Fed rate cuts: September could be the first cut, economist says

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  • Опубліковано 14 лип 2024
  • March's Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data was consistent with expectations, reporting a 0.3% month-over-month rise. However, it slightly exceeded projections on a year-over-year basis, coming in at 2.7%. UBS Global Wealth Management Senior US Economist Brian Rose joins The Morning Brief to analyze how these figures could influence the Federal Reserve's rate cut outlook.
    Rose acknowledges that the current inflation data "has been too high" for the Fed to embark on monetary easing. He identifies "the big problem for the Fed" as core services, factors tied to robust demand and wage growth: "This is where they need to see disinflation," he says. In March, the core PCE inflation figure stood at 2.8%.
    While Rose predicts the Fed could initiate rate cuts in September, he cautioned that if inflation data persists at elevated levels, "it could get pushed back even further."
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КОМЕНТАРІ • 16

  • @alucard4860
    @alucard4860 2 місяці тому +7

    Right. Economists claimed rate cut how many times? So funny I forgot to laugh.

    • @jeffreyoa8628
      @jeffreyoa8628 2 місяці тому

      Yeah it’s odd how they will produce the same meaningless content. There’s little value to their predictions

    • @ghosthdel3098
      @ghosthdel3098 2 місяці тому

      @@jeffreyoa8628 My dad works as an assistant director in one of he top 4 banks. He said last last week one of the guys from the feds came to his office and had 2 hours meeting with all the CEOs and some of the directors. His boss told him that fed guys told them that rate will not be cut until fall. Anyway, who knows.

  • @sukarno
    @sukarno 2 місяці тому +3

    A cut right before the US election? I’ll take this news with a table spoon of salt.

  • @mikellblackonblackluv645
    @mikellblackonblackluv645 2 місяці тому +1

    good information, thank you!

  • @lokesh303101
    @lokesh303101 2 місяці тому +1

    Democracy is all about Economic Data.

  • @tracybrovan3997
    @tracybrovan3997 2 місяці тому +1

    The FED will cut interest rates this year EVEN IF inflation keeps going up for one reason = election year. This is the truth like it or not.

  • @user-yy9hk9od9u
    @user-yy9hk9od9u 2 місяці тому +1

    Inflation will need to drop by then.

  • @lawyer1165
    @lawyer1165 2 місяці тому

    The case for cutting interest rates in September contains bottles of cheap wine.

  • @C-130-Hercules
    @C-130-Hercules 2 місяці тому

    No Rate Cuts
    7% Before 4%
    Bet!

  • @fredpotgieter7329
    @fredpotgieter7329 2 місяці тому

    Got the gov spending a trillion dollars every 100 days .where is the lack of dollars flooding the economy .where and how is dollars are drying up .trump close the federal government complex.maybe 2% trump getting for balance budget .

  • @tnnsboy18
    @tnnsboy18 2 місяці тому

    Boomers really screwed over the younger generation... i hate it here :(

    • @user-mb4xy6tb4l
      @user-mb4xy6tb4l 2 місяці тому

      Blame whoever you want for the short comings of an economic model. The only way out of inflation is people like YOU stop buying things you DONT need.