State of Economy Far Worse than Govt Admits, GDP Will Shrink 29% This Year - Economist Arun Kumar

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  • Опубліковано 15 вер 2024
  • In an interview that will come as a shock to most people and will probably be strenuously refuted by the government, one of India’s highly regarded economists has said that this financial year GDP will shrink by 29% whilst the Central government’s fiscal deficit will cross 15%. Speaking 48 hours before the budget, Prof. Arun Kumar, the Malcolm S. Adiseshiah Professor at the Institute of Social Sciences and earlier Professor at Jawaharlal Nehru University, says that his calculations show that in Q1 GDP shrank by 50% and not 23.9% as the government has claimed. In Q2 GDP shrank by 25% and not 7.5% as the government claims. He also says that in both Q3 and Q4 GDP will shrink by 10% each. Prof. Kumar also says that the fiscal deficit of the Central government, inclusive of off-budget items, will be over 15% whilst the combined fiscal deficit of the Central government, state governments and PSUs (what is often called the public sector borrowing requirement) will exceed 20%.
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КОМЕНТАРІ • 912

  • @umeshsidhaye1396
    @umeshsidhaye1396 3 роки тому +322

    You can wake up a person who is sleeping..but you cannot wake up a person who pretends to sleep..

    • @modernmogli5155
      @modernmogli5155 3 роки тому

      बोले तो क्या

    • @Megasunami
      @Megasunami 3 роки тому +3

      or is in coma.

    • @mohdmustaqueem1011
      @mohdmustaqueem1011 3 роки тому +1

      I am pretended oh somebody still waiting to listen you know what I mean sir.

    • @emes711
      @emes711 3 роки тому +12

      We have a chutiya heading our country. Also he thinks that we are chutiyas believing in him.

    • @Harish-ql2hp
      @Harish-ql2hp 3 роки тому +10

      @@emes711 Your comments may be called CRUDE but at the same time utterly true. We are on a flight which is not going to land but certainly crash.

  • @fauladnoori6031
    @fauladnoori6031 3 роки тому +105

    We Indian are busy in fighting each other, who is hoping for growth GDP😥

    • @vishalsureka9340
      @vishalsureka9340 3 роки тому +10

      India will grow at 11.5% in 2021 according to IMF. India will be the fastest growing Major economy leaving behind China's growth at 8.4%.. Don't worry. India will be a superpower in next 10 years..hmmm

    • @ashu0895
      @ashu0895 3 роки тому +12

      I believe the only issue that can bring the Middle-class on the streets is Economy. At some point, the patience level will be crossed.

    • @SahajPS
      @SahajPS 3 роки тому +6

      @@vishalsureka9340 Please don't blindly trust IMF. Economy will continue to suffer because of NPA crisis. Credit creation is important. Banks don't want to take any more risks now. RBI monetary policy actions can promote credit creation but cant force banks to create credit

    • @nowonami2524
      @nowonami2524 3 роки тому +11

      what GDP, what growth ? dont go into the maths, OK. Mandir wahin banega. that is important. Supreme leader will do masterstroke and 5 trillion economy will magically happen. Jai Hindudesh.

    • @kaustubhraizada
      @kaustubhraizada 3 роки тому +8

      @Vijay Manjrekar dude gov has not collected the right data and had given manipulated data to imf , that's the discussion here , pls watch the video 🙏🙏

  • @prabirkumardasgupta9824
    @prabirkumardasgupta9824 3 роки тому +66

    Excellent interview given by this brave economist who tried to paint our present economy with data , which may come out to be right or wrong !
    But if his statement is turned out to be right , then it's a grave situation !

    • @rajendrakumarsharma2280
      @rajendrakumarsharma2280 3 роки тому +3

      Situation is really very bad

    • @subhasisghosh66
      @subhasisghosh66 3 роки тому

      If an economist can be so random with his forecast, can he a genuine economist?

    • @dipjyotimitra186
      @dipjyotimitra186 3 роки тому +2

      29% is ridiculous!
      As if he's the only one who studied economics
      In which universe does the high sales of automobiles fit into his projection

    • @Prashant44082
      @Prashant44082 3 роки тому +1

      Yeah, just like the excellent Epidemiologist who said 'millions' would die in India.

    • @subhasisghosh66
      @subhasisghosh66 3 роки тому +1

      @@dipjyotimitra186It would be beneath an economist of the proletariat to include in his data an item used by the bourgeoisie. So automobiles are out. So what if protesting farmers swear by them?

  • @ranjithp2026
    @ranjithp2026 3 роки тому +40

    From now onwards , Economist Arun Kumar is Anti-national 😂

    • @necromantsuri1
      @necromantsuri1 3 роки тому +1

      wait till they find out he taught at JNU

    • @PankajDoharey
      @PankajDoharey 3 роки тому +1

      Does it matter? The government just brands anyone speaking inconvenient truth. Just look at this years budget Nirmala Sitharaman just announced largely what she would do in 3 to 5 yrs. Does someone tell her that a Budget is for a yr? No allocation figures in much of the Budget speech. This government is Garbage.

    • @shujixiesi
      @shujixiesi 3 роки тому

      @@necromantsuri1 hahaha.. I was there when he was in JNU... Actually, he was not that "anti-government" when UPA was in power. And he has double PhD - one in Physics and the other one in Economics. He was specialized in Indian Black Economy

  • @vjbhat1565
    @vjbhat1565 3 роки тому +54

    My friend shut his factory yesterday , and what he is saying looks true

    • @vjbhat1565
      @vjbhat1565 3 роки тому +13

      @RAMAKRISHNA R it's in tamilnadu sir

    • @vjbhat1565
      @vjbhat1565 3 роки тому

      @RAMAKRISHNA R yes sir true

    • @srinivassrinivas-lm2ze
      @srinivassrinivas-lm2ze 3 роки тому +5

      @@vjbhat1565 yes sir
      True
      Many. Pvt.....companies. Unorganized. Unskilled. Workers. Are. Now. Getting. Only. Half. Wages. In. Andhra Pradesh.....
      In our. Pvt.company. my. Salary. Is. Only. Half. Paid. From. Janatha. Curfew.

    • @mac.505
      @mac.505 3 роки тому +4

      @RAMAKRISHNA R delhi factories are functioning fine which survived note bandi and covid mismanagement

    • @vickybadwal9703
      @vickybadwal9703 3 роки тому +12

      @RAMAKRISHNA R if its in delhi then it shuts coz of farmers protest what a logic my andh bhakt friend you RSS dogs are really like mad street dogs

  • @rekhakumar1441
    @rekhakumar1441 3 роки тому +32

    " No bread then eat cake".
    Very soon bjp government will say.

    • @kanudatta
      @kanudatta 3 роки тому +5

      already said it "onions are expensive then dont eat Onions"

    • @nvaravind5394
      @nvaravind5394 3 роки тому

      Then we will have a revolution with help of Rahul Gandhi.🙄🤔

  • @syedharis7739
    @syedharis7739 3 роки тому +49

    If you are in denial you can't rectify..... this simple logic lacks this foolish Government

    • @MohitSharma-rd9xf
      @MohitSharma-rd9xf 3 роки тому +1

      If govt accepts then there will be ruckus all over and people will start saving money due to fear and will only spend on essential items this will lead to deflation.
      That's why none of the state government are releasing real data of their respective states.

  • @pritpaldhaliwal6509
    @pritpaldhaliwal6509 3 роки тому +46

    "You will own nothing and you will be happy." World Economic Forum.

  • @KumailChangezi
    @KumailChangezi 3 роки тому +42

    Professor Arun Kumar - beat for beat - predicted how awful the Demonetization Disaster would be for the economy.
    When he talks, we should listen.
    And if he says 29% shrinkage, I would much rather believe his words than our Government's figures.
    (Both parties have a proven track record.)
    If you want to put this to the test, check out his older interviews. Scarily accurate. Truly a well of knowledge and insight.
    Great job, @The Wire!
    Thapar was the perfect interviewer, as always.
    ---
    Edit 01: Can't wait to get the Professor's book! (Looking forward to a good, depressing read.)

    • @KumailChangezi
      @KumailChangezi 3 роки тому +8

      ​@Vijay Manjrekar "99.30% of demonetised money back in the system, says RBI report"
      Remember this? You're either a troll or extremely delusional. Quite frankly, I don't know which one to feel more sorry for. Either way, have a good day.

    • @rohitsingh-cs6jj
      @rohitsingh-cs6jj 3 роки тому +5

      @Vijay Manjrekar get a doctor. I feel sorry for you.

    • @ahamasmiarinm
      @ahamasmiarinm 3 роки тому +2

      Well, I would start with admitting that I'm no expert on economics but I do have some hands-on experience of it. With my limited understanding, and with Thapars own admission, the figure 29% is a shock, and a big big shock indeed.
      Having said that, what is an economic shock? how does it play out on ground? The answer is, it's devastating. People who have living memory of 2008 knows that INDn economy shrank by the odd 3% and it was so obvious on the streets. One can only wonder what would play out if it would be 30%, and we all know nothing even close to that actually happened in our real life.
      With all due respect to the Professor, his knowledge and his analysis, this looks to me more like those doomsday predictions which were made for IND's Covid situation. It was said that IND would have cases in hundreds of millions and there would be deaths in millions too. Just like then, I guess the calculations are correct but the variables in the formulation and modelling is inappropriate.
      Nothing is bigger than the result, the reality and the reality is that countries fall apart at even half of 29% and there's nothing of that sort playing out.

    • @northerncook2280
      @northerncook2280 3 роки тому +5

      @Vijay Manjrekar Bro for God sake don't remain in delusional exaggeration of the fascists.

    • @rohitsingh-cs6jj
      @rohitsingh-cs6jj 3 роки тому +2

      @Vijay Manjrekar and when you pay your medical bills. Remember we have 2K currency note. So your so called brother from Pakistan who was printing a fake currency of 1k, today the same person is printing the currency of 2k.

  • @umeshsidhaye1396
    @umeshsidhaye1396 3 роки тому +85

    Prof.Arun Kumar would soon get the coveted titles like Urban Naxal, Congressi Dalal and what not..😢

    • @mytube20oneone
      @mytube20oneone 3 роки тому +5

      Tukde-tukde also

    • @umeshsidhaye1396
      @umeshsidhaye1396 3 роки тому +2

      @@mytube20oneone yes.. absolutely

    • @mahendrarao9855
      @mahendrarao9855 3 роки тому

      Won’t he get a Nobel prize?

    • @Mayu_33
      @Mayu_33 3 роки тому +2

      Sadly, he is labeled such already. He is professor emeritus in cesp, jnu

    • @abkibaar7674
      @abkibaar7674 3 роки тому

      Lawda Ka sarkaar hai

  • @mohammadaquil5491
    @mohammadaquil5491 3 роки тому +38

    Professor Arun Kumar goes down to the deep depth of Indian economy, he is so simple in his explanation that so easy to understand, Mr Karan is excellent mind.

    • @jkenjoy2765
      @jkenjoy2765 Рік тому

      Two useless fellows discussing and useless fellow praising

  • @theNaturalistIND
    @theNaturalistIND 3 роки тому +36

    It's always a pleasure to hear from Prof. Arun Kumar, many thanks to The Wire.👌👌

  • @chandanprakash2002
    @chandanprakash2002 3 роки тому +21

    Wish if others were as skilled in taking interviews as Karan. Wstching him assures me that India still has educated people.

    • @fastpost5068
      @fastpost5068 3 роки тому +3

      A good journalist listens more instead of talking on behalf of his guest. Not a good journalist in my opinion

    • @pardeepbhambra2459
      @pardeepbhambra2459 3 роки тому +1

      Agree

  • @adityakalekar99
    @adityakalekar99 3 роки тому +38

    I knew Albus Dumbledore had an aptitude for economics!!

  • @nagemepola7972
    @nagemepola7972 3 роки тому +15

    This is the only economist that has clarity and put in the real picture of indian economy. Highly appreciate

    • @arunsar7893
      @arunsar7893 3 роки тому

      Really?!.. What gives him this special ability?

  • @lostsoul7744
    @lostsoul7744 3 роки тому +41

    For people sake Karan, Let the expert talk.
    Questions are much longer than the answers itself.

    • @prateeksaini9569
      @prateeksaini9569 3 роки тому +1

      Exactly, I hate it when he interrupts people speaking in their flow.

    • @maruthinandan4343
      @maruthinandan4343 3 роки тому +2

      No He is trying to make it clear for the audience and breaking up the points so that audience can Understand

  • @schoolofdiscipleship6754
    @schoolofdiscipleship6754 3 роки тому +43

    This is the ACCHE DIN we were waiting for...

    • @pritpaldhaliwal6509
      @pritpaldhaliwal6509 3 роки тому

      "If only we can give them faith that mountains can be moved,
      they will accept the illusion that mountains are moveable,
      and thus an illusion may become reality." Benito Mussolini.

    • @perhapscome7149
      @perhapscome7149 3 роки тому +3

      Guesstimate was used because one chaiwala had successfully guessed and used a gutter gas to boil tea!
      Data was not gathered since Data was being given free by Jio!
      Cloud computing was not utilised as the cloud cover was used to do strike at Balakot.
      The long beard guys know nothing he talks economics but will not even know where that how that extra 2AB comes from (a+b)²

    • @-mx9mi
      @-mx9mi 3 роки тому

      @@perhapscome7149 nice sarcasm

    • @abhishekdas8313
      @abhishekdas8313 3 роки тому

      And joota chaatus be like - IMF is bhakt to predict only 8% contraction and 12% growth rate, arun kumar is my baap, baap is always correct. Happy father's day to Arun Kumar

  • @prabirkumardasgupta9824
    @prabirkumardasgupta9824 3 роки тому +66

    Karen's interview taking skill is excellent . Watching for many yrs & learned a lot .
    We never normally observe such knowledgeable interview in our lapdog mainstream media !!!!

    • @kittithelittle3298
      @kittithelittle3298 3 роки тому +2

      Absolutely correct sir 👌

    • @the_good_citizen
      @the_good_citizen 3 роки тому +5

      I think Mr Thapar should talk less and let the guest do more of the talking. Most of the time Mr Thapar is just interrupting him after he speaks one sentence only. And what's the point in reading out Prof Aruns report back to him? He should allow prof Arun to read it!

    • @solis2163
      @solis2163 3 роки тому +2

      You are absolutely right about that.✌ Journalists like Karan, Ravish,
      Aarfa etc are old school, and REAL.
      (Not brokers for the govt. like the rest of them these days)

  • @jinjoo5726
    @jinjoo5726 3 роки тому +66

    Wow! Finally, a studio interview...I am so happy. Never liked those webinar versions. 😃

  • @davs7739
    @davs7739 3 роки тому +60

    Modi bhakt's: arun kumar is pakistani and he is disrespecting the tricolour. Watch Achhe din aane waale hain

    • @abhishekdas8313
      @abhishekdas8313 3 роки тому

      And joota chaatus be like - IMF is bhakt to predict only 8% contraction and 12% growth rate, arun kumar is my baap, baap is always correct. Happy father's day to Arun Kumar

  • @rayhaanahmed1139
    @rayhaanahmed1139 3 роки тому +17

    I am quite astonished to see the comment section for this video. Every video on UA-cam that I have come a crossed which criticizes the government’s incompetence, has a lot of troll from IT cell and BJP bhakts spamming in the comment section. But, this video seems to be different, probably the reason is that this interview is required an IQ more than that of the room temperature. That is why we don’t see those people here.

    • @vasuthiags
      @vasuthiags 3 роки тому

      Fantastic comment

    • @HaidarAsmari
      @HaidarAsmari 3 роки тому +1

      I am reading the comments and thinking the indian are more awake compare to my pakistani people as i have seen only two negative comments. We are still behind as you guys have people outside politics talking about poor government policies.

  • @rajeshraigad
    @rajeshraigad 3 роки тому +12

    Prof. Arun Kumar is a prestigious person in the field of economy, FM should listen him.

    • @truth7653
      @truth7653 3 роки тому +1

      FM, PM & Governor Reserve Bank know nothing of the economy or economics.

    • @truth7653
      @truth7653 3 роки тому

      Akb b, communist cannot be a anti reservation guy.

    • @rajeshraigad
      @rajeshraigad 3 роки тому

      @Akb b kis jamat ke ho tum log..
      Means govt k khilaaf bol diya to communist, urban naxal, khalistani, pakistani..
      Abe sab se bada Anti nationalist to bjp hai..
      Jo ke britishers se jude hue the..

  • @plum2600
    @plum2600 3 роки тому +32

    I like the perfect revision done by Karan...I give him 💯

  • @bito2437
    @bito2437 3 роки тому +21

    loved the interview with Arun Ji - beautifully analyzed - Karan , you are the man to get the ask the right questions

    • @cpselvam1
      @cpselvam1 3 роки тому

      Another Person Sekar Gupta from "Print"is a RSS Sanghi always Praise Modi.

    • @vijayakumarsamuel7748
      @vijayakumarsamuel7748 3 роки тому +1

      @@cpselvam1 sekar has no choice as a reporter otherwise you know what he will get -this is raid raj man don't forget.

  • @somnathghosal6954
    @somnathghosal6954 3 роки тому +25

    Don't underestimate the intellect of a educated Bengali.

    • @subhasisghosh66
      @subhasisghosh66 3 роки тому +2

      What good has it does for the average Bengali? Even the Nobel Laureates are abroad.

    • @ramraghuwanshi2562
      @ramraghuwanshi2562 3 роки тому

      Sarcasm right? 🤔

  • @aniltuli5860
    @aniltuli5860 3 роки тому +54

    When governments particularly democratic do not care about the economic health of the unorganised sectors... the resentment of these sectors might show up ultimately in the form of protests which if crushed may ultimately turn into a sort of civil war ...
    Thanks

    • @parthbhoyar228
      @parthbhoyar228 3 роки тому +1

      Civil war sounds far fetched doesn't it?

    • @music-arun4926
      @music-arun4926 3 роки тому +4

      @@parthbhoyar228 In India it can be classified as "Community violence"

    • @kittithelittle3298
      @kittithelittle3298 3 роки тому +2

      @@parthbhoyar228 anything can happen sir.

    • @GM_-
      @GM_- 3 роки тому +5

      @@parthbhoyar228 not so far fetched if the government is deaf enough.

    • @s0j0urner15
      @s0j0urner15 3 роки тому +4

      Add poor governance, bureaucratic corruption, apathy of elites and income equality then its so explosive to trigger a revolution in coming days.

  • @modernmogli5155
    @modernmogli5155 3 роки тому +39

    Just look around yourself the Loot of common man that is going on be it Hospitals , Schools , Employers , Kirana shops etc

    • @anand45671
      @anand45671 3 роки тому +9

      The perils of electing an illiterate & arrogant PM!!! We deserve this!!

    • @RenormalizedAdvait
      @RenormalizedAdvait 3 роки тому +3

      @@anand45671 Only if a 6th pass super-Prime minister could do justice.

    • @RenormalizedAdvait
      @RenormalizedAdvait 3 роки тому +1

      #Floccinaucinihilipilification.

    • @perhapscome7149
      @perhapscome7149 3 роки тому +3

      @@anand45671 Guesstimate was used because one chaiwala had successfully guessed and used a gutter gas to boil tea!
      Data was not gathered since Data was being given free by Jio!
      Cloud computing was not utilised as the cloud cover was used to do strike at Balakot.
      The long beard guys know nothing he talks economics but will not even know where that how that extra 2AB comes from (a+b)²

    • @udayabose4727
      @udayabose4727 3 роки тому

      @ Perhaps Come A very insightful analysis!

  • @pritpaldhaliwal6509
    @pritpaldhaliwal6509 3 роки тому +55

    "The rich ruleth over the poor, and the borrower is servant to the lender." King James Bible.

    • @satishkumar.k8085
      @satishkumar.k8085 3 роки тому +9

      Mr.Karan, our PM himself is fraud and our government agencies are even more fraud.

  • @sandeepkataria8517
    @sandeepkataria8517 3 роки тому +4

    India needs more educated and talented and BRAVE N HONEST persons Like ARUN SIR , to challenge Govt and to make govt ACCOUNTABLE👏🏻👏🏻👏🏻👏🏻

  • @virtual4474
    @virtual4474 3 роки тому +42

    Agree with dumbledore mostly although growth will take more time because the government won't pay much attention as long as people believe - "Hindu khatre mein hai" 😭😭😭

    • @finehumanbeing3506
      @finehumanbeing3506 3 роки тому +1

      Dumbledore 😂🤣

    • @Fekuchand_
      @Fekuchand_ 3 роки тому +1

      @@finehumanbeing3506 🤣😂😆😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣❤️❤️❤️❤️❤️ Rightly said

    • @sirbumblefuck
      @sirbumblefuck 3 роки тому +1

      Hindu khatre mein hai is true. But government is using it as a vote bank while making the problem worse.
      So they suck at this and handling the economy.

    • @abhijithjith3821
      @abhijithjith3821 3 роки тому +1

      Hindu khatre mein is not the reason bjp is in power. People were made to believe modi is doing good governance by their strategy and also great help from godi media and weaker opposition.

    • @Fekuchand_
      @Fekuchand_ 3 роки тому

      @@abhijithjith3821 👍

  • @parryk646
    @parryk646 3 роки тому +7

    Stunning. Soon he’ll be called Antinational

  • @pradeeprathee8059
    @pradeeprathee8059 3 роки тому +10

    As usual, a very incisive and thought provoking interview. Thanks.

  • @r.m7921
    @r.m7921 3 роки тому +11

    An amazing interview.

  • @bheemachandrasekar5423
    @bheemachandrasekar5423 3 роки тому +7

    Excellent and eye opening interview, this may be a guide for the dreamers

  • @gurindersingh8109
    @gurindersingh8109 3 роки тому +36

    If ND modi can spell 'budget' in three attempts then India may declare him a Rishi economist . Thats all one can expect from him.

  • @imtiazulislam9547
    @imtiazulislam9547 3 роки тому +3

    Yet another very Insightful & Knowledgeable interview & discussion with Prof. Arun Kumar, whose indepth & practical nature of looking at the Economy on the Ground, is absolutely legendary. Thank you Karan for the interview

  • @shariqzafar
    @shariqzafar 3 роки тому +11

    Another gr8 interview. 👌

  • @pandurvk1
    @pandurvk1 3 роки тому +6

    That’s why Narakaasurr is bringing outlandish eulogies from UNO’s economic forums to cover up his total disaster!
    Thanks 🙏
    Pandu Kuchibhotla
    Anaheim CA USA 🇺🇸

  • @akram123uk
    @akram123uk 3 роки тому +20

    Tee seller has brought Indian economy to his own level,

    • @ni12907
      @ni12907 3 роки тому +1

      HAHAHAHHA TEA SELLING ECONOMY ... PAKODA ECONOMY HAHAHHA

  • @dr.sankhadeepchatterjee3330
    @dr.sankhadeepchatterjee3330 3 роки тому +15

    when you cant find whats wrong with India, just switch to "the wire " , i bet , you wont be disappointed 😂

    • @arunsar7893
      @arunsar7893 3 роки тому

      Even better, switch to The Quint.

  • @kuldipkumarsuri
    @kuldipkumarsuri 3 роки тому +5

    Great interview: @karanthaper and @thewire you guys are doing marvellous work.. we are indebted to you people.. more power to you....

  • @harrisonjohnfamecrate
    @harrisonjohnfamecrate 3 роки тому +4

    Dr. Dumbledore spitting facts that bhakts can't handle.

    • @perhapscome7149
      @perhapscome7149 3 роки тому +1

      Guesstimate was used because one chaiwala had successfully guessed and used a gutter gas to boil tea!
      Data was not gathered since Data was being given free by Jio!
      Cloud computing was not utilised as the cloud cover was used to do strike at Balakot.
      The long beard guys know nothing he talks economics but will not even know where that how that extra 2AB comes from (a+b)²

  • @harsimransingh5994
    @harsimransingh5994 3 роки тому +29

    In April May prices of vegetables were more, now I understood why that happened

    • @downwarking
      @downwarking 3 роки тому +2

      Because of lockdown

    • @harsimransingh5994
      @harsimransingh5994 3 роки тому

      @@downwarking
      yups

    • @rachitmurarka1998
      @rachitmurarka1998 3 роки тому

      On the contrary prices are very cheap in tier three cities and rural India. As fields were nearby and vegetables were rotting there. Prof. Kumar totally makes sense

  • @FereehaIdreesOfficial
    @FereehaIdreesOfficial 3 роки тому +6

    The most natural style of asking questions. Karan Thappar is cool.

  • @remnant7remnant74
    @remnant7remnant74 3 роки тому +5

    Prof. Arun Kumar usually is always right. I believe him.

  • @RoomyNaqvy
    @RoomyNaqvy 3 роки тому

    I've had the occasion to meet Prof Arun Kumar at his house a couple of times around 1998-1999. A very fascinating man. Long meetings those were. He used to bring out the Black Economy budget those days. And those days, the Black Economy was 100% of the White Economy according to his figures. A very competent man too.

  • @HumanBeingsRThinkingBeings
    @HumanBeingsRThinkingBeings 3 роки тому +7

    Mind Begs the Question:
    If a PM/Govt
    Will only give Speeches,Monologues
    Will not give Answers
    Sign of - Democracy,Dictatorship?

  • @reet9230
    @reet9230 3 роки тому +3

    Consumption is low when people are working from home. When people don’t go to offices; a lot of businesses like cafe businesses or restaurants providing lunch or conference facilities were down as well, people didn’t buy office wear and consumption was low ...

  • @jimmylam9846
    @jimmylam9846 3 роки тому +13

    ..........not v,k shape but a bath tub shape ! A great economist based on facts.

    • @perhapscome7149
      @perhapscome7149 3 роки тому

      Guesstimate was used because one chaiwala had successfully guessed and used a gutter gas to boil tea!
      Data was not gathered since Data was being given free by Jio!
      Cloud computing was not utilised as the cloud cover was used to do strike at Balakot.
      The long beard guys know nothing he talks economics but will not even know where that how that extra 2AB comes from (a+b)²

  • @joannaclarke7848
    @joannaclarke7848 3 роки тому +2

    Common man has been brain washed and they have been directed towards the topics that the government wants us to hear or know. We all are so busy fighting, doing Hindu Muslim and now the farmers and what not that we are nowhere near thinking about the financial situation of.our country. The rich is getting rich and the poor are becoming poor day by day.

    • @chamarthirajasekhar792
      @chamarthirajasekhar792 3 роки тому +1

      Modi is Robin hood in reverse gear loot the poor and feed the rich like ambani and adani

  • @kittithelittle3298
    @kittithelittle3298 3 роки тому +6

    Absolute gem, Karan sir 👍💯👌

  • @shernachatterjee
    @shernachatterjee 3 роки тому +2

    A discussion combining intelligence and clarity. Everything supported by facts. Great interview

  • @subirbhaduri
    @subirbhaduri 3 роки тому +4

    While listening to this sad and serious discussion about the Indian economy, i couldn't help observe the contrast in the white hair distributions between the two people involved.

  • @balajirao5217
    @balajirao5217 3 роки тому +4

    Looks like this interview is scheduled to make Karen understand the state of economy not the audience.
    Karen had more time speaking than Arun

  • @rohitroy1266
    @rohitroy1266 3 роки тому +3

    Great interview 👍👍
    On a lighter note, I knew Leo Tolstoy would one day come back.

  • @bhagyaraj1992
    @bhagyaraj1992 3 роки тому +2

    It's annoying why he keeps on repeating 4 times shrinkage, 29% etc in first 5 mins. Appreciate patience of Arun kumar to acknowledge it again and again

    • @Mayu_33
      @Mayu_33 3 роки тому

      He is very patient that way. I screwed a talk where he was on panel that I was moderating once. But he still managed to make a lot of sense to the audience. Such a genius he is inside and outside classroom

  • @Sarthakkumarpal
    @Sarthakkumarpal 3 роки тому +6

    Prof. Arun Kumar's assessment is correct

  • @satyajitganguly3135
    @satyajitganguly3135 3 роки тому +2

    My gut feelings professor Arun must be right and surely we'll get an opportunity to compare. As for IMF prediction of GDP forecast of 11.5 %, is surely something wrong....

  • @SunilVerma-ip7vn
    @SunilVerma-ip7vn 3 роки тому +6

    Only farmer purchase boost Economy... Government must keep in mind...

  • @shamshudharwez2064
    @shamshudharwez2064 3 роки тому +1

    Thank you Prof. Arun Kumar for throwing more light on the underlying data issues with the estimates provided by the GOI. Cant wait to read your book

  • @truth7653
    @truth7653 3 роки тому +5

    Prof. Arun Kumar top man sir has got all the figures right. Govt is telling all lies.

    • @arunsar7893
      @arunsar7893 3 роки тому

      That would mean IMF, UN, every investment banking firm which invests in India is also telling a lie.

    • @truth7653
      @truth7653 3 роки тому

      Arun Sar, if you listen to the interview they get figures from our govt. and the govt. gives the figures so that it looks good.

    • @arunsar7893
      @arunsar7893 3 роки тому

      @@truth7653 Then don't listen to what the govt. is saying. The point is, no one believes India will shrink more than 8%. Anyone who says it will shrink 29% is freaking delusional.

    • @truth7653
      @truth7653 3 роки тому

      Arun Sar, whether it is Congress or BJP they are all lying. Very difficult to believe. Moreover data is not collected where it is not good so there is no data to work on. All hera pheri.

    • @arunsar7893
      @arunsar7893 3 роки тому

      @@truth7653 I don't support any Political party either. But it's bonkers if people say Indian Economy is going to shrink 29%. That's pure fear mongering.

  • @joblack7398
    @joblack7398 3 роки тому +1

    निजी मंडी, निजी अस्पताल, निजी दूकान, निजी मकान, निजी वाहन, निजी स्कूल, निजी सब कुछ इस देश में बंद हो। हमारे बच्चे भी सरकार पैदा करे। हमारी मांगें पूरी हो। मोदी सरकार हाय हाय।

  • @siddharth1610r
    @siddharth1610r 3 роки тому +7

    Uff Thapar should just stop talking. The expert is on the other end, let the man make his point. Thapar isn't the post doc here

    • @subhasisghosh66
      @subhasisghosh66 3 роки тому

      Shri Karan Thapar is convinced that viewers on his show come to listen to him and not his guests. Don't forget that he is a Lutyens elite. His father Gen Thapar lead us to defeat in 1962.

    • @diabloo7
      @diabloo7 3 роки тому

      a pattern repeated by leeches stuck to the right side. Malign the person. Remember he made mudizi run for fresh air.

  • @shankarhedaoo6006
    @shankarhedaoo6006 3 роки тому +1

    Govt is saying economy will show growth of 11.5% during 2020-21. Is this possible. During Covid pendemic period, there was no work done in 9 months and for remaining 3 months, there are no jobs for 50% job losers in covid period, then how can we get growth from -7.5 to 11.5%?

  • @babulmandal4255
    @babulmandal4255 3 роки тому +22

    And this lockdown also benefited the Corporates while larger part of the country was only consuming

    • @prakhargupta2081
      @prakhargupta2081 3 роки тому +2

      Yes but it not like consuming gone up it fell overall

    • @babulmandal4255
      @babulmandal4255 3 роки тому

      @@prakhargupta2081 Yes bro, I meant to say like people were not earning anything but spending from their savings which benefited the Corporates only

    • @babulmandal4255
      @babulmandal4255 3 роки тому

      When did I say that it my experience only? Everyone is experiencing the same way. I commented while the show had just started and do you think I commented for some credit? 😂😂

    • @sbs5408
      @sbs5408 3 роки тому

      Which corporate was working during lockdown?

    • @sbs5408
      @sbs5408 3 роки тому

      I think some research is required as to why Indians are so opposed to Corporates? For everything they blame some Corporates. Ambani / Adani.

  • @syedzaidahmed3521
    @syedzaidahmed3521 3 роки тому +1

    Why I am not shocked? Because this is the only thing which BJP is good at ,"making people fool" but thanks to this man for explaining the reality

  • @ankushcharpe3171
    @ankushcharpe3171 3 роки тому +12

    लेकिन जनता को तो वर्ल्ड बैंक का 11% ग्रोथ का गाजर दे दिया गया है

  • @SUBRAMONEYPV
    @SUBRAMONEYPV 3 роки тому +2

    What amazing stuff by 2 economic geniuses! awesome, bring it on, Karan. Aap to mahan ho

  • @ashu0895
    @ashu0895 3 роки тому +20

    Karan sir, kindly also ask the reasons behind the HUGE income disparities and its effect on the stability of the recovery we are going to see.

    • @pritpaldhaliwal6509
      @pritpaldhaliwal6509 3 роки тому

      World Economic Forum, where the elite leaders meet in Davos every year.

    • @pritpaldhaliwal6509
      @pritpaldhaliwal6509 3 роки тому +2

      "Welcome To 2030: I Own Nothing, Have No Privacy And Life Has Never Been Better."
      World Economic Forum. (article in Forbes)

    • @ichamatitales9459
      @ichamatitales9459 3 роки тому

      Learn about parito distribution and economics

  • @dhritimanray1799
    @dhritimanray1799 3 роки тому

    Karan did not let the economist speak at length. Grave worries for India if the government remains on the denial and does not act urgently

  • @g8lv2me
    @g8lv2me 3 роки тому +3

    while discussing any data you should display it on screen. so that we could understand more....interview was good

  • @tl7239
    @tl7239 3 роки тому +1

    Pls God have mercy. Give us some relief.
    The demons of warth n greed are stabbing my motherland. There is no safety for life nor kind.
    All there generations you have only taken care of us working class - save us from these vultures. 🙏😭😭😭😭😭

  • @sukhoi5967
    @sukhoi5967 3 роки тому +4

    Great interview.

  • @neonirwal
    @neonirwal 3 роки тому +1

    First time I realised that KARAN is not as Sharp as I believed him to be.
    ARUN is the India's best Economist alive, no matter Micro or Macro.

  • @mustafazameer1965
    @mustafazameer1965 3 роки тому +5

    Thapar speaks more than than the guests he calls to his show 😁

  • @Mayu_33
    @Mayu_33 3 роки тому +1

    Much thanks for bringing him on the show. Prof Kumar's analysis as always is enlightening

  • @modernmogli5155
    @modernmogli5155 3 роки тому +5

    I will trust the economist who looks like Dumbledore 😎

  • @annsree6972
    @annsree6972 3 роки тому +1

    An excellent interview , but sad that it has such low views , which goes on to prove that the economy is hardly of any concern for the people of the nation

  • @DharmendraRaiMindMap
    @DharmendraRaiMindMap 3 роки тому +5

    It would be great if Karan could tie his right hand behind his back

  • @youtubeaccount3277
    @youtubeaccount3277 3 роки тому +2

    This guy is a bit delusional if he think the annual decline is 29%

    • @matchacko80
      @matchacko80 3 роки тому

      but he gives data. Can u refute that also is delusional

  • @lonelytraveller4080
    @lonelytraveller4080 3 роки тому +4

    Does not look like the prediction is backed by any study or survey....

    • @mac.505
      @mac.505 3 роки тому +1

      Dude his beard is proof enough

  • @s.avinashit9881
    @s.avinashit9881 3 роки тому +1

    Didn't know Periyar was alive and now an economist!!

    • @Mayu_33
      @Mayu_33 3 роки тому

      Yeah! Good one.

  • @tusharkumar5853
    @tusharkumar5853 3 роки тому +14

    Right ,correct ,yup , absolutely # arun sir .... how ,why ,you are sure # karan sir .......but this interview was so good ..so..thank you

  • @nageshpaila70
    @nageshpaila70 3 роки тому +1

    Q3 See company results. They do not show any shrinkage!. Unorganised sector? Agriculture is OK. Conctruction did not shrink so much.

  • @cascademyth
    @cascademyth 3 роки тому +3

    Your channel and its shows are so dark and depressing. Tired of your gloom doom stories of this country. Economy, security, healthcare, safety, you name it and you guys have nothing positive to talk about.

    • @sundararajulupanneerchelva5457
      @sundararajulupanneerchelva5457 3 роки тому +1

      Since 2014 nothing positive happened to middle and lower income population!! Price of petrol decides day to day life! In 2013 when crude oil per barrel was 140 US dollars the price of petrol per litre was 53 Rs! Since 2014 to till date the price of crude oil is ranging between 40 - 55 US dollars but the price reached RS90 PER LTRE! SO ALL CONSUMABLE DAY TO DAY HOUSE HOLD ITEMS WILL NATURALLY INCREASE BY FREIGHT CHARGES!! SO BJP WILL NEVER SHOW ACHE DIN!

  • @akshaykapoor354
    @akshaykapoor354 3 роки тому +1

    These are some alarming numbers but one thing is for sure that the shrinkage would be much more than the Government's projection of 7.7%. Let's wait for a point by point rebuttal by the Government and understand the theories and assumptions that were applied to arrive at -29% vs -7.7%.

  • @kashmiri7403
    @kashmiri7403 3 роки тому +3

    This is an old saying a man should learn economics so that he can not be fooled by any other economist.. Economists are the people who should not be ever believed

  • @vadivelayuthamudaiyanathan3428
    @vadivelayuthamudaiyanathan3428 3 роки тому

    Whether we agree with the author or not we all should accept the fact that he talks with genuine responsibily and concern about the economy unlike our honourable Finance Minister.

  • @JuicyMorsels
    @JuicyMorsels 3 роки тому +3

    So feku is growing beard to look as smart as Mr Arun ?

    • @zabymoazzam1663
      @zabymoazzam1663 3 роки тому

      Arunji's beard is as close to Guruji's and I am afraid eventually he too will get there😭

  • @asingh5482
    @asingh5482 3 роки тому +1

    Bring back MMS. Very surprised that a person like Dr Swamy has not been given finance ministry by the current Govt.

  • @rajantharoormundarath5856
    @rajantharoormundarath5856 3 роки тому +23

    So to say every citizen is under debt to an extend of at least of a lac of rupees or ever more per individual.

    • @azad3077
      @azad3077 3 роки тому +5

      V voted for it not once but twice

    • @arunsar7893
      @arunsar7893 3 роки тому

      @@azad3077 You probably didn't.

  • @shabbirmakani
    @shabbirmakani 3 роки тому +1

    Knowledgeable survey by Arun Kumar

  • @amiyshrivastava4088
    @amiyshrivastava4088 3 роки тому +3

    This is something that Modi ANDHBHAKTs need to watch daily.

    • @subhasisghosh66
      @subhasisghosh66 3 роки тому

      You may not be aware of it, but January GST collections are a record Rs 1.20 lakh crore.

    • @amiyshrivastava4088
      @amiyshrivastava4088 3 роки тому +1

      @@subhasisghosh66 Are you aware of the Actual State of the Economy???
      You can watch more such interviews conducted by Karan Thapar.

  • @testingtimes8759
    @testingtimes8759 3 роки тому +1

    The Documented Economy was rising but the undocumented economy was shrinking fast. So while the figures might be better, the economic reality on the ground was actually getting worse despite the figures looking good..

  • @VivekSinghVivek
    @VivekSinghVivek 3 роки тому +3

    I think the economy will shrink by 14.5 %. My research is based on "Teri bhi nahi Meri bhi nahi" & "jhagda jhugdi band karo"

    • @rjdeepsingh4878
      @rjdeepsingh4878 3 роки тому

      Now this is is called “settlement”🤣🤣🤣

  • @jayfmt9227
    @jayfmt9227 2 роки тому +1

    Ye mera India 🇮🇳...I love my India 🇮🇳

  • @shanmugababurajamanickam1752
    @shanmugababurajamanickam1752 3 роки тому +11

    Let us get ready for another jumla budget

  • @singhaniket0810
    @singhaniket0810 3 роки тому

    Respectfully disagree. He mentioned GDP was down 75% down in Q1.. Economic activity down doesn't mean GDP is down by same percentage. Economic activity is a part of GDP not entirely.

  • @ahmadzafar9086
    @ahmadzafar9086 3 роки тому +4

    Very able economist. His predictions are often true

  • @ni12907
    @ni12907 3 роки тому +1

    Karan Thapar SIR you are so intelligent, I learn a lot from your interviews, you can hold onto such an intelligent conversation, HATS OFFFF TO YOU SIR!!!