The Real Problem with the Internal Market Bill: Will it Destroy the Union & Brexit Deal? - TLDR News
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- Опубліковано 11 лип 2024
- Withdrawal Agreement Destroyed? • Britain Destroys the W...
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Yesterday the UK government unveiled the much anticipated Internal Markets Bill. For a bill about the free movement of goods, a lot of controversy has been stirred up by the new law. That's because according to some it could lead to the break up of the union and to others it could destroy all hope of a Brexit Deal.
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1 - en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Implied...
2 - en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Europea...
3 - / 1302948198265294849
4 - ukconstitutionallaw.org/2019/...
5 - www.ft.com/content/6186bf1c-0...
6 - www.instituteforgovernment.or...
7 - www.ft.com/content/3b0cdbce-c...
8 - gov.wales/sites/default/files...
9 - www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-p...
10 - • How COVID & Brexit Fue...
11 - en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Welsh_i...
12 - www.dailypost.co.uk/news/nort...
13 - d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net...
Brexiteers: Every Nation has the right to be independence and sovereign
English Brexiteers: Every Nation has the right to be independence and sovereign, expect Scotland, Wales & Northern Ireland
They had a vote in Scotland and decided to stay.
So why did you omit the right of the English to independence?
@@Nickle314 because in 2014 ,when the referendum happened, no one knew that they would have been kicked out of the biggest trading block in the world against their will.
@@carolimagnusroman4972 : Kindly get your facts right before commenting, Roman.
Nickle don’t you think the Brexit result has changed things? Why shouldn’t they have another vote if they want one? I’m sure if the question had been: do you want to remain with The UK but not the EU or leave the Uk, the result would have been different.
And the rest of the world as long as they follow our rules, which we will not put in writing and might change without notice.
So basically the only thing united in the United Kingdom is Manchester
... and lets not forget Tamworth Old Boys Utd guys!
And Sheffield on Wednesdays
Bad example, Manchester is split into City and United.
Dundee
And man united is owned by a saudi prince lol
Imagine a world where England is the only country in the United Kingdom. Lol.
Coming soon, to a reality near you.
Oh the unintended consequences of brexit. Nobody thought this thing through properly.
@@rubikscubeking8398 they just didn't want to take anyone else seriously. This is all England's fault.
@@Its-Just-Gizmo Wales too. Wales was pro-Brexit. Scotland and NI weren't. tbh I think since 2016 support for Brexit has waned in England too and considering the vote won by less than 2% majority at the time I wonder if Brexit is something the majority of the UK actually wants.
In fairness to those voting leave, they didn't care about the break up of the United Kingdom. If it happens, it happens. If it doesn't it doesn't. They could have been slightly forgiven for what they thought about it in 2016, but they knew exactly what they were voting for when they elected the Johnson regime. Leaving the EU is far more important to them than preserving a United Kingdom.
It would be so funny if England is the only country in the whole island group outside of EU xD
Wales and England is Wangland
"We're most powerful empire in the world! Nobody can tell us what to do!"
- every brexitremist
Brexit is English nationalism's psychodrama.
England would be tiny with close to no fishing grounds
Even funnier if they were to rejoin 5 years after leaving alone because the tories butchered their econemy, the labour party won could not fix the issues, relaised rejoining the EU is the only way, loosing all priviliges they had adopting the EUro because the sterling has become worthless and then beeing the laughin stck for the next five hundred years or so until only history nerds of the highest degree make jokes about how there was once a UK and how their own nationalistic views destroyed their country and that is why we have 5-6 (depending on if NI join normal Ireland or not) states (of the then fully federalised EU) in the greater british Islands instead of 2.
So is it okay to break the law in a ‘very specific and limited way’ now? Asking for a friend.
Yes - but only while driving as part of an eyesight test.
Lol
@@michaelleiper only when commuting between London and Durham during total lockdown too...
Its definitely shown up what brexit means to a lot of English and Tories......for them its about England first and not the union.
Time for welsh, scots and NI union. Freedom of movement between the 3 with borders around England.
If only London could also leave England
what would be the best is, if the welsh, scots and Irish rejoin the EU, that would destroy the anti EU narative so hard, I mean the now "traitourus" scots welsh and Irish have gone back to their "slave master" the EU after running away from their "glourious and magnificint english masters" ... or how else will teh tories frame it? hell even better if after the breakup the tories loose powert ot the labour party thanks to the brexit party (now dubbed the Exit barit get it xD) and then rejoi the EU, just less powerfull, having lost all privilages and on top of that now beeing the laughing matter of europe for the next three to five centuries, I mean wtf should that happen and the UK rejoins in the next 5 years as single independent countrys, This shit will be a meme for the rest of humanitys existance, you cannot write such a stuff.
Elliot Williams say the Tories want it but don't lump the rest of England with BoJo's beliefs.
Can we join you? Northern England
I remember the Celtic Union being a joke thrown around when discussing Irish reunification, but now there's actually a believable, if improbable, path towards it which is crazy.
Remember back in 2016 when everybody was saying Brexit would be the end of the EU? Lol, the irony...
I don't remember, but the EU is living on borrowed time due to its structural inability to change, and its fundamentally flawed trade and economic policies, based on a school of economics which was already discredited before the end of the eighteenth century.
@@physiocrat7143 hey im a bit new to eu economics what exactly is it you are referring to?
@@arawn1061 EU economics is based on a view known as mercantilism, which developed in the seventeenth century but was discredited by the middle of the eighteenth century.
The most concise and accessible book on the subject is _Protection or Free Trade?_ by Henry George. It is an old book and it draws on experience in the USA, which ran similar policies.
@@physiocrat7143 thanks man i'll try to look into it someday :)
@@arawn1061 It is on line or can be ordered - it is not expensive.
I'm altering the deal. Pray, that I'll not alter it further.
Forget the Empire; what we need is leadership that works for the Great Good of all! Vote Ethereal! Vote Tau'va!
@@euansmith3699 Say, do you hear our song? In the name of the people we sing, for the sanctity of progress. Fill you heart with rebel wine - for tommorow, my dear friend! For we want to be a light despite the darkness of the night - to illuminate our world, and change our lives!
It is possible for a country to survive without abiding to international agreements and with only a few allies, but who wants to live in North Korea.
Just wait till we get to the clown shoes and the unicycles
@@sammargetic and north Korea has the support of its largest neighbour and superpower China. The US has showed complete apathy towards the UK (at best) and hostility (both the speaker of the house and a trump official said no trade deal if UK violates treaty) at worst.
There is a mistake it isn't the Welsh Assembly anymore it is Senedd Cymru - Welsh Parliament @TLDR. Sorry to be a pain it changed in May 2020
Yeah for a few videos they haven’t realised it changed.
Question: is it preferable for me, a clueless Scot, to attempt the Welsh pronunciation, or should I just use the English?
@HAIL BAAL THE TRUE GOD Wilfully attacking either Bill Gates or Satan with hail or other precipitation will have serious repercussions. You have been warned.
theMoporter both names are equal, so you can use either. The whole thing is commonly just called Senedd. Although Senedd Cymru is not hard to pronounce (Se-ned / Se-ned-th) (Come-ree), and many Welsh don’t mind you messing up the sound, as long as you are willing to try. 😄🏴
@@dankjae Thanks
Time for a Celtic Union
Ia / Tá / Tha
@@leewilliams9689 Just to be extremely pedantic about a language I had to learn for 16 years: "tá" translates to "is [copula]", not "yes". Irish doesn't have a word for "yes".
So in response to "Time for a Celtic Union", you'd want to say "it's time!", or just "it's" (which would be 'is é' or contracted to "sea" {pronounced "sha" like Shaq without the Q})
the Irish the Scots and the Welsh went into a bar sounds like it'll end up in the biggest fight of the century lol
This is wasted on Brexiters. Ask them which EU law that the UK government also opposed (they have a choice of just 2.5% of EU votes since 2000) that they didn’t like and not one of them can answer. If they say they felt alienated by EU democracy ask them to explain UK democracy. If they don’t like “EU” courts ask them who they think runs the European Court of Human Rights. If they want control of borders ask them what the UK Border Agency and Schenghen is. If 45-odd % of UK imports are from the EU most of them think 45-odd % of the EU’s exports are to the UK (“they need us more than we need them”). Mind boggles how we ended up here.
MR Spoon haha, yes, what is their obsession with an industry employing fewer people than hundreds of companies and worth around 0.1% of GDP?!
“I used the United Kingdom to destroy the United Kingdom!” - Boris Johnson.
Or "I sacrificed the whole of the United Kingdom to achieve independence for England!" - BJ
"UKs credibility"? Let me laugh. Who still credits the UK with any credibility???
Where are you from?
@@sparkymarky7504 it's a mix. Born in Sweden, blood lines from Finland and Czechoslovakia, living in France, working for a Spanish company... All of Europe - but not the UK.
Certainly not the UK themself.
Only fools will credits British, clown people's keep changing like moron.
@@sparkymarky7504 From better place than London because London is not heaven.
It's Britain wasting EU's time again. What a nuisance Britain has ended up being.
Not Britain, England. It is very much the English messing everything up and then forcing their failures on their vassals, cause no way are the Scots, Welsh or Northern Irish actually equal members of a Union compared to their Overlord England.
@@thyrussendria8198 The way it goes, the Union is not going to last for very long.
GB has always be a nuisance, but years ago it was a very useful one.
Now England has decided to burn some bridges, shrewing over GB as a whole.
@@Andy-qe6kk No deal, NO tories.
@@Andy-qe6kk England and it's delusions of grandeur.
Wow. Wales even. This is what happens when an incredibly complicated situation is decided by a simple yes/no question.
How else would you have proceeded? The issue has been a running sore since the end of the 1950s.
@MR Spoon That would have been an iterative process which would have put control into the hands of those presenting the plans. It also puts people in the position of wanting "none of the above". In reality it would have been impossible to make plans for presentation to an electorate since the outcomes would in all cases have depended on the responses of others, which could not be predicted.
A further issue is that unless people have a reliable forecasting model, the outcome is not knowable, and at the best, there are always extreme events which are not included in any models, as Covid has demonstrated.
A simple binary choice was clear.
@MR Spoon The underlying problem is that the EU's own trade and economic policies are irrational - they work from the default position that imports are undesirable, which is exactly and very precisely wrong. They operate on the seventeenth century principles of mercantilist theory, which were shown to be false, several times over, using separate and independent arguments, by the classical economists. The reason this has happened is because mercantilist policies work to the advantage of influential minority sectional producer interests. The same misconceptions are also clouding the British view. The difficulty is that when people think and act irrationally, it is impossible to reach an agreement which is advantageous to both parties, since at least one of the parties is unable to recognise an advantageous arrangement.
I live in, and am a citizen of, an EU country on mainland Europe. Due to the way that Brussels has been handling negotiations, the effects of Brexit will be entirely negative for us. Thanks for nothing, Brussels. We will experience difficulties, delays and added expense in procuring goods from the UK, which is an important source for us and is likely to lead to shortages, for example in obtaining spares, components and consumables. This will be a re-run of what happened in the UK when it joined the EEC in 1973, leading to a near-doubling of food prices as the country was cut off from traditional sources and imports were subject to tariffs. This in turn set off the round of pay claims and industrial unrest which led to the election of Thatcher and the dismantling of British industry. Younger people have no idea of the catastrophic effect that joining the EEC had on the UK economy.
Unless the UK government mess things up spectacularly, the country should benefit from leaving the EU, not least, because it will regain access to lower cost food, and the countries from which this food is imported will hold sterling balances which in due course will lead to exports to those countries. One of the important things that most commentators do not appreciate is that imports "prime the pump" for exports. The UK has had a lucky escape. Make the most of it and don't complain.
No. Not Wales even. TLDR has a fetish for breaking up the Union so he took 18% support for independence and made it into 57%... Nah.
@@EvenWaysMusic TLDR is good for a laugh though, with his pretend working class accent.
In a near future...
Scotland: I'm independent, can I come back?
E.U.: Yeah, no problem
Wales: I'm also independent, can I come back?
E.U.: Yeah, of course
England: I'm alone now, can I come back?
E.U.: Ha, Ha, Ha!! Good try,,,,, but no
England then votes for independance from itself?
you forgot northern ireland who could overtake scottland by skipping the eu admission process when uniting with republic of ireland.
@@d00dieb0x Nothern Ireland, don't need to ask the E.U. if they want to come back, they just need to merge with Ireland, and they'll come back without the real need to ask the E.U.
@@elwinvanhuissteden7729 If they're alone at the end, they don't need to vote for independence,,,, or maybe they can vote for become independent from Westminster 😂
As long as there are tons of newspapers and politicians telling lies about the EU, they shouldn't be allowed to rejoin.
If they're gone, England shouldn't be punished. It's the liars who are to blame.
GB: shrew the EU, we break agreements as we see fit!
EU: *shocked pickachu face
French: We told you so.
mmm, beautiful
@@BirdLopers EU to French: "Someone living in the Normandy with the name of William by any chance?"
@@JoniWan77 Well we do have a lot of Guillaume (William's actual name) but if you want there surely must be some British expats with the english appellation
@@scorpixel1866 Guillaume is better. Just no Wilhelm. Those have a losing complexion against the UK. ^^
FOUR nations? Northern Ireland is not a nation, it is an English colony in Ireland.
Yes please on the Welsh independence video
I'm living in Wales, but likely to vote for it - following Bozo's disasters
There has never been an independent united wales. Not even the welsh want it :D
Hmm I think I move over there
@@TheBarca1889 Ddim yn wir / Not true
@@leewilliams9689 show me when the welsh were united once in the last 1000 years, other than under the british crown :D
Cedric Blum and That means that “not even the welsh want it” ?! How?
Welsh independence video sounds interesting so yes - I would appreciate such a video being made
Oh how the mighty have falled. Remember when the UK entered WW1 because they refused to break a century-old international treaty? How times change.
I find it funny that Wales voted to leave the EU but would happily re-join if Scotland could
It's been four years of Westminister-led Brexit clownery. Opinions can and do change, esp when presented with new information.
@@aislingyngaio That's true. But they may still be in favour of leave.
voting to leave the EU was just that. Some brexitiers specifically said that leaving the EU would not mean leaving the single market. What brexit means without leaving the single market is an other question, but given how complexe the EU is, you can leave it without creating a mess.
They just noticed that their subsidies have gone...
I would like to see a video on the possibility of Welsh independence, but one thing I am more interested in is the possibility of Northern Irish independence or maybe even joining the Republic of Ireland in light of the current situation.
I'd like to see both :)
Reunification is more likely and the GFA requires a referendum on it if support exceeds 50% (No more than once every seven years).
Remember Brexit is what the people voted for! You wanted less migrants, and you got it (who will want to live in England after this fiasco?). You wanted cheaper housing (Vote Tories, they'll halve the value of your house). You wanted Independence from the EUSSR (Independent sovereign state, yay!). This gov't delivered on all accounts. Please ignore the small details, such as the Union falling apart or the economy.
Why does everyone keep thinking the entirety of england voted for this? The numbers for leaving and remaining was actually pretty close.
Piper charms he said “the people” in which definition does that mean everyone?
The Tories did win the last election by a landslide. Their election manifesto was Brexit asap. So the British public did vote for Brexit.
Jon Durrant landslides of seats, not of votes. Using number of seats to win any argument is utterly pointless (unless you’re in the House of Commons). All it does is highlight the need for electoral reform.
@@JD-wf2hu I mean, if you truly look at the votes tecknically, the majority didn't ACTUALLY vote for the tories, they all voted for different parties but because it was so split between those different parties, the Tories had the higher vote.
If you put all the other votes, that voted for SNP, Labour or Lib Dem and others, against the Tories, then actually, those votes are the majority. If everyone that didn't vote for the Tories, had all voted on the same party, then that party would have won instead of the Tories.
Imagine this you and your customer enter in a contract for buying a house and your customer just decide after signing the contract to rewrite it a more convenient one without you knowing or signing it? Tories are modern pirates
Celtic Empire is happening, lads
Damn that would be cool but not empire 😂 more like union or united
if Scotland and Wales go independent and Ireland reunifies, all we’ll need for a full Celtic union is Cornish and Breton independence, and a transferral of administration of the Isle of Mann
No
I'm Scottish and I think this is a really stupid idea. What's the rationale behind it? Just to stick it to England? That's petty af. You seem awfully sure most people even want something like that. They probably don't. I could maybe get on board with a Celtic council. But at that point it may as well just be the British council. Which we've already got. And let's not forget that England does in fact have celtic heritage too. Even if they've forgotten that. And we in Scotland have quite a lot scandinavian blood too. And may even join the Nordic council should we go independent. Maybe not. But maybe. This is just anti-English bullshit. Political fantasy. No thank you.
Countertop Confessions Celtic is not a ethnicity. Nearly everyone could be then Celtic in Europe. Nearly every country in west and Central Europe have Celtic heritage btw... nowadays Celtic is a connection between Celtic languages. A Celtic union doesn’t have to be the same like the UK union. More like a small EU, Benelux, or more and more pacts between European countries. Or like the French-German bund which has an own council. You can create a democratic union based on a friendship between sovereign states. Make your own rules. Scotland alone will be tough for you.
Great work. But you really need to dial down the pacing of the animations. You are breaching audio/visual overload :-) The infographics don't hold enough register. Cut more spacing into the audio track before you begin? I say this as an animator who does similar work, not to snipe. Your work is very much appreciated!
Agreed as someone with autism, had to stop watching and just listen
Agreed as someone who regularly pauzes and rewinds to catch up with all the animations
Yep, just please put more space in between sentences. It's a bit too... much sometimes.
Then there's me watching it at 2x speed muahahahahaha
never thought I would see the day when I agreed with Theresa May
She’s been a deceitful remainer since the beginning
@@sparkymarky7504 What was shown in this video is nonetheless true: if GB goes back on their words = they lose trust.
Martin Vogt who’s trust? nobody significant... and certainly not enough to worry about. China can abuse and kill its own citizens and detain over a million Muslims in concentration camps and other nations still seem pretty happy to buy their crap
@@sparkymarky7504
China is also the world's biggest economy by some measures, so it becomes hard to stand up to them, even when more people and more nations should.
The UK is still in the top 10, but somewhere between a quarter and an eighth the size of China's economy (total, depending on if measuring nominal or PPP), so trading partners and allies won't be excessively desperate for deals if they see a real risk that the deal will be ignored within a year.
And if the constituent countries each go their own way, as becomes more likely if they see England overruling devolved powers, then the negotiating power of England alone will be even lower.
OriginalPiMan
So what?...
the UK has a smaller economy than China so must be condemned by all for a small breach of international law (when let’s face it - domestic law SHOULD always trump international law)
While China can literally act like the bad guys from WW2 and we just accept it because they make cheap batteries and paper plates?
I think anybody looking at the situation earnestly will see that the UK is simply trying to side step the EUs attempts to punish the UK for daring to go against their agenda. Nobody will seriously take this as a reason not to do business with the UK
All I can say is the majority of people voted for Borris and his lies. "get brexit done" FFS. Your getting the politicians you deserve. 🙄
He is getting it done. Just in the worst way possible.
Only 43% voted for his party last election.
@@neodym5809 43% voted for a Conservative government that has a huge majority in the commons, no matter what way you look at it, the dumb have ruled the intelligent, in parliamentary process that is designed to be unfair.
CKW10001 I agree with UKs system requiring reform. Just wanted to make clear that this happens without the majority vote of the people.
@@neodym5809 yes maybe majority wasn't the right word, however 43.6% voted tory where they won 57.5% of the seats. A 1.2% swing upwards created a 48 seat win for the tories, and a 4.2% increase for the lib dems resulted in them losing 1 seat. How can anyone in the UK comprehend that??. In Ireland you under a different system you have generally the same %vote around mid to low 20s, resulted in the same number of seats, but atleast its democratic.
I completely understand why the head of the legal department resigned. Actually, I think the whole legal department should resign.
They have no way to solve this issue, so they will be thrown under the bus eventually. Better to leave with some dignity while they still can.
Because they screwed up with the WA.
@cumquatrct3 A customs border inside a country imposed by another power is a breach of sovereignty. It is effectively ceding territory. The onanistic preferences of politicians and civil servants have no bearing on the matter.
@@physiocrat7143 So why did Boris agree to it then? And why did (some of) the people give him this level of control after the general election? Are you suggesting those favouring Leave are also onanists?
@@richardfarrer5616 Put yourself in Johnson's shoes at the time and you will discover why. We can only speculate. He would have been surrounded by people pushing him to agree, possibly against his own better judgement. The EU itself has moved the goalposts, insisting on customs declarations on goods "at risk of" being sent to purchasers in the Republic - which shows how nonsensical the EU's stance is. Nothing will go from the North to the Republic unless someone in the Republic wants it.
Johnson ought to have stood firm. The main losers in this are the Irish, who will have to pay the EU tariffs on goods from the UK or get them from mainland Europe, which is a long way away - look on the map and work out the sailing times and you will, I hope, appreciate the problem. It takes about 6 hours to turn round a RoRo ship with accommodation for overnight travel, and the preferred sailing speed is less than 20 knots to keep down the fuel consumption,. Speeds at the approaches to most ports are about 6 knots, and on top of that you have to allow about half an hour for berthing and casting off.
@@physiocrat7143 The EU already suggested a hard border between NI and ROI. I don't think that was taken up.
Man, Brexit Just became amusing again
Keep watching; they'll find ways to keep the show interesting
The House of Lords isn't a factor; this government would definitely have the commons override them if it came to that.
A video on Welsh Independence would be nice
Welsh independence is a fantasy. The Union Act relate to the Union between England and Scotland (1707) and the Union between the United Kingdom and Ireland (1801). Wales was not a party to either of these Acts.
@@fwcolb how many countries that became dependent actually had permission from the parent state?
@@kalvindeane1 The overwhelming majority of them.
@@WalterKhayyam Ireland (the republic) is definitely a good example of that: they got permission, after 4 years of a bloody revolt with deaths on both sides.
@@fwcolb
Independence doesn't rely on there being a prior act creating the union. Scotland doesn't point at a 300 year old law to be repeal when they saw they want independence, they point at the people who want it now and at the reasons why they want it.
If the people of Wales want independence in the future, it will be a similar process.
And if Scotland and Wales leave and are able to join the EU expect Cornwall to have a serious independence movement.
I thought Cornwall had been independent for centuries!
Unless there are provisions in the Withdrawal Agreement to keep it alive, it will void it. Meaning everything, pensions, protections for British Citizens in the EU, Research, Defense,... everything is out the window. Yes, the divorce money might also be out, but that is tiny, in comparison. Also, without the agreement the UK is (again) liable for payments to the EU budgets it agreed to... so the EU could confiscate British property (e.g. ships and aircraft under British flag) for compensation. Though the EU is very unlikely to actually follow through with that.
Then there are implications on the trustworthiness of the UK. What that means, is, countries will not be willing to make deals with such an unreliable partner, unless the conditions far outweigh the risks and there are provisions that make transgressions very expensive and thus bind the UK much tighter and make it more difficult to maintain or improve standards and regulations without asking foreign corporations for approval (so much for "independence"). So ultimately the UK will not be able to get deals with less favourable conditions... if at all.
Thirdly, the undermining of the devolution will likely fuel independence movements further.
The Scottish situation is very clear... the last referendum only failed due to the prospect of leaving the EU and a decade long ascension process, that could be blocked. Now that that's become reality support for independence is stronger than ever. And with the government in distant London doing everything to make it even worse, this support will only rise.
The Northern Irish situation is also grim. If the EU has to chose between the Good Friday Agreement and the integrity of the Single Market, it will choose the Single Market 11 times out of 10. and with the Good Friday agreement effectively out of the window, the violence in Northern Ireland will return... and it will be contained on the non-EU side of the border.
What you said about the Welsh, is quite interesting... the only people who are not represented in the Union Jack seemed to be thoroughly subdued and resigned to be the laughing stock within the Kingdom. They even voted in a majority for Brexit. But the propect of being the only neglected country in a union of two does understandibly fuel the thought of independence.
...if you think about it, it seems like Boris really wants to end the UK for good. Every policy he does seems so deliberately damaging for the UK and its working people.
I'm pretty sure that NI would vote to unite Ireland before any significant violence broke out. If the vote failed however, then I could definitely see a return of the troubles
Finally someone that can articulate the bigger and more serious implications of this messing around by Johnson, far to much guff about fishing, sovereignty etc...its goes far deeper than that
Well done and well said 👏
With what army would the EU do its confiscating? you seem to underestimate the power of Royal Navy and Airforce. The EU has been trying to push for its own army and the world does not want or need it, they most certainly are not going to have ours. I will also add that many of UK ships are named after wales and have the welsh flag on front of bow.
@@adriansmith5241 : The EU doesn't need an army...
it could simply detain ships and aircraft under British flag within EU waters or on EU ground.
It could also confiscate goods or freeze assets, parked within EU territory and also take real estate.
And with 50% of the UK's total trade being with the EU, there would be enough assets to satisfy the UK's debts to the EU.
And if the defaulting UK would try to involve its military to avoid paying debts, it would run into the Mutual Defence Clause and would certainly be kicked out of NATO, isolating itself even further.
The EU could slap sanctions on the UK economy or punitive tariffs.
But the biggest problem for a defaulting UK would likely be the credit rating. Which would force the UK into increasingly expensive borrowing... or abandon/sell out social programs, like the NHS.
As I said, this is a possibility... but even now, it is doubtful, the EU would act this fiercely for a few billion GBPs, even if it hurts. A defaulting UK will hurt the British people much much more... by orders of magnitude.
If only Farage wouldn't get his EU pension, it would almost be worth it...
Yes please!!!! My mum is Welsh (I'm Scottish) and I would LOVE to see and independent Wales/Cymru. A video on Cornwall would be cool aswell. I know there's an idea of increased autonomy or whatever and the video would probably be very short but please think about that. THE CELTS SHALL RISE!
I'm looking forward to the trade deals Johnson is going to forge after this.
I'm sure he gets banging deals with all sorts of countries after he just demonstrated that he doesn't give a rats arse about breaking them if it suits the kingdom 😈
Selling NHS off bit by bit
American style of health check for food items so American products can enter UK market more easily. So instead of producers having to prove their product is safe for the customers, it has to be proven by someone else that the product is unsafe.
I hear we have a spiffing deal oven ready with the economic powerhouse of Somalia.
@Angel of Justice the EU will outlast the UK easily.
please do a full video of Welsh Independence
There's no support for it.
Nickle there obviously is but ok
@@Nickle314 do you live in Wales? Because I do and if you would have said there is no support two years ago then you would have been correct however things have changed dramatically in such a short time. Change is coming you can pretend that nothing has changed but 32% and rising is a clear indication of what the people of wales feel about this joke of a union
@@martinshaw2079 Last times I was in Wales it was a camp site. One night there was a terrorist attack where Welsh nationalists burned down a caravan and a business owned by a young English woman.
Go figure why that wasn't reported
5:22 "Welsh Assembly" now known as "Welsh Parliament" or "Senedd Cymru" from May 2020 but commonly known as "Y Senedd" for short.
In part 2, you forgot to talk about reunited Ireland alongside with Scott independence
The US Democratic Party just warned Johnson that if the UK breaks the Withdrawal Agreement with the EU, then the US Congress will not ratify any trade agreement between the US and the UK...
So NOW Bojo sees the value in a common customs union? Little late to the party there Jo.
I really want to hear more about the Welsh independancy, thank you!
Me too
A lot would have to happen for Welsh independance to be a realistic option, wouldn't it?
I'd be shocked if it happened before either Scotland or Northern Ireland leaves.
Won't happen
Allard8 it likely won’t happen before Scotland and Northern Ireland, but the union of England and Wales, will likely lead Wales becoming more part of England, how can 3 million compete with 55 million in the Union. Wales would be constantly overruled “for the Union” aka England. So it’s likely if Scotland and NI leave, Wales will increasingly follow, although may not join the EU very quickly but be in a temporary trade union with England.
@@Lando-kx6so They said the same thing about Trump and Brexit ;-)
I wonder how Gibraltar feels about all of this
Maybe it'll go back to Spain, maybe England will keep all the """""colonies""""""
Last poll was over 90% continue to want to remain tied to the UK, NOT Spain.
I’d be very surprised if Gibraltar wanted to join Spain. That been said, they are are in the worst situation, as they really need the EU (Spain, specifically) for their daily functioning
@@Pesso86 maybe as an autonomous state inside Spain, with England having special rights to the land
Why not as a city state that closely associated with the EU? There’s a few of those already
Good to see such varied, nuanced thought in the comments.
Boris Johnson will beat Neville Chamberlain easily for worst PM
I thought May was the worst PM!!!
Ameya S as a Pole I can happily vouch for Chamberlain as the worst PM
Boris Johnson will leave his mark in history as the man who broke up the United Kingdom
nah Blair the murderer
Well, and Cameron, who kicked this whole thing off.
I truly hope that the UK won't go forward with this bill, but at the same time nothing astonnishes me anymore. I am pretty sure that Boris johnson is only aiming for no deal.
Amazing content as always !
Whenever I see a big choice on the horizon with only obviously terrible choice I have given up even hoping that the other choice will be taken . It seems to be be the current tide of history. im just hoping that having a Welsh grandparent will be enough to get me a Welsh passport 🙄
Surely the bill needs to go ahead for the security of the British 'common market'?
@@WalterKhayyam Yes and they had 4 years to discuss with the rest of the UK about standards, etc. Not last minute enforcement on standards that are not set yet. It not like this came with a list of standards.
@@gHGhej Standards change over time and without central authority over standards, you would have borders between each jurisdiction. 4 years of negotiation is largely irrelevant imho, in 10 years you could have a new product which creates divergent regulation in each jurisdiction of the UK.
We had central authority over standards while we were in the EU (the EU itself took that responsibility), I don't see why there's such controversy with the UK government taking over responsibility for areas of law which were once held by the EU.
@Ulitarism Following EU law in a post brexit UK? You'd have the UKIP making sure all the "patriots" in the UK roasting the tories. Impossible, not happening.
Very well explained, apart from the fact that I would not describe the break up of the UK as a 'problem' 😉. An 'independent' video on an independent Cymru 🏴 would be interesting
I'd like to see an independent Wales, and the video only sweetens the deal.
you would realy want to isolate yourself in the valleys and need a passport to cross the bridge? Wales would soon perish on its own as would Scotland, you people do not understand the implications this would cause, I was born in Wales by the way and think this is a stupid idea, many Welsh cross the bridge to get to work in Bristol and would be out of work if this became a border.
I can't believe this is happening....
maybe you're just really really high.
Neither do brexiteers
This is pretty much what I thought would happen given how shit the Tories are. Bungle themselves into the worst case scenario for the worst off in society.
I can only hope it's a cunning plan
@@cmmndrblu One of Baldrick's, I'm afraid.
Rip union
scottland just isn't allowed to go away. Either you try civil war or just suck it up :D
@@TheBarca1889 lol yeah right. Scots are gonna abandon this sinking ship.
Biggest hurdle with Scottish independence is that they would not be allowed to join EU. Joining EU needs unanimous approval from existing members and Spain wouldn't allow a separatist nation to join EU, because it would encourage Catalonia's independence movement. Imperialism still lives strong among conservatives in Europe.
@@MK-je7kz doesnt matter, rip union
@@MK-je7kz Wrong, Spain have confirmed multiple times that they will not veto Scottish ascension.
Jeez I didn't realise it had been 6 years already since the Scottish independence referendum... Probably fair for them to have another vote on it in the next couple of years...
Great work, TDLR. Its the details like this that often go under the radar.
Time for the world to learn that the UK has no word. And it is not just everyone that wants a trade deal that's gonna be the problem. It is also the people that invest in the UK or put their wealth there to be protected by the rule of law..... Brexit is just getting better & better....
And they put it here to avoid the kleptocracies in the EU
@@Nickle314 Don't worry they're taking it back to the EU all right
I would very much like to know more about the unprecedented growth of the Welsh independence movement.
Well, if there's any good that can come of this, it's that the EU probably doesn't have to worry about other countries leaving anymore. I highly doubt anyone wants this mess to happen to their country.
I want to know how the Irish are feeling about these recent events. They can't be good for the GFA.
I guess, same as Mexican feel about gringos
Look up the *Brexit Song* by *Foil, Arms and Hog* , very educational actually.
I'm from the north myself, and honestly, I'm scared. I can see Irish unity easily happening within the next 5 years or so. But if that does happen, I'd be worried about the Loyalist paramilitaries rising up and restarting the troubles
Matthew Kingston , is that really likely? I thought there are too many English people (or people of English descent) living in NI to ever get a majority vote for a united Ireland.
@@lenkacfk7155 Maybe I am projecting from what I see here in Brazil, but it takes very few generations for people to consider the surroundings as more significant than ancestry. And word has it that the Unionists are largely Catholic and tend to have more children than their Protestant / Loyalist counterparts.
So yes, it looks like Ireland will indeed reunite, albeit hopefully in a peaceful way and quite possibly it will take a decade or two still.
At what point does the united kingdom, just become england? All of these consiquences were mentioned during the brexit vote... And people act surprised when they actually happen.
At this rate, we'll be back to Northumbria, Mercia and Wessex.
How will they be able to negotiate with other partners on trade agreements (Brexit promise) if partners can not trust the British.
Well even the devolved parliament cannot trust the English! They are breaking internal promises and international ones and no longer even trying to hide it!
Already done deal with Japanese and Australia want to add free movement of people with trade deal. Britain have a lot more friends then just EU country's and I can see CANZUK becoming a reality very soon. 4 similar nations with similar government and ideals. We never did fit well with EU and now can pursue are interests with are buddies around the world.
Bojo's legacy is really going to be a destroyed UK? If you'd told me this was possible around 2012, I never would have believed it was possible. And we were just 46 years from hitting the 1,000th anniversary
1,000th?
Scotland joined Great Britain in 1707.
Ireland joined in 1801 - then left in 1922, but Northern Ireland stayed on.
Where does the 1,000 come from - or is that just an English date? - In which case, there would be no change...
Great analysis/explanation, thanks! You need to edit the video description so that your newsletter link is actually a fully qualified working link though, especially as the URL can't be copied & pasted from within the UA-cam app
Do you think I can convince my bookie that ending the transition period without a deal on the future relationship still counts as the no deal brexit I bet on last year? :D
It's fnctionally the same thing... they just kicked the can down the road, but never picked it up.
If you need to convince him, he is not an honest bookie. Having no deal on the future relationship is the definition of a no-deal brexit.
I'm still trying to understand why the EU is not eager to cut off the UK without a deal. I'm wondering if the EU is getting bigger benefits from the UK than they admit publicly; if not, then just get it done with.
Of course the EU gets benefits from UK trade. It's just that the UK gets more benefits from EU trade, so the UK stands to lose more if it doesn't agree a deal.
@@richardfarrer5616 thanks a lot. I used to believe this too. I just got tired of this whole negotiation mess and was wondering why the EU is still keeping up with it. Evidently they are more patient and calculative than me
Wow you put such effort into these videos and making the information digestible. Thank you so much TLDR!
Maybe Ireland, Northern Ireland, Scotland and Wales can form a new Union?
wachting from the sidelines whilst eating popcorn
Irish?
The view from Canada is _amazing_ .
Being irish these days would be amazing
I'm all for your doing a story on Welsh independence. I mean how would they handle North South internal trade?
Yep Wales is definitely a fixer upper but tons of potential.
Cymru cyfan...total Wales
Someone: *talks*
Everyone in the House of Commons: wewheirhueuweaaewhrehyrayr
Really enjoyed the poll analysis and comparison, would love to see more in future videos!
Soon the only solution is a hard border in Ireland to prevent back doors to the single market.
At that point, it might become the question if Northern Ireland beats scotland in a race for independance....
@@elwinvanhuissteden7729 True. And then the house of cards will fall hard.
@@elwinvanhuissteden7729 Nothern Ireland independence? Very funny idea. By joining Ireland, they can switch from british pound to euro. By becoming independent, Nothern Ireland would find it self in a messy situation, as it is both British and Irish and it has to find a middle ground between Ireland and the unpredictable law breakers in London.
All polls for how people would vote in the case of a hard border show Northern Ireland voting to rejoin Ireland.
Can we all at least agree that without the eu none of this crap would ever have happened?
LOL! oh, if sarcastic then indubitably the very best comment so far, thank you :D
(of course, if just seriously bagging the existence of the EU, then oh well, keep trying mate)
at least you gave me a laugh either way ;)
Another way of saying that support for Welsh independence has jumped by 10% in the past year, is that it gs DOUBLED in the past year!
Very interesting video. Really well made and clear. More please 👍
Please do a welsh independence video. Would love an unpolarised view.
Just think about the money.
I wouldn't blame them, at all. Escape while you can.
Why would you stay aboard a sinking ship when there's more than enough life rafts to go round?
TLDR News: We are an unbiased news source that report just the facts without passing judgement.
The Johnson Government: *does literally anything*
TLDR News: Oh come on...
I'd be interested to hear how you would report on the internal market bill with a positive spin! 🤔
Thank you for so passionate and informative work!
Pls Wales and on wales and NI leaving the union
I meant make a video
@@shubhamagarwal8960 They would be the same as Latvia. No economy to speak of but nice place for a visit.
Hang on. Hang on. Soooo, if I can get hold of Scottish citizenship after a hypothetical break up, I might be able to get my EU citizenship back... Run the border!
Scotland and Wales won't leave the UK because they won't be given the option. Fairly simple, English politicians control what happens in Westminster and they won't allow it.
sadly true ....
You should definitely look at if Irish unity is made more likely with this bill and Brexit...
Goods will be more expensive in Ireland after Brexit. There could be quite a difference, due to the higher transport costs and tariffs on goods from the UK. I wonder how well that will be appreciated?
SNP members are probably storing the champagne into the fridge right now.
Their hangover will feel even worse when they get the bills and letter of rejection from the EU in the same post.
@@physiocrat7143 Considering how the EU is sympathetic toward Scotland's situation, and the level of sympathy the Scots enjoy from the rest of the EU citisens, a rejection is quite unlikely.
@@darkadrien14 I have not noticed any sympathy for Scotland here in Sweden. If it costs money, sympathy will evaporate.
We have one of the nearest ports to Scotland in mainland Europe (Gothenburg) but it is still a long way and the North Sea is stormy. The customs queue would cause a tailback all the way to Alnwick at the best of times, and probably to Gosforth High Street when things got busy. An independent Scotland in the EU would have an economy worse than that of Latvia. At least in Latvia there is widespread land ownership. Most of Scotland is owned by a handful of individuals, who could continue to feed at the EU teat.
The SNP haven't thought this through, unless they have been captured by the big landowners.
@@physiocrat7143 But will they be queue if Scotland integrate the EU and become part of the single market ?
@@darkadrien14 it depends first of all on the rate of exchange. If Sterling tanks, then people will drive across the border for bargains in Newcastle and Carlisle. There will also be a lot of shopping by mail order which will all need be held for customs checks.
It is 450 miles from Leith to Esbjerg, the nearest port in mainland Europe, and that is in a remote parts of Denmark. How do they think that they will integrate their markets across that distance of stormy sea?
I would like a video on Welsh independence, yes please daddy
A mere two Torie government's ago we had a special relationship, with lots of power in one of the worlds 4 super powers, the EU. Soon, we are to be a lone pathetic little England with no power at all.
Cheers guys!
Welsh independence video please, thanks
Would be interesting to see a video on Welsh Independence
All these problems were very predictable, and I'm sure the Government know of these beforehand. The real question is then why have they gone ahead anyway? That's the issue this video should have addressed.
Did TLDR not get the memo? We have a Welsh Parliament now. No longer an Assembly.
Making agreements with the UK is like starting a company together with a lazy cokehead.
DTE it's a name of company you described
Keep calm and brexit on.
And fall apart in the process, poetic.
I’m honestly not surprised about people wanting independence, I’m English and support for independence from the government has reached roughly 100% in my house.
I never thought I would see such support for Welsh independence in my lifetime. It's bringing together Tories, Labour, Greens as well as Plaid Cymru supporters. If Scotland leaves the UK, there's no point in us staying as the rump of England.
You may as well annex Cornwall while your at it ;-)
If Gloucestershire, Bristol and Somerset reform the kingdom of Hwicce, can we join Wales (and Cornwall and Devon) too, please?
@@richardfarrer5616
Greater Dumnonia? ;-)
Do a video on Irish reunification
get your independence and join EU, we would welcome you
FREE SCOTLAND (at least)
I would say,- Saor Alba!
@@yannikoloff7659 Surely we would repeat Macron's phrase "Vive L'Ecosse Europeenne."
I wonder, is David Cameron nervously laughing right now when watching the news? Thinking to himself "Whoa, shit." when his pals at the local pub poke him saying "well done, Dave"
American here, why would the UK pull something like this so far into the negotiations? Other countries who would be potential trade partners in the future would be vastly distrustful of the UK because they can just reneg on agreed upon terms at any moment, even if they want to show the EU that they won’t be “pushed around,” it still shows they’re willing to blatantly break their promises and the law to get what THEY want no matter what the cost is. I don’t see any benefit here, but I recognize I’m looking at this scenario from the outside in, maybe I’m missing some valuable insight.
Its a desperate ambit claim, they have nothing left so they have nothing to lose and hope to frighten the EU.
Its like a criminal holed up and surrounded by the police threatens to blow his own brains out. 😂
INDYREF2 PLEASE !
why on earth would any UK government agree to this? Ask again in 30 years like you promised :D
@@TheBarca1889 Who promised? If you mean a remark by Alex Salmond which has been taken out of context then you are talking bollocks.
@@charliemcluckie7713 well you will not get shit before those 30 years are over :3
@@TheBarca1889 its coming Cedric, stop crying
@@marklynch1679 Tell me how, come on :D
Try civil war or swallow it all ;)
Yes mate do the welsh indipendance!
Independence, all e's apart from the first I.
I want England/UK to succeed since I currently reside here but morally everything that's happening makes me think the UK need a reality check and be taught a harsh lesson
Omg 😍 yes! as an E.U Citizen I would really like to see a video on the prospects of Welsh independence!
I would love to see Wales shine the way Ireland shines today thanks to the EU! 😊✨
Didn't Wales vote pro Brexit? I wouldn't let them into the EU after that - they'd only come for the subsidies.