The Shocking Data On Why Inflation Remains So High | Eric Pachman

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  • Опубліковано 3 лип 2024
  • Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Morningstar Wide MOAT ETF (MOAT) at vaneck.com/MOATFG.
    Follow Eric Pachman on Twitter x.com/EricPachman
    Follow Bancreek on Twitter x.com/bancreek
    Bancreek’s CPI tool: www.bancreek.com/p/checking-t...
    Bancreek’s PCE tool: www.bancreek.com/p/april-2024...
    Bancreek’s labor market tree map: www.bancreek.com/p/us-employm...
    Follow VanEck on Twitter / vaneck_us
    Follow Jack Farley on Twitter / jackfarley96
    Follow Forward Guidance on Twitter / forwardguidance
    Follow Blockworks on Twitter / blockworks_
    __
    Timestamps:
    00:00 Introduction
    00:57 The U.S. Labor Market
    03:57 Tree Map Of Where New U.S. Jobs Are Being Created (It's A LOT In Healthcare and Government Sector)
    19:50 VanEck Ad
    23:17 The Growth In U.S. Government Jobs
    28:39 U.S. Healthcare Industry Is Incentivized For High Prices And High Job Growth Is A Consequence
    45:00 Homebuilding, Oil & Gas, and Retail
    52:11 Inflation Masterclass: Differences Between CPI & PCE
    01:11:35 Healthcare in PCE & CPI
    01:28:46 With Housing Inflation Where It Is, It Is Nearly Statistically Impossible For Inflation To Be At Or Below The Fed's Target of 2%
    __
    Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.
  • Розваги

КОМЕНТАРІ • 98

  • @BlockworksHQ
    @BlockworksHQ  16 днів тому

    Forward Guidance is sponsored by Van Eck. Learn more about the VanEck Morningstar Wide MOAT ETF (MOAT) at vaneck.com/MOATFG

  • @BraddPaisley
    @BraddPaisley 15 днів тому +230

    It is very crucial to know that planning to earn in today's market is an intricate process that necessitates not only strategic foresight but also expert guidance. It's paramount to align ourselves with seasoned financial advisors who can steer our investments toward optimal growth.

    • @BendyChoy
      @BendyChoy 15 днів тому

      I'd be retiring or working less in 8 years, and considering this financial recession, Im deciding to begin taking up skilled trades. I'm curious to know best how people split their pay, how much of it goes into savings, spendings or investments, learn around $130K per year but nothing to show for it yet.

    • @rodgertim2881
      @rodgertim2881 15 днів тому

      On your own you could seek out several of these financial advisors, make sure the one you settle on is a fiduciary and not a fake.
      Know what you're getting out of it and see if your targets can be met.

    • @BarbaraPearson55
      @BarbaraPearson55 15 днів тому

      You should contribute to your retirement diligently, or better still look into financial planning don't come to youtube for advise, consult a Local or trusted online broker/planner.

    • @BraddPaisley
      @BraddPaisley 15 днів тому

      How did you find a good finance advisor? How do you know if they are trustworthy and competent.

    • @ClayneBanks
      @ClayneBanks 15 днів тому

      I've been consulting with Eric Paul Elmer.He specialize in high-end investments and have provided me with valuable insights into market trends, potential appreciation, and even tips on maintenance to preserve the investments value.

  • @BruceWoolems
    @BruceWoolems 16 днів тому +152

    Bring Abby Joseph Cohen on the show. She changed my life Financially I managed to grow a nest egg of around 120k to over a Million. I'm especially grateful to Abby Joseph Cohen Services, for her expertise and exposure to different areas of the market.

    • @BruceWoolems
      @BruceWoolems 16 днів тому +1

      The sad truth is that no one has a clue, we all react to what happens as it happens and try to analyse it but can’t predict an iota of what is going to unfold in the markets… content creators are like amplifiers, when times are good they affirm it and try to tell you why it’s good and that it’s looking bullish but then all of a sudden the market turns bearish and everyone affirms it again and try to analyse why… it’s so sad that many are so powerless and it's not about guessing the market's next move; it's about playing it smart and steady during trading...managed to grow a nest egg of around 23k to a decent 119k$ in the space of a few months... I'm especially grateful to Abby Joseph Cohen Service, whose deep expertise and traditional trading acumen have been invaluable in this challenging, ever-evolving financial landscape.

    • @KimJimCastro
      @KimJimCastro 16 днів тому

      How can i reach her, if you don't mind me asking?.

    • @NaomiVardyy
      @NaomiVardyy 16 днів тому

      Well her name is 'ABBY JOSEPH COHEN SERVICES'. Just research the name. You'd find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.

    • @KemmerlingKrebsbach
      @KemmerlingKrebsbach 16 днів тому

      *Recently stopped contributing to my 401K and started moving money into my multi-faceted lnvestment account managed by Tracy Britt Cool where I currently earn dividends; 9 percent weekly*

    • @TedHawk
      @TedHawk 16 днів тому

      I did the same, so you should have me on as a guest.

  • @billybudapest3129
    @billybudapest3129 13 днів тому +2

    This was an exceptional episode. The guest presents unusually insightful and useful info. Bravo and thanks to Mr. Pachman on his research, and thanks Jack for bringing to our attention

  • @stephenanthony5923
    @stephenanthony5923 16 днів тому +5

    This is a super important concept and conversation to understand. Kudos to Eric and Jack for going over this amazing data visualization. An episode like this should get a million views!

  • @ecopsych101
    @ecopsych101 16 днів тому +8

    “Management consulting” = swapping W2 employees for 1099 humanoids

  • @MrTigerStarX
    @MrTigerStarX 16 днів тому +15

    Underscores how ridiculous healthcare inflation has become.

  • @defendfreedom1390
    @defendfreedom1390 15 днів тому +3

    Consultants are former full time employees. Corporations don’t want to keep them full time so they were forced to become consultants one can dispose of easily.

  • @mattanderson6672
    @mattanderson6672 7 днів тому

    Thanks guys

  • @Olovoll
    @Olovoll 16 днів тому +7

    AI is going to drill straight into the Healthcare space. Not nursing but basically all of diagnostics and radiology.

    • @Nolsie
      @Nolsie 16 днів тому +2

      It would but I’d bet a house that doctors and nurses will lobby to ban AI diagnostic tools and prescription generation. It would cut their staffing by 50% at least.

    • @ICDeadPeeps
      @ICDeadPeeps 16 днів тому +1

      AI has the potential to eliminate a lot of the bureaucratic administrative positions and seriously reduce healthcare overhead costs. The question is whether labor unions would allow it.
      Personally, I don't think front line workers (doctors and nurses) will be at risk of losing their jobs, at least not yet.

    • @MrTigerStarX
      @MrTigerStarX 16 днів тому +2

      Yet nothing will make the prices go down except for some kind of legislation.

    • @Olovoll
      @Olovoll 16 днів тому

      @@MrTigerStarX Sadly you are correct, it’s a crazy system that only benefits the wealthy.

    • @bobsondugnutt7526
      @bobsondugnutt7526 16 днів тому +1

      we need affordable primary care. if this pushes more physicians to the front lines, thats a good thing

  • @Fast5322
    @Fast5322 16 днів тому +105

    Watching the crypto market's ups and downs shows how quickly things can change. In crypto, strategic, informed trading isn't a choice; it's a must. Remember, caution is as crucial as ambition here. This dedication to continuous learning is inspiring...managed to grow a nest egg of around 1.2Biitcoin to a decent 11.4Biitcoin... I'm especially grateful to Linda Wilburn, whose deep expertise and traditional trading acumen have been invaluable in this challenging, ever-evolving financial landscape…..

    • @Fast5322
      @Fast5322 16 днів тому

      Linda Wilburn program is widely available online.

  • @ChrisWill
    @ChrisWill 16 днів тому +1

    Cool charts!!

  • @stnickleless
    @stnickleless 16 днів тому

    Love you guys! Thanks for your hard cool work jack. Keep it up, and keep reaching for the truth.

  • @geoffgjof
    @geoffgjof 16 днів тому +5

    Wrong, Jack. The economic definition of inflation is the increase of the money supply. The government definition is the rate of change of prices in the aggregate economy.

  • @allenazar8609
    @allenazar8609 16 днів тому +1

    Kinda curious how he walked the NAICS code structure.
    If you step thru the codes left(,2) | left('3) | etc.... do you get the same inheritance for this tree?

  • @rasmusdahl1859
    @rasmusdahl1859 16 днів тому +1

    Dang.. super interesting

  • @JacobWilliamson-ho3vz
    @JacobWilliamson-ho3vz 15 днів тому +3

    Hi, I want to invest in digital marketing but I'm struggling to understand why inflation is so high right now. Can you help me out?

    • @ConorBradley-qz2hp
      @ConorBradley-qz2hp 15 днів тому

      Of course! Inflation is high not only due to AI but a combination of factors, including supply chain disruptions, increased demand, and monetary policy decisions.

    • @ChristopherThomas-bp2ye
      @ChristopherThomas-bp2ye 15 днів тому

      @@ConorBradley-qz2hp That's a lot to take in. Can you explain it in simpler terms? 😅

    • @ConorBradley-qz2hp
      @ConorBradley-qz2hp 15 днів тому

      Think of it like a seesaw. When demand for goods and services increases, but supply can't keep up, businesses raise prices.
      Add in some extra money flowing into the economy from central banks, and you get inflation.

  • @dillonhatfield7724
    @dillonhatfield7724 15 днів тому +2

    If “healthcare is a business first,” like everything else in the US, explains the pricing, why does healthcare seem to have a monopoly on increasing such crazy price structures and arbitrage?
    The US government subsidized tertiary education and it has done nothing but cause prices to explode.
    I just don’t understand what is so different about healthcare as a business when compared to literally every thing else.

    • @user-jt5ov8ps3o
      @user-jt5ov8ps3o 12 днів тому

      The US is paying for the healthcare in those countries. The reason a prescription in Australia might only cost $3 is because the government has placed a cap on that medicine. If the medication costs $5 to produce, they have to make up the profit somewhere so they jack up the prices in the US to something like $7 (or more, depending on how many people in how many countries are using that medicine, and what their individual price caps are). He recognizes there is disparity in drug costs but his socialist ideology doesn't allow him to acknowledge why that is - he just chalks it up to corporate greed. The US subsidizes the world's healthcare, and the more goods and services they require, the higher our prices go.

  • @AI-art-makers
    @AI-art-makers 15 днів тому

    Within 5 minutes i know if to close or keep watching

  • @DrYield
    @DrYield 16 днів тому

    when did the interview recorded?

  • @Notrocketscience101
    @Notrocketscience101 13 днів тому

    How smart can a person be when they aren't self-aware enough to know how to correct audio?

  • @oremember
    @oremember 16 днів тому +2

    Great guest!!!

  • @chemicalhalf
    @chemicalhalf 16 днів тому +1

    Sewing and needlework? Joann Fabrics. The downfall of America, cause that store is like walking into heaven. My chihuahua's custom sleeping bag will forever be a reminder of the Joann Era.

  • @YesItIs8452
    @YesItIs8452 15 днів тому

    Can someone please say what’s the shocking data?

  • @AI-art-makers
    @AI-art-makers 15 днів тому

    Didn't birkshiar Hathaway crash due too a glitch

  • @Murphy1177
    @Murphy1177 16 днів тому +1

    Not your average info, thank you!

  • @olfart7902
    @olfart7902 16 днів тому

    auto insurance is 9 percent of my expenses.....up over 50% is last 3 years

  • @floridaman3823
    @floridaman3823 14 днів тому

    Bro doesn't understand that the CPI is like asking what temperature it is in the US.

  • @geoffgjof
    @geoffgjof 16 днів тому

    Also, the government is trying to run an arbitrage play on the rate of price increases, so it's in their interest to understate price increases in the economy.

  • @oneeleven9832
    @oneeleven9832 15 днів тому

    Unless i was in pain there is zero chance i would ever visit a doctor or hospital, have any drugs or jabs..exercise & don’t be fat & lazy..eat well & when you’re number is up it’s up…health care is a scam full stop.

  • @themac3116
    @themac3116 16 днів тому +2

    Early Birdy

  • @yyss486
    @yyss486 16 днів тому

    just look at the stock price of UNH, it will blow up your mind!

  • @MeJonTheDon
    @MeJonTheDon 7 днів тому

    Summary: go long healthcare, short U.S. citizen purchasing power.
    Sounds like a good business to run in the U.S. while living abroad, for those heading up the industry

  • @HectorYague
    @HectorYague 16 днів тому +1

    Sorry, but I kept losing the guest's point. Too many words and rambling around the topic, so it is difficult to grasp the actual answer to Jack's question.

    • @davidklausen1316
      @davidklausen1316 15 днів тому +1

      The guy is on because he created what is probably the most powerful visualization tool yet to intuitively investigate and analyze a massive near-impenetrable dataset, not because he has a singular point to make or macro thesis. This is what it sounds like when actual thinking is going on in real time and has not been pre-chewed and digested for you so that you don't have to do any work yourself to follow the conversation.

    • @HectorYague
      @HectorYague 15 днів тому

      @@davidklausen1316 oh, instead, a bit more of focus and articulation towards the actual question. How about that?

    • @davidklausen1316
      @davidklausen1316 15 днів тому

      ​@@HectorYague Which question exactly?

  • @stnickleless
    @stnickleless 16 днів тому +1

    The guest is in jail!? Wow!

  • @jayshabat
    @jayshabat 16 днів тому +2

    fantastic dicussion... macro economists don't pay nearly enough attention to health care, probably because it's so complicated to understand.

  • @markburnham7512
    @markburnham7512 16 днів тому +1

    As long as a lead software developer and a Dasher are counted the same, the jobs data will continue to look great.

  • @user-jt5ov8ps3o
    @user-jt5ov8ps3o 12 днів тому

    I love how this guy thinks that healthcare is a "human right" yet it's the business-first Americans who are picking up the costs for nations with socialized healthcare systems. Denmark (and the rest) have caps on what companies can charge for healthcare services, so to prevent shortages that come from price fixing, Americans are forced to pay the difference to bridge the gap. Healthcare costs for Americans are so high because we're paying for everyone else.

  • @jasongrig
    @jasongrig 15 днів тому +1

    He talks too much without any good takeaways. The tool is nice

  • @merrywalsh2809
    @merrywalsh2809 16 днів тому +4

    Speaking from my own observations as an RN for forty years, the two biggest macros that have healthcare untethered from the economy is that we have no caps on treatments. The sky is the limit. We will keep anyone alive for as long as the patients and families desire, no matter the outcomes. We will spend millions on one hopeless situation after the other, go to any lengths, no matter the costs. I have hundreds of examples. The second macro is drugs and medical equipment costs. There are no market restraints there either. Obama and Biden understand this and have fought hard against these rich, powerful interest groups and their GOP backers, to gain but a toehold on the problem. The ACA and Medicare getting to negotiate prices for a handful of key drugs is a wedge they have tried to drive forward. With ACA, yes it is still expensive, because the GOP killed the mandate. Insurance does not work unless everyone gets in the pool. My two cents. P.S. love this construct/tool you are presenting 💖 Looking forward to the time when AI is really unleashed on these tools. Until then, we have intelligent folks like Eric.

    • @muddyriverdogz
      @muddyriverdogz 16 днів тому

      Our tax's have paid for most of it then we get to pay again. Why did Obama remove the single payer from his healthcare bill ?

    • @johnwhite9820
      @johnwhite9820 16 днів тому

      Very thoughtful comment.

    • @HaoPham-px3yo
      @HaoPham-px3yo 16 днів тому

      Obama care is supposed to reduce health care costs for everyone. However, it only reduces cost for the low income but increases the cost of the middle class. The worst program is the medicaid program, which decimated Medicare funds.

    • @merrywalsh2809
      @merrywalsh2809 15 днів тому

      @@muddyriverdogz Because his bill would fail to pass. The health insurance lobby had the votes, largely on the GOP side, to stop it.

  • @zuluwarrior2888
    @zuluwarrior2888 15 днів тому

    Yall don't want to talk about why Healthcare keep going up cause everybody runed there health with the vaccine?!

  • @BrianFrenchinternet-marketing
    @BrianFrenchinternet-marketing 16 днів тому +1

    Poor mic on guest. Hard to hear... shallow voice. He's a rambling man.