Ray Dalio: Quarter-Point Fed Cut ‘Right Thing’ for Creditors

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  • Опубліковано 8 лис 2024

КОМЕНТАРІ • 73

  • @ianchrist4892
    @ianchrist4892 Місяць тому +9

    There will never be a default on the USD. The dollar has already devalued by 99% in the past century, and this trend will continue. No government in human history has defaulted on debts in its own currency; issues only arise when the debt is in a foreign currency.

    • @MrMountain707
      @MrMountain707 Місяць тому +1

      Not as long as the US military is the world leader.

    • @J.Smith-rc6wh
      @J.Smith-rc6wh Місяць тому

      every currency in history has collapsed eventually, all 4800 of them. USA is following the pattern of a collapsing currency in every way. Your belief will not hold it up for a secound

    • @loft27ss
      @loft27ss Місяць тому +1

      @@MrMountain707 name one war they have won? Afghanistan?

    • @Herr.Mitternacht
      @Herr.Mitternacht Місяць тому +1

      ​@@loft27ss It's not about winning, it's about having wars.

    • @countryfucius
      @countryfucius Місяць тому

      @@loft27ss Uhhhhh..... Huh? 😂

  • @michael.j.mueller
    @michael.j.mueller Місяць тому +7

    If his investment in China is so small then whats the difference to not being invested in China at all?

    • @CTOInformation
      @CTOInformation Місяць тому +2

      if you've never been to China, or never invested in China, then what do you know about his investment?

    • @michael.j.mueller
      @michael.j.mueller Місяць тому

      He beats around the bush a lot. But he says that his China investment is a very small percentage of his total investment. So I have to guess that means 1% or 2% of his total investment is in China. So might as well not be invested in China at all.

    • @RelaxWorld975
      @RelaxWorld975 Місяць тому

      Do you know the put option?😂

    • @SaveManWoman
      @SaveManWoman Місяць тому

      Portfolio diversification on complex financial derivatives comes down to very small % to reduce risk.

  • @bryanotieno7106
    @bryanotieno7106 Місяць тому +5

    Give him some water

    • @YallahYah
      @YallahYah Місяць тому

      He drinks Bridge Water💧

    • @ntf81
      @ntf81 Місяць тому

      @@YallahYah 😀

  • @cheersmodreams691
    @cheersmodreams691 Місяць тому +5

    Excellent perspective.

  • @milosnestorovic1594
    @milosnestorovic1594 Місяць тому

    It is necessary to take it Slowly cutting rates now....

  • @masterchinese28
    @masterchinese28 Місяць тому +1

    The last point was the most relevant: need leadership that moves to the rational middle and isolates the extremes of both sides. We need less hyperbole and propaganda and more action that the average American get behind.

    • @danielhutchinson6604
      @danielhutchinson6604 Місяць тому

      How does the Average American Consumer pay for the growing $18 trillion debt they appear to have accumulated?
      The $5 trillion additional since 2008, seems to indicate they missed some vital information about spending?
      Is the illusion of production and consumption overcome by credit?
      Or is the eternal debt that massive amounts of Credit inspire,
      now the fate of Americans?

  • @akshaymanglani7971
    @akshaymanglani7971 Місяць тому +2

    30 year mortgage is at 7.75-8% which is quite hefty - something more to be analyzed here - especially in terms of younger people buying homes, getting married, having kids etc - effects on overall economic trajectory of the United States

    • @munyumbamutwale2985
      @munyumbamutwale2985 Місяць тому +2

      @@akshaymanglani7971 in my country 15% is considered a record low mortgage and its normally 22% to 25% ... for non bank and non government employees.

    • @akshaymanglani7971
      @akshaymanglani7971 Місяць тому

      @@munyumbamutwale2985 yeah those are considerably high interest payments. Because of past two decades after the financial crisis, the cost of borrowing in the US has been considerably lower than developing nations. For example, in India, taking on debt is significantly more expensive.

    • @MrMountain707
      @MrMountain707 Місяць тому +1

      8% historically is not high in the US

    • @Charles-d4e3b
      @Charles-d4e3b Місяць тому

      7-8% were great rates till the Bush / Obama 0% prime stunts and the. Coof did it to Trump

  • @interpol9871
    @interpol9871 Місяць тому +3

    Interest rate cut mean inflation above five percent, no one want higher inflation, don’t cut interest rate at all

    • @Singular121
      @Singular121 Місяць тому +1

      No interest rate cut would mean a deflation economy or recession. Also Interest rate cut would mean servicing the debts will be cheaper than current 1 trillion in every three months.

    • @Singular121
      @Singular121 Місяць тому +1

      1 trillion a year! Correction!

    • @interpol9871
      @interpol9871 Місяць тому +2

      @@Singular121 inflation would go off the roof, this year is insurance inflation, when rate cuts come it will be a shelter inflation just like in 2020 when rates went down shelter prices went up mean 25 basis point will increase shelter cost by five percent, 50 basis point will increase shelter price by ten or more percent because we have housing shortage since 2017, I’ll say cut spending and tax the corporations which will benefit American citizens in a long run

    • @ssuwandi3240
      @ssuwandi3240 Місяць тому

      This is where Trump fiscal incentives policies would help to boost the depressed consumers spending.

    • @interpol9871
      @interpol9871 Місяць тому

      @@ssuwandi3240 Trump would kill all American citizens with 500 percent inflation, only people that benefits are 0.01 percent billionaires

  • @rodneydowd4739
    @rodneydowd4739 Місяць тому +1

    I wish I could comprehend this stuff better…

    • @rubensnijder
      @rubensnijder Місяць тому +4

      I think what he's saying is that If the US get's the nominal interest rate down to below the nominal growth rate and that situation persisted long enough the US can reduce it's debt burden. (nominal just means without adjusting for inflation)
      If the nominal growth rate of the economy (how fast the economy is expanding in nominal terms) is higher than the nominal interest rate (how much the government pays to service its debt), the debt-to-GDP ratio can decline over time, even without large cuts in spending or tax hikes.
      Here's where I'm unsure; could the GDP expand enough without causing the economy to overheat and spike inflation?

    • @rodneydowd4739
      @rodneydowd4739 Місяць тому

      @@rubensnijder thank you. 🙏

  • @rubylaser8601
    @rubylaser8601 Місяць тому +1

    He said China would be #1. What happened?

  • @macaccount4315
    @macaccount4315 Місяць тому +9

    As an economist, I have no idea what this is about. Just word salad

    • @SSYlist
      @SSYlist Місяць тому +7

      Study more

    • @02nupe
      @02nupe Місяць тому +1

      @@SSYlist ouch

    • @J.Smith-rc6wh
      @J.Smith-rc6wh Місяць тому

      totally agree, Ray talks absolute nonsense until the penny drops: CCP are one of the biggest investors in bridgewater capital . . .

  • @dev4statingx90
    @dev4statingx90 Місяць тому

    There is no perfect solution because there are too many moving parts

  • @SSYlist
    @SSYlist Місяць тому

    I thought so too

  • @kk22001
    @kk22001 Місяць тому

    The bloomberg anchor seems lost. Someone help the poor lady!

  • @robertwang7825
    @robertwang7825 Місяць тому +4

    US debt will reach US60T in no time , and interest on that debt will be way over US1T , so you gonna borrow even more just to service that debt. Leave it to future generations to figure it out. What a great approach from the supposed top economy of the world. Spend NOW , worry LATER

    • @danielhutchinson6604
      @danielhutchinson6604 Місяць тому +1

      Good point.

    • @spr6577
      @spr6577 Місяць тому

      @@robertwang7825 depends what the interest rates are man

  • @kevinburkedeburgh5736
    @kevinburkedeburgh5736 Місяць тому +1

    Ray u can thank Trump for the regressions be better next time and take care of America instead of the grifter base!

  • @luisr8435
    @luisr8435 Місяць тому

    Lmfaooo every creditor wants 25

  • @mikisipilainen
    @mikisipilainen Місяць тому

    What the hell did he mean by that word salad?

  • @harrisonhardig491
    @harrisonhardig491 Місяць тому

    2:23

  • @Agent77X
    @Agent77X Місяць тому +3

    Ray made the wrong bet on direction of U.S. economy and position of the stock market!😂

    • @SSYlist
      @SSYlist Місяць тому

      Nobody's god. Even the best makes mistakes but more importantly it's risk control. That part he did well. That s what you're paid for....

    • @SSYlist
      @SSYlist Місяць тому

      Too be fair, who knows Xiconomics can be du^^ber than he already is. 😅

    • @LetsPayOFFAmericasDebt
      @LetsPayOFFAmericasDebt Місяць тому

      Warren Buffett is King

    • @RR-et6zp
      @RR-et6zp Місяць тому

      @@SSYlist they usually say the opposite of what they do to make returns mate

    • @SSYlist
      @SSYlist Місяць тому

      @@RR-et6zp Ray no longer has interest in Bridgewater & he's really top 30 richest already. Probably can't finish spending at this age. A man like him smart enough to teach his kids to fish as oppose to give fish. he's simply helping next generation.

  • @rutht2283
    @rutht2283 Місяць тому

    增加的員工都是出去追債,追壞帳的?

  • @wesselmartens1621
    @wesselmartens1621 Місяць тому

    Ray seems to be getting old

  • @georgelien
    @georgelien Місяць тому

    Don’t think he knows what he is talking about.

  • @disneytakeshugedix7463
    @disneytakeshugedix7463 Місяць тому +2

    Currency 💵 bubbles 🫧 implosion ! Look 👀 at the Japanese 🇯🇵 Yen 💴, the first G7 currency 💵 to collapse ! Sigh 😮‍💨

  • @CTOInformation
    @CTOInformation Місяць тому

    This is channel. 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣

  • @Yomamaissoo
    @Yomamaissoo Місяць тому +1

    We read the book on you Ray. You are a joke at this point.