Great video! Something that I think is missing from this calculation is set size influence (this is separate though dependent from overall pull rare). For instance, Stellar Crown might be suboptimal in paper, but, since the set is so small, the chance of pulling a SPECIFIC Illustration rare, such as the Bulbasaur and Squirtle, which are each worth more than $50, are much higher than similar cards in the bigger sets. This is significant in average pack EV. I'm not sure if this is entertained in this chart.
Thanks :) Good point, I assumed in the calculation that for example every SIR have the same pull rate within the set as any other SIR, if this is not the case and a specific SIR has a higher chance, then the calculation is a bit inaccurate (but for the most sets that should be fine). The set size is already integrated with the pull rates, since they are calculated per booster pack pull (data coming from TCGPlayer for the pull rates, I think they open up a few thousand booster packs to calculate the rates).
I added the link to the data in the description. The data is from Cardmarket (Booster Prices & Average Prices), TCGPlayer (Pull Rates), PSA (Grading Populations), pokemontcg.io (general set informations) and pokedata.io (set value).
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Great video! Something that I think is missing from this calculation is set size influence (this is separate though dependent from overall pull rare). For instance, Stellar Crown might be suboptimal in paper, but, since the set is so small, the chance of pulling a SPECIFIC Illustration rare, such as the Bulbasaur and Squirtle, which are each worth more than $50, are much higher than similar cards in the bigger sets. This is significant in average pack EV. I'm not sure if this is entertained in this chart.
Thanks :) Good point, I assumed in the calculation that for example every SIR have the same pull rate within the set as any other SIR, if this is not the case and a specific SIR has a higher chance, then the calculation is a bit inaccurate (but for the most sets that should be fine). The set size is already integrated with the pull rates, since they are calculated per booster pack pull (data coming from TCGPlayer for the pull rates, I think they open up a few thousand booster packs to calculate the rates).
where can i freely view this kind of data? Is it your own?
I added the link to the data in the description. The data is from Cardmarket (Booster Prices & Average Prices), TCGPlayer (Pull Rates), PSA (Grading Populations), pokemontcg.io (general set informations) and pokedata.io (set value).
Very nice video