There's Still No Recession, Can Stocks Continue To Grind Higher? | David Cervantes

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  • Опубліковано 29 чер 2024
  • This week David Cervantes joins the show for a discussion on the current setup for both the economy and markets heading into the second half of 2024. We discuss the recession outlook, will stocks continue to grind higher & how to make macro actionable. Enjoy!
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    Timestamps:
    00:00 Introduction
    01:00 The Fed's Already Got Their Soft Landing
    08:14 The Economy Is Slowing
    11:34 Mantra Ad
    12:44 When Will The Fed Cut Rates?
    17:15 How To Make Macro Actionable
    29:15 Permissionless Ad
    29:54 The U.S Fiscal Dilemma
    32:18 Can Stocks Continue To Rally In 2024?
    --
    Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.
  • Розваги

КОМЕНТАРІ • 128

  • @wehrine
    @wehrine 2 дні тому +380

    Every month I try to allocate a portion of my income into high yield investments. But I’m curious, how feasible is it to make my yearly salary in just one month without jeopardizing my portfolio.

    • @cherylhills3227
      @cherylhills3227 2 дні тому

      It’s definitely possible but extremely risky. You’d have to dive into high risk, high reward investments like cryptocurrencies or penny stocks. The current state of the US economy, with its volatility makes it even riskier.

    • @ericbergman7546
      @ericbergman7546 2 дні тому

      I tried something similar last year and ended up losing a significant amount of my portfolio. With inflation and market fluctuations it’s better to stick with more stable investment unless you have a solid backup plan and can afford potential losses.

    • @christopherherbert2407
      @christopherherbert2407 2 дні тому

      my portfolio took a hit when I attempted aggressive trading strategies. Now I’m more conservative, focusing on long term growth and capital preservation.

    • @V.stones
      @V.stones 2 дні тому

      You’re not doing anything wrong, the problem is that you don’t have the knowledge needed to succeed in a challenging market. Only high qualified professionals who had experienced the 2008 financial crisis could help to earn a high in these challenging conditions.

    • @rodgertim2881
      @rodgertim2881 2 дні тому

      Recently, I've been considering the possibility of speaking with consultants. I need guidance because I'm an adult, but I'm not sure if their services would be all that helpful.

  • @dianaP14
    @dianaP14 3 дні тому +483

    We are living in a central planned economy where every good thing seems controlled, from real estate to stocks and now gold. I'm open to ideas how to safeguard and grow my wealth amid high inflation, can't let over a mil lose its value by just sitting in my bank.

    • @katieiri
      @katieiri 3 дні тому +2

      buy bitcoin! it is decentralized and most secure, thus healthy competition among many miners

    • @fromthebirchwood
      @fromthebirchwood 3 дні тому +2

      I think you're better off speaking with a certified market strategist, they can help with pointers on equities to acquire

    • @arlenehill4ril
      @arlenehill4ril 3 дні тому +3

      Right, when it comes to situations like this, having a well experienced advisor diversify your portfolio into various options for high performance is ideal and thankfully, I can attest to this approach, seeing my holdings of $800k grow by 240% in barely 3 years.

    • @MAanderson153
      @MAanderson153 3 дні тому +2

      @@arlenehill4ril please, who is the advisr guiding you? how to put my money to work has been my daily thought, did my research and most suggestions pointed at the stock market, the thing is i'm an absolute noob at investing

    • @arlenehill4ril
      @arlenehill4ril 3 дні тому +2

      Karen Lynne Chess is my FA. Just google the name and you’d find necessary deets. To be honest, I almost didn't buy the idea of letting someone handle growing my finance, but so glad I did.

  • @QuentinHufton
    @QuentinHufton 4 дні тому +270

    *Amazing video, you work for 40yrs to have $1M in your retirement, meanwhile some people are putting just $10K into trading from just few months ago and now they are multimillionaires*

    • @Dewiregoonchoff
      @Dewiregoonchoff 4 дні тому +3

      Hello , I am very interested. As you know, there are tons of investments out there and without solid knowledge, I can't decide what is best. Can you explain further how you invest and earn?

    • @Michaelfloud2333
      @Michaelfloud2333 4 дні тому +4

      Same, I operate a wide- range of Investments with help from My Financial Adviser. My advice is to get a professional who will help you, plan and enhance your management skills. For the record, working with Ann Marie strunk, has been an amazing experience.

    • @ElveyBoddie
      @ElveyBoddie 4 дні тому

      Hello how do you make such monthly?? I'm a born Christian and sometimes I feel so down 🤦‍♀️of myself because of low finance but I still
      believe in God

    • @Carlosilpso11
      @Carlosilpso11 4 дні тому +5

      I'm favoured, $90K every week! I can now give back to the locals in my community and also support God's work and the church. God bless America,, all thanks to Ms Ann Marie strunk 😊🎉

    • @LysterCushard
      @LysterCushard 4 дні тому

      Good day all👍🏻 from Australia 🇦🇺. I have read a lot of posts that people are very happy with the financial guidance she is giving them ! What way can I get to her exactly ?

  • @markjune54
    @markjune54 3 дні тому +319

    Purchasing a stock may seem straightforward, but selecting the correct stock without a proven strategy can be exceedingly challenging. I've been working on expanding my $210K portfolio for a while, and my primary obstacle is the lack of clear entry and exit strategies. Any advice on this matter would be greatly appreciated.

    • @mariabrandon-6064
      @mariabrandon-6064 3 дні тому

      The strategies are quite rigorous for the regular-Joe. As a matter of fact, they are mostly successfully carried out by pros who have had a great deal of skillset/knowledge to pull such trades off.

    • @tipusultan531
      @tipusultan531 3 дні тому

      Even with the right strategies and appropriate assets, investment returns can differ among investors. Recognizing the vital role of experience in investment success is crucial. Personally, I understood this significance and sought guidance from a market analyst, significantly growing my account to nearly a million. Strategically withdrawing profits just before the market correction, I'm now seizing buying opportunities once again.

    • @JoseLuis-zn5tb
      @JoseLuis-zn5tb 3 дні тому

      I've been getting suggestions to use one, but where and how to find one has been challenging, Can i reach out to the one you use?

    • @tipusultan531
      @tipusultan531 3 дні тому

      Lucia Alicia Cruz is a hot topic among financial elitist in The US. She's gained some reputation for her works during Covid. All the info. you need to set up an appointment is on her web page.

    • @JoseLuis-zn5tb
      @JoseLuis-zn5tb 3 дні тому

      My needs are kind of unique and complex. I'll contact her nonetheless, and I hope I'm able to make something out of it.

  • @JeffreyCarson-lc5uo
    @JeffreyCarson-lc5uo 2 дні тому +43

    I will be forever grateful to you, you changed my entire life and I will continue to preach on your behalf for the whole world to hear you saved me from huge financial debt with just a small investment, thank you Veronica Hoy.

    • @AndersonBill-di2xw
      @AndersonBill-di2xw 2 дні тому

      Wow. I'm a bit perplexed seeing her been mentioned here also Didn’t know she has been good to so many people too this is wonderful, I'm in my fifth trade with her and it has been super.

    • @CastroLin-sp5bs
      @CastroLin-sp5bs 2 дні тому

      She is my family's personal Broker and also a personal Broker to many families in the United states, she is a licensed broker and a FINRA AGENT in the United States.

    • @SophiaMia2008
      @SophiaMia2008 2 дні тому

      You trade with Veronica Hoy too? Wow that woman has been a blessing to me and my family.

    • @GraceNathan-zg1rf
      @GraceNathan-zg1rf 2 дні тому

      I'm new at this, please how can I reach her?

    • @HarryBeckham-hz8jd
      @HarryBeckham-hz8jd 2 дні тому

      I was skeptical at first till I decided to try. Its huge returns is awesome. I can't say much

  • @JenniferCassidy.
    @JenniferCassidy. 3 дні тому +51

    Thanks Mate, the sad truth is that no one has a clue, we all react to what happens as it happens and try to analyse it but can’t predict an iota of what is going to unfold in the markets… content creators are like amplifiers, when times are good they affirm it and try to tell you why it’s good and that it’s looking bullish but then all of a sudden the market turns bearish and everyone affirms it again and try to analyse why… it’s so sad that many are so powerless and it's not about guessing the market's next move; it's about playing it smart and steady during trading...managed to grow a nest egg of around 2.3Bitcoin to a decent 19Bitcoin in the space of a few months... I'm especially grateful to Francine Duguay, whose deep expertise and traditional trading acumen have been invaluable in this challenging, ever-evolving financial landscape.

    • @JenniferCassidy.
      @JenniferCassidy. 3 дні тому

      Francine Duguay program is widely available online.

    • @HdsujBdhhdsjjns
      @HdsujBdhhdsjjns 3 дні тому

      I appreciate the professionalism and dedication of the team behind Francine’s trade signal service.

    • @DustinTingley1
      @DustinTingley1 3 дні тому

      Trading with an expert is the best strategy for beginners and busy investor s who have little or no time to monitor their trades.

    • @supersayen12
      @supersayen12 3 дні тому

      The key to financial stability is having the right investment suggestions for a diverse portfolio. Many investment failures and losses happen when you invest without proper guidance.

    • @JasonLowe-xq8lx
      @JasonLowe-xq8lx 3 дні тому

      It was quite challenging to understand the different trends on my own until i found out about Duguay. Trading made easy.

  • @ryanguazzo8060
    @ryanguazzo8060 3 дні тому +11

    Funny how he said. All that money printing was a good idea in his opinion. Then he said it's a real problem now and he doesn't know how they are going to fix it but that's a political problem... lol sooo his opinion does not look at risk and consequence

    • @jcgoogle1808
      @jcgoogle1808 3 дні тому +2

      Yep,..
      Had to shut this off when this guy said he went by nominal GDP,.... which is a sure sign of an MMT'er.

    • @jeanmaloney7818
      @jeanmaloney7818 3 дні тому +2

      Bingo

    • @sg137iu89
      @sg137iu89 3 дні тому +2

      All the money printing was good for him....the political problem is dealing with the inflation, homeless, crime, ghettos that result from it. But if that doesn't effect him personally the money printing was a good thing. Some people are doing great! They are living large, isolated in gated communities. Life is good.

  • @Pepperdog_
    @Pepperdog_ 4 дні тому +6

    Of course we are in a recession. The current administration is manipulating numbers (unemployment being the worst case - get revised every time down to a recession level, not to mention huge rotation of full time well paid positions into low pay temp positions - it’s called Under-employment ).

  • @StockGenius152
    @StockGenius152 4 дні тому +6

    Wow, this guy still thinks the fed controls the markets 😂 amateur

  • @MrFargo1001
    @MrFargo1001 3 дні тому +3

    I don't take investment advice from anyone sitting in a closet with swapshop pics on the wall. Seeya

  • @SiNKiLLeR_
    @SiNKiLLeR_ 3 дні тому +1

    Glade to see a bull on.

  • @HipHopCantSaveMe
    @HipHopCantSaveMe 4 дні тому +8

    We are in the middle of a horrific recession

    • @firstlast8258
      @firstlast8258 3 дні тому

      Speak for yourself

    • @jcgoogle1808
      @jcgoogle1808 3 дні тому

      Had to shut this off when this guy said he went by nominal GDP,.... which is a sure sign of an MMT'er.
      The recession has been semi kicked down the road,... for the depression.
      Had to shut this off when this guy said he went by nominal GDP,.... which is a sure sign of an MMT'er.
      Growth is not sustainable when it is based solely on government (fiscal) deficit spending.
      This insane corrupt senile ole joe admin and the demcorats have been deficits spending
      6% to 10% of GDP
      generating 1 to 2% GDP growth
      giving us a "sticky" inflation rate of 4%.
      6% - 2% = 4%.
      While the Fed has been doing everything it can to fight this inflation.
      Their efforts have been rendered ineffective.
      But not only that,..
      the interest on the debt that has already spiraled to an amount larger than military spending and it's growing almost exponentially.
      They either need to stop the criminal deficit spending or become Japan and have the Fed start buying 80% of the debt the corrupt government keeps racking up.
      firstlast must be a permanent resident of the welfare state if he thinks this is all good.

    • @scotthicks1795
      @scotthicks1795 3 дні тому

      We are in the middle of surge pricing algorithms that ensure customers pay top dollar or don't get reimbursed for insurance claims. That tech could help lower costs for bargain shoppers, but not the way most companies have them tuned. The DOJ looked into it for homes price on RealPage. That could establish a precedent. We need a bigger increase in unemployment for the recession part.

    • @jcgoogle1808
      @jcgoogle1808 3 дні тому

      @@geocam2
      That's complete and utternonsense.
      Thiscorruptinsaneincompetent admin is deficit spending and adding an amount the equivalent 3 or 4 total GDPs of Switzerland to our debt,.... to get a GDP growth the equivalent of the total GDP of 1 Switzerland.
      We're losing 2 or 3 GDPs of Switzerland.

  • @mattanderson6672
    @mattanderson6672 2 дні тому

    Thanks

  • @jeanmaloney7818
    @jeanmaloney7818 3 дні тому +1

    Inflation has not gone down, soft landing did not happen, housing cost are UP.

    • @sg137iu89
      @sg137iu89 3 дні тому

      And will continue....

  • @qlPt9wN5cPlj9C6
    @qlPt9wN5cPlj9C6 3 дні тому +1

    Top

  • @danlangis1594
    @danlangis1594 3 дні тому +1

    Mission Accomplished!

  • @happinessmaxwell
    @happinessmaxwell 4 дні тому +12

    Please,how can i make profitable investment as crypto has become dominant ?

    • @James21715
      @James21715 4 дні тому

      I advise everyone to forget predictions and start making profits now because future valuations are all speculations and guesses. the trade market is unstable and as a beginner, you can't easily tell if it's going bullish or bearish.

    • @James21715
      @James21715 4 дні тому

      Without a doubt! Kateh Javon is a trader who goes above and beyond. she has an exceptional skill for analyzing market movements and spotting profitable opportunities. her strategies are meticulously crafted based on thorough research and years of practical experience.

    • @HarryAdrian-yy6zs
      @HarryAdrian-yy6zs 4 дні тому

      As a beginner, the best you can do to yourself is to get a professional that will handle your account and minimize lost to it's nearest rate.

    • @HarryAdrian-yy6zs
      @HarryAdrian-yy6zs 4 дні тому

      She's also my portfolio manager!! though i started with as low as $13,000 actually because it was my fourth time and it was successful, she's is a great personality in the state.

    • @asonguezekiel.t.2510
      @asonguezekiel.t.2510 4 дні тому

      Mskateh Javon,,has really helped my life and entire family during last year. may the good lord inspire you more 🙏🙏🙏 😍🥰🥳🥳.

  • @911jak
    @911jak 4 дні тому +2

    You don't shop.

  • @zenbear560
    @zenbear560 3 дні тому +3

    Every time I hear the Larry Fink plug, I puke a little in my mouth.

    • @sg137iu89
      @sg137iu89 3 дні тому

      The Fink is always looking out for the little guy. Starting with raising the retirement age to 100. He cares about you.

  • @ortforshort7652
    @ortforshort7652 2 дні тому

    The stock market going up has no correlation as to whether the economy is in recession.
    The stock market is essentially a bingo parlor where people who have too much money go park their assets.
    The economy is working people's everyday lives. The actual job market, not the phony one given in official employement figures. Prices of everyday consumables, which have skyrocketed. Prices of life items like houses, rent, automobiles, college and health insurance which have skyrocketed. Savings/Debt - there are no savings just massively piling up debt via credit cards, Pensions, or rather the lack of them. The economy sucks and is in a deep recession already - and, remarkably, we have only scratched the surface for how low it will go.
    This podcast is not about The Economy. It is about the financial markets that only apply to the 1% and those who make a living serving that 1%.
    At least get the terminology correct.

  • @Pid75
    @Pid75 3 дні тому

    There is a recession if you dont measure everything in inflated dollars.

  • @rof8200
    @rof8200 3 дні тому

    Consider that the US is going into recession whilst running a 7% budget deficit. 😕

  • @togoni
    @togoni 3 дні тому

    So much talking and what the final thesis??

  • @user-fp9ed4ji7v
    @user-fp9ed4ji7v 3 дні тому

    this guy is a nob

  • @jcgoogle1808
    @jcgoogle1808 3 дні тому +4

    Had to shut this off when this guy said he went by nominal GDP,.... which is a sure sign of an MMT'er.