Prepare Now: NEW Massive Housing Market STIMULUS will result in ultimate Rugpull of U.S. Homeowners
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- Опубліковано 22 тра 2024
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Main Idea: The ultimate rugpull for the housing markets is now in motion. The Fed's progress on inflation is about to be reversed.
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fear a housing crash due to people buying homes above asking prices with little equity. If prices drop, affordability and potential foreclosures may arise, worsened by future layoffs and rising living costs. I want to invest more than $300k, but I'm not sure on how to mitigate risk.
Consider reallocating from real estate to other reliable investments like stock, crypto or precious metals . Severe recessions offer market buying opportunities with caution, as volatility can yield short-term trading prospects. Not financial advice, but it may be wise to invest, as cash isn't ideal in this period.
Due to my demanding job, I lack the time to thoroughly assess my investments and analyze individual stocks. Consequently, for the past seven years, I have enlisted the services of a fiduciary who actively manages my portfolio to adapt to the current market conditions. This strategy has allowed me to navigate the financial landscape successfully, making informed decisions on when to buy and sell. Perhaps you should consider a similar approach.
nice! once you hit a big milestone, the next comes easier.. who is your advisor please, if you don't mind me asking?
Well, there are a few out there who know what they are doing. I tried a few in the past years, but I’ve been with Melissa Terri Swayne for the last five years or so, and her returns have been pretty much amazing.
I just looked her up on the internet and found her webpage with her credentials. I wrote her a outlining my financial objectives and planned a call with her.
Because so many people overpaid for homes even while loan rates were low, I believe there will be a housing catastrophe because these people are in debt. If housing costs continue to drop and, for whatever reason, they can no longer afford the property and it goes into foreclosure, they have no equity since, even if they try to sell, they will not make any money. I believe that many individuals will experience this, especially given the impending mass layoffs and rapidly rising living expenses.
Considering the present situation, diversifying by shifting investments from real estate to financial markets or gold is recommended, despite potential future home price drops. Given prevailing mortgage rates and economic uncertainty, this move is prudent, particularly due to stricter mortgage regulations. Seeking advice from a knowledgeable independent financial advisor is advisable for those seeking guidance.
You're correct! With the help of an investment coach, I was able to diversify my 450K portfolio across markets and produce slightly more than $830K in net profit from high dividend yield equities, ETFs, and bonds.
This is definitely considerable! think you could suggest any professional/advisors i can get on the phone with? I'm in dire need of proper portfolio allocation.
There are a handful of experts in the field. I've experimented with a few over the past years, but I've stuck with ‘’Marisa Michelle Litwinsky for about five years now, and her performance has been consistently impressive. She’s quite known in her field, look-her up.
Thanks a lot for this suggestion. I needed this myself, I looked her up, and I have sent her an email. I hope she gets back to me soon.
Keep in mind that during the 80’s people were encouraged to save due to the interest rates. Right now there’s very little incentive to save because those who are saving are watching those who are reckless taking it in. I’ve been trying to save for a home and it’s been discouraging to watch prices continue to not budge because there’s people willing to get into a mortgage where they’re paying 40% of their income. It’s insane.
The housing market in 2024 poses difficulties due to uncertainties about the Federal Reserve's ability to curb inflation and reduce borrowing costs without adversely affecting demand for assets like homes and automobiles.
Consider shifting from real estate to stocks during severe recessions. While market volatility presents short-term trading opportunities, it's crucial to approach with caution. This isn't financial advice, but investing during such times may be a strategic move, consider adopting the services of a financial expert.
In fact, I had no prior experience or understanding when I began investing in 2020, but by the end of 2023, I had made a profit of almost $850k. All I had been doing was going by what my financial advisor had told me. This demonstrates that all you truly need is a professional to assist you; you don't even need to be a great investor or put in a lot of work.
My partner’s been considering going the same route, could you share more info please on the advisor that guides you?
Her name is “Vivian Carol Gioia” can't divulge much. Most likely, the internet should have her basic info, you can research if you like
I low key miss the post Pandemic Mortgage rates, those were good times ! The market correction has been massive and with the impending recession it seems like things are only going to get worse.
You can say that again! I have pity for people who spend above 50% of their take home on rent, to think that things aren’t really looking up for the economy and inflation is driving the average cost of living to insane highs, a lot of people might not be able to get through the coming phase.
Well that’s why financial literacy is really paramount, as much as the market can be quite unpredictable and a lot of variables have to be considered while making decisions, one still has to be aware of the basic principles that govern these things in order to avoid obvious pitfalls.
I personally tell people to try hiring an expert financial advisor. It’s how some of these investors on UA-cam get their info on the investments they make…. It’s also how I handle my investments in these our current economy
That’s what I have been doing. A year ago I hired an advisor and at the time I have had 58k saved up. He got me into investing in stocks. I eventually got lucky with a boost the got me up to 207k
that’s nice…. Lucky you. Who’s your advisor? I would love to get acquainted with him
Blackrock is the biggest real estate properties owner. This is all done by design, so that they can swoop in and buy all those properties up and rent it out to people at a higher price.
“You will own nothing and be happy.” WEF
And yet rents are like 30-40% cheaper than mortgage payments today for similar homes.
Are all the homes they hoard away from families fireproof?
People across the country should check
That's exactly what I was thinking 🤔
It’s not Black Rock they only own less than 2 or 3%. It’s Blackstone they aren’t affiliated.
It is difficult to make exact projections for the housing market as it is still unclear how quickly or to what degree the Federal Reserve will reduce inflation and borrowing costs without having a substantial negative impact on demand from consumers for anything from houses to cars.
If anything, it'll get worse. Very soon, affordable housing will no longer be affordable. So anything anyone want to do, I will advise they do it now because the prices today will look like dips tomorrow. Until the Fed clamps down even further, I think we're going to see hysteria due to rampant inflation. You can't halfway rip the band-aid off.
Home prices will come down eventually, but for now; get your money (as much as you can) out of the housing market and get into the financial markets or gold. The new mortgage rates are crazy, add to that the recession and the fact that mortgage guidelines are getting more difficult. Home prices will need to fall by a minimum of 40% (more like 50%) before the market normalizes.If you are in cross roads or need sincere advise on the best moves to take now its best you seek an independent advisor who knows about the financial markets.
I will be happy getting assistance and glad to get the help of one, but just how can one spot a reputable one?
My CFA ’’ Vivian Carol Gioia, a renowned figure in her line of work. I recommend researching her credentials further. She has many years of experience and is a valuable resource for anyone looking to navigate the financial market..!
I find this informative, curiously explored Vivian on the web, spotted her consulting page, and was able to schedule a call session with her, she shows quite a great deal of expertise from her resume.. very much appreciated
Housing as an asset is WRONG THINK.
Shelter is a necessity, so it shouldn't be so over valued.
Thank those house flippers and Corporate America for making flipping housed more lucrative than working a wage.
Something very broken.
the industry that owns the vast majority of empty houses are the banks...and they're not putting them on the market either. It isn't the flippers and such, although they annoy me as well. They simply aren't pervasive enough to make what is happening occur. I like housing crashes personally. My taxes/insurance go down when they occur. I don't care about equity, because this is where i'll live out my life.
The home I live in needed work, we rented a travel trailer for 8 months got home renovated, house had been empty 7 years, great aunt told me to give her 25,000, we did, hubby and uncles and brother did most the work in renovation. Never had a mortgage and I won’t get one , we got 3/2, small yard, don’t care. This housing crisis is ridiculous and scary.
You were very lucky to have that opportunity and all those people to help.
Anything you have to pay yearly taxes on. You don't own.
Yup. Crazy
Rent and pay someone else’s taxes
Oh, you pay taxes! You think the landlord aborbs that cost? He just puts it in your rent!
What about taxes you have to pay for your own business? Sounds good tho
Bingo. You are essentially leasing your property from the govt
My dividend journey began when I realized that two particular expenses in my budget were always going to go up and never go down. The two expenses were taxes and insurance. I realized that the dramatic rise in both will need some added income. So, I started buying shares paying dividends. I can now see that this will be the path I need to take to make sure those two expenses will not overtake my future income.
As a beginner, educate yourself, Learn the basics of investing and the stock market. There are many resources available online, including books, articles, and online courses. It’s a good idea to diversify your portfolio across different stocks and sectors to minimize risk. I’ve heard of people accruing over $550k during recessions and inflation, its important to do your own research.
A lot of folks downplay the role of advlsors until being burnt by their own emotions. I remember couple summers back, after my lengthy divorce, I needed a good boost to help my business stay afloat, hence I researched for licensed advisors and came across someone of utmost qualifications. She's helped grow my reserve notwithstanding inflation, from $275k to $850K.
This is definitely considerable! think you could suggest any professional/advisors i can get on the phone with? I'm in dire need of proper portfolio allocation.
Just research the name Angela Lynn Shilling. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.
Thank you for the pointer.
Never use a home equity line of credit or you will go down for the count
Good advice. It’s predatory.
You know I about fell on the floor(like laughing in disbelief) when I saw that the stimulus was about home equity, I was thinking they were going to stimmy the housing market with incentives for buyers(the few left).. I am like you got to be kidding, these white collar thugs are just pure evil. I totally agree with your forecast, these "financial gimmicks" are just beyond untenable to anyone who sees them.
I don't trust this greasey ass dude, yall are regarded for trusting this guy.
Spot on!! Could not agree more.
There’s a bunch of new programs to “help” ppl get into NEW homes they can’t afford so they’ll go belly up too. The 400$ mortgage assistance for 2 years program. If you can’t pay now, you probably really can’t afford two years from now when the assistance stops and a loaf of bread is 12$.
Of course they’re offering that,
As soon as they have enough people taking it, the property values will drop and they’ll take possession for private equity firms.
Don’t do it.
The whole talk about "reverse" market crash (real estate and stock market) basically argues that we are nowhere near done with inflation and that we might actually experience "hyperinflation" in the near future combined with accelerating poverty levels across the nation or going thru a historical economic depression...those are the extreme conditions that have produced the reverse market crashes in most examples I've seen. I personally don't see anything that extreme coming, but who knows.
And that would be a terrible situation that no one should root for.
It will happen if we stop QT and lower interest rates. we have printed more money than inflation so there is room for things to continue inflating. we need to reduce the money supply and the only way to do that is deflation.
With rates climbing like never before in ’23 coupled with uncontrollable inflation, and our own mortgage at now 7.5% what are the best alternatives/strategies for avoiding a crunch and maximize my $600k savings other than moving in to an RV with my two kids and husband.
Consider reallocating from real estate to stocks. Severe recessions offer market buying opportunities with caution, as volatility can yield short-term trading prospects. Not financial advice but it may be wise to invest, as cash isn't ideal in this period. I simply adopted the service of an advisor early 2020 amid covid-outbreak, and so far, I've attained my most measurable financial milestone of over $900k after subsequent investments.
This is quite huge ! much more info needed please, what did you invest in?
Straight talk from Larry....I have to agree that the second mortgage is a terrible product that will make so many more families lose their houses to a rising variable rate.
Thanks! Larry
But I would argue that’s part of the plan!
What the fuck 😂, are they trying to get the money pumped into the stock market so that they can cash out ?😂
Actually . . . .don't be surprised if that is the agenda.
More like pimp my bond market. They are hoping to get 9%-15% securities and wipe out whole traunches of 1.5%-4% long term mortages at the same time clearing the books of those "toxic liabilities" that will immediately Bankrupt them if forced to "mark to market"
Cashing out of the stock market is dumb. It always makes its way back into it anyway.
@@antoniorenteria2896 yea keep holding on to yours bro 🫢
@@antoniorenteria2896 How about Bud Light?
It means...YOU WILL OWN NOTHING AND BE HAPPY...leave that trash in the garbage.
yeah this is the move. get people to take out the equity of their homes, then tank the housing market forcing everyone to sell off so blackrock can snatch up the remaining properties.
how you gonna be happy, unless it's w fentanyl? or fentanyl laced xanax?
The purpose of this program is to protect the corporate REITs. If the housing market crashes, it will negatively affect the investment housing market. By creating a program to keep people in their homes during a downturn, they will artificially keep inventory in the housing market lower than it would be, keeping values higher.
Programs already exist to keep people in their homes if they struggle with mortgage payments. What does that have to do with corporate REITs?
@@ShameenYakubuMany REITS have commercial loans that funded their purchases. When they need to refinance their loan they will have to do it at a higher rate. If they don't have equity in their portfolio because of a downturn in housing marker value, banks will be less willing to refinance. This is why you see property managers offering 1-3 months free as a move-in special, but the monthly rate is sill high. This way they can show a high unit rental amount to show the value (the bank won't see the free months, just the leased monthly amount). During the pandemic the government required lenders to put missed payments onto the end of the loan so people wouldn't lose their home, and they did this under a public health issue. A market downturn wouldn't be the same. So Freddie Mac and Fannie May are setting up a system for them to loan the missed payments as a second mortgage to homeowners who can't pay (or for those with equity and want to take money out but don't want to refinance their lower rate loan because of the high rates). That would serve to purposes 1) provide more spending money to consumers, and 2) keep people from having to sell because of economic conditions. If too many homes come on the market it will send prices down. That puts the corporate REITS in danger because they leveraged the equity in their portfolios to buy buy buy. If the corporate REITS are forced to sell because prices are falling and they can't borrow money to refinance their debt load, it will add more homes to the market, and then cause prices to fall more. There wouldn't be forced selling or foreclosures if people had real options to stay in their homes if they can't pay. BTW the government doesn't do anything to help the middle or lower class people. They only do things to help the wealthy people and corporations who fund their elections. So this move by the government isn't to save the people. It's to save the corporations. They will just say it's for the people because they want votes.
Boo hoo, I'll be so upset the investment house hoarders will get taken to the cleaners while most people can't even afford 1 home.....🤡💩
@@ShameenYakubu I replied to your comment but it disappeared. maybe i gave too many details.
@@davesmithmusicwhat was it tho
Just another reason to only buy what you can afford, not what you can fit into your monthly cash flow budget.
Scratching my head on the economics of real estate. Work as a vendor to large real estate landlords and property managers. Live in one of the hottest real estate markets in the U.S. For the last couple of years one investment firm that I know has a lot of multiple properties that are super high vacancys and unkept, as well. I am just wondering how in the heck are they doing it, how are they able to carry these properties with high vacancys all this time?. When you read this investment firms website it is nothing, but glowing and how their investment strategy is unique. Something does not add up.
I saw a video about price fixing in AZ. DA is going after them. The premise is charge max rental prices. It will weed out some and make many homeless. The plan is to make same income with fewer occupants. GREED!
There are no economics or logic to it, it’s all driven by cheap and easy credit
They probably make $ from another niche related to real estate, such as ensuring a low housing supply and benefitting from that.
What I don’t get is how no one leaned from 2008 it’s wild we’re getting ready to repeat that again and it may even be worse.
I cant believe how horrible the USngovnt is at managing money, stealing from working people and robbing peter and paul, to never paynit back.im sick of this. Imworkmless now bc of how bad money is managed.
The government is in a business relationship with the Federal Reserve. The Government acts like it’s being fiscally irresponsible. As long as they can cast this image to the general public. The Government can and will continue to be spend the currency they can conjure out of thin air from the product manufacturer, aka, The federal reserve. The Government doesn’t manage what doesn’t exist at their level of disposal. What doesn’t exist? Value doesn’t exist at the point of fiat creation. It’s only when we the people are ‘compelled’ to use the dollar does value get created and Taxes are generated.
You say that like it's not intentional.
Why? That's the real purpose of government. To live lavishly at the people's expense.
Thank you very much for your honesty and kindness 😊
Kick the can down the road economics. We are in stagflation.
So you bought your 500K home ten years ago on a 25 year mortgage, but your interest payments have only lowered the remaining balance by 25K. So you have 475K of debt to pay off, but you have 25K in "Collateral" or what everyone else wants to call "Equity" although you have no equity. With a "secondary mortgage" you can amortize your "equity" out 25 years too, and put yourself another 250K in debt. What a GREAT idea!!!!
$100 says people still go for it!
Never, never, never take out a second mortgage for anything but options on foreign exchange interest rate swaps. And it's gone...
@@eyeinseefolks always fall for these tricks; that's how evil corporations thrive, become wealthy.
Why should a person in that example take a $25k collateral and get another $250k mortgage?
In most markets that 500k house is now 1MM,with a refi mortage rate in 2%-3% range with low fixed monthly and 25+ yr payoff. Pretty good position unless taxes and upkeep force you out. Smart move is to put it in land trust(can't trigger loan being called) and sell off equity with subject to land contract(10%-12% interest payment doubles+ mortage) ,prepay mortage and downsize on free money praying new owner defaults and you can do it again. Great strategy for rentals if terms are good.
Let's be honest this debt based economic system is no longer working.
Time to be realistic and consider a via alternative, one that isn't predicated on obscene debt. 😳
The debt economy is predicated on everyone being consumers. If you think about it, that’s what our society is. Consume things with credit/debt. Stop consuming will result in stopping of debt, which will result in the house of cards collapsing. The last the the powers that be want
Just say no to debt!
Bitcoin fixes this
Larry Cheung, CFA, I really enjoyed watching this, so I hit the like button!
Very good video. Thanks Larry!
Very bad stigma around being an owner of a “second mortgage” I doubt anyone will take advantage of it.
I know people who took a second mortgages last year, to be able to pay the first.
Apparently tons of Americans have maxed out their spending and even have spent a lot of their credit cards up to live their same previous lifestyle even though inflation is out of hand. Some are just not even making ends meet with the inflation. I see people driving ridiculous new trucks that I know don't have the income for it all over my small city. I think they are preying on these people who will take out a 2nd mortgage to continue living their desired standard of living despite inflation.
I was a mortgage banker for 15 years, tons of people will take out second mortgages
@@jercasgav In America you have the freedom to commit financial acts of stupidity.
Oh please. It is not required that those with a second mortgage have to advertise this fact to anyone.
Great analysis, Larry, and I am happy to be a new subscriber.
Maybe Biden will forgive all Home loans ! What could go wrong :)
Everything. Inflation would go insane since it would free up so much discretionary income, but I know you are joking at least I hope you are.
@@misterogers9423 , i gotta work on my sarcasm :)
@@misterogers9423but if they raise the minimum wage to 100,000,000 per hour then we will all be millionares
if he wanted to actually do his job he would push the price down of education, not justify its cost by paying the loan
@@hanselito2416If garbage government would exit student loans, education costs would go down
Wow great information! Thank you!
When most of the country cannot pay, it will eventually break.
Thanks Larry - great info.😊
My take away
“People are dumb and will do dumb things”
This is simply a lifeline by Freddie Mac to Independent Mortgage Banks (Rocket Mortgage, Loan Depot, etc..) who are all struggling to stay afloat right now. Very few of their customers are refinancing their 1st mortgages, and purchase loan demand is in the gutter.
Nice to see that someone understands the reason for this. Banks have helocs, the bankers have a few but at higher rates. Freddie looking to even the playing field.
Can you explain in more detail? Are you saying that independent mortgage banks are dying because no one is buying loans or are the loans they made coming back to bite them somehow? I'm just trying to understand how a mortgage bank is struggling so much so quickly after years of exploding housing prices. I mean, people can't refinance forever, right? How does your business model not factor in some slow down to loan origination rates? Were the loans they made so unsustainably cheap that they can't afford the administration costs of just holding what they have?
As always, a great analysis. Newcomers often wonder if it's too late to navigate the financial market, but the market is always unpredictable. Trading has more advantages than simply holding, so it's important to learn before diving in. Active trades are necessary to ride the market's waves. Thanks to Linda Wilburn’s insights, daily trade signals, and my dedication to learning, I've been increasing my daily earnings, managed to grow a nest egg of around 127k to a decent 732k. Kudos to the journey ahead!
She's often interacts on Telegrams, using the user-name.
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Trading with an expert is the best strategy for beginners and busy investor s who have little or no time to monitor their trades.
The key to financial stability is having the right investment suggestions for a diverse portfolio. Many investment failures and losses happen when you invest without proper guidance.
thank you for this video. I am not 100% informed on second mortgages, etc but your video opened my eyes.
Please drain that equity folks. I need you maxed out. I'm very patient and debt free. Let's practice discipline and stack interest earning cash.
Just found your channel. Common sense analysis! Im now subscribed!
I posted your vid on Facebook because i think you are on to something. Thank you for your video because for the life of me i couldn't understand why they would do this now. Thanks again, you got yourself a new subscriber and i hope through me even more.
Thank you !!
Great channel man. Keep it up!
Thank you for the info!
I stopped watching you for a bit and I have to say, holy cow! If this is the kind of content I can expect I’m here for it.
Invest in lead life ain’t going back to normal fools
When the government pumps more free money into the economy.What do you think that does for home prices?Exactly.They will double just like they did a few years ago.
Great video! Please keep us informed of the progress of this secondary housing mortgage from Freddie Mac.
Great vid, thanks
Sounds predatory
Thanks for sharing
Massive transfer of wealth mechanism is exactly what it is. Very interesting.. just subscribed great content
loved this eye-opener
Hi, new subscriber here. Thank you for this information. Would like to see some videos on your personal strategy to come out ahead in the circumstances you describe -as well as any advice you may have for retirees during these tumultuous times. Thank you.
Great content! Earned a sub here, thank you for the lookahead into the greedy undertakings of the politbureau of the US.
In California, many of my clients use 2nd mortgages to finance building rental ADUs. Great investment
It is still unclear for me: if the current mortgage borrowers will start taking the second mortgages, than they don't need to sell their houses to get some money. Shortage of the houses supply and hyperinflation will push the home prices up! Correct me if I am wrong.
yes, which solves 2 problems. Inflation makes the gov able to afford paying the debt, and liquidity goes into bonds so gov can keep spending
Love the quotes
Perhaps if you have more debt than equity in your home it is already a liability.
Thank you for the truth
Thank you!!! I’m a senior with $ issues, was thinking about a HELOC-not now!!! God help us all!
Wow - this is unbelievable!
a line of credit loan is usually simple interest. could be used to pay 10% of the first mortgage which would pay down the former in 10 years.
no. Fixed rate mortgages are already simple interest. Look at any repayment schedule.
good info
Would like to know how best to position oneself given the upcoming change. What if you are a home owners with no mortgage? What is if you are an investor looking to position oneself in a way to take advantage when this change comes?
I would say definitely don't convert your asset into a liability using the secondary mortgage, and wait for the Fed to cause dislocations in housing before touching the property sector
And now my insurance company is going to drop me unless i replace my roof. Happening to many, many people. I will be forced to take a home equity loan.
i pretty much agree with all you said. that's not good
No correction as long as institutions can keep inventory off the books.
The "progress" they've made?!! What a joke.
It's so awesome to see so many people who know what's going on. The more people wake up, the less likely they will be able to fully execute their agenda.
First time seeing your content and found it clear,concise and easy to understand,was a little slow paced as I am familiar with subject matter(understood 2008 as it happened and since). 9%-12% heloc what could go wrong in a depression(numbers since 2008 show economic decline when you take monetary stimulus out). What does social status matter and what are ladders? Is this a Asian Cultural thing?
Meanwhile housing costs will continue to climb 🧗♀️
The inflation this will cause will utterly crush the lower class (who are already renters and cannot use this 2nd mortgage), whilst ensuring the middle class will enter the lower class when they lose their home to the bank / IRS. In the short term, it seems like a good time to be in the stock market (particularly the banking sector). Just stay away from banks with lots of commercial property loans. Those banks are done for when interest rates inevitably rise.
I'm so confused why we're always supporting the secondary market. GSES such as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are government sponsored entities, not the government. It is time for people to write letters to the FHFA.
I just got a $50k home equity loan. Paid off all my debt with the exception of my house of course. My total monthly debt payments used to be $3600 per month. Now my only payment is my mortgage at $1300 per month. If you play your cards right, using home equity is a good thing.
You did good!
They are using the term secondary incorrect:
The secondary mortgage market is a marketplace where home loans and servicing rights are bought and sold between lenders and investors. A large percentage of newly originated mortgages are sold by the lenders who issue them into this secondary market, where they are packaged into mortgage-backed securities and sold to investors such as pension funds, insurance companies, and hedge funds.
Secondary should not be confused with second
Larry is our favourite small cap trader
Is it likely that these new secondary mortgages would be fixed rate or adjustable?
It’s good that you reported on this. Converting equity to cash through debt will create a strain to the economy as in short order folks will further struggle to pay the principal back with interest. As a correction here, Freddie was already a part of the “secondary” mortgage market, this is the marketplace where existing mortgages are bought and sold. Evidently Freddie was not trading HELOC loans and will begin doing so. That is partly because the transaction count is lower nationwide and the banks only earn when they create loans. To your video point, there may be larger forces directing an equity grab, consumers will need to be wary.
How is this any different than now? Homeowners have massive equity and can get home equity lines of credit and second mortgages now. How is this changing things?
It lowers the interest on the second mortgage, increasing borrowing, and allowing payments to continue on that first mortgage!
I made that mistake on my last house I told myself I would never take out a loan from my house again
People with cancelled summertime projects and vacations because of inflation, may take some cash out to fulfill those goals. This would help fuel goods inflation, which is already beginning to turn up, and travel services inflation which is beginning to turn down. Then there are retired folk with little left on their mortgages (and a lot of trapped equity) who may take some cash out to help support their depleting nondiscretionary budgets. All-in-all, we should see interest rates move up during this period which would become a headwind for stocks.
Hey Larry, I just watched your video and I must say that it was really informative and well-made.
I was wondering if I could help you edit your videos and repurpose your long videos into highly engaging shorts? I can also make high CTR thumbnails for your channel
As an analyst the globalization is about gains and profits, preventing 2008 bubble. Instead killing the homeownership wealth transfer. Folks that offer more to home than worth are hurting most.
It's only a transfer from homeowners to banks if you borrow the money and squander it. I will be doing this if they offer it and buying more Bitcoin with the money. Then one day after yield curve control has been running for a while, I will settle my first and second mortgage balances with a fraction of the Bitcoin I purchased with the loan.
Not a good idea to gamble with borrowed money. You'll end up just like the other people who get the 2nd mortgage.
i don`t need that house. That is the best part.
Home equity lines of credit has been around a long time. How are they going to expand it all of a sudden? It's not clear to me. Are Is Freddy Max going to offer secondary equity loans at such a low interest rate that home owners will want to jump in?
If this extra liquidity is going to be available, the banks still require a debt to equity ratio before handing out any money. Not as many people are going to qualify for this program as you think. Since the rise in inflation recently, people have higher expenses and higher debt service. Hard to believe this liquidity option will happen at any large scale.
what. thats the worst thing to do in this economy and any time.
Understanding how economics works is critical thinking
Do you think this will affect interest rates in the short term? Is it now less likely for fed rates to come down at all this year?
I think it could keep rates very elevated and introduce the concept of a potential hike if inflation reaccelerates from here...
Yes, if people believe they can get these, they might overspend, anticipating a 2nd mortgage thus driving up prices. As soon as they start to hit, it will drive consumers to spend and it will lead to higher inflation.
The only move that makes sense is if you take that 2nd mortgage money and spend it on another appreciating asset, like a 2nd home. That way you get an appreciating asset that could be turned into rental income and appreciate at an accelerated rate from inflation.
Imagine if you could loan hundreds of thousands of $ that didn’t exist and the person paying you back is doing so with actual money. That would be great.
The fact that there is already an excessive amount of demand awaiting its absorption, despite how everyone is frightened and calling the crash, is another reason why it is less likely to occur that way. 2008 saw no one, at least not the broad public, making this forecast, as I'll explain below. The ownership rate was noted to have peaked in 2004 in the other comment. Having previously peaked in the second quarter of 2020, we are currently at the median level. Between 2008 and 2012, it dropped by 3%, and by the second quarter of 2020, it had dropped from 68 to 65.
Real estate and stock investments may be good decisions, especially if you have a solid trading strategy that can see you through prosperous days.
You're not doing anything wrong; the problem is that you don't have the knowledge needed to succeed in a challenging market. Only highly qualified professionals who had to experience the 2008 financial crisis could hope to earn a high salary in these challenging conditions.
Recently, I've been considering the possibility of speaking with consultants. I need guidance because I'm an adult, but I'm not sure if their services would be all that helpful.
Well, there are a few out there who know what they are doing. I tried a few in the past years, but I’ve been with Lynne Maris Stella for the last five years or so, and her returns have been pretty much amazing.
I appreciate you sharing this. When I looked up the woman you named and read through her credentials, it was obvious that she was a complete professional. I just need her to respond to the message I wrote her.
As the owner of a mortgage company I would welcome a debate on this. The point of this is for people to pay off high interest debt at much lower rates and payments not to transfer wealth to banks. Happy to discuss and help educate you and your audience further as I do on my channel
Interesting. If this is the case, I wonder if it will further impact housing supply issues? I’ll go to your channel and watch.
Mortgage itself is a scam. Sorry but it’s true. Think for urself people. Do the math and run the numbers. Interest and inflation is just a way for the powers that be to make money of the real working class. It’s a glorified criminal mafia with govt backing
I heard most mortgage applications these days were 2nd mortgages anyway. Are people going to have to qualify for these loans or are they automatically approved?
They need to qualify.
Us consumers do not have a spending problem, the government does
So the solution: more debt.
Yep, the definition of insanity. 😳
Is 2nd mortgage also known as heloc loan? If so, the rate is 8%+, I think it is only worthy consideration when you are desperate.
I think it's time to make it more appealing for potential buyers. Real estate can be quite the rollercoaster! the stress and uncertainty are getting to me. I think I'll cut rents to attract potential buyers and exit the market, but i'm at crossroads if to allocate the entire $680k liquidity value to my stock portfolio?
"Overall, buyers hold a lot of the cards right now, and sellers are having to give out more concessions to close a deal." All the best, buying on sale is actually one of the best ways to invest in stocks, and advisors are ideally suited for such task
Until the Fed clamps down even further I think we're going to see hysteria due to rampant inflation. If you are in cross roads or need sincere advise on the best moves to take now with financial markets will be best you seek a fin-professional with fiduciary responsibilities who knows about mortgage-backed securities for proper guidance.
this sounds considerable! think you know any advisors i can get on the phone with? i'm in dire need of proper portfolio allocation
There are a handful of experts in the field. I've experimented with a few over the past years, but I've stuck with ‘’ Melissa Terri Swayne” for about five years now, and her performance has been consistently impressive. She’s quite known in her field, look-her up.
She appears to be well-educated and well-read. I ran a Google search on her name and came across her website; thank you for sharing.
So how might this affect home prices and interest rates in the near future? We are currently sharing a home with my mom and we have a lot of equity (only $80k left on the mortgage and a $40k equity loan to pay off). We would like to sell in the next year or so. Will our home hold it's value for a while or is it going to crash? How soon do we need to sell to get the best price?