Why Blue Origin's Lunar Lander Is A Radical Rethink

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  • Опубліковано 15 лис 2024

КОМЕНТАРІ • 1,6 тис.

  • @bridgecross
    @bridgecross Рік тому +242

    "the first flight of the Saturn V was 18 months before Armstrong landed on the moon"
    Apollo never ceases to blow my mind.

    • @chromaticAberration
      @chromaticAberration Рік тому +16

      Yeah, most of the Apollo gear was tested in LEO where the Saturn 1B launcher was enough.

    • @jgunther3398
      @jgunther3398 Рік тому

      What blows my mind is how easily public opinion was turned against putting people on the Moon, immediately after putting people on the Moon! Today's technology is 500 years behind what it would have been had it continued.

    • @JinKee
      @JinKee Рік тому +5

      Get in the rocket Shinji.

    • @shubhamkumar6689
      @shubhamkumar6689 Рік тому +2

      They were fast, probably faster than spacex.

    • @simonm1447
      @simonm1447 Рік тому +25

      ​@@shubhamkumar6689 Apollo was fast, but we should not forget they also had a far higher risk level compared to space travel in the 21st century. The risk level which was acceptable back then (Apollo was cutting edge and at the limit which was possible) wouldn't be accaleptable any more today. At the end the Apollo program had a better safety record than originally expected.

  • @ryanjohnson3615
    @ryanjohnson3615 Рік тому +439

    Breaking: NASA has decided to go with Scott Manley's design instead of BlueOrigin.

    • @tygerbyrn
      @tygerbyrn Рік тому +9

      Make it so…

    • @MonkeyEngineerPHD
      @MonkeyEngineerPHD Рік тому +17

      Equally as likely to go to the moon...

    • @jeff119990
      @jeff119990 Рік тому +9

      Manley Space

    • @DavidEsp1
      @DavidEsp1 Рік тому +6

      After adding a "kilt" to protect the cryogenics of the upper part from radiative exhaust heat (or some such contrived reason).

    • @BPJJohn
      @BPJJohn Рік тому +3

      @@tygerbyrn Mr Laforge engage.

  • @leonkernan
    @leonkernan Рік тому +681

    I wonder if NASA has considered requiring a standardised interface for refuelling.
    The refuelling equivalent of the international docking adaptor?

    • @MonkeyJedi99
      @MonkeyJedi99 Рік тому +130

      It would make siphoning fuel off of someone else's spacecraft easier.
      I just realized that what I typed could be a plan for a crime...

    • @MS-qx9uw
      @MS-qx9uw Рік тому +38

      I understand that the IDS standard includes provision for the fitting of fuel/air/liquid umbilicals around the docking mechanism, but actual specifications are up to individual programs for now

    • @1224chrisng
      @1224chrisng Рік тому +65

      ​@@MonkeyJedi99 space pirates doing space siphoning

    • @Geekofarm
      @Geekofarm Рік тому +29

      I'd like to think the specs would be made international so that if needs must craft from different continents could assist each other in a tough situation. NASA's non-cooperation pact be damned.

    • @leonkernan
      @leonkernan Рік тому +17

      @@Geekofarm That was my thinking, imagine being in space with a BO craft and the only accessible fuel is in a Starship tank..

  • @justspace103
    @justspace103 Рік тому +561

    This is a MUCH better lander than the previous national team pitch. Plus, single fuel hydrolox system means the entire lander can be refueled on the lunar surface with the suspected ice water on the surface. Hope we see this through

    • @Deltarious
      @Deltarious Рік тому +62

      No longer suspected ice water! *Confirmed* ice water!

    • @classicalextremism
      @classicalextremism Рік тому +32

      Eh, not wild about using such a precious resource as fuel. The mass of ice you would need to pick up only to throw it all away? Not great. Rather use it as in situ atmosphere for permanent base construction.

    • @SoloRenegade
      @SoloRenegade Рік тому +59

      Blue Origin rocket: still not ready
      Blue Origin engines: still not ready
      Blue Origin lander: still just fancy marketing posters
      how many years has it been now?

    • @jhdsfalsjhdfjashdkhvjfldld8301
      @jhdsfalsjhdfjashdkhvjfldld8301 Рік тому +35

      ​@@SoloRenegade sTarShIp Is bETtEr

    • @johnbuchman4854
      @johnbuchman4854 Рік тому

      Dynetics Alpaca 🦙 would have been a much better choice. Shackleton crater will now be sure to be in the CCP's hands.

  • @nikolaspopp2480
    @nikolaspopp2480 Рік тому +405

    I'm really excited that this return to the moon could actually produce and test new technologies in spaceflight. It that's the case it might actually be worth the cost.

    • @StevePemberton2
      @StevePemberton2 Рік тому +25

      The way I look at it maybe the money could go to better purposes, but it could also go to far worse purposes.

    • @java4653
      @java4653 Рік тому +3

      Artemis 1 tested all sorts of things.

    • @garreth629
      @garreth629 Рік тому +13

      I agree. Orbital refueling of cryogenic fuels and oxidizer is going to be huge. Plus, the more we learn about how to utilize resources that don't come directly from Earth, the better. Mars will have plenty of differences, but the less we have to ship in, the better. They're still both barren rocks with little or no atmosphere and magnetosphere. It will still probably be a hundred plus years until either are truly self-sustaining. I'm talking to where if Earth just vanished, they'd be fine

    • @ericlotze7724
      @ericlotze7724 Рік тому +11

      @@garreth629 My only concern with ISRU is that *the one rock with some extremophile goop on it* will **get fed into the excavator and melted down**
      A Bit Paranoid, but i almost wish there is a “Investigate before ISRU” policy or something lol.
      “Gonna Dig, Gotta Call…even in S p a c e”

    • @goiterlanternbase
      @goiterlanternbase Рік тому +8

      We have a valid reason to return to the Moon to stay. The ice in the polar craters is supposed to be an archive of Earths climate and life, that reaches eons further back, than anything down here. There even can be samples of the proto life.

  • @BenTajer89
    @BenTajer89 Рік тому +142

    I've been making landers in KSP like this for a while because not only is it easier for landing and egress, but I often make the command pod into a dettachable rover. This way I can take a large rover all the way to the mun or duna and bring it all the way back to Kerbin with tons of science and recovering the expensive rover components.

    • @TrickOrRetreat
      @TrickOrRetreat Рік тому +11

      We are going to the mun again. The what ?. The satellite orbiting earth. Ahhh the moon ?.
      Yes the Mun 😂

    • @absalomdraconis
      @absalomdraconis Рік тому +17

      Honestly, I don't see the appeal of bringing back a rover. There's plenty of vehicles on Earth, and they're cheap to build here (or on Kerbin). Better to leave the rover where you can use it again, even if you need to have a small ferry mission to move it to the new site.

    • @NeonGen2000
      @NeonGen2000 Рік тому +8

      Haha this is brilliant. I used to just make a huge tanked lander for biome hopping. But a rover command pod can reduce hopping by a lot if you keep landing on biome borders.

    • @NeonGen2000
      @NeonGen2000 Рік тому +10

      @@absalomdraconis It's not about bringing back a rover. It's about saving on mass by converting the command pod in to a rover. I do see the appeal of leaving behind equipment. Even if you don't use it. You can always recycle it for resources on a future colony.

    • @BenTajer89
      @BenTajer89 Рік тому +1

      @@absalomdraconis Why build anything in ksp? Sure there are other mission architectures with their own respective benefits. But why reutrn the rover? First of all, because it's fun, it's just fun to add the additional constraint that the mission must be fully reusable. Second of all, because in carreer mode sometimes the price of those science parts adds up on the rocket, so you can save money by bringing them back.

  • @CStone-xn4oy
    @CStone-xn4oy Рік тому +339

    While I like the Starship, I am glad that there will be two teams working on solving the key problems that the Artemis mission profile calls for, namely refueling in orbit.

    • @LeftOverMacNCheese
      @LeftOverMacNCheese Рік тому +20

      Expect the national team won't be flying anytime soon in the next 10 years. That just how it is

    • @GreenBlueWalkthrough
      @GreenBlueWalkthrough Рік тому +23

      Also if one fails hopefully the other won't and Starship in 2023 comes off more as an uncrewed cargo transport/ base builder while this design is more crewed lander/ short term habtat.

    • @GreenBlueWalkthrough
      @GreenBlueWalkthrough Рік тому +1

      @@LeftOverMacNCheese True but hopefully the AI driven design process being tested on the B-21 raider and gen 6 USAF fighter would be used to speed up this lander development.

    • @LeftOverMacNCheese
      @LeftOverMacNCheese Рік тому +12

      @@GreenBlueWalkthrough it's Boeing and Blue origin. What did you expect

    • @bobbym6130
      @bobbym6130 Рік тому

      @@LeftOverMacNCheesestarship doesn’t even have a way to lower people to the surface. It’s an absurd design.

  • @dotnet97
    @dotnet97 Рік тому +168

    Haven't gotten through the video yet, but Blue's new design really makes me wonder what they were thinking with the first one. With this they've shown they're clearly capable of coming up with a decent modern design, so what was with the previous Apollo-but-worse design?!!?!

    • @MrWolfstar8
      @MrWolfstar8 Рік тому +74

      The first one was a cash grab.
      This is trying to justify the existence of New Glenn.
      Once starship is operating there’s not going to be a good reason to use New Glenn for normal rocket launches so they need a specific application it exists for.
      This gives them the breathing room required to build an actual starship competitor.

    • @javierderivero9299
      @javierderivero9299 Рік тому +28

      If you see the first design was very similar to Apollo landers...It's logical Northrop Grumman was on board at the time...they were really good designing the Apollo landers...but this time NG is not on board....maybe this design is more risky but probably it works better

    • @737smartin
      @737smartin Рік тому +28

      SpaceX opened the door of in-orbit refueling. The new BO lander is re-engineered to take advantage of that.

    • @rkr9861
      @rkr9861 Рік тому +7

      @@javierderivero9299 NorGru was building the tug module for the first design, the part that LM is building in the new design.

    • @MrWolfstar8
      @MrWolfstar8 Рік тому +20

      @@737smartin going to be very tough to do with Hydrogen. I hope they make it work.

  • @Vespuchian
    @Vespuchian Рік тому +94

    I'm still a fan of Dynetic's concept, but this new one from Blue is looking very nice. I do hope it works out.

    • @RawSauce338
      @RawSauce338 Рік тому +15

      RIP ALPACA 😢😢😢

    • @absalomdraconis
      @absalomdraconis Рік тому +1

      ​@@RawSauce338 i don't think ALPACA has been cancelled?

    • @simongeard4824
      @simongeard4824 Рік тому +12

      @@absalomdraconis No, but in the absence of anyone paying for it, it doesn't have much future...

    • @221b-l3t
      @221b-l3t Рік тому +1

      Why? No seriously, why? The design was half done and already had a negative payload mass fraction. Meaning it can deliver no payload to the moon. I mean it can but it can't get back into orbit. The fuel tanks would run dry on ascent.
      So why are you a fan of a lunar lander that failed the MOST BASIC requirement of making it to the moon and back.
      ALPACA was a PP presentation. Not even functional on paper. Even the Russians paper rockets at least work in theory. You and I could do better than handing in a failed project. "Hi, so I had no idea, this is my homework, I'd like a failing grade please".
      Oh and ridiculously overpriced. 6 billion for the engine to run dry half way to orbit. Then an awkward 10 minutes or so, while the astronauts fall back to the moon.
      Ah yes, what a design. It's actually the cheapest. It costs nothing and we're not going back. Artemis is cancelled. The money will go towards SLS, which will not be cancelled. It will become the new ISS access. The full upper stages will be left in orbit for future use.

    • @land_and_air1250
      @land_and_air1250 Рік тому +7

      @@221b-l3t all of this was fixed in the appendix p submission. Same capabilities as the blue design with a lower project cost and com. Equipment which actually meets the requirements and a schedule which doesn’t have “multiple contradictions”

  • @rorykeegan1895
    @rorykeegan1895 Рік тому +43

    Thanks for this. My heart sank when I heard the National Team had been selected, because their last effort was so dodgy. This seems a much better concept.
    I am still utterly convinced that between Boeing and Blue Origin the chances of this flying, or being able to deliver the goods promised, within a reasonable timeframe or budget are slim to none.
    Keep your fingers crossed Space X can make Starship work, I have a feeling the Artemis program will need quite a few of their lunar landers ...

    • @jackryan6446
      @jackryan6446 Рік тому +7

      Good thing its fixed firm price rather than cost plus.

    • @land_and_air1250
      @land_and_air1250 Рік тому +1

      Yeah Dynetics was the better choice

    • @_PatrickO
      @_PatrickO Рік тому +2

      @@land_and_air1250 The alpaca was not as good as this design. It is ok to be honest. A few posts have mentioned that BO needed this deal, so bezos likely funded a few billion on top of the government's price. A design with a bunch more money should be better. It sucks for dynetics, but the best design still has to win.

    • @redwalsh87
      @redwalsh87 Рік тому +2

      It will end up being like commercial crew. Without SpaceX we would still be flying on Soyuz today.

    • @rcpmac
      @rcpmac Рік тому +2

      So you are willing to cross your fingers for SpaceX but not blue origin? Biased much? 2 predictions, SpaceX will not meet budget and blue origin will.

  • @VosperCDN
    @VosperCDN Рік тому +5

    Love how a bit of info can be turned into a somewhat accurate representation of the actual craft in KSP/KSP2.

  • @mshepard2264
    @mshepard2264 Рік тому +31

    Hopefully the fixed price contract will motivate management to get things done instead of just scheduling preliminary design meeting and BS all day for decades.

    • @tyharris9994
      @tyharris9994 Рік тому

      Well that worked with Starliner... oh wait... Seriously though between Boeing and Blue Origin, this thing will cost three times what they bid and will not be ready 16 years from now. Bezos will have to sell some stock to cover the losses.

  • @donjones4719
    @donjones4719 Рік тому +25

    Thank you for including peripheral engines. I was in a distinct minority on this on some forums. Yes, I think the bulges we see are partially buried engine nozzles. There's even a hint of hoops on them.
    I'm wondering if they'll be canted outward slightly to reduce the area of plume that hits directly below the lander - to reduce the amount of regolith kick up.

    • @gordonstewart5774
      @gordonstewart5774 Рік тому

      Exactly like the original STARSHIP submission.

    • @mannyalejo772
      @mannyalejo772 Рік тому +3

      If they are peripheral engines and canted out, then could they be placed further up near where the fuel tanks are located or would this make it hard to fit in the fairing. This is what people thought the original Starship illustration was doing. Maybe Blue will change the design again and put the tanks and engines on the side like the Alpaca. They could have two Blue Moon cargo versions connect to the sides of a Blue Moon crew version to make a single lander.

    • @Wordsmiths
      @Wordsmiths Рік тому +1

      @@mannyalejo772 That's exactly what I was thinking they might do. This is an early render. Having the landing rockets up higher near the fuel tanks makes all kinds of sense: less intrusion into the crew cabin below, less excavation of regolith upon landing. For a 45 to 60-ton lander, exhaust excavation will probably become a serious issue (unlike the lighter landers that can just plop down on top of their engine bells)

  • @EngineeringPilot
    @EngineeringPilot Рік тому +19

    I only wish jeff would show what’s going on at blue origin or at least post an update every once in a while. Just imagine so many more young people getting hooked to spaceflight

  • @GadreelAdvocat
    @GadreelAdvocat Рік тому +5

    Reminds me of a concept lander I thought of with a torus habitat around a center engine with the propellant above. The propellant would act a shielding while on the surface. The engine hidden up inside would allow for a lower profile and being more compact and having a lower center of gravity in my design. Then at that less outward structure of landing legs would be needed. All contribute to making a lighter craft.

  • @odw32
    @odw32 Рік тому +10

    Although my faith in BO isn't super high, I'm really hoping they'll be able to see this through all the way to the moon and back.
    Even if they fall short, it's good to have some competition for SpaceX. And the insights & experience engineers will get with hydrogen will be incredibly valuable in the coming decade on earth as well, considering it has some role to play in energy transition plans of many countries.

  • @zapfanzapfan
    @zapfanzapfan Рік тому +23

    With all the hydrogen leaks on SLS when on the pad with many available engineers with torque wrenches, it'll be interesting to see how that works on an automated system...

    • @av_oid
      @av_oid Рік тому +4

      In space!

    • @phuzz00
      @phuzz00 Рік тому +5

      So far NASA have managed to demonstrate keeping cryogenic methane cooled on the ISS...for four months until the chiller broke. (Which meant they couldn't test actually transferring it between tanks.)
      So, keeping hydrogen chilled is probably doable, but it's going to take a few more years of testing before there's any useable hardware I think.

    • @tyharris9994
      @tyharris9994 Рік тому +1

      Interesting is one word for it...

    • @TheEvilmooseofdoom
      @TheEvilmooseofdoom Рік тому +3

      @@phuzz00 Keeping it cool is only the first of a long list of problems H2 presents.

    • @jessepollard7132
      @jessepollard7132 Рік тому +2

      specially when they can't fix them.

  • @adamdapatsfan
    @adamdapatsfan Рік тому +28

    Originally, Blue complained about Starship needing on-orbit refueling and a massive elevator. I feel like once they got the chance to redesign for take two, they decided that refueling was doable, even with hydrogen, but that the elevator could never be made to work.

    • @neniAAinen
      @neniAAinen Рік тому +11

      They needed complementary advantage, since they lost the "one" competition; stealing from ALPACA's playbook was quite natural.
      And, of course, it's to their merit that they learned from their mistakes, instead of just pushing the lobbying fan into overdrive.

    • @Nethian78
      @Nethian78 Рік тому +11

      @@timemachine1944 Nothing is simple tech when required to work flawlessly on the moon far away from help. It adds an extra mission critical component of moving parts that can break down and render the mission impossible to complete. Elevators on earth break down all the time!

    • @221b-l3t
      @221b-l3t Рік тому +8

      ​@@Nethian78 It's a winch and a basket. Backup? Second winch. Backup? Block and tackle, hoist yourself up. Probably a little crank handle you can turn to manually ascend like on some service elevators. Just crank 500 times and you'll get there. But yeah a simple elevator is very low tech. Doesn't even need electricity for the last backup.

    • @land_and_air1250
      @land_and_air1250 Рік тому +3

      @@neniAAinen they instead chose to lobby in the proposal by bidding a price to NASA that they admit is half of the cost that it’s going to cost blue undercutting Dynetics who’s lander was cheaper in total cost but more expensive to NASA as they don’t have bezos bucks

    • @davidrosing5788
      @davidrosing5788 Рік тому +1

      @timemachine194 The elevator itself works fine once you've added redundancies with backup motors and whatnot, it's just that all that weight for the winch and basket to carry the crew is mass that can't be used to carry payload to the lunar surface. All that extra mass needs fuel to get it to the lunar surface and then back up into orbit to rendezvous with Orion, so that means there's that much less science payload that can be returned because you have to schlep the elevator back up with you. It's not a technology thing, it's a mass thing. Blue Origin solves that problem by putting the crew at the surface and eliminates the elevator altogether.

  • @thevictoryoverhimself7298
    @thevictoryoverhimself7298 Рік тому +11

    In Kerbal 1 this is how I generally did landers, with the descent engine and fuel tank above the crew and with small engines on the side at an angle. So that way you could ditch it on the surface and have a much lighter ascent stage, without having the crew way high up off the ground. (More stable, too)

    • @minikawildflower
      @minikawildflower Рік тому +2

      I always wanted to do this, but didn't because I assumed it wasn't realistic - otherwise why didn't they try it in real life. I guess I assumed wrong!

  • @Roybasset
    @Roybasset Рік тому +5

    Those tanks look thoroidal to me. This leads me to think that there is a docking hatch also on top and a crew transfer tunnel in the middle.

  • @geoweb8246
    @geoweb8246 Рік тому +5

    If there's anything we've learned about crew safety, it is that it is better to put people on top of propellent than anywhere else.

    • @Levitiy
      @Levitiy Рік тому +3

      There is an Airbus concept drawing of a new airplane with liquid hydrogen tanks over the passenger cabin. All I could think of is, go screw yourself, Airbus. And I've never flown.

    • @TheEvilmooseofdoom
      @TheEvilmooseofdoom Рік тому +1

      I'm curious. What example of crew under fuel systems have there been in the past?

    • @Wordsmiths
      @Wordsmiths Рік тому

      @@TheEvilmooseofdoom Ditto. I can't think of one.

  • @Astras-Stargate
    @Astras-Stargate Рік тому +8

    Thanks for giving us a sneak peak at what it might be like. My favorite part is when the astronaut popped out on the lunar surface. Lots to do before any of our latest and greatest get to the moon!

    • @jessepollard7132
      @jessepollard7132 Рік тому

      even funnier when you realize it looks like a Bart Simpson.

  • @toddmccarter45
    @toddmccarter45 Рік тому +4

    Can't wait to see how close you got it Scott!!

  • @clivemitchell3229
    @clivemitchell3229 Рік тому +7

    Those strange things you refer to as radiators strike me as deflectors if the engines were positioned in the slots at the top of them. This would have the Starship HLS's advantage of keeping the concentrated exhaust plume away from the surface.

    • @Wordsmiths
      @Wordsmiths Рік тому

      Very interesting possibility! I hope you're right. Exhaust excavation will probably be a problem with such a massive lander. Unless they clear and sinter a landing pad ahead of time...

  • @MinerBat
    @MinerBat Рік тому +6

    one big advantage this has in the long term over starship and alpaca (both use methane) is that hydrogen can eventually be produced on the surface and then no refueling in space has to be done (if they manage to store it long enough between landings) because they can refuel enough for an ascent and another landing just on the surface alone. also it might be useable as a hydrogen transport system for a nuclear powered ship that is constucted unfueled in lunar orbit, even more if down the road they make a version that replaces the crew cabin with another hydrogen storage tank

    • @eekee6034
      @eekee6034 Рік тому +1

      75% of all known asteroids are carbonaceous, so I'm wondering if they might find carbon under the Moon's surface, and might be able to synthesize methane from carbon and hydrogen. Perhaps not though. The carbonaceous asteroids are clustered toward the outer edge of the main belt where the sun's heat doesn't affect them too much.

    • @TheEvilmooseofdoom
      @TheEvilmooseofdoom Рік тому

      @@eekee6034 The one thing we don't actually have is a good survey of what is and is not actually available on the moon.. on IN the moon.

  • @Reggy2000
    @Reggy2000 Рік тому +2

    Well done Sir, facts and details as usual. Thank you Dr. Manley.

  • @MonsterSound.Bradley
    @MonsterSound.Bradley Рік тому +3

    Much improved lander than previously proposed, but concerning about LH transfer. Good luck.

  • @richb313
    @richb313 Рік тому

    Thanks Scott for keeping up with all of this no matter what is decided it is an exciting time we live in.

  • @peterprins862
    @peterprins862 Рік тому +17

    If you have multiple engines for redundancy, you probably want them close to the center. You want to be able to fire just two without creating a large moment.

    • @advorak8529
      @advorak8529 Рік тому +3

      And the solution is to angle them the right way. Look at the angle of the Space Shuttle Main Engines … they are not along the shuttle , but point roughly through the combined shuttle/fuel tank centre of mass, which means no angular momentum. That is also how you make a single booster for a rocket work.

  • @fxarts9755
    @fxarts9755 Рік тому +1

    feels like they for the first time thought a bit about the design instead of just putting 3 different legosets on top of each other and calling it done. much better than the previous one. maybe even the best design so far for this mission.

  • @donjones4719
    @donjones4719 Рік тому +3

    You mention a paper in the New Glenn fairing. Does it give an inside diameter, the usable payload space? On F9 and Atlas V this is 0.4m less than the outside diameter. I'm trying for a good figure for the crew quarters. If the legs don't fold completely underneath then it'll be be barely 6m, right? A little more otherwise.

  • @ericfielding2540
    @ericfielding2540 Рік тому +2

    Interesting to use the press image as the basis for a Kerbal model to guess what it might be like.

  • @land_and_air1250
    @land_and_air1250 Рік тому +3

    45 Tons was the propellant mass 16 tons was the dry mass making a total mass of 61 tons.
    Dynetics has a total mass of 62 tons for same payload capacity as blue meaning that they gain nothing from the hydrogen and maybe less than nothing since they have a tug which provides support for delta v.
    Also the Dynetics lander is also 1 fuel using methane in the rcs thrusters which they’ve already tested and using a main engine which has been tested and both work. Dynetics has engine out capability as well as heavy shielding to protect the crew and tanks from rocks and debris from the lunar surface and landing legs which seems absent from the blue design

  • @Geekofarm
    @Geekofarm Рік тому +7

    @scottmanley I'd be very interested in your take on the "it's tall and tilty" arguments being bandied around for both the Blue Origin and SpaceX proposals.

  • @KevinBalch-dt8ot
    @KevinBalch-dt8ot Рік тому +5

    Is there anyplace around the lunar south pole that is as flat as the landing site depicted in your KSP animation?

    • @eekee6034
      @eekee6034 Рік тому

      I'm sure that mod is based on the best data available, but also they might want to keep the poly count from getting too high. So I'd answer your question with "probably, but not definitely."

  • @807800
    @807800 Рік тому +4

    What's happened to Lockheed vehicle after refueling the lander in NRHO? Discarded?

    • @odysseyvoyager2354
      @odysseyvoyager2354 Рік тому

      Goes back to LEO where its refueled by 2 or 3 NG launched tankers and heads back out to NRHO for the next mission

    • @807800
      @807800 Рік тому

      @@odysseyvoyager2354 Since to go back to LEO would require massive dV or aerobraking with robust heatshield, I think that would be impossible.
      I thought they would just discard it, but I don't think they've mentioned it, at all.

  • @asmael666
    @asmael666 Рік тому +12

    Another downside of hydrogen: It makes steel and other metals brittle.

    • @ravener96
      @ravener96 Рік тому +3

      It does, but i feel i need some data on how serious hydrogen embritlement really is.

    • @HalNordmann
      @HalNordmann Рік тому

      @@ravener96 From what I know, that risk is seriously overblown in most discussions. Its extremely cold nature is the main problem when considering material interactions

    • @Frrk
      @Frrk Рік тому

      ​@@HalNordmann I happened to be looking at gas pumps today, the company had an entire line dedicated to H2 pumping. Just using different materials and such to resist it. So it's not a new thing and solutions are out there

    • @ryansmith9806
      @ryansmith9806 Рік тому

      Thermal/structural spacecraft engineer here. It’s not that serious of a problem.

  • @pkjones5263
    @pkjones5263 Рік тому +1

    0:02 Hi Scott, Please use your rocket thingy ! as part of your thumbnail, as I seem to zoom past your uploads and am usually 24 hours behind watching them. Keep-up the great work. Fly Safe.

    • @scottmanley
      @scottmanley  Рік тому +1

      You know subscribing to a channel helps with this.

  • @javierderivero9299
    @javierderivero9299 Рік тому +38

    I love this space race not only between countries but between private companies

    • @looksintolasers
      @looksintolasers Рік тому +9

      Agreed, Starship for Artemis 3, Blue Origin Lander for Artemis 4+, refueling at an international lunar gateway station - I love how messy everything is. Variety and competition is gonna help so much in the long run.

    • @B_Estes_Undegöetz
      @B_Estes_Undegöetz Рік тому

      The moon should NOT be a bloody trading post for private enterprise …
      One faction within America is already privatizing another celestial body with neoliberal capitalism on behalf of the whole planet.
      Tell them NO
      Try searching anything from economist Michael Hudson or critiques of neoliberal ideology and you’ll get a sense perhaps for why some people like me are so steamed.

    • @Benoit-Pierre
      @Benoit-Pierre Рік тому

      China and India are In the race.
      Europe ... Let's not talk about it.

  • @SimonAmazingClarke
    @SimonAmazingClarke Рік тому +2

    So Boeing and Blue Origin. Is this likley to fly before 2040?

  • @Togidubnus
    @Togidubnus Рік тому +7

    Hydrogen is difficult enough as it is to handle on Earth, let alone in orbit or on the Moon. But at least they've sorted out the ludicrously long ladder. To me, the Alpaca seemed to be the ideal solution, ticked all the boxes. It probably came down to which design would give jobs to enough people in sufficient states.

    • @steveaustin2686
      @steveaustin2686 Рік тому +3

      While I like Alpaca and NASA evidently loves the low-slung Alpaca design, Dynetics has apparently had a lot of problems making it work. It was too heavy to fly in the HLS Option A competition and had more problems than Blue Moon in the Appendix P competition per both Source Selection Statements. Hopefully, it will be like Dream Chaser and get a cargo mission for futher development. The Commercial Lunar Payload System (CLPS) program is for cargo delivery to the Moon, so maybe the Alpaca can get a CLPS contract or two.
      Forgot to mention that Alpaca was using hyrogen as well.

  • @EngiTrek
    @EngiTrek Рік тому +1

    I think it’s exciting no matter how you look at it. It’s going to be a long, hard road because this time, we’re going back to stay.

  • @Sembazuru
    @Sembazuru Рік тому +9

    I wonder if the Blue Origin lander can rotate on its landing gear, or if the planned lander missions are planned to be short enough to not need reorientation to the sun while sitting on the ground near one of the poles.

    • @Alan7S
      @Alan7S Рік тому +4

      That's my first thought, too. The moon rotates once a month and the first missions are to the south pole.

    • @land_and_air1250
      @land_and_air1250 Рік тому +1

      It cannot

    • @eekee6034
      @eekee6034 Рік тому

      If there's enough propellant, it could rise, rotate, and land again. It hardly has to rise, but I'm sure it'll be more efficient to just increase the solar panel area.

    • @minikawildflower
      @minikawildflower Рік тому +2

      I was curious if maybe the radiators and solar panels would be rigged at the top in such a way that they can rotate - but that still wouldn't address the fact that for a week or so every month the month the sun would be blazing in directly through the windows

    • @FastSloth87
      @FastSloth87 Рік тому +1

      @@minikawildflower The windows have shields, similar to those on the ISS.

  • @Nowhereman10
    @Nowhereman10 Рік тому +1

    You called it. Blue Moon's been officially verified as having 3 BE-7s.

  • @StarkRG
    @StarkRG Рік тому +9

    Assuming they actually figure out how to handle cryogenic fuels in deep space (trasport, store, transfer), I think this might be a little bit more interesting than the Starship lander which is really only interesting in that it can land rather enormous payloads (albeit several dozen meters above the surface that they then have to traverse with cables or whatnot). There are hurdles on both sides, of course, but this design, what little we can see of it, seems like it could be the more useful of the two.

    • @221b-l3t
      @221b-l3t Рік тому +2

      ​@timemachine194 The most important metric is cost per mission.

    • @HalNordmann
      @HalNordmann Рік тому +1

      @timemachine194 Really? Last I checked, the mission barely got back to NRHO with the "baseline" payload (which is the same for both). Having a high dry mass, low Isp fuel and a all-up design does that.

    • @HalNordmann
      @HalNordmann Рік тому +1

      @timemachine194 Well, the HLS concept mission, to be precise. Numerical analysis of it.

    • @eekee6034
      @eekee6034 Рік тому

      I like Starship for its potential, but whenever I see it pictured on the moon, I get worried about it falling over! :) Lower gravity changes the balance of forces in a landed vehicle in such a way that tall landers get somewhat more likely to fall over. It's not a huge effect, but Starship is very tall for a lander. It might be better if it had landing legs in the style of the Falcon 9. As pictured, I think it'll need active landing gear to have any chance of staying upright, though I am, of course, making assumptions about the center of mass. Perhaps there will be a lot of propellant low down.

    • @eekee6034
      @eekee6034 Рік тому

      @timemachine194 Misleading indeed, yes! :)

  • @neilm9400
    @neilm9400 Рік тому +1

    Scott, have you ever done on a video on the reaction engines design, and pre cooler. That's a efficient bit of kit for chilling.

  • @ranig2848
    @ranig2848 Рік тому +46

    With the recent delivery record for Boeing and Blue Origin, what do you think is the probability the lander will reach the moon with a manned mission before 2030? 2035v 2040? 😬

    • @LeftOverMacNCheese
      @LeftOverMacNCheese Рік тому +3

      Give it 10 year. Maybe 15 now that Boeing is here. You know Blue Origin is no good either and they plan to launch it in New Glen rocket so give it another 3 years.

    • @George-tz6nn
      @George-tz6nn Рік тому

      Yes, in a crying Jeff bozos designed nuclear-powered craft of any type !!

    • @_mikolaj_
      @_mikolaj_ Рік тому +6

      Scheledued for 2029. Honestly, i have a feeling they have a better chance of making it, than starship making it for Artemis 4 in 2028

    • @LeftOverMacNCheese
      @LeftOverMacNCheese Рік тому +3

      @@_mikolaj_ how does that make any sense. Starship already flown and Blue origin lander and the rocket to transport it doesn't even exist yet.
      And considering Blue origin and Boeing recent reputation on accomplishing their time goal BE-4 engine and Starliner..

    • @_mikolaj_
      @_mikolaj_ Рік тому +5

      @@LeftOverMacNCheese beacuse BO has made a lot more progress in developing New Glenn, and many of Lunar lander elements, than spacex has with starship.
      Sure spacex did launch an outdated abomination to catch investors, but imo it just shows how immature starship program is at the moment.

  • @kenhelmers2603
    @kenhelmers2603 Рік тому

    Thanks Scott!

  • @saumyacow4435
    @saumyacow4435 Рік тому +3

    Scott: A serious question here. Does your mockup include the ability to pivot the engines well away from the vertical, in order to direct dust and debris away from the vehicle on landing? And do you think BO has the design freedom to do this? This is one thing I loved about the Dynetics lander, that it had a better solution to this problem.

    • @221b-l3t
      @221b-l3t Рік тому

      It was too fat to get into orbit though. Didn't have the delta V for the mission. It's like saying you like your cars seats but the engine is busted.

    • @saumyacow4435
      @saumyacow4435 Рік тому +1

      @@221b-l3t Did you catch the interview with Dynetics done by Angry Astronaut about a year or so back? It went thoroughly into this. Basically, their original bid was based on what could be done within a short time frame. They also said that the design would be considerably improved - to the point of being able to start from Earth orbit, land on the moon, return to lunar orbit and then refuel. In any case, my question to Scott had more to do with whether the BO lander might be able to angle the thrust well away from the vertical - which is going to be necessary given the nozzles are so close to the surface. I'm not sure a kerbal mockup has that freedom of design.

  • @EagleMitch
    @EagleMitch Рік тому

    0:19 That pressurized section looks like a back-woods Liquid Propane tank! LOL

  • @raybell2001
    @raybell2001 Рік тому +2

    Scott, now that Spacex has developed raptor 3, could they put 6 sea-level and 3 vacuum engines on a starship and go SSTO or just slightly sub-orbital to Hawaii.

    • @TraditionalAnglican
      @TraditionalAnglican Рік тому +1

      I think SpaceX wants to test as much of the whole system (Super Heavy & Starship) as possible. I wouldn’t be surprised if SpaceX went all the way to orbit on this next one and brought it down after 3 orbits a la John Glenn in 1962…

    • @TheEvilmooseofdoom
      @TheEvilmooseofdoom Рік тому +3

      @@TraditionalAnglican I suspect they'll stay with their original flight plan until they succeed at it. No point in adding yet another problem by trying for full orbits.

  • @SebSN-y3f
    @SebSN-y3f Рік тому

    Your explanations are allways great. You a realy a gift to us spacenerds 😊. Thanx a lot!

  • @GreenBlueWalkthrough
    @GreenBlueWalkthrough Рік тому +3

    Ok I love this lander! Mainly because it will be testing some Ideas I've had forever mainly liquid hydrogen everything all the time! So I'm excited to see how this devlops!

    • @tyharris9994
      @tyharris9994 Рік тому

      It's Boeing and Blue Origin. That means 12 years from now they will still be trying to launch this thing with buggy software and stuck valves.

  • @mikecleverly7021
    @mikecleverly7021 Рік тому +3

    Potential problem - that docking port is going to get pelted with lunar regolith on landing and take-off. Docking adaptors are extremely finicky things that can be made to malfunction if foreign debris gets in the mechanisms, or gets stuck between the two docking rings as they interface.
    This might be easily fixed though. Just put a protective cover over the docking port when its not in use, a bit like the Crew Dragon's nose cone.

    • @TheEvilmooseofdoom
      @TheEvilmooseofdoom Рік тому +2

      How would it get pelted? Things tend to move away from the source of pressure, not towards.

    • @IDoNotLikeHandlesOnYT
      @IDoNotLikeHandlesOnYT Рік тому +1

      @@TheEvilmooseofdoom Yes, but some of the rocks will bounce off each other or the ground and go off in unexpected directions. (Look at the papers on the weird plume shapes from the DART impact, for example. Also consider why an upright pressurized bottle can jump upward from a solid surface when its lid is opened.) Also, a small portion of the expanding gas will expand upward, even if most of it goes sideways, and carry a few rocks that way.

  • @icaleinns6233
    @icaleinns6233 Рік тому +2

    I made a lander much like that once, only it had the engines at the top. Great video as always!

    • @gasdive
      @gasdive Рік тому

      I actually thought it had engines at the top and the radiators were shields protecting the craft from the plume.
      The top makes more sense in terms of not digging a crater.

    • @av_oid
      @av_oid Рік тому +1

      NASA has $3.5 billion that they’ll pay for that!

    • @advorak8529
      @advorak8529 Рік тому

      @@gasdive did the Apollo missions dig craters?

    • @icaleinns6233
      @icaleinns6233 Рік тому +1

      @@gasdive Oh, I WAS playing KSP, btw! So take that under advisement! 😁

    • @gasdive
      @gasdive Рік тому +1

      @@icaleinns6233 I'm beginning to suspect that there's a lot of spitballing happening in Kerbal these days. Like "what if we tried this?"

  • @Nedski42YT
    @Nedski42YT Рік тому +3

    But why does it have a spare tire hanging off the side? Is it a Jeep? 🤔

  • @nzoomed
    @nzoomed Рік тому +4

    The dynetics lander still looked like a better option to me. This thing just looks top heavy.

    • @steveaustin2686
      @steveaustin2686 Рік тому +1

      In HLS Option A, the Alpaca was too heavy to fly. In Appendix P, it had more problems than the Blue Moon lander. NASA really likes the low-slung Alpaca, so if they had been closer in development, NASA may have picked Alpaca instead. Maybe Dynetics can pick up one or more CLPS contracts for delivering cargo to the Moon.

    • @nzoomed
      @nzoomed Рік тому

      @@steveaustin2686 Well considering New Glenn has not even launched, I fail to see how they can have something ready before SpaceX, I thought SLS or some other rocket would initially be launching their lander initially anyway.

    • @steveaustin2686
      @steveaustin2686 Рік тому

      @@nzoomed NASA wanted 2 landers for the HLS Option A contract, but the 2020 Congress gave NASA ~1/4 the funding. Otherwise, if NASA had got the HLS Option A funding that they wanted, the Blue Origin ILV would already be the second lander. This Appendix P competition was NASA getting the second lander that they wanted in the first place.
      SpaceX was the top bid in HLS Option A, so they are doing the Artemis III landing and the Artemis IV landing under the HLS Option B contact. The Appendix P contract for Blue is for the Artemis V mission. So hopefully SpaceX will have flown the HLS Starship 3 times to the Moon before Blue has to fly their lander twice.
      Both Blue and Dynetics were going to use the Vulcan Centaur for HLS Option A, as it was supposed to be flying this year anyway. Both of those HLS Option A landers would have multiple launches to get the landers to the Moon.
      The Vulcan Centaur is 5.4m in diameter and the new Blue Moon lander is almost 7m, so Vulcan Centaur may not have a fairing for it. The New Glenn is 7m in diameter, so it is planned to fly their lander. NG is supposed to fly in 2024 and if it does, it should be ready in time for Artemis V in 2029.
      The NASA IG is expecting the Artemis III mission to slide into at least 2026 and Artemis IV to slide out of 2028, so Artemis V could slide as well.

  • @alisioardiona727
    @alisioardiona727 Рік тому +1

    Multiple launches on rockets that didn't fly yet, in-orbit refueling, reusable lander ? Sounds massively complex and high risk

  • @EscapeTheCloudsOfficial
    @EscapeTheCloudsOfficial Рік тому +24

    Great video! Could you make a video addressing SpaceX's HLS apparent stability upon landing? It looks as if it'll fall over if just one landing leg finds a soft spot in the Lunar surface. Soft surface + high center of gravity doesn't bode well.

    • @richardhunt4576
      @richardhunt4576 Рік тому +2

      I think Spacex will sweep the landing site with a starship touch and land the real starship after the dust has settled.

    • @agerrgerra1361
      @agerrgerra1361 Рік тому +2

      I don't imagine the moon's surface would have enough variation that one leg would sink substantially more than others, but it looks like there are some quite large "feet" on each leg that would distribute the load. They already need to make the legs extend/retract to be stowed for launch, so I would expect that they'd just use the same mechanism to adjust each leg to keep the rocket level upon landing.

    • @Yutani_Crayven
      @Yutani_Crayven Рік тому +1

      Why would it fall over? SX SS is bottom heavy. This BO lander looks way more difficult to balance.

    • @HalNordmann
      @HalNordmann Рік тому +1

      @@agerrgerra1361 It isn't just a matter of sinking, but also of slopes. If I recall correctly, if it landed at a similarly tilted slope as one of the Apollo landings, it would tip over

    • @jessepollard7132
      @jessepollard7132 Рік тому

      as shown by multiple impacts of landers and probes, the surface of the moon is not soft after all, it is mostly bassalt.

  • @DonJoyce
    @DonJoyce Рік тому

    What does Kerbel say about Thunderbird 3, given that you have the head to body ratio just sbout right for the astronauts?!

  • @mrb.5610
    @mrb.5610 Рік тому +3

    Stil like the Dynetics design the best ...

  • @zahl...
    @zahl... Рік тому +1

    Hi Scott. Thx4up, I hope you're fine.

  • @nkronert
    @nkronert Рік тому +3

    Someone at Blue Origin scratching his/her head. "Damn, we only provided an artist impression and this Scottish guy reverse engineered all our specs!" 😊
    Or: "we can't work out the numbers". "Just do a press release with a pretty looking lander and Scott will do the math for us" 😉

  • @TheRenofox
    @TheRenofox Рік тому +1

    Nice to see the lander design I used in KSP 1 becoming reality.

  • @TheMoneypresident
    @TheMoneypresident Рік тому +6

    Space gas station food is really going to suck.

    • @Mandelbrot_Set
      @Mandelbrot_Set Рік тому +1

      The upside is that a case of the worms can make you a better person.

    • @ekscalybur
      @ekscalybur Рік тому

      You're not looking forward to space nachos??

  • @kristenburnout1
    @kristenburnout1 Рік тому +13

    To me, this is a much more elegant design for a lander than Starship.

  • @Grey_Duck
    @Grey_Duck Рік тому +2

    Godspeed, Default Name-2.

  • @joshuaashton1929
    @joshuaashton1929 Рік тому +4

    2:14 that made me chuckle

  • @advorak8529
    @advorak8529 Рік тому +1

    EOR (Earth Orbit Rendezvous) was one of the methods considered for Apollo (including mating several parts and refuelling) - the SM engine is the size it is, I understand, because it had to be capable of landing and taking off from the moon.
    Only very late, after being shown how much less fuel LOR needed, did they consider that and ultimately switched to the separate lander unit and a single rocket to launch it all in one.
    So refuelling in space is not exactly a radical idea nowadays.

  • @mikexerov976
    @mikexerov976 Рік тому +4

    Well, its all nice, but first I would like BO to become a space company, that is launch something to orbit. Anything! I feel at their rate they will land on the Moon sometime after 2050.

  • @Yura135
    @Yura135 Рік тому +1

    Good to see that NASA is not 100% reliant on Starship's success, bad position to be in considering the track record of their founder with overpromising/underperforming.

    • @dennyoconnor8680
      @dennyoconnor8680 Рік тому +1

      Says you about the only guy in the game who is up to orbit and back, currently. Three trips on one long weekend just ended.

    • @Yura135
      @Yura135 Рік тому +1

      ​@@dennyoconnor8680 Are you seriously not aware the ULA, NASA and Roskosmos exist?
      Musk is not special because SpaceX can get to low earth orbit. He is "special" because he is the only guy who promised he would get to mars by 2022 and land humans on mars by 2024 (in 4 Starships!). He also promised to fly around the moon by 2018. So far, he had 1 test, which exploded before it made it to orbit while losing 8+ engines in flight. He will be lucky to get another test this year. Things are not looking good.
      Oh, and he was also supposed to get robo-taxis working by 2018, because self driving is a "solved problem". And solar roofs, and hyperloop tunnels, and Twitter "everything app".. I don't know, he makes up so much shit, it's kind of hard to keep track.
      So, to summarize: Elon has a well documented history of overpromising and then failing to deliver. This is a fact.

  • @SuperNovaJinckUFO
    @SuperNovaJinckUFO Рік тому +5

    I always felt like it was ridiculous for NASA to choose only SpaceX. Even leaving behind the fact that they had planned to choose two companies, their decision basically made the Artemis Program dependent on Starship, which (while a very promising piece of technology) was (and still is) by no means guaranteed to be viable within the timeframe that Artemis is shooting for. Having multiple potential lunar lander systems seemed like a great idea. Not putting all the eggs on one basket, so to speak

    • @Hibbidyhai
      @Hibbidyhai Рік тому +2

      Originally NASA didn’t have the money to select two concepts for the lander. Then afterwards the money was added back in and NASA was forced to award another contract. But NASA is still cash strapped, so who knows if they’ll actually able to afford two landers.

    • @TheEvilmooseofdoom
      @TheEvilmooseofdoom Рік тому +2

      At least spacex has hardware under actual development. How much of the BO proposal is starting from scratch?

    • @steveaustin2686
      @steveaustin2686 Рік тому

      @@Hibbidyhai It's my understanding that the Artemis missions through Artemis V are funded by Congress. So HLS Starship does 2 and Blue Moon does 1. Further Artemis missions from Artemis VI onward, have to be funded. IF China decides to not go to the Moon, I can see Congress pulling funding. IF China is going to the Moon, I don't see Congress not making sure Artemis is there too. Especially since Artemis is a multi-national program, so cutting Artemis loses face for America. Not something some in DC would care about though.

    • @steveaustin2686
      @steveaustin2686 Рік тому +2

      @@TheEvilmooseofdoom Blue has hardware in development. Some of which is not as far as long as NASA would have liked for Artemis III under HLS Option A. With the Appendix P contract for Artemis V, that may slide further than NET 2029 with Artemis III and iV expected to be delayed, Blue has some time to work things out. Bezos said that he wanted to speed up Blue Origin development, so this will be the time to show that, if he can.

    • @jessepollard7132
      @jessepollard7132 Рік тому

      They didn't want to only select SpaceX. just that there was no MONEY available for anything else.

  • @jsbrads1
    @jsbrads1 Рік тому +2

    Refrigerators are heavy, radiators are heavy, both systems require power, seems like a big mistake.

    • @StevePemberton2
      @StevePemberton2 Рік тому +3

      As with everything space related the challenge will be figuring out how to make it lightweight and dependable. Hopefully the things they learn in the process will benefit Earth based systems as has happened many times in the past with space related technology.

  • @Fragaut
    @Fragaut Рік тому +2

    Shouldn't Blue Origin get to LEO first ?

  • @meesalikeu
    @meesalikeu Рік тому

    YOU ALMOST LOST ME AT YOUR FROOTY CAP SHUL NIGEL, BUT U WON ME BACK WITH DEETS. GOOD WORK.

  • @scowell
    @scowell Рік тому +4

    So nuclear engines need hydrogen as reaction mass? I'd thought xenon etc would be better... I guess more thrust, but less specific impulse (time).

    • @scottmanley
      @scottmanley  Рік тому +11

      Nuclear Thermal wants hydrogen, Nuclear electric wants xenon.

    • @Octa9on
      @Octa9on Рік тому +2

      to add to what Scott said, solid core nuclear reactors can't generate as high temperature as chemical reactions can, so in order to achieve higher efficiency they need the lightest exhaust particles possible, which is molecular hydrogen. chemical rockets' lightest exhaust particle is water molecules, which is why hydrogen-oxygen is the theoretically most efficient propellent

  • @veerendrapatidar2929
    @veerendrapatidar2929 Рік тому +1

    Blue orgin 's lander is cool and unique but refueling in orbit will be difficult

  • @francis9131
    @francis9131 Рік тому +4

    I'm all for reusable landers to help cut cost. My one main issue with it, though, is maintenance. From my understanding, SpaceX's rockets require a fair bit of servicing between each launch. With this lander, are they going to have to service the rockets while in orbit in between each attempt? Has anyone ever done servicing on a rocket engine and associated machinery in space before?

    • @marcogenovesi8570
      @marcogenovesi8570 Рік тому +2

      the forces and stresses involved with moon landing/takeoff are not comparable to a vehicle taking off from Earth. This will lessen maintenance needs a lot

    • @Top-Code
      @Top-Code Рік тому

      @@marcogenovesi8570on the other hand, lunar dust will probably increase maintenance, due to just how destructive it can be

    • @jackryan6446
      @jackryan6446 Рік тому

      I think you're talking about the Falcon 9 which uses RP-1 that burns a lot dirtier than methane. Though, I don't know all the details of turning a falcon 9 booster around between launches.

    • @StevePemberton2
      @StevePemberton2 Рік тому

      I agree with your point, I think while it's the ultimate goal to have reusable landers it's just too big of a challenge right now. A big part of reusability is inspections, as well as of course maintenance. Doing that in space is currently nearly impossible, as it requires developing a lot of capabilities that are still in their infancy. Things like the Hubble servicing missions were a training ground and many more will be needed before they can land a Starship on the Moon, launch it back to lunar orbit, refuel it, then safely land it again with crew. For now they will likely be used only once.
      Although I can see them eventually landing them for a second time uncrewed to provide extra storage or habitation space for a lunar base. In other words a particular Starship would land at a lunar base with crew, then launch back to lunar orbit with the same or a different crew, then land back at the base uncrewed to be used for other purposes. Inspecting the vehicle while in lunar orbit won't be as critical since the second landing would be without crew.
      Reusable cargo landers will likely come first, although I suspect the early versions of cargo landers will also be expendable, they will just land with their cargo and remain on the lunar surface. Eventually they are going to have quite a rocket garden on the Moon!

    • @jessepollard7132
      @jessepollard7132 Рік тому

      @@marcogenovesi8570 IT is even less than about half what it takes for Mars.

  • @mliler1405
    @mliler1405 Рік тому +1

    Part of the issue I always see for people that are hyper analytical is they can’t understand how to dream and that’s where simulation comes in very handy. You should practice more times and simulation because if you’re just looking at objective outcomes, you can believe that you’ve predicted the correct one however, in actuality, you’ve just been paying attention to specific outcomes over and over and over rather than testing possible scenarios. In other words dreams that’s why video games like Körbel Two can really come in handy for you!

  • @DanielstrattonNZ
    @DanielstrattonNZ Рік тому +3

    Hang on, wasn’t extra earth refueling one of the big arguments Blue Origin used against spacex’s bid when they threw their little tantrum?

    • @221b-l3t
      @221b-l3t Рік тому

      "Immensely complex and high risk"

    • @HalNordmann
      @HalNordmann Рік тому +1

      It was mainly about the number and size of refueling flights. This thing needs only about 2 refuels per mission (so a total of 3 flights, same as their ILV) - the SpaceX one needs 16 of them, on a superheavy launch vehicle to boot.

  • @alexandregorov7772
    @alexandregorov7772 Рік тому +1

    Idea for "That KSP doesn't teach" : Fuel transfer between modules

  • @BillRobinson1805
    @BillRobinson1805 Рік тому +4

    This design is better than the first one. Dynetics lander was cooler.

    • @land_and_air1250
      @land_and_air1250 Рік тому +1

      Yeah and Dynetics fixed the problems they got dinged for in the first one and have a more mature design now with tested methane engines and methane rcs

  • @bustedshark5559
    @bustedshark5559 Рік тому +1

    A much better concept design than the single-use 'Apollo LM on steroids with a suicide ladder' model. Great animation in Kerbal!

    • @HalNordmann
      @HalNordmann Рік тому

      That concept was pretty much just their variant of the NASA "Reference" design. Did exactly what was asked of it, and nothing more.

  • @gaius_enceladus
    @gaius_enceladus Рік тому +5

    This lander looks *great!*
    I'm very surprised that no-one came up with a lander like this *sooner* (apart from the Apollo missions!).
    It's more streamlined than the Apollo landers but it definitely has a bit of Apollo in its looks - the landing-legs give it that look.
    Best of luck to Blue Origin as they work towards getting this on the Moon!

    • @HalNordmann
      @HalNordmann Рік тому

      Funny thing is, one "Space Tug - lander derivative" concept from the 70s looks pretty much exactly alike

    • @land_and_air1250
      @land_and_air1250 Рік тому

      Dynetics already had this concept a few years ago and threw it out in favor of alpaca. Those people then were scouted and blue pulled them and surprise suprise blue has the same layout as the Dynetics tiger team design

    • @jessepollard7132
      @jessepollard7132 Рік тому +1

      streamlining is useless on the Moon.

  • @fladder1
    @fladder1 Рік тому +2

    Doesn't the synchronous orbit of the moon mean that, landing on the poles, the ship will always have a different side facing the sun? Thus negating the effect of placing windows on 1 side and solar panels on the other?

    • @danielpassigmailcom
      @danielpassigmailcom Рік тому +3

      The sun only need not be in their face during landing and launching periods

    • @b1lleman
      @b1lleman Рік тому +1

      I thought this as well. So the solar panels would only provide power half of the month as well ?

    • @danielpassigmailcom
      @danielpassigmailcom Рік тому

      @@b1lleman yea idk maybe they rotate or something

  • @memonk11
    @memonk11 Рік тому +5

    The SpaceX lander makes the most sense since the moon is known for it's completely smooth and flat surfaces.😂

    • @memonk11
      @memonk11 Рік тому

      @@timemachine1944
      Hey Elon. Read a history book for once. Apollo 11 almost ran out of fuel trying to avoid rocks.

  • @SRQRay
    @SRQRay Рік тому +1

    I hope the New Glenn ship launch pad isnt too close to Starship Raptor 3.0 (kidding). This vehicle would be incinerated in 2 seconds. If Starship can easily takeoff and land on the moon, this lander will look like the LEM by comparison. As Chris Simms says “size is a skill”. I guess we will end up with whichever option can “FLY SAFE”! Thanks for your consistently great work Scott.

  • @garreth629
    @garreth629 Рік тому +21

    When I originally heard they won, I was disappointed. However, I wasn't aware that the design was different from the original one. The original design was terrible sense it wasn't reusable. And the ladder.
    This design seems to be a big improvement. Hopefully they move quicker than blue orgin and Boeing have with there rockets and capsules however. To many of there products are years behind schedule. Admittedly SpaceX may take a while on there's as well but it's capabilities are asking the moon 🌙 of a lander. Pun intended.

    • @harbingerdawn
      @harbingerdawn Рік тому +2

      *since *their *too *their *theirs *its

    • @originalmin
      @originalmin Рік тому +3

      The starship HLS is not reusable either tho

    • @HalNordmann
      @HalNordmann Рік тому +1

      @@originalmin And with its concept of operations, it is unlikely to be reusable on the future

    • @garreth629
      @garreth629 Рік тому

      ​@harbingerdawn and no one cares.

    • @garreth629
      @garreth629 Рік тому

      ​@originalmin If I remember correctly, it's planned for at least two missions. The starship lander should be reusable for multiple missions in theory only requiring refueling. If full reusablity isn't in the cards for any of these missions eventually funding will be cut and will end up like Apollo.

  • @MegaKootz
    @MegaKootz Рік тому +1

    When corporate and state merge and push for one singular goal....... What is the definition of that? For some reason, the name of that escapes me.

  • @alaingirard1353
    @alaingirard1353 Рік тому +5

    Hi Scott, 3 engines for a lander do not provide redundancy. Four might do the trick, but 3 could never be balanced on the center of mass in case of one engine failure.

    • @221b-l3t
      @221b-l3t Рік тому +2

      It's still fine. You can land. Might be a bit tricky but offset thrust is nothing new. You would just come in at an angle, kinda like an aircraft in heavy cross wind, straighten out as the wheels/landing legs touch. Plus you can always shut the engine a second or two early and use RCS on the way down to land upright. It's the moon a few seconds won't accelerate it that much.
      But yeah, Space Shuttle had a super duper offset thrust vector. The center of mass was in the ET just around where the tank and orbiter connect. It's why the engine are offset so much. They fire through the center of mass of the stack, not the Shuttle itself. Similarly with 1/3 out you'd have them angled a little. Starship sometimes lands with 2/3 engines to. I believe SN15 landed on two engines and they tried some on one.

    • @LaughingOrange
      @LaughingOrange Рік тому +2

      What about RCS? Wouldn't that be able to counteract the rotation?

    • @land_and_air1250
      @land_and_air1250 Рік тому

      @@221b-l3t no you couldn’t you would just crash and burn because the thrust vector wouldn’t go through your cg inducing a spin and making it completely uncontrollable.

  • @Jason-gq8fo
    @Jason-gq8fo Рік тому +1

    wait it has to be fueld in earth orbit and moon orbit? remember when BO said starship was too complicated

  • @bruceyoung1343
    @bruceyoung1343 Рік тому +6

    Mighty tall order for a amusement ride company.

  • @cyborghobo9717
    @cyborghobo9717 Рік тому +2

    Blue engine 4 is 60% trust configuration of high trust architecture . Which probably means soon after collecting all flight data after few first launches BO will fix all bugs that could slip into design and safely crank up cargo capacity of NG from 45 tonnes to 70+ tonnes . Potentially replacing SLS in Artemis programm .

    • @martinplivard1824
      @martinplivard1824 Рік тому

      Increasing trust by 40% do not mean increase payload by 40%
      Yes this would inproove paylaod but but not more than a few %
      (To get this result they need to increse trust and propelent )

    • @jessepollard7132
      @jessepollard7132 Рік тому

      not enough, SpaceX has already produced engines for 150 tonnes.

  • @maninifarmer1338
    @maninifarmer1338 Рік тому +3

    Why hydrogen? Doesn’t that make it more complicated to control leaks?

    • @222cubing8
      @222cubing8 Рік тому +4

      theres water on the moon (H2O), so hydrogen and oxygen to mine

    • @_mikolaj_
      @_mikolaj_ Рік тому +2

      Aside from ISRU
      Hydrogen is way more efficient, and Blue Origin has a LOT of experience in handling LH2

    • @simongeard4824
      @simongeard4824 Рік тому

      @@_mikolaj_ More efficient in terms of ISp, but that doesn't necessarily translate into a more efficient overall system... hydrogen tends to require greater structural mass, negating some of the gains from having that higher ISp.

    • @_mikolaj_
      @_mikolaj_ Рік тому

      @@simongeard4824 generally, Isp boost outweighs worse mass fraction though, plus, the bigger your system is the lesser of a problem mass fraction will be.
      Id say the bigger "issue" is propulsion. You need vastly more powerful pumps to keep high massflow, and hydrogen burns really hot

    • @simongeard4824
      @simongeard4824 Рік тому +1

      @@_mikolaj_ More powerful pumps... that sounds heavy. But you get the point... the efficiency of the fuel is only part of the equation, and optimising for Isp means making compromises that will have losses as well as wins.

  • @memonk11
    @memonk11 Рік тому +1

    I have my reservations about the Blue Origin lander. It turns the Astronauts squat and green.

  • @NeonVisual
    @NeonVisual Рік тому +11

    Boldly going where we've been before, but with much more complication and much less money.

  • @LimeJuice0308
    @LimeJuice0308 Рік тому

    Tbf, having the habitation module at the bottom would mitigate the need for a long ladder

  • @mattcolver1
    @mattcolver1 Рік тому +13

    I just hope the annual funding levels are enough that all the technolgy and hardware can be developed in a relatively short period of time. I don't want this to become another SLS or commercial crew project that takes 10 plus years. If that happens we'll be watching the Chinese building a Moon base before we get back to the Moon.

    • @MrWolfstar8
      @MrWolfstar8 Рік тому

      Given blue origin track record… China’s likely to beat us. Though the moon is a poor prize, it’s Mars that really matters.

    • @seanj3667
      @seanj3667 Рік тому

      Yeah, but look at the other things the Chinese government does. They have no problems letting LOTS of their people die in the name of "progress". Intelsat 708 anyone?

    • @blexxy5861
      @blexxy5861 Рік тому

      China is 20 years behind usa

    • @GntlTch
      @GntlTch Рік тому

      No, you'll be watching SpaceX build a private moon base with Starship.

    • @AverageWagie2024
      @AverageWagie2024 Рік тому +1

      @@GntlTch Space X Elon stans are cringe

  • @zotfotpiq
    @zotfotpiq Рік тому +1

    It would be nice if Scott covered WHY nasa is suddenly pulling away from SpaceX. But then he'd stop getting invitations to the boca Chica parties. 😂

  • @dillonbledsoe7680
    @dillonbledsoe7680 Рік тому +9

    Bo: space x had unproven methods
    Bo: does untested methods

    • @SoloRenegade
      @SoloRenegade Рік тому +1

      Blue Origin rocket: still not ready
      Blue Origin engines: still not ready
      Blue Origin lander: still just fancy marketing posters
      how many years has it been now? still hasn't put Anything in orbit.

    • @MrWolfstar8
      @MrWolfstar8 Рік тому

      Good for BO. They need to innovate and they’re starting to do so.

    • @codymoe4986
      @codymoe4986 Рік тому +1

      @mdscott6...How many laps does Starship have again?

    • @_mikolaj_
      @_mikolaj_ Рік тому

      ​@@SoloRenegadesomeone tell this guy that its normal to do things indoors where people cant see it.
      And that ironically the "posters" kinda show the reality of things with HLS

    • @SoloRenegade
      @SoloRenegade Рік тому +1

      @@_mikolaj_ yeah, and it's also normal to actually deliver working product on schedule too.
      how many other rocket startups have already flown and are even flying customer payloads?
      BO has been around how long and has YET to standup a rocket capable of orbit. They are years behind schedule and contributed to the downfall of a partner company.
      Children make concept art that looks realistic online. where is the actual hardware?