there’s still flaws as with any awards body but they’re showing themselves to be better and more progressive than the other bodies now, which is only a good thing
Yep. I’m so glad. Good art needs to be recognized. Definitely heading in the right direction after the utter disappointment that was 2019. Hope they keep it up.
the lead-up to the lakeith stanfield nomination reaction was legit the most tense thing i've witnessed this year. was worried y'all weren't gonna make it.
I was so shocked by that. I just figured he wouldn’t get nominated since he wasn’t nominated in any of the other awards. And why tf is he a supporting actor?
@@michaeledgerton3508 I have no idea. I don't think *anyone* on Gold Derby was predicting that, because he was campaigned in lead. All the 'For Your Consideration' ads were for lead.
Sometimes the Academy does strange things like that. This is like when Kate Winslet submitted for Lead Actress in 'Revolutionary Road' and for Supporting Actress in 'The Reader' and the Academy said nope, we'll put you in Lead Actress for 'The Reader' 🤭
I wasn’t a fan of Mank, but for a film about screenwriters not getting credit to get snubbed in the screenplay category but lead in nominations is literally the definition of irony.
I love how almost every single other reaction to the nominations has the person being like "I'm really sleepy it's so early", and then there's you two going absolutely wild. This was so fun to watch.
It's been that way since the 1980s. "The Thin Blue Line" and "Roger & Me" were the front-runners but didn't get nominated in the '80s. Same with "Hoop Dreams" in '94.
With her eighth nomination, Glenn Close becomes the fourth actress with most Academy Award nominations after Meryl Streep (21 nominations); Katherine Hepburn (12 nominations) and Bette Davis (10 nominations). Also, she becomes the living actress with most Oscar nominations without a win and the second living actress with most nominations after Meryl
I really like it when nomination reactors can say out the 5th nominee after the 4th nominee had been announced. It really proves that their knowledge of the award season is at the tips of their fingers.
I LOVE these “The Father” nominations. Honestly made my morning. Mostly happy with these nominations! It would have been cool to get “Another Round” in Picture!
They're finally here!!! I love that Judas and Sound got in Best Picture. The sad part is there's no race or speculation, Nomadland and Zhao are winning without a doubt
@@sherrigrant573 wait till next year oscar It will be a wild ride because the film we have this year example is House Of Gucci (Ridley Scott) Dune (Denis Villenauve) The French Dispatch (Wes Anderson) Nightmare Alley (Guilermo Del Toro) In The Heights (Jon M Chu) West Side Story (Steven Spielberg) Eternals (Chloe Zhao) Respect (Liesl Tommy) Elvis (Baz Luhrman) Don't Look Up (Adam McKay) Luca (Enrico Casarosa) Raya And The Last Dragon (Don Hahn & Carlos Lopez Estrada) Encantp (Byron Howard & Jared Bush)
@@m.syauqiabdurahman2798 also Dear Evan Hansen which release in September. Next years Oscars are gonna be crazy. So many potentially great films releasing this year. Killers of the Flower Moon may be releasing this year as well and that is Martin Scorsese. So much to look forward to this year for movies. Also, depending on the reviews for the new bond film that may be something to look at at least for some Oscars such as best song.
There was 0% chance that The Father was going to miss. Screener issues are for the guilds, never for the Oscars. And if they loved Amour, of course they were going to go all in for The Father.
yeah but what's surprising is that The Father hasn't been doing well except for BAFTA, no globe win, no critics choice, no sag ensemble nominaton, multiple snubs from guilds
Would’ve been better if he’d actually recognized that later in the vid, you can see multiple times he should’ve noticed films getting snubbed by name alone
@@rangergrrrl agreed; you’d think they’d start writing this stuff down in advance (at least that’s what I do). You gotta have a list of every major possible nominee in each category so you know immediately who’s been skipped over and don’t have to realize 10 minutes later like they do
@@Lamidemonami7891 I guess we're both online. Funny. I love these guys, and the alphabetical order thing is an annual part of the fun, but I've thought the same thing: have a list in front of you, dudes! But maybe they'd think it would take away from the spontaneity or something. It's gonna be a looooooong wait until Jan-Feb when the new reactions happen...
They openly and publicly campaigned Stanfield in lead (which is why he was not even on Goldderby’s top 50 odds). It must have been write-ins, or the ballots guy accidentally (or not) writing his name on the ballots
Maria is competitive win and no one can deny that, girl made history. And it wasn't Swankie, Olivia Cooke or Yeri han but Lakeith the surprise nominee!
There was no way Yeri Han can penetrate that invincible top 5 best actress. Lakeith made a much bigger impresson on viewers than Swankie or Cooke, and supporting actor is up in the air with only 3 locks so it allowed him
Nomadland is winning picture. This confirmed it. No film has lost Picture while winning both Director and Screenplay since Brokeback Mountain (the homophobia of it all) which was BEFORE the preferential ballot. With no real competition in that Adapted Screenplay category (The Father wont beat it, and Miami won’t win without a Picture nomination), Zhao’s double win will seal the deal. UNLESS theres a major upset in Adapted Screenplay and something not nominated for picture wins (last time this happened was in 2005 w/ Eternal Sunshine winning Original but that was back when only 5 films made it to Best Picture).
They could split it. I think "Judas & the Black Messiah" or even still "Trial of the Chicago 7" could potentially take the top prize. Even "Promising Young Woman," but I doubt it.
@@bryanismyname7583 absolutely. Just that w/o Nomadland losing the Adapted Screenplay award, it is extremelyyyyyyy unlikely that anything else will win BP at that point. But, stats are meant to be broken and the Oscars aren't a straightforward math equation, so fingers crossed the remaining guilds deliver and shake this BP category up so that it's a much more exciting Oscar sunday.
TBH she is best actress up for nomination in either the leading or supporting categories, and Nomadland was great in considerable part to McDormand's ability to both transform into a fictitious character we would swear is real.
It’s amazing how well Judas did. It didn’t really take off for most of awards season (aside from Kaluuya), then it ends up getting 6 nominations including Best Picture (!) And who would have thought that it would get screenplay over Mank?
Pretty great nominations this year tbh except the fact that 'Never Rarely Sometimes Always', 'First Cow' and 'I'm Thinking of Ending Things', three of the best films of the year didn't get anything, they were never expected to anyways. And Delroy Lindo being snubbed. Apart from that, it's been a great year. There are minor quibbles like Chicago 7 for cinematography, Close for Hillbilly Elegy and Borat for screenplay, but I'm overall very happy with these noms. Excellent best picture line up with the exception of Chicago 7.
1.) Lakeith Stanfield case is similar to the ones of Keisha Castle Hughes (The Whale Rider) and Kate Winslet (The Reader) where Academy voters reject studio placements and place a performance in a category of their own wish. Where Hughes and Winslet went from supporting to lead at the oscars, for Stanfeild it's just the opposite. 2.) Does this mean vote splitting between Kaluuya and Stanfield or is Kaluuya like Octavia Spencer (The Help) who survives vote splitting?
Spencer sweeped from GG to Oscars. She had zero competition so I don't see the parallels here. I mean there was no sign that Chastain was getting any votes.
@@vnach299 But Sandra isn't nominated for the same performance though. The way they trying to push Glenn for that obvious reason, PATHETIC, she stole Foster's slot.
@@vnach299 Sandra Bullock was technically nominated for two DIFFERENT performances. Glenn Close is Oscar and Razzie-nominated for the SAME performance.
I got 94/120 in Gold Derby. One behind the Oscar Expert and one better than Brother Bro. I still think you two are some of the best in the business! (although I'm glad I didn't listen to you about The Mauritanian).
I also love that INDIE'S were nominated here - unfortunately it will mean not many will watch the Oscar's because not many peeps will have watched many of these movies which is their loss.
I think this may be the first time in which one of the acting nominees had 0 people predicting them in their category. Lakeith Stanfield had 109 people predicting him for Best Actor but 0 for Best Supporting Actor. Wild.
While the Mank leads the nominations I weirdly its in last place in the ranking. Missing Editing and Screenplay is pretty deadly. Other Picture nominees either did what was expected or overperformed.
@Ty Movie Database Alicia Vikander in supporting for The Danish Girl is pretty bad too. I mean, it worked out for her, but if Felicity Jones can be lead for The Theory of Everything why not her? Makes no sense
I said that the love for Another Round would be more than be nominated for best intenational feature film. But honestly I expected Mads Mikkelsen nominated for best actor, vintenberg getting in for directing was a pleasant surprise.
It seems like Nomadland is gonna win the big 3: adapted Screenplay, Director, Picture. But if Promising Young Woman wins original screenplay and actress, do you think PYW could rival Nomadland for Best Picture?
My predictions were a little off. I had ranked them based on how likely they were to make it to this round. *Picture:* 1) NOMADLAND. 2) THE TRIAL OF THE CHICAGO 7. 3) PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN. 4) MANK. 5) MINARI. 6) MA RAINEY'S BLACK BOTTOM. 7) JUDAS AND THE BLACK MESSIAH. 8) SOUND OF METAL. 9) ONE NIGHT IN MIAMI. Other possibilities: BORAT SUBSEQUENT MOVIEFILM, THE FATHER and NEWS OF THE WORLD. A while ago, I also would've said DA 5 BLOODS and SOUL. *Lead Actor:* 1) Chadwick Boseman. 2) Anthony Hopkins. 3) Riz Ahmed. 4) Gary Oldman. 5) Steven Yeun. Other possibilities: Delroy Lindo, Mads Mikkelsen and Tahar Rahim. *Lead Actress:* 1) Carey Mulligan. 2) Frances McDormand. 3) Viola Davis. 4) Vanessa Kirby. 5) Andra Day. Other possibilities: Sidney Flanigan and Zendaya. *Supporting Actor:* 1) Daniel Kaluuya. 2) Sacha Baron Cohen. 3) Leslie Odom Jr. 4) Paul Raci. 5) Chadwick Boseman. Other possibilities: Frank Langella, Jared Leto, Bill Murray, Mark Rylance and David Strathairn. *Supporting Actress:* 1) Olivia Colman. 2) Maria Bakalova. 3) Yuh-Jung Youn. 4) Amanda Seyfried. 5) Glenn Close. Other possibilities: Ellen Burstyn, Jodie Foster, Talia Ryder and Helena Zengel. *Directing:* 1) Chloe Zhao. 2) Emerald Fennell. 3) Aaron Sorkin. 4) David Fincher. 5) Lee Isaac Chung. Other possibilities: Regina King and Florian Zeller. A while ago, I also would've said Spike Lee. *Original Screenplay:* 1) PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN. 2) THE TRIAL OF THE CHICAGO 7. 3) MANK. 4) MINARI. 5) SOUND OF METAL. Other possibilities: JUDAS AND THE BLACK MESSIAH, PALM SPRINGS and SOUL. A while ago, I also would've said NEVER RARELY SOMETIMES ALWAYS. *Adapted Screenplay:* 1) NOMADLAND. 2) ONE NIGHT IN MIAMI. 3) MA RAINEY'S BLACK BOTTOM. 4) THE FATHER. 5) NEWS OF THE WORLD. Other possibilities: BORAT SUBSEQUENT FILM and THE WHITE TIGER. A while ago, I also would've said FIRST COW and I'M THINKING OF ENDING THINGS. *Cinematography:* 1) NOMADLAND. 2) MANK. 3) MINARI. 4) TENET. 5) JUDAS AND THE BLACK MESSIAH. Other possibilities. DA 5 BLOODS, NEWS OF THE WORLD and THE TRIAL OF THE CHICAGO 7. A while ago, I also would've said FIRST COW. *International Film:* 1) ANOTHER ROUND. 2) COLLECTIVE. 3) LA LLORONA. 4) TWO OF US. 5) QUO VADIS, AIDA? Other possibilities: I'M NO LONGER HERE and THE MOLE AGENT. *Animated Feature:* 1) SOUL. 2) WOLFWALKERS. 3) ONWARD. 4) OVER THE MOON. 5) THE CROODS PART 2: A NEW AGE. *Documentary:* 1) TIME. 2) COLLECTIVE. 3) DICK JOHNSON IS DEAD. 4) ALL IN: THE FIGHT FOR DEMOCRACY. 5) WELCOME TO CHECHNYA. Other possibilities: BOYS STATE and THE MOLE AGENT.
I'm still surprised how many people on Gold Derby and you guys predicted the 5 DGA nominees for Oscars. They have only matched twice in the last 20 years!!! And how is LaKeith Stanfield a supporting actor in Judas?!
@@michaelangelo2192 I did but I also predicted Shaka King over Lee Isaac Chung. I knew that Vinterberg is the "international" possibility after Paweł Pawlikowski who also only got BAFTA as precursor.
Diane Warren should win, Seen is a better song than the other 4 nominees. The other 4 nominees were never nominated for Oscar before while this is Diane's 12th nod.
Kinda sad that MANK missed editing and writing nominations - would have had a chance then to equal the record set by JOHNNY BELINDA that lost in 11 different categories in 1949. And Am I the only one who finds it amusingly ironic that a movie about a writer who gets fucked over when writing an original movie screenplay - is itself fucked over by the Academy writers branch?
@@bryanismyname7583 Yep - Jane won, but it still lost in all the 11 other categories in which it was nominated. No other film lost in 11. Quite a few lost in 10 categories - The Turning Point, The Color Purple, Gangs Of New York, American Hustle a few others.
Best Actor Oscar = SAG all 5 Best Actress Oscar = Golden Globes all 5 Best Supporting Actor = SAG plus Stanfield but minus Leto Best Supporting Actress = Critics Choice minus Burstyn
My best predictions ever, I beat all Experts and all Editors, ranking up at place 143 out of 9329 participants. And one of the main reasons I did it was because I predicted the whole line up of Directing. Most of you are still not able to look outside of US, the nomination of Thomas Vinterberg was the most obvious thing during this hole awards season. He is undeniable. And Mads Mikkelsen was very close, it is a shame that he missed due to two very inferior performances in the face of Oldman (boring and wooden) and Steven Yeun (moving, but a supporting player with very uncomplicated character).
I’m mostly happy with all the noms but I’m very sad that “La Llorona” and “No Longer Here” didn’t get a nomination. It’s bittersweet 😕 very European the noms in that category, except for Better Days of course.
![[UA] Eternal Fire проти NAVI | EPL Season 20 Malta](http://i.ytimg.com/vi/chvlsDygrZM/mqdefault.jpg)
*I've been literally refreshing your page for like 30 mins for this video*
Me too hahaha
Me too 🤣🤣
WE HAVE ALL BEEN WAITING A WHOLE YEAR FOR THIS
Lol hey Guillermo
A YEAR PLUS 2 MONTHS
I LOVE how the sound ABSOLUTELY DROPPED when Lakeith was announced.
Followed by that amazingly high pitched shriek from Brother Bro 😂
He should be in lead tbh
Maybe the real lead in Judas and the Black Messiah were the friends we made along the way
Lol
LOL
Ahahaha
I love this comment
😂😂😂
Man with Parasite winning Picture and these nominations, The Academy has done a solid job as of late.
there’s still flaws as with any awards body but they’re showing themselves to be better and more progressive than the other bodies now, which is only a good thing
Isn't it crazy that this is the same Academy that nominated Bohemian Rhapsody just 2 years ago??
@@evanmills7340 I think they have a lot of new members now
Yeah I totally agree, I´m pretty happy with these nominations
Yep. I’m so glad. Good art needs to be recognized. Definitely heading in the right direction after the utter disappointment that was 2019. Hope they keep it up.
the lead-up to the lakeith stanfield nomination reaction was legit the most tense thing i've witnessed this year. was worried y'all weren't gonna make it.
The stunned reaction to Lakeith is by far the best reaction they’ve ever had to anything
Lol
I was so shocked by that. I just figured he wouldn’t get nominated since he wasn’t nominated in any of the other awards. And why tf is he a supporting actor?
@@jdgg544 , with the exception of Parasites director win.
@@michaeledgerton3508 I have no idea. I don't think *anyone* on Gold Derby was predicting that, because he was campaigned in lead. All the 'For Your Consideration' ads were for lead.
The Lakeith reaction might have been the greatest reaction in Oscar Expert history
I came from future and I'm here to tell you that that reaction will became a popular meme
Exactly. That these experts can't predict anything.
@@overseer71 Dude, show me someone who *was* predicting Lakeith Stanfield in Best Supporting Actor and I'll give you $10,000.
None. Because everyone thought he was leading. Even in leading he was Longshot.
Imagine living next door to these guys during awards season 😂🤣
LOLOL
Lakeith Stanfield is such a category fraud, but still happy for him. Vinterberg over Sorkin and Mank snub in original screenplay were absolut shocks
Kaluya was the lead
tbh it was kinda of a ensemble film so im not really surprised
I couldn't see who was the lead and who supported
Lakeith was the lead actor in the film. I was so confused to his nomination. He did a good job tho
I hate category fraud
“THE WHITE F*CKER”
😂😂😂😂
I’m dying.
@Dipesh Panta 1:50
Scientists are still trying to figure out how LaKeith Stanfield got enough votes in SUPPORTING to get a nomination.
Fully deserved though, no?
It's daniels anyway but maybe to give him recognition. Idk
@@tobyrant4125 The performance is great but I don't like category fraud.
They probably did it to spite Leto
Sometimes the Academy does strange things like that. This is like when Kate Winslet submitted for Lead Actress in 'Revolutionary Road' and for Supporting Actress in 'The Reader' and the Academy said nope, we'll put you in Lead Actress for 'The Reader' 🤭
I wasn’t a fan of Mank, but for a film about screenwriters not getting credit to get snubbed in the screenplay category but lead in nominations is literally the definition of irony.
Technically they also did that with "Trumbo" in terms of screenplay.
Fincher father don't deserves this the dislogues are great. But judas gets the heat, because it was a late Contender and mank one of the earliest
@Juani DC it was close. Promising got the editing nom and judas the screenplaynoms. Both late Contenders.
Out of context “they snubbed Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom” sounds hilarious.
They snubbed Ma Rainey's for Picture but not for Actor and Actress.
😂😂😂💔
STEVEN YEUN ARMY RISE UP
Yesss!!!
Waiting for your video! Get to work! (Kidding😂 but honestly can’t wait)
SO HAPPY FOR HIM!!!
Promising young woman and nomadland being the only movies with the 5 most important nominations for a best picture win is making me very happy!
LOL why are you counting Picture as one of the 5 nominations? Is it not kind of implied?
@@kingtchenka628sure, but you do need it to win 😂😃
9 people are nominated for writing Borat 2 LMFAO
Plus the long ass title, I mean it's lol worthy.
And one of those screenwriters, Dan Mazer, directed the worst film I have ever seen, Dirty Grandpa.
Btw nominating Borat 2 instead of Ma Rainey is the perfect example of the Academy saying “Fuck it, we’ll do what we want”
@@alexmeyer5260 Must have phoenix blood in him.
Guess what? All of them won the Writers’ Guild Award too
I love how almost every single other reaction to the nominations has the person being like "I'm really sleepy it's so early", and then there's you two going absolutely wild. This was so fun to watch.
"What was the other movie?"
"The White Tiger"
Top tier Awards Season moment
Lakeith Stanfield would have been surprising even if it were in leadXD,the fact that he was nominated in supporting was crazy
The fact Vinterberg got director here, but not for 'The Hunt'? Crazy. Happy for him tho - pretty good nominations this year imo!
yep
Honestly, now it’s almost tradition for the front runner in documentary feature to “not” get nominated
It's been that way since the 1980s. "The Thin Blue Line" and "Roger & Me" were the front-runners but didn't get nominated in the '80s. Same with "Hoop Dreams" in '94.
Delroy Lindo is the most outrageous snub of the year. He should have had Gary Oldman's spot.
Agreed.
So agreed
Definitely
I agree!
Agree, its like ppl just forgot how D5B is one of his best
I said to myself "can't wait to see the twins lose their shit" after I saw the nominations😂
With her eighth nomination, Glenn Close becomes the fourth actress with most Academy Award nominations after Meryl Streep (21 nominations); Katherine Hepburn (12 nominations) and Bette Davis (10 nominations). Also, she becomes the living actress with most Oscar nominations without a win and the second living actress with most nominations after Meryl
I keep replaying the Lakeith Stanfield part at 3:05 because Brother Bro’s shriek is one of the funniest moments from these reactions
I really like it when nomination reactors can say out the 5th nominee after the 4th nominee had been announced. It really proves that their knowledge of the award season is at the tips of their fingers.
With Collective my country Romania has first oscar nomination in history.. oh my god i am so happy and proud
clicked on this so fast.
Got an ad right before Stanfield's nomination lol.
I'm a simple man. I see The Oscar Expert Oscar Nominations and I click
I LOVE these “The Father” nominations. Honestly made my morning. Mostly happy with these nominations! It would have been cool to get “Another Round” in Picture!
Thomas Vinterberg is the Pawel Pawlikowski of 2019.
They're finally here!!! I love that Judas and Sound got in Best Picture. The sad part is there's no race or speculation, Nomadland and Zhao are winning without a doubt
Yep
It was a good year for movies
@@sherrigrant573 wait till next year oscar
It will be a wild ride because the film we have this year example is
House Of Gucci (Ridley Scott)
Dune (Denis Villenauve)
The French Dispatch (Wes Anderson)
Nightmare Alley (Guilermo Del Toro)
In The Heights (Jon M Chu)
West Side Story (Steven Spielberg)
Eternals (Chloe Zhao)
Respect (Liesl Tommy)
Elvis (Baz Luhrman)
Don't Look Up (Adam McKay)
Luca (Enrico Casarosa)
Raya And The Last Dragon (Don Hahn & Carlos Lopez Estrada)
Encantp (Byron Howard & Jared Bush)
@@m.syauqiabdurahman2798 also Dear Evan Hansen which release in September. Next years Oscars are gonna be crazy. So many potentially great films releasing this year. Killers of the Flower Moon may be releasing this year as well and that is Martin Scorsese. So much to look forward to this year for movies. Also, depending on the reviews for the new bond film that may be something to look at at least for some Oscars such as best song.
Oscar Expert and Brother Bro reacting to the Oscar nominations.
Their pets: “Ah shit, here they go again.”
There was 0% chance that The Father was going to miss. Screener issues are for the guilds, never for the Oscars. And if they loved Amour, of course they were going to go all in for The Father.
yeah but what's surprising is that The Father hasn't been doing well except for BAFTA, no globe win, no critics choice, no sag ensemble nominaton, multiple snubs from guilds
Paul Raci followed by LaKeith Stanfield was a literal roller coaster 😂😂😂
Lakeith and Vinterberg were the biggest surprises!!
So happy with Thomas vinterberg
I've been refreshing my browser for the last 30 minutes for this video. Can't wait to see your reactions for Best Supporting Actor and Director!
I only get excited for it to come up to Oscar season 'cause I get to watch you both watch the nominees. One of the best parts of the year imo.
"Alphabetical bitch" is the best thing I've heard all day 😂👌 LOVE your guys' coverage, always look forward to it
Would’ve been better if he’d actually recognized that later in the vid, you can see multiple times he should’ve noticed films getting snubbed by name alone
@@Lamidemonami7891 You watch enough of their nomination reaction vids, and it's mystifying how they seem to forget their ABCs almost every time.
@@rangergrrrl agreed; you’d think they’d start writing this stuff down in advance (at least that’s what I do). You gotta have a list of every major possible nominee in each category so you know immediately who’s been skipped over and don’t have to realize 10 minutes later like they do
@@Lamidemonami7891 I guess we're both online. Funny. I love these guys, and the alphabetical order thing is an annual part of the fun, but I've thought the same thing: have a list in front of you, dudes! But maybe they'd think it would take away from the spontaneity or something. It's gonna be a looooooong wait until Jan-Feb when the new reactions happen...
Brother Bro: He is the Peter Ferr...
The Oscar Expert: THE FATHER GOT NOMINATED FOR BEST PICTURE!!!!
Lakeith with the supporting actor nom. We'll take it I guess
Nominate but not winning. It really should be Kaluuya
Also, sorry to everyone who predicted Rosamund Pike just because of her Golden Globe win. I’m glad I went with Andra Day for the nomination.
I think its difficult for Andra Day to win the oscar not many actors win when their the only nomination for the film
@@65g4 Last year Rene Zellweger was the only nomination for Judy Garland and she won
@@fdone9335 actually it got nominated for makeup as well
@@65g4 i forgot about that thnks for reminding
@@fdone9335 its rare but it can happen Julianne Moore pulled it off with Still Alice
I feel like why they didn’t put kaluya and stan field in supporting is cause everyone knows Chadwick is going to win lead
This might split the vote though!
They openly and publicly campaigned Stanfield in lead (which is why he was not even on Goldderby’s top 50 odds). It must have been write-ins, or the ballots guy accidentally (or not) writing his name on the ballots
I literaly screaming at the Razzie when they nominated Gleen Close
I was laughing so hard at your Lakeith reaction!!
Maria is competitive win and no one can deny that, girl made history.
And it wasn't Swankie, Olivia Cooke or Yeri han but Lakeith the surprise nominee!
There was no way Yeri Han can penetrate that invincible top 5 best actress. Lakeith made a much bigger impresson on viewers than Swankie or Cooke, and supporting actor is up in the air with only 3 locks so it allowed him
Nomadland is winning picture. This confirmed it. No film has lost Picture while winning both Director and Screenplay since Brokeback Mountain (the homophobia of it all) which was BEFORE the preferential ballot. With no real competition in that Adapted Screenplay category (The Father wont beat it, and Miami won’t win without a Picture nomination), Zhao’s double win will seal the deal. UNLESS theres a major upset in Adapted Screenplay and something not nominated for picture wins (last time this happened was in 2005 w/ Eternal Sunshine winning Original but that was back when only 5 films made it to Best Picture).
They could split it. I think "Judas & the Black Messiah" or even still "Trial of the Chicago 7" could potentially take the top prize. Even "Promising Young Woman," but I doubt it.
@@bryanismyname7583 absolutely. Just that w/o Nomadland losing the Adapted Screenplay award, it is extremelyyyyyyy unlikely that anything else will win BP at that point. But, stats are meant to be broken and the Oscars aren't a straightforward math equation, so fingers crossed the remaining guilds deliver and shake this BP category up so that it's a much more exciting Oscar sunday.
LAKEITH!?!? LOL who tf is the lead in Judas then
ALSO VINTERBERG YESSSSS
Nobody is the lead in Judas! That's just how it goes some years. But still, that was the most ridiculous nomination I've ever seen in my life!!!
That's the thing! Who's the lead lol
Meth Damon is the lead I guess lol
Frances McDormand will get her 3rd oscar even if she doesn't win for best actress. She is nominated as one of the producers of Nomadland.
TBH she is best actress up for nomination in either the leading or supporting categories, and Nomadland was great in considerable part to McDormand's ability to both transform into a fictitious character we would swear is real.
It was a long morning because they had to say borat full name ever time😂 Love your vids
I love how there was an ad JUST before LaKeith Stanfield so I had all that time to build up your reactions
So much diversity within these nominees. It's great to see.
It’s amazing how well Judas did. It didn’t really take off for most of awards season (aside from Kaluuya), then it ends up getting 6 nominations including Best Picture (!) And who would have thought that it would get screenplay over Mank?
It’s like this season’s Phantom Thread. Not even Critics’ Choice nominated it for Best Picture.
soooo happy for Sound Of Metal
Talk about actual "REACTIONS" you are letting me have it with the GASPS, SCREAMS, SHOCKING FACES. I screamed every time lol
“and it misses, it fucking misses for THE SHEEP.”
Pretty great nominations this year tbh except the fact that 'Never Rarely Sometimes Always', 'First Cow' and 'I'm Thinking of Ending Things', three of the best films of the year didn't get anything, they were never expected to anyways. And Delroy Lindo being snubbed. Apart from that, it's been a great year.
There are minor quibbles like Chicago 7 for cinematography, Close for Hillbilly Elegy and Borat for screenplay, but I'm overall very happy with these noms. Excellent best picture line up with the exception of Chicago 7.
I would have loved Sidney Flanigan over Andra Day or Talia Ryder in supporting actress! Never Rarely sometimes Always was such a great movie!
@@billyballo8925 Yes!! I would've loved to see Eliza Hittman nominated for Original screenplay too over Chicago 7.
@@rambunctiousrohan yeah, me too, but I already knew it was hopeless
Soooo happy for Vinterberg, Sean Bobbitt and Lakeith Stanfield, very deserved surprise nominations
We Love Brother Bro you're lucky you have a Cool clone of yourself to Hangout with and watch movies
*The Father - 6 nominations*
Picture, Actor, Supporting Actress, Screenplay, Editing, Production Design
*Judas and the Black Messiah - 6 nominations*
Picture, 2 Supporting Actor, Screenplay, Cinematography, Song
*Mank - 10 nominations*
Picture, Director, Actor, Supporting Actress, Cinematography, Costumes, Production Design, Score, Makeup, Sound
*Minari - 6 nominations*
Picture, Director, Screenplay, Actor, Suporting Actress, Score
*Nomadland - 6 nominations*
Picture, Director, Screenplay, Actress, Cinematography, Editing
*Promising Young Woman - 5 nominations*
Picture, Director, Screenplay, Actress, Editing
*Sound of Metal - 6 nominations*
Picture, Screenplay, Actor, Supporting Actor, Editing, Sound
*Trial of the Chicago 7 - 6 nominations*
Picture, Screenplay, Supporting Actor, Editing, Cinematography, Song
they all have 6
1.) Lakeith Stanfield case is similar to the ones of Keisha Castle Hughes (The Whale Rider) and Kate Winslet (The Reader) where Academy voters reject studio placements and place a performance in a category of their own wish. Where Hughes and Winslet went from supporting to lead at the oscars, for Stanfeild it's just the opposite.
2.) Does this mean vote splitting between Kaluuya and Stanfield or is Kaluuya like Octavia Spencer (The Help) who survives vote splitting?
Kaluuya is probably still winning, but I really hope some miracle for Paul Raci and he finally wins ♥
But that's really unlikely
Spencer sweeped from GG to Oscars. She had zero competition so I don't see the parallels here. I mean there was no sign that Chastain was getting any votes.
@@pb.j.1753 true
sad to see tahar rahim not get nominated over Gary Oldman. shame
Anyone else find it hilarious that Glenn Close got nominated for best and worst actress in the same year? 😂
Like Sandra Bullock, let's see if history repeats.
@@vnach299 But Sandra isn't nominated for the same performance though. The way they trying to push Glenn for that obvious reason, PATHETIC, she stole Foster's slot.
@@vnach299 Sandra Bullock was technically nominated for two DIFFERENT performances. Glenn Close is Oscar and Razzie-nominated for the SAME performance.
yall are so chaotic every year
I have been waiting for this video all year
You should be nominated for best editing
Stanfield stole Alan Kim's nomination. The Asian-American boy will be scarred until his next movie. (Insert dramatic music)
7:34 exactly the kind of hype we need in this Oscar season
🤣
I got 94/120 in Gold Derby. One behind the Oscar Expert and one better than Brother Bro. I still think you two are some of the best in the business!
(although I'm glad I didn't listen to you about The Mauritanian).
What ranking were you? I got 3677 out of 9329.
Overall solid and diverse bunch of nominess
I also love that INDIE'S were nominated here - unfortunately it will mean not many will watch the Oscar's because not many peeps will have watched many of these movies which is their loss.
Also, I really wonder if Shaka King or Darious Marder had a serious shot at the #5 directing slot...
I did good. I really like this selection of nominees.
I think this may be the first time in which one of the acting nominees had 0 people predicting them in their category. Lakeith Stanfield had 109 people predicting him for Best Actor but 0 for Best Supporting Actor. Wild.
Man y’all some freaks, but I love it
While the Mank leads the nominations I weirdly its in last place in the ranking. Missing Editing and Screenplay is pretty deadly. Other Picture nominees either did what was expected or overperformed.
Lakeith Stanfield in the supporting actor category and not lead has got to be one of the most ridiculous nominations in history!
Kate Winslet for The Reader was equally ridiculous cause she was clearly supporting.
@Reginald Wilson but was nominated and won for lead at the Oscars
@Reginald Wilson ? Kate Winslet won a Best Actress Oscar for The Reader...
@Ty Movie Database Alicia Vikander in supporting for The Danish Girl is pretty bad too. I mean, it worked out for her, but if Felicity Jones can be lead for The Theory of Everything why not her?
Makes no sense
I said that the love for Another Round would be more than be nominated for best intenational feature film.
But honestly I expected Mads Mikkelsen nominated for best actor, vintenberg getting in for directing was a pleasant surprise.
No ma rainy in best picture 😢
It seems like Nomadland is gonna win the big 3: adapted Screenplay, Director, Picture.
But if Promising Young Woman wins original screenplay and actress, do you think PYW could rival Nomadland for Best Picture?
My predictions were a little off. I had ranked them based on how likely they were to make it to this round.
*Picture:*
1) NOMADLAND.
2) THE TRIAL OF THE CHICAGO 7.
3) PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN.
4) MANK.
5) MINARI.
6) MA RAINEY'S BLACK BOTTOM.
7) JUDAS AND THE BLACK MESSIAH.
8) SOUND OF METAL.
9) ONE NIGHT IN MIAMI.
Other possibilities: BORAT SUBSEQUENT MOVIEFILM, THE FATHER and NEWS OF THE WORLD. A while ago, I also would've said DA 5 BLOODS and SOUL.
*Lead Actor:*
1) Chadwick Boseman.
2) Anthony Hopkins.
3) Riz Ahmed.
4) Gary Oldman.
5) Steven Yeun.
Other possibilities: Delroy Lindo, Mads Mikkelsen and Tahar Rahim.
*Lead Actress:*
1) Carey Mulligan.
2) Frances McDormand.
3) Viola Davis.
4) Vanessa Kirby.
5) Andra Day.
Other possibilities: Sidney Flanigan and Zendaya.
*Supporting Actor:*
1) Daniel Kaluuya.
2) Sacha Baron Cohen.
3) Leslie Odom Jr.
4) Paul Raci.
5) Chadwick Boseman.
Other possibilities: Frank Langella, Jared Leto, Bill Murray, Mark Rylance and David Strathairn.
*Supporting Actress:*
1) Olivia Colman.
2) Maria Bakalova.
3) Yuh-Jung Youn.
4) Amanda Seyfried.
5) Glenn Close.
Other possibilities: Ellen Burstyn, Jodie Foster, Talia Ryder and Helena Zengel.
*Directing:*
1) Chloe Zhao.
2) Emerald Fennell.
3) Aaron Sorkin.
4) David Fincher.
5) Lee Isaac Chung.
Other possibilities: Regina King and Florian Zeller. A while ago, I also would've said Spike Lee.
*Original Screenplay:*
1) PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN.
2) THE TRIAL OF THE CHICAGO 7.
3) MANK.
4) MINARI.
5) SOUND OF METAL.
Other possibilities: JUDAS AND THE BLACK MESSIAH, PALM SPRINGS and SOUL. A while ago, I also would've said NEVER RARELY SOMETIMES ALWAYS.
*Adapted Screenplay:*
1) NOMADLAND.
2) ONE NIGHT IN MIAMI.
3) MA RAINEY'S BLACK BOTTOM.
4) THE FATHER.
5) NEWS OF THE WORLD.
Other possibilities: BORAT SUBSEQUENT FILM and THE WHITE TIGER. A while ago, I also would've said FIRST COW and I'M THINKING OF ENDING THINGS.
*Cinematography:*
1) NOMADLAND.
2) MANK.
3) MINARI.
4) TENET.
5) JUDAS AND THE BLACK MESSIAH.
Other possibilities. DA 5 BLOODS, NEWS OF THE WORLD and THE TRIAL OF THE CHICAGO 7. A while ago, I also would've said FIRST COW.
*International Film:*
1) ANOTHER ROUND.
2) COLLECTIVE.
3) LA LLORONA.
4) TWO OF US.
5) QUO VADIS, AIDA?
Other possibilities: I'M NO LONGER HERE and THE MOLE AGENT.
*Animated Feature:*
1) SOUL.
2) WOLFWALKERS.
3) ONWARD.
4) OVER THE MOON.
5) THE CROODS PART 2: A NEW AGE.
*Documentary:*
1) TIME.
2) COLLECTIVE.
3) DICK JOHNSON IS DEAD.
4) ALL IN: THE FIGHT FOR DEMOCRACY.
5) WELCOME TO CHECHNYA.
Other possibilities: BOYS STATE and THE MOLE AGENT.
THEY SNUBBED MA RAINEY’S BLACK BOTTOM!! Idk why that cracked me up so much
I'm still surprised how many people on Gold Derby and you guys predicted the 5 DGA nominees for Oscars. They have only matched twice in the last 20 years!!!
And how is LaKeith Stanfield a supporting actor in Judas?!
Would anybody have gone Vinterberg though?
@@michaelangelo2192 I did but I also predicted Shaka King over Lee Isaac Chung. I knew that Vinterberg is the "international" possibility after Paweł Pawlikowski who also only got BAFTA as precursor.
@@pb.j.1753 Nice pick!!
It's called Judas *and* the Black Messiah. If you look at it like that, then the two Supporting noms make absolute sense.
Love your videos and how enthusiastic and informed you guys are! Keep it up!
Diane Warren should win, Seen is a better song than the other 4 nominees. The other 4 nominees were never nominated for Oscar before while this is Diane's 12th nod.
I agree, this song is absolutely beautiful
These guys entertain me and scare me at the same time. I love that they show their unfiltered emotions in their enthusiasm for films.
Kinda sad that MANK missed editing and writing nominations - would have had a chance then to equal the record set by JOHNNY BELINDA that lost in 11 different categories in 1949. And Am I the only one who finds it amusingly ironic that a movie about a writer who gets fucked over when writing an original movie screenplay - is itself fucked over by the Academy writers branch?
Johnny Belinda won Best Actress for Jane Wyman a.k.a. Ronald Reagan's first wife.
@@bryanismyname7583 Yep - Jane won, but it still lost in all the 11 other categories in which it was nominated. No other film lost in 11. Quite a few lost in 10 categories - The Turning Point, The Color Purple, Gangs Of New York, American Hustle a few others.
I love this chaotic vibe
You were already screaming 30 seconds in, even Schaffrillas Productions couldn’t do that.
Best Actor Oscar = SAG all 5
Best Actress Oscar = Golden Globes all 5
Best Supporting Actor = SAG plus Stanfield but minus Leto
Best Supporting Actress = Critics Choice minus Burstyn
I've been waiting for this video for hours
My best predictions ever, I beat all Experts and all Editors, ranking up at place 143 out of 9329 participants.
And one of the main reasons I did it was because I predicted the whole line up of Directing. Most of you are still not able to look outside of US, the nomination of Thomas Vinterberg was the most obvious thing during this hole awards season. He is undeniable.
And Mads Mikkelsen was very close, it is a shame that he missed due to two very inferior performances in the face of Oldman (boring and wooden) and Steven Yeun (moving, but a supporting player with very uncomplicated character).
Justice for Delroy Lindo
I’m mostly happy with all the noms but I’m very sad that “La Llorona” and “No Longer Here” didn’t get a nomination.
It’s bittersweet 😕 very European the noms in that category, except for Better Days of course.
And Tunisia
@@notordinarynothing you’re right!! I forgot about that one
Can't believe Lakeith pulled a Jonah hill I'm so happy
What does “pulled a Jonah Hill” mean?
@@seankoontz4235 got nominated with no major precursores
I’ve been refreshing today until this video shows up. So worth it!!
United 93 was nominated for director and not picture