What I don’t understand is, on one hand we are told the stock market will crash and yet on the other we are told ways of investing in the stock market. Oxymoron or paradox? I'm considering investing over 150k, but I'm uncertain about risk mitigation strategies.
The truth is, the role of an investment advisor can often be overlooked but should never be underestimated. After facing a significant portfolio loss in 2020 during the COVID pandemic while trying to manage my investments on my own, I decided to reach out to an investment advisor. At that time, I had about $126K left in my portfolio. Now, without having to lift a finger, I'm semi-retired, working only 7.5 hours a week, and I'm just 15% short of my $1 million retirement goal thanks to my subsequent investments.
My CFA is Laurel Ann Watkins, a renowned figure in her line of work. I recommend researching her credentials further. She has many years of experience and is a valuable resource for anyone looking to navigate the financial market. To be honest, I almost didn't buy the idea of letting someone handle growing my finance, but so glad I did.
I was able to find her website on Google by researching her name. She’s got incredible credentials. Hope she replies to my email soon. Thanks for sharing.
Markets look like 2015-16. Probably going back to all time highs, but will probably go sideways until fed signals rate cut, Recently sold 25% of my $285k portfolio comprising of plummeting stocks that were recommended by certain financial UA-camrs, quite devastating!
not their fault, the stock market seems to be more of a casino for gamblers now than a place for investors. even if you were averaging down on ailing companies, its your duty to properly research, buying the dip does not guarantee a rebound
The issue is most people have the “I will do it myself mentality” but not skilled enough. Ideally, advisors are perfect reps for investing jobs and at first-hand experience, my portfolio has yielded over 350%, since covid-outbreak to date, summing up nearly $1m.
‘’Aileen Gertrude Tippy’’ is the licensed fiduciary I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment
Thank you for sharing, I must say, Carol appears to be quite knowledgeable. After coming across her web page, I went through her resume and it was quite impressive.
Profiting is possible as every crash or recession offers market opportunities if you're prepared and knowledgeable. I've seen people amass up to 800k during crises and even thrive in a bad economy. I want to learn how to make such profits.
There are strategies that could be put in place for solid gains regardless of economy or market condition, but such executions are usually carried out by investment experts or advisors with experience
You're right, I and a few Neighbors in Bel Air Area work with an Inveestment Adviser who prefers we DCA across other prospective sectors instead of a lump sum purchase. As a result, my portf0lio has recorded significant improvement even during the most unfavorable market season. `
My CFA Sharon Ann Meny, a renowned figure in her line of work. I recommend researching her credentials further... She has many years of experience and is a valuable resource for anyone looking to navigate the financial market..
There is obviously a compounding effect in the very long term for large capital, but is not "automatic", and with the wrong strategies you can even lose more than you have, and selecting the correct stock without a proven strategy can be exceedingly challenging. I've been working on expanding my $210K portfolio for a while, and my primary obstacle is the lack of clear entry and exit strategies.
Invest in S&P 500 ETF, for as long as possible. Do it as often as you can. Try not to withdraw this money and let compounding do its work. Prioritize patience and a long-term perspective most importantly consider financial advisory for informed buying and selling decisions.
A lot of folks downplay the role of advlsors until being burnt by their own emotions. I remember couple summers back, after my lengthy divorce, I needed a good boost to help my business stay afloat, hence I researched for licensed advisors and came across someone of utmost qualifications. She's helped grow my reserve notwithstanding inflation, from $275k to $850K.
This is definitely considerable! think you could suggest any professional/advisors i can get on the phone with? i'm in dire need of proper portfoIlo allocation
Amy Lea Kohlert is her name. She is regarded as a genius in her area and works for Empower Financial Services. By looking her up online, you can quickly verify her level of experience. She is well knowledgeable about financial markets.
So how exactly can we guard against the coming financial reset Like what are really the best strategies to make our portfolio recession proof against the incoming financial reset? I'm very worried about my $110k stock portfolio.
Knowledgeable Investors know where and how to put money during a crisis in order to reduce risk and maximize returns. See a market strategist with experience if you are unable to manage these market conditions.
Exactly why i enjoy market decisions being guided by a pro , seeing that their entire skillset is built around going long and short at the same time both employing risk management and market experience , been using a portfolio-coach for over 2years+ and I've netted over $1million in that time frame.
Sophie Lynn Carrabus is the advisr I use and I'm just putting this out here because you asked. You can Just search the name. You’d find necessary details to work with to set up an appointment.
I just googled her and I'm really impressed with her credentials; I reached out to her since I need all the assistance I can get. I just scheduled a caII.
All time highs… I’ve been investing for almost 2 years. It was all time highs when I bought in. It was all time highs when I was dollar cost averaging and it’s all time highs while I’m up over ~$110k in 2 years. My portfolio is roughly half ETFs and half in individual stocks... thinking of allocating 10% to btc
With the markets at all time highs. Do you think there will be a recession or downturn anytime soon? I am in my 40s and just starting, and I am curious about ways to keep risk mitigated
I do think there will be a correction or recession soon. As far when? Nobody has an idea. Factors like inflation, interest rates, and geopolitical risks could influence the market's direction. I always use a CFA to navigate these uncertain times. It's wise to stay informed and be prepared for potential fluctuations. Diversifying your investments and having a long-term strategy can help mitigate risks. *Lina Dineikiene* helps keep an eye on market trends and her in-depth research has been invaluable in identifying profitable opportunities for my portfolio
Great advice here. The market's current highs have certainly raised some eyebrows. Analysts have mixed predictions about the future. While some expect the market to continue its upward trend, albeit at a slower pace, others are more cautious due to various uncertainties. It's good to have a nice balanced portfolio, including cash on the side, so we're forever ready to trickle in when the crash eventually happens.
So what? They have a tendency to happen later than a mf would expect. Doesn’t mean it’s not gonna happen, just means he was too early. If u don’t see why a crash is likely in 2025, ur a moron.
Like he said, no one knows when the next market crash. But I been investigating in companies that crashed. I'm in the green. But only one of pick was 7:40 off. Currently, I holding and building my cash reservoir and patiently waiting.
Crash or no crash, when everything is pushing ATH, it's time to start trimming some of the fat and increase dry powder. looking at the growth projections of 7-figure portfolio I can't tell where the market is headed, Do i hold on or perhaps I should just sell off assets and avoid the panic?
Such uncertainties are the reasons I don’t base my judgement on a ''heresay''. 2020 covid crash had me holding trash stocks, but thankfully revamp my portfolio through the aid of a pro before seeing significant gains. Now my portfolio is well-matched for every market season yielding 85% from early last YTD. I and my advisr are working on a 7 figure ballpark goal, tho this could take another year.
I’m cautious about giving specific recommendations as everyone's situation varies. You may consider independent financial advisors like "Jennifer Leigh Hickman" I've worked with her and I'd gladly commend her exemplary service on a public post.
OK? But you're probably fine with bubblers who think it's ok that earnings don't matter, fundamentals don't matter, politics don't matter, economy doesn't matter, stocks must go up, SPY must be 6600 or 6500 by next year because I demand it!
Some do know. The signs can be seen. It just comes down to if you're the one looking at the right signals/numbers. Personally, I believe bearish videos are important for protecting many people's money right now. The market is high not low. They've been wrong in the past, but these videos will look good soon.
@@JackRayFishhh These perma bulls are weird. Like, everywhere I go people are talking about the housing bubble, can't afford a car, layoffs/hiring freezes. and my friends and family are a mix of middle class and upper middle class. Earnings are not up that much YOY (5.8%) so don't warrant the rally. BLS reports show crap jobs being created. Not sure what perma bulls are looking at that they think the economy is great, also not sure how they're so insulated from the cost of living. I sort of believe they're trolls/lying since so many big companies are simultaneously cost cutting/prepping for a downturn (even if they don't publicize it).
A broken clock is right 2 times in 24 hours! My rule is when your money has increased 50% take out 25%! Had a friend who lost $250k, forgot about it for 35 years, now it is worth $250k again!
The four words are: This Time Is Different! There is a easy way to know when a bubble is about to burst. When people you know who invest in the market give you advice it is all good. When people you who know DON'T invest but start giving you advice and bragging about their profits, like your hairdresser, your barber, your butcher..... that is the time to exit the market ASAP! The bubbles move from the insiders to the outsiders to the people completely out of the market. If those people start to invest then you know the bubble is already at breaking point.
I haven't bought stocks since 2022. I was super excited to buy things like Meta and Amazon on the way down but as soon as things continued going up and up I pretty much stopped. Sure I occasionally buy a little into the S&P, but for the most part most of my money sits in a money market account. While I have no intention of selling, I have no intention on buying until things look more rational.
Every crash/collapse brings with it an equivalent market chance if you are early informed and equipped, I've seen folks amass up to $1m amid economy crisis, and even pull it off easily in favorable conditions. Unequivocally, the collapse is getting somebody somewhere rich
I do not disagree, there are strategies that could be put in place for solid gains regardless of economy or market condition, but such execution are usually carried out by investment experts with experience since the 08' crash
The issue is people have the "I want to do it myself mentality" but not equipped enough for a crash, hence get burnt. Ideally, advisors are reps for investing jobs, and at first-hand encounter, my portfolio has yielded over 300% since 2020 just after the pandemic to date.
My CFA ’Stacy Lynn Staples’ , a renowned figure in her line of work. I recommend researching her credentials further. She has many years of experience and is a valuable resource for anyone looking to navigate the financial market.
All those youtubers that you called idiots say exactly the same thing that you just said about bubbles, FOMO, and panic selling . Other then that I liked this video and just subscribed.
Some people could use a "really sustained" one. I used to live financial media but the quality is in the garbage and low information these days, people are just all perma bulls, demanding return based on vague narratives. No one is talking about real earnings, real growth, sustainability....we need to weed out all of these faux investors.
I’m not in the stock market but I’ve been around 74 years and seen the stock market’s good years and bad years. It’s not a forever winning streak. It’s great if one has extra money to play with. I wish that I had been able to invest and reap the rewards. What ticks me off is billionaires play the market meaning they know when to pull out or reduce their holdings and when a crash happens which it will, they go in a buy up on the cheap. Warren Buffet is I think 90 something years old and the stock market is a game to him like other billionaires. On goes the oligarchs rule with more money and power. I hope that the 20 % small investors heed this podcast warning. Recessions come and go and markets boom and bust.
Thats what calling stocks overvalued for 10 years will do to you. He can tell his members he was just early or markets are irrational. But people actually paying attention know he has simply been wrong high pe stocks did grow into their valuations from the time he called them a bubble.
17:30 This is not quantifiable if you don't know what the amount of the initial investment was and how much they were dollar cost averaging on the way down. If they had bought 1 share at the top and 100 at the bottom that stat looks a lot different than a 100 at the top and 1 at the bottom. Both are examples of DCA and both look a LOT different statistically. Very misleading.
Excellent video. For us who are still building a portfolio you look forward to corrections so you can buy into your portfolio at cheaper prices. ORCL is a position that I got into last year and have not been able to buy into it since I first entered. It feels good knowing you made a good decision but it's also frustrating not being able to buy more. Corrections and crashes are needed much like natural forest fires are needed.
They did that in 2023, look at what happen. Now they're telling everyone to buy while billionaires are selling and they keep on selling. I'm waiting for some type of crisis. It could be the same as Efron, a crisis about government corrupt on mishandling taxpayers' money. Chip war or tariff trade war.
The opposite. 99% of media is super bullish. Just ignore earnings, any risk from politics, anything related to the health of consumers, and the labor market!
Not really. It is more likely the opposite. If anyone knew some secret signal, they wouldnt need to be a youtuber or sell products. You can say that this bull is long in the tooth though. I see that my other investment guy ran this same type of message..but looked at PE ratio and even that is flawed bc stocks can rise on high PE ratios and fall on low ones equally...chk history..and PE ratios can stay high and atocks can keep rising. Anyway, this is a fear of heights. You cant rely on just fear or some financial ratio method as a way to predict a bear mkt. And even if you nail the get out day...u need to also catch the quick correction, bounceback. Good luck.
Put your cash to work, especially now, more market diversification pushed my portfolio up 102% from last year with a 7 figure portfolio well positioned with good blue chip companies and I have stop losses in place, Personally with insights from my FA Susan Kay Mack I prefer to invest in large cap companies which have economic moats, large cash flows and strong balance sheets. Some of which are AAPL, MSCI, IUKD, TSLA, SCHD, NVDA and Barclays and other AI stocks.
many individuals miss out on gains due to actually NOT being in the market and waiting for the chance of a crash. Perhaps it's wise to do both partially
A lot of this stuff depends on your age and financial situation. It doesn't do someone that's 60 yrs old and depends on returns to ride out crashes that could take years to recover. That nasdaq bust took something like 15 yrs to get back to even. If you just retired at age 60 would you really want to wait to age 75 just to get even???
What if you are 64 and need it back in 3 years? DCA is out more so because im building up a bit more cash. An etf life vfmt, its low volatilty. It seems to invest in an equal % of large cap value stocks and it gained 2% even in covid. Or should i be looking more at cds etc and hold till a downturn has clearly passed?
So if the signs are all there, should investors cash in some well done stocks to create safe cash to hold on too? I am not talking cashing in, just a small percentage?
What about 34trl of debt? Past 100 years of history do not apply to current debt levels. Some sort of monetary reset has to take place. Debts are growing exponentially, this has never been the case in history.
There are lots of mixed opinions about stocks and there projection in the next coming years, I aim for short term solid gains from market correction and I'd definitely jump on the boat if I knew a thing or two about day-trading. I'm just looking for the right moves to grow and hedge my stagnant reserve of $490k from inflation.
Concentrate on two main objectives. First, keep yourself safe by knowing when to sell stocks in order to limit losses and maximize gains. Second, get ready to benefit from market changes. I advise consulting a Financial Consultant or other professional for advice.
Most people minimize the importance of counsel until their own feelings become overwhelming. A few summers ago, following a protracted divorce, I needed a significant push to keep my firm afloat. I looked for licensed advisors and found someone with the highest qualifications. She has contributed to my reserve increasing from $275k to $850k despite inflation.
"Laurelyn Gross Pohlmeier," a well-known authority in this field. I would recommend looking into her credentials more because she has a great deal of expertise and is a great resource for anybody looking for advice on how to navigate the financial market.
The person who is debt over load don’t want to hear about crash I understand their feelings it’s like giving up on yourself but anyways it’s in the cycle and wit will happen just time.I personally think the war will shape the economy.
I loved this channel and now I actually see for what it is havent watched a vid of them for like 3months and i am actually happy just wanted to made this statement
One thing I thought of was that brokerages usage of colour with “P/L” is tapping into our bias of green=good and red=bad. It incentivises short term thinking.
Guys don’t troll Paul. He is saying no body knows how high the market can go. But certainly it’s on expensive side since buffet indicator showing market overpriced by almost 200% but that doesn’t mean market will crash tomorrow. Market will try to suck every single bit of max liquidity and when there is no more waiters left ( who is waiting for crash ) then it will change the gear to reverse. If you think Paul is wrong , go ahead and be in market but be cautious. Storm is coming for sure slowly and steadily. It could go euphoric for year or two but when crash comes no will have stomach to bear it ( even long term investors will get shaken out )
Ive made big gains in this recent bull run but also sitting on a bunch of cash which is killing me - just cant stomach to buy anymore atm as prices are outstripping fundamentals - but nonetheless still constantly second guessing myself. Anyway, glad i watched this video so i could get that 'this time is different' mentality out of my head. Just gonna chill with my cash until i see at least a pull back and be happy watching stocks that im in go up - and will probably take some profits very soon.
I am 67. 57% stocks (wide mix of types). 40% bonds. 3% cash. I feel like I should be much more in cash right now (money market or whatever) but no idea what to sell and what % should be cash. I know that means capital gains tax and I know cash does not keep up with inflation, but I feel like a big crash is coming in 2025-2026.
The end is always near. There are many UA-camrs that have been calling for a crash for years. Almost right in 2022. You should always be cautious at all times. A black swan event can happen at any time, like 9-11. You can still get 4.5% on cash or short term treasuries waiting for the crash.
I love the new background Nostradamus. It's cute; but where's Mo today? I love when he reinforces your position much better. How much do I need to pay get your monthly subscription? I want to be rich today so I need your software...
"I can calculate the motion of heavenly bodies, but not the madness of people" Issac Newton on the South Sea Company bubble in 1700's. The smartest man to ever live got sucked into this bubble.
Just because something has a ponzi pyramid fundamentals doesn’t mean you can’t profit from it. I say invest most of your portfolio in index and play with like 10% or something
I read the book, "Fooled by Randomness". It was a brutal read, but basically agrees with everything that you are saying. Thanks for your awesome videos!
Hedging is important too. Starting in 2025 i will be buying long dated puts as insurance on the s& p and nasdaq. If it keeps going thats great and our accounts will keep growing and if not our hedges will make alot of money. Its just like buying home and care insurance, its money well spent and gives some peace of mind to endure through the tough times and if no tough times come this year our accounts will out grow our hedges anyways so its a win win. Hedging is not wasted money its just like us buying car insurance. Its needed just in case
A lot of things that Paul is saying is spot on. Regarding DCA and don't invest emotionally, but being an 100% value investor, it's hard for him see companies with future growth. I think you will not lose money investing with Paul, but you will also miss out on some big gains.
I see by the comments, pretty well the same as the message boards. I remembered Warren Buffet buying bank of America at $7,00. I remember Freeport being $2.00 around 2015.
I am invested for 30 years and for the same time I constantly hear about the next crash. If someone talks about the next snow storm, he is also right at some point. But when you have to listen to such nonsense every single day of the year, it gets annoying and ist blocking the right decisions.
15:11 I remember sometime last year I went into a small store to buy something(yes, it was a liquor store 😂). The guy who manages the store was behind the counter(I think he owned it, actually). I asked him has he ever invested in the stock market. He said yes, but he pulled all his money out because he was losing money…. amateur…
I am not a professional investor. IMO, the Democratic party proved that the stock market is over priced in the last election. The stock market is at record levels and yet 'everyone' feels poor. My clients cant afford a new car, no one is buying houses. The every increasing value of the market makes no sense. Stock prices should be based on the expectation of future profits. I dont see a lot of upside for companies but I sure see a ton of downside. I calmly walked away from a ton of stocks in favor of more stable investments a week ago. I will wait till the drop and there will be a drop.
I used to really stay up to date on these vids, glad I don’t anymore tbh, great for learning foundational fundamental financial analysis and some economic analysis. But his interpretation should be taken with a grain of salt, he’s been an Intel guy for a long time, and the track record of that stocks performance speaks for itself.
The bear starts slowly though..the crash is at end of that. So beginning of bear is not down a lot. Also, the rebound is even faster so dont miss that.
Why do you hate on other UA-camrs? Seemingly without even knowing what they talk about, their strategies, or qualifications? Making me consider leaving the channel even though I like your content.
Thanks for this note, really appreciate it mostly during a period where things are shaky. I own some NVDA shares and it's due to fundamentals (quantitative and qualitative) not too much for the momentum that is more a speculative mindset. I did buy some bitcoins where all my colleagues was crazy about it and the hype stopped at some point. I think the only way to resist to sell during bad time are fundamentals and believe to the strength of the business knowing that the company will recover and will have cash flows in average reflecting to the price of the stock. Ah and I totally agree with the fact that if great companies are not surviving chances are the system won't too, meaning that the change will be more than just money in this situation.
What approach are most in the EM community taking? Save cash? Trim fat off of the overvalued holdings? Load up on defensive stocks? Or continue to do what's working?
Keep in mind that crashes and corrections have recovered faster and faster every time with the exponential increase of speed of technology in regards to all aspects of investing. Look at 2020 vs all previous crashes back to back from one the the previous going back in time.
This is why I want to do is divest my 70k portfolio to include digital currencies with potential for high growth and profit. I've read that is how people are making a lot of profit in the market now. Can you make a video on that?
lol! Paul. We know you WANT a crash. Doesn’t mean that the crash will happen. Fundamentals are not wildly out of sync with valuations. Don’t try to make it happen. If and when a crash happens, it won’t happen because your GDP ratios have breached a level. It will happen due to some external factor that puts fear into the market.
What I don’t understand is, on one hand we are told the stock market will crash and yet on the other we are told ways of investing in the stock market. Oxymoron or paradox? I'm considering investing over 150k, but I'm uncertain about risk mitigation strategies.
The importance of mitigating risks might be why many investors are turning to advisors for guidance.
The truth is, the role of an investment advisor can often be overlooked but should never be underestimated. After facing a significant portfolio loss in 2020 during the COVID pandemic while trying to manage my investments on my own, I decided to reach out to an investment advisor. At that time, I had about $126K left in my portfolio. Now, without having to lift a finger, I'm semi-retired, working only 7.5 hours a week, and I'm just 15% short of my $1 million retirement goal thanks to my subsequent investments.
This is incredible. Could you recommend who you work with? I really could use some help at this moment.
My CFA is Laurel Ann Watkins, a renowned figure in her line of work. I recommend researching her credentials further. She has many years of experience and is a valuable resource for anyone looking to navigate the financial market. To be honest, I almost didn't buy the idea of letting someone handle growing my finance, but so glad I did.
I was able to find her website on Google by researching her name. She’s got incredible credentials. Hope she replies to my email soon. Thanks for sharing.
Markets look like 2015-16. Probably going back to all time highs, but will probably go sideways until fed signals rate cut, Recently sold 25% of my $285k portfolio comprising of plummeting stocks that were recommended by certain financial UA-camrs, quite devastating!
not their fault, the stock market seems to be more of a casino for gamblers now than a place for investors. even if you were averaging down on ailing companies, its your duty to properly research, buying the dip does not guarantee a rebound
The issue is most people have the “I will do it myself mentality” but not skilled enough. Ideally, advisors are perfect reps for investing jobs and at first-hand experience, my portfolio has yielded over 350%, since covid-outbreak to date, summing up nearly $1m.
Please can you leave the info of your lnvestment advsor here? I’m in dire need for one.
‘’Aileen Gertrude Tippy’’ is the licensed fiduciary I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment
Thank you for sharing, I must say, Carol appears to be quite knowledgeable. After coming across her web page, I went through her resume and it was quite impressive.
Profiting is possible as every crash or recession offers market opportunities if you're prepared and knowledgeable. I've seen people amass up to 800k during crises and even thrive in a bad economy. I want to learn how to make such profits.
There are strategies that could be put in place for solid gains regardless of economy or market condition, but such executions are usually carried out by investment experts or advisors with experience
You're right, I and a few Neighbors in Bel Air Area work with an Inveestment Adviser who prefers we DCA across other prospective sectors instead of a lump sum purchase. As a result, my portf0lio has recorded significant improvement even during the most unfavorable market season. `
@@DonaldStokes-p How can I reach this advisers of yours? because I'm seeking for a more effective investment approach on my savings?
My CFA Sharon Ann Meny, a renowned figure in her line of work. I recommend researching her credentials further... She has many years of experience and is a valuable resource for anyone looking to navigate the financial market..
Thanks, i did a quick web search and i found Sharon, i hope she responds to my mail.
There is obviously a compounding effect in the very long term for large capital, but is not "automatic", and with the wrong strategies you can even lose more than you have, and selecting the correct stock without a proven strategy can be exceedingly challenging. I've been working on expanding my $210K portfolio for a while, and my primary obstacle is the lack of clear entry and exit strategies.
Invest in S&P 500 ETF, for as long as possible. Do it as often as you can. Try not to withdraw this money and let compounding do its work. Prioritize patience and a long-term perspective most importantly consider financial advisory for informed buying and selling decisions.
A lot of folks downplay the role of advlsors until being burnt by their own emotions. I remember couple summers back, after my lengthy divorce, I needed a good boost to help my business stay afloat, hence I researched for licensed advisors and came across someone of utmost qualifications. She's helped grow my reserve notwithstanding inflation, from $275k to $850K.
This is definitely considerable! think you could suggest any professional/advisors i can get on the phone with? i'm in dire need of proper portfoIlo allocation
Amy Lea Kohlert is her name. She is regarded as a genius in her area and works for Empower Financial Services. By looking her up online, you can quickly verify her level of experience. She is well knowledgeable about financial markets.
Thanks, i did a quick web search and i found Sharon, i hope she responds to my mail.
Investing in stocks is planting a tree for your future; with patience, it will bear fruit."
Absolutely Just like a tree, investments need time and care to reach their full potential.
Working with a financial adviser helped me develop a tailored investment strategy, leading to significant growth in my portfolio.
I'd love to be introduced to a trustworthy adviser who can help me develop a personalized investment strategy.
My CFA NICOLE ANASTASIA PLUMLEE a renowned figure in her line of work. I recommend researching her credentials further.
Thank you for this amazing tip. I just looked the name up and wrote her.
If you predict a crash every month, eventually, you will be correct.
Yes but the idea is to be prepared if something ever happens .AP
@@EverythingMoney But you've been bearish for 16 years and missed the entire bull market and vastly underperformed and you have no credibility.
@@gordo3582 and what do you know besides making rude comments 😒
So how exactly can we guard against the coming financial reset Like what are really the best strategies to make our portfolio recession proof against the incoming financial reset? I'm very worried about my $110k stock portfolio.
Knowledgeable Investors know where and how to put money during a crisis in order to reduce risk and maximize returns. See a market strategist with experience if you are unable to manage these market conditions.
Exactly why i enjoy market decisions being guided by a pro , seeing that their entire skillset is built around going long and short at the same time both employing risk management and market experience , been using a portfolio-coach for over 2years+ and I've netted over $1million in that time frame.
@@RobbieNixon-d1w Could you kindly elaborate on the advisor's background and qualifications?
Sophie Lynn Carrabus is the advisr I use and I'm just putting this out here because you asked. You can Just search the name. You’d find necessary details to work with to set up an appointment.
I just googled her and I'm really impressed with her credentials; I reached out to her since I need all the assistance I can get. I just scheduled a caII.
All time highs… I’ve been investing for almost 2 years. It was all time highs when I bought in. It was all time highs when I was dollar cost averaging and it’s all time highs while I’m up over ~$110k in 2 years. My portfolio is roughly half ETFs and half in individual stocks... thinking of allocating 10% to btc
With the markets at all time highs. Do you think there will be a recession or downturn anytime soon? I am in my 40s and just starting, and I am curious about ways to keep risk mitigated
Very well said .AP
I do think there will be a correction or recession soon. As far when? Nobody has an idea. Factors like inflation, interest rates, and geopolitical risks could influence the market's direction. I always use a CFA to navigate these uncertain times. It's wise to stay informed and be prepared for potential fluctuations. Diversifying your investments and having a long-term strategy can help mitigate risks. *Lina Dineikiene* helps keep an eye on market trends and her in-depth research has been invaluable in identifying profitable opportunities for my portfolio
Great advice here. The market's current highs have certainly raised some eyebrows. Analysts have mixed predictions about the future. While some expect the market to continue its upward trend, albeit at a slower pace, others are more cautious due to various uncertainties. It's good to have a nice balanced portfolio, including cash on the side, so we're forever ready to trickle in when the crash eventually happens.
@@VanillaCherryBread 2 years!?!!! To 100K+! That's impressive!
Paul has been talking about a crash for the past few years
So what? They have a tendency to happen later than a mf would expect. Doesn’t mean it’s not gonna happen, just means he was too early.
If u don’t see why a crash is likely in 2025, ur a moron.
Like he said, no one knows when the next market crash. But I been investigating in companies that crashed. I'm in the green. But only one of pick was 7:40 off. Currently, I holding and building my cash reservoir and patiently waiting.
Invest and be defensive. Be both. Have a nice cash allocation on the ready.
He has....nothing wrong with being cautious, but that should not stop you investing in the market...no one knows the future - GC
@@EverythingMoney Like the saying goes "Plans are nothing; planning is everything."
Crash or no crash, when everything is pushing ATH, it's time to start trimming some of the fat and increase dry powder. looking at the growth projections of 7-figure portfolio I can't tell where the market is headed, Do i hold on or perhaps I should just sell off assets and avoid the panic?
Don't sell everything, just raise some cash so you can go shopping if and when a correction takes place.
Such uncertainties are the reasons I don’t base my judgement on a ''heresay''. 2020 covid crash had me holding trash stocks, but thankfully revamp my portfolio through the aid of a pro before seeing significant gains. Now my portfolio is well-matched for every market season yielding 85% from early last YTD. I and my advisr are working on a 7 figure ballpark goal, tho this could take another year.
@@Redwood4040 I find your situation fascinating. Would you be willing to suggest someone trusted you've worked with?
I’m cautious about giving specific recommendations as everyone's situation varies. You may consider independent financial advisors like "Jennifer Leigh Hickman" I've worked with her and I'd gladly commend her exemplary service on a public post.
Thanks for the lead. I just searched Jennifer by her full name and easily spotted her page, very professional..
Been investing since the 80's - it is better to hold than sell when everything drops - buy more when low - it's always gone back up eventually
@@grahamp2334 past is not prologue. But you are right that historical data up until this moment has proven your thesis correct.
It has,that's my plan anyway.
Yeah but you can always buy more at even lower price if you sell some earnings. There’s no wrong way but you can always leverage even more.
Thats what DCA is for, if you have 10 or more years left this crash would be a blessing. As long as your company stays in business.
How you gonna buy more when you lose your job because of recession. That's the problem. If you hold you won't have money to buy back in.
Palantir and Rocket Labs are getting ridiculous as someone who own both..I’m starting to get cautious.
Exactly! That's why I'm out, as the upsides are iffy at best, but the downside is plenty.
I sell some when I feel like that
If everyday a person says "there's a crash coming". One day that person will be right. Problem is, no one knows exactly when a crash is coming.
OK? But you're probably fine with bubblers who think it's ok that earnings don't matter, fundamentals don't matter, politics don't matter, economy doesn't matter, stocks must go up, SPY must be 6600 or 6500 by next year because I demand it!
Well fk that. I am going to wait 10 more years if I have to. Then I will go all in.
Some do know. The signs can be seen. It just comes down to if you're the one looking at the right signals/numbers. Personally, I believe bearish videos are important for protecting many people's money right now. The market is high not low. They've been wrong in the past, but these videos will look good soon.
@@JackRayFishhh These perma bulls are weird. Like, everywhere I go people are talking about the housing bubble, can't afford a car, layoffs/hiring freezes. and my friends and family are a mix of middle class and upper middle class. Earnings are not up that much YOY (5.8%) so don't warrant the rally. BLS reports show crap jobs being created. Not sure what perma bulls are looking at that they think the economy is great, also not sure how they're so insulated from the cost of living. I sort of believe they're trolls/lying since so many big companies are simultaneously cost cutting/prepping for a downturn (even if they don't publicize it).
@@user-fx5sw4jy7hYz9Hzi 😂😂stay broke
A broken clock is right 2 times in 24 hours! My rule is when your money has increased 50% take out 25%! Had a friend who lost $250k, forgot about it for 35 years, now it is worth $250k again!
Wow crazy .AP
with inflation, that money is worth about $100.000. Did not have an exit strategy.
The four words are: This Time Is Different!
There is a easy way to know when a bubble is about to burst. When people you know who invest in the market give you advice it is all good. When people you who know DON'T invest but start giving you advice and bragging about their profits, like your hairdresser, your barber, your butcher..... that is the time to exit the market ASAP! The bubbles move from the insiders to the outsiders to the people completely out of the market. If those people start to invest then you know the bubble is already at breaking point.
I've been watching Everything Money videos for years. I think this one is the best Paul has made. Replay it often.
Facts my guy was dropping knowledge
I am staying away from companies with lots of debt. When a crash happens they suffer the worst.
I love your comment. Thank so much. So simple and yet makes incredible sense.
❤
This is the video I needed to see. Thank You!
I haven't bought stocks since 2022. I was super excited to buy things like Meta and Amazon on the way down but as soon as things continued going up and up I pretty much stopped. Sure I occasionally buy a little into the S&P, but for the most part most of my money sits in a money market account. While I have no intention of selling, I have no intention on buying until things look more rational.
Every crash/collapse brings with it an equivalent market chance if you are early informed and equipped, I've seen folks amass up to $1m amid economy crisis, and even pull it off easily in favorable conditions. Unequivocally, the collapse is getting somebody somewhere rich
I do not disagree, there are strategies that could be put in place for solid gains regardless of economy or market condition, but such execution are usually carried out by investment experts with experience since the 08' crash
The issue is people have the "I want to do it myself mentality" but not equipped enough for a crash, hence get burnt. Ideally, advisors are reps for investing jobs, and at first-hand encounter, my portfolio has yielded over 300% since 2020 just after the pandemic to date.
Could you possibly recommend a CFA you've consulted with?
My CFA ’Stacy Lynn Staples’ , a renowned figure in her line of work. I recommend researching her credentials further. She has many years of experience and is a valuable resource for anyone looking to navigate the financial market.
I just curiously searched her up, and I have sent her an email. I hope she gets back to me soon. Thank you
All those youtubers that you called idiots say exactly the same thing that you just said about bubbles, FOMO, and panic selling . Other then that I liked this video and just subscribed.
Usually crashes are either really intense or really sustained. You would prefer the former. The latter is what chews you up AND spits you out.
Some people could use a "really sustained" one. I used to live financial media but the quality is in the garbage and low information these days, people are just all perma bulls, demanding return based on vague narratives. No one is talking about real earnings, real growth, sustainability....we need to weed out all of these faux investors.
I’m not in the stock market but I’ve been around 74 years and seen the stock market’s good years and bad years. It’s not a forever winning streak. It’s great if one has extra money to play with. I wish that I had been able to invest and reap the rewards. What ticks me off is billionaires play the market meaning they know when to pull out or reduce their holdings and when a crash happens which it will, they go in a buy up on the cheap. Warren Buffet is I think 90 something years old and the stock market is a game to him like other billionaires. On goes the oligarchs rule with more money and power. I hope that the 20 % small investors heed this podcast warning. Recessions come and go and markets boom and bust.
Timely reminder to tone down and just keep watching without overreacting, Thank you 🙏
Usually warning signs do not work. Crash will be sudden and unexpected.
Fantastic video. Every investor should have to listen to this. Hat tipped.
Glad it was helpful! - GC
Great inside and advice. Thanks Paul!
Great video, team, and content. Thank you EM!
Glad you enjoyed it - GC
Is it wise to continuously buy puts in a large portfolio, to hedge against downside risk? What do the big funds and institutions do?
Paul looks like he just came off a 4 year term as a US president 😂😂😂
Thats what calling stocks overvalued for 10 years will do to you. He can tell his members he was just early or markets are irrational. But people actually paying attention know he has simply been wrong high pe stocks did grow into their valuations from the time he called them a bubble.
Great video Uncle Paul !!!!
Never comment - but this was an EXCELLENT video - thank you!
17:30 This is not quantifiable if you don't know what the amount of the initial investment was and how much they were dollar cost averaging on the way down. If they had bought 1 share at the top and 100 at the bottom that stat looks a lot different than a 100 at the top and 1 at the bottom. Both are examples of DCA and both look a LOT different statistically. Very misleading.
Excellent video. For us who are still building a portfolio you look forward to corrections so you can buy into your portfolio at cheaper prices. ORCL is a position that I got into last year and have not been able to buy into it since I first entered. It feels good knowing you made a good decision but it's also frustrating not being able to buy more. Corrections and crashes are needed much like natural forest fires are needed.
What always happens before a crash is a flood of UA-cam videos proclaiming a crash.
Tx for the note - GC
They did that in 2023, look at what happen. Now they're telling everyone to buy while billionaires are selling and they keep on selling. I'm waiting for some type of crisis. It could be the same as Efron, a crisis about government corrupt on mishandling taxpayers' money. Chip war or tariff trade war.
The opposite. 99% of media is super bullish. Just ignore earnings, any risk from politics, anything related to the health of consumers, and the labor market!
Not really. It is more likely the opposite. If anyone knew some secret signal, they wouldnt need to be a youtuber or sell products. You can say that this bull is long in the tooth though. I see that my other investment guy ran this same type of message..but looked at PE ratio and even that is flawed bc stocks can rise on high PE ratios and fall on low ones equally...chk history..and PE ratios can stay high and atocks can keep rising. Anyway, this is a fear of heights. You cant rely on just fear or some financial ratio method as a way to predict a bear mkt. And even if you nail the get out day...u need to also catch the quick correction, bounceback. Good luck.
@@istvanprahaYou may want to chk out stock mkt performance vs unemployment over history.
Put your cash to work, especially now, more market diversification pushed my portfolio up 102% from last year with a 7 figure portfolio well positioned with good blue chip companies and I have stop losses in place, Personally with insights from my FA Susan Kay Mack I prefer to invest in large cap companies which have economic moats, large cash flows and strong balance sheets. Some of which are AAPL, MSCI, IUKD, TSLA, SCHD, NVDA and Barclays and other AI stocks.
many individuals miss out on gains due to actually NOT being in the market and waiting for the chance of a crash. Perhaps it's wise to do both partially
I had to Google to be sure, great resume she has.
I’d choose expertise any day because finding the right balance between investing and living is very important to me..
A lot of this stuff depends on your age and financial situation. It doesn't do someone that's 60 yrs old and depends on returns to ride out crashes that could take years to recover. That nasdaq bust took something like 15 yrs to get back to even. If you just retired at age 60 would you really want to wait to age 75 just to get even???
great Video!
U are an honest man.
Put this video on a loop, until each word sinks in…. Good stuff…. Respect!
What if you are 64 and need it back in 3 years? DCA is out more so because im building up a bit more cash. An etf life vfmt, its low volatilty. It seems to invest in an equal % of large cap value stocks and it gained 2% even in covid. Or should i be looking more at cds etc and hold till a downturn has clearly passed?
Bridgewater(ray dalio) is doing an all weather portfolio etf with state street very low vol mostly bonds
So if the signs are all there, should investors cash in some well done stocks to create safe cash to hold on too? I am not talking cashing in, just a small percentage?
It is never wrong to take profits. If I’m not sure I sell some
EXCELENT VIDIO. WOW!
Great video. Touched on very important topics.
What about 34trl of debt? Past 100 years of history do not apply to current debt levels. Some sort of monetary reset has to take place. Debts are growing exponentially, this has never been the case in history.
We are ready!
@6:24 PLTR. I got in at $7.5, 8,9,&10 and it's up 300% in one year. If it doesn't crash by Jan 1st I am out.
Best of luck - GC
I did also, I have sold 3/4 of my position. Have 700 shares left.
So if it does crash, you will hold on? What defines a crash in your mind. Curious on the thought process here so just an honest question
January is very arbitrary... PLTR may continue growing. Maybe it makes sense to start trimming but keep some for longer term.
Hodl, what ever happens...15 years horizont. Then evaluate.
When you guys made a video about Costco and Auto zone. Well thank god I held on 😅😅😅 and added to. They are actually doing 👌
Thanks
Why would one prefer low cost (index) ETFs vs low cost index mutual funds?
There are lots of mixed opinions about stocks and there projection in the next coming years, I aim for short term solid gains from market correction and I'd definitely jump on the boat if I knew a thing or two about day-trading. I'm just looking for the right moves to grow and hedge my stagnant reserve of $490k from inflation.
Concentrate on two main objectives. First, keep yourself safe by knowing when to sell stocks in order to limit losses and maximize gains. Second, get ready to benefit from market changes. I advise consulting a Financial Consultant or other professional for advice.
Most people minimize the importance of counsel until their own feelings become overwhelming. A few summers ago, following a protracted divorce, I needed a significant push to keep my firm afloat. I looked for licensed advisors and found someone with the highest qualifications. She has contributed to my reserve increasing from $275k to $850k despite inflation.
impressive gains! how can I get your advisor please, if you dont mind me asking? I could really use a help as of now
"Laurelyn Gross Pohlmeier," a well-known authority in this field. I would recommend looking into her credentials more because she has a great deal of expertise and is a great resource for anybody looking for advice on how to navigate the financial market.
Thank you for the lead. I searched her up, and I have sent her an email. I hope she gets back to me soon.
A crash is always coming, but no one knows when!
The person who is debt over load don’t want to hear about crash I understand their feelings it’s like giving up on yourself but anyways it’s in the cycle and wit will happen just time.I personally think the war will shape the economy.
I loved this channel and now I actually see for what it is havent watched a vid of them for like 3months and i am actually happy just wanted to made this statement
One thing I thought of was that brokerages usage of colour with “P/L” is tapping into our bias of green=good and red=bad.
It incentivises short term thinking.
Good comment - GC
In Japan they often do the other way around - red=more expensive, green=cheaper
@ still psychological influencing but it is affirming more prudent investing
Guys don’t troll Paul. He is saying no body knows how high the market can go. But certainly it’s on expensive side since buffet indicator showing market overpriced by almost 200% but that doesn’t mean market will crash tomorrow. Market will try to suck every single bit of max liquidity and when there is no more waiters left ( who is waiting for crash ) then it will change the gear to reverse.
If you think Paul is wrong , go ahead and be in market but be cautious. Storm is coming for sure slowly and steadily. It could go euphoric for year or two but when crash comes no will have stomach to bear it ( even long term investors will get shaken out )
Ive made big gains in this recent bull run but also sitting on a bunch of cash which is killing me - just cant stomach to buy anymore atm as prices are outstripping fundamentals - but nonetheless still constantly second guessing myself. Anyway, glad i watched this video so i could get that 'this time is different' mentality out of my head. Just gonna chill with my cash until i see at least a pull back and be happy watching stocks that im in go up - and will probably take some profits very soon.
There's still some deals out there
I m following your channel. I did not invest in your stocks but insights are amazing and doing more analysis
I am 67. 57% stocks (wide mix of types). 40% bonds. 3% cash. I feel like I should be much more in cash right now (money market or whatever) but no idea what to sell and what % should be cash. I know that means capital gains tax and I know cash does not keep up with inflation, but I feel like a big crash is coming in 2025-2026.
You told the story of your friend in Florida back when NVIDIA was around $1000 back then you were standing up
The end is always near. There are many UA-camrs that have been calling for a crash for years. Almost right in 2022. You should always be cautious at all times. A black swan event can happen at any time, like 9-11. You can still get 4.5% on cash or short term treasuries waiting for the crash.
I love the new background Nostradamus. It's cute; but where's Mo today? I love when he reinforces your position much better. How much do I need to pay get your monthly subscription? I want to be rich today so I need your software...
Fantastic video 🙏
Thank you! Cheers! - GC
"I can calculate the motion of heavenly bodies, but not the madness of people" Issac Newton on the South Sea Company bubble in 1700's. The smartest man to ever live got sucked into this bubble.
Brian covered this too. Everyone knows that there's some kind of crisis that's created and media goes full swing panic mode and market drops😂
Like clockwork......
Really great content. Thanks for sharing.
Glad you enjoyed it! - GC
Listening to Paul's stock recommendations feels like a crash.
The Paul Reverse Indicator is pretty accurate though.
Okay - GC
NFTs and Meta verse stuff are the best examples.
Love the content, keep going!
SO...MUCH...FREE....MONEY!
Thanks for all the FREE TRILLIONS JDADDY!!! 😀👍
Just because something has a ponzi pyramid fundamentals doesn’t mean you can’t profit from it. I say invest most of your portfolio in index and play with like 10% or something
What’s some good etfs that are low cost?
I read the book, "Fooled by Randomness". It was a brutal read, but basically agrees with everything that you are saying. Thanks for your awesome videos!
Bears have successfully predicted 30 of last the 3 crashes 😂
Hedging is important too. Starting in 2025 i will be buying long dated puts as insurance on the s& p and nasdaq. If it keeps going thats great and our accounts will keep growing and if not our hedges will make alot of money. Its just like buying home and care insurance, its money well spent and gives some peace of mind to endure through the tough times and if no tough times come this year our accounts will out grow our hedges anyways so its a win win. Hedging is not wasted money its just like us buying car insurance. Its needed just in case
I just subscribed
Grain of salt, but the markers are precarious as fuck. They’ll stay that way til people get complacent again and then wham.
A lot of things that Paul is saying is spot on. Regarding DCA and don't invest emotionally, but being an 100% value investor, it's hard for him see companies with future growth. I think you will not lose money investing with Paul, but you will also miss out on some big gains.
PREACH, Uncle Paul, PREACH, As thou flock are lost!🎉
This indicator has predicted 12 out of the last 4 recessions!!
How tall are you? Someone told me 4ft 11inch.
I see by the comments, pretty well the same as the message boards. I remembered Warren Buffet buying bank of America at $7,00. I remember Freeport being $2.00 around 2015.
Good stuff...tx for sharing - GC
Come on guys we need more likes on EM videos!! This guys are great!!!
Thank you! We appreciate your support -MH
I am invested for 30 years and for the same time I constantly hear about the next crash.
If someone talks about the next snow storm, he is also right at some point. But when you have to listen to such nonsense every single day of the year, it gets annoying and ist blocking the right decisions.
They always sell the crash all weekend hoping it takes hold on Monday.
15:11 I remember sometime last year I went into a small store to buy something(yes, it was a liquor store 😂). The guy who manages the store was behind the counter(I think he owned it, actually). I asked him has he ever invested in the stock market. He said yes, but he pulled all his money out because he was losing money…. amateur…
Hahaha...great comment - GC
I am not a professional investor. IMO, the Democratic party proved that the stock market is over priced in the last election. The stock market is at record levels and yet 'everyone' feels poor. My clients cant afford a new car, no one is buying houses. The every increasing value of the market makes no sense. Stock prices should be based on the expectation of future profits. I dont see a lot of upside for companies but I sure see a ton of downside. I calmly walked away from a ton of stocks in favor of more stable investments a week ago. I will wait till the drop and there will be a drop.
I used to really stay up to date on these vids, glad I don’t anymore tbh, great for learning foundational fundamental financial analysis and some economic analysis. But his interpretation should be taken with a grain of salt, he’s been an Intel guy for a long time, and the track record of that stocks performance speaks for itself.
This dude lost all credibility when he went short on Nvidia last year, did he even look at the financials?
The bear starts slowly though..the crash is at end of that. So beginning of bear is not down a lot. Also, the rebound is even faster so dont miss that.
Why do you hate on other UA-camrs? Seemingly without even knowing what they talk about, their strategies, or qualifications? Making me consider leaving the channel even though I like your content.
No hate around here....Tx for following us - GC
lol he hates that his calls have been wrong more often
Thanks for this note, really appreciate it mostly during a period where things are shaky. I own some NVDA shares and it's due to fundamentals (quantitative and qualitative) not too much for the momentum that is more a speculative mindset. I did buy some bitcoins where all my colleagues was crazy about it and the hype stopped at some point. I think the only way to resist to sell during bad time are fundamentals and believe to the strength of the business knowing that the company will recover and will have cash flows in average reflecting to the price of the stock.
Ah and I totally agree with the fact that if great companies are not surviving chances are the system won't too, meaning that the change will be more than just money in this situation.
For me, green means stop. Red means go!
Your not Guna find many dates…… lol jk I feel good today, it’s Guna be a good day for me
Nice one - GC
Take this person out of the road!!! 😂
Okay, whatever you say Walgreens boy!
What approach are most in the EM community taking? Save cash? Trim fat off of the overvalued holdings? Load up on defensive stocks? Or continue to do what's working?
Keep in mind that crashes and corrections have recovered faster and faster every time with the exponential increase of speed of technology in regards to all aspects of investing. Look at 2020 vs all previous crashes back to back from one the the previous going back in time.
Is this UA-cam page not the community?
I hedge everything all of the time no matter how good things are or look.
US economy will struggle without correction
This is why I want to do is divest my 70k portfolio to include digital currencies with potential for high growth and profit. I've read that is how people are making a lot of profit in the market now. Can you make a video on that?
Good, another moment to buy in, holding for the next 4-5 years
Good stuff - GC
“You’re hearing nothing about EV”.
Time to buy? 🤔
lol! Paul. We know you WANT a crash. Doesn’t mean that the crash will happen. Fundamentals are not wildly out of sync with valuations. Don’t try to make it happen. If and when a crash happens, it won’t happen because your GDP ratios have breached a level. It will happen due to some external factor that puts fear into the market.
Im loaded up on deep leap puts