Ukraine: is Russia Collapsing?

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  • Опубліковано 2 лип 2024
  • Go to ground.news/millennium to stay fully informed on breaking news, compare coverage and avoid media bias. Try it out or subscribe through my link for 30% off their Vantage plan for unlimited access before August 14 and get it for as little as $5 a month.
    The war in Ukraine is going on but, is Russia collapsing under the weight of sanctions and other economic hardship? Is military production keeping up?
    Money & Macro Sanctions Analysis • Did Sanctions Just Bre...
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    00:00 Sponsored by
    00:03 Intro
    00:11 Bear with him
    00:33 What the video will talking about
    01:00 M7 is authorotian against OTIS
    01:10 intro song
    01:14 Russian Economy
    02:50 Our Sponsor, Ground New.
    Use ground.news/millenium for 30% discount
    05:20 Russia GDP
    08:50 Russian workforce
    14:15 Substitution
    16:15 Grizzly bear
    16:19 State of Russian military industry
    16:23 Background of Russian MIC
    17:37 Rostec and what inside it
    21:00 Russian GDP is as big as Italy, but..
    22:47 Current Russian MIC condition
    24:25 Russia MIC is self sufficient?
    33:21 Effect of sanction on Russia military production
    33:44 Zircon
    34:30 Pak-Da
    35:40 LTS Checkmate
    36:50 Su-57
    38:21 White Swan
    39:30 Su-35
    40:55 UAC delivery in 2022
    41:25 Su-24
    42:15 Drone war (pt 1 Lancet)
    44:56 Drone war (pt 2 Orlan)
    46:52 Drone war (pt 3 Shahed)
    48:19 Missiles production
    49:16 Will Russia Sustain the War Effort?
    51:38 OTIS got software update
    52:00 Outro
    All images and additional video segments contained in the Thumbnails and/or B-roll segments are used in strict compliance with the appropriate permissions and licenses required from the source and in accordance with the UA-cam Partner Program, Community guidelines & UA-cam terms of service.

КОМЕНТАРІ • 1,7 тис.

  • @Millennium7HistoryTech
    @Millennium7HistoryTech  11 місяців тому +40

    Go to ground.news/millennium to stay fully informed on breaking news, compare coverage and avoid media bias. Try it out or subscribe through my link for 30% off their Vantage plan for unlimited access before August 14 and get it for as little as $5 a month.
    The war in Ukraine is going on but, is Russia collapsing under the weight of sanctions and other economic hardship? Is military production keeping up?
    Join this channel to support it:
    ua-cam.com/channels/VDkfkGRzo0qcZ8AkB4TMuw.htmljoin
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    ----------------------------
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    Take part to the community Q&A clicking the link below!
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    • @mickparkinson207
      @mickparkinson207 11 місяців тому +6

      It’s a tough thing to attempt to compare any nation with Russia because we use the metric of GDP, there is a military formula that can very accurately determine the strength of a nation via steel output, vehicles, numbers of able bodied men all industrial output etc. when calculated Russia is almost on par economy strength wise as USA.
      Bear in mind the nations economy dwarfs the Japanese, Germany Italy UK in fact likely it’s a match for all 4 when you factor in PPP yanks sea wolf $8 billion 10 years ago? Yassen M on par $1 billion..
      hypersonic missile USA $146M each and don’t work , Russia $6M ..
      the Russians are the only nation capable of total self sufficiency, they lead in many technologies but are totally ignored and propagandised by us in the empire of lies..

    • @scroopynooperz9051
      @scroopynooperz9051 11 місяців тому +2

      Mr Millennium Falcon.. thank you for your insights and efforts. Always a good watch.
      And say hi to Otis for us 😂

    • @stephenglover8828
      @stephenglover8828 11 місяців тому +2

      @@mickparkinson207 well said and don't forget their mass of natural resources

    • @utiz4321
      @utiz4321 11 місяців тому

      I like your vidéos but you very first conclusion on the economic impact of the sanctions is based solely on western data and that data is produced by the segments of western nations most likely to be hostile to Russia.
      Interviews with Russia people suggest the economy isn’t experiencing any issues. Not scientific but I don’t think any of these western studies are either.

    • @DIREWOLFx75
      @DIREWOLFx75 11 місяців тому +1

      Anyone who thinks Russia is collapsing needs to visit a psychiatrist due to their severe delusions.
      The general state of the Russian economy is BOOMING. IMF earlier predicted that the Russian economy would grow 1.5% in 2023.
      That prediction is now essentially considered obsolete and something closer to 2% is more likely.
      And that is despite the fact that there's still lots of broken supply chains.
      Russia is literally thriving THANKS TO SANCTIONS. Because it has forced the people away from a lot of imported consumer goods, which is now instead made in Russia.
      And the Russian military industry, uh yeah, definitely NOT a problem. A few weeks ago, there was a report that estimated that the Russian military industry had increased its military output ON AVERAGE by roughly 17 times since start of 2022.
      And sanctions are not affecting the military industry almost at all. Russia made itself independent of imports in 2018 when the Krokus chipfab ramped to full massproduction on its new 65nm node.
      The new Lancet 53 drone was based on lessons learned from 2022, designed and put in massproduction in 6 months and is now expected to be manufactured at roughly 200 thousand per year.
      .
      "-16% for the Russian automotive industry"
      That's because a bunch of factories owned by western companies simply forcibly shut down the places. It has NOTHING to do with the actual Russian economy. It's one more propaganda tool to make it look like sanctions are working.
      "-6.2% estimated"
      That is totally unrealistic. Yes, a bunch of stuff, like the above car factories and some other stuff shut off, HOWEVER, the boom within the Russian industry for consumer goods started already middle of last year.
      .
      "average estimated contraction 9% / 6 or 7%"
      HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA...
      How about NO? That's so blatantly fake that it's not even funny.
      The Russian economy OVERALL had what eventually ended up a relatively minor blip in the first 1-2 months but after that, mostly, people don't even notice it.
      The only thing that really stuck was that a few car models that are highly popular had their 2nd hand prices shoot off skyhigh.
      "non-negligable effect"
      Except that neither people nor the state actually NOTICE them. A lot of businesses have had to do plenty of acrobatics to avoid problems, but at the consumer and end-user level, it haven't really mattered.
      .
      "about 1 million Russians have left the country"
      That is GROSSLY exaggerated propaganda. Somewhere between 1/10th and maaaybe 1/5th of that is probably more correct.
      And a large amount of those that did leave are either going back, or considering going back due to the western racism and blind hate as well as the POOR LIVING STANDARDS of the west. Yes, that is something Russians in the west have stated as reason for going back to Russia again.
      .
      "this has happened"
      Really? When? Where?
      My Russian contacts are certainly not seeing any lack of skilled workers. Or at least, nothing more now than before 2022. Because some skills are always in great demand.
      The EU and USA has far worse problems with this, and those are SYSTEMIC and have been ongoing for many years or even decades.
      .
      "skilled labor immigration"
      Please remember what Russia did just recently. They reopened the university dedicated to teaching STEM subjects to 3rd world nations, mainly Africa and latin America, to where it was during the USSR. While vast majority of this education will go back home, some wont, but more importantly, it is going to make Russia the same kind of educational "supernation" that USSR was. Russia has also gone back to the Soviet education program, because of how much inferior the Bologna process has shown itself to be.
      ALSO, please do remember that Russia is turning out its own skilled labor at a rate that is not far from USA, despite having less than half the population.
      Russia has never given up on technical schools and the like.
      "depicted as the best part of the country"
      Yeah sure, how about we call that the BS propaganda that it is?
      .
      "crisis"
      Wow... You seriously have no clue about what Russians think do you?
      The single most common critique is that the government is being too careful. That they should just go for a million troops mobilisation and end the war.
      However, even Putin's most vehement opponents, ACTUAL opponents that is, not the CIA stooges that no longer have any support, even they openly support the government's actions, regardless how much they may complain about or critique the details.

  • @krivdaa9627
    @krivdaa9627 11 місяців тому +203

    Off topic on Russian politics: most western sources struggle to understand some groundbreaking shifts in internal politics in Russia. When they publish "decreasing" Putin's popularity they make a quiet assumption, that those who don't support Putin - are pro Western. And so they struggle to understand "What the hell was Wagner mutiny?!". In reality - that was the "other" opposition, which oppose Putin for him being *more pro-Western* then they want.

    • @Phobos_Deimos
      @Phobos_Deimos 10 місяців тому +10

      Interesting point of view.

    • @SethGreenFarlane
      @SethGreenFarlane 10 місяців тому

      yeah they might start missing Putin real bad one day once next leader decides to go nuclear

    • @pedropalotes7638
      @pedropalotes7638 10 місяців тому

      ​@@Phobos_Deimoswhat is saying him is something western media and politicians cant understand, if Putin falls (as many wants) there are more chances "the West" misses Putin because the one that gets his place will be more extremist, with a bit luck the one that replace Putin will not be scared about the idea of begin a nuclear war

    • @amr8457
      @amr8457 10 місяців тому

      I'm American. Putin is no idiot. He despises the West in many regards. He does what he needs to do, unlike most world leaders. He had to play a game for many, many years with USA and it's economy/products/services/military. But that's all done now. Russia wasn't in a position, until recently, to do what they need to. Putin literally turned Russia back into a major force to be reckoned with!
      I could only wish we had a president like that!

    • @termitreter6545
      @termitreter6545 10 місяців тому

      @@mitchellcouchman6589 Thats such a russian bot answer lmao. Soft and calculating, after 2 years of war, 8 years of Ukraine civil war, 10 years of noone relevant aknowledging crimea. He aint military, after starting a war, having multiple rounds of hundreds of thousands for mobilization, excavating russian stores. Biggest military conflict in europe after yugoslav wars.
      And, do you get paid for writing this? Probably because youre just another worthless person that doesnt give a shit about anyone. Russia is full of those, just get your money and follow the führers orders.

  • @vadimnagano
    @vadimnagano 11 місяців тому +246

    As a regular Russian I can see stores well stocked, lots of construction sites around, crowds of people in restaurants and malls. Although, food prices went up by 10-30%. And those who stayed generally disdain those who left. Most of them have returned anyways.

    • @v.suarez8383
      @v.suarez8383 11 місяців тому +14

      This guy is talking Western propaganda 😂😅😂

    • @somekindaguy100
      @somekindaguy100 11 місяців тому +83

      Food prices have gone up at least 30 percent in Australia so it's global

    • @joelrios3704
      @joelrios3704 11 місяців тому +71

      Downt worry mate, prices are also up in Mexco. its Global, not just Russia

    • @nbell5050
      @nbell5050 11 місяців тому +30

      They realize how expensive life abroad is is what I’ve gathered happen

    • @charlieperaltaf
      @charlieperaltaf 11 місяців тому +12

      @@joelrios3704 I confirm, things are more expensive, but still, Mexico is on a very stable situation compared to Argentina.

  • @anotherone8805
    @anotherone8805 11 місяців тому +184

    Introduction 0 - 1:14
    The problem 1:14 - 2:50
    Sponsor 2:50 - 5:10
    GDP analysis 5:10 - 8:50
    Labor 8:50 - 12:30
    Voting structure/war support 12:30 - 14:15
    International trade 14:15 - 16:22
    Military industry 16:22 - 24:31
    Self sufficiency in the military industry 24:31 - 33:23
    The effects of sanctions on Military Production 33:23 - 49:18
    Will Russia sustain the war effort (conclusion) 49:18 - 52:00
    Epilogue 52:00

    • @Millennium7HistoryTech
      @Millennium7HistoryTech  11 місяців тому +24

      Thank you for this!

    • @Vardyversity
      @Vardyversity 10 місяців тому +1

      26:48 Poor Otis gets the chock of his life over the notion of having his chips torn out.

  • @sull5307
    @sull5307 11 місяців тому +204

    Isn't it beautiful ? The fact that I just randomly get a high quality analysis on the issue, served. Thank you sir

    • @ipodman1910
      @ipodman1910 11 місяців тому +5

      Great - the only issue is this analysis has nothing to do with reality of Russia…

    • @Conserpov
      @Conserpov 10 місяців тому +1

      This is not analysis, let alone a "high quality" one, this is coping masquerading as analysis.

    • @piotrjasielski
      @piotrjasielski 10 місяців тому +3

      "High quality"

    • @gibbo675
      @gibbo675 10 місяців тому

      To quote Ursula von der Leyen, "The Russian Military is taking chips from dishwashers and refrigerators to fix their military hardware because there are no semiconductors anymore. Russia's industry is in tatters." However they do seem to building o lot of kit that destroys NATO stuff quite well.
      Where do NATOs chips come from, McCain oven ready ?

    • @sull5307
      @sull5307 10 місяців тому

      Okay

  • @unabletocomprehend7229
    @unabletocomprehend7229 11 місяців тому +105

    I can tell you put a lot of thought into this video! Your channel is extremely underrated.

  • @user-cc4lk3tj1k
    @user-cc4lk3tj1k 10 місяців тому +6

    Good day, sir! I'm Russian, I live in Kazan, the city where the most powerful strategic bomber in the world is produced;) I watched your video, it seemed quite neutral to me, and that's what hooked me. It shows a fairly honest analysis of what is happening in our military-industrial complex.
    I would like to tell you a little secret, my country has been preparing for the sanctions imposed in 2022 since 2014, which is why they did not have such a "destructive" effect on our economy that your Western economists predicted.
    We should not forget that Russia has very effective crisis managers, we have vast experience in restructuring the economy. The effect of the sanctions was rather psychological, the population was really frightened (fear of the collapse of the banking sector, shortage of medicines, etc.). The life of ordinary citizens has not changed in any way, even your Western companies that loudly announced the termination of work with Russia continue to supply their goods and be produced under other names, which upset us)
    About supporting Putin - his positions have even become stronger than they were before 2022. Many are even more convinced that, unfortunately, at this stage of the existence of our society, Russia and Europe are not on the same path, although in the 90s, after the bloodless end of the Cold War, we, hoped for normal good neighborly relations.
    Keep shooting, you have an unfairly underrated channel, subscribed to you

  • @user-di5rm9ee1p
    @user-di5rm9ee1p 11 місяців тому +74

    Bro, I am from Montenegro, most of the Russians who came here when war started are working IT online, same in Serbia. They open companies for online IT work because they can not get payed like transfer money from west to Russia so they continue to work here what they do in Russia. So its not big deal...

    • @bennybenny43
      @bennybenny43 11 місяців тому +10

      Pozdrav iz Libana. 🇲🇪❤

    • @TheRealL1R
      @TheRealL1R 11 місяців тому +14

      Поздрав из Србије!

    • @josephboustany4852
      @josephboustany4852 11 місяців тому +1

      ​@@bennybenny43hello fellow Lebanese

    • @bennybenny43
      @bennybenny43 11 місяців тому

      @@josephboustany4852 ya hala ! 😉

  • @alexeishayya-shirokov3603
    @alexeishayya-shirokov3603 11 місяців тому +57

    I've been following a Russian gun accessories manufacturer called Zenitco for a while now. Before the war they were known for their AK and AR tuning kits; handguards, grips, rails, stocks, that sort of thing.
    In 2022, they started manufacturing their own reflex sights (10 whole models thereof). By 2023, they started manufacturing their own thermal imaging sights (3 models so far). In fact, their existing industrial capacity could barely keep up with demand, so they had to build a new factory that should be operational in a couple of months.
    Say what you must about other economic indicators, but I am personally very impressed that what was essentially a small-to-medium enterprise has witnessed a boom during the war (no pun intended), especially when the sanctions are thrown into the equation.

    • @volvo245
      @volvo245 11 місяців тому +13

      The sanctions only add one more middle man, mainly located in countries, which name ends in -stan. Components, manufacturing equipment etc. are still sold to Russia through these agents with a slight bump in price. You can't effectively sanction countries this large, its only effective as political posturing to convince voters.

    • @tpespos
      @tpespos 11 місяців тому

      I wonder if the boom was related to the war itself. Like if I was in a war with a neighboring country I would want a gun incase things went more aouth

    • @sirdo946
      @sirdo946 11 місяців тому +1

      ​@@tpesposyeah it did, but mostly from RU forces themselves. Zenitco AK parts are recognized as some of the best AK mods you can get and hundreds of them have been seen in russian soldiers' kits.

    • @yglnvbrs
      @yglnvbrs 11 місяців тому +1

      Why are you surprised that arms manufacturer is profiting and expanding during the war?

    • @alexeishayya-shirokov3603
      @alexeishayya-shirokov3603 11 місяців тому +1

      @@yglnvbrs impressed, not surprised 😉 mainly because they're manufacturing pretty decent sights without having any previous experience in the field. The ones manufactured in Russia before the war were a far cry from these.

  • @ELMS
    @ELMS 11 місяців тому +43

    At the beginning of the video I tapped to see how long it was and thought “Oh, boy, that’s pretty long.” It’s a testament to your excellent writing and presentation that I watched the entire video from beginning to end and my attention never once wavered. This was such a good briefing! And, as usual, there is no where else to get this information in such a concise format.
    Glad to see a sponsor and those subscribers are moving in the right direction! 👍

  • @hape4
    @hape4 11 місяців тому +81

    Thanks, great insight and it seems sanctions on Russia do have an effect but nothing that can’t be solved by them. Of course the Russians knew already since the 2014 sanctions, they better be as independent as possible from the west for their military equipment.

    • @masterlightjames950
      @masterlightjames950 11 місяців тому

      They don't need to be because the West itself is not independent

    • @whitescar2
      @whitescar2 11 місяців тому

      I mean, they're showing that they are anything but.
      What we're seeing is that Russia is very cunningly able to source the components that it is critically relying on from the west. And the west, because of greed and inability to get its act together, is able to stop the flow of components into Russia.
      It's like finding US explosives inside Nazi V2 rockets hitting London.

    • @boggisthecat
      @boggisthecat 11 місяців тому +23

      Their first priority was food production. The first counter-sanction was on food imports from the EU. Russia was a net food importer in 2014, and a very large exporter by 2019.

    • @angamaitesangahyando685
      @angamaitesangahyando685 11 місяців тому +2

      Talking about Russians as a monolithic "they" is such a typical Western mistake. Some Russians staged an uprising, other Russians betrayed them, leaving the war smoldering. Viewing the 8 years of doing nothing as some kind of a preparation for a... lost war is weird.
      - Adûnâi

    • @whitescar2
      @whitescar2 11 місяців тому

      @@angamaitesangahyando685 Nobody kills Russians like Russia. Russians putting their faith in other Russians is a terrible idea, especially when those other Russians are FSB.
      Russia was perfectly happy with the past 8 years of slow war. They had prevented the collapse of L/DPR with direct military intervention and were content enough to keep the war going, since it barred Ukraine from NATO. You cannot join the alliance if you have unresolved territorial disputes.
      However, Ukraine was getting stronger and there was a real danger that the L/DPR forces would get wiped out at some point in the future. So Russia chose to invade now while Ukraine was still weak.
      Let alone, Russia itself 8 years ago wasn't ready for a major invasion. It would likely have been able to beat the non-existant Ukrainian army, sure, but the occupation would have been a total shambles. Russia had eight years that it knew Ukraine would not be able to seek safety from NATO to build up its forces.
      What did it matter to Putin that some more russians died during those years? According to official L/DPR statistics, a grand total of 23 people died due to the "bombings of the ukronazis" within their territory in the year 2021.
      In 2022, 23 000 people died in Mariupol alone from Russian shelling.
      Nobody kills Russians like Russia.

  • @wogelson
    @wogelson 11 місяців тому +24

    Imagine making this video with such details and some efforts and some brainwashed people come here to comment about Russia using washing machine microchips in their Kinzhals...
    Anyway great video as always, we appreciate your efforts and thanks for your hard work! Don't stop

    • @antoniomiguelsimao
      @antoniomiguelsimao 9 місяців тому

      Its not from washing machines but from Henry hoovers.

  • @charlieperaltaf
    @charlieperaltaf 11 місяців тому +121

    Excellent video, not pro-russian, not pro-ukrainian, just a well thought research. I'd wish those sensationalist larger chanels have just an ounce of your integrity.

    • @tadficuscactus
      @tadficuscactus 11 місяців тому +7

      There is nothing wrong with being pro one side if it is more in the right than the other.

    • @StrangerHappened
      @StrangerHappened 11 місяців тому +17

      @@tadficuscactus If so, then it makes sense to be pro-Russian as Russia had to intervene directly after 8 year war the after-coup Ukrainian regime was waging on Donbas, which did not recognise the coup and its neo-Nazis

    • @tpespos
      @tpespos 11 місяців тому +4

      @@StrangerHappenedRussia was fighting in the Donbas the whole time using Privet militaries they already said that.

    • @julianpetkov8320
      @julianpetkov8320 11 місяців тому +22

      @@tpespos Can you watch the public speech of UK's puppet Dictator Poroshenko (October 2014) - what he promised to do to the defenceless Children in Donbas, and "rationalise" it for me? Thanks!

    • @geoffhaylock6848
      @geoffhaylock6848 11 місяців тому +1

      @@StrangerHappened Pootin has already said that Wagner is fully sponsored by ruSSia. No coup, just invasion via another lie. Comrade, cut the crap about Nazi's.

  • @TheBranchez
    @TheBranchez 11 місяців тому +67

    Considering for how long and how many countries are actively working against Russia, with or without sanctions, I think they are more than holding out very well. Better than anyone expected really.

    • @ominousbiscuit
      @ominousbiscuit 11 місяців тому +20

      Better than they themselves expected. Russia is waking up and realizing it is strong.

    • @pk4459
      @pk4459 11 місяців тому +12

      @@ominousbiscuit Begging North Korea for munitions level strength. Impressive!

    • @alext5285
      @alext5285 11 місяців тому +22

      @@pk4459 At least one Korean artillery shell was spotted by Ukrainians on the battlefield?
      It seems to me that you underestimate the importance of this visit of the head of the Russian Ministry of Defense to North Korea :)
      You argue in the general narrative "the Russians have run out of rockets and shells."
      It is worth considering whether the West will have any shells at all if tensions between North and South Korea are added to the tensions with Taiwan. Everything that is left in the West will have to be sent to Korea. Then Ukraine will be left with nothing.

    • @beyondrecall9446
      @beyondrecall9446 11 місяців тому +9

      @@alext5285 there are North Korean munitions used by Ukraine .. just saying..

    • @andrejel80
      @andrejel80 11 місяців тому +22

      ​@@pk4459snort some more of that Zelensky copium😂😂😂

  • @borysvengerov3398
    @borysvengerov3398 11 місяців тому +53

    It is so refreshing to watch such a qualitative analysis without an ounce of propaganda, you cannot even imagine! Nowadays it's considered a norm to pollute journalism with politics, which does great disservice to everyone in the long run. Thank you so much for this content.

    • @petunized
      @petunized 10 місяців тому

      "without an ounce of propaganda" Where do you think he takes his knowledge of Russia?
      Make no mistake: its regurgitated western media bullshit

  • @tomschmidt381
    @tomschmidt381 11 місяців тому +38

    As a retired EE that was a sobering analysis, especially the semiconductor segment. It is at odds with some of the rosy reports that things are about to collapse in Russia. I had not thought about the impact of substituting readily available commercial components. They are likely less reliable then older technology hardened military grade semiconductors but functionally they are certainly up for the task.

    • @kamleo1685
      @kamleo1685 11 місяців тому +24

      I, too, am a retired EE. People are brainwashed about military and space rated semiconductors. For many applications you don't need military or space rated semiconductors. Most semiconductors rated for automotive use can do the job. The chips used in cellphones are not military rated and can take a beating. At times cheap and plentiful is better than scarce, expensive and more robust.

    • @jakeroper1096
      @jakeroper1096 11 місяців тому +1

      Definitely have what they need for Ukraine (whoever way it goes) but they won’t even have development workstations for cutting edge deep learning they’d need for any escalated conflict with the west.

    • @Czeckie
      @Czeckie 11 місяців тому +3

      @@jakeroper1096 What are warfare capabilities that are helped or accessible thanks to deep learning? im not disputing it, i just dont know.

    • @Max_Da_G
      @Max_Da_G 11 місяців тому

      ​@@jakeroper1096 LOL nope. They need nothing of the sort. West isn't in position to get into a shooting war with Russia even combined. You seem to forget that Russia hasn't ran out of munitions in 1.5 years of high-intensity war, but european NATO states ran out of munitions after 3 weeks against Libya and needed US to help them finish the job. Russians are perfectly capable of destroying ALL western military warehouses and fuel storage/oil refineries, and high-tech manufacturing sites via cruise missiles and aero-ballistic missiles, and then west has what it had at that point in time. Which is insufficient for a war against Russia.
      All this "deep learning" is merely overcomplication. Warfare is nowhere near as supercomplicated as you make it out to be.

    • @PrimericanIdol
      @PrimericanIdol 10 місяців тому

      I stopped reading at "less reliable THEN".

  • @warget1
    @warget1 11 місяців тому +37

    I will write this comment from my prespective. Me after living for 3 year in Europe, decided to go back home to Russia. Working as head of foreign traids. Our company after some europeans left, got boost for over 100% this year. We building 2 new factories. 1 will product acrylic chamicals.Before we were buying it from Europe. This factory will support about 30% of what our country currently needs. Yes we still need more but this resuls for 1 year only, more to come. All my friends who had own factories and some production lines are saying thanks for sanctions. All those companies who where sending income outside of Russia is leaving, money stays inside our country. Of course there is alot of peoples who still manage to do so, but I hope it will be harder and harder to do.
    about import from europe, I can get almost everyhing Iwant, yes maybe a bit more expansive but still without any problem, very few companies declined my offer because we are Russia, they help send goods to Turkey or Kazakhsan etc by them self.

    • @2001abassodyssey
      @2001abassodyssey 11 місяців тому +7

      Our policymakers in the West, those who decide sanctions, are "national security analysts" rather than economists, and interdisciplinary thinking is frowned on, so they have little understanding of the supply chains or secondary markets that allow success stories like this. I for one am glad if the average Russian who had no part or choice in the war does not suffer. But, hopefully when this is all over, Russia and the West can re-engage in a way that benefits both economies!

    • @TerryAShaw
      @TerryAShaw 11 місяців тому

      ​@2001abassodyssey hmmmmm, I think the west will have to beg, and then some just to get an audience with Russia and any other intelligent country. The west is totally untrustworthy.

    • @piotrjasielski
      @piotrjasielski 10 місяців тому

      For anyone understanding how economy works it was obvious that taking over western companies will give a temporary boost. It will be short lived though. Your country is bleeding money - war, smaller export, bigger import from China. Whatever was saved as a backup is evaporating fast. Quantitative money boost aka money printing is already in place, currency will devalue, inflation will skyrocket. War effort took huge part of industry sector, with deficiency in workers and China is takin over the niche. In 10 years Russia will be on the same level as most African countries - poor Chinese vassal.

    • @aidos8448
      @aidos8448 10 місяців тому +2

      @@piotrjasielski I agree with your opinion, but Russia has no other choice, we will fight together with Donbass shoulder to shoulder. It's better to be poor than a traitor.

    • @piotrjasielski
      @piotrjasielski 10 місяців тому

      @@aidos8448 What do you mean no other choice? There was no reason to invade Donbas in 2014 and no reason to invade full scale in 2022. It was only done to fulfill nazist fantasies of Putin to rebuild empire and exterminate anyone who stands in the way. As a result you will destroy both Ukraine and yourself. USA will be the biggest winner in this, they already earned hundreds of billions in military contracts and oil/gas exports in the past year - I honestly wouldn't be surprised if Putin was US agent.

  • @jeromebarry1741
    @jeromebarry1741 10 місяців тому +3

    It is obvious to me that the U.S. trying to sanction countries into compliance has never worked to achieve compliance and has always worked to achieve independent sufficiency of production. That goes all the way back to apartied South Africa.

  • @koelbird4608
    @koelbird4608 11 місяців тому +13

    Yeah 😂 definitely collapsing. With laughter 😂😂😂

  • @theralfinator
    @theralfinator 11 місяців тому +44

    I really appreciate that you take the time to put together videos like this.

  • @rockapedra1130
    @rockapedra1130 11 місяців тому +51

    Thanks! This channel is super interesting and well thought out. Keep it up!

  • @82boulou
    @82boulou 11 місяців тому +67

    It's a crime that this content is having only 26k views . I absolutely love your work and analysis sir .

    • @ipodman1910
      @ipodman1910 11 місяців тому

      It’s way too much - the guy is clueless and a tool of russian propaganda.

    • @NathansHVAC
      @NathansHVAC 10 місяців тому

      Everybody already knows that ukrane won and russia lost. This is old news.

    • @kuzakani4297
      @kuzakani4297 10 місяців тому

      it's because it's garbage.

    • @monikaweigand-stubenvoll400
      @monikaweigand-stubenvoll400 10 місяців тому

      ​@@kuzakani4297It's in your brainlette

    • @letsgorandom1380
      @letsgorandom1380 10 місяців тому +3

      At 79K right now. But I agree with you.
      I think the problem is that many people are to narrative driven or can't tell the difference between a good analysis and pure bs.

  • @TheKid9678
    @TheKid9678 11 місяців тому +25

    Your Analysis of the situation is on par with anything I've seen of yours, Sir. It is well thought out and extremely informative, not to mention unbiased. I've always enjoyed your videos, and I particularly enjoyed this one as well.

  • @procon2022
    @procon2022 11 місяців тому +69

    Thank you for your all-time detailed, outbalanced fact based information! It's a very enrichening source to understand the situation! Please, keep in!✌😊

  • @markorsrpska7230
    @markorsrpska7230 11 місяців тому +6

    Putin's approval rating according to Western media polls is around 80%+. If we compare it to the approval ratings of Western leaders, we can see who is more popular in their respective countries.

  • @cannonfodder4376
    @cannonfodder4376 11 місяців тому +13

    A fantastic overview of an immensely complex topic. The wait was worth it for such an informative video.

  • @nooonanoonung6237
    @nooonanoonung6237 11 місяців тому +13

    Soviet rigorous data collection strikes again.
    In addition to China and India, Vietnam is also increasing investments into Russia in various fields.

  • @foshizzlfizzl
    @foshizzlfizzl 11 місяців тому +46

    😂😂 In depends, if you are watching western or Ukrainian news.. If you do, Russia is out of ammo, out of soldiers.. Lost 5000 tanks to AK caliber and no Ukrainian soldiers have fallen 😂😂😂

    • @damonburroughs5283
      @damonburroughs5283 11 місяців тому +1

      They are clearly lower on artillery and most of their weapons contain western tech

    • @foshizzlfizzl
      @foshizzlfizzl 11 місяців тому +16

      @@damonburroughs5283 Russia low on artillery? Are you serious?

    • @damonburroughs5283
      @damonburroughs5283 11 місяців тому +3

      @@foshizzlfizzl yes the number of shells and missiles fired of specific types have decreased considerably , so yes I am serious . Also I don't go for the Propaganda of everything shot down due to superior Russian weapons, as examples are Moskva , Kerch Bridge , Ammo Dumps , Moscow and so on, so clearly they arnt

    • @angamaitesangahyando685
      @angamaitesangahyando685 11 місяців тому +1

      ​@@damonburroughs5283 Don't forget the Genichesk bridge, and Moscow apartments.
      - Adûnâi

    • @leoschmain9730
      @leoschmain9730 10 місяців тому

      False assumption Russia was able to produce artillery shells faster than the whole NATO production of art shells also they have tons of components and micro chips for Missiles
      and only increasing the number of them so they are able to rebuild they're missiles and shells and they can fully recover the storage probably after the war
      Moskva is the only big achievement that Ukraine managed to do in this war
      Kench bridge was quickly repaired and most of the ammo dumps are just damaged but not complete destroyed
      But of course every recorded hit of Ukrainian missiles means: "UKRAINE IS WINNING LMAOOOOOO"
      but this is just an example of how overrated the Ukrainian military and the most interesting part is that most of the comments that are saying that ukraine is winning are written by people who don't know where Ukraine is on the map. @@damonburroughs5283​

  • @mightisright4959
    @mightisright4959 11 місяців тому +13

    An event in 1999 changed Russia's view of the West. That was the NATO Pact's aggression against Serbia. This was stated by many Russian officials

    • @maritaschweizer1117
      @maritaschweizer1117 11 місяців тому

      To stop the war in Serbia was a good decision of the NATO.

    • @Stinger522
      @Stinger522 11 місяців тому

      I know one of Russia's core beliefs is protecting the Slavic peoples everywhere. Were they considering going to mat with NATO over Serbia?

    • @maritaschweizer1117
      @maritaschweizer1117 11 місяців тому +1

      @@Stinger522 Russians do not only want to colonize other slavic countries. In their Eastern territories they occupied over centuries also many Turk and Asien ethnicities.

  • @MadeleineTakam
    @MadeleineTakam 11 місяців тому +16

    I am really impressed you made the distinction between self-sufficiency and autarchy. Well done.

    • @arturallay8116
      @arturallay8116 11 місяців тому

      Why not, they would love it there

  • @adisura9904
    @adisura9904 11 місяців тому +59

    A brilliant long format breakdown of russian economy and production capabilities. Bravo.
    Regards from India

    • @freedomordeath89
      @freedomordeath89 11 місяців тому +2

      India OF COURSE ahahahah

    • @LOL-zu1zr
      @LOL-zu1zr 11 місяців тому +5

      @@freedomordeath89India and Russia 💪

    • @freedomordeath89
      @freedomordeath89 11 місяців тому +2

      @@LOL-zu1zr lol sure..sure pajheet...

    • @adisura9904
      @adisura9904 11 місяців тому

      Racist spotted ^

  • @j.dasilva4567
    @j.dasilva4567 11 місяців тому +43

    Look out for the recent Spectator article about the complete and utter failure of sanctions against Russia. Less then a year ago, the same Spectator was anouncing Russia was about to collapse. Western sanctions make contries stronger, just look what happened to Iran's industrial capacity, both civilan and military, and what is happening to Russia.

    • @z_actual
      @z_actual 11 місяців тому +6

      completely correct
      Russia is the 5th largest economy in the world and the highest in Europe, if you think theyre in Europe.
      Thats not Russia saying that, that is outside expertise like Bloomberg

    • @NeuroScientician
      @NeuroScientician 11 місяців тому

      @@z_actual Well, Russia is number 63 in GDP per capita, nicely between Costa Rica and Argentina. Just Bavaria region in Germany is bigger economy that the whole of Russia before war. Russian industrial output is smaller than of Slovakia. Russian economy is closer to North Korea than EU.
      Their economy is as real as their super advanced army that can take the whole NATO in less than two weeks.

    • @koskok2965
      @koskok2965 11 місяців тому +3

      @@NeuroScientician I'd love to see Slovakia try to take on Russia.

    • @vladimirnikolskiy
      @vladimirnikolskiy 10 місяців тому

      @@NeuroScientician It is foolish to measure the well-being of Russians by GDP per capita in US dollars. My salary is calculated in rubles, not in dollars. Six months ago, I had 140 thousand rubles, now the same. My expenses haven't changed either. However, six months ago my salary in terms of dollars was $2,300, and now it is $1,400. A significant difference, don't you think? However, my standard of living has not changed, I just postponed my traditional annual purchase of a new phone.

    • @NeuroScientician
      @NeuroScientician 10 місяців тому

      @@vladimirnikolskiy "Sure" you do. Median is around 30,000. Easy to simply lookup job ads.

  • @belphegor9161
    @belphegor9161 11 місяців тому +11

    As this is a British channel, I was expecting typical Russophobic propaganda (in style of numerous "media military experts"). But I am very pleasantly surprised by objectivity, professionalism and amount of knowledge you provide. Good job.

    • @HauntedXXXPancake
      @HauntedXXXPancake 11 місяців тому +1

      LOLZ, I wonder if the Russophobia you see everywhere
      is as real as this Channel's Britishness 😄. (He's Italian and if you couldn't notice his magnificently outrageous accent, I have to question your ability to pick up much less obvious nuances).

    • @belphegor9161
      @belphegor9161 11 місяців тому +3

      @@HauntedXXXPancake Judging by the load of derision and arrogance you managed to pack into 2 sentences of your comment, you must be British. But, by your criteria, this term cannot be applied to, for example, the current premier of the UK., can it?
      So I need to apologize for doing so in relation to English-language channel located in the UK. And I leave the ' less obvious nuance' distinction British vs English to experts like you. Ciao, bambino!

  • @joeblack1052
    @joeblack1052 11 місяців тому +11

    Lancet is essentially an air mine…

    • @lmc4964
      @lmc4964 11 місяців тому +12

      A flying shovel if you will

    • @koskok2965
      @koskok2965 11 місяців тому

      1000% correct. That's precisely what it is and also precisely why it's such a monumental pain in the @ss for Ukraine. It's responsible for the vast majority of Ukrainian losses in high-tech Western SPGs that are only used in shoot & scoot well over 30km behind the frontline. They give Russia the ability to fully exploit these short windows of opportunity where these systems may be in transit to/from a firing position, deployed in a firing position or in transit from a part of the front to another.

  • @lanfrancocarloboerio4424
    @lanfrancocarloboerio4424 11 місяців тому +5

    I'have appreciated very much this video as usual with Millenium 7. Thank you very much for delivering all this works on you tube!

  • @horusfalcon
    @horusfalcon 11 місяців тому +8

    Thank you for your insights. I still stand in awe of what you do with publicly available data. So very well done!

  • @philipdavis7521
    @philipdavis7521 11 місяців тому +48

    Great overview of a hugely complex subject. It should be noted that according to 'official' figures the Russian economy just overtook Germany as the worlds fifth largest (yes, much depends on how you measure this). As for military outputs, I see very little evidence that the Russians are sparing the use of cruise and ballistic missiles on Ukraine, so they seem very confident of their supply chains. The speed with which they've ramped up production compared to Europe and the US is very obvious.

    • @maritaschweizer1117
      @maritaschweizer1117 11 місяців тому

      In which universe are you living. GERMANY has a GDP in 2022 of 3867 Bill Euro. RUSSIA only 2240 Bill $ .
      It means about half despite the higher population.

    • @amr8457
      @amr8457 11 місяців тому

      Yeah. Germany just fell as big aluminum manufacturer just went under. Cost of energy outweighs profit. Germany has adopted these stupid "green energy" laws the US government has forced them into. This is USA plan to set itself up for future manufacturing ramp up because USA plans to keep Europe at war with Russia, China, NK, Iran. Russia and China are BRICS powerhouse and BRICS has LONG SURPASSED G-7. Actually, BRICS and G-7 have an inverse trajectory. Passed up G--7 in (2014?). So, anyways America and Europe only hold 10% of world's population BRICS alone holds 40%. BRICS is also moving away from the dollar and it's goal is to be so little involved with dollar, no sanctions of any kind could affect them substantially both independently and as a whole. They are even working on a common currency for trade amongst BRICS members.
      Edit. So all the information that was presented that was shown in the beginning is likely accurate it only represents the part of Russia that deals with the dollar. Which is only a small fraction of their wealth and business. He also didn't mention Rasatom which is the GLOBAL dominion of nuclear energy. ALL NUCLEAR POWER PLANTS IN THE WORLD REALLY ON IT. No other country on earth can completely function without Rosatom. They have the ability to do EVERYTHING from start to continuous operation to infinity after it's construction. Basically it's a monopoly on nuclear market. Admittedly I just recently learned this about Rosatom, so I think I got it right, from the best of my memory.

    • @daviddixon14
      @daviddixon14 11 місяців тому +23

      According to estimates based on official country data published by the World Bank and the IMF, Russia’s gross domestic product was $5.51 trillion in PPP terms at the end of last year. The figure is 38% larger than the official estimate of $3.993 trillion, the report noted.
      It also showed that the Russian economy was ahead of Germany’s when measured in purchasing-power parity, with the latter’s GDP at $5 trillion

    • @philipdavis7521
      @philipdavis7521 11 місяців тому +17

      @@maritaschweizer1117 I'm in the Universe where, as our host explains, PPP adjustments are a more correct measure of real GDP. The World Economic Forum (i.e. IMF and World Bank) have projected that Russia takes no.5 in the world this year, ahead of Germany.

    • @philipdavis7521
      @philipdavis7521 11 місяців тому +12

      @@daviddixon14 Thank you for explaining this carefully.

  • @svtosca3371
    @svtosca3371 11 місяців тому +14

    This is an astoundingly useful video that tells a story that nobody else tells but needs to be told. Thank you very much!

  • @VAArtemchuk
    @VAArtemchuk 11 місяців тому +64

    There are a plenty of smaller industrial towns that found new life with this war. The industrial complex (especially military) is in an unprecedented growth. Such improvements haven't happened to us since before WWII probably. It's very questionable if it can be sustained, but there's no doubt that we're not getting weaker in this aspect. I've heard many opinions (including qualified ones) that the government is finally rejuvenating things that it haven't given a damn about since 1991.
    Also, on the subject of corruption, Russian corruption is rather special. It is a systemic process controlled by the same elites and clans that govern the country. When the time comes, they can reduce corruptive processes to zero in crucial areas. Why didn't they do it before? Because their interests aren't always the same as that of the state. We have a nasty situation of elites at the very top considering their own interests pretty much as a sovereign entity separate from the country. The Western bans and pressure on said elites have made them FINALLY give a damn about what's going on in Russia. You've cut their ways out and now they are starting to make this country their actual home for once.
    PS: on the Lancets I (as a total uninvolved civilian ffs) know of at least 8 new factories in just the Moscow region (which again is not the industrial heartland of the country, that would be Ural region).
    PPS: there's at least one 20nm factory in Russia. They were built for supply of metro and railways tech in early 2000th. AFAIK they've gone rather decidedly on military rails. The quality is lacking though... They're unlikely to replace the imports in this war, but the government is dead set to make it the standard, and I don't see a reason they can't with Chinese help. Sorry for all the edits, I'm writing this along with watching the video.

    • @nooonanoonung6237
      @nooonanoonung6237 11 місяців тому +4

      Good outlook for military-industrial complexes in the future as many conflicts have high probability of going hot.

    • @EmRon1968
      @EmRon1968 11 місяців тому +17

      Every country has those elites. Despite what the EU would have you believe, it's as bad here as anywhere in Russia.

    • @koskok2965
      @koskok2965 11 місяців тому +4

      @@EmRon1968 I'm from Greece and I could only wish our corruption problems were 2x worse than those of Russia's xD

    • @stefanpavlov6370
      @stefanpavlov6370 11 місяців тому +13

      @vaArtemchuk - that is exactly what i thought last year - you kick the oligarchs from Londongrad, you block part of their assets in western banks, and what do you expect from them? They will have to keep their money, businesses and personal spendings in Russia for the time being. In my opinion, this was a western mistake.

    • @VAArtemchuk
      @VAArtemchuk 11 місяців тому +9

      @@stefanpavlov6370 And a massive one, honestly. This war could have been over if they were to ran like rats (which they tried, btw), but you forced them to stay, and now it really is the war to the last Ukrainian, for these people don't have mercy in their dictionaries and their future is at stake.

  • @daemianbox
    @daemianbox 11 місяців тому +39

    I can't think of another channel that will put an hour long video and I stick to the end. Excellent job, like always!

    • @jebe4563
      @jebe4563 11 місяців тому +6

      Perun?

    • @daemianbox
      @daemianbox 11 місяців тому

      @@jebe4563
      ?

    • @ayrnovem9028
      @ayrnovem9028 11 місяців тому +4

      ​@@jebe4563 Perun does long sessions of wishful thinking laced with not-so-subtle leaps of logic and calls that "analysis". He does not hold a candle to the intellectual honesty this channel is capable of.
      Even Perun's Dominions 5 breakdowns contained glaring mistakes.

    • @markb8468
      @markb8468 11 місяців тому +2

      Perun! Look forward to it every week.

    • @johanmetreus1268
      @johanmetreus1268 11 місяців тому +4

      @@ayrnovem9028 Oddly enough, no one has yet been able to point out Perun getting anything wrong in his conclusions. Sure, there are minor clarifications and nuances added in the comments, but that's about it.

  • @danykovac8293
    @danykovac8293 11 місяців тому +11

    29:00 Russia produce number of chips with less than 350nm process, for example 1892ВМ11Я with 65nm process that Russia uses for satellites. Chip is manufactured in Moscow.

    • @LOL-zu1zr
      @LOL-zu1zr 11 місяців тому +3

      Yeah military chips don’t actually require as much as civilian ones…
      You don’t need insane computing power to predict trajectory of missiles

    • @kentstructures4388
      @kentstructures4388 11 місяців тому

      To think that a current palm sized calculator has more computing power than the apollo missions

  • @MuellerNick
    @MuellerNick 11 місяців тому +7

    I wanted to leave to work at 7:00. Now its 8:00 and I'll leave.
    A very interesting and well researched analysis with indepth knowledge and research. Mille grazie!

  • @wilgoos63
    @wilgoos63 11 місяців тому +12

    Excellent analysis. Appreciate your efforts to remain objective and acknowledge what you know, what you guesstimate and what is unknown.
    There are a few decent channels like think in UA-cam and yours is one of them.
    Stay healthy and please keep it up.

  • @oldguy3525
    @oldguy3525 11 місяців тому +17

    Another great video, it is getting hard to find unbiased reporting.

  • @slabbrato
    @slabbrato 11 місяців тому +20

    The problem is that we have always underestimated russia. If we try to imagine it, we think of it exactly as our media have always made us see it, that is a poor backward country, which remained stationary at the time of the Soviet Union. Instead it is a sufficiently modern and prepared country. A country that has been preparing for war for decades and has maintained its military even after the fall of the Soviet Union. Europe on the other hand...

    • @NeuroScientician
      @NeuroScientician 11 місяців тому +2

      I think we have overestimated Russia, they turned out to be incredibly pathetic. They are losing war they started to its weakest neighbor. Before the war they kept claiming that they can be in Paris in two weeks.

    • @slabbrato
      @slabbrato 11 місяців тому +6

      @@NeuroScientician Hi, i don t know if they are losing or winning the war, but from 2023 ukraine has a much powerful army than most of european country (no counting navy or air force) and It Is normal that russia has problems with that but the industry is still very efficient. The point for me Is how long usa and especially Europe politicians want to send weapons after the old stuff Is over? And the other point Is how long ukraine can Hide the losses because they doing It exactly like russian.

    • @NeuroScientician
      @NeuroScientician 11 місяців тому

      @@slabbrato They are mostly sending Cold War leftovers that have no real value.
      Russian industry is extremely obsolete. When the last time you bought something from Russia? Piece of Software? Car? Fridge? Any good books? Medicine?
      Russia's economy is similar to banana republics. Nothing is made there. They dig oil with American equipment. Russia is closer to Zimbabwe than US.
      I am pretty sure that Ukraine has massive losses, but if they give up, they all will be killed. They do genuinely fight for their lives..

    • @koskok2965
      @koskok2965 11 місяців тому

      @@NeuroScientician Ukraine is only held afloat by Western aid in all sectors from the very obvious military one down to the pensions of citizens retired from the workforce. a humongous chunk of its population has left the country and the government is getting increasingly more lunatic with each passing day. Now they've legalized weed to allow Ukrainians (especially those outside the Banderite Westerm regions of the country) to cope with their abhorrent living conditions. Ukraine was also the single most powerful army in Europe prior to the war. Yet even with all the military materiel, intelligence, training and advisory support received by NATO, they're now facing a complete disaster of a grand offensive operation they've been planning for almost half a year, which was advertised to sever the Crimean land bridge, yet has only managed to dent the Russian defenses, achieving penetration of less than 3km at the deepest points (of around 90km needed to reach the Azov Sea. Your attempt at cope is incredibly pathetic.

    • @angamaitesangahyando685
      @angamaitesangahyando685 11 місяців тому +2

      ​@@slabbrato So far, Western support for the Ukraine has been unshaking. Whereas Russia has survived a military coup. And retreated three times (Kiev, Izyum, Kherson). And Russian history of instability and revolution does not bode well.
      - Adûnâi

  • @tanaseionut4251
    @tanaseionut4251 11 місяців тому +23

    This is how the main stream media should present the war to us. Try to cut out the BS and propaganda and try to give all of us as accurate information as possible. Since the beginning of this war I totally gave up trying to get any kind of news from the MSM and moved 100% to alternative media on the internet. The BAD news for MSM is that I will NEVER get back to hear their corrupted version of the truth.
    Thank you sir for your all efforts to document and make this kind of journalism. Subscribed and liked ofc 😀

    • @borysvengerov3398
      @borysvengerov3398 11 місяців тому

      Incidentally, any suggestions for unbiased news sources on the topic?

    • @renstein8210
      @renstein8210 11 місяців тому +2

      The MSM has been captured by powerful interests years ago. It is good that you have finally come to that realization now.

  • @most_sane_piano_enthusiast
    @most_sane_piano_enthusiast 11 місяців тому +10

    This video is so well crafted, you have my eternal respect.

  • @SixWildKids
    @SixWildKids 11 місяців тому +10

    Fantastic content. Thanks!

  • @TheStaniG
    @TheStaniG 11 місяців тому +1

    I for one LOVE your long format non-aviation videos just as much as your usual contnet. It feels like Im back at university with a cool professor ahaha. Great slides to look at, no overbloated blocks of text in them, great explanations of what Im seeing on screen (you sure you arent a lecturer? Ahaha).
    Love the lighting btw, its much easier on my eyes when Im watching it on the tablet in bed and imo its just makes you look cool :)

  • @christophggcyrus6861
    @christophggcyrus6861 11 місяців тому +13

    YOU have no idea how grateful I am: Excellent work - covering it all. Thank you very much - you would be a marvel to every TV-news show as an expert (if only the right questions would be asked) and of course to every 3-letter agency. That is what you are for us - an OSINT source …… and what a good one. Regards to Otis - really glad to have heard that neither he nor his friend, the microwave, will be sold to Russia 😂

  • @thisisafact9181
    @thisisafact9181 11 місяців тому +7

    Most honest analysis i heard about these different topics in a single video ❤

  • @ijoseluis
    @ijoseluis 11 місяців тому +4

    Just to tell you that, despite being sometimes not in concordance with your opinions, this time i agree.
    I follow your videos because (obviously) i generally appreciate your informed and grounded approach.

  • @corycooper2617
    @corycooper2617 11 місяців тому +5

    There is no peer to your in depth and thorough analysis. Love your videos. I hope you continue for a very long time to come. Both your aerospace and long format videos are wonderful and informative. Take care sir!

    • @CoryMp3
      @CoryMp3 11 місяців тому

      Perun. All day.

    • @doniehurley9396
      @doniehurley9396 10 місяців тому +1

      @@CoryMp3 Perun has a complete blind spot when it comes to being evenhanded and rational on Russia just the usual NAFO crap

  • @thephoenix6673
    @thephoenix6673 11 місяців тому +3

    I watched this video expecting a nonbiased and thorough analysis, I was not disappointed, thank you sir! if only all YT channels worked like yours.

  • @nasosst3092
    @nasosst3092 11 місяців тому +11

    If, in the comments, they tell you you are a Moscow operative don't let Otis read them. He will panic for obvious reasons. Thanks again for the analysis and the info

    • @renstein8210
      @renstein8210 11 місяців тому

      The problem is that the western msm is almost completely narrative driven. A look at reality is always frowned upon because reality does not reflect their narratives.

    • @user-be9dk6dc6e
      @user-be9dk6dc6e 11 місяців тому

      Московский оперативник точно не стал бы предполагать трудовую миграцию из Индии...такое могло прийти в голову только европейцу....

    • @nasosst3092
      @nasosst3092 11 місяців тому

      @@user-be9dk6dc6e Конечно. Я могу заверить вас, что я не потомок "Могли".

  • @trogdortpennypacker6160
    @trogdortpennypacker6160 11 місяців тому +18

    I'd be very careful when looking at emigration, I find that people never look at what net migration (immigration - emigration) is. According to data even in 2022 Russia had positive net migration. I found the results quite interesting, so I dug in further to see why Russia attracts so many immigrants from its neighbors. Answer is a better economy, as GDP per capita (nominal) Russia would be $14,403, Belarus - $7,944, Ukraine $4654, Tajikistan $1277, Kazakhstan $12,306. Data thus show main sources of immigrants to Russia for past decade has been Tajikistan, Kazakhstan, and Ukraine.

    • @NeuroScientician
      @NeuroScientician 11 місяців тому +2

      Imigrants in Russia get pain around $150/month, so it's not really that interesting. Average Russian does around $300/m. Numbers are likley fake.

    • @trogdortpennypacker6160
      @trogdortpennypacker6160 11 місяців тому +12

      @@NeuroScientician My numbers are from the IMF and the World bank has similar numbers. Where are your numbers coming from because I'm thinking yours are fake. I can support my numbers, can you?

    • @NeuroScientician
      @NeuroScientician 11 місяців тому

      @@trogdortpennypacker6160 Your number are from Kremlin. Disagreeing with that number is 15 years in prison, like in North Korea. IMF has no independent data. You are literally parroting back regime's data like it is a real statistic.
      Mine are from job adverts on Russian sites.
      We also employ few Russia teachers, they all got Masters and at least 5 years of experience. None of them made it above $200/m.
      They get paid £15/h which is roughly 15x their usual pay. It was quite difficult to hire them, most of them thought that this is some sort of scam. Experienced neurosurgeon does not make that much in Russia.
      Most Russians outside large cities make around 20-30K RUB a month. $200-300

    • @angamaitesangahyando685
      @angamaitesangahyando685 11 місяців тому

      The main immigration to Russia is from Tajikistan which might only make civil war likelier.
      - Adnâi

    • @trogdortpennypacker6160
      @trogdortpennypacker6160 11 місяців тому +5

      @@angamaitesangahyando685 Using a limited years on Wikipedia and it's excluding migrants as that is a different category but 2015-2021: 1) Ukraine - 1.16M 2) Tajikstan - 559K 3) Kazakstan - 530K . Why would Tajiks cause civil war? Russia is already a multi-ethnic state and labour shortage would make me think conflict from Central Asian immigration is limited. From the UK so maybe you have more insights then I do.

  • @IshijimaKairo
    @IshijimaKairo 11 місяців тому +16

    NATO is playing Necromancer with the corpse of Ukraine.

  • @dekik.979
    @dekik.979 11 місяців тому +6

    I must admit I nearly got reppeled by the headline. Dum question. But the video is a quality work and unbiased. Good journalism 👍
    Educational too

  • @HikiMaxSimo
    @HikiMaxSimo 11 місяців тому +5

    Very well explained and documented! Go on!

  • @bazangelopoulos
    @bazangelopoulos 11 місяців тому +13

    Great video very complete and interesting.

  • @bobzelensky5414
    @bobzelensky5414 11 місяців тому +14

    Ukraine, as a country, does not exist anymore. It's a subsidiary

  • @despilks
    @despilks 11 місяців тому +4

    I enjoyed the video very much Mr. Millenium. Thank you very much for making it.

  • @user-tt8hi3ud9n
    @user-tt8hi3ud9n 11 місяців тому +20

    Thanks for your analysis! Regarding the Russian military-industrial complex, I would also add that, contrary to assumptions, it wasn't interested in stirring up the war. For Chemezov, the head of Rostec, as a bureaucrat, it was much more advantageous to remain the supplier of foreign currency for a national budget and not become the subject of wartime corruption investigations. That's why before the war our military industry prioritised selling weapons and equipment abroad rather than taking lucrative but risky contracts for rearmament. They also needed international technological cooperation to stay competitive on the global market, and certainly not happy about the sanctions. However, the sudden cessation of war now would be even more of a hit for the industry, so incentives have changed.

  • @brianhind6149
    @brianhind6149 11 місяців тому +2

    Probably the very best synopsis on the internet Sir ! Well done !

  • @artursrikmanis
    @artursrikmanis 10 місяців тому

    such a great analysis, thank you. please keep posting these

  • @wogelson
    @wogelson 11 місяців тому +5

    Even if 1 million people left Russia, an estimated 4.8-5.2 million people have migrated there by themselves or by simply living in occupied terriroty

  • @marcobruni2680
    @marcobruni2680 11 місяців тому +4

    I really appreciate your videos for the spirit of objectivity.
    In my opinion, you could now make an analysis on the state of the opposite side , Ukraine and allies.

  • @crinklecut3790
    @crinklecut3790 11 місяців тому +29

    Excellent analysis once again. I appreciate your efforts to remain objective. We aren’t getting that from most main stream journalism outlets these days.

    • @willbass2869
      @willbass2869 10 місяців тому

      Media information we in US get from mainline media is nothing more than govt propaganda. Per Obama era legislation the govt is allowed to place "news" into American media *WITHOUT* disclosing source or validity of said information.
      Basically the ruling regime can actively place wholesale LIES in the media space without limit.

  • @yuglesstube
    @yuglesstube 11 місяців тому +20

    Its the failure of sanctions that will lead to Ukraine losing.

    • @sanriosonderweg
      @sanriosonderweg 11 місяців тому +1

      demographics, they are hollowed out.

    • @fryertuck6496
      @fryertuck6496 11 місяців тому

      When did sanctions win out?
      They caused WWII, they caused Japan to enter WWII, they polarised the world.
      Only place sanctions work is in impoverished countries, same as NATO wars.
      When they come up against a country like Russia, they both fail.

    • @csanadbarczy9153
      @csanadbarczy9153 11 місяців тому +1

      No, Russia has more of everything. Simple. They are not perfect but quantity of everything helps😁

    • @Kuraimizu9152
      @Kuraimizu9152 11 місяців тому +1

      @@csanadbarczy9153 quantity and logistics.

    • @doniehurley9396
      @doniehurley9396 11 місяців тому

      @@csanadbarczy9153 Except 80% of the wealth of the world stacked up against them do the West not believe in the cause enough to give Ukraine everything that they need

  • @jasonm1567
    @jasonm1567 10 місяців тому +9

    The question should be is NATO collapsing 😂

    • @Purplegreen45
      @Purplegreen45 10 місяців тому

      well our capital isn't being bombed daily, so I'd say no.

  • @Lancetdrone
    @Lancetdrone 11 місяців тому +9

    Monthly lancet usage statistics for year. Based on this, you can understand how much production is growing.
    July 2022 - 6
    August 2022 - 3
    September 2022 - 20
    October 2022 - 20
    November 2022 - 46
    December 2022 - 23
    January 2023 - 22
    February 2023 - 22
    Mart 2023 - 47
    April 2023 - 44
    May 2023 - 62
    June 2023 - 55
    July 2023 - 136 !!!

    • @koskok2965
      @koskok2965 11 місяців тому +2

      These 136 kills in July 2023 are a courtesy of the Ukrainian "Spring" Counteroffensive (TM)

    • @Lancetdrone
      @Lancetdrone 11 місяців тому

      @@koskok2965 how about autumn counteroffensive in September 2022?

  • @ultimoguerreiro82
    @ultimoguerreiro82 11 місяців тому +14

    It´s very unlikely that Ukraine will stand this, it´s a matter of inertia. Anyway, it´s in the interest of NATO that the war goes on as long as possible. In the end it´s a matter of wills. Which side is willing to suffer the longest.

    • @willbass2869
      @willbass2869 10 місяців тому

      NO ONE in NATO is suffering. Only poor Russian and Ukrainian families are suffering.
      The West is governed by amoral murderous beasts.
      Signed, Texas

  • @user-ck2ly6ln7k
    @user-ck2ly6ln7k 11 місяців тому +20

    I wish I was hearing something else. I strongly support Ukraine in this war, and was hoping to hear that this war was not sustainable. The problem is I´m just a regular guy that doesn´t have all the facts. The US specialists have been saying that Russia will be collapsing any time now. The problem is that it just isn´t happening. I thank you for this video, it was very good.

    • @postyoda1623
      @postyoda1623 11 місяців тому +12

      I think it's healthy to be open to different kinds of arguments and then judge them based on their merit, the quality of argumentation and the data. Also it's good to know where to get your analysis from. Mainstream news outlets are mostly interested in sensationalism (and sometimes furthering their national interests for propaganda purposes) rather than sober analysis.

    • @angamaitesangahyando685
      @angamaitesangahyando685 11 місяців тому +5

      ​@@postyoda1623 Well, the war is waged to spend the most of Slavic men from both sides, either of the sides collapsing would disrupt the plan.
      - Adûnâi

    • @Jamesvalpuesta-tm3ju
      @Jamesvalpuesta-tm3ju 11 місяців тому +15

      Congratulations on an intelligent realistic assessment of Russia's capability to sustain their SMO. Our politicians have consistently produced false propaganda regarding Russian military prowess and our NATO Generals keep up the facade. It is the west that has more pressing problems than Russia it seems if it cannot sustain producing even simple things like shells for artillery and tanks. Our western military production is based on the need for profit so we get super complicated aircraft like the F35 that spends more time in maintenance than in the air. Russian equipment is designed simply to achieve a particular need competently. Hence the Lancet which is cheap but super effective and almost war changing .. Ok I exaggerated lots but it kills Leopards and Bradley's by the battalion load. Russia's Military Industrial Complex is greater than the USA, Europe, Japan and South Korea combined by some way. Russia is self sufficient in all ways with a little back door help from China and Turkey.
      We have bitten off more than we can chew in this Ukraine proxy war.
      Russia cannot lose long term.

    • @Tonik-13
      @Tonik-13 11 місяців тому

      Do you know why this war started? I believe you have become a victim of false propaganda.

    • @tonylarimer1326
      @tonylarimer1326 11 місяців тому +2

      Russia is regressing into the mid twentieth century. Their military prowess is extremely overrated..
      m having said that they have a legacy heritage of weapon stockpiles from the Soviet Union. You underestimate the wests industrial power.

  • @d1d234
    @d1d234 11 місяців тому +15

    A very remarkable video with information that seems to match with what we are seeing in Ukraine.

  • @philipspencer1834
    @philipspencer1834 11 місяців тому +3

    Great analysis. Thank you. 😎👍

  • @geoffhaylock6848
    @geoffhaylock6848 11 місяців тому +1

    Very interesting video. Thank you for taking the time to make it.

  •  11 місяців тому +1

    Great Video, once more.

  • @NtDs90
    @NtDs90 11 місяців тому +3

    Excellent analysis. Quite enjoyable. Thank you.

  • @greebfewatani
    @greebfewatani 11 місяців тому +4

    Thank you for the video.
    Can you please give the reference for Russian limit get length at 350 nm. Because some other refrences using 90-65 nm.

  • @stoikiymuzhik_high-schoole1057
    @stoikiymuzhik_high-schoole1057 11 місяців тому +2

    Very nice video and analysis!

  • @donuthole7236
    @donuthole7236 11 місяців тому +1

    I hate clicking your vids 😐 Once you start you can't stop watching. Great analysis as always. Subscribed!

  • @mcal27
    @mcal27 11 місяців тому +41

    Theirs a saying in business “If your back is against the wall, better hope you have Russians with you” I’ve had Russian family since 2004. They are resilient and have skills indepth thanks to a strong education system. So while their has been a turnover in a lot of I.T personnel, this is now well underway. Both my brothers in law are doing well in business and thanks to the ill thought out assassinations in Russia by Ukraine they are now fully motivated. This goes double for the military industry. They are incredibly focused and are producing enough to continue the conflict.

    • @ajnaughtin1
      @ajnaughtin1 10 місяців тому +1

      Have you stopped to ask yourself if this war is a good idea?

    • @mcal27
      @mcal27 10 місяців тому +3

      @@ajnaughtin1 yes many times, but the war began in 2014 and when you knew people (as I did) who were blown apart by the Ukrainian military long before 2022, I always come to to the same conclusion.

    • @Iv4Bez
      @Iv4Bez 10 місяців тому +1

      -"strong education system" unfortunatelly it has been degraded in a lot of ways (teachers old and paid not enough, all normal higher education is only within big cities). But yes, my quess is that it's almost impossible to deindustrilise country once it's become industrulise, after all.

    • @mcal27
      @mcal27 10 місяців тому +1

      @@Iv4Bez maybe so Vanya, but I know a lot of Russian Teachers. They are still very proud of the work they do. I even did some work to help them with English studies in their classes (audio production) and certainly the English students seemed very aware and intelligent

    • @dmitryletov8138
      @dmitryletov8138 10 місяців тому

      @@ajnaughtin1 I'm against the war, but let me ask you - why Ukraine was mostly left alone with minimal support from the West for 30 years? They were so pro-western blaming Russians for everything Soviet communists did to them...
      Another question: have any Western leaders stopped to ask themself promising to Ukraine in 2008 that they will join NATO, was that a good idea? Read some these western military and politician experts like Brzezinski, and others who wrote in 1990s that NATO expansion to the East is a bad idea, also read those who wrote that accepting Ukraine to NATO will lead to war.
      Soviet people demolished their country for the Peace in the world, they sacrificed a lot. In Ukraine alone population due to bad economy shrunken from 52 to 41mlns in those 30 post-Soviet years, and finally they got the war predicted by many Western experts. Not a very good job, sorry.

  • @christophecalleau3611
    @christophecalleau3611 11 місяців тому +4

    I just want to say... wow... very good, great, thank you for all this information, why we can't see this type of explanation on TV. great job really thank you

  • @Sunny4101992
    @Sunny4101992 11 місяців тому +2

    Thank you for amazing info and analysis

  • @alphanomega888
    @alphanomega888 9 місяців тому

    Thank you for taking the time to provide such an in depth analysis of this topic, and laying it out step by step in such a logical manner :)

  • @user-rs1xy4nk8w
    @user-rs1xy4nk8w 11 місяців тому +3

    Absolutely Amazing Video! Thank you for the Balanced and informative way presenting that !

  • @The0ldg0at
    @The0ldg0at 11 місяців тому +22

    I think the Strategic alliance between Russia and China will permit the engineers of both countries to openly share their knowledge in R&D projects aimed at that their common objective for self-sufficiency in chips manufacturing. Having engineers from two vastly different cultures openly sharing their observations of technical problems, hypothesis of technical solutions and testing results can produce a synergic effect that speeds up the R&D cycle for both.

    • @ibatawi
      @ibatawi 11 місяців тому +4

      That will require Russian to open up its aviation jet engine toolboxes to the Chinese as the first goodwill deposit. To my knowledge, it is a very big obstacle to overcome.

    • @freespeech515
      @freespeech515 11 місяців тому

      china waant all russia rocket technology for peanuts in ic chips. They are like LOAN SHARK take the house and farmland of farmer

    • @pedropalotes7638
      @pedropalotes7638 10 місяців тому

      ​@@ibatawithe real problem is there is no a real alliance, Russia wants India in all the deals to counter China's power because Russia never have trusted China, if they are getting closer is because of West fault and their hypocrite politics

  • @pturriago1
    @pturriago1 11 місяців тому +6

    Excellent analysis.

  • @ivanzlatar2445
    @ivanzlatar2445 11 місяців тому +2

    YET AGAIN ! Excellent Analysis! Well Done Sir !

  • @aguywithabeard2338
    @aguywithabeard2338 11 місяців тому +3

    great content...super high quality...very fun to watch
    you have all the infinity stones for a 10/10 youtube channel

  • @Castragroup
    @Castragroup 11 місяців тому +8

    The depth and sophistication of your methodology is incredible. Really smart presentation. This should be in ise by int organizations and colleges. And governments involved to end this horrible war

    • @worldbridger9
      @worldbridger9 11 місяців тому

      Why end the war? Russia may be strong (ish), but the alternative is more Russia, which fundamentally suuucks! It means justice has failed, it means the new world order is mafia-like hooliganism and autocratic rule. The west will not let that happen and will pump Ukraine with weapons for years. Maybe we see a knockout in round 5-6?

  • @reloads223
    @reloads223 11 місяців тому

    Great analysis, keep up the good work !

  • @DtheD740
    @DtheD740 11 місяців тому +1

    Very in depth analysis!

  • @onetwo5155
    @onetwo5155 11 місяців тому +7

    Thank you for venturing to make another great and informative video. What you say seems to mostly agree with what I've been researching or hearing.
    Here's to wishing the guns will silence soon... but I'm glad you chose not to stick to planes.

  • @Spike_au
    @Spike_au 11 місяців тому +3

    Love the new videos and the banter between you and Otis makes my day 😂😂😂

  • @ingemarhjalt8328
    @ingemarhjalt8328 11 місяців тому +1

    Thanks for a yet another very interesting video!

  • @blankblank4642
    @blankblank4642 10 місяців тому

    Ahha!, Sorted out the lighting, great video.

  • @yana1069
    @yana1069 11 місяців тому +4

    Your work is excellent ! Please keep-up the good work . To all the Russia haters I have this to say : , remember , there are more people in the world that love Russia …and they love Russia because of the qualities of National character of Russian people and the Russian state . As a Native person belonging to Ojibway Nation I salute Russian people & their
    Government for standing -up for their right to have no one threatening them on their borders …NATO armed and led Nazi’s and racists must be defeated as they were in 1945 .
    My people are suffering genocidal violence perpetrated by the settler colonial ‘’ government ‘’ that’s calls itself ‘’ democratic ‘’ . Brotherly greetings to the peoples of Russia .❤❤❤

    • @up4open
      @up4open 11 місяців тому +1

      Screw the Empire dreaming rapist Russians. This is a military that has invaded Crimea while having Sochi, so they can pad Putin's ego. This apparently is a nation that is willing to revive expansionistic nationalism. You can go to hades if you think that's a good thing.

  • @vojins9203
    @vojins9203 11 місяців тому +7

    nice work to collect all that info. bravo!
    though there seems to be a error regarding the best node size russia can produce domestically.
    afaik russia has the capability to do 90nm, maybe even 65nm with multiple exposure in their currently available fabs.
    would like to know your source for the 350nm best node.

  • @1977Yakko
    @1977Yakko 11 місяців тому +1

    Great analysis. Thanks!!!!