5 states standing in way of BJP ‘Mission 370’ & what it can learn from Rajiv’s 1984 Lok Sabha tally

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  • Опубліковано 5 бер 2024
  • #cuttheclutter #bjp #congress #elections2024
    BJP has embarked on a mission to win 370 seats by itself in the upcoming general election. In Episode 1410 of Cut The Clutter, Editor-in-Chief Shekhar Gupta analyses electoral data to explain how this target is inspired by Rajiv Gandhi-led Congress’ 1984 tally & how a few states and allies stand in the way of BJP achieving this zenith of parliamentary politics.
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КОМЕНТАРІ • 813

  • @Gappasappa
    @Gappasappa 3 місяці тому +546

    Rajiv was a sympathy vote. Modi is pro incumbency vote.

    • @tapemaj
      @tapemaj 3 місяці тому +35

      Absolutely true .
      Was indeed a sympathy wave with that 414 number .

    • @importantsomeone153
      @importantsomeone153 3 місяці тому

      kya fark padta hain even if maulana modi will get 450 votes he will still hugg anti indians like sitaram yechury digvijay singh left leaders will keep giving anti hindu speeches and if u allow snakes to live not today tommorow they will come and bite harm india in future

    • @mg.f.9023
      @mg.f.9023 3 місяці тому

      Modi is Pro EVM

    • @mg.f.9023
      @mg.f.9023 3 місяці тому +9

      Pro EVM...

    • @watanabe00738
      @watanabe00738 3 місяці тому

      ​@@mg.f.9023Anti Jihad

  • @pulipakasrikiran9307
    @pulipakasrikiran9307 3 місяці тому +119

    You can add the 25 seats of ap to bjp no matter who wins full support will be given to bjpfrom andhra.

    • @PanakaluPoonakam
      @PanakaluPoonakam 3 місяці тому +15

      That's correct. With the financial mess AP in in, regardless of which party that comes to power they have to have blessings of BJP

    • @life4us481
      @life4us481 2 місяці тому

      Then why is BJP fighting elections in AP.

    • @PanakaluPoonakam
      @PanakaluPoonakam 2 місяці тому +9

      @@life4us481 So your question is - "why a political party is contesting elections?" Seriously? Is that even a question?

    • @SoibT2166
      @SoibT2166 2 місяці тому +4

      ​@@life4us481pass std VI. You will understand.

    • @venkateswarluk5133
      @venkateswarluk5133 2 місяці тому +1

      Although AP people are against BJP, which destroyed the AP by denying what is assured, the politicians in the state are supporting the AP backstabbing party for their political survival. In 2019, AP people gave 22 out of 25MPs to YCP to get the SCS but it failed miserably in fighting for the SCS due to fear of progressing CBI cases against YSJ. Unfortunately, the TDP also can't fight against the BJP due to cases against CBN, so they formed an alliance to avoid CBN going to jail again.

  • @homt7427
    @homt7427 3 місяці тому +233

    Why stark silence on how the Gang Rapist of Sandeshkhali being protected by Mamta govt against HC ruling..

    • @bhuvanajagarapu7977
      @bhuvanajagarapu7977 3 місяці тому +8

      well said 👋👋👋

    • @svp5262
      @svp5262 3 місяці тому +26

      One of my Bengali friend who hates MAmta asked the same thing where is Raul Khan (as his Gandhi surname is borrowed) and other leftists - no one seems to be interested in protest and candle march.

    • @sauron2000000
      @sauron2000000 3 місяці тому +8

      ​@@svp5262 Raul Khan eating Goalbari manso

    • @chethan2311
      @chethan2311 3 місяці тому +5

      Shekar Gupta already sold his sole to Indi Alliance, so he can't do a CTC on Sandeshkhali Case

    • @suresh-dv7he
      @suresh-dv7he 2 місяці тому +6

      Cut the clutter won't happen. 😂😅😂
      Imagine the same happened BJP ruled state !!!
      SG would go beserk at midnight.

  • @RahulGhugari
    @RahulGhugari 3 місяці тому +47

    Dear Shekhar,
    I appreciate your recent CTC. I struggle to understand why Rajiv Gandhi is often credited for the 414 seats won in 1984. Considering that Indira Gandhi had secured around 350 seats in the preceding elections, Rajiv Gandhi merely added another 61 to the existing tally, largely due to sympathy and nationalist sentiment. In contrast, the BJP's remarkable increase of 166 seats in the 2014 elections is noteworthy. Additionally, the outcome of the 1989 elections further adds complexity to this discussion.
    Best regards, [Your Name]

    • @pp_01123
      @pp_01123 3 місяці тому +4

      Copy paste to sahi se karte 😂

    • @RDdggrd
      @RDdggrd 3 місяці тому +3

      Best regards - from Chatgpt

    • @HFRohlupuia
      @HFRohlupuia 2 місяці тому

      Cannot charge please help.

    • @yourstrulytk12worldaffairs
      @yourstrulytk12worldaffairs Місяць тому

      , [Your Name]
      🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣

  • @sankalp6872
    @sankalp6872 3 місяці тому +248

    The party that got 414 is struggling to get 10% of those seats today. That should be the real CTC topic: why INC, under Rajiv's son Rahul, is being defied by India's 25 states.

    • @harmandeepsinghdhillon3214
      @harmandeepsinghdhillon3214 3 місяці тому

      Coz some illiterate told low iq society that they don’t need improvement and are perfect ..

    • @sauron2000000
      @sauron2000000 3 місяці тому +7

      They got it because Hindus loved Indira and felt appeased.

    • @tigerking2742
      @tigerking2742 3 місяці тому +7

      शेखर के हालात ऐसे हो गया १९८४ मे पूलाओ खाया आज उंगली सुंघ रहा 😂

    • @tsuritoyim579
      @tsuritoyim579 3 місяці тому +1

      Power of Tampered EVMs

    • @tigerking2742
      @tigerking2742 3 місяці тому +13

      @@tsuritoyim579 we like this type of tempered EVM 😎 Any problem?????????

  • @nealdee1755
    @nealdee1755 3 місяці тому +64

    You cannot compare present-day modern India with India of that era. Back then, India had just recently gained independence, India was still figuring out politics, illiteracy was high, and Congress was the de-facto political party. In the present circumstances, it is almost impossible to reach those high numbers by any political party and it will remain so in the future too. In fact, the numbers that BJP and NDA are getting right now, despite there being so many established political parties like Congress and many regional parties, is miraculous in of itself. Modi has done the impossible in the modern era.

    • @hatorihanzo999
      @hatorihanzo999 2 місяці тому +1

      You are absolutely right. Modi's success will likely not be repeated in the next several decades.

    • @ranganathrao4260
      @ranganathrao4260 2 місяці тому

      True. It is irrelevant to compare something happened 3 decades back.

    • @user-cy7pv3qx9w
      @user-cy7pv3qx9w 2 місяці тому

      This is what electronic media has been serving you for the past several years.

    • @nealdee1755
      @nealdee1755 2 місяці тому

      @@Rothminacah_aminnotph Republic was formed in 1950 so that is only around 30 years, so that is not even one person getting old
      And there were no other big powerful national parties. Only Congress was big and powerful and national because it is old and was formed before independence and people like Mahatma Gandhi were a part of it so Congress did not have any solid competition

  • @va8085
    @va8085 3 місяці тому +316

    BJP is realistically getting anywhere between 320 - 345. NDA can near 370 - 400
    But one things for sure, 2024 is a done deal.

    • @RohitSingh-it1mg
      @RohitSingh-it1mg 3 місяці тому +22

      370 for BJP, 400 NDA for sure!

    • @d16024
      @d16024 3 місяці тому +18

      I agree, BJP at 325-335 and NDA at 360-375 is not unrealistic.

    • @kakun63
      @kakun63 3 місяці тому +3

      Bang on

    • @mg.f.9023
      @mg.f.9023 3 місяці тому +12

      With EVM no problem.

    • @ramesh12300
      @ramesh12300 3 місяці тому +1

      😂

  • @vamsi9855
    @vamsi9855 3 місяці тому +88

    Seems like Congress and its sympathizers getting ready to claim Moral victory saying ‘We stopped NDA from crossing 400’ and on this note get the launch pad ready again for Rahul (After so many agains)

  • @tejaspb24
    @tejaspb24 3 місяці тому +97

    What a wrong comparison.. it’s like comparing highest score in 20 overs to 50 overs. BJP won’t even fight 500 seats.. maybe 450 whereas Congress fought all seats alone in 1984. 84 was preceded by Indira’s assassination.. 2024 would be pro incumbency verdict…

    • @PS-ug7nm
      @PS-ug7nm 3 місяці тому +10

      I was looking for this comment 😆💯

    • @n.suresh7501
      @n.suresh7501 2 місяці тому +4

      I don't know why SG can't get this.

    • @_JP_7
      @_JP_7 2 місяці тому

      Leftist Journalist still think that voters believe family politics ?

    • @user-uq8hj5de6l
      @user-uq8hj5de6l 2 місяці тому +1

      Awesome Analysis 👌.
      Highly Strongest points.
      Great Scolalarly Analysis. 👍.
      Appreciate your views 🙏.

    • @user-uq8hj5de6l
      @user-uq8hj5de6l 2 місяці тому +1

      ​@@PS-ug7nmExactly 💯 percent correct

  • @visheshdubey3309
    @visheshdubey3309 3 місяці тому +218

    You know the 303 seat BJP did changes which are much more lasting and impactful than what 414 seat congress could do.

    • @srbasha74
      @srbasha74 3 місяці тому +4

      Tamil laddu😂😂😂😂

    • @ethanhunt937
      @ethanhunt937 3 місяці тому +2

      So true

    • @mg.f.9023
      @mg.f.9023 3 місяці тому +5

      Whom even SBI is out to protect...

    • @rahulitrc
      @rahulitrc 3 місяці тому +11

      ​@@srbasha74 still BJP got 303 seats. Who cares about TN

    • @Myanmartiger921
      @Myanmartiger921 3 місяці тому

      @@mg.f.9023sandesh khali rape jihad gang

  • @sabertooth207
    @sabertooth207 3 місяці тому +34

    With a simple statement he has changed the dimension, now instead of winning elections now the opposition and critiques target is whether they ll get 400 or not. Are you getting what happened here? Modi Shah thinks in different dimension

    • @user-lf4vj6qq8q
      @user-lf4vj6qq8q 3 місяці тому +5

      Plus they shifted the Overton video right in the middle of nationalist politics. There was a time when Jai Shree Ram was considered communal and people confidently advocated to build a hospital or school on the grounds of the Ram Mandir. Now, imagine that. They’ve mastered the whole game, and are remaking India in their image.

  • @sunitareddy15
    @sunitareddy15 3 місяці тому +68

    414 was in shok sabha not in lok sabha

    • @mg.f.9023
      @mg.f.9023 3 місяці тому +1

      With every Nations assets given to ADANI & all Institutions under BJP control all Indians now should be in shok sabha

    • @KKL456
      @KKL456 3 місяці тому +6

      ​@@mg.f.9023 Haa majority are voting to BJP.

    • @kamalsrawat
      @kamalsrawat 2 місяці тому

      ​​@@mg.f.9023 Please name the Assets that Adani has Bought . Also IF YOU ARE NOT A LIAR also Print the Names (and amounts ) of states that have taken Adani Money .

  • @HeavenRacer422
    @HeavenRacer422 3 місяці тому +101

    370 or not they will reach nearer to 370 for sure.

    • @mg.f.9023
      @mg.f.9023 3 місяці тому

      Indian Man Killed In Ukraine War; Hyderabad's Mohammed Afsan Was Duped Into Fighting For Russia - Hindustan Times

    • @sauron2000000
      @sauron2000000 3 місяці тому

      370😂😂😂😂

    • @kakun63
      @kakun63 3 місяці тому +3

      ​@@sauron2000000nda will cross 370 mind u they need 272

    • @theniravpanchal
      @theniravpanchal 3 місяці тому +2

      NDA not BJP.
      BJP will not cross 325. It's impossible

    • @kakun63
      @kakun63 3 місяці тому +1

      bjp is 303 they will gain 11 in up minimum 9 in south india mahrashtra odisha bengal combined minimu 15 see 35 here at minum si bjp is already crossing 335@@theniravpanchal

  • @jaysahup6563
    @jaysahup6563 3 місяці тому +23

    what credit or achievement rajiv has when he became PM ? forced to became PM unwillingly upon his mother's death sentimental support across country ! SG feel happy on those numbers of earlier congress but today's BJP earned it ! the name fame and respect which india got globally in 10 years of current BJP is phenomenal !

    • @sauron2000000
      @sauron2000000 3 місяці тому +1

      🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣

    • @emmanueljames1606
      @emmanueljames1606 2 місяці тому +1

      If you don't know about jnv's it's your fault. Many poor children got free world class residential education. I have studied there.
      Just learn history and developments under each regimes. Don't criticise just because you are an andhbakht.

    • @jaysahup6563
      @jaysahup6563 2 місяці тому

      @@emmanueljames1606 i the andh bhakth per you ( adding sanghi too if that pleases you ) remember sikh riots with irresponsible statement 'bada ped girta hai to hulchul hoti hai' and shah bano verdict overturned to bereft old muslim lady to appeaae few maulanas !!
      rebut me on facts if you have honesty & guts...i dont mind i being tagged as sanghi..andh bhakt..godi..middle class communal...up ka drunkard ..24 by 7 jsr chanter or whatever you may call ! anyways liberals hobby to go personal when short of facts !👎
      i am andh bhakth ! what about those who believe in aasmani kitab keeping brain aside to even believe earth is flat !!! using brain is haram or anti faith ?!
      btw taking ur point current regime achieved what others couldn"t do after decades !! be honest !!!

    • @emmanueljames1606
      @emmanueljames1606 2 місяці тому

      @@jaysahup6563 your sheer hatred towards others shows who you really are. No wonder india is at the bottom in world happiness index. Be a human bro. Escape from shitty religions that blinds humanity.

    • @vivekxess3406
      @vivekxess3406 2 місяці тому

      BJP only in television not in vision absolute failure

  • @sitarampradhan8488
    @sitarampradhan8488 3 місяці тому +79

    Due to Indira Gandhi Hindus massively voted for Rajib Gandhi. But Rajib Gandhi betrayed Hindus.

    • @virajraundal7340
      @virajraundal7340 2 місяці тому +3

      Literally brought the Ram Mandir movement to life but ok

    • @dineshkesarpu37
      @dineshkesarpu37 2 місяці тому +1

      ​@@virajraundal7340 Yes appeased both Hindus and Muslims

    • @joemanonaveenxavier1465
      @joemanonaveenxavier1465 2 місяці тому

      Without him there won't be any Ram temple

    • @sitarampradhan8488
      @sitarampradhan8488 2 місяці тому

      @@joemanonaveenxavier1465 lol we will take back our all mandirs bit by bit and we will also re convert muslims to Hindu by different means. It's our long term and indomitable goal. Period

    • @AA13494
      @AA13494 2 місяці тому

      to correct his blunder of shah bano, not bcz he cared for hindus or ram temple@@virajraundal7340

  • @AK-yw9qs
    @AK-yw9qs 3 місяці тому +134

    SG looks very happy that BJP can't beat 1984 numbers,
    As Galib said "Dil ko khush rakhne ko Ghaalib yeh khayaal achcha hai"

    • @YeshwanthraoBathula-nb3yd
      @YeshwanthraoBathula-nb3yd 3 місяці тому +3

      😅 haha

    • @user-eu5on6cv9f
      @user-eu5on6cv9f 3 місяці тому

      Satisfied pig .

    • @pulipakasrikiran9307
      @pulipakasrikiran9307 3 місяці тому +12

      Its stupid for BJP to get that much power.It'll just become another congress. You either die a hero or live long enough to become a villain.

    • @sainikpraveen
      @sainikpraveen 3 місяці тому +21

      ​@@pulipakasrikiran9307😂😂😂.. Just because Nolan made that line dose not mean it is an universal truth. Indians are generally pro incumbency even when some works are done. When BJP has been the only party who has delivered in past 75 years, why do we not want them with much bigger and better standing with 2/3rd majority in Loksabha to do actual Constitutional amendments without being dependednt on any one

    • @pulipakasrikiran9307
      @pulipakasrikiran9307 3 місяці тому

      @@sainikpraveen Bjp has only delivered in national security and to some extent infrastructure.It hasn't got much sucess in economy tax reforms land and agricultural reforms.It has tried but has not got much success.The cons are huge they are radicalising population for politics.The avg bjp fanatic is thinking Muslims in India are devils.

  • @orunabho
    @orunabho 3 місяці тому +39

    I think, getting 10% of that 414 or 41 seats for Congress(Rahul) would a real challenge, forget about Modi and BJP.
    Maybe SC should do a CTC on that, from where will Congress(R) manage to sneakin that number 41 and from where and why?

  • @padmakumar649
    @padmakumar649 3 місяці тому +38

    Lutyens media's hangover still persists 😂

    • @harshakumar104
      @harshakumar104 2 місяці тому

      Yeah, we can have Chinese style godi media instead. We can keep singing NaMo bhajans.

    • @anuradhasudharsan7133
      @anuradhasudharsan7133 2 місяці тому +1

      well said.

    • @Sreeprayag
      @Sreeprayag 2 місяці тому

      ​@@harshakumar104 Still better than Italian carols

    • @bskm5322
      @bskm5322 2 місяці тому

      ​@@harshakumar104joe wer r u from?

  • @rajbaniwal3236
    @rajbaniwal3236 3 місяці тому +41

    Shekhar ji, the rise of regional parties across India that has plagued India since 1984 is because people were fed up with the Politics of Congress.
    BJP is not only fighting the unpopularity of Congress, it is actually fighting the unpopularity of a “National” party with the regional parties.
    This will take time but BJP is on its way forward. Imagine, having a single party majority in 2014 when we had forgotten that it could ever be possible.

    • @rajp6339
      @rajp6339 3 місяці тому +5

      Excellent points. After 34 years BJP/Modi achieved a single party govt. That day (slowly after 2024) is not far off, when all these regional, dynastic, family oriented parties will vanish.

  • @THE.INDIAN.REBELL
    @THE.INDIAN.REBELL 3 місяці тому +18

    K ANNAMALAI from Tamil Nadu 🔥🔥🔥

  • @d16024
    @d16024 3 місяці тому +89

    BJP is definitely getting more than 303 votes, likely 310-335. NDA is getting more than 350 votes, likely 360-375 but not 370 and 400. For that, they need to improve on certain regions like Kerala, TN, Punjab and Odisha.

    • @rickgolder6818
      @rickgolder6818 3 місяці тому +11

      Dont know about kerela and punjab, but in tamil nadu and odisa, there footprint is increasing fast. Annamalia from TN is doing very good job, not to mention he is very well educated too, the public are starting to look at him more now.
      And not to mention, BJP will be getting more seats in benga too. And even may change the government in the 2029 election and dethrone TMC. So theres fair enough chance for BJP to cross 350-360 and NDA to get 390-400.

    • @aaditya880
      @aaditya880 3 місяці тому +6

      Odisha - Seats are increasing, TN seats is increasing

    • @rickgolder6818
      @rickgolder6818 3 місяці тому

      @@aaditya880 yes

    • @RyomenSukuna694
      @RyomenSukuna694 3 місяці тому +4

      @@rickgolder6818 Bjp will win atleast 3-5 seats from Kerala....

    • @theniravpanchal
      @theniravpanchal 3 місяці тому +1

      According to me.
      BJP 300-325
      JDU 6-8
      Shinde 4-7
      Ajit 2-4
      LJP 3-5
      Jds 2-3
      Cong 45-65
      DMK 26-32
      TMC 18-23
      Aap 6-8
      CPI 3-6
      RJD 3-6
      SP 2-5
      NC 3
      Ysrcp 12-16
      TDP 8-12
      JSP 1-2
      AIADMK 2-4
      Aimim 1-2

  • @jaymalhotra245
    @jaymalhotra245 3 місяці тому +17

    Sad to see. So painfully hard for SG to speak positively about BJP and Modi!

    • @p.kishorekumar5244
      @p.kishorekumar5244 3 місяці тому +1

      Should SG say that Congress getting 400 seats?He is speaking the reality.

    • @anuradhasudharsan7133
      @anuradhasudharsan7133 2 місяці тому

      SG never speaks positively of BJP or Modi. He is after all the leader of Lutyens media. He is hiding facts.

  • @orunabho
    @orunabho 3 місяці тому +22

    The real analysis should be - will Rajiv Gandhi's son will manage to get - 10% of 414 or 1%.
    Above the Tropic of Cancer line - most likely zero, but for a couple of seats in feudal Bihar.
    Below the Tropic of Cancer ? Zero again or a total 4, all from Telangana?
    In Kerala the communist will fight all out to retain some relevance, leaving Rahal no choice but to run away to Telangana.
    Same with Tamil Nadu, DMK will be fighting for its own political relevance - the battle line has been drawn. Annamalai is here to destroy the DMK ideology in next 5-6 years.
    Karnataka zero. People have already suffering from their mistake there.
    Andhra zero. Chandrababu Naidu will be back. Congress is a deadly name there in anycase.

    • @akshytube
      @akshytube 3 місяці тому

      Well said, SG will making a CTC after 2024 LS elections of how RG pulled a spectacular 10 seats for INC in total through his Bharath Jodo 1 & 2, mohobbat ka dukhan, intellectual speaches all over the globe etc...

  • @aryavarta2047
    @aryavarta2047 3 місяці тому +17

    This analysis is suffering from analysis paralysis. The way he said 'only 303' seats. Hello, 303 is a humongous achievement. 🎉

  • @vivekrajup9701
    @vivekrajup9701 3 місяці тому +11

    Rajiv contested at a time when there was no media coverage of the corruption done by the party, INC was pretty much the only choice after fooling the voters that they were the reason for independence and most of all people were yet to understand the appeasement politics of the party. The electorate is better informed now and the outcomes of the last 2 elections show the picture

    • @RDdggrd
      @RDdggrd 3 місяці тому +1

      Are you saying that the current state of media is better?😂

    • @SuperCanonX2
      @SuperCanonX2 3 місяці тому

      As if there is media coverage about corruption done by current ruling party now

    • @paragraysarkar404
      @paragraysarkar404 2 місяці тому

      ​@@RDdggrdwhat do you mean by media ??
      Abp ,times of india , republic is not the only media now ,
      See you can write views on everything in social media .
      Now a days no one watches TVs except for old people.

  • @sarthakjoshi9824
    @sarthakjoshi9824 2 місяці тому +5

    I will vote for NOTA but not congress. It is franchise of British still operating in india

  • @rajhsalgam2083
    @rajhsalgam2083 3 місяці тому +11

    Unfortunately, this entire analysis is over shadowed by the preceding assassination event of Indira Gandhi in October 1984 before December 1984 elections. Sympathy was fresh and it was a major factor. Therefore, it’s not apples to apples comparison.

  • @Sykik.reader
    @Sykik.reader 2 місяці тому +3

    Never underestimate the power of stupid people in large groups

  • @karth0
    @karth0 3 місяці тому +4

    Mr. Grand father sir.. BJP targeting 370 seats not 400

  • @surendervasudevan8593
    @surendervasudevan8593 3 місяці тому +18

    This whole theory of Rajiv gandhi got 400 + seats is a result of sympathy for indira gandhi assassination and its aftermath not for people acceptance for congress or rajiv ,thats the reason, till date they couldn't form government on thier own ,,,moreover there is no all India party other than congress available at that time....BJP made a debut with 2 seats in 1984 against congress 404 !

  • @jauhariakash
    @jauhariakash 3 місяці тому +11

    Poor comparision.

  • @boulevard7863
    @boulevard7863 3 місяці тому +29

    In Orissa, BJP currently has 8 out of 21 seats. BJP's seats will increase this time in orissa.
    In Andhra Pradesh , national parties have no presence. Both TDP and YSRCP are fighting to join the BJP led NDA.
    In Tamil Nadu, BJP's vote share will rise to double digits. Not sure about seats.
    In Kerala,BJP has no chance because of the religious demography.

    • @rrajdippawskar9853
      @rrajdippawskar9853 2 місяці тому +2

      Small point about Kerala: if you go by Assembly vote share, BJP has third-largest vote share in Kerala right now. If we keep the same, and if possibly increase it, and consider the constituencies where the BJP is second party, it can get (at best) Thiruvananthapuram in the current elections. (My opinion, so you can disagree if you want to)

    • @darkstarrysky7756
      @darkstarrysky7756 2 місяці тому +3

      @@rrajdippawskar9853BJP can’t get Thiruvananthapuram as Shashi Tharoor is competing from there. BJP does have a small chance of winning Thrissur due to the popularity of actor Suresh Gopi.

    • @clownop8063
      @clownop8063 2 місяці тому

      @@darkstarrysky7756 no bro Thrissur will never go into hands of bjp. And no way let me say for at least next two election bjp ain't winning in kerala either next time it's congress, even cpm is having a lesser chance.

  • @velugoti1964-lm8pu
    @velugoti1964-lm8pu 3 місяці тому +14

    Don't worry Shekarji.
    They will do well in the 4 stated you mentioned
    Nda will cross 400.
    Please keep burnol ready on counting day

  • @karthekeyanperiyasamy3093
    @karthekeyanperiyasamy3093 3 місяці тому +17

    2024 in TN is about introducing the BJP. May be 2026, they may win some MLAs, if they win good numbers they get a boost and slowly move.

  • @vijaykranti8198
    @vijaykranti8198 2 місяці тому +1

    Sekhar's analysis on such a wide variety of issues are well informed. His balance and confidence are admirable. Of late I find myself hooked in.

  • @natvarsinhzala9078
    @natvarsinhzala9078 2 місяці тому +2

    This fellow will be in mental hospital after loksabha election 2024 😅😅😅

  • @arithiru
    @arithiru 3 місяці тому +2

    Some of the "meltdown" statements on the result day, which am dying to hear and cannot wait for!!
    1. Its a moral victory to the I.N.D.I guys!!
    2. Modi won the election, INDI won the hearts
    3. BJP won, Democracy lost.
    4. EVM won, ballot paper lost

  • @2010anilshukla
    @2010anilshukla 3 місяці тому +3

    I am sure you will be unhappily surprised when the results are announced 😀

  • @hiteshts
    @hiteshts 3 місяці тому +4

    Love Grandpa stories from Shekhar dadu ❤

  • @kartikshiroya2270
    @kartikshiroya2270 3 місяці тому +4

    Its people of India who defeats the political parties ....

  • @youngworldpublications9887
    @youngworldpublications9887 2 місяці тому

    As you have said somewhere in this post - fanciful discussion - it really is!
    One is amazed by the super intelligence of not just modi bin tuglaq but equally 'bright' people like you. Keep it up!

  • @watanabe00738
    @watanabe00738 3 місяці тому +23

    I am from northern kerala , mostly tamil border .so i ve acess and info of both of the states. Beleive me bjp will get 1_2 sets kerala , 3_5 in tamilnadu . And the paarty grow only forward after that . Its just a matter of time when bjp starts rulling southern states

    • @Nani_pavan95
      @Nani_pavan95 3 місяці тому +1

      Good joke ,0 seats from Kerala and maybe 0-1 for Tamilnadu .2-3 From Andhra Pradesh because of the TDP alliance (else 0.5% vote share)

    • @anandhselvan173
      @anandhselvan173 2 місяці тому

      @@Nani_pavan95 BJP May get Kerala 1-2 seats, TN 1-3 seats. Andra I can’t predict since I don’t know there ground reality.

    • @musicmania1959
      @musicmania1959 2 місяці тому

      Start dreaming. The south will save the Union. On the whole we are headed for a calamity. That is PM Modis guarantee.

    • @kumaravasireddy
      @kumaravasireddy 2 місяці тому

      Good joke

    • @humanityisgreaterthanrelig3118
      @humanityisgreaterthanrelig3118 2 місяці тому

      ​@@anandhselvan173BJP in AP is less than NOTA😅

  • @therandomthings6933
    @therandomthings6933 3 місяці тому +3

    Aiming 400 good only, but My guess BJP alone might won easily 330 seats.

  • @BholaSingh-ju4dw
    @BholaSingh-ju4dw 3 місяці тому +5

    Your calculation is wrong.

  • @SahilSharma-lc5wm
    @SahilSharma-lc5wm 3 місяці тому +4

    1984 election was Shok Sabha election.

  • @Anomander5622
    @Anomander5622 3 місяці тому +12

    Mujhe lagta hai Barkha , Shekhar sab BJP ko chadha ke kahi voter ko complacent to nahi kar rhae😅. New strategy of liberals. dushman ko itna chadhao ki alsi ho jaye. Just kidding. Vote for sure guys. Vote for what you believe in

    • @AK-yw9qs
      @AK-yw9qs 3 місяці тому +3

      you have a point

    • @shresthkumar1499
      @shresthkumar1499 3 місяці тому +2

      Please go for voting with your entire family 🙏🙏

  • @chaitalipatel7133
    @chaitalipatel7133 3 місяці тому +2

    It was not Rajiv vote but it was death of Indira vote. So Indira got those seats by dying.

  • @AbhijeetSCrazy
    @AbhijeetSCrazy 2 місяці тому

    Carefully "not added ally seats". Serves your narrative। Also stamping 1984 victory as "nationalism" and not "sympathy". Good and honest analysis।

  • @Cha.555
    @Cha.555 2 місяці тому +2

    Takla is the first person the way of Modi ji. The trojan horse journalist in india.

  • @saicus8016
    @saicus8016 3 місяці тому

    Why the volume is always low in y r channel

  • @oochathevan
    @oochathevan 3 місяці тому +3

    It possible in next election's.
    As far as southern states, BJP need to cultivate organization structure akin to Gujarat and face valiantly the ruthless minority extremist elements by documenting past horrors of elimination of Karyakarttas

  • @turbulantarchitect5286
    @turbulantarchitect5286 3 місяці тому +1

    It's fun to watch Shekhar defending BJP in tiniest things possible and bash opposition with every opportunity. His reason for people being afraid to say that they didn't/won't vote for BJP was hilarious.😂😂

  • @sukumarmahata
    @sukumarmahata 3 місяці тому +2

    Tamilnadu going to surprise everyone

  • @dEclan_-ge5db
    @dEclan_-ge5db 2 місяці тому +1

    Sekhar ji where is your cut the clatter on SBI unable to provide election bond purchasers details within a stipulated period ...??

  • @ak-875
    @ak-875 2 місяці тому +1

    You seem to have moved away from analogue Omega to apple smart watch .
    Honestly, omega was looking good on your hands 😊

  • @Anomander5622
    @Anomander5622 3 місяці тому +2

    I found Shekhar Gupta's hand and head gestures very intersting.

  • @harshkansal6101
    @harshkansal6101 2 місяці тому

    Sandeshkali pe episode aayega ?

  • @satyp99
    @satyp99 2 місяці тому +1

    SG is being pained by Modi’s impending win.

  • @sreevanisadhu4179
    @sreevanisadhu4179 3 місяці тому +4

    Not a good analysis. Comparing 1984 elections is an efficient way . I expected more mature analysis based on thought process.

  • @maniaphobia4719
    @maniaphobia4719 3 місяці тому +2

    Please understand about South ; If a right national leader leader choice is presented , then no State party can stop them in General elections ; Modi in 2024 appears come close to that ; I will not be surprised if BJP gets much more seats in the South exclusively for Modiji as PM candidate ; BJP ‘s big challenge is Cash for votes on Election Day and not local corrupt leaders ; South will never fail the Nation that is Bharath

    • @jan-zg8di
      @jan-zg8di 2 місяці тому

      BJP's Challenge is Cash for vote after election- to buy MPs

    • @maniaphobia4719
      @maniaphobia4719 2 місяці тому

      @@jan-zg8di Why people select such MP’s and MLA’s ; When People sell their votes for cash , there is nothing more dangerous than Democracy ;

  • @roomfornet8216
    @roomfornet8216 3 місяці тому +1

    After Independence INC started with strike rate of 74.48%(In 1952), and got their highest strike rate of 76.52(In 1984) with conditions like No bigger National party, Indra Gandhi death etc., And after that INC didn't cross even 50 strike rate.
    BJP formed first Govt in 1996 with strike rate 29.65, and in 2019 they are at 55.80 with conditions like Grand Old opposition party etc.,
    Sir you are comparing the two scenarios.

  • @hemantsharma7084
    @hemantsharma7084 3 місяці тому +3

    I think SG is wrong at 2:47 upsurge of nationalism is incorrect it was sympathy vote for Rahul based on manner Indira Gandhi died!
    On contrary Modi ji has created a true Nationalism which is Gurav sei Kahoa hum Bhartiya hai aur starting of British Raj sei Mukti

  • @sundeepnag2513
    @sundeepnag2513 3 місяці тому +2

    The 303 seats BJP got only in 436 seats it fought in 2019 which makes it a strike rate of 70%(47% vote share in contested seats) slightly less than 80% of congress which got 414 fighting in 518 seats in 1984 with vote share of 48%

  • @gopalakrishna6035
    @gopalakrishna6035 3 місяці тому +1

    In AP, TDP is interested in the alliance with BJP not because of the fear of losing cadre. It is because it is very much worried about the massive fraud and violent attacks by the ruling party which can be avoided if BJP is with TDP.

  • @siddharthanvarier3342
    @siddharthanvarier3342 2 місяці тому +1

    Sir, lets talk about 2019 and 2024 1984 is done and dusted. Let's talk just about the PRESENT and forget history, sir

  • @swapankantabosechowdhury677
    @swapankantabosechowdhury677 2 місяці тому +1

    You are comparing chalk with cheese
    1984 was an aberration and extra ordinary situation.So,it is utterly irrelevant to make such comparison.

  • @Abbasi_Salman
    @Abbasi_Salman 3 місяці тому +1

    It is astonishing to predict so accurately the number of seats to be secured in a democracy, this calculation must be left to the free will of the electorate to decide which party has to govern them. In fact this shows the craze to capture power by hook or crook and influence the public opinion rather than honour their right to choose a party of choice. The political arena should be kept as a free zone for political wrestlers to fight back each other and the spectators should be the final judge about the confernment of the trophy.

  • @onlytruthissupreme7541
    @onlytruthissupreme7541 3 місяці тому +2

    Rajeev Gandhi was an incompetent and clueless politician. He got 414 seats but in just 5 years he lost power. Modi got 282 in 2014 and got 303 in 2019 i.e. an increase of 21 seats. The data says how incompetent Rajiv Gandhi was as a politician.

  • @noyonsense
    @noyonsense 3 місяці тому +1

    That last bit story! We should have episodes of these Stories. Vlog types

  • @libshastra
    @libshastra 3 місяці тому +3

    290+ if BJP keeps things the same as they were a month ago. The remaining 90 seats will depend on local factors. BJP still hasn’t finalized it’s candidates in a large number of seats. I’d be curious to see who they pick and where. Will BJP go with Aditi Singh for Raebareli? How is Amit Shah going to resolve the Konkan conundrum (Sena-BJP seat share)? What will be the BJP’s caste arithmetic in Bihar?

    • @ThePrintIndia
      @ThePrintIndia  2 місяці тому

      All fine points raised by you, my friend...we are headed for some really interesting weeks. Thank you for watching and writing in...best wishes, Shekhar

  • @rahulchandra1480
    @rahulchandra1480 3 місяці тому +2

    Brilliant analysis Shekhar. It now makes sense why Modi is focusing on Tamil Nadu, Bihar and Maharashtra

  • @lawyermahaprasad
    @lawyermahaprasad 3 місяці тому +1

    you are welcome

  • @chandrasekhar5835
    @chandrasekhar5835 2 місяці тому +1

    Pls refer your interview on SANDHESH KALI and present situation after involving CBI, all your interviews of false

  • @ramanvk5523
    @ramanvk5523 3 місяці тому +2

    SG ji is leaving bread crumbs to write a story after 2024, "why BJP failed in 2024 and how Opposition succeeded".
    Lage Raho

  • @mruthyunjayasiddalingaiah7489
    @mruthyunjayasiddalingaiah7489 3 місяці тому +1

    Transfer of 2Acres of Veternary Hospital premises to Minority Department- Appeasement politics 😡

  • @pranatimishra1659
    @pranatimishra1659 3 місяці тому +1

    to win around 370 seats bjp needs to invest in STATEHOODISM POLITICS where they need to bring more regional leaders in the southern states....bjp is still seen as a Hindi heartland party as toxic statehood politics of the south keeps the Bjp away...one exception is Annamalai in Tamil Nadu but that is not enough. more such people are needed to create a regional foundation in the states.

  • @learn2unlearn853
    @learn2unlearn853 2 місяці тому

    Shame on SG and the Print for not covering Sandeshkhali!

  • @hometab145
    @hometab145 2 місяці тому

    Great comparison. Thankyou :)

  • @hyd916
    @hyd916 2 місяці тому

    I LIKE THIS LADY, WHO EXPLAINS EVERYTHING IN A SIMPLE WAY. 👍🙏

  • @sridharavunnava8258
    @sridharavunnava8258 2 місяці тому

    Opp to Hospitals, I saw many people claiming for donations by showing dead bodies of their relatives. "Mera amma margayi, paise dedo"
    Like that, INC asked for votes by showing dead body of Indira Gandhi & showing Sikhs are anti-nationals

  • @hirenbafna
    @hirenbafna 3 місяці тому +1

    What was there to do a CTC on this? For BJP MH, AP, Kerala & TN are the most difficult states. Even in the current scenario Haryana, Punjab will be tough ones. Other than this the opposition is making their life easy by almost daily calling for Massacre Nazi style of Hindus. Plus does the INC really know why it is contesting the elections? The daily utterances of RG is actually making it easy. So chanting caste caste will only create opposite consolidation. Upper caste will consolidate against INC. They should know that. The caste census will ensure that INC never comes back to power. It will promote micro caste-based parties (more dynasties) & from that will come patronage. Patronage of money, these parties will provide muscle. Plus what has INC & precisely RG has done in last 10 years to make voter think yes I must give him an opportunity. INC has still got lots of Juice provided they are ready to look beyond the family. I hope INC gets reduced to early 30s so that they decide to finally do away with the family.

  • @sharraadprabhuddas7949
    @sharraadprabhuddas7949 2 місяці тому +1

    Shekhar Gupta shied away from informing that the 414 seats won by Rajeev Gandhi in 1984 was on account of the sympathy for Indira GANDHI’s assassination

  • @pichumanisankar2617
    @pichumanisankar2617 3 місяці тому

    This episode should have been titled “why Amitabh Bachhan” quit politics 😂

  • @prakashraghunathan2685
    @prakashraghunathan2685 2 місяці тому

    Thank you shekar sir for bringing political events comparing rajiv and modiji.

    • @ThePrintIndia
      @ThePrintIndia  2 місяці тому

      Thank you for watching, Prakash, and for supporting our journalism. Do keep writing in...best wishes, Shekhar

  • @rajeshpankan1467
    @rajeshpankan1467 2 місяці тому

    Good information

  • @sharadamalleshu4bjp4846
    @sharadamalleshu4bjp4846 3 місяці тому

    Most important information given for us Thank you sir Most important information given for us Thank you sir

  • @varaprasadganta4931
    @varaprasadganta4931 2 місяці тому +1

    BJP will not Cross 200 seats on Ballot Paper.

  • @ashishpandey8537
    @ashishpandey8537 2 місяці тому +1

    I cant understand mtlb sach me ab people are not talking ki kaun jitega they are taking that how bjp get 370 so it means ki sab man chuke hai ki bjp will win i think that congress should rethink about their party because we want a good opposition for a good democracy

  • @maymena17
    @maymena17 2 місяці тому

    What about the other states which might not even get BJP to 270 ? 😂😂😂

  • @Kang.31
    @Kang.31 3 місяці тому +38

    How many Seats BJP's Gonna Win ?? One like 👇= One Seat

    • @BharatThatIsIndia
      @BharatThatIsIndia 3 місяці тому +5

      If der is 600 likes, what will happen?

    • @Kang.31
      @Kang.31 3 місяці тому

      @@BharatThatIsIndia Then 1.5 or 2 likes = one seat
      Consider number as X Variable...

    • @mg.f.9023
      @mg.f.9023 3 місяці тому +1

      With SBI working hard to not reveal the Electoral Bond contributors ..

    • @BharatThatIsIndia
      @BharatThatIsIndia 3 місяці тому

      @@Kang.31 So, can I consider multiplied by zero der?

  • @vishnuprasadbalu8420
    @vishnuprasadbalu8420 2 місяці тому

    SG still lives in nostalgia of the old great Congress party. Wake up SG! We are tired of this.

  • @ravindravadke850
    @ravindravadke850 3 місяці тому

    P.M. Indira Gandhi committed an antinational act of supporting an Italian Full Citizen's application for Indian citizenship, without that person giving up her original citizenship.
    Later, that Full Italian & Half Indian lady did what only a Cruel Roman can do.
    That cruel act culminated into a massive wave of sympathy for Rajiv & the rest is history.
    Hence, credit for Rajiv's massive SWEEP goes to that cruel ROMAN ACT.
    Poor Bharateey Modi can't copy that Roman Trick.
    He has been trying to achieve that goal by shear Sincerity & Hard Work. I wish him the Best Luck.

  • @sukhparhar
    @sukhparhar 2 місяці тому +1

    Mission 370? Cukooland. This bjp will struggle to cross 190 seats pan India.

  • @squarecutatul6834
    @squarecutatul6834 2 місяці тому

    The more relevant statement is "there are 25 plus states in the way for Congress to reach double figures." This fellow is happy at the thought that NDA may not reach 400 seats. His happiness is like Pakistanis being happy when first Chandryan mission of India failed 10 metres before landing on the moon. Instead of doing introspection on the failure of his paymaster, he is feeling happy at the supposed failure of NDA.

  • @arunhuddar
    @arunhuddar 3 місяці тому

    What is holding EC from announcing the dates?

  • @BharatThatIsIndia
    @BharatThatIsIndia 3 місяці тому +1

    30:05 I read this story long back, most probably in India Today about "Why Amitabh left politics?"
    I think der was something going on during that time between the Amitabh and Gandhi family.
    He made one more comment like "They are Raja, we are Fakeer. Whenever they call, I will go."

  • @kkvishwanath8278
    @kkvishwanath8278 2 місяці тому +1

    Mr Shekar have guts to speak on Sandheshkali episode. Both on causing disgracr to dalit women n misuse of pds system monopolized by don shiek.Speak on misrule by Mamata ban...ji.401 sympathy is not greatdeed...When Modi ji ssys 400 par there is great signifacance to it.

  • @BharatThatIsIndia
    @BharatThatIsIndia 3 місяці тому +2

    18:09 "Congress knew that they will lose these elections."
    We can blame congress for many things and we must do that.
    But here they have shown "statesmanship".
    Modi ji failed to show the same in Manipur. Here he didn't have any danger of losing the election. He just has to change the CM and he didn't do that too.

    • @bhuvanajagarapu7977
      @bhuvanajagarapu7977 3 місяці тому

      what a joke Congress and Statesmanship is an oxymoron.

    • @AndyKatana
      @AndyKatana 3 місяці тому

      You also heard Indira caused carnage in Assam by forcing elections. That’s why Rajiv didn’t.
      Less of statesmanship, more of political compulsion

    • @BharatThatIsIndia
      @BharatThatIsIndia 3 місяці тому

      @@AndyKatana so why Modi is not doing it in Manipur?
      Why is he not changing a failed CM, who proved to be a disaster?
      This is called lack of statesmanship.

    • @BharatThatIsIndia
      @BharatThatIsIndia 3 місяці тому

      @@bhuvanajagarapu7977 yeah, and still they showed it.
      You know, people like you are so hateful or fo ol or id iot or simply devoid of any working brain, that they don't see things based on fact or data, but to der own prism.
      Rajiv or Indira were not Saints. Rajiv was responsible for Sikh massacre.
      But when he has shown statesmanship in Assam, it should be appreciated.
      How does people like you live without having any nuance thinking?

    • @BharatThatIsIndia
      @BharatThatIsIndia 2 місяці тому

      @@bhuvanajagarapu7977 So why Modi is not able to remove a CM in Manipur.
      I assume you will agree that CM of Manipur has failed and he is one of the main reasons for violence in Manipur.
      Here Modi is not going to lose state, he just needs to change the CM.
      Now you will understand what statesmanship is. Or are you blinded by your hate?

  • @vikashchhapadia2880
    @vikashchhapadia2880 2 місяці тому

    Very good analysis...thanx sekhar ji

  • @kailashsharma1008
    @kailashsharma1008 2 місяці тому

    Not 370, 270. There is typo in the heading by Modi sympathizer.