RUSSIAN Mortgage Crisis

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  • Опубліковано 3 гру 2024

КОМЕНТАРІ • 412

  • @JoeBlogs
    @JoeBlogs  День тому +25

    Go to tryfum.com/JOEBLOGS or scan the QR code and use code JOEBLOGS to get your free FÜM Topper when you order your Journey Pack today.

    • @rm847
      @rm847 День тому +1

      Hi Joe, thank you for all the amazing videos. ❤ 👍

    • @MasterCommander.
      @MasterCommander. 23 години тому +1

      Joe you have addicted us to your business and economy reports that depends up on politics which highly affects the economy, but the addiction is not only to click and see your video-reports of business-economy-politics but also addicted to your end of video "smile brief-section" . Sometimes we want to quit after seeing all the important 75% of the video, but we can't without seeing the end smile brief section.

    • @kaiying74
      @kaiying74 20 годин тому +1

      Dangerous sponsor. It's not flavoured air, you're inhaling essential oils. Irresponsible.

    • @DUCKDUCKGOISMUCHBETTER
      @DUCKDUCKGOISMUCHBETTER 16 годин тому

      Stop intentionally pushing false Russian economic talking points. The Russian rate of inflation is NOT ~"8%", it is 25% to 30%. And furthermore you KNOW it! 😡

  • @jacquelinetaylor8683
    @jacquelinetaylor8683 День тому +194

    Building of homes may have gone up in Western Russia but in the rural areas of the rest of Russia people are still living in shacks without indoor toilets or made up roads. Russia is as we say in the north of England is "All fur coat and no knickers"

    • @darthwiizius
      @darthwiizius День тому +23

      All shacks and no shitters, is the gonna be the Russian version of the idiom. Round my way (north western East Anglia) is: All mouth and no trousers.

    • @Emerott
      @Emerott День тому +15

      30 millions Russians only have outhouses. That's all you know about the state of the society.

    • @lajoyalobos2009
      @lajoyalobos2009 День тому +6

      ​@@Emerott communal outhouses. That's why toilet looting was so popular in the beginning of the war. I'm sure they figured out eventually that plumbing and sewage is required for toilets and they gave up on the dream of having a personal porcelain throne back at home.

    • @jingbot1071
      @jingbot1071 День тому +1

      Russia is the best kind of date?

    • @Notrusbot
      @Notrusbot 23 години тому +3

      ​@@Emerottas usual, everything was distorted. in those statistics there were houses not connected to the central sewerage system. they may have a septic tank, and not a hole in the ground

  • @lajoyalobos2009
    @lajoyalobos2009 День тому +94

    The fact that they quit the mortgage subsidization tells us something: they couldn't afford to keep it up with the ongoing and ever increasing war costs. It's the age old "butter vs bullets" conundrum coming into play yet again. You can't have a full blown war economy AND a healthy normal economy at the same time, one has to give way for the other.

    • @Jueyes-vg2gb
      @Jueyes-vg2gb 23 години тому

      you can if you print your own global reserve currency, of course at the expense of your citizens, but who cares. THey are slaves anyway and dont even know it

    • @torbenlarsen331
      @torbenlarsen331 22 години тому +5

      And why subsidise private owners? Other taxpayers living in rented apartments have tributed to this, but they won't receive money of the revenue when the properties are sold.
      I guess Putin wanted to help his friends in their palaces 😊.

    • @lajoyalobos2009
      @lajoyalobos2009 22 години тому +3

      @torbenlarsen331 Mortgage subsidization is probably a whole other can of worms that could be discussed. The issue though, is that it's definitely seen as a "luxury expense" which had to be cut due to other costs. Also, pulling it out and seeing the drop afterwards is definitely indicative of a problem as it looks like that market was dependent on being subsidized. It looks like it was being used as a crutch, which was suddenly ripped away.

    • @stephenoneill245
      @stephenoneill245 22 години тому +3

      And when his war chest is empty, both pack up.

  • @user-mad7max11dystopia
    @user-mad7max11dystopia 23 години тому +130

    You’d think the only hot real estate in Russia would be cemetery plots.

    • @downwithputube
      @downwithputube 21 годину тому +10

      We've already seen Russian undertakers promoting people to go to the front.

    • @davefave4351
      @davefave4351 21 годину тому +9

      Oil refining and storage is pretty hot at the moment!

    • @GHST995
      @GHST995 17 годин тому +1

      Heyo!

    • @bsuper63
      @bsuper63 16 годин тому +1

    • @martinogold
      @martinogold 9 годин тому

      Boom! 💥 You win the comments today.

  • @hybridarmyoffreeworld
    @hybridarmyoffreeworld 19 годин тому +20

    There is a reason why in Finnish verb "Ryssiä" (Muscovy ) , roughly meaning "to totally fail something".

  • @abcd-ev7jg
    @abcd-ev7jg День тому +111

    The ruble is turning into RUBBLE. The Russian army is turning into RUBBLE. And now Russian buildings are turning into RUBBLE.

    • @joojoojeejee6058
      @joojoojeejee6058 23 години тому

      And RUBBLE will turn into SHIT in Russia. That's because everything in Russia is shit, except piss. (An old Finnish saying.)

    • @EmpiricalEmpire-ei7eo
      @EmpiricalEmpire-ei7eo 22 години тому +2

      really, well let me give you some real facts, not wishful thinking like some people ho have a youtube channel.
      1. at this time of year the big companies that still owe money to the US and other countries pay they yearly debt off at this time, which means they turns Rubles in to US dollar to pay that debt. that why every year at this time the Ruble falls.
      2. at the moment we have what is called a push inflation that is caused by 3 things 2 of which is happening here in Russia and these are
      2a - the price of raw goods are going up that is due to the fact that more companies have opened up here and they are fighting for those goods thus offering higher prices than their competitors
      2b - wages are going up due to the fact that more companies have opened thus in order to get the work force they have to offer higher wages than their competitors, as it is 3/4 of the wages here is only needed to live on. thus they have extra money which they can spend on.
      these 2 reasons are why inflation is rising.
      now has for the interest rates, well a high interest rate also means that if you put money in the saving you get a higher interest on that money at the moment here is 18% on you money you leave in the bank, unlike the UK which is 3% and the US 4-5% so if you put 100 in to a bank in Russia you get 18 in interest, were in the US you only get 5
      at the moment the salaries are 125, 000 Rubles which 90 000 is needed to pay the mortgage / buy food / any so.
      leaving 35 000 as spare cash to buy what you want or put into savings.
      so having a 100 in your saving get you what
      Russia = 16 low tax
      USA = 5 high tax
      UK = 3 high tax
      so it better to have your money in Russia.
      the Russia government has 3 slush funds totalling of around +/- 10 trillion dollars that 1/3 of the USA government debt while the Russian government debt is 800 billion. 10% of it GDP.
      that is 12 times their total debt
      why do you think that the Russian have not made a big fuss about the 380 billion dollars that the EU stole from them, and they did steal it.
      while the UK debt is running around about 98% of GDP
      the USA debt is running at 102% of GDP
      the EU debt is running at 81%
      so how countries is RUBBLE.
      now let look at the USA and UK.
      in the UK the average person is said to have 60 000 in personal debt. while the average salary is 35 000 that 2 twice what the person earns per year
      while in the USA you need a 110 000 in order to get a mortgage for a house while the average salary is 55 000 so both partners need to earn more than 55 000.
      the USA, UK and the EU is a debt driven countries which means that with out debt the economy will stop.
      it is said that 80% of the USA UK and EU live hand to mouth meaning that they just have enough money it pay their debts and feed themselves, with no spare cash to save.

    • @abcd-ev7jg
      @abcd-ev7jg 22 години тому

      @@EmpiricalEmpire-ei7eo That's fantastic, tell Putin, he'll be very happy.

    • @WestermanT.
      @WestermanT. 22 години тому

      @@EmpiricalEmpire-ei7eowhat a load of nonsense, have you ever just sat back and thought how full of it you are. I’m embarrassed you exist, it must be a real burden knowing you and your family, I bet the people around you switch off when you start talking.

    • @EmpiricalEmpire-ei7eo
      @EmpiricalEmpire-ei7eo 22 години тому +1

      @@abcd-ev7jg
      what don't like the truth. well facts dont care how you feel, and we see that you have no facts to counter me.

  • @dcc70
    @dcc70 День тому +64

    I wonder how many mortgages went into default because the mortgage holder didn't return from the battlefield

    • @RomanKovbasyuk
      @RomanKovbasyuk 22 години тому

      Not many. The family of the liquidated Russian war criminals usually get a hefty sum as blood money, and they could use those to pay off the mortgage.

    • @tomkocur
      @tomkocur 20 годин тому +1

      demographics might be different, so I don't think the number would be particularly high.

  • @baeb66
    @baeb66 День тому +43

    They have an aging population, a declining population, and they are sending an entire generation of Russian men to their doom in Ukraine. Who is buying this housing?

    • @MrHattley
      @MrHattley День тому +1

      I imagine it's the Military leadership on the ground. You know immediately when the owner is gone and how much family they had.

    • @MrMakabar
      @MrMakabar 23 години тому +2

      A lot of Russian housing sucks badly and inflation eats up your debt, if you have a fixed mortgage.

    • @MrHattley
      @MrHattley 23 години тому

      @@MrMakabar So it's easy to prey on vulnerable folks? They probably love it when people fail their obligations.

    • @joojoojeejee6058
      @joojoojeejee6058 23 години тому +1

      Urbanization is a thing and little by little the countryside is getting emptier, and I guess the most popular cities need more apartments (in a vacuum anyway). Also old buildings might be in bad shape and new ones are being built on those plots. Or would be, if the economy allowed it. I guess from now on Russians will have to make do with the buildings they already have, for the most part...

    • @EmpiricalEmpire-ei7eo
      @EmpiricalEmpire-ei7eo 21 годину тому

      @@MrMakabar
      inflation is only a temperay, the Russia salaries are a lot better than in the US 1/4 is spare cash about 35 000. and with the amount of jobs been created it forcing the salaries up.
      as a person that live here I should know better than you, and in Siberia the mortgage rates ate about 4.1%

  • @philipnie6614
    @philipnie6614 День тому +121

    Listening to Christmas music, watching Joe Blogs videos while seeing the Russian economy slowly dying is such a vibe this year❤😊

    • @marcisgulbis9310
      @marcisgulbis9310 23 години тому

      Sanctions against Russian refined oil products are working very well

    • @Jueyes-vg2gb
      @Jueyes-vg2gb 22 години тому

      Dont get too happy, I can see the future, and its nuclear. Tick Tock, all of what you see is theater but good luck ever figuring that out. People just cannot accept reality when its right in front of them, if you are rich, if I were you, id get to the southern hemisphere before Friday the 13th 12/13 Good luck friend

    • @justskip4595
      @justskip4595 6 годин тому +1

      Christmas music? Try waiting 20 more days. Also premature Christmas decorating is forbidden.

  • @joaomarreiros4906
    @joaomarreiros4906 День тому +41

    Real Estate in Russia comes with an infestation of Poutins, very expensive to get rid of, and very toxic.

  • @peterpan7903
    @peterpan7903 23 години тому +29

    It will be interesting to see what the Russian banks do when the companies building the apartment blocks can no longer sell them and therefore cannot repay the loans to the banks. Then there are the apartment buyers who cannot repay their loans. Whether the Russian central bank will still have enough money to support the big banks when so much money has been poured into the army is also questionable. If I were Russian, I would be very worried about my savings.

    • @BobAbc0815
      @BobAbc0815 5 годин тому

      It would not be the first Time that the Russian Government makes a Currency Reform that anihilates Savings.

  • @truthbsaid1600
    @truthbsaid1600 22 години тому +7

    Here is an interesting footnote: I have an acquaintance in Kaliningrad and close to her house, a developer had been constructing for the past two years a large apartment complex to sell the individual units. But due to the lack of sufficient early sales and the high cost of further construction loans, the entire project was demolished last month. Just empty land now.

    • @Lucy-fq8rj
      @Lucy-fq8rj 11 годин тому +2

      Wow! The construction company must have taken an unbelievable economic hit by destroying everything! Thanks for sharing 👍

  • @andrejsasd8904
    @andrejsasd8904 23 години тому +22

    With ~4.5% interest rate, half of my monthly payment goes to cover the interest rate and the other half goes to decrease the loan itself. I can't imagine the interest rate of 30% or 40%. Basically, your monthly payment drastically increases and you can BARELY afford to pay off the interest..

    • @EmpiricalEmpire-ei7eo
      @EmpiricalEmpire-ei7eo 22 години тому

      have a read at this, is the Ture sate of Russia, by an English speaking business man in Russia ME.
      really, well let me give you some real facts, not wishful thinking like some people how have a youtube channel.
      1. at this time of year the big companies that still owe money to the US and other countries pay they yearly debt off at this time, which means they turns Rubles in to US dollar to pay that debt. that why every year at this time the Ruble falls.
      2. at the moment we have what is called a push inflation that is caused by 3 things 2 of which is happening here in Russia and these are
      2a - the price of raw goods are going up that is due to the fact that more companies have opened up here and they are fighting for those goods thus offering higher prices than their competitors
      2b - wages are going up due to the fact that more companies have opened thus in order to get the work force they have to offer higher wages than their competitors, as it is 3/4 of the wages here is only needed to live on. thus they have extra money which they can spend on.
      these 2 reasons are why inflation is rising.
      now has for the interest rates, well a high interest rate also means that if you put money in the saving you get a higher interest on that money at the moment here is 18% on you money you leave in the bank, unlike the UK which is 3% and the US 4-5% so if you put 100 in to a bank in Russia you get 18 in interest, were in the US you only get 5
      at the moment the salaries are 125, 000 Rubles which 90 000 is needed to pay the mortgage / buy food / any so.
      leaving 35 000 as spare cash to buy what you want or put into savings.
      so having a 100 in your saving get you what
      Russia = 16 low tax
      USA = 5 high tax
      UK = 3 high tax
      so it better to have your money in Russia.
      the Russia government has 3 slush funds totalling of around +/- 10 trillion dollars that 1/3 of the USA government debt while the Russian government debt is 800 billion. 10% of it GDP.
      that is 12 times their total debt
      why do you think that the Russian have not made a big fuss about the 380 billion dollars that the EU stole from them, and they did steal it.
      while the UK debt is running around about 98% of GDP
      the USA debt is running at 102% of GDP
      the EU debt is running at 81%
      so how countries is RUBBLE.
      now let look at the USA and UK.
      in the UK the average person is said to have 60 000 in personal debt. while the average salary is 35 000 that 2 twice what the person earns per year
      while in the USA you need a 110 000 in order to get a mortgage for a house while the average salary is 55 000 so both partners need to earn more than 55 000.
      the USA, UK and the EU is a debt driven countries which means that with out debt the economy will stop.
      it is said that 80% of the USA UK and EU live hand to mouth meaning that they just have enough money it pay their debts and feed themselves, with no spare cash to save.

    • @EmpiricalEmpire-ei7eo
      @EmpiricalEmpire-ei7eo 22 години тому +1

      here something that will make you cry even more and show how much cheaper it is here. Yekaterinburg a 2 bedroom apartment in the centre North, close to the city centre is 19000 Rub (190 us dollars ).
      to but that apartment it 500,000 RUB ( 5,000 US dollars) with a mortgage from 4.1% the same as what the USA pay in interest.

    • @rmdomainer9042
      @rmdomainer9042 21 годину тому +6

      @@EmpiricalEmpire-ei7eo What a nonsensical post. No real russian at Dvach's biz forum would agree with you.

    • @EmpiricalEmpire-ei7eo
      @EmpiricalEmpire-ei7eo 21 годину тому

      @@rmdomainer9042
      and since I live in Siberia I think I should know the house prices

    • @EmpiricalEmpire-ei7eo
      @EmpiricalEmpire-ei7eo 20 годин тому

      @@rmdomainer9042
      yes they would, since it fact... I just pulled that over 1 hour ago

  • @WorldCitizen0000
    @WorldCitizen0000 23 години тому +33

    More good news coming from Mordor. Now we have to wait to hear about burst pipes, crumbling infrastructure....and frostbite!

    • @Llortnerof
      @Llortnerof 22 години тому +5

      Konstantin has already had reports of that last week. Specificially, bursting heating pipes because of crumbling infrastructure...

    • @olafthebear2327
      @olafthebear2327 22 години тому +2

      It's starting to get colder again now, actually

    • @stream2watch
      @stream2watch 18 годин тому +4

      I loved that bit from the last winter. The hot water pipes bursting (probably due to spare parts being sanctioned) turning roads into rivers. I want to see 1000x of that.

  • @busboy262
    @busboy262 23 години тому +14

    It really puts into perspective mortgage rates in the US and other countries over the last 20+ years. Some are now bitterly complaining that some loans are up to 8% now. Imagine looking back on 8% as the good ol' days.

    • @blablup1214
      @blablup1214 22 години тому

      But they had big wage growth at the same time.
      Some people make in rubles 30,% 40% or 50% more than a few years ago....

    • @oglordbrandon
      @oglordbrandon 22 години тому

      It's 8% but on often more than a million dollars.

    • @EmpiricalEmpire-ei7eo
      @EmpiricalEmpire-ei7eo 21 годину тому

      @@blablup1214
      yes you are not wrong there, but here houses are cheaper than in the US, with about the same mortgage rates of 4.1% and when your wages are greater than your expensive then what. here in Russia. 1/4 of the wages are spare cash can you say the same in your country

    • @blablup1214
      @blablup1214 21 годину тому

      ​@@EmpiricalEmpire-ei7eo About half of my income is spare cash. But this isn't common.

  • @brassroots2024
    @brassroots2024 23 години тому +19

    What intrigues me is why so many rural Russian properties are in such appalling condition. Slava Ukraine!

    • @davidl.7317
      @davidl.7317 14 годин тому

      Because Russia is so corrupt. Everyone in the process takes a "cut". That, and the fact that Russia does not have a diverse business sector, they mainly sell hydrocarbon fuels, fertilizer and once, sold military equipment, though that sector seems to be dying internationally.
      Putin is an abject failure of a leader imho.

    • @davidl.7317
      @davidl.7317 14 годин тому +2

      Interest rates that will destroy the Russian economy. Putin made some very poor decisions considering pre-war, the international money was pouring in for hydrocarbons.

    • @krisradjpaul278
      @krisradjpaul278 2 години тому

      30% of Russia does not have indoor plumbing.

  • @robinc7669
    @robinc7669 День тому +17

    Russian authorities spent "...around 1 Trillion Rubles.." on discounted mortgages.
    So around USD$4.13, then?

  • @thomasault2636
    @thomasault2636 День тому +27

    Brother Joe, what is happening with domestic gasoline and heating costs in RuZzZzia?

    • @EmpiricalEmpire-ei7eo
      @EmpiricalEmpire-ei7eo 21 годину тому

      dont ask him he has know idea.
      the gas prices here is 75 RUB per litre (0.75 USD). and heating as like most place go up in winter but not by much. 1.45% increase

    • @johnridout6540
      @johnridout6540 9 годин тому

      The export ban on refined petroleum and price controls is keeping the price down at the pump. It's a short term measure to paper over the cracks.

    • @EmpiricalEmpire-ei7eo
      @EmpiricalEmpire-ei7eo 8 годин тому

      @@johnridout6540
      no it been around about that price for Years, and yes the Russian government does supplement the prices but that been a Russian think going as far back as 2008 when I first moved my whole company operation here.
      wishful think does not make things come true

    • @wolflarsen1900
      @wolflarsen1900 4 години тому

      @@EmpiricalEmpire-ei7eo woa thats so expensive. i cant believe how much cheaper the gas is here in the west as in russia, the gas station who tries to be a country. with an average of 800 dollar income in russia gas is, several times more expensive in russias as in europe. Russia really is an unbelivable poor country when even gas is several times more expensive for russians than for us. thanks god we are not russian right. And yes you are right, joe really isnt that good. but i like to watch him sometimes because he entertains us all about the downfall of russia. lets drink our coffee in the rich west and have fun watching our daily entertainment. russias downspiral at least will us entertain for the next 3 years, allthough i hope they will hold trough for at least 5 years until they collapse. thats important for the long term effects for russia, for entertainment purposes and least for me as a german (dont know where you are from) the war is pretty helpfull for our rearmament and the millitary industry. it will need at least 5 years to completely rearm the millitary but considering that russia looses 10000 soldiers every week now, i hope north corea can help out, because otherwise i dont know wheather russia will hold 5 additional years

  • @melissabruhn1429
    @melissabruhn1429 День тому +15

    Another indicator...another bit of info re: Russian economy. Thank you for explaining comparison to China-subsidy scheme. Belt tightening indeed in property sector. Inflation...is going to go up. GDP down. Thanks Joe! Triple boop! 🥰

  • @robinwhitebeam4386
    @robinwhitebeam4386 22 години тому +3

    house prices up by 6% and general inflation 28% means that the real value of property is declining.

  • @hillbilly4895
    @hillbilly4895 День тому +28

    I still don't think Putin cares.
    Not yet anyway.

    • @davidl.7317
      @davidl.7317 14 годин тому +1

      I cannot imagine he does not have severe anxiety.
      With his shaking hands, shuffling feet and, at times bloated face, I would not be surprised if he is as drugged up as a former leader of Germany was before his suicide.

  • @CalgarGTX
    @CalgarGTX 23 години тому +9

    Thing is russia had an almost static population so no great need for a booming construction sector, but the state cancelling subsidy programs is one more nail in the coffin indicating they don't have the 'fiscal freedom' anymore to keep it running.
    The more things like this get cancelled the more disgruntled people there will be.
    Their publicly shared budget predictions make absolutely no sense. On a static or decreasing tax revenue basis, they plan (on paper) to keep sustaining all their public services and subsidies expenses at previous year level while boosting military expenses like +40%. If you learnt any maths at school, it doesn't work like that...

    • @RomanKovbasyuk
      @RomanKovbasyuk 22 години тому +3

      The RF has a dwindling population. The need for new construction is driven more by the fact that many #OrdinaryRussians live in old flats in buildings which were considered temporary even during construction (like those infamous panel blocks from 1970s, which had 40 years of expected lifetime)

    • @EmpiricalEmpire-ei7eo
      @EmpiricalEmpire-ei7eo 21 годину тому

      @@RomanKovbasyuk
      they no longer exist. Yekaterinburg a 2 bedroom apartment in the centre North, close to the city centre is 19000 Rub (190 us dollars ).
      to but that apartment it 500,000 RUB ( 5,000 US dollars) with a mortgage from 4.1% the same as what the USA pay in interest.
      and that brand new built.

  • @Be-Es---___
    @Be-Es---___ 23 години тому +11

    Who needs houses, when graveyards are cheaper?

  • @cpk313
    @cpk313 23 години тому +8

    That construction output chart is insane

  • @dirusso3030
    @dirusso3030 День тому +27

    😂 I can't believe how high the mortgage Rates in RUzzia 🤯. I'm paying 4% now, this is the highest I ever had paid, before I used to pay 2.99% in my first house and later 3.6% in my second House.

    • @videodukeuk
      @videodukeuk День тому +5

      This is an interesting comment, but just for clarity, for information (and possibly a reminder to the older folks) that the UK mortgage (interest) rates (again just for clarity in the UK) in the mid 1990's did rise to over 13.5 %, which, at the time was a very tough situation for many, so, please be aware that interest rates can and do fluctuate quite wildly.

    • @bg7290
      @bg7290 22 години тому +1

      Most Americans didn't experience. This. A 9% rate was normal in the 80s and 90s here. The 21st century has been skewed due to reduced rates following the 2008 crash so you basically just got lucky at your age

    • @truthbsaid1600
      @truthbsaid1600 22 години тому +2

      Now my 5.25% mortgage in USA seems low.

    • @stephenoneill245
      @stephenoneill245 22 години тому

      @@videodukeuk But there is very little rented accommodation in UK. It is mainly owner-occupier. It's a different scenario. In Germany, for example, it is mainly rented properties. A good retirement scheme is to build a house with 4-6 flats, live in one and rent the rest out.

    • @videodukeuk
      @videodukeuk 17 годин тому +1

      Lots of interesting comments n thoughts...., bottom line, interest in UK rates have been historically low for quite some years.... great, but, thats not the norm.... and intetest rates can be very, very high.... thats a fault of Putin.
      Regards
      P xx

  • @IamRemoWilliams
    @IamRemoWilliams 23 години тому +5

    Joe the man!!Love the channel

  • @Horologiist
    @Horologiist День тому +8

    And in January 25 the new income taxes progression kicks in. So if you have a mortgage running on floating interest youll not only pay more for it but youll receive less money from your work because of taxation. Next Putin is likely going to offer a debt relief if youre going to sign a contract with the military. Then the trap will snap. 1st youve been encouraged to move job to military industrial complex and to buy a new home for you and your family on low mortgages, then the 8% slipped away, then the better income from the new job benefits less and its cold in Russia in January, February, March and April... and youll find yourself in the trenches of Kharkiv.

    • @Notrusbot
      @Notrusbot 23 години тому

      taxes will be raised for people who earn more than 250,000 per month ($2,500 after taxes. health insurance, pension contributions, personal income tax paid by the employer) while you yourself say that the average salary in Russia is $300. therefore, your conclusions are far from reality

    • @jakobole
      @jakobole 23 години тому +1

      That's perfectly sinister.

    • @joojoojeejee6058
      @joojoojeejee6058 23 години тому

      I doubt Russians will get anywhere near Kharkiv anymore.

    • @stephenoneill245
      @stephenoneill245 22 години тому

      I think he's already offering debt relief if you sign up.

  • @Emerott
    @Emerott День тому +9

    The future unemployed could enlist any time.

  • @philmcostrich7741
    @philmcostrich7741 22 години тому +2

    Thanks Joe, can't get enough of it!

  • @andym4695
    @andym4695 День тому +10

    A lot of people are going to be upside down, down, sounds like.

  • @JohnSnow-vf8jo
    @JohnSnow-vf8jo День тому +7

    Poor old ruskies.

  • @danielmcinnes20
    @danielmcinnes20 22 години тому +3

    👌, as always!! Thanks Joe! Slava Ukraine 🇺🇦!!

  • @MasterCommander.
    @MasterCommander. 23 години тому +5

    @Joe Blogs . Joe you have addicted us to your business and economy reports that depends up on politics which highly affects the economy, but the addiction is not only to click and see your video-reports of business-economy-politics but also addicted to your end of the video "the end-smile-section" . Sometimes we want to quit after seeing all the important 75% of the video, but we can't without seeing the smile brief end section.

  • @Kevin-t2t5r
    @Kevin-t2t5r 16 годин тому +1

    Love your work Joe👍.

  • @robertdavis3433
    @robertdavis3433 20 годин тому +1

    One of your best videos. When people can't buy a house , it will reflect very badly on Putin. They may get rid of him. From Sacramento

  • @daviddelgado6090
    @daviddelgado6090 21 годину тому +2

    It's so odd looking at mortgage rates in Russia from the US. Even at a subsided 8% it's high. At 28% it's insane. For reference, the mortgage rate in the US is 4.8%>

    • @EmpiricalEmpire-ei7eo
      @EmpiricalEmpire-ei7eo 21 годину тому

      hate to burst your bubble but the mortgage rates here are 4.1% not 28% have no idea where his getting is numbers from. maybe the little voice in his head.

    • @daviddelgado6090
      @daviddelgado6090 20 годин тому

      @EmpiricalEmpire-ei7eo here where?

    • @EmpiricalEmpire-ei7eo
      @EmpiricalEmpire-ei7eo 18 годин тому

      @@daviddelgado6090
      so let me get this right you would take the world of some one that has never been here as no idea about what it really like here, over the word of some one that lives here. that sounds a bit silly to me.
      if you want to see for yourself message me on my site and I will give you the ad link so you can see for your self

  • @1conkers1
    @1conkers1 23 години тому +1

    3:19 fun to inbox….really 😂. I love the other content though so keep up the good videos buddy

  • @paulyoung4422
    @paulyoung4422 День тому +14

    Russian Economy, one house = one bag of potatoes.

  • @architect4595
    @architect4595 22 години тому +1

    There is still influx of capital (compensation for wounded or killed soldiers), which is usually being invested in small (1 bedroom) apartments for a BTL scheme. In this sector, you might even see some growth.....

  • @magnus6003
    @magnus6003 22 години тому +2

    Who doesn't enjoy some bad news for the country that shall not be mentioned.

  • @darkname86
    @darkname86 17 годин тому +1

    Hello Joe, can you make a video about the Romanian stock market and what happened to it in the past weak? Thank you, you are a real one.

  • @terryallan1110
    @terryallan1110 День тому +17

    The poor young people are screwed

    • @janrunetraa2677
      @janrunetraa2677 День тому

      Yes, ...but do they support the criminal war against Ukraine?

    • @anderslagerqvist2642
      @anderslagerqvist2642 День тому +1

      If they are still alive 😢

    • @bpd9660
      @bpd9660 22 години тому

      If you can leave.. leave..

  • @jppalm3944
    @jppalm3944 День тому +5

    Looks like China

  • @tracyalan7201
    @tracyalan7201 21 годину тому +3

    It's hard to feel sorry for Russia & China, as the internal problems of their leadership and confidence in the government is self-inflicted, that it's impossible to foresee a long-term future for either administration. Granted that it could be worse and be North Korea, it could be no better than Argentina. Of course, now that Trump believers & Republicans have given Trump and Republicans control of the Presidency, Judiciary, Senate and Congress, we'll see if Joe will be providing videos on the United States soon enough.

    • @hippopotamus6765
      @hippopotamus6765 12 годин тому

      Yes, the US is in for a huge surprise.
      Trump's madness
      / incompetence will screw the economy, resulting in massive social tension and unrest on a scale not seen before in our lifetime.

  • @jeffhoefer8995
    @jeffhoefer8995 15 годин тому +1

    Hey Jo,
    What's going on with the Russian Ruble now? Can you explain why it has stabilized around 106? Is it easier for the Russian's to support the ruble now that it isn't traded? So many questions

  • @ronmorrell9809
    @ronmorrell9809 16 годин тому +1

    Won't people be underwater on their loans and stop paying? The banks will foreclose on worthless collateral, just like US in 2008. Banks are already floundering. This will result in total collapse of the sector. Oligarchs will be miffed.

  • @gerryhouska2859
    @gerryhouska2859 21 годину тому +2

    I shall try FUME once they develop flavours of baking bread, frying bacon and brewing coffee.

  • @erlinggaratun6726
    @erlinggaratun6726 21 годину тому +3

    Once building stops, wont the builders be sent to the war?

  • @Joaodocaminhao0234
    @Joaodocaminhao0234 23 години тому +4

    Thank you

  • @dutchbavarian
    @dutchbavarian 11 годин тому

    A huge issue will also become "under water" mortgages as house pricing starts to deteriorate. This means as morgage loans fold, banks will sit on properties which will not cover the full morgage.

  • @ovejohanromstad8575
    @ovejohanromstad8575 День тому +12

    This is sot sustainable for property owners.

  • @Greenbambu78
    @Greenbambu78 День тому +8

    do you mean China Tofu buldings and gosh cities soon will be a copy and paste function in Russia?

  • @michelleagnew8780
    @michelleagnew8780 18 годин тому

    Thank you for putting in the research for this video 😇

  • @welbhloud
    @welbhloud 9 годин тому

    I always love you initial grin:D It's like... "Hi lets watch some poor devil's house burn while eating popcorn and discussing what caused the fire as he is trying to pull his burning bed out into the snowy night. It'll be hillarious" And it is. It truly is.

  • @bobbrown8661
    @bobbrown8661 22 години тому +2

    Geeze even the Russian loansharks are starting to look comparatively more appealing than the Russian central bank

  • @generessler6282
    @generessler6282 3 години тому

    Thanks Joe. Thanks for this.

  • @JohnHMarsden
    @JohnHMarsden 21 годину тому +1

    Thank you Joe

  • @islandmonusvi
    @islandmonusvi 19 годин тому

    Inflation reduction requires production in actual physical infrastructure. No building means more inflation until the depression takes over with stagflation. Within three years the loss of productive capacity effects the entire economy

  • @tedcruz1774
    @tedcruz1774 День тому +1

    Don't forget! Joe has a Finance Channel too!!!

  • @susannearmstrong3424
    @susannearmstrong3424 21 годину тому +1

    So people who got 6% mortgages would that be fixed for the life of the mortgage or would they have to renew their mortgage at the new rates. If they have to renew their mortgages they would go from 6% to currant interest rates or would higher currant rate only apply to new mortgages being taken out not existing mortgages

    • @veikovasko5603
      @veikovasko5603 21 годину тому

      Was wondering the same thing. If the rate is fixed for the duration, these people can pay off the principal for the price of a block of butter within just a few years.

  • @NeonTrapperKeeper
    @NeonTrapperKeeper 10 годин тому

    Thank you Mr. Blogs

  • @robertfindley921
    @robertfindley921 19 годин тому +1

    Just another thing for Trump's todo list:
    1) Force Ukraine to capitulate
    2) Drop sanctions on Russia
    3) Bolster ruble
    4) Blame Harris
    5) Go after all judges and prosecutors who indicted him
    6) Fix Russian property crisis
    7) ...

    • @hippopotamus6765
      @hippopotamus6765 12 годин тому

      + Industrialised grifting for himself, family and friends.

  • @chrisjeffery9582
    @chrisjeffery9582 18 годин тому

    A crazy thought just crossed my mind, "what if they are intentionally taking out the industry to get more people into other jobs/to increase unemployment/to get more meat for the grinder"

  • @stuzza4526
    @stuzza4526 18 годин тому

    What are the Loan-to-Value ratios of old mortgages if they are re-calculated using current house prices? They were overestimating this while the subsidy was in place because the resale value of the new house was much less than the purchase price (purchase price was driven up by subsidy eligibility while resale was not eligible; however the resale value is one that is most important in case of default). Just wondering if the Russian mortgage industry is still trying to cover this bubble up by tweaking LVR stats, or maybe they don’t even publish them anymore.

  • @judithgilbert3536
    @judithgilbert3536 21 годину тому

    Question is, are mortgage rates in Ruzzia fixed or floating? If floating, what are the constraints on the float? Not enough information here, Joe.

    • @Dabloodymess
      @Dabloodymess 18 годин тому

      In my experience, as someone who purchased an apartment in Moscow, mortgage rates are fixed.

  • @supergoujon4776
    @supergoujon4776 18 годин тому

    What also needs to be considered is the potential glut of properties on the market from the depleted wage earning population directly attributed to the war and those leaving RuZZia to avoid conscription. With a glut of unaffordable homes hitting the market, not only will constructors go broke, but the value of homes fall into negative equity triggering the banks to demand repayment creating a spiralling doom loop of bankruptcies which will put the banks under increasing pressure until they begin to fail.

  • @junecampsall7474
    @junecampsall7474 23 години тому

    Great video Joe

  • @underdog578
    @underdog578 20 годин тому +1

    The Russian economy is clearly overheated, with very low unemployment, and widespread labor shortages. In some way, a downturn in construction will alleviate these pressures, but at significant cost. The government will receive less in taxes, and will have to spend more in social programs, and if things get bad enough as developers go under and consumers default on mortgages the banks could run into problems.

  • @thehackmusician
    @thehackmusician 19 годин тому

    great job kidda

  • @charlesnone4628
    @charlesnone4628 2 години тому

    I UNDERSTAND IF YOU SEND YOUR FIRST BORN TO THE FRONT LINE, YOU GET A 2 PERCENT DISCOUNT ON MORTGAGE 26%

  • @richardcory5024
    @richardcory5024 22 години тому

    Whether a property crash will somehow stop the thirst of the average Russian for The Glory Of War and Conquest is a big question.

  • @00calvinlee00
    @00calvinlee00 22 години тому +1

    Sergie Q Publika is still planning on buying a house? When will the Ruble fail to pay for S-400s, T-72V3s and the burials of Ratniks?

  • @ChrisB-j5y
    @ChrisB-j5y 7 годин тому

    Will you please explain what is going on with the economies in Germany and France right now. It seems they are on a cliff edge at the moment?

  • @StephenRansom-yj6dd
    @StephenRansom-yj6dd 14 годин тому

    Joe, could you do a session on the (actual) inflation rate in Russia? You use two figures as if both are factual - the official bank rate and the official inflation rate.
    The Russian government has a vested interest in lying about both. However, the bank rate can easily be found by cross-checking commercially available mortgage data, so they can’t lie outright about that. Inflation figures are derived from hidden data and hence easier to fudge (aka lie).
    There are UA-cam channels that look bottom-up via food and essentials prices. There are others that take a top-down/academic approach using known figures such as bank rate. Both conclude that inflation is most likely to be far higher, probably (at least) double the official rate.
    Surely you can cross-check against food prices, rental prices, fuel prices etc to get at least a feel as to whether 8% is “reasonably believable”?

  • @DanacyclingThailand
    @DanacyclingThailand 20 годин тому

    Great update

  • @jonathanstewart7838
    @jonathanstewart7838 21 годину тому +1

    It will be an interesting experiment in the Russian economy to see if 35% mortgages actually have any effect on inflation. I suspect it won't on food as the Russian economy is importing it through the barter system or using other currencies like the yuan.

  • @jimjacobs2817
    @jimjacobs2817 День тому +5

    What percentage of Russians have a mortgage?

    • @geofo60
      @geofo60 23 години тому

      That's a great question, I would have thought that much of the property in Russia is rented accommodation. Maybe if Joe reads the comments, he'll pick up on that for a future video.

    • @stephenoneill245
      @stephenoneill245 22 години тому

      Well, there's 149 million of them (and dropping, for various reasons), so any percentage is bound to end up in a very large number.

  • @davidangeron3365
    @davidangeron3365 22 години тому +1

    You can do Fixed-to-Floating Swaps. But, you do not have access to those Markets. Que Sera Sera!!!

  • @charlesjessico2339
    @charlesjessico2339 20 годин тому

    Any idea what the collapse of Russia looks like? How much does China take? Would Central Russia become stateless?

  • @g-man3093
    @g-man3093 22 години тому

    i take these posts with a grain of salt tbh. other reputable sources say Russia is hurting, that stagflation is imminent but the economy is not near collapse.

  • @marisadallavalle393
    @marisadallavalle393 18 годин тому

    Thank you

  • @ingridgrattidge5887
    @ingridgrattidge5887 18 годин тому

    👍👍. However, even the low. Mortgage interest rates were on inflated house prices.

  • @texgking9308
    @texgking9308 17 годин тому

    what happens to those mortgages in those cities that have been leveled and residents left? I can not imagine those people are still paying their mortgages if they can not live there..

  • @chalupacabre1616
    @chalupacabre1616 20 годин тому

    How will this impact the value of russian owned properties in other countries?

  • @paulrosa6173
    @paulrosa6173 22 години тому

    Why did you have a segment break in the FUM (can't type an umlaut) commercial? That was odd.
    More related to the video: Venezuela's not very careful financial support of the lowest income groups mostly housed in the favelas created a noticeable continuity of materials and methods of construction. Brazil's are more irregular and "slum" like. Those in Venezuela were amazingly consistent. They had the same organic and harmonious beauty of the villages of ancient Greek island or Italian hill towns. They weren't settled with any kid of overall control but somehow just grew that way even with better funding from the government. That type of settlement in both countries were also built of more substantial materials (reinforced concrete frames and floors, concrete block and tile etc) than even the rural New Hampshire village district I live in. I don't think either of them suffer from major building fires. I'm always worried the trees around here or something else might burn the whole area out. It's happened so many times these past few years all over the USA.
    You can see the favelas from the inside on a site called Indigo traveler.

  • @JeffyShyChannel
    @JeffyShyChannel 23 години тому

    How is the Ukrainian market?

    • @daviddelgado6090
      @daviddelgado6090 21 годину тому

      Fewer available units since 2022

    • @davefave4351
      @davefave4351 20 годин тому +1

      The squatters need to be evicted first.

  • @zlamanit
    @zlamanit 23 години тому

    Is there information available about what types of properties are being sold? I wonder if the composition has changed towards larger/smaller houses or moved between regions.

  • @k_tell
    @k_tell 2 години тому

    Sadly I think there is at least one downside to this story. Putin may find it easier to get volunteers for his genocidal war against Ukraine. If nobody is constructing houses that means a lot of unemployed construction workers and one of Putin's problems at the moment is that Russian unemployment is almost none existent, so it is hard to recruit people, not just for the Russian Armed Forces, but also into the defense industry, so the bribes offered to face almost certain death/serious injuries in Ukraine are very high.
    In addition, if people do have floating rates and can't pay them, that might drive more people to accept the wages Putin is offering to go and participate in war crimes.

  • @almacnaughton3688
    @almacnaughton3688 18 годин тому

    The rural areas also have the issue of either no infrastructure or crumbling infrastructure.
    Now there is affordable property in Syria coming on the market for Russians!

  • @MrTangolizard
    @MrTangolizard 10 годин тому

    Was this filmed in August ? The holiday season is July August time it’s Christmas nearly now

  • @Krepost_Grafoniy
    @Krepost_Grafoniy 16 годин тому

    No subsidization is still here. There was a problem with it. I will explain there was a family mortgage like you got a child you can take 6-8% for a new appartment (no for second hand). AND the problem was like you know people could take 5 at the same time. FIVE CARL how it's works, how people can afford it? Well you take first appartment rent it out, then next rent it out. You even earn some surplus on this shinanigans. Goverment allowed it cos it's gave drive for housing and developers to earn a shit ton to not sink in case of any problems. But now it's need to be controlled or we loose whole housing market. But thats not gonna happen in general we got to damn much goverment regulations and controls what it wont allow them to bankrupt, we already had two waves of bankrupcy from big developers so lessons learned and fixes have been made. So no china will be here. I would love, got a lot of money to buy some half priced appartments, but rly low chance.
    Let's see in 3-5 years will it age well or not. Cos i expecting housing market crash in 3-5 years IF it's happens not right now for sure.

  • @aske1602
    @aske1602 21 годину тому

    Who is holding these subsidized bonds. If it's a private bank, then they are in trouble those bonds are probably worth pennies on the dollar.

  • @charlesjessico2339
    @charlesjessico2339 20 годин тому

    Mortgage rates can tell you a lot about inflation.

  • @richard2mitchell
    @richard2mitchell 11 хвилин тому

    1:23 dam 1 trill rubles...wow that is like $850 bucks now right?

  • @seanburke997
    @seanburke997 19 годин тому +1

    Russian economy is in a death spiral at this point

  • @espen2729
    @espen2729 23 години тому +10

    Oh come on, @Joeblogs, I have it on great authority that the Russian economy is booming. Look at their GDP!! 😂
    Keep up the good work. Love the channel.

    • @NemesisoftheGrandPoohbahputin
      @NemesisoftheGrandPoohbahputin 23 години тому +4

      It's cictizens are certainly 'booming' in the trenches.

    • @EmpiricalEmpire-ei7eo
      @EmpiricalEmpire-ei7eo 21 годину тому

      @@NemesisoftheGrandPoohbahputin
      and you know this how? are you here in Russia.

    • @davefave4351
      @davefave4351 21 годину тому

      ​@@EmpiricalEmpire-ei7eo
      Evidence of my eyes.
      I see the videos.
      'The Black Mile'
      😉
      все будет по плану

    • @EmpiricalEmpire-ei7eo
      @EmpiricalEmpire-ei7eo 21 годину тому

      @@davefave4351
      no what you see is Ukraine properganda videos.
      look at patrick lancaster videos

  • @StepDub
    @StepDub 22 години тому

    When brawny fit young builders find themselves out of work, where do you think that they can find employment with a very generous sign on bonus and exciting foreign travel opportunities?

  • @Ilene-forward
    @Ilene-forward 16 годин тому

    Thanks

  • @richard17329
    @richard17329 23 години тому +4

    GOOD

  • @zorankalina4399
    @zorankalina4399 18 годин тому

    There is only one " thing"......keeping Russia in past
    Political leaders & Co.