Limits to Growth

Поділитися
Вставка
  • Опубліковано 2 гру 2021
  • 'Limits to Growth: What a 50-Year-Old Model that Forecasted Global Collapse Tells Us About Avoiding It Today'
    Gaya Herrington provides corporations and KPMG US partners in the Americas with long-term risk management and business strategy advice. Harrington is developing and implementing their Dynamic Assessment method, a new analytic and holistic technique based on interconnectivity of economic, social, and environmental elements.
    Written by MIT scientists in 1972, Limits to Growth (LtG), predicted global societal collapse if humanity did not alter its priorities. Scenarios of the future were created in the first system-dynamics model, called World3. Given the prospect of collapse, Herrington was curious which scenarios aligned with current empirical data. Herrington collected data from academia, NGOs, UN entities, and the World Bank, which she plotted along World3 scenarios. She found close alignment with two scenarios.
    In this talk, Herrington will discuss her research, published in Yale’s Journal of Industrial Ecology and featured in The Times, The Hill, and The Guardian. She will also discuss lessons from her findings, including opportunities to change humanity’s trajectory and the usability of continuous growth.
    Timiebi Aganaba, who will moderate the discussion, is an SFIS faculty member and has an appointment at the Sandra Day O’Connor School of Law. She has experience in five countries on three continents in Space research, law, academia, executive leadership, and industry consulting that lends a unique perspective to how humanity might govern resources and the economy of Space.

КОМЕНТАРІ • 2

  • @wehitextracellularidiombit4907
    @wehitextracellularidiombit4907 2 роки тому +2

    Another answer to the "we are gonna extract resources from space , don't really care about climate" mantra, is jean Marc jancovici far fetched argument (which nonetheless is probably right at first order) just do the computation of how many dollars are yearly thrown away to sustain a few people's life in the international space station.. just imagine doing that with a thousand, a million, a billion people ? We just don't have enough money and resources right now to do that.
    And indeed one may have decreasing costs if one imagines mass producing starships at industrial scale.. but this is not Coruscant here (nor Kuat, Corellia, and Fondor or any shipyard for the star wars fans out there) this is reality on Earth not a space opera.
    Indeed one can look at the state of current industry right now.. Airbus and other companies of space dreamers they are working an awful lot for.. just what we produced so far.. no gigantic space cruiser(s).. so i cannot think that an interstellar spaceship be created before we tear out of our narrow minded growth oriented world (which makes a lot of people miserable in bullshit jobs anyway) and find a path to a stabilized world.
    Besides if we don't find this path, there is a good chance that quality of life will sharply decrease until we understand
    ** that we have to find it
    ** and how to find it.
    -------
    By the way even if Gaya said that teachers "usually say that yes they are adding value to society".. well i have been a teacher.. probably not a very successful one and indeed i did not remain a teacher for long .. and was {good days:not really /bad days:not at all }feeling i added anything to the society. So all these subjects are questionable. But the results of limits to growth are very interesting nonetheless.