losing -$36,000 on two losing DCA trades (what i learned)

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  • Опубліковано 23 лис 2024

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  • @NickShawnFX
    @NickShawnFX  День тому +9

    Chapters in the video for easy navigation. My free telegram - t.me/+TDVdM80j9lGfaWiP
    0:00 I’ve lost 36K
    0:30 Let’s get into it
    3:00 Re-Living the experience on Tradingview replay
    4:27 Remember, no trading approach wins all the time
    6:27 The first thing I’d have done differently
    10:26 The reason DCA trading doesn't work when automated
    11:22 The second thing I’d have done differently
    19:04 What I’m optimizing, going forward
    21:00 I don’t recommend getting into a lot of trades at once22:35 How many trades at once, exactly?
    25:35 The Nicks Trades group
    26:57 How I’ll be dynamically managing trades (partial closes)
    28:41 There’s a lot of trash on YT, I just share what I do
    31:36 Happy trading, my friend

    • @adzioadzio
      @adzioadzio День тому

      Hi Nick! Can you please "translate" the $2000 account and 0.01 lots to percentages (position size and leverage)? I am trading crypto, and dont understand how much each (added) trade should be if I have an account of $2000. Also, what kind of leverage does this translate to, as you aim to double the account in a relatively short amount of time? I would be very thankful for an explanation!

    • @ckhalifa_
      @ckhalifa_ День тому

      How can I get a 500 lev account?

    • @OldManPaxusYT
      @OldManPaxusYT День тому +2

      THANK YOU FOR NOT BEING LAZY like most YT channels who don't take the time for timestamps!

    • @OldManPaxusYT
      @OldManPaxusYT День тому +1

      @@ckhalifa_ i wouldn't recommend it. When you do leverage over 10x, what u may not realize, is that the broker will set a 'Liquidation Price' and when u go 50x and higher, that 'Liquidation Price' moves up so close, that it will liquidate your trade (esp if you're trying to DCA!)...[it goes close to where u would set a SL]
      I was succeeding using 10x...and even 20x.. (mind you i was still using SL)...but the moment i tried 50x and 75x, i'd get liquidated...
      { U CANNOT JUST LET A TRADE GO AGAINST U IF YOU USE LEVERAGE!!

  • @apathyreview3964
    @apathyreview3964 День тому +8

    This is why FUNDAMENTALS are important. Anyone who is aware of the current USD run, consolidate, run cycle, would just never have done this. USD is trending, long term, there is nothing to suggest it being range bound at all. We have similar styles, in that I also believe that there are only certain patterns that work(double bottoms etc). But I ALSO keep a VERY keep eye on fundamentals.

    • @nofood1
      @nofood1 23 години тому

      True. USD too scary to short now with Trumpy in office

    • @kierangreen2447
      @kierangreen2447 9 годин тому

      Exactly yea he was shorting USD with a presidential election just around the corner, knowing this strategy is predominately swing trades makes it so risky to enter mid October when he did. I waited till 18th Nov to enter shorts, was out the next day with 100 pips.

  • @Hubertcao-t5p
    @Hubertcao-t5p День тому +400

    Bought XAI73R after watching your video, super excited! 💰

  • @calvin2317
    @calvin2317 День тому +6

    Yall are hating but yall are the same people who watch and subscribed and paid Nick, in the end Nick dedicated his life for this and he deserves every single penny he loses AND makes!

  • @AndrewFooteWA
    @AndrewFooteWA День тому +25

    I've been following you anonymously for about 5 months, and trying the DCA approach on test accounts to check the concept. It’s working out for me on paper so far on 6 Forex pairs. (Some scary drawdowns when I over-positioned while learning.) I wanted you to know that I appreciate your honesty and self-reflection. It’s so refreshing.

    • @NickShawnFX
      @NickShawnFX  День тому +7

      nice. keep making progress man, experience will allow you to continue to get better and better. and thanks for saying that, i appreciate it

  • @jackroark6928
    @jackroark6928 День тому +7

    this video on losing and what was learned is a lot more valuable to me than the ones on how to win right now.

  • @MiniWhale81
    @MiniWhale81 День тому +6

    What to say other than to ❤ the man! The honesty, transparency, self regulation and self reflection all on video for everyone to see.

  • @johnsonzimri
    @johnsonzimri День тому +456

    Just watched your video discussing XAI73R and I am very excited about this

  • @frankdevries2398
    @frankdevries2398 День тому +11

    Hello Nick. You the man! You can overcome the FIFO rule by changing each lot size. Example, 1st entry 1 lot. 2nd entry 1.01 lot. 3rd entry 1.02 lot, and so on. This way, you can close out without having to close the first position. Been using your system, and love it. Hope this helps. Let me know if you would like clarification.

    • @NickShawnFX
      @NickShawnFX  День тому +6

      many people have told me this, but it does not work on forex.com with mt5

    • @rdtradecraft
      @rdtradecraft День тому

      Yes, And I haven't checked recently, but I think US brokers will still let you hedge if position sizes are different.

    • @albertenstein5407
      @albertenstein5407 День тому

      @@NickShawnFXI often do that on Oanda but i’m using trading view and yes the position sizing should be different

    • @DanielA-wb3zy
      @DanielA-wb3zy День тому

      @@NickShawnFX You can't do it on TastyFX either.

    • @MuffinzGamingChannel
      @MuffinzGamingChannel День тому

      @@NickShawnFX I said the same thing as frankdevries. I'm using Oanda and you have to specify unit size (versus lot size) so it works. Still, as you said, trading has ups and downs. You'll make that loss back and then some.

  • @ThomasJodzio
    @ThomasJodzio День тому +5

    Thanks Nick, Know that was a hard close. Been using this too for the last 4 months since you brought it to my attention. Im a 1min sclaper, so I get in a LOT of trades. I had to change mine too after the fist liquidation, which took almost a month to hit, where I use to just "eye" the DDBI's (Draw Down By Ins)...since then, if Im wrong, I've just kept in the trade till liquidation is within 70-75%% then enter a DDBI. I also have a hard rule that if it hits even 1 DDBI I get out at the next closest BE . Also use a fast stoch with the pull back to see how close I can get to the BE before I close. Love the DCA and has been a GAME CHANGER in my trading. Thanks for posting man!

    • @NickShawnFX
      @NickShawnFX  День тому +3

      awesome to hear that man - the dynamic approach you've put together sounds like its working. with time, i'm sure you'll optimize it even more

  • @OdinTube
    @OdinTube День тому +3

    bro I know you don't believe in fib but I am using it in my DCA approach and it is actually working well in btc

  • @peter16665
    @peter16665 21 годину тому +4

    OK OK o k.... in case you feel discouraged about this video, Nick actually made it as if you should be. But aren't we expecting this already? He has been saying it that use about 10% of your account and keep the rest of the trading account. You are expected to at least double it 75% of the time an blow it 25% of the time. I see nothing wrong here . Its just like losing just that 10% of your account. There is still 9 more with 7 or 8 more chance to double it. Nothing is out of place so far Nick. And thanks for the transparency.

  • @Abcd-yw5yf
    @Abcd-yw5yf День тому +20

    30k of profit the one month, 36k of loss the next - tit for tat, it doesn't matter much because the monthly $100k in discord subs makes everything right

    • @Kugann
      @Kugann День тому +2

      how do you know he makes that much?

    • @yaboi_dyl
      @yaboi_dyl День тому +4

      @@Kugann I was in his close friends group over a year ago when he was still doing hedging. I don't exactly remember how many people were in there but when I calculated it at the time he was definitely making close to 6 figures a month from his online group. This of course allows him to just gamble away a tonne of his money and pretend he's giving some worthwhile information when eventually he always changes his strategy because he realises it sucks.

    • @arthurtsekouras6227
      @arthurtsekouras6227 День тому

      ​@yaboi_dyl, someone who has been trading for 9 years and profitable for 8, seems to change their strategy every 3 months. Interesting.

    • @OldManPaxusYT
      @OldManPaxusYT День тому +1

      @@Kugann watch the YT video, where he shows himself answering questions, from his club... Keep in mind, those are just the ppl who where participating in the live event... Say, he has 20 members - that's $250/month x 20 = $5000/month... and i feel like there's way more than 20 members)

  • @Kalandrack
    @Kalandrack 18 годин тому +1

    I'm not the type of person to comment or subscribe on youtube videos but i must say, you got my respect for showing your loss... usually traders only show the beautiful side of the strategies

  • @FrezyMentos
    @FrezyMentos День тому +1

    Hey Nick, Great video regardless of what some people here are saying. I’ll always keep supporting you.

  • @YesperDen
    @YesperDen День тому +2

    Thanks Nick.
    USDCAD was my first live trade using DCA, and I’m still confident in the approach and the mindset it requires. I also want to acknowledge you for this video-it’s great to see you reflect on learnings, even with your extensive experience in the game.
    I had the exact same question about closing my last profitable position but hesitated because I was worried it might mess up the risk profile for the overall trade. Now I know better, so thanks for addressing that!
    Currently, I’m in with five positions and plan to ride it out for now, as the loss is still within my psychological range. Here in Denmark, using SAXO, it seems we don’t have FIFO, so that flexibility works in our favor.
    Keep up the honest and valuable content-it’s much appreciated!

  • @MuffinzGamingChannel
    @MuffinzGamingChannel День тому +2

    The way around FIFO is to make each position slightly different in size. Example. First position is 1000 units. @nd position is 1001 units. 3rd position is 999. By making each position slightly different you CAN close the third position before closing the first. I'm still in USDCAD short as I have only added at major Resistance levels.

  • @stayfocused131
    @stayfocused131 День тому +1

    Nice video Nick. I really like your honesty . There is always something to learn from failures . Its an eye opening content .Thanks

  • @TMDFXTRADER
    @TMDFXTRADER День тому +1

    I prefer your approach Nick.
    The raw videos was what got me to subscribe in the first place, been following you since 2019 i think
    Maaaan and hey i like the SPARTA beard you got rocking there!

  • @mustafakadak4509
    @mustafakadak4509 День тому +9

    I'm in a same situation now with EUR/USD im at %70 drawdown on my 1.5k account and the only thing i do watching you and trying stay calm as you do Thanks Nick

    • @mayorlaik354
      @mayorlaik354 День тому +6

      you not alone bro. the eurusd selling Crazy

    • @Troy1_27
      @Troy1_27 День тому +3

      Hedge out like I did then u have like 50/50 to be break even

    • @IsraelSocials
      @IsraelSocials День тому +2

      I think it’s still going to turn around but not for a while

    • @NickShawnFX
      @NickShawnFX  День тому +5

      you're welcome man. usd pairs have gone naughty - probably due to all the pressure around trumpy getting re-elected.
      i was about to be able to close usdcad around breakeven on the night of the election, but once the stats started indicating trump was likely to win, usd pairs all strengthened, causing my usdcad position to spike up, and she never fell
      on to the next. i'm looking to re enter usdcad as soon as the bearish steam is obvious 🤫

    • @mustafakadak4509
      @mustafakadak4509 День тому

      @@Troy1_27 at first i wanted to keep margin but then it was too late for it lol

  • @afamakpuche5833
    @afamakpuche5833 20 годин тому

    Omg. Finally, a profitable trader is honest about losing and lessons learned. Thanks, Nick.

  • @12VDHuey
    @12VDHuey День тому +1

    I've been a follower since I nearly began trading at the end of 2019. Love that you've been consistently transparent throughout your different phases of trading. A video like this is what separates you from 90% of the "UA-cam traders" who only post wins and not even the thought process. Very encouraging for struggling traders.

  • @IroncladTrading
    @IroncladTrading День тому +2

    That is why I only use the daily chart. Max 3 entries far apart. I learned a lot from you. Thank you.

  • @strangerparade
    @strangerparade День тому +3

    Thanks again. I appreciate your humbleness.

  • @ThePedromosca
    @ThePedromosca День тому +1

    Thank you Nick. You are the only guy that i want to ear talking about trading.

  • @johannblandford
    @johannblandford День тому +6

    Great video Nick as it shows that even with all your experience you still review your trades and learn from where you went wrong. Continual learning...

    • @rg950
      @rg950 День тому +1

      the price of USD/CAD changed 4% since he began DCAing it.
      He shouldn't have been down this much, there was even a sell opportunity to chip away at the loss.
      i don't think he sized his positions properly.

  • @AliGholami
    @AliGholami День тому +1

    Here’s a suggestion for improving your approach:
    It would be beneficial to set a Take Profit (TP) for your positions so that when the price moves into profit, the position automatically closes. If the price returns to its original level, you can open a new position again.
    This way, even if the price gets stuck in a ranging market, your positions will close multiple times at the TP level, potentially leading to repeated profits and an overall increase in your account balance. This strategy can help you make the most of market fluctuations while managing risk effectively.

  • @lazdiaz8962
    @lazdiaz8962 12 годин тому

    Nick just track your losses and keep track of the lost drawdown and at times track appreciations to eat into the prior losses. I build a spreadsheet and track it in a seperate journal when I trade futures. You got this.

  • @madmantrader
    @madmantrader День тому +1

    I agree I think you added too many positions at one time rather than spaced out the dca add ons..i do DCA and that is what I do...patience is very important in trading.

  • @DanielA-wb3zy
    @DanielA-wb3zy День тому +1

    Just go with the weekly and monthly trend every time and wait for the candles to break below a regression channel on the H1 or H4 or D1 to start entering buys.

  • @frankalvarado9594
    @frankalvarado9594 День тому +1

    Hi Nick, I currently trade with Oanda using the same DCA strategy. In order to avoid FIFO rules your lot sizes have to be different. Even if you do 1 lot and the next one is 100,001 it will let you close the last trade first.

  • @PaulBacic
    @PaulBacic День тому +4

    Hey Nick..I know you hate indicator but I use them in the context that I understand they don't work but they stop me from thinking too much and give me a REASON to make a trade and a reason to take profits .
    My DCA approach works well on the 15min time frame and it's more fun ,less risky, and gives more opportunities in a shorter period of time..the trick is to have the experience to manage a bad basket of trades and use the indicators as a guide..love your videos. Really honest and humble. Keep it up

  • @1traderjoe484
    @1traderjoe484 15 годин тому +1

    Hey Nick, I been also using a variation of your dca strat. Just for context I trade futures. I belive they also tend to revert if you have the experience and also understand in general they have a long bias. My point is what I learned is in terms of risk you should have a max position and a max drawdown that you alocate per trade idea. I would be interested to know what you think. I could also share my trades to show that Ive been profitable for about 2 months applying this

    • @lazdiaz8962
      @lazdiaz8962 12 годин тому

      I follow a very similar approach, focus on long only mean reversion, generally won't short indexes

  • @kamuiyami
    @kamuiyami День тому

    I really appreciate these videos. Seeing your transparency and how you stay calm, despite these huge losses helps me stay calm whenever I enter my trades. Your videos are a big reason I've been doing great this past months. My trades have become more deliberate, I don't feel as bothered by draw down. I actually closed into 3% profit for the past 2 weeks for a 5-6% profit overall after commissions and fees. Thank you for the video, Nick.

  • @patrick28312
    @patrick28312 5 годин тому +1

    can somebody explain why Nick doesn’t have to pay swaps

  • @benza8946
    @benza8946 День тому +4

    Deja vu from last year when you blew up so much with this same dca/martingale approach 😂 been here paying from February 2023, have to say its been really really rough Nick...

  • @TheProchargedmopar
    @TheProchargedmopar День тому +1

    Dude, Trade Oanda. Any trade with 1 unit (.05 hundredths of a cent per pip) difference you can exit IN ANY ORDER YOU PREFER!! Open a demo and see, 1 cent 2 cent 3 cent (100, 200, and 300 units) per trade then close in any order. Works with LIVE accts too.

    • @TheProchargedmopar
      @TheProchargedmopar День тому +1

      Oanda FXTrade

    • @NickShawnFX
      @NickShawnFX  День тому +1

      thanks, a lot of mfx clients told me this today, seems to be unique to oanda, as forex.com doesn't let me

  • @batterybloke333
    @batterybloke333 6 годин тому

    Hey Nick, love your work mate, just an idea that was rolling around in my head, what do you think about running to equal size accounts, trade the same pairs on each but say if you buy us USDCAD on 1 acc, you then sell on the other. That way in theory if you get stuck in another crazy trend, one acc. will off set the other, & majority of the trades should work out using your usual DCA principles. As you have proven with the random number generator.

  • @Vic10689
    @Vic10689 День тому +1

    Dude I became (highly) profitable because of you. Peace and blessings to you! You changed my life!!!

  • @jabotella1
    @jabotella1 39 хвилин тому

    I appreciate your videos. They have brougth to me a new and less stressfoul way to trade.... if you have enought money. I like DCA. But the only difference that I am aplying is not to cluster a lot of positions around a level and look for breakeven as soon as possible if the trade turns against me (a bit of Martingale) using the pullbacks. I am taking profit may be too early but this work fine for me. I am also using stop loss for each posisition if worse comes to worse. In this way I got the first down movement from USD/CAD nicely. Now down in EUR/USD but not so bad. Waiting patiently for the price to reverse or adding new positions in key levels around parity and beyond.

  • @Noticing-Enjoyer
    @Noticing-Enjoyer День тому +7

    I don’t understand why you wouldn’t use off shore brokers even with smaller accounts because of the leverage and margin requirements. You keep saying it’s not something you will ever do and have a vibe of “it’s not worth the trouble” . But the advantages are incredible and this 30k loss may have been 10k or maybe even a hedge that could have scaled you out and possibly turned it into a winner or locked in the loss until you felt the usd ran out of steam.
    Can you please address this, it’s incredibly odd to me that you try to blow off unregulated brokers but your margin was tied up and you were unable to dynamically handle the trade because of the restrictions. Of course you can ignore me but I find this incredibly strange. You are tying up probably tying up 4x the amount of capital. Hedging alone has saved me so many times I refuse to trade without it.
    Any if you read this, it’s all love big guy.

    • @derlinium
      @derlinium День тому +1

      yea ive found these statements odd too. Plenty of offshore brokers are regulated but allow Americans and hedging. Mine is in Australia not exactly no mans land.

    • @iklilkonyalilar4161
      @iklilkonyalilar4161 День тому

      Thanks for advice.Can you name any?
      Cause I was fooled for 2k by one of ofshores.
      But,still have an account on the other one with 200x Leverage😊😂

    • @derlinium
      @derlinium День тому

      @@iklilkonyalilar4161 sway markets, nash markets i had a big list of good off shore regulated us brokers but i cant findit

    • @peter16665
      @peter16665 21 годину тому +2

      I am surprised too. The miracle with DCA and hedging lies in the hands of brokers with good leverages and non fifo rules.
      His statement of non regulated brokers is wrong. Brokers that are not US based doesn't mean they are not regulated.
      I trust non US brokers that US brokers for various reasons.

    • @Noticing-Enjoyer
      @Noticing-Enjoyer 17 годин тому

      @ I completely agree, DCA especially with high leverage and small position size would free up so much capital along with the safety of hedging and being able to scale into the winning side of the trade instead of just forcing yourself to make the loss permanent. I find it suspicious that he won’t get into this actually lol.

  • @carlospen8413
    @carlospen8413 День тому +6

    DCA traders - “let me put my hand in the fire again even though I got burnt last time”

  • @roshaneforde
    @roshaneforde День тому +1

    Next week might be a green week for ucad. You could have waited till the next candle close. Or use DCA on weekly candles. One position at the opening price for each week candle. Eventually you’ll get a full red weekly candle.

    • @nofood1
      @nofood1 23 години тому

      commissions would eat him alive trading weekly. Are you guys even trading real accounts 😂😂

  • @ddupont1987
    @ddupont1987 День тому

    great video nick love the transparency i used to trade this way a year ago i didnt know a name for it tell now. i kinda thought eventually this could get bad because you dont actually have a mechanical adding approach. i blew an account of course but would i started doing after i reloaded my account i would add only at 70 to 80 pip increments because sometimes im sleep during a time i coulda added i set buy limits and sell limits 80 pip distances. it was okay on the results but i felt this trading approach was beyond my knowledge. thanks for showing the good and the bad happy trading

  • @johnfriesen3986
    @johnfriesen3986 День тому +1

    I was looking forward to the update on this trade to bad about the loss we move on and get the next one! I implement a DCA strategy on an intraday basis using the 1 minute time frame and also CMA ( Cringe moving averages)😂 I trade futures and use 1 micro as my standard position it’s been working for me really well

  • @OldManPaxusYT
    @OldManPaxusYT День тому +1

    How many other Trader YT channels show you their accounts and discuss their bad days/weeks etc?!
    Answer: Almost none!
    THANKS again Nick! (Comment for your algorithm)

  • @kevingoodman6617
    @kevingoodman6617 18 годин тому

    I appreciate your transparency 💯🔥🔥

  • @zebuuu7196
    @zebuuu7196 День тому +4

    Tbh, smart dca seems like a genius strat but it's only weakness is extremely strong trending market where price keeps running with very shallow pullbacks. Because of this, how about not trading around major major news events like elections? Waiting 1-2 days after and then continuing as normal. This would limit the risk of these types of markets and getting into lots of recovery trades no?

  • @iklilkonyalilar4161
    @iklilkonyalilar4161 День тому +1

    Nick, a wonderfull video of confession.
    And a very usefull lesson for you and for all of Us .
    Thank you.Appreciate the honesty .You opened your heart&mind to us.Never seen on Utube before such a thing...I felt like talking to a very old friend❤😊❤
    Things Will get better I know🙏❤️🙏

  • @tradingparadox
    @tradingparadox День тому +1

    How much have you lost in the last 6 months ish? From following along it seems you’ve lost about $100K in total?

  • @Dante_Roje
    @Dante_Roje День тому +16

    "Trade multiple pairs" is somehow a fallacy as most pairs are correlated.

    • @Pitch8lack
      @Pitch8lack День тому +2

      Yeah agreed. I looked at a correlation chart for this reason, finding that EU, NJ, GA and CC were these least correlated. So maybe DCA those in one account would not fuck your drawdown when you are wrong.

    • @KiddRuu
      @KiddRuu День тому +1

      ☝️🤓

    • @MuffinzGamingChannel
      @MuffinzGamingChannel День тому

      Just don't load up your open positions with the same currency... i.e. have 4 AUD pairs long at the same time.

    • @raiyankhan8255
      @raiyankhan8255 День тому +1

      Lol I also thought about it. What I do usually is look for correlated pairs that look better to trade. Like EURAUD and GBPAUD I will choose which ones have clearer zones and trade the clear ones

    • @arthurtsekouras6227
      @arthurtsekouras6227 6 годин тому

      @MuffinzGamingChannel even worse, some people might buy AUDUSD and also sell AUDNZD, and wonder why they are not making profits.

  • @OttoNomicus
    @OttoNomicus 23 години тому

    Congrats on learning that it doesn't matter how you add to, subtract from or vary the amount of a trade, it always works out exactly even no matter what happens IF there's no house edge, like if it was a coin toss whether price would go up or down and there were no spreads of fees involved to play the coin toss game. It's the same as there being no betting system that can beat a casino game long term. If you actually had an edge greater than the exchange's you could just open trades with equal SL and TP and come out ahead in the long run. You would need to be psychic to have such an edge though.

  • @jellis333j7
    @jellis333j7 День тому +1

    So after all that stress you closed and how would it feel if it goes down next week . The weekly chart looks like it will close on what I think is a sell . Psychologically difficult for sure .

  • @andywei3092
    @andywei3092 15 годин тому

    I was thinking when would a big trend come up and test your strategy. It is ok to check for volume in higher tf once in a while

  • @richbalkissoon5322
    @richbalkissoon5322 День тому

    huge respect for showing the ups and downs Nick

  • @BlackwaveFX
    @BlackwaveFX День тому +5

    Times like this the “experts” come out of the woodwork. Just a blip on your journey Nick 💪.

    • @MiniWhale81
      @MiniWhale81 День тому +3

      They can say all they want, but he's the self made millionaire 😀

    • @NickShawnFX
      @NickShawnFX  День тому +6

      yeah, it's always been like that, man. i post everything, including losing streaks, which obviously attracts negativity, and hundreds of "experts" being critical
      i've seen some people be the first to point out my losing streaks, but then are completely absent in acknowledging my win streaks, so dumb
      my life would be so much easier if i only posted the wins, and lambos, mansions, private jets, etc 😂

    • @alen00k
      @alen00k День тому

      @@NickShawnFXyou may be profitable doing this, but lets be real, you making 200k a month atleast from your discord group, which is the main bread winner, and this only the marketing fuel

    • @BlackwaveFX
      @BlackwaveFX 21 годину тому

      @ you are correct in the video. Irrespective of the strategy we are all just managing risk. DCA (or grid) has a bad reputation but in my experience if you drill down into it or any other strategy you become a specialist. Also it helps if the strategy suits your personality. 🤷‍♂️. Anyway you are independently wealthy at this point. There will come a point soon when you will wake up and decide to throw lots of it into property and manage Airbnb’s instead of managing peoples emotions. 🤪

  • @Mackin7777
    @Mackin7777 День тому

    Thanks for sharing your experience Sir. I've been using stop losses on positions that go into profit to prevent them from going back into drawdown in the event the trade reverses. This way I at least secure some form of profit before re-entering the positions once it reverses again to the original direction. I've only been adding a single position at each support / resistance zone.

  • @walkerpercy8702
    @walkerpercy8702 День тому

    No trading approach works all the time, true. But shorting breakouts at a place to go long, especially after a higher low, might work 20% of the time if that. Idk. It looks like you entered at the right place but the wrong way - but you don't say that's what you'd have done differently. Also, how do you manage risk w/o using a stop or a daily stop?

  • @jonf552
    @jonf552 День тому

    This is real...makes me feel better seeing how you handle and interpret it.

  • @JusticeGreen-q7g
    @JusticeGreen-q7g День тому

    To my knowledge fifo can be side stepped by slightly differing your lot sizes, I do like 1000, then 1001 and so on with the units. I use oanda and it's never been a problem.

  • @SammiBurnette-j1f
    @SammiBurnette-j1f День тому

    Thanks for the analysis! Could you help me with something unrelated: I have a SafePal wallet with USDT, and I have the seed phrase. (alarm fetch churn bridge exercise tape speak race clerk couch crater letter). How should I go about transferring them to Binance?

  • @AnthonyGreenman
    @AnthonyGreenman День тому +1

    Wise move Nick. Not just the Trump trade. US Economy is doing great. Europe is on life support. Knowing when to exit a losing trade always takes courage but its far better than blowing an account. Have a good weekend

    • @NickShawnFX
      @NickShawnFX  День тому +1

      thanks for that man. yeah, gotta do whats best based on the context. i think usd will revert at some point obviously, just not right now. lets see if we get re-entries :)

  • @Duane10101
    @Duane10101 День тому +1

    Its working for me on crypto, but i dont just randomly jump into trades, after following the charts and trying all sorts of different shit, ive come to see and pick up on patterns. Patience and balls are key for this. But its does work if you smart. Just my take on it.

  • @ryanmcmahon6043
    @ryanmcmahon6043 День тому

    I've been programming an approach that's inspired by yours for the past 3 weeks. I think once you've martingaled 1 or 2 times it's best to start waiting for significant confirmation that the price is reversing rather than immediately adding at support zones / new prices. Because once you're in deep trying to get the "best price" isn't that beneficial and is going to result in too many martingales. Do you feel like this could be true? (Edit: And yes I'm not entirely convinced automating this style is a good idea yet. But at the very least I find attempting to automate teaches you a lot on how to do it manually).

  • @sagrazoom
    @sagrazoom День тому +2

    Hi, Nick!
    You could avoid FIFO with Oanda by using slightly different lot sizes.

    • @NickShawnFX
      @NickShawnFX  День тому +2

      i've tried this exact thing before, and it would not allow me to close any subsequent position without closing the previous one, regardless of the lot size

    • @sagrazoom
      @sagrazoom День тому

      @ that’s strange.. I just jumped to Oanda app and closed my second euro potion of 10002 units and my first one of 10001 units is still running. It’s paper trading so maybe there’s difference. But I’ve seen like another UA-camr doing it many times too.

  • @lartih
    @lartih День тому

    An honest guy. Wish him well.

  • @JakeKeastMusic
    @JakeKeastMusic День тому

    i got in on a long trade on EURUSD on my demo before that big dip when trump won. from there i was dcaing. i got close to a breakeven, but then it went against me again. i closed them all at a big loss today as i could not see it going up any time soon. if it did i would be waiting a lot longer imo. i was thinking maybe i could of placed my positions further apart as well. but its a good learning curve for me. especially considering ive been on demo for a couple months now. cheers nick 🙂

  • @philippecolin151
    @philippecolin151 День тому +1

    Thank you Nick for being such a nice individual...
    You are great, tint your beard white you will be the best Father Christmas around, greetings from France

  • @sirwilliam7415
    @sirwilliam7415 4 години тому

    Follow momentum because this is what moves the market and dictates the direction.

  • @DanielA-wb3zy
    @DanielA-wb3zy 16 годин тому

    One last thing - Price will always return the 200ema. I think its possible to foresee about where that will be. If you are in a big drawdown but there is enough room for recovery near where that spot will be, stay in. If not...............

  • @roelmaes4885
    @roelmaes4885 День тому

    No doubt you've already considered this, but why not put in pending stop orders as opposed to market orders? That would limit your drawdown.
    If one should get triggered by a pullback, put a hedge in place with a SL on the buy. When price returns, it will take out the buy side and the short position would go in profit.

  • @Fixer934
    @Fixer934 15 годин тому

    Good call. UC could go much higher, and loss would be even more.

  • @syafiqrenaissance6490
    @syafiqrenaissance6490 День тому

    USDCAD keep going uptrend for more than a month. If you use period separator, I think you can identify roughly where the direction of the market will go...

  • @robertwazny4220
    @robertwazny4220 День тому +3

    I dont understand Nick … You said that You do this dca strategy since 3 months? I thought that You are doing this much longer …that what You was always saying add to loosing trade

    • @OldManPaxusYT
      @OldManPaxusYT День тому

      he used to leverage short AND long positions in the same trade...
      Now if he starts with long, the only extra positions he will add, are more long positions... and vice-versa.

  • @easyfixfx1392
    @easyfixfx1392 23 години тому

    DCA definitely works, the problem is when you’re over leveraged and nearing margin call and then you top up capital from your bank acccount to help with margin, then you blow that aswell. How do you avoid this from happening? Most brokers allow instant funding which is dangerous. I think having multiple accounts so capital is split and can’t be transferred easily or keep your majority capital locked up in an investment fund which isn’t easy to access.

    • @Ayan992
      @Ayan992 22 години тому

      He talked about it . If u have 10k u can make 10 accounts with each having 1k bank. If u double ur bank u withdraw 2k.

  • @Ape7986
    @Ape7986 День тому +4

    Questions:
    Max how many entries per trade you suggest for 2000 dollars?
    What timeframe is best? Is the timeframe to enter orders and to find levels the same?
    Hope u answer

  • @thebrownb-m8f
    @thebrownb-m8f День тому

    I was scrolling on your telegram today, as you were using the same approach, at that time you were calling it "the gambling account" you grew that from 50k to 77k then PNL went back to 42k which means you lost the exact same amount, do you think that setting an invalidation zone (based on intuition/experience) after X amount of DCA/Recovery trades prevents stuff like this from happening?

    • @NickShawnFX
      @NickShawnFX  День тому +2

      there's no real way to prevent it, even if you do everything right. i could have just sized smaller and this wouldn't have been a big deal, so all good

    • @jmvargasvideos
      @jmvargasvideos День тому +2

      According to Nick's method, I believe the invalidation zone is essentially the account balance. That’s why the strategy acknowledges that this can happen occasionally, and the risk management approach involves limiting exposure to no more than one contract at a time for a $200,000 account. I agree with Nick's point that one important lesson from this experience is to avoid adding too many contracts at similar price levels. Instead, a significantly higher high should be established before adding new contracts.

    • @thebrownb-m8f
      @thebrownb-m8f 19 годин тому

      @@jmvargasvideos I know exactly what Nick's doing, I've mention on the previous video that if it takes a 2 months to double a $2.000 account and you start a same initial balance and blow it, which took you 3-4 months to just breakeven, blah blah blah "you're doing more than 90% of people if you breakeven" who gives a single shit bro nobody has to lose 4 months to just breakeven unless you're having some passive incomes or your dad is multimillionaire. Nick suggested to start two accounts at the same time which is exactly the same thing lol just results and time being of doubling/blowing an account is shorter. Nothing against this approach but I've been wiping all profits made same as Nick.

  • @kennedymurithi7354
    @kennedymurithi7354 День тому

    How long do you hold your positions Nick? and nowdays you just DCA , you dont hedge?

    • @armedndegen
      @armedndegen День тому

      He closes whenever he thinks is the right time to close it, and no he doesnt use hedging anymore.

  • @kowex1
    @kowex1 День тому +2

    What's the point of DCA if you close the position yourself

  • @armedndegen
    @armedndegen День тому

    Hey Nick, I had 3 trades in USDCAD, first one had 3 positions and closed at small profit and i exited, then re-entered it went intro profit but as it came back i closed at breakeven, then i re-entered at better price and I had two positions whilst i added one trade in drawdown but it still ended in a small loss, I used a little bit heavier lot size. What do you think about this approach, was it still well managed?

    • @NickShawnFX
      @NickShawnFX  День тому +1

      yeah, sounds good. no exact way to manage things every time, and there's no right/wrongs either. just have to do what you believe is best, based on the context

    • @armedndegen
      @armedndegen День тому

      @@NickShawnFX Thanks for answering man, it helped a lot.

  • @toilarhd4581
    @toilarhd4581 День тому

    Hey Nick why don’t you consider taking an opposite position to reduce the losses from your recent trades (hedging)? Have you thought about it? Do you think it could help?

    • @albertenstein5407
      @albertenstein5407 День тому +1

      That definitely help, i have been doing this but the opposite position should be the same size as all your current position you have on sell and also it shouldn’t be hedging style but having tp and sl so just catch the strong moves on opposite side. Keep in mind in US you can not have buy and sell on a pair at the same time but you can do that in two different brokers or two separate accounts.

  • @focus9420
    @focus9420 5 годин тому

    Hi i'm currently trying to trade crypto what platform do you use?

  • @ravjotkaleka9814
    @ravjotkaleka9814 День тому

    Thank you Nick 🙏🏻 always be like like. The real you. We love the real you.
    Thank you 🙏🏻 once again 😊

  • @leodominguez5487
    @leodominguez5487 День тому

    You used to reply to emails but you probably get too many now. How do you feel about trading pairs with the same base currency for example like eur/gbp eur/aud and eur/chf but at the same time?

  • @stingreen
    @stingreen День тому

    Dude. Welcome to DCA trading.

  • @libertylion6088
    @libertylion6088 День тому

    I'm in 13 pairs right now and 10 of those are going against me in a very bad way, much like your usd/cad. I'm also in the exact same situation as you with nzd/usd. But my biggest problem is with all the GBP pairs. Looks like the GBP is in the toilet across the board. They are killing me. I'm about out of margin so I'm stuck without being able to DCA anymore.

  • @atruewhiteknight3044
    @atruewhiteknight3044 19 годин тому

    In backtesting this always happens though nick. In a trending market it blows the account. This is the exact opposite of what you were teaching 3-4 years ago bro. Follow the trend, remember?

  • @papadraq
    @papadraq День тому +35

    no worries, you're making 6 figures from your minions :)))

    • @jamesmatthews8481
      @jamesmatthews8481 День тому +9

      Lol, so it's not just me then who suspects that. Well, he can afford to trade (ahem, cough... gamble) more now because he does have that extra support from his devotees, or minions as you probably rightly say. Lots of extra income makes Jack a very naughty boy!

    • @TheNameIsFreddy
      @TheNameIsFreddy День тому +4

      yeah dca is the worst ever

    • @jellis333j7
      @jellis333j7 День тому

      Dca would work or at least stand a better chance if done with higher time frames like quarterly and monthly

    • @TamNguyen-vj4sq
      @TamNguyen-vj4sq День тому +5

      I still can not believe that people pay hundred of dollars monthly to stay on his discord :)). When his strategy is obvious on his youtube :))

    • @yaboi_dyl
      @yaboi_dyl День тому +7

      I came to the same realisation over a year ago. He's not as profitable as people think. DCA is also shitty because although it doesn't have a stop-loss, the account itself is what acts as a stop loss giving you the illusion that it's profitable because of how long it actually takes to blow the account, and in the meantime you're making tiny insignificant wins which will inevitably get wiped out. I backtested this so many times in FX Replay and the rate at which I was blowing accounts was much greater than I was doubling them.

  • @1312Mork2
    @1312Mork2 День тому +12

    Im shocked that randomly buying all over the place is not working

    • @NickShawnFX
      @NickShawnFX  День тому +6

      who would have guessed 😂

    • @skybizinc4502
      @skybizinc4502 День тому

      @@NickShawnFX Nick, would you ever thought to have say 2 separate accounts and on 1 like you did take USDCAD SELL on the OTHER ONE you take USDCAD BUY and keep on adding, worth case you lose one, you close other one in profit, or, At least you loss wouldn't be that big, or else you could work out Profit from Both Accounts..? Think about it..

    • @musahtoufiq4024
      @musahtoufiq4024 День тому

      😂😂

  • @TradeVisionFX
    @TradeVisionFX День тому

    Not paying to get in his discord however how many youtubers post their looses?

  • @raduciopraga2752
    @raduciopraga2752 День тому

    I use it like this in combination with hedging. It works well helps you from getting into crazy DD. But i know you can’t have hedge account in USA but for those who have try hedging at first then when a position is in good profits close the hedge and start adding. Worked for me for the past 2 years and because of you nick i started hedging anyway 😂

  • @Тони-л6з
    @Тони-л6з День тому

    Esentually you shouldn't be so greedy, and i would happily finish with profits! I think that is what we should learn from Nick

  • @eiraedwards
    @eiraedwards День тому

    Thanks for sharing XAI73R and SUI. 💯

  • @ellazelda
    @ellazelda День тому

    Your video convinced me to invest in XAI73R, expecting 10x gains. Excited for listings!

  • @markbowling4239
    @markbowling4239 День тому

    I think you can switch your FIFO to LIFO.
    I've done that on stocks

  • @firekid5790
    @firekid5790 19 годин тому

    Nick, can you please tell why don't you trade GOLD. if you could give some insight about not trading gold it would be really helpful for me.

  • @GlitchMatrix-bs7ib
    @GlitchMatrix-bs7ib День тому

    I appreciate the transparency.

  • @jayMovic
    @jayMovic День тому

    Should have held UC
    I think USDCAD is still going to drop, I don't think we're getting another high before the drop.

  • @inglesBrillanteInstitutoonline
    @inglesBrillanteInstitutoonline День тому +1

    loosing -36,000 on two losing DCA trade (what i learned) = i'm an idiot and i can't trade..

  • @Keepone974
    @Keepone974 22 години тому

    Lack of patience made you take way too many positions.
    DCA/Grid is patience + mental fortitude to handle drawdowns and in last resort like you did, closing everything when it goes really really bad.