Understanding the War in Ukraine (1) - General

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  • Опубліковано 22 тра 2024
  • STG Director Prof Alexander Stubb sheds light on the war in Ukraine in a series of four video lectures.
    Each lecture focuses on a different angle regarding the Russian invasion of Ukraine.
    The first video provides a general overview. The following episodes will focus on Finland, Europe, and the world.
    More on eui.eu/stg
    This episode was recorded on 24 March 2022.
    #Ukraine #Russia #Ukrainewar

КОМЕНТАРІ • 1,2 тис.

  • @alexanderstubb1001
    @alexanderstubb1001 2 роки тому +187

    Thanks for all the comments on the this and all the other episodes. Was able to read through over the weekend. Will try to continue to approve the series. Sorry for all the mistakes. I do not have a transcript, just a structure for the talk in my notebook. We do the lecture in one take, no revision or major editing…well, except for the first take in the first episode, which my team thought was funny and necessary to rub in =). Big thanks to Roeland, Andrei and Gulia for the production. Helps to have the most talented film maker in town. Next too episodes on Instruments of Power and a New World Order…or disorder as the case might be.

    • @vancouverbarista
      @vancouverbarista 2 роки тому +4

      please do more, this is highly informative for those trying to understand what is happening

    • @slow_runner
      @slow_runner 2 роки тому +1

      I think stating Finland and Sweden's NATO memberships as eventualities is a bit presumptious. It's certainly more likely than not that they join, but I think you being part of the pre-Ukraine 20% shines through here.

    • @bdhnnetwork6065
      @bdhnnetwork6065 2 роки тому

      "Only unconscious crazy ass humans, provoke, support or engage in war. Everybody remembers who we all are, puts thier guns down, stops pointing fingers, gives each other a hug, has a shot of vodka, and you have instant peace. War is over in an instant. Clearly not what the clinically insane desire."
      WAZiarno
      (c) 2022, I AM Studio Productions LLC
      ua-cam.com/video/Z9V3q_s26r8/v-deo.html

    • @chilldude30
      @chilldude30 2 роки тому +3

      Mr Stubb, I massively respect you.
      Love from Manchester UK

    • @bdhnnetwork6065
      @bdhnnetwork6065 2 роки тому

      "What if God is each One of Us?
      Is there Peace on Earth or war?"
      WAZiarno
      (c) 2022, I AM Studio Productions LLC
      ua-cam.com/video/aDdOnl0bHO4/v-deo.html

  • @liberty-matrix
    @liberty-matrix 2 роки тому +55

    "When we over rationalize the past, over dramatize the present, we end up underestimating the future." ~ Prof Alexander Stubb

    • @buddyoo4942
      @buddyoo4942 2 роки тому

      He is talking about himself - again who did he refer to as "we" - the west? The anglo? Putin's military action aim at removing the threat, neutralize the hostility inside Ukraine against Russia mainly due to the West ignoring Russia's legitimate security concern. Russia called the west "partner" the US designate Russia as adversary , enemy no. 1.

    • @oswinainsworth7318
      @oswinainsworth7318 Рік тому +1

      That's total nonsense; they come up with a theory that's suits them.

    • @Hoogliette
      @Hoogliette Рік тому +1

      Thank you for picking out the best moment. Respect for your precision.

    • @ruelmanseguiao7268
      @ruelmanseguiao7268 Рік тому

      In this info era,you can no longer deceive the mind that can think.nice narrative for shallow mind,thanks Asians are not

  • @oyebiyitope46
    @oyebiyitope46 Рік тому +7

    When you mentioned Finland I just know that you are making sense, even though this video is two months old, with what's going on between Russia and Finland, man you are on point

  • @lassel1344
    @lassel1344 Рік тому +6

    I can recommend Col. Douglas McGregor in the conflict between NATO and Russia in Ukraine. He has a vast knowledge not only of military but also of history.

    • @janosb23
      @janosb23 4 дні тому +1

      Absolutely, and Col. Douglas McGregor doesn't need to prove....just fact based explanation

  • @echoblash
    @echoblash 2 роки тому +11

    Thank you sir ( your the best ! I enjoy lessening your lecture )
    This educational and can change the world !

  • @fgranlun
    @fgranlun 2 роки тому +18

    Som finländare vill jag verkligen tacka för en bra och grundläggande föreläsning. Följer absolut den här serien!

    • @oddvardmyrnes9040
      @oddvardmyrnes9040 2 роки тому

      Hei. Hvis du vil sjekke innlegget til Ali Saghi, så har vi en interessant meningsutveksling gående med gode innlegg. Kanskje du vil sjekke dem, og gjerne bidra.

    • @oddvardmyrnes9040
      @oddvardmyrnes9040 2 роки тому

      @Andre Richter .. I denne tråden. Se etter Ali Saghi kommentar, så finner du dialogen i svarene. Referanser etc er i dem. De er skrevet på engelsk.

    • @louisecorchevolle9241
      @louisecorchevolle9241 2 роки тому

      jag tycker han är botten han omväxlar rryslan med soviet unionen i vinterkriget, ledaren av soviet unionen var inte ens rysk

    • @louisecorchevolle9241
      @louisecorchevolle9241 2 роки тому

      @@oddvardmyrnes9040 absolut botten inte konstruktivt

  • @krusherking1
    @krusherking1 2 роки тому +5

    Thank you so much for this. It is most interesting and I am learning a great deal from it. I'd love to see you do a re-analysis with the benefit of hindsight once the war is finished, whenever that may be.

    • @pausereflect5911
      @pausereflect5911 Рік тому

      I'd like him to create an update to this Series:-
      Russia is NOT isolated and it hasn't been killed economically. In fact is mobilising to extend further into Ukraine.
      We also know that this is definitely a PROXY war with ALL of NATO against Russia (except Turkey). Ukraine became the blunt instrument with which to bash Russia but Ukraine wasn't taken into EU or NATO. Why not?
      We also see that the rest of the world does NOT support NATO and believe West fomented this war.
      Russia has literally taken over vast swathes of land into its fold through the Referenda. So far only those lands that are "Russian speakers".
      That's a lot of change.

  • @IronBelH
    @IronBelH 2 роки тому +14

    Thank you for this lecture series. I love it.

  • @bipolarbear9917
    @bipolarbear9917 2 роки тому +10

    Thank you so much Prof. Alexander Stubb. Absolutely crystal clear analysis of the situation and perfectly articulated to the general public. It's no wonder you were a Prime Minister, Foreign Minister and Finance Minister of Finland. I only wish there were politicians of your caliber in the US, the UK, Australia and other countries around the World. You may have been born on April 1st, but you're no April Fool, that's for sure.

    • @infwhale9183
      @infwhale9183 2 роки тому +1

      LOLOLOL. He was actually born on April 1st. Damn was this all an April fools joke. I mean the content is complete BS. He skips the relevant facts in the right timeline and ignores context. This guy is useless. No wonder Finland have fallen for the NATO trap.

    • @LeSatan
      @LeSatan 2 роки тому +3

      @@infwhale9183 how to tell you're a Russian troll without telling you're a Russian troll:

    • @commonsense6489
      @commonsense6489 2 роки тому

      Guess by now your are beginning to see what puppets you are for the US. Russia is not isolated. The ruble is doing better than ever and the western imperialism is being rejected globally. Good to see it. The colonizer mentality is no longer envogue. All EU had to do was get Ukraine and NATO off its borders. This “special operation” was provoked and today (5/26) even Ukrainians see they were used as cannon fodder by the EU, US and Zelensky. Again, the world’s majority stands with Russia. Ukraine will have to negotiate or cease to exist. Hope your economies can accommodate the influx of Nazis and Ukrainians. Lastly, since the EU was stupid enough to allow the US separate it from Russia and China markets (for its OWN UNIPOLARITY) it appears that you, EU, needed Russia more than they needed you. You sit, left out a lot of the history of how Russia came to this decision which supports the biases of the west and their false sense of superiority.

    • @bipolarbear9917
      @bipolarbear9917 2 роки тому +1

      @@commonsense6489 Keep taking your meds. If you're a good patient and behave yourself, one day they might release you from the St.Petersburg Psychiatric Hospital.

    • @alexanderagayan7505
      @alexanderagayan7505 Рік тому

      Все так, да не совсем так. Мужик на видео вроде и не дурак, задаёт правильные вопросы. Но ответы на них даёт не правильные, и не хочет услышать мнение других по этим вопросам. С какого перепугу он сравнивает Сталина и Гитлера... Сравни Черчиля и Трумена.. Путин ещё в декабре 2021 года заявил вашему альянсу что ему надо, и предлагал переговоры..... Вы жидко оьосрвлись господин х-премьер министр.

  • @EnverNuhovic
    @EnverNuhovic 2 роки тому +12

    I would consider myself very lucky man if I lived in a country where Mr.Alexander Stubb was prime Minister. Thank you very much for this serie. Please keep going with it.

    • @azmodanpc
      @azmodanpc Рік тому

      @Sata Waronen From a position of relative ignorance of his governance, I'm kinda jealous because here in Italy, we managed to kick out Draghi in no time in order to elect a far worse candidate in Giorgia Meloni (Conte was even worse). Their grasp of English is abysmal and their policies even worse. Few of them are really articulate and are an unfortunate reflection of our political system. No wonder many young people here migrate to northern countries for work opportunities.

    • @aatotz
      @aatotz 6 місяців тому

      Stubb just became the most favourable president candidate with 55% of support

  • @axlslak
    @axlslak 2 роки тому +30

    OMG thank you. As a Romanian citizen, I know our politicians are not yet as mature and ready for the new world as this gentleman.
    I wish we had different politicians here in Romania. :(
    we're kinda spoiled now. We seen other models. damn. :(

    • @farzana6676
      @farzana6676 2 роки тому +7

      Romania is member of EU and NATO. That's already a good start.

    • @wreckthesecond3883
      @wreckthesecond3883 2 роки тому

      @@farzana6676 a good start towards more wars in the middle east?

    • @user-nk5es9iy8i
      @user-nk5es9iy8i 2 роки тому +2

      At least you're in both EU and NATO, so not much to worry about on the larger scale.

    • @disjointedbuilds8107
      @disjointedbuilds8107 2 роки тому +4

      As an American, same.
      I wish our politicians were as sober and analytical.

  • @CS-vm9fx
    @CS-vm9fx 2 роки тому +23

    Toppenanalys och pedagogisk paketerat!👏 ser fram emot nästa episod!

    • @louisecorchevolle9241
      @louisecorchevolle9241 2 роки тому +1

      det är de sämsta jag hört

    • @user-xt8ty6hr3p
      @user-xt8ty6hr3p Рік тому

      Пока у Западного мира есть такого уровня "эксперты" по России, моя Россия всегда будет выигрывать во всём. ☺️Профессор абсолютно не понимает ничего о России и россиянах. Что движит русскими?...1. мы никогда никого не спасаем (Татаро-монгольское иго, Наполеон, Гитлер были уничтожены и Европа и мир были спасены лишь потому, что нам нужно было уничтожить угрозу нашей стране...для этого надо было уничтожить источник угрозы... 2. мы всегда вступаем в бой, когда нам и нашей стране угрожает реальная опасность (Грузия 2008. Началось с нападения Грузии на российский миротворческий контингент приглашенный по решению ООН между Грузией и Абхазией и Южной Осетией. Тогда были убиты и сожжены наши солдаты и гражданские жители Абхазии и Южной Осетии, поэтому нап пришлось принудить Грузию к миру, путем признания независимости Абхазии и Южной Осетии и спасения народов этих государств от гноцида со стороны грузин. 3. Мы никогда не сражаемся за территории...мы всегда сражаемся за русских и прорусские народы, еслиих жизни грозит реальная опасность. В Украине в 2013 году, пришедшая путем антиконституционного переворота нацисткая банда, на деньги ЕС и США пришла к власти и начала геноцид этнических русских граждан Украины, который продолжался в течение 8 лет, потому что Украина не желала выполнять Минские соглашения, а ЕС ничего не предпринимало. В декабре 2021 года, Россия предупредила Украину, что если она не прикратит обстрелы тяжёлым вооружением гражданское население ДНР и ЛНР, то Россия начнет полномасштабную военную операцию по принуждению Украины к миру, так как дипломатические решения исчерпаны. Что и происходит теперь. А Финляндия пусть делает что хочет...но если она станет угрозой для россиян, то мы её уничтожим и больше не проявим милости...раз Финляндия готова нарушить вечный договор о мире между Россией и Финляндией и перестать быть нейтральной. Интересно, что бы сказал этот профессор, если бы русские профинансировали, вооружили, обучили шведов и Швеция начала убивать и сжигать заживо этнических финнов, граждан Швеции? Так понятнее, почему Россия в Украине? Потому что страны НАТО обучили нацистов Украины убивать этнических русских граждан Украины.

  • @kurt121567
    @kurt121567 2 роки тому +3

    Thank you for your giving your insights into Russia. I really enjoyed listening.

  • @hasanchoudhury5401
    @hasanchoudhury5401 2 роки тому +6

    All defenders need to have extreme preparedness.
    Security and self defense are serious matters.
    Thanks for your provocative thoughts.
    Urgency.
    Promptly connecting all defenders.
    No one needs to point fingers but don’t waste time going forward now.

  • @gooner72
    @gooner72 Рік тому +3

    Aha!!! You have your own channel, that is fantastic news!!! I've always enjoyed listening to you when you've been on other channels, being interviewed, so when I saw this...... it was like "Happy Days!!!!" Keep up the fantastic work Alex, top job mate,!!

  • @kalevivirtanen6344
    @kalevivirtanen6344 2 роки тому +10

    Stub is also WEF's young global leader

    • @dreeandbill
      @dreeandbill Рік тому +1

      Which is why his stance of anti-Russia. Putin wants this, Putin wants that. Putin want safe borders, and that is not possible with Ukraine joining NATO. And no mention of Ukraine's Nazi army killing Russian speaking Ukrainians for the past 8 years.

  • @cjmerobot1204
    @cjmerobot1204 2 роки тому +10

    I wonder if the future you’re hoping for is the same as Klaus Schwab and Victoria Nuland’s vision for the future.

    • @carmenthue-tun7512
      @carmenthue-tun7512 2 роки тому +1

      ... yes, I also wonder about the future, as Europe blindly follows the USA ... As I see, Europe knows that the USA uses NATO as a weapon all over the world ... But all the members are accomplices ... So I wonder : WHO are the real war criminals ? ...

    • @joeroganpodfantasy42
      @joeroganpodfantasy42 2 роки тому +2

      At this point I just want to own nothing and be happy this war is horrible

    • @louise_rose
      @louise_rose 2 дні тому

      Videon visar mera struntprat från FINNEMOBBEN (This video shows yet more hogwash talk from the FInnish sc*m /speaking to Stubbery in his own language)
      Yep, he's a typical Eurocrat, a prime example of the globalist manager politician
      /posting from Sweden, we have a thousand years of shared history with Finland - but not with this guy

  • @larryleker6366
    @larryleker6366 2 роки тому +7

    Stubb is one of the smartest coolest talking heads around today.

    • @to6941
      @to6941 2 роки тому +7

      He’s totally empty just do some more research why not listen to Clare Daly MEP

    • @olympiahendrix4392
      @olympiahendrix4392 2 роки тому +1

      IT IS STILL A DEMOCRACY SO YOU ARE ENTITLED TO YOUR OPINION.

    • @Echelon030
      @Echelon030 2 роки тому

      Because she's a far left lunatic

    • @louise_rose
      @louise_rose 3 місяці тому

      Nah, he's a Brussels asset (NATO and the EU). Most of his earlier political career took place in Brussels, he's written several books about the blessings of a European superstate, ever closer Euro-integration etc - he's a typical "Davos technocrat". And now the new President of Finland - all puffed up with illusions...

  • @alisaghi051
    @alisaghi051 2 роки тому +55

    Thanks for the very clear explaination of the conflict. I do agree with most of you've said. My only problem is with your 15:15 statement that in the short term, Russia will be isolated by the "world". I think it is better to say by "the US, the UK, the EU + Japan, South Korea and Australia". Why? Simply because we do'nt see heavy condemnation from China (~1.5B), India (~1.5B), Brazil, South America, Arab world, Africa...

    • @jt7725
      @jt7725 2 роки тому +12

      The world is divided into G7 vs. the rest, 1.6 billion vs. 6 billion.

    • @Sletty73
      @Sletty73 2 роки тому +4

      Technically, you are right. However, the important point is how much strategically important are the International relations between Russia and the countries you mentioned. What counts in this case is not the sheer number of citizens of the country Russia (or anyone else, for that matter) has good diplomatic relations with. What count are factor such as: the import/export balance, the geographic position, the possibility to establish and exploit a military alliance, the size of their army and so on. In this sense, you can say that being not isolated from south America and from Africa is not so relevant.
      Arabic Gulf nations, India and China are a different matter: they are key actors, altough quite divided and different in agendas and strategies.
      Point is, Russia was "doing well" for its interests: stable commercial relationship with EU, North stream 2 was on its way while TAP (south stream gas from Azerbaijan) was a small project and Gazprom lobbying was successful in limiting it. Russia had strong influence on the fastly-growing nationalist EU parties and was hampering the build-up of a common EU strategy. Meanwhile, US was gradually shifting its interests from Atlantic to Pacific (US issue for this century will be to contain China).
      It Is quite difficult to understand the Putin's move from a rational point of view. I can understand it only through the point of view of a paranoid.

    • @mushtaqbhat1895
      @mushtaqbhat1895 2 роки тому +8

      The average Russian Boris and Natasha, who have tasted freedom or just smelled it, want Iphone, Ikea table or bed, Nike or HM joggings, adidas shoes, French and Italien cosmetics or bags.
      I was surprised to see, how despite, what is happening to 4 million refugee, the so called brothers and sisters from Ukraine, the younger people seemed to regret the loss of American Burgers more. And I don't see them wanting to travel as first choice to China. No this isolation from this part of the world is more important than one may think.

    • @jt7725
      @jt7725 2 роки тому +6

      @@mushtaqbhat1895 Cocky assumption. Young students are mostly naive. You should look at what the mature people think and do.

    • @mushtaqbhat1895
      @mushtaqbhat1895 2 роки тому +3

      @@jt7725 I am quite aware of what the older generation thinks, not only from media but from my close Russian friends. No single factor is important, but together many determine the trajectory. It is not only about discontent that this factor implies, but also the potential for national brain drain, national income from richer western tourism. Russia was never on my priority list for travel, but now even less and probably much more....

  • @endourology
    @endourology 2 роки тому +2

    Illuminating analysis and lecture, thank you!

  • @alessandromaricatani4321
    @alessandromaricatani4321 2 роки тому +3

    His words are beams of light in this mounting darkness; I would endorse Mr.Stubb as the future President of the European Union

    • @tossaja
      @tossaja 2 роки тому

      I believe he will be the next president of Finland.

  • @CMVMic
    @CMVMic 2 роки тому +12

    They can't be isolated as long as they have allies

    • @farzana6676
      @farzana6676 2 роки тому +1

      Isolated from the modern free World.

    • @incrediblestevrhymz2260
      @incrediblestevrhymz2260 2 роки тому +2

      That isolation part will never happen.

    • @farzana6676
      @farzana6676 2 роки тому +4

      @@incrediblestevrhymz2260 They were already mostly isolated since 2014. Their economy has not grown since 2014.

    • @incrediblestevrhymz2260
      @incrediblestevrhymz2260 2 роки тому +1

      @@farzana6676 you seem to think you wishing that makes it a reality....their economy has done far better from 2014. Europe and America is not the world. Russia is never going to be isolated, forget it....You can't have the resources, economy and military might and influence that Russia has and be isolated.

    • @farzana6676
      @farzana6676 2 роки тому +4

      @@incrediblestevrhymz2260 Lol, Russia has no influence and neither military might(seeing how they couldn't even take Kyiv).
      Russian economy has stagnated over the last ten years. No growth. You might want to look at a chart.

  • @peterkratoska4524
    @peterkratoska4524 2 роки тому +41

    A good analysis.
    I would also add that the Chechen wars belong in this analysis. Although Russia fell apart in 91 they were not willing to let Chechnya go because of its oil resources. The 1st Chechen war is surprisingly similar. The Russians just went into Grozny in straight armored columns (with no infantry support)
    intending to take the presidential palace. They never made it. The Chechens organized in small groups of 50 attacked the lead and tail vehicles with antitank weapons and then proceeded to methodically destroy the rest. Out of 26 tanks only 6 made it and out of 120 MBPs only 20 survived. The Russians were completely wiped out. It was a total shock.
    The Russians then reacted by slowly surrounding Grozny and pounded it with artillery into rubble. The Chechens pulled back into the hills.
    Then the Russians had a city of rubble to occupy and slowly started going after other towns and the Chechen rebels. But this was a very slow slog.
    18 months later the Chechens came down from the hills and surrounded the Russians and basically destroyed them, they had to sue for peace and get out of there.
    It was obviously more than that, Dudayev organized a terror occupation of a hospital to get a ceasefire and there was also internal fighting among the Chechens.
    Then there was the rise of Putin in 99 and a series of Moscow apt bombings. A third building the police came in and found an unexploded hexogen bomb and caught 3 men who turned out to be FSB agents. The official explanation was that it was a "training exercise" . But it really looks like it was a false flag to blame the Chechens and start another war. (The Chechens never admitted responsibility for the apt bombings). They did some really nasty stuff though like the Moscow Theatre terror attack, the 3 planes with suicide bombers that came down, and the Beslan school attack. This and the fact that they considered it a muslim jihad did not get them much sympathy in the west.
    But also Chechnya was a small country of a million or so and no international borders with friendly states. They had no airforce either.
    The 2nd war lasted another 9 years and ended with the Kadyrov puppet regime passed on to son Kadyrov. There is opposition now but they are not large enough to
    do anything.
    A second point. Democratic contagion.
    As Anne Applebaum (and Fiona Hill) both state. Putin is really threatened with the colour revolutions and the Maidan 2014 revolution. He was in Berlin in the KGB buidling burning documents while crowds were demonstrating in 89. Those former communist countries in the bloc fell in reverse domino theory and mostly non-violent revolutions except Romania and then Yugoslavia.
    There were some demonstrations even in Russia after the 2012 elections, which Putin blamed on the US (as if they actually had that ability) and of course the recent Belorussian and Kazakhstan demonstrations, which were more or less put down with Russian troops coming in to prop them up.
    These are perceived as a real threat to Putin and why he has to try to stamp them out. But I agree it backfired spectacularly.
    And Prof. Stub is absolutely right. This is a global conflict and will affect the world order. Even Fiona Hill states we are in kind of ww3 right now.

    • @peterkratoska4524
      @peterkratoska4524 2 роки тому +1

      @Armando Tarziu The world will end at midnight. 12:30 in Newfoundland

    • @mahlholm
      @mahlholm 2 роки тому

      I was also thinking of why Chechnya was left out of this analysis. Thank you for this addendum to Stubbs analysis.

    • @GuinessOriginal
      @GuinessOriginal 2 роки тому +2

      Good post. Blair overlooked the Russian war crimes in Chechnya because he wanted to secure BP drilling rights there. And so of course nobody was told to care about them and they certainly didn’t get any help in terms of weapons etc from the west

    • @boysiedent6149
      @boysiedent6149 2 роки тому

      Absolute Total Mindless KRAP. You should have been VET.

    • @thesage4729
      @thesage4729 2 роки тому +4

      Well Chechens can't be too upset , they are chomping at the bit to clean out those Azov boys holed up in the Azovstahl steelworks .

  • @vasantipunchoo3699
    @vasantipunchoo3699 2 роки тому +3

    So pertinent and perfectly expressed

  • @damirsirotic052
    @damirsirotic052 2 роки тому +5

    UA was ranked 6th in Europe (only after UK, France, Italy, Germany and Spain, in that order) according to Global Firepower and 11th arms exporter in the World (thus strong military-industrial complex) according to Stockholm International Peace Research Institute. UA ground forces had cca3000 MBTs, cca2500 IFVs, another cca3500 armoured vehicles. Artillery included 500+ MLRSs, 1200+ selfpropelled artillery and 2200+ towed artillery. Air defence was organized in 4 air defence missile brigades and 7 (11 according to some sources) independent air defence missile regiments with 250 S-300PT/PS/V1 SAMs, 72 9K37 Buk SAMs, 100 9K330 Tor SAMs, 125 9K33 OSA-AKM SAMs, 150+ 9K35 Strela-10 SAMs, 70 2K22 Tunguska SPAAGMs, 300+ ZSU-23-4 Shilka SPAAGs and hundreds of S-2/S-3 Strela, Igla, Piorun and Stinger MANPADS. UA Air Force had 145-188 modern combat aircrafts including 37-70 Mig-29s and 32 Su-27s fighter jets, 12 Su-24s and 17 Su-25s attack jets and 47 L-39s light attack/trainer jets. What happened?.

  • @innocentiuslacrim2290
    @innocentiuslacrim2290 2 роки тому +4

    This was an excellent lecture. Thanks Alexander.

    • @FarEasternMagi
      @FarEasternMagi 2 роки тому

      Wishful thinking that started well but ended in dreamworld.

  • @biscaynediver
    @biscaynediver 2 роки тому +2

    Thank you very much for sharing this.

  • @veroniquedeprycker4092
    @veroniquedeprycker4092 2 роки тому +5

    Interesting viewpoints & info.
    I have however this critical note; around min 6: “Nobody believed that Russia would attack in the morning of …”
    REALLY?
    How many years has NATO been holding war exercises just a few miles from the Russian borders?
    8 years or so?
    How long would it take for the US to attack someone who is holding war exercises next to its borders?
    Putin has asked Biden at least twice for negotiations prior to the 24th of February.
    And Biden simply refused to even speak with Putin.
    Twice.
    This has ‘of course’ never been written in any Western press.
    We are being lied to in any possible way.
    So, it’s my humble opinion that anyone who is not in the midst of stuff ànd at the negotiation table itself doesn’t know what’s going on exactly.
    Though it’s indeed interesting to listen to this exposé and have some extra input from someone who seems to have been on a prior negotiation table.

  • @lisakistler9795
    @lisakistler9795 2 роки тому +4

    Excellent lecture with a fresh viewpoint from someone in the know.

    • @ontheland5055
      @ontheland5055 Рік тому

      Excellent if you like a bias opinion with a false choice of peace versus justice. Nobody is demanding justice. This is how he is trying to frame the debate. The truth is that Justice will happen if and when, there is peace. Peace will happen when the country who is perpetrating this genocide is stopped, not before. They won't stop themselves, because that is not what fascist regimes do. Are we not able to learn anything from history? Bargaining away Ukraine's land for peace, makes as much sense as the concessions made to Hitler did, in world war 2. 60 million people ended out dying in that war, that didn't need to die, if only the West had stood up to Hitler. What does Putin have to say or do to convince you he is a fascist intent on world domination. Boucha isn't enough? You say a campaign for world domination would be absurd. So do I. But, Putin doesn't see it this way. And that is the point.. The only way to avoid WW3 is to nip this problem at the bud, while they are weak. We will also win a great ally in Ukraine if we do the right thing and support this country..

  • @emberspirit6375
    @emberspirit6375 2 роки тому +7

    What this guy knows about FULL SCALE WAR? If it was full scale war Ukraine would be totally leveled just two weeks ago...

    • @mattijussila3007
      @mattijussila3007 2 роки тому

      Sending 80% of your troops and asking help from Syria and Chechnya, IS a full scale war.
      And Russia is failing miserably.
      Russia is now rapidly losing it's credibility as a military power and as an arms supplier. Political consequences will follow.

    • @jmj7543
      @jmj7543 2 роки тому

      Trust me he knows about it as does EVERY Finn about full scale war. That war was called Winter War. We fought againts Soviet Union who had THE BIGGEST army in the world and with population of 150 million againts Finlands 3.7 million. Winter war was supposed to last about 2 weeks and Finland was supposed to be a "gift" from the General of the soviet union army to Stalin for Stalin's birthday. 3.7 million with 40 tanks that are out dated hard by enemy tanks and no existing airforce. Saying that Ukraine would be leveled in just two weeks is absurd if you take out nuclear weapons out of the possibility because theres no way Russia would take over Ukraine in two weeks.

  • @MrClick4fun
    @MrClick4fun Рік тому

    Dear Mr Stubb,
    Thank you for posting these series. I am a Greek / French national who is working in the Middle East since 2009. Below a few comments on your statements, for your review;
    1. “..The west being too naive..” Well, if any of the 2 parties herein this war (Russia/ West) was naive, that was Russia; constant NATO expansion in contrary to what was agreed since the USSR fall, which mislead Russia with false promises, most lately the Minsk Agreements which was the reason that made Putin to abandon further hopes of diplomacy about the same.
    2. “..None of us believed that Russia would attack..” Please refer to comment #1.
    3. “..What is putting trying to achieve..” Its simple, he and many of his speakers have stated it: Ukraine cannot join NATO or EU, and Russo-friendly Ukrainians should be considered equal citizens to the rest Ukrainians. Logical.
    4. “..Stalin is seen by many Russians as a hero..” Your statement implies that he should not be considered as a hero, or am I wrong? Apologies if I missunderstood.
    5. “..You could say that it happened during the Nazis (for Russia to have saved Europe)..” interesting how low key you are admitting that if it wasn’t for Russia, most probably Nazi Germany would have won. Perhaps even shame on you for your recognising that Russia suffered the most in that war, millions have died in the name of Freedom for the world against Nazi.. No other nation fought Fascism as much as Russia..
    6. In regards to the “105 day war between Finland and - Russia: Arguably it is considered to have happened because Finland was greatly supporting Fascism, why don’t you mention that as well? Thus the Continuation War/ Finland and Nazi Germany again Soviet Union. Don’t try to re-write History please, what’s done is done.
    7. There are not only three scenarios as outcomes, theres a fourth one: Ukraine being independent, neutral country, which does not prosecute russo friendly Ukrainians. Simple.
    8. In your conclusion: i respectfully disagree because,
    A) he wanted a neutral ukraine and to this day (december 2022) ukraine is not member of european union,
    B) he never wanted a split europe, europe was his best client:) and
    C) that transatlantic partnership that forces europe paying quadriple prices for gas from USA, stands to be judged.. it makes europe look like a fool paying for energy from USA when there is cheaper energy next door from Russia, so why would he wanted it otherwise?
    9. Russia being isolated from the world.. yes, but please note an important detail: the world you are referring to is USA, Canada, UK, European Union, Japan, Australia. Thats 13% of the world population, and ~35 % of the world gdp. So.. “isolated by world” is far from accurate, dont you agree?

  • @R.skolnikov
    @R.skolnikov 2 роки тому +27

    I would like to hear the same insight from the NATO perspective. What legacy, history and vision does NATO have?

    • @SamirHusainy
      @SamirHusainy 2 роки тому +26

      From the Nato perspective, it's pretty straight forward. The US foreign policy is to prevent the creation of any regional power. Any regional power would have the ability to undermine the US dollar hegemony. The reason why China didn't do this before is because the RMB is not traded internationally but internally in China. For foreign transactions, the Chinese would use USD/EURO/pound sterling. As for undermining regional power, the best example is that of Libya. Gaddafi was suggesting the use of a pan-african gold back currency which is what prompted Hillary Clinton to unleash Nato on Libya. As for Nato, nato has deep connections with many fascist elements in the world. The US/Nato trained the Azov battalion. The US trained 'moderate' rebels in Syria which was a rebranding of Al-Qaeda. In Afghanistan, the US armed and trained the Muhajideen to fight the soviets. Basically, in a very round about way, the US trains many terrorists organizations across the world to wage their proxy wars to prevent the creation of regional powers.

    • @enricanorelli6528
      @enricanorelli6528 2 роки тому +2

      @@SamirHusainy D'accordo su tutto ma non fu Clinton, ma Obama, a volere l'intervento in Libia.

    • @MrGecros
      @MrGecros 2 роки тому +1

      @@enricanorelli6528 as far as I know it was France and Italy, though after a few days they ran out of ammunition so that US was asked to help out and Obama finally agreed.

    • @mattijussila3007
      @mattijussila3007 2 роки тому +11

      @@SamirHusainy that's how it is seen in many Middle East countries.
      However, NATO was built to protect western Europe against Soviet aggressions. After Stalin forced communism in Poland, Hungary, Eastern Germany, Czechoslovakia, Romania and Bulgaria, there was no other option than contain.
      Now, thanks to Russia, NATO has still a purpose.

    • @R.skolnikov
      @R.skolnikov 2 роки тому +3

      @Matti Jussila that doesn't make sense since russia is not a communist country anymore and adapted a capitalist economic system

  • @MothersTearUkraine2022
    @MothersTearUkraine2022 2 роки тому +24

    Thank you for your channel and your perspective of view. As a Ukrainian who watches/listens to lots of Russian media and is familiar with their narrative, I'd like only to clarify they don't want to defend Europe or Europeans. Russian propaganda made Russians feel they are living in a great country that always win (WW2, battle w Napoleon etc) and they proud of it very much.
    On another side propaganda created a feeling there's a constant threat to their country from the West. Mainly from USA and NATO. The image of West Europe created by propaganda is something like countries with fallen morale and principles which Russians should avoid at any cost.
    So, finally from one side, the Russians believe in the greatness of Russia (they percept it as something like a Russian Empire) but from another side, they believe all other West countries want to conquerer them (when the war started their propaganda even said few times that Ukraine would invade Russia if Russia didn't advance first). So most of Russians basically feel like a beleaguered castle and are happy that their country started the war

    • @relaxingsounds4821
      @relaxingsounds4821 2 роки тому +4

      You do know why the war started in the first place?

    • @MothersTearUkraine2022
      @MothersTearUkraine2022 2 роки тому +7

      I don't undertsnd why you wrote I have some strong belives. I check information from dozens of channels from all sides. Also I know many Russians myself (in Russia and in Ukraine) so I have information not only from the mass media

    • @MothersTearUkraine2022
      @MothersTearUkraine2022 2 роки тому +3

      Of course, propagada goes from the all sides. That's why it's neccessary to check all sources

    • @MothersTearUkraine2022
      @MothersTearUkraine2022 2 роки тому

      Also, russian propaganda and the west one are compeltely different. Russians write complete and total lie about everything calling the white color the black one.

    • @kofferfischii
      @kofferfischii 2 роки тому

      And in the case of Napoleon they are right. Clausewitz was with them. See War and Peace. You have to make the war bigger.

  • @iamyoda66
    @iamyoda66 Рік тому +13

    4 months later, this analysis has aged well 👍🏻

    • @ctrl-del630
      @ctrl-del630 Рік тому +1

      No it did not.

    • @maxmeier8784
      @maxmeier8784 Рік тому +1

      its still aged well 11 months later

    • @iamyoda66
      @iamyoda66 Рік тому

      @@maxmeier8784 so true! Brilliant analysis.

  • @AlfredYomTov
    @AlfredYomTov Рік тому

    You are the smartest guy, Alexander! Hypnotized by your lectures!💯👍

  • @tominnis8353
    @tominnis8353 2 роки тому

    Hindsight is a wonderful thing. Attempting to 'rationalise' what I personally view as the totally irrational, however, always rings alarm bells in my own head . . . . . .

  • @Enclassedephilo
    @Enclassedephilo 2 роки тому +3

    fabulous commentary on present events. This guy is to be known !

    • @ctrl-del630
      @ctrl-del630 Рік тому

      Yes. As the one of the most woke politicians ever. He is from Finland. Wake up man.

    • @ivs_all
      @ivs_all 6 місяців тому

      This guy is a fool

  • @jerrywilliams9811
    @jerrywilliams9811 2 роки тому +3

    Most informative 16 minutes on UA-cam.

  • @efanshel
    @efanshel Рік тому +1

    I can't imagine this quality of presentation from any American former president, let alone the courage to talk about these topics at all. We didn't hear a phrase I hate: Nobody could have foreseen this.....

  • @d353rt3ur
    @d353rt3ur 2 роки тому

    Top video series! MUST WATCH.

  • @theonlylauri
    @theonlylauri 2 роки тому +8

    Stubb was somewhat callow when he was PM, and I view EU mostly as a necessary evil while he's all for it, but I never took him for a fool. I'm not surprised to see clear-eyed analysis from him.

    • @bigstonezozulya1706
      @bigstonezozulya1706 2 роки тому +7

      He is not a fool at all, but he is a professional lier and propagandist.

    • @olympiahendrix4392
      @olympiahendrix4392 2 роки тому

      Interesting, thank you.
      what is callow?
      did you mean shallow?
      Maybe he is like Trudeau and Macron, Schwab acolytes... he is presently poluting my city with his presence in one of these think tanks. Look them up if you want to know where we are going, most of them are financed by Germany, look who is in the news in the US even and how many went to those institutes for of course the bettement of mankind....🤣🤣🤣🤣
      We need to take a closer look at those boys. The cycles of history...those who gorge on power eventually have to be taken ......to the toilet.

    • @theonlylauri
      @theonlylauri 2 роки тому

      @@olympiahendrix4392 Callow means immature and inexperienced. And yes, he's quite openly one of those people. Centre-right because of pro-corporate angle, not out of any conservatism. Unlike some I don't see them as the Great Satan, or think they're out there stealing my chemtrails, but they have many flaws they're blind to. It's best that they have to fear populism.

    • @olympiahendrix4392
      @olympiahendrix4392 2 роки тому

      @@theonlylauri Thank you for the new English word...lol
      "It's best that they have to fear populism." very funny...but are they smart enough to see the danger?

    • @smallpseudonym2844
      @smallpseudonym2844 2 роки тому +1

      @@bigstonezozulya1706 -- Those are some big accusations to be throwing around with no support. Maybe get out of the Russian bubble more.

  • @gregparrott
    @gregparrott 2 роки тому +19

    As a child in the '60's, some of my parents friends built large bomb shelters. My Dad did not, knowing a shelter in a city targeted with Soviet megaton level ICBMs would be futile. Fast forward to the fall of the Berlin wall, Gorbachev, and Yeltsin, and there was great relief. An existential threat had just vanished. Starting perhaps with the Chechen war, this was incrementally eroded. Putin's ascension to power was a bad omen, as were Russia's repeated land grabs. But it was not until January, when intelligence said Russia's installation of field hospitals in Belarus were clear indicators that Putin intended a full scale invasion, that the possibility of a global war returned. ~Thirty years, and we're back to where we started. A sad state of affairs, indeed.

  • @stephaniewaters1777
    @stephaniewaters1777 Рік тому

    someone tell me about the news snippets in the intro --
    "over the last thirty the forces of .. " etc

  • @bambi7154
    @bambi7154 2 роки тому +1

    「yes!」immediate subscribed!👏🏻

  • @friendlycanadian1756
    @friendlycanadian1756 2 роки тому +17

    extremely helpful insight for a westerner like myself

    • @FarEasternMagi
      @FarEasternMagi 2 роки тому

      Delusion for the expiring west that is stabbing its self and its brother in the chest.

  • @PeterSegers
    @PeterSegers 2 роки тому +88

    I wast just wandering. "Russia will be isolated from the world". But isn't the world in our mind simply, the EU, NATO, the US? It could be that "the world" is a bit bigger then that.

    • @wrrsean_alt
      @wrrsean_alt 2 роки тому +5

      The world means all countries minus Russia surely

    • @mamaanvarova4269
      @mamaanvarova4269 2 роки тому +9

      @@wrrsean_alt who give you the right to say that

    • @SuiSSe-Torture-Prisonniers-CH
      @SuiSSe-Torture-Prisonniers-CH 2 роки тому

      If you want to understand, who Putin really is, what he wants and to what ancient order he belongs to, then watch the 5 hour UA-cam video "Black Prince of P-russia & Pharaoh's Peoples Product - PPP" on UA-cam channel Giureh. Just as Adolf Hitler was, Putin is a SwiSS sleeper agent of the Octogon of the Nazi Templars and their Teutonic offspring to which Putin belongs. Germany lost the war, but the Nazis won the war, and their offspring of today is called Putin the Black Prussian Prince. And as Putin is a Swiss sleeper agent, also watch the video "Ukraine War: Made in Switzerland" also on channel Giureh; the SwiSS Nazi-Templars delegated the Russian Terror through their agent Mr Putin. This thing goes way deeper than we can imagine.

    • @jh5kl
      @jh5kl 2 роки тому +7

      russia has severe territorial disputes with almighty Japan, china, kazakhstan, etc

    • @view1st
      @view1st 2 роки тому +1

      To the US‐controlled western media the world is first and foremost the English speaking world of the USA, the United Kingdom, Australia, New Zealand and Canada; then its western Europe (the original founding members of NATO and the European Union, that is the core states of the west); then the other NATO/EU members of central and eastern Europe; and finely everybody else. Of course, the interests of the USA's own elites (those in charge of the so‐called military‐industrial complex, the deep state, corporations, etc.) take priority over both its own domestic population and foreigners.

  • @Obekant08
    @Obekant08 2 роки тому

    Great input and lecturing from Prof Alexander Stubb!

    • @joanna439
      @joanna439 2 роки тому +1

      Lecturing is true. That's where it ends. All you will learn is an opinion.

  • @jessicamorgan8659
    @jessicamorgan8659 2 роки тому +1

    Thank you sir you are the best !

  • @WhiteWallsRU
    @WhiteWallsRU 2 роки тому +24

    There is one episode missing, episode 0, in your lecture. Please add it, starting from the USSR collapse, promises to Russia about NATO, Minsk's agreements and the following coup in Ukraine, referendum in Crimea. It will allow people to perceive the whole information about Ukraine.

    • @svitli3037
      @svitli3037 Рік тому +1

      Bravo!That are the most important questions/facts.But do not expect that answers.

    • @oswinainsworth7318
      @oswinainsworth7318 Рік тому

      The lecture is biased ,what about NATO expansion at the risk of Russia 's response resulting Ina global catastrophy? can't u see the west has this same historical, vision as Putin as they are decendants of Rome.I see the plan.Russia is in the way of their empire state building& new world order _a world government of which the US is boss.So their strategy is to keep setting up Putin,to put him in an ideal situation, where he is seen as a terrorist & exclude him from the world. This is easy to do because many countries in the west are currupt & a poppet to the west,including Zelenskey.The point is, their is no future ahead, and if there is , it's going to be short lived.All of have committed attrosities in the past& present.The final point is that the World tends to forget: This is God's World by creation& redemption& He will take it back entirely when He comes again a second time.(Rev:20_22).

    • @kirosmatavastros
      @kirosmatavastros Рік тому +2

      Nickname checks out

    • @MoiLiberty
      @MoiLiberty Рік тому +1

      I think he omits such parts of the story to fit his perspective.

    • @raze997
      @raze997 Рік тому

      Calling it a coup is already a red flag. Позорище

  • @finnwheatley2194
    @finnwheatley2194 2 роки тому +1

    Great analysis, always liked AS

  • @dixi3150
    @dixi3150 Рік тому +2

    Yes, good idea to put things in perspective. Explain the promises to Russia, the Minsk agreement etc.

    • @proselytizingorthodoxpente8304
      @proselytizingorthodoxpente8304 Рік тому

      Minsk agreement stipulated that all illegally armed groups within Ukraine were to disarm and disband. This was never done, as Russia continued to support, arm, and supply those illegal groups (as well as occupy Ukrainian territory with Russian troops). While that continued the Minsk agreement could not be implemented.
      No promises to Russia on future NATO membership were ever made. Because, naturally, Moscow does not dictate NATO policy.

  • @mvs9122
    @mvs9122 2 роки тому +16

    Excellent presentation but i am not quite sure about the last bit, concluding that Putin has lost at everyone of his aims. For example iam not sure nato is as United as he claims or Russia is isolated from the world. He is not, just west and even that he is still trading.

    • @crhu319
      @crhu319 2 роки тому +1

      Sanctions are only from most of NATO and absolutely dependent US allies. But not Hungary, Slovakia and not even France has asked it's corporations to leave.

  • @venkats0iitk
    @venkats0iitk Рік тому +6

    I appreciate Stubb's frankness in openly making a case for Finland joining the wolf pack otherwise called nato. While he speaks about the 'warning bells' of Russian agression in Abkhazia and South Ossetia, I am curious to hear what kind of musiic was coming to his ears when NATO was bombing schools and hospitals in nearly a dozen countries on the last 2 decades alone?

    • @Paris.Kalachnikov
      @Paris.Kalachnikov Рік тому

      Also, an excellent point

    • @teddyhill7
      @teddyhill7 Рік тому

      Communist 💩

    • @eckhardt76
      @eckhardt76 Рік тому

      Serbia was one of them weren't they ? I guess that is a good example of NATO's actions considering what the Serbs did to Bosnia.

  • @robertjorn2782
    @robertjorn2782 2 роки тому +2

    Respect!

  • @simplexj4298
    @simplexj4298 2 роки тому +1

    Great analysis!

  • @heartruck471
    @heartruck471 2 роки тому +22

    hello Finland people ! nice format to learn about your history and perspectives. more please !

  • @rathelmmc3194
    @rathelmmc3194 2 роки тому +13

    This is a great insight from someone that is far closer to the pulse than we are in the US. I feel that this whole fiasco caught most Americans off guard because our media has pivoted toward Asia. I feel like Europe was considered stable with Russia causing small distortions not a tsunami against this stability.
    I've gained immense understanding of some of this history from content like this and what DW has been putting out. Thanks for keeping the rest of the world informed!

    • @mariadamedecoeur
      @mariadamedecoeur 2 роки тому

      Bernard Kushner had blood on his shirt too...

    • @bouji_
      @bouji_ 2 роки тому +4

      @easystreets70 Of course not. Why would he allow the facts get in the way of his narrative?

    • @robertwilson214
      @robertwilson214 2 роки тому +5

      It's just US propaganda repeated with different accents.

    • @Adamfront
      @Adamfront 2 роки тому +1

      @easystreets70 Nope.

    • @Adamfront
      @Adamfront 2 роки тому +2

      @@robertwilson214 Yup.

  • @Wolf1036
    @Wolf1036 2 роки тому +1

    A solid and thoughtful discussion to understand Putin, Russia, and it’s goals and where we are and where we are headed.

  • @philswede
    @philswede 2 роки тому

    Greetings from Sweden!
    Awesome playlist!

  • @abewickham
    @abewickham 2 роки тому +5

    This is highly exceptional. A great find among the clutter.

  • @paulnantulya
    @paulnantulya 2 роки тому +10

    Excellent analysis

  • @misscameroon8062
    @misscameroon8062 2 роки тому +2

    Sir ,have you talked about what is Western Europe and USA and Israel`s role in this conflict.

    • @to6941
      @to6941 2 роки тому

      No he hasn’t and as as one of Klaus Schwab’s WEF leaders he’s not going to. It’s as carefully scripted as it possibly could be and just look at the responses, they’re lapping it up!

    • @misscameroon8062
      @misscameroon8062 2 роки тому

      @@to6941 so ,we are condemned to put up with high posturing and a disgusting hogwash of political drivel, I fear?

    • @to6941
      @to6941 2 роки тому

      @@misscameroon8062 No absolutely not but we can’t rely on the mainstream media to tell us, we can only know the truth by doing our own research and talking to each other, there are some good politicians who haven’t been bought or groomed, just search for Clare Daly MEP and listen to her recent address to the European Parliament. Keep in touch

  • @Inchaos42
    @Inchaos42 3 місяці тому +1

    My congratulations, Mr. Stubb

  • @nadezdafilippova_piano
    @nadezdafilippova_piano 2 роки тому +7

    Thanks for the presentation of this analysis. I find it interesting and useful to hear a different point of view, especially from a person who was in politics during all mentioned conflicts. Everybody says now that the war in Europe is happenning and it is hard to believe. But there was the war in Yugoslavia in the 90th. This war was also very brutal as any other war. Why people in Europe don't remember this war and the humanitarian crisis that it caused? Did we learn anything from that experience?

    • @sergeyd.yarmish2392
      @sergeyd.yarmish2392 2 роки тому +2

      This is not analysis, this is propaganda. If you want real analysis please listen to Gonzalo Lira who actually is in Ukraine right now

  • @albertodiazsaldana9380
    @albertodiazsaldana9380 2 роки тому +15

    Excellent analysis. Although I disagree with the conclusions as far as the effects on the NATO alliance and the economic effects on Russia long term. One of the best organized and presented arguments I’ve seen in a long time. A brilliant man without any doubt.

    • @1watsonwatson
      @1watsonwatson 2 роки тому

      the big point, which is even a child would have been able to predict how Putin would have responded to the West's decision to stop Putin from transacting in US dollars. Seriously, what did they expect Putin to do??? Continue to sell Russian oil and gas in exchange for a currency Russian could no longer spend? Not even Biden and Johnson are THAT stupid. For me, this suggests that this whole thing was orchestrated. The war in Ukraine seems to be helping the World Economic Forum to advance several of its Great Reset goals - a coincidence theory, or something deliberately planned? Vladimir Putin pursues self-interest, but is his self-interest best advanced by representing the people of Russia or by representing the goals of Klaus Schwab at the World Economic Forum? What can't be ignored is Putin's decision to suspend US dollar payments for Russia's oil and gas. Personally, I think it's amazing that the MSM are not covering the likely consequences for the West, for the reasons I explain here ua-cam.com/video/XPgHpW_hroY/v-deo.html

    • @simplelife9173
      @simplelife9173 2 роки тому

      The puppets of US countries are merely 1/4 of all countries. The rest of the world is NOT supporting ukranianNazis. For honest and truthful history and news you can watch Ukraine on Fire by Oliver Stone and Scott Ritter.

    • @hurmur9528
      @hurmur9528 2 роки тому

      What do you disagree with there?

  • @user-tk1hr8nj2b
    @user-tk1hr8nj2b 2 роки тому +1

    We are not different in some points in Greece in Cyprus and United Kingdom so. Not sure about Scandinavians and Finland??? Thanks a lot as we all need to hear different options in European Union membership how the see and think from different point of view???!!!

  • @HappyDT
    @HappyDT Рік тому +2

    You said Russia will be isolated. How many countries are there in the Collective West (USA & VSA -vassal states of america eg UK, Australia, France, Germany, Japan, Korea, etc..and soon to be, Finland)? How many other countries are there in the world?

  • @zansmith4421
    @zansmith4421 2 роки тому +15

    Nice work...I appreciate your analysis!

  • @Barnettdan99
    @Barnettdan99 2 роки тому +24

    Very thoughtful, so many good points. I will be listening to you often.

  • @TheZombieGAGA
    @TheZombieGAGA 2 роки тому +1

    With hindsight a suitable explanation can always be found.

  • @SecondComingTwice
    @SecondComingTwice 2 роки тому +6

    Since three of my grandparents' mother tongues were speaking Finnish and one possibly original Sami - I'll give it a listen.
    Little hope of changing my view regarding the plans of the self-styled "elite" or the actions being taken to stymie them in this dimension and elsewhere.
    Freedom will reign again. We rise.

    • @warbler1984
      @warbler1984 2 роки тому

      What are ya talking about? Self styled elites and vague talk about freedom needing restoration...gtfo with your new world order obsessed nonsense

  • @Ranbo5
    @Ranbo5 2 роки тому +11

    The Russian invasion of Ukraine reminds me of the Soviet invasion of Finland, 1939: poor planning, underestimation and humiliation. Let us hope that what happened after does not also echo in the present.

    • @kustomkure
      @kustomkure 2 роки тому

      This operation was planned for years and near perfectly executed as a result. Nothing the West says about this war is true. Seriously nothing.

    • @northerner10rus
      @northerner10rus 2 роки тому

      It served its purpose i guess, half of Finland went to the russkies

    • @terrytumble162
      @terrytumble162 2 роки тому +1

      @@northerner10rus no, it didn’t. More like 10%.

  • @iamyoda66
    @iamyoda66 Рік тому

    The best analysis IMHO. Thanks

  • @Summerstitch539
    @Summerstitch539 2 роки тому +21

    Excellent exposition. Hopefully the people that need to hear this will hear it, but I remain doubtful.

    • @paulnantulya
      @paulnantulya 2 роки тому

      The West does not understand who or what they are dealing with.

  • @MrNickr84
    @MrNickr84 2 роки тому +3

    Where can i find this videos with Russian translation for my parents?

  • @tractorpoodle
    @tractorpoodle 2 роки тому +2

    Superb

  • @raullozano3867
    @raullozano3867 2 роки тому

    There is a typo in "underestimate the future" it said "futere"...

  • @joycerime9598
    @joycerime9598 2 роки тому +4

    This is an excellent post. The best for understanding what is happening. Thank You.

    • @to6941
      @to6941 2 роки тому +2

      You need to research this a little more, his talk is a complete whitewash

  • @soumyaranjan3371
    @soumyaranjan3371 2 роки тому +12

    I have few questions:
    1) Why did EU and USA persuade Ukraine to enter NATO in the first place when now it is crystal clear that there was actually no such plan? On the contrary, EU and USA are currently showing great interest to add Sweden and Finland into NATO and they want it to happen really fast. As countries West and Russia had inhibitions about their relationship. So I want to understand, what should have been the reaction of Russia to Ukraine being added to NATO?
    2) Here is the follow up question. Imagining a scenario, if Russia was able to form a similar alliance with Mexico and Mexico decided to allow Russian military to operate a base and place nuclear missiles, what must have been the reaction of USA? We know the Cuban story although it was during cold war.
    3) I want to understand if actually human right violations were carried out by Ukrain and Georgia on native russians in those countries? If yes, what was the reaction of the west?
    4) I feel post Cold War, we are in a situation where the police, lawyer and judge are the very same. The West. So I was wondering in such a situation, who is going to condemn and punish/sanction the West for their attrocities (Iraq, libya, africa, afganistan)?
    Thank you.

    • @matthewwukitch3735
      @matthewwukitch3735 Рік тому +2

      I love people that live in former European colonies complaining how the US/NATO is helping a country to stand on its own to be independent of its colonial boss. Maybe we should have held onto the belief that people can't pick their own government. Imperial Russia/USSR was no different than the British Empire it should be dissolved and people of those regions should be able to govern themselves. Russia shouldn't exist as is it wasn't right for Britain to rule 1/4 of the world and its isn't right that Russians want to rule non Russians

    • @nahidaxnilou
      @nahidaxnilou Рік тому

      @@matthewwukitch3735 we let all those “colonies” live the own way, without war in 1991
      And most of them wanted to join us them selfs)
      We all have families of each other in those “colonies”, helped them more than to our self’s in some of hard times, let them have they’re languages, religion, culture and didn’t use them for resources, like we have everything we need in Russia? Not like vampire little island England that has nothing.
      It’s a big difference between England and Russia empire/ussr, we were union, one big country, no people were treated different in ussr because of nationality or accent, or colour of skin, they were just ussr citizens with equal rights to education or work

    • @kirosmatavastros
      @kirosmatavastros Рік тому

      @@nahidaxnilou no people treated different...
      Holodimor, Executed Renaissance, Battle of the Dnieper(where Ukrainian were used as a meetshield by Vatutin)

    • @nahidaxnilou
      @nahidaxnilou Рік тому

      @@kirosmatavastros holodomor? Sounds like holocaust against Ukrainians, but in fact more people died in Russia, Siberia, central Russia, Kazakhstan, Kavkaz than in Ukraine individually in 1932-1933 from starvation.
      Before it became political in 1990 Ukraine it was called bad season on fields, how many people died before from the shortage of wheat?How many people died in a 20 year of cold summers and great hunger was from1890-1910? Nobody knows because you can’t make in political I guess and blame ussr for it.

    • @nahidaxnilou
      @nahidaxnilou Рік тому

      @@kirosmatavastros Russians soldiers who died in ww2 - 5,7 million
      Ukrainians - 1,3 million
      Total death in ussr 40 million people.
      That war killed unbearable amount of people from every family in ussr. All people were equally pieces of meat for bullets. Stop pretending to be a/ enable a victim because of ethnicity. Shit happend to everybody equally in that hell. And people who were pressed in ussr totally wasn’t Ukrainians, they lived better than people in Moscow, it was richest and most developed republic in ussr, and they lost everything in 30 years, while they politics robbed them, and put all attention only to hate Russia and decomunised, while everything they have money from is build by communists.

  • @roygbiv7025
    @roygbiv7025 Рік тому

    You give the date as 24th of March but neglect to mention what year

  • @Stockholm17
    @Stockholm17 2 роки тому

    thank you! but who wrote the titles needs some help :) "OWER-rationalise the past" and "we AND up underestimating the FUTERE"

  • @ViacheslavKr
    @ViacheslavKr 2 роки тому +9

    In Ukraine, in the village of Troitskoye, Popasnyansky district, which the forces of the Luhansk People's Republic (PRC) recently took control of, they found a mock-up of the area indicating that Ukrainian forces were preparing an offensive on Donbass.

    • @robertaurens5665
      @robertaurens5665 Рік тому +4

      And that's why Russia had to go in.

    • @nahidaxnilou
      @nahidaxnilou Рік тому +1

      Nobody talks about that, but it’s true, if we waited for a week all those people would be dead
      Herd it not from media, from people who were there!

  • @inputdelay3265
    @inputdelay3265 2 роки тому +7

    tbh John Mearsheimer is far more honest...but then again he wasn't a politician , so par for the course.

    • @kirillb369
      @kirillb369 Рік тому

      Alex is very honest here, explaining his arguments well and profoundly. John Mearsheimer on the other hand has some flaws in his arguments.

    • @inputdelay3265
      @inputdelay3265 Рік тому +1

      @@kirillb369 it is only one side of the argument to get his narrative across. Mearscheimer goes way deeper explaining both sides so we can firm a better option of the situation. A one sides view like Alex's is about forcing the view. Ie. Control

    • @kirillb369
      @kirillb369 Рік тому

      @@inputdelay3265 No, he doesn't, or rather he let's you think he explained the other side, too. But that's mostly an old rhetoric trick: the other side is merely touched on the surface.

    • @inputdelay3265
      @inputdelay3265 Рік тому

      @@kirillb369 watching both it was clearly obvious JM was portraying both sides of the argument and came to conclusions based on that. Alex on the other hand skipped over important stuff which was suss and at the time was clearly playing on the general shock if the situation to get views. "The oldest trick in the book". Mearscheimer s vid was from a year or two after euromaidan. If you wanna shill you r free to do so...but it is propaganda

  • @airborneranger-ret
    @airborneranger-ret 2 роки тому +1

    Very nicely done ;)

  • @margike100
    @margike100 2 роки тому +2

    Best analysis: Prof. John Mearsheimer

    • @mattijussila3007
      @mattijussila3007 2 роки тому

      He is the most prominent pro Russian scholar apart from Noam Chomsky.
      He tells the Russian narrative of the "NATO enlargement towards Russia".
      His greatest error is to see smaller nations merely as puppets of either east or West, without a mind of their own.
      Also, He doesn't have any meaningful insight in the deeper reasons of Russian aggression or containing Russian aggressions.

  • @user-gq7qz4su3w
    @user-gq7qz4su3w 2 роки тому +7

    Thank you for such simple and easy to understand discourse on this tragedy that is playing out.

    • @philipreed387
      @philipreed387 2 роки тому +3

      He made it “ simple and easy” because he left so much out that in the last twenty-five years. A typical analysis that any western think tank could espouse without even thinking critically.

  • @lanreb920
    @lanreb920 2 роки тому +18

    Although this point of view might be appealing, I wonder, and I say this as a life-long pro-America, where is the heavy hand of the US into Ukraine, pushing things to the extreme between the existing, and not insignificant, neonazi forces. Altogether, it seems to me a far too partisan opinion; rational, logical, but without some fundamental elements that explain the full picture of what has happened and why we are now at this point.

  • @vaultsjan
    @vaultsjan 2 роки тому

    Back in 2014, my neighbour (at that time 55) said that if Russia is not stopped by force now, they would escalate. I was not so sure about it back then.

  • @simokokko7550
    @simokokko7550 2 роки тому +15

    1) Winter War was not a proxy war. I don't know how Alex Stubb makes that kind of mistake. 2) Nevertheless good explanation of current affairs.

    • @KenMoss
      @KenMoss 2 роки тому

      I thought exactly the same as I'm currently reading the exploits of Antero Rokka.

    • @crhu319
      @crhu319 2 роки тому

      Finns like Ukraine were goaded into standing up to a limited set of rational security demands from Russia. Goaded by Churchill in 1939, by NATO in 2022.
      The subsequent wars resulted in 1939-45 and will result today in pretty much exactly the demands the Russians made. With far more death than was necessary, had the defensible border been agreed to.

    • @simokokko7550
      @simokokko7550 2 роки тому

      @@crhu319 Area demands are just Russian way of manipulating. They would take much more if they are not stopped.

    • @KenMoss
      @KenMoss 2 роки тому

      On reflection I think Alex Stubb is trying to edge is his way into the EU, that why his opinions are guarded. I've news for him.........the EU is crumbling rapidly.

    • @bouji_
      @bouji_ 2 роки тому +1

      That should have been one of the first warning signs that this guy is full of it. lol

  • @chitofernandez1879
    @chitofernandez1879 2 роки тому +15

    I admire and respect you sir.
    Valid points shared as well as the way Finland was able to avoid war
    Rebuttals:
    Past and History were the standard for learning. NATO as stated in wolfowitiz doctrine looks like an instrument of military industrial complex, identifying Russia as rival. With these being said, this type of direction against Russia resulted to today. Expansions and all.
    Rational fear with Russia I agree is very uncomfortable. That is why I commend your leaders and government for your people's safety Which is not how Ukraine are handling thiers.
    Ukraine poked the bear. Foreign policy to be unfriendly with Russia. Point of no return as Military Industrial Complex as sited in the wolfowitiz doctrine already started with Ukraine.
    Present as stoicism means is what we do now is our future. NATO unified, EU united and isolating Russia. Supposedly that you guys are successful until Putin is dead. Were the NATO expansion to sorround Russia that caused this war, loss of life, inflation, wealth from arms and oil companies, inflation worth it and proportionate?
    Or is this is just for military industrial complex, disguised for the people.
    What we do now will be our Future and without Russia. This is something that I hope you understand that ordinary people is also Russia. If you have an American way or European way of life, same as with Russia.
    As a critical thinker, solutions I think of:
    Demilitarization of Ukraine
    3 Points of Russia Demand
    - No NATO membership on their constitution
    - Crimea recognition as willfully decided by the people
    - Donbass Republics independence (8 years to comply for minsk treaty but failed to do so)
    Better diplomacy
    Wisdom
    Courage to make concession for Ukraine people
    Prolonging the war is not on the best interest of Ukrainian people. If Findlanisation is the way to save lives, I encourage it.
    Once concessions are made, Treaty without any erroneous conditions should be agreed on paper. Any violation, then you guys go ahead Isolate Russia. (Iraq, Syria, Afghanistan, Libya these were overdramatic past)
    Sorry I am just putting context on the way Ukraine could have avoided the war. To ensure past actions resulted to this war goes not be praised (Wolfowitiz Doctrine and NATO expansion) and unnoticed.
    Future from Sanctions, Isolation and Demonizing a state should reap more hate and violence.
    -

    • @dunkdunkowitz500
      @dunkdunkowitz500 2 роки тому +6

      No one nation has the authority or standing to demand the demilitarization of another sovereign nation. Your critical thinking, to me, asks a question akin to the United States demanding of Mexico to demilitarize. For what purpose?

    • @chitofernandez1879
      @chitofernandez1879 2 роки тому +1

      @@dunkdunkowitz500 for the lives of the people and to avoid being a proxy for WW3

    • @chitofernandez1879
      @chitofernandez1879 2 роки тому

      @@dunkdunkowitz500 Any Leaders that failed to avoid war that will cause lives and possibly another WW3 are not a critical thinker.
      Again. Ukraine government allowed itself to be use by military industrial complex. (Poking the Bear)
      Point of no return. Either defeat Putin, Isolate Russia, Loss of lives, territorial concessions etc. Nobody won but the military industrial complex.
      Leaders should be smart about their foreign relations. If Zelensky is a manager. He should be fired.
      Past actions by NATO is the cause (Do not forget this)
      Present - Keep on fighting and nobody wins. Ukraine already loss Donbass and Crimea. (unless people vote again)
      Lay down arms and abide with Russia's demand is a little price compared to years of war, Russia's isolation.
      Future - If you allow this guys to happen. China will the only one can challenge military industrial complex.
      Nobody can deny wolfowitiz Doctrine of 92 resonates with Ukraine.

    • @dunkdunkowitz500
      @dunkdunkowitz500 2 роки тому +4

      @@chitofernandez1879 I’m an American who spent 20 years in the Navy and I can tell you that I am sick and tired of how governments meddle and end up getting their people killed. I am a firm believer, perhaps ignorant optimist, that most people, of most nations, just want to live their lives, make them better and be be left the heck alone. I agree, Proxy wars is nothing more than fuzzy math. I’d like nothing more than for Europe to figure this out for themselves and not get involved. But the phone keeps ringing. My fear IS getting involved and all things considered, we do end up with nukes flying. From my vantage point, I’d much rather sit this one out and not exacerbate an already messed up situation

    • @chitofernandez1879
      @chitofernandez1879 2 роки тому +3

      @@dunkdunkowitz500 Agree Sir.
      Past should never be forgotten.
      Present should be saving lives end war
      Future comes from this Russian Isolation will not ve a good future.
      Again, Ukraine leaders allowed itself to be used by military industrial complex.
      Prolonging the war equals money and power to military industrial complex and loss of lives.
      Bad leaders allows wars and good leaders avoids it when necessary.
      Poking the Bear.

  • @jamesmcmann8536
    @jamesmcmann8536 Рік тому

    Assessment/predictions at end of episode 1 were way off.

  • @guitarrens4912
    @guitarrens4912 2 роки тому

    Impressive, thnx.

  • @xolisamelamane515
    @xolisamelamane515 Рік тому +5

    Thanks for objectivity and very balanced views much appreciated. I have listened to your last video first and then this one. my views are very basic and from a perspective of being a citizen of a country. My views have not changed at all since the begining, was always hoping the leader of the country that is being destroyed and generation of humans being traumatised would put his people first and surrender at the begining to protect his young country and its gains made so far. funny enough my views have not change 4 months later... those who stand to loose the most must make that sacrifice. my predictions is that it wont stop until they give up, by then a country would be finished and with hindsight they will learn that they should have surrendered to protected civilians instead of being a proxy. It would have been more heroic than the current sutuatuion and trauma. after all ukraine is the origin of russia and these civilians are relatives... it is so sad and everyday we pray for peace to return...sometimes things are not as complicated as they seem but i guess egos rule at the top...it not about the people or civilians at all.

  • @maurohuerta465
    @maurohuerta465 2 роки тому +4

    But you are missing one of the main points of this conflict, which is the expansion of NATO to the East and Ukraine to remain neutral (because of the obvious threat for their national security)….without these elements included in the analysis, the arguments you are giving doesn’t take into consideration the real causes of the problem.….. (let’s frame all of these as “allegedly” or a bunch of preconcepted theories…but if we don’t want to give up those theories, a debate couldn’t take place in a honest and open way, cause no one is gonna listen to the Other, because al ready has its own conclusions……of course if the intención to try “to understand” this complex scenario, and not only remain in the past, but, starting from this understanding, to find ways to solve this, in order to be able to move into the future).

    • @dorisstevens6829
      @dorisstevens6829 2 роки тому +1

      They all have their narrative perfectly worked out to justify what they do...

  • @andersonmill7728
    @andersonmill7728 2 роки тому +1

    Look at the current situation can we say there is a proxy war going on in Ukraine now? I just watched this 1st episode today. Perhaps Professor Stubb has already made new assessments in his later episodes.

  • @BubblegumCreepydoll
    @BubblegumCreepydoll Рік тому

    Thank you. 🙏🙌🏼🇺🇦💙

  • @headhunters2777
    @headhunters2777 2 роки тому +3

    Did he really said russia will be energy isolated 😂

  • @markmccormack1796
    @markmccormack1796 2 роки тому +15

    Yeah, you could say Russia helped save Europe from the Nazis. Because they did. Russia lost tens of millions of their own solders and civilians in the fighting.

    • @kerynadcock2226
      @kerynadcock2226 2 роки тому +5

      Actually, far more Ukranians fought against the Nazis and died to save Europe than Russians in WW2. The Ukranians know the horror of Nazism more closely. Old people in Ukraine remember.

    • @Erine120
      @Erine120 2 роки тому +4

      @@kerynadcock2226 and now they’re being
      called Nazi a lie to justify they’re invasion it’s so depressing that heroes who fought them so hard have to go through that

    • @EatMyAzzOut
      @EatMyAzzOut 2 роки тому

      They only fought the “Nazis” because the Germans betrayed them lol Defending the west wasn’t there intention at all until they had no choice to fight along with the west. They deserve no praise

    • @joshuamalmberg6091
      @joshuamalmberg6091 2 роки тому

      He was not trying to question the contribution of the USSR in defeating Nazi Germany. Rather, he is arguing thay Russian people at that time believed that they had the mission to save all of Europe, that they were the last hope for saving Europe. This is relevant to the discussion because it establishes a precedent in Russian history for the propaganda of the present day Russian state. Specifically, Russian propaganda states that Ukraine is suffering under a Nazi regime and that Russians must intervene in Europe once again.

    • @salsafever100
      @salsafever100 2 роки тому

      No, Russians didn't merely help save;they SAVED Europe from Nazi Germany, period. The mere skirmishes in the west of Europe couldn't have so much as scathed the German war machine,let alone stop it, if the Red army did not decisively defeat the third Reich in Eastern Europe.

  • @Dv8er73
    @Dv8er73 Рік тому +1

    I know this is months ago, but the assumed isolation of Russia is merely on the "Regional Perspective"....Russia is not isolated in the Global arena, it pivots itself more towards the East (Asia)... Europe is isolating itself.

  • @Ivan-fs7go
    @Ivan-fs7go 2 роки тому +1

    Considering the recent events now you are due to release a video: Understanding the War in Finland and the new global order

    • @mattijussila3007
      @mattijussila3007 2 роки тому

      There might be a new global order, but Russia is not on the top of it, sliding down in the energy servant of China and the rest of Asia.

    • @Ivan-fs7go
      @Ivan-fs7go 2 роки тому

      @@mattijussila3007 I personally believe the best for us the humans is a multipolar world. A global order doesn’t fit a multi cultural population.