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Thanks Shawn for the update. Sad that it is over. It was very addicting to watch. So very grateful for what you do for us to keep us informed. You are the best. Again thank you.
Not sad for all those Icelandic people who are dependent on the power station and Blue Lagoon tourist facilities. It can never finish fast enough for them.
Thanks Shawn for keeping us so well informed! We are very grateful :) I was hoping you would tell us about the striations in the lava channel we saw during Isak's drone flight, and you did, thanks! Great comparison between Iceland and Hawaii, I noticed this isn't the first time you've done this. The XKCD beachballs comic is excellent, I love it! ;))) Looking forward to the upcoming interviews and the anniversary episode :)
Thanks for the update and the interesting explanation on the area with the different elevations. So fascinating to see the layering! Looking forward to the interviews you’re putting together!
Always interesting. I continue to marvel at the real time information we have available. Scientists couldn't have dreamed of this level of information when I was in high school and college.
And now we wait, again 😅 something to look forward to & more learning is huge. I’ll remember the Anniversary next Wednesday as I’m getting new hardware I.e. a new hip! Thanks as always for this video 🙏🏼. That linear ‘thingy’ is fascinating! Your explanation is logical to me as I was asking why? Lots of excellent info today & think about 👍
What a lovely cartoon ! When you said, there was a slug in the volcano, I pictured a slug, the animal, with its cute two stalked head out of the volcano. I love cartoons and draw them yself often. Als thanks a lot for this interesting video .
You should make merch with your own illustrative drawings. You could demonstrate our evolving understanding of the underground supply system in a series side by side. A great visual showing that science is about improving our understanding and not adhering to a set of static beliefs. I love the drawings because sharing information rapidly is really valuable even if it is speculative, or you don’t have a MFA. It gave us all hypotheses to ponder and test based on observations.
Following the August 22 eruption the land deflated to the same level as it did after the May eruption, but this time it hasn’t deflated down as far as after the August eruption so it starts from a higher point - it will be interesting to see how it pans out
Hi Shawn, I had a feeling this was dying out the last time I saw the cone. The outflow appeared to be, out of gas. (Sorry.) 😉 What's interesting is that when I look at the Reykjanes, I see something like the surface of the Moon, but black. But the Icelanders have a name for it. What a people. Theres been no 5.0 earthquake on Baradabunga (Babadabinga?) Someone was reporting this earlier. Damn UA-camrs. 🧙🏽♂️
Anyone made an estimate of the volumes of lava across the eruption cycles so that we might discern any trends based on lava volume? I get the impression that while the area covered was only the second largest this time, that the volume may have been the greatest in this last eruption. I have a suspicion that we might see a ramp up in the rate of lava flow from the deep storage to the shallow reservoir during the last eruption, following a slight slowing over previous eruption cycles. Maybe melt has widened the channels for liquid flow. That would be consistent with the lowered earthquake activity, but is concerning in terms of medium to long term peril for the power station and Blue Lagoon. On the other hand, the trends seem to be reducing peril for Grindavik.
Being flippant, I got to see what next whatever comes next volcano is not going away. If it is a contest between eruptions and people having their own way, the eruptions will make the final statement.
I live in Reykjavík. The public here in Iceland is starting to get used the these events and see them as common occurrences. My grandson was born in 2020 and I was having this discussion with my daughter-in-law that he would grow up having these constant eruptions in just 50 or 60 km distance and they would be just as common as there would Christmas every year.
At minute 4:02: Would you buy this simple physics explanation: The rise of the land above the reservoir simply increases the pressure of magma everywhere in the chamber. Ignore magma's inertia, and that it is not a newtonian fluid for a moment, if there is no eruption, every point on the surface is holding back full pressure. Pressure exceeded and there's an eruption. Just thinking out loud.
Thinking of the mechanics of the crust from this activity. I imagine that the repeated uplift and subsidence has made the mass of the material overlying the magma chambersl more elastic as a single mass. Maybe at some point we see the whole area just uplift like a pot lid on a pot boiling over, and if the lava doesn't break out at the edges fast enough that it forms a dome under the ground. Maybe that leads eventually to the next big extrusion somewhere around the ecge of the intrusive dome, maybe it becomes a long-term plug, maybe it leads to an extreme pressure buildup before the dome cracks and allows an eruption. Cool to see in real time.
As always much appreciate Prof. Willsey work! Cannot predict when the current eruption cycle will end but assume amount of material produced in each eruption (trending up or down) would be one good indicator. Must say recent events in Iceland does 🤨 remind me of eruptions in Hawaii leading to lava surrounding and overrunning parts of the Puna Geothermal Venture back in 2018. Not to say geothermal energy production leads to volcanic eruptions, just wonder if their is some sort of correlation 🤔 (other than pissing off Surtr / Pele in their respective locations 😏). Also wonder if the increase in the timing between the Icelandic eruptions partly a result of lava having to travel ever further through the deposits from previous volcanic events before reaching the ground surface. PS: Do think they should make a 'real-life' movie of those construction worker, engineers, fireman, etc. defending Grindavík and power plant infrastructure. Can't think of another such a long lasting 'man vs. nature' battle before 😮💨.
Can you look at the movement south of Adak? The earthquake pattern looks very similar to what you’ve showed in Iceland as far as magma intrusion or movement. It’s pretty far from the plate boundary, but it’s a subduction and the location of the earthquakes would make sense to be volcanic
Slight correction: This eruption was the 2nd largest area covered in the last 7 eruptions since they started in December 2023. But December was NOT the largest. The largest eruption by area was in fact the last eruption (22 August 2024). The last 4 eruptions have covered more area than the December 2023 eruption.
I notice whenever Ljosufjöll in Snæfellsnes is rumbling an eruption in Reykjanes is in the books. This system calms down in the eruption is properly done. It picks up some weeks before a new eruption. Since it is still rumbling to this day I wont be surprised if another eruption happens still this year. I dont base it on geological logic, but on what I see every time. It seems this system is responding to what happens in Reykjanes.
@@MandieJo Like I mentioned I am no geologist, but those two systems are geologically seen still close to eachother and inflation in the one could imo cause earthquakes in the other by pushing the earth up north against this system. Not causing an eruption but there is something underground pushing pressure to the system next to it and it responds. There is literally only earthquakes at Ljosufjöll when there is landrise and or inflation at the Reykjanes system that to me sounds like a form of trigger effect. Normaly the earthquakes vanish as soon as eruption starts, but not this time, they still happen and there is still landrise at Svartsengi and it wont stop until there is major pressure release in Reykjanes. And this has happened ever since eruptions started in 2021 causing the imo to put alert on the Ljósufjöll system. I only say this from my point of view from data I see, not from a geological perspective. I live in that area so I am aware of the come and go nature of the earthquakes here. Hardly felt though as they are too small.
So, what are we supposed to do for a "fireplace video" for christmas if there are no good lava flows on web cams around? I'll freeze to death up here ! Please fix the pumps in Iceland so the lava can flow again 🙂
IMO, the deformation chart really shows continuing enlargement of the Svartsengi magma chamber. Also, the next eruption looks to be about the 3rd week of February?
I hope they are preparing the berms for the next eruption. They are all topped up now. The next eruption could be devastating. This last eruption was a surprise , so we need to always be ready. Its getting interesting!
The uplift seems to indicate there will be another eruption, right?? Are people who swim in The Blue Lagoon in danger of having the water get super hot and cause burns?
There were not 23 million m/3 before the eruption. The IMO's figure is wrong. According to my calculations, it was 61 million m/3. This is also easy to calculate.
Normal activity for this area. Unless we would start to see unless we start to see atypical swarms of larger quakes. Aftershocks from a 5 mag quake in this area are not unheard of but should be confused as part of an earthquake swarm. As of right now, there is nothing unusual happening at Báðarbunga. Just another day on a glacier!
Please LIKE and SUBSCRIBE. I also appreciate your continual support of these geology education videos. To do so, click on the "Thanks" button just above (right of Download button) or by going here: www.paypal.com/donate/?hosted_button_id=EWUSLG3GBS5W8 Or: www.buymeacoffee.com/shawnwillsey
Thanks for your ongoing, excellent work to keep us up to date on the Iceland eruptions. You're building a great community!
It spewed a LOT of lava this time! Thanks for the update, Shawn!
Thanks Shawn for the update. Sad that it is over. It was very addicting to watch. So very grateful for what you do for us to keep us informed. You are the best. Again thank you.
Not sad for all those Icelandic people who are dependent on the power station and Blue Lagoon tourist facilities. It can never finish fast enough for them.
Thanks Shawn for keeping us so well informed! We are very grateful :) I was hoping you would tell us about the striations in the lava channel we saw during Isak's drone flight, and you did, thanks! Great comparison between Iceland and Hawaii, I noticed this isn't the first time you've done this.
The XKCD beachballs comic is excellent, I love it! ;)))
Looking forward to the upcoming interviews and the anniversary episode :)
Thanks for the update and the interesting explanation on the area with the different elevations. So fascinating to see the layering! Looking forward to the interviews you’re putting together!
Thanks!
Thanks for your kind donation.
Thanks for the update Shawn. So now we wait...
Thanks for all the hard work on these videos!
Always interesting.
I continue to marvel at the real time information we have available. Scientists couldn't have dreamed of this level of information when I was in high school and college.
Anniversary episode be sure to include a clip of your nature eye flight that caught the Fisher opening up live.
I really appreciate your updates Prof Shawn! 👍 Sounds like it won't be the last!
Great to see your interview with Tim from Geology Hub.
As usual, I really appreciate and enjoy these updates and all the work you do behind the scenes to bring them to us.
Thank you for the updates! 😊
Thanks Shawn, especially for your thoughts on Izak’s video.
Thank you for the update, Shawn, you always explain things clearly and simply.
Thank you for keeping us informed as always! 😊
Thank you for the update.
I very much appreciate the opportunity to follow this event each day. Thanks for all your hard work. I'll keep tuned in to see what happens next!
thanks for the lovely job and keeping us informed and interested
As many eruptions as we’ve seen on The Reykjanes Peninsula! It’s only a matter of time before the next eruption starts even though it’s over!
You did good Shawn , Merry Christmas and Happy New Year to you and your family .
That XKCD made my day! Thanks for these updates!
Great cartoon . Interesting to see the close up views , very cool.
Excellent information, as always!
Thanks Shawn great update very informative
And now we wait, again 😅 something to look forward to & more learning is huge. I’ll remember the Anniversary next Wednesday as I’m getting new hardware I.e. a new hip! Thanks as always for this video 🙏🏼. That linear ‘thingy’ is fascinating! Your explanation is logical to me as I was asking why? Lots of excellent info today & think about 👍
What a lovely cartoon ! When you said, there was a slug in the volcano, I pictured a slug, the animal, with its cute two stalked head out of the volcano. I love cartoons and draw them yself often.
Als thanks a lot for this interesting video .
You should make merch with your own illustrative drawings. You could demonstrate our evolving understanding of the underground supply system in a series side by side. A great visual showing that science is about improving our understanding and not adhering to a set of static beliefs. I love the drawings because sharing information rapidly is really valuable even if it is speculative, or you don’t have a MFA. It gave us all hypotheses to ponder and test based on observations.
As always. BIG thanks!
love that xkcd joke!!
Always interesting and educational thank you for giving of your time.happy Christmas wendy albany western Australia ❤
Thanks, Shawn.
Following the August 22 eruption the land deflated to the same level as it did after the May eruption, but this time it hasn’t deflated down as far as after the August eruption so it starts from a higher point - it will be interesting to see how it pans out
Thanks again!
Hi Shawn, I had a feeling this was dying out the last time I saw the cone. The outflow appeared to be, out of gas. (Sorry.) 😉 What's interesting is that when I look at the Reykjanes, I see something like the surface of the Moon, but black. But the Icelanders have a name for it. What a people. Theres been no 5.0 earthquake on Baradabunga (Babadabinga?) Someone was reporting this earlier. Damn UA-camrs. 🧙🏽♂️
The "Happy little Spatter Cone"... earning it's shield?
Love the 'fire giraffe' in the thumbnail for the video!
Thank you for update
Fascinating.
Thank you Shawn a watch and wait situation again
Which after I said it looks like a bathtub ring you said the same thing. Good video, Shawn.
Anyone made an estimate of the volumes of lava across the eruption cycles so that we might discern any trends based on lava volume? I get the impression that while the area covered was only the second largest this time, that the volume may have been the greatest in this last eruption. I have a suspicion that we might see a ramp up in the rate of lava flow from the deep storage to the shallow reservoir during the last eruption, following a slight slowing over previous eruption cycles. Maybe melt has widened the channels for liquid flow. That would be consistent with the lowered earthquake activity, but is concerning in terms of medium to long term peril for the power station and Blue Lagoon. On the other hand, the trends seem to be reducing peril for Grindavik.
Being flippant, I got to see what next whatever comes next volcano is not going away. If it is a contest between eruptions and people having their own way, the eruptions will make the final statement.
I live in Reykjavík. The public here in Iceland is starting to get used the these events and see them as common occurrences. My grandson was born in 2020 and I was having this discussion with my daughter-in-law that he would grow up having these constant eruptions in just 50 or 60 km distance and they would be just as common as there would Christmas every year.
I managed a hike in, 3rd December, amazing
Very interesting about the channels.
👍👍 Di…Cumbria.
thank you
At minute 4:02: Would you buy this simple physics explanation: The rise of the land above the reservoir simply increases the pressure of magma everywhere in the chamber. Ignore magma's inertia, and that it is not a newtonian fluid for a moment, if there is no eruption, every point on the surface is holding back full pressure. Pressure exceeded and there's an eruption. Just thinking out loud.
Like this: ua-cam.com/video/strox6p35wk/v-deo.html
The XKCD comics are often even wittier in the hover over text. You might appreciate the text that appears when you keep your mouse on the picture.
won't rhe repeated uplift cycles gradually weaken the coherence of the rock in the dome - sort of "rock-fatigue" analogous to metal fatige?
Thinking of the mechanics of the crust from this activity. I imagine that the repeated uplift and subsidence has made the mass of the material overlying the magma chambersl more elastic as a single mass. Maybe at some point we see the whole area just uplift like a pot lid on a pot boiling over, and if the lava doesn't break out at the edges fast enough that it forms a dome under the ground. Maybe that leads eventually to the next big extrusion somewhere around the ecge of the intrusive dome, maybe it becomes a long-term plug, maybe it leads to an extreme pressure buildup before the dome cracks and allows an eruption.
Cool to see in real time.
Did we find out what they’re gonna do with the Blue Lagoon parking?
As of right now, all visitors to the Blue Lagoon are being ferried in from Grindavík as there is no parking at the lagoon for the foreseeable future.
As always much appreciate Prof. Willsey work! Cannot predict when the current eruption cycle will end but assume amount of material produced in each eruption (trending up or down) would be one good indicator. Must say recent events in Iceland does 🤨 remind me of eruptions in Hawaii leading to lava surrounding and overrunning parts of the Puna Geothermal Venture back in 2018. Not to say geothermal energy production leads to volcanic eruptions, just wonder if their is some sort of correlation 🤔 (other than pissing off Surtr / Pele in their respective locations 😏). Also wonder if the increase in the timing between the Icelandic eruptions partly a result of lava having to travel ever further through the deposits from previous volcanic events before reaching the ground surface.
PS: Do think they should make a 'real-life' movie of those construction worker, engineers, fireman, etc. defending Grindavík and power plant infrastructure. Can't think of another such a long lasting 'man vs. nature' battle before 😮💨.
Can you look at the movement south of Adak? The earthquake pattern looks very similar to what you’ve showed in Iceland as far as magma intrusion or movement. It’s pretty far from the plate boundary, but it’s a subduction and the location of the earthquakes would make sense to be volcanic
Hello everyone
What surprises me is that people want to live in the area . Eventually that whole area could be lost for good .
Also check out 1388: Subduction License
... and we wait.
Slight correction:
This eruption was the 2nd largest area covered in the last 7 eruptions since they started in December 2023. But December was NOT the largest. The largest eruption by area was in fact the last eruption (22 August 2024).
The last 4 eruptions have covered more area than the December 2023 eruption.
just got my power and internet back....Aloha from Makaha.....up lift continues....so what's next Shawn?...
I notice whenever Ljosufjöll in Snæfellsnes is rumbling an eruption in Reykjanes is in the books. This system calms down in the eruption is properly done. It picks up some weeks before a new eruption. Since it is still rumbling to this day I wont be surprised if another eruption happens still this year. I dont base it on geological logic, but on what I see every time. It seems this system is responding to what happens in Reykjanes.
These systems are not connected in any way. One does not influence the other.
@@MandieJo Like I mentioned I am no geologist, but those two systems are geologically seen still close to eachother and inflation in the one could imo cause earthquakes in the other by pushing the earth up north against this system. Not causing an eruption but there is something underground pushing pressure to the system next to it and it responds. There is literally only earthquakes at Ljosufjöll when there is landrise and or inflation at the Reykjanes system that to me sounds like a form of trigger effect. Normaly the earthquakes vanish as soon as eruption starts, but not this time, they still happen and there is still landrise at Svartsengi and it wont stop until there is major pressure release in Reykjanes. And this has happened ever since eruptions started in 2021 causing the imo to put alert on the Ljósufjöll system. I only say this from my point of view from data I see, not from a geological perspective. I live in that area so I am aware of the come and go nature of the earthquakes here. Hardly felt though as they are too small.
So, what are we supposed to do for a "fireplace video" for christmas if there are no good lava flows on web cams around? I'll freeze to death up here ! Please fix the pumps in Iceland so the lava can flow again 🙂
Replay one of Ísak's livestreams on mute?!
IMO, the deformation chart really shows continuing enlargement of the Svartsengi magma chamber. Also, the next eruption looks to be about the 3rd week of February?
Could that linear feature be a collapsed lava tube with residual lava flowing in it after the collapse ??
I hope they are preparing the berms for the next eruption. They are all topped up now. The next eruption could be devastating. This last eruption was a surprise , so we need to always be ready. Its getting interesting!
Our engineers are always looking at what to do next. Unfortunately, we may not be able to prepare for every possibility but we certainly will try!
@MandieJo thanks Mandie
Cute cartoon. Thanks
The uplift seems to indicate there will be another eruption, right?? Are people who swim in The Blue Lagoon in danger of having the water get super hot and cause burns?
No. The water people swim in is the wastewater from the plant, not a natural geothermal feature.
Shwan Keep an eye out for quakes on top, your near the BL/ PP could Suprise us all
There were not 23 million m/3 before the eruption. The IMO's figure is wrong. According to my calculations, it was 61 million m/3. This is also easy to calculate.
Late Feb is my guess
Earthquake... Bardarbunga? 🤔
Normal activity for this area. Unless we would start to see unless we start to see atypical swarms of larger quakes. Aftershocks from a 5 mag quake in this area are not unheard of but should be confused as part of an earthquake swarm. As of right now, there is nothing unusual happening at Báðarbunga. Just another day on a glacier!
@MandieJo I disagree.
he somehow loves to say that the december eruption was the largest xd
We are struggling to understand what just happened as we are watching. But......we can tell you exactly what happened 1 million years ago.
Something nasty coming.
The channel looks like it left a bathtub ring, so to speak.
Thank you for sharing! 😊
Many thanks for the update.