First Man
Idk personally I just think that The Batman should in more categories and should be higher in the categories it’s already in. I thought it was a phenomenal movie idk if anyone thinks the same and ik it’s based on what we think the voters will think but still. Also didn’t think top gun was the impressive
i’m so glad you guys are sticking to your guns with eeaao. months later, it’s still far and away my favorite movie of the year, and i can’t imagine anything from the film festivals coming close, even the fablemans
If EEAAO wins best picture that would be awesome to see but I highly doubt about it.
Yeah
An early film releases rarely gets nominated or even win for best picture
Damn I've been waiting for this!
That is WILD, I was JUST about to randomly search for Oscar predictions
1:28:12 again Cole your brother beats you at predicting😭
Austin Butler BETTER WIN FOR BEST ACTOR.
Nomadland won Best Picture without winning screenplay...
yup; also, The Shape of Water
@@reeldeal3227 Correct
That’s because it won director. 9/10 in order to win best picture the movie has to either won Screenplay or Director.
@@poett8875 that's not what they said in the video. He asked: "when was the last time a movie won BP without screenplay" and he said Shape of Water, then the Artist
Why is nobody talking about Triangle of Sadness?
Yeah
And hot take of 2022 = Pearl might be this year "Get Out" . I know it wouldn't happen , but if it did I WOULD BE SO HAPPY (And Mia Goth should be in oscar radar because she is terrific in it and that monolouge is everything)
TOO BAD OSCAR WILL 100% AVOIDED IT LIKE HOW THEY AVOIDED TONI FOR HEREDITARY , LUPITA IN US , AND FLORENCE FOR MIDSOMMAR .
This year is already way better than last year's shitshow. CODA Best Picture & Adapted Screenplay, Chastain Best Actress, Belfast Best Original Screenplay - yikes
I'm a little scared for babylon because in 2019 first man was very ignored, especially on justin hurwitz's soundtrack that was a crime
Why? Is Babylon that great?
1:21:29 oh Cole you were wrong again and Brother Bro was right about This Is A Life. You two need to switch titles!
Oscar expert and brother bro in a Wednesday afternoon what’s better than that?? 👏🏻👏🏻👏🏻
I'd honestly put Carolina on my top 3 contenders for Best Original Song. The vibes are so reminiscent of Taylor's album Folklore, which is considered to contain some of her best work to date.
She was snubbed for beautiful Ghosts
yep but i don’t think she could win
No….most original song nominated has some other nominations 😊
One thing i would change in the best actress race, it would be to absolutely put Ana de Armas in there and slowly push her up. Her performance as Norma Jeane is one of the best performances I have ever seen. The movie has a lot of critisism but it doesnt take away from Anas oscar worthy role.
Even thou Michelle Williams is campaining for lead, Can the Academy not put her in the Supporting Actress category. I feel the kid is the lead and Paul Dano and Michelle Williams are supporting.
Well
Maybe in Universal POV , Aside from Gabrielle LaBelle (Who played the lead role , Sammy Fabelmans) , Michelle has the most screentime .
Let's be real, we all know Avatar The Way of Water is gonna win Best Visual Effects at the Oscars. It's probably the easiest Oscar win prediction so far
I mean
The VFX looks mind blowing
@@m.syauqiabdurahman2798 indeed and the first film won an Oscar for Visual Effects (and Cinematography and Production Design) so maybe Avatar The Way of Water might win the same category as the first one. I mean I can't say about Cinematography and Production Design but Visual Effects shouldn't be hard to beat especially if they're competing with the Marvel movies
@@800Ms-k6n Yeah
I think it's only biggest contender is Top Gun : Maverick but i'm more comfortable it will win sound than VFX , and if someone say "Why not Black Panther : Wakanda Forever ?" , i think it's in my top 3 , the trailer looks gorgeous but i hope when the full movie comes in , the cgi isn't gonna be too obviously bad (Because we have a lot.of debate of MCU's current cgi quality) . So the VFX race is Avatar 2 vs Top Gun : Maverick , but i'm betting on Avatar 2 . And you're right about it's not gonna win production design and cinematography (Which in my prediction is pretty much Babylon and Elvis having a cat and dog fight)
Michelle Yeoh In Everything Everywhere All At Once. I mean c‘’Mon! What a bravura performance! It was extraordinary, it is something that I had not seen before. Cate Blanchett in “TAR” was phenomenal but Yeoh performance was different and I think in the end she will end up taking home the Oscars trophy for best actress.
I rlly don’t see her winning. It would be awesome to see her win. But the academy doesn’t seem to award performances in action movies. Imo people are putting her high on their lists because they WANT to see her win as opposed to thinking that she actually will.
Better than Blanchett's performance? I don't think so. You should see TAR
@@poett8875 Exactly
Recency bias, yes. But after watching Wakanda Forever I really do think Angela Bassett deserves at least an nomination.
Most anticipated video of the month. Thanks for the great hour and a half.
Why the "dis" to Ana de Armas......????.....I just watched Blonde...and I was impressed with her acting !!!
Category Fraud gave my favourite performance of the year in She Said, 100% Oscar worthy for Supporting Actress.
You're much too confident in EEAAO. Alone the release date will make it difficult to get more than 4-6 nominations and A24 really isn't a big contributor
But it’s also still being talked about and is the highest grossing not only A24 movie but indie film this year
@@megamoviez I mean that's why it gets a Best Picture nomination but winning is another level
@@davidfohl385 just watch it win awards next year
I really like these guys but sometimes i think their criterion is a little shallow, like assuming Bafta would nominate and give prices to fellow brits only for being British; but i would like to see EEAAO with a good amount of nominations even when i don't considered It the best film of the year that would be Tár for me in the english speaking field...
I adore Cate, adore her (I hope this comment doesn’t age badly) and I want her to win SO badly, but Yeoh winning would be MASSIVE and I’d be happy for either of them to win, Blanchett because I love her and Yeoh because of the amazing implications of that win
I just need Michelle to get nominate, I really hope that having the “Oscar nominated” title will help her find more work and possibly return in the future for best actress.
Best Picture:
1. The Fabelmans
2. Women Talking
3. Everything Everywhere All At Once
4. Babylon
5. TAR
6. The Banshees of Inisherin
7. Top Gun: Maverick
8. All Quiet on the Western Front
9. Avatar: The Way of Water
10. The Batman
I can see a scenario where Black Panther is beyond this world and suddenly everyone starts talking about Angela Bassett... the trailer shows her screaming and crying so the narrative to give her the award she couldn't win in 1994 may be before us in such a rare category this year.
I don't see that happening after the egregious Michael B. Jordan snub for the first one, where he probably should've won
I think
Way of water has a bigger chance of making it into picture then top gun or wakanda forever
Top Gun is in
These are conservative safe predictions. I’m most invested in Austin Butler winning. The Fabelmans look like something I might love or just be slightly bored with like the Batman but Spielberg still has that magic cinematic touch seldom found anymore so I can forgive his self indulgence. Feel-bad movies (Tar, Triangle, Women Talking, Whale) can win some stuff but probably not the Grand Prix. Like vegetables, most people won’t go out of their way to eat it up.
Mia Goth deserves a little more attention for Pearl. EEAAO to me only truly deserves an editing win.
Because of the pandemic, the big winners have been small obscure ones. It’s time for something BIG
Avatar The Way of the Water gonna surprise everyone. It's gonna be the technical movie of the year, and its gonna do GREAT at the box office. Especially since the first one's re release has done so well too.
could babylon win if it really blows everyone away? Because I'm fairly certain people didn't expect La La Land to be a masterpiece prior to its release. Plus the narrative of La La Land being egregiously robbed of the picture win over moonlight
Lol? Who says La La Land was egregiously robbed?
@@GoodnightJonboi white ppl I guess 🤷♂️
@@GoodnightJonboi Its egregiously robbed because not only did it garner a record tying 14 noms, it also literally won every where else. I also believe that its craft and technicals are way more impressive than the story of moonlight, albeit the indie film is one of the best of its kind.
I feel like I am in the minority but I just don't get the hype with Babylon. it's just former movie stars from the 1920s living a hedonistic extremely self indulgent lifestyle and that's it like what's the point???
La La Land > Moonlight. Black guy saying it and Babylon is most anticipated. It could take everything Imo
Bones and all is so good.Why is it being ignored ? At least for Performances,score and cinematography
Critics’ year end lists come before Oscar nominations anyway, so the first question is how high it will score there? Aside from being horror it appears to be way more stripped down of a film than ordinary awards contender movies. That might be to its credit as a movie, but I think regardless of how good it is it doesn’t look enough like what ordinarily gets nominated, unless the critics actually push it. I love Luca Guadanigno’s films by the way, also Taylor Russell’s Waves had Oscar worthy cinematography, but these films miss nominations oftentimes, it is what it is.
@@lorcan545 Yeah you're right.I think it's more because of the cannibalism in it.Get Out was horror too but got a lot of oscar buzz
Get Out could also be tagged ‘social thriller’ like the Parasite mini-genre. Superficially it has stuff in common with Ari Aster’s films, but those are definitely horror, while you just call Get Out a thriller. Suspiria 2018 is my favorite horror film. The screenwriter of that, A Bigger Splash and Bones and All is extraordinary.
1:25:36 lol the exact day this is uploaded the trailer for my fathers dragon comes out
So hype to see another video of the Oscar’s experts!! 🎉
Don't agree with anything they say
Guys for all the love ‘everything’ has I just don’t think it’s enough to win best picture.
A film that has Hot dogs for hands I hope does not win it.
It was quirky, different and original but the insane sequences in the film put me off.
I liked the film overall but I really don’t want it to win the best picture Oscar.
FOR BEST ACTRESS.... N1... Is Ana de Armas, you like it of not because she is latin... she deserves the Oscar for best actress! and... the Golden Globe... and... everything else... ana de Armas was just... FABULOUS in Blonde! 🏆🏆🏆she has no competition but racism.
Cate,Yeoh and Michelle Williams say hi
@@Martinmarshallmargella well you know... there is always a "hello" and a "Good Bye"... the Oscar has a name... invincible in fact: Ana de Armas.
Our your lists available for download
I feel like with how meh lead actor is one of the close boys could squeak in to lead
About International, I think Bardo is still there at least for that category, Argentina 1985 is with Amazon, and maybe I'm a little bias about it but I woldn't discard Brazil's submition Mars One, considering the academy's track of nominating one out of the main options, small, intimate and culturally imersive movie, such as Lunana last year, and this is what Mars One is all about
An Cailín ciúin?
@@agaistin maybe, but as I said, I'm a little bias towards Mars One as a Brazilian and because I already seem it, and it's pretty good and also fits that bill
I wanna know how the Oscar expert got Timothee chalamet to be this video along side him talking about movies and Oscar nominations for 90 minutes
GDT’s Pinocchio is a musical, can that get a song nom if one of the songs are a standout?
Me when the sun sets 25:44
It do be like that doe
Even though Bardo is expected not to get any nominations, I wouldn't be surprised if it got a Cinematography nomination.
Yeah
Because the cinematography is like a beautiful cake .
Based