I do have a question on how to find quality positive EV picks? Because if I was a sportsbook I would know people are looking for positive EV bets. Then I would take bets that are guaranteed to lose and set my price to make it look like positive EV and just cash out on these people. The reason I’m asking is I strictly placed positive EV bets for a month straight and tanked my bankroll. Then when betting with just research and football knowledge I’ve built it back up. I want to figure out this positive EV Strategy.
@ I used two softwares simultaneously. OddsJam and unabated and compared both. And only took positive EV bets that were at worst +150 odds. Tried to keep it with greater implied probability than that. And that was devigged implied probability.
So the sportsbooks know what bets are guaranteed to lose? You would think if they had that crystal ball they would go bet everything they could on the other side at another sportsbook.... In all seriousness though, there are plenty of reasons you could lose over the course of a month. Variance, bankroll management, bet sizing, bet timing....etc. As far as "quality" EV bets is concerned, you may want to only place bets at a certain minimum expected value such as 2%. This will limit the number of positions available to you however, and volume is key in EV. Hey, that rhymes...
@@MileHighDad513 never heard of unabated and Oddsjam is too expensive for the lack of fire bets they show you, you gotta know what you doing with oddsjam, like I thought on you
@@Rick-w2o haha nice. Us I went with 2.5% positive EV. Roughly 6-10 bets per day with one unit per bet. I just took a sample size of my bankroll to try on positive EV betting. So $1000 bankroll with $5 units.
Positive EV betting🔥
I do have a question on how to find quality positive EV picks? Because if I was a sportsbook I would know people are looking for positive EV bets. Then I would take bets that are guaranteed to lose and set my price to make it look like positive EV and just cash out on these people.
The reason I’m asking is I strictly placed positive EV bets for a month straight and tanked my bankroll. Then when betting with just research and football knowledge I’ve built it back up. I want to figure out this positive EV Strategy.
The software you were using was bad/lying or you didn’t know what you were doing
@ I used two softwares simultaneously. OddsJam and unabated and compared both. And only took positive EV bets that were at worst +150 odds. Tried to keep it with greater implied probability than that. And that was devigged implied probability.
So the sportsbooks know what bets are guaranteed to lose? You would think if they had that crystal ball they would go bet everything they could on the other side at another sportsbook....
In all seriousness though, there are plenty of reasons you could lose over the course of a month. Variance, bankroll management, bet sizing, bet timing....etc.
As far as "quality" EV bets is concerned, you may want to only place bets at a certain minimum expected value such as 2%. This will limit the number of positions available to you however, and volume is key in EV. Hey, that rhymes...
@@MileHighDad513 never heard of unabated and Oddsjam is too expensive for the lack of fire bets they show you, you gotta know what you doing with oddsjam, like I thought on you
@@Rick-w2o haha nice. Us I went with 2.5% positive EV. Roughly 6-10 bets per day with one unit per bet. I just took a sample size of my bankroll to try on positive EV betting. So $1000 bankroll with $5 units.