Penn State, NOT Notre Dame, should be the betting favorite in the Orange Bowl

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  • Опубліковано 6 січ 2025

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  • @jesserp23
    @jesserp23 День тому +28

    Notre Dame has some kind of weird energy going on. They’ve lost a lot of talent to injuries and the next guy up seems to be on fire. They play like their hair is on fire

    • @joe-hl9rl
      @joe-hl9rl День тому +1

      Really good way of putting it, as an Irish fan that energy has been building all year long and it's really great that we have a good team in Penn State to test ourselves with. It'll be a fun and nerve-wracking game.

  • @mattobrien6053
    @mattobrien6053 День тому +12

    4:19 ND was up 20 to 3 vs. UGA. What would you do? Take risks and get yards? Or play ball control, run the clock, and play keep away minimizing possessions?

  • @EricAnderson-j7l
    @EricAnderson-j7l День тому +12

    Well balanced discussion. Whoever wins the turnover battle, wins the game.

  • @ND-9
    @ND-9 День тому +8

    It doesn’t really matter who the favorite is. It’s basically a pick’em. They still have to play the game. But I will say, there are levels to this. SMU and Boise State ain’t Notre Dame.

  • @mattobrien6053
    @mattobrien6053 День тому +11

    Amazing to consider even if Love doesn't play, there's not much of a drop off if any at all with Price

  • @ekim2512
    @ekim2512 День тому +10

    Notre Dame really hasn't had to pass the ball because they've built commanding leads in almost all of their games.

    • @darbyheavey406
      @darbyheavey406 День тому +3

      That’s smart football….ND can run outside AND between the tackles. ND defeated Georgia pretty easily on January 2- that’s why they are favored.

  • @richardgazdyka8716
    @richardgazdyka8716 День тому +13

    No. ND is better. They are still underrated

    • @GBU61
      @GBU61 День тому +1

      How? Aside from gifting 14 points to the Irish, what can it do against a team that doesn’t make a lot of mistakes. Penn State has better QB play and better impact players.

    • @brianmoretti8995
      @brianmoretti8995 День тому

      @@GBU61 so executing and breaking a kick return TD and getting a strip sack is being gifted now? They didn’t have to do much outside of sit on Georgia’s chest and let the clock bleed out once up 20-3 knowing the way their D was holding up that Georgia just could not get to 21+

    • @crodgers1011
      @crodgers1011 День тому

      ​@@GBU61gifting?😂 that's called football. Why? Psu best wins, Boise and Illinois 😂😂😂 sit down

    • @fbharris67
      @fbharris67 День тому

      @@GBU61 He's right. Allar is going to fumble on his own ten, some Notre Dame defender is going to recover and whatever the Notre Dame quarterback's name is will throw a 10 yard TD. First half will expire and Notre Dame will score a TD on KO to open 2nd half. It is really very easy. Why don't you understand that? 🤣🤣🤣

    • @guineapigclips5205
      @guineapigclips5205 День тому

      @@fbharris67 you say fumbled like it wasnt a FORCED play. Georgia qb didnt just drop the ball. ND defender came off the edge, beat his man, swatted away the ball, then the offense capitalized, no luck involved.

  • @MichaelShepherd-n5v
    @MichaelShepherd-n5v День тому +38

    We aren’t Bosie state or smu. Get ready for some real football

    • @diffytime
      @diffytime День тому +6

      I’m excited good luck go PSU. I respect your team it should be a fun one.

    • @timelkin838
      @timelkin838 День тому +1

      We Are aware and understand how physical ND is. More physical than PSU which I can't think of any team more physical than these 2 yet ND just looks noticeably more Physical. That scares me the most. I think PSU is 1 player slightly making them more talented. This might have a lot of injuries which I'd hate to see for either team for the final. We will all be stressed the entire game on both sides. PSU gets ball with 1.47 left with 1 timeout and down by 2 kind of game. Our kicker is a replacement from the first kicker missing like 6 out of 7 to start the season. Anything beyond the 37-yard range is scares me and every yard and centimeter game.

    • @jonknestrick5219
      @jonknestrick5219 День тому +4

      OK kiddo hahahaha. And we're better than NIU!

    • @lw8703
      @lw8703 День тому +1

      Hope you learned how to pass.

    • @Ingavi
      @Ingavi День тому +1

      We have seen some real football already, how about Oregon and Ohio State?

  • @hylkema101
    @hylkema101 День тому +14

    funny, Locked on hoosiers literally said the exact same thing before the ND game 😂

    • @LockedOnNittanyLions
      @LockedOnNittanyLions  День тому

      Shout out Jacob. He’s awesome.

    • @fbharris67
      @fbharris67 День тому

      They did? If that is true then Penn State shouldn't even board the plane.

    • @hylkema101
      @hylkema101 День тому

      @@fbharris67 good call 😂

    • @fbharris67
      @fbharris67 День тому +2

      @@hylkema101 Absolutely, if Locked On Hoosiers said it (I have no idea what Locked on Hoosiers is) it must apply 100% to Penn State. But the Pope says that Penn State is going to beat Notre Dame.

    • @hylkema101
      @hylkema101 День тому

      @@fbharris67 damn, didnt know that. The Irish have no shot.

  • @joshuafinn6038
    @joshuafinn6038 День тому +5

    The video title should read
    "I dont really understand how vegas sets money lines"....

    • @r.k.werner2688
      @r.k.werner2688 21 годину тому

      I know, right? They pick the lines to get a 50/50 split and collect their juice. It’s not about who they think is going to win and by how much

  • @jayrodriguez9211
    @jayrodriguez9211 5 годин тому +1

    They’re gonna need Lou Holtz to beat us!! #WeAre Easy win!!

  • @randychester2754
    @randychester2754 День тому +7

    Looks like an evenly matched toss-up. Don't know why you'd want to be the favorite, much better to be the underdog and fly under the radar.

    •  День тому

      PSU at +500 to win it all. You can't get much more underdawg than that.

    • @vekayu
      @vekayu День тому

      To be fair, ND and Texas are both +350 - not a huge drop off

  • @billwalsh9149
    @billwalsh9149 День тому +4

    What a weird take about the spread. ND is #1 ATS in all of college football over the last 5 years. They are 51-25-2 and +6.0 ATS! It is an unbelievable stat. There is probably no more reliable bet in sports than Notre Dame to beat the spread. This season they are 11-2-1 and +10.5 ATS. Bettors constantly underestimate and disrespect them. Whatever the spread is for an ND game, give them another 6-10 points to understand where the spread should be. In this game, that makes it -7.5-11.5.

    • @antwha5526
      @antwha5526 День тому

      I agree. at least ND -4.5. Also out BU QB is gone. he alone was worth 3+ points

  • @kenjones7240
    @kenjones7240 День тому +2

    I am as hardcore a PSU fan as anyone, but I understand why most people do not give Penn State the benefit of the doubt. We have a DESERVED reputation for NOT playing well against the big dogs. I feel in my heart that’s is changing, we just have to prove it

  • @chrisgironda1746
    @chrisgironda1746 День тому +5

    As a Penn State fan, this game is going to be very frustrating no matter the results. If we lose, we lose, and that sucks. If we win, the narrative is that we beat a ND team missing a million starters and don’t deserve it.
    The only outcome that generates some level of national respect would be beating Ohio State in the National Championship game, and even then people will say we lucked our way into that game by having the easiest path. Being a Penn State fan is rather hard when the sports world overlooks you constantly. We had to deal with Boise State saying “please count us out”, but they failed to realize that the media has counted Penn State out at least 5-6 times already this season. We were going to struggle with preseason Heisman hopeful Garret Green and WVU, then we were supposed to lose to Illinois/USC, fall during the stretch of Wisconsin/Minnesota/Washington/Maryland, etc.
    #LTFI and get this Notre Dame team out of the way. Let’s go.

    • @BasedOpinionsPodcast
      @BasedOpinionsPodcast День тому +1

      To be fair that’s because u lost to every team that was good. Nd lost but have looked like a team possessed since then beating 5 ranked teams n it not really being close in any of those games. I agree its close but it makes sense nd is favorite

    • @_kopick
      @_kopick День тому

      @@BasedOpinionsPodcast army navy and Louisville give me a fucking break

    • @thomasdeebel6695
      @thomasdeebel6695 День тому

      Who cares? All you can do is play the next team up. Just win.

    • @thomasdeebel6695
      @thomasdeebel6695 День тому +1

      @@BasedOpinionsPodcastyou lost to a bad team, PSU lost to a to 4 team in November and a number one team last month. Both by one score.

    • @user-xj9po6ep9i
      @user-xj9po6ep9i День тому

      ​@@BasedOpinionsPodcast😂😂😂😂😂 joke take. ND wouldn't keep it close with Oregon or OSU. PSU never lost to a mediocre team like NIU.

  • @gbaby1372
    @gbaby1372 День тому +4

    Mitchell evans is about fully healthy but honestly i think eli raridon is maybe the best they dont target. Ty warren is definitely nice i dont think hes unstoppable though he's just fed the ball .

  • @buccos2004
    @buccos2004 День тому +3

    Consistent, thoughtful analysis backed by fact and examining both sides of an issue from Zach, as always. No ridiculous hyperbole and opinions meant to incite negativity as click bait. Appreciate honest and dare I say old fashioned reporting. I put Zach up with journalists/commentators like Steve Jones and Jeff Byars. The best of the best.

  • @MaryKerstetter
    @MaryKerstetter День тому +4

    I was happy to see Franklin's update on Abdul Carter and the strong possibility that he plays per the latest update. Carter is a key defensive player that increases the odds of Penn State winning if he plays.

    • @timelkin838
      @timelkin838 День тому +4

      I hope he is full strength. His back up can tackle really well and I don't want to see Carter miss tackles because he isn't quite the same as usual.

    • @antwha5526
      @antwha5526 День тому +1

      Abdul will only help us if the refs call holding on the offence.

    • @timelkin838
      @timelkin838 День тому

      @@antwha5526 I've never in my life seen someone get held so often and almost never get it called. The Ducks don't win if they called the 5 easy holding calls but probably closer to 7 from what I counted. I simply don't get it. I hate hearing people say the refs lost them the game but in this case it's actually true with Carter.

  • @mattobrien6053
    @mattobrien6053 День тому +6

    15:37 it's every week.... "I can't see how ND's defense will hold down PSU's ________"
    Get ready to be beaten down. 3rd down percentage, rush ypc, pass completion percentage, pass yards. Al Golden is the best D coordinator in the nation. You will be shut down.

  • @rfplaw1
    @rfplaw1 День тому +4

    PSU beat Illinois and 2 G5 level cfp teams. Who else did you beat?

    • @Ingavi
      @Ingavi День тому +1

      In case you have not noticed, we play in the BIG10, the Elite football conference. The NIL has reduced the SEC to a thing of the past.

    • @GBU61
      @GBU61 День тому +1

      Who had ND beaten? The military academies and a mediocre USC team? PS played Ohio State and Oregon competitively. The Georgia win was good but PS is a different type of team.

    • @delby66
      @delby66 День тому

      @@GBU61 Beat Georgia Tech in their own backyard and don't forget they took Georgia to how many overtimes and were unlucky to lose that game. Beat Texas A&M in their own backyard, so don't give that BS that they didn't beat anyone. They demolished everyone else for god sake after that NIU game.

    • @crodgers1011
      @crodgers1011 День тому

      ​@Ingavi Elite? 😂😂 1 or 2 teams and psu ain't one of them. You guys played and struggled against the weakest of the big10

  • @Popz5362
    @Popz5362 2 дні тому +4

    Bro imma new fan of your show. Good stuff

  • @thekksinca824
    @thekksinca824 День тому +4

    Zach falling into the fallacy of every ND opponent and their fans. “ND cannot pass and that means we win!” Yeah….outside of a few stats, did you do any analysis on why ND pass stats are so bad? Nope! Because you have not mentioned them. It is not as simple as ND has good rushing attack. Anyway, I will throw a stat to you. Go check out RL pass efficiency in the last 12 games (since the NIU game). You will be shocked.

    • @jonathanrolon7457
      @jonathanrolon7457 День тому +2

      I did the math for you…RL has a 67.5%. Completion % since the NIU game. Pretty good for a QB who can run. Their completion %s (Drew vs Riley) are very similar. It’s the fact that ND doesn’t push the ball down the field that gets people all doubtful about their passing game. You just can’t stat compare here. We don’t have a guy like Tyler Warren but guys like Warren struggle to be game breakers against our D.

  • @FrancoDFernando
    @FrancoDFernando День тому +1

    You think Penn State should be the 1.5 pt favorite? Dude, for all intents and purposes, Vegas is saying that’s basically a toss up.
    Edit: wrote this before Brian Smith started talking lol…I agree with him

  • @GBU61
    @GBU61 День тому +2

    This game will be won in ways no one is expecting. This is a pick ‘em game.

  • @stephenmoist623
    @stephenmoist623 День тому +9

    PSU NEEDS A QUICK START !!!! MAKE ND PASS THE BALL !!!!

    • @haroldweaver662
      @haroldweaver662 День тому

      WE MIST BE LOUD AND CRAZY!!!! MAKE THAT LENARD KOD THRO 5 INTS!!!!!!

    • @gbaby1372
      @gbaby1372 День тому

      Trying to force ND to pass will not work like you think because ND is a short pass team . They will hit the 5-15 yrd passes just to make you play up then try to throw a bomb which will make you back up and that's when they strike with the run game

    • @westonhull7595
      @westonhull7595 День тому

      @@haroldweaver662he doesn’t turn it over like that lol. If his 1st & 2nd options aren’t there he will just take off & see what he can get on the scramble

  • @caseyschoenleber1760
    @caseyschoenleber1760 День тому +4

    Penn State CANNOT start slow in this one! Need to stop ND blitz and cause enough pressure of our own to make Riley throw early

    • @gbaby1372
      @gbaby1372 День тому +2

      I don't even know if that's possible my guy they couldn't stop a less talented Boise state's blitz it's going to be extremely hard to pick up ND's blitz. As a ND fan I will tell ya y'all have to get quick passes out

    • @gbaby1372
      @gbaby1372 День тому

      Also if Riley sees pressure and his guys aren't open he is quick to pull and run no hesi

    •  День тому

      @@gbaby1372 2 words >>>> Tyler Warren. Go ahead and stop him. I dare ya. TW is going to make you weep...and cry...but at least you can take solace in knowing you kept it close.

    • @antwha5526
      @antwha5526 День тому

      cannot let them hang aroud
      cannont play undiscipled (over celebrating during game
      first down arrows,
      unsporstmanlike
      holding, offsides false stsrts)

    • @IamTenzinIamthesonofAang
      @IamTenzinIamthesonofAang День тому

      I see TW, and I raise you Watts, Moore, Bowen, Kiser, Ausberry defensively, and Love, Price, and Leonard offensively.

  • @stephenmoist623
    @stephenmoist623 2 дні тому +2

    Great Podcast !!!!

  • @timelkin838
    @timelkin838 День тому +2

    ND will grind PSU down so starting slow for PSU simply can't happen. Just got to get 13 in the first half and if it's 17 than PSU can win with 6 to 10 points in the second half. PSU is my favorite sports team and the only one I love that hasn't won the big one in my lifetime. I just want to see it once and it won't be so devastating every year the day after we play OSU.

  • @alg678
    @alg678 День тому

    Oregon fan here. 100% agree. As a child, Tyler Warren walked downhill to school. And he walked downhill home.

  • @aDistraction-ls4up
    @aDistraction-ls4up День тому

    Everyone says you can wear out Notre Dame. Texas A&M visibly was mentally and physically exhausted early in the 3rd quarter. In Texas. Georgia was clearly done in the middle of the 3rd. Every single play is brought with so much violence, that it starts mentally. And after 2.5 quarters, it’s exhausting. People underestimate that. Especially when you feel you’re SO CLOSE to scoring, or feeling relief from a score, and then someone new on NDs defense makes a massive play and causes a turnover. Both playoff games, their opponents turned the ball over deep in Irish territory. It’s a saying that it “takes the wind out of your sails” but that’s an understatement what it does to you mentally. Notre Dame is physically and mentally tougher than everyone they’ve lined up against. And let’s be real, Penn State struggled with Boises blitz. Can Penn State handle what ND is bringing?

  • @markgallagher3962
    @markgallagher3962 День тому +4

    The overwhelming national narrative is still that PSU can't win a big game. That's all the line is representitive of. The first 2 CFP games were never going to change that. Be happy and take the 2 points!

    • @rfplaw1
      @rfplaw1 День тому

      They havent won 1 this yr either. Illinois?. Lol

    • @timelkin838
      @timelkin838 День тому

      If they beat ND it will still be echoed. Georgia didn't have their QB and ND was overrated for losing to PSU and if they were to beat OSU then it will be OSU played like it was that Michigan game and this was the worst year of good teams in college football in 10 plus years. A clock is right at least twice a day and that will be said of PSU which is crazy because they lose to a top 3 team usually that is ranked in the top 5 and when Clifford played for 5 years it made up at least 6 of those loses. Franklin puts together a top 15 roster consistently with down years and has made some risky calls that didn't work. He was voted the most overrated coach one year by other coaches, yet this is the 2nd team he's put on the field that could actually compete for a national championship. I think only 4 or maybe 5 schools can say the same. When Barkley was playing in his last year, they really had OSU but the year before when they beat OSU and won the conference Championship the committee put in OSU over PSU which was by far the biggest robbery, they made in the 4-team playoff. They most likely would have lost but it was the one time they would have been in the hunt and now they are the only undefeated team in the CFP all time haha

    • @Ingavi
      @Ingavi День тому

      - SMU Mustangs' Quarterback Kevin Jenkins was going to destroy PSU, how did that end? A nightmare for Jenkins! Jennings finished the first half 9-of-19 for 77 yards and three interceptions and a commanding 28-0 lead into the intermission.
      - Boise State Broncos' Running Back Ashton Jeanty was supposedly going to score TDs and run 40+ yards, and blah, blah, blah, how did that false narrative end for Jeanty? Jeanty rushed for 104 yards on 30 carries in the College Football Playoff quarterfinal game - just 3.5 yards per run -.
      - Too much disrespect for PSU players and Coach Franklin.

    • @mattobrien6053
      @mattobrien6053 День тому +1

      Yep, Franklin reminds me of Brian Kelly. Smug, can't win big games, complains, arrogant, not likeable, etc

    • @markgallagher3962
      @markgallagher3962 День тому

      @mattobrien6053 parents like him a little bit

  • @brettk9316
    @brettk9316 День тому +3

    How is ND gonna score? Not to be a jerk but seriously?

    • @NYCYardie
      @NYCYardie День тому +2

      Honestly speaking, the same question could be asked of Penn State.

    • @ryany9399
      @ryany9399 День тому +1

      Georgia had 3 top 12 draft picks on defense. PSU is not Georgia regardless of what defense rankings say. If Georgia played PSU or Notre Dame schedule. They'd be top 5-10 easily.

    • @jonknestrick5219
      @jonknestrick5219 День тому

      ​​@@ryany9399man, I have ties to UGA football. I'll tell you UGA sucked this year. You're in for a shock after playing all that ACC "football".

    • @Ingavi
      @Ingavi День тому +1

      PSU need to be extra cautious with ND's Specials Teams.

    • @gbaby1372
      @gbaby1372 День тому +1

      UGA fans asked the same question 🤷🏿‍♂️

  • @psuinstl
    @psuinstl День тому +1

    “Penn State, they don’t do well from behind.”
    Actually, they’ve been behind quite a bit. They had furious comebacks against USC, Oregon.

    • @Ingavi
      @Ingavi День тому +1

      Quite the contrary, they have the ability to punch back. Against Oregon, PSU was a totally resilient team!

  • @gbaby1372
    @gbaby1372 День тому +2

    If ND wins the toss and ND differs i promise you it may be a bad day for Penn State if ND scores first.

    • @Jay-pd9kc
      @Jay-pd9kc День тому

      I was just thinking that. The toss is crucial

  • @RSeaker
    @RSeaker День тому

    Each play call must be made that maximizes reaching the intended objective with the least amount of risk. Do not try to "wow" when it's 3rd and one. Maybe line up for a tush push, but quickly send a player in motion, or get Warren to pole vault with the ball, etc. No double reverse passes. Effective, low risk variations only

  • @mattobrien6053
    @mattobrien6053 День тому

    4:08 Cross had cramps and came back. Watts wasn't injured? I didn't see or hear any of that. He did miss one play due to his shoe coming off.

  • @badcomike
    @badcomike День тому +1

    That just shows how good NDs defense is

  • @royanderson3478
    @royanderson3478 День тому +2

    I like 👍 PSU personally and always root for them, but ND fighting 💪 Irish 🍀 I've noticed play fast defense. Looking back on previous natty 🏆 they look similar 😄. PSU better be ready

  • @guildguitars6349
    @guildguitars6349 День тому +1

    Go figure a Penn State fan would consider his team the favorite. 😂
    You do understand the odds are set based on the bets that are being placed, right?

  • @kenbecker8410
    @kenbecker8410 День тому +1

    ND is the next man up team this year! ND hasn’t had a problem scoring all year pal!

  • @fbharris67
    @fbharris67 День тому +7

    As an unspoiled Illinois fan who roots for all Big Ten teams in non conference games, (especially games against SEC and Notre Dame), I am begging PSU to force ND fans to STFU. And then beat Ohio State because their fans are the most obnoxious in our conference. Drunk ND fans don't seem to realize that 61% of their points resulted from two quickflash TDs and that it is unlikely that they can replicate this. They have forgotten that Georgia had a backup QB (a really talented backup, but inexperienced just the same).

    • @ThereWentTheIrish
      @ThereWentTheIrish День тому +1

      Unlikely they can replicate it??? They've won 12 in a row, all but a couple by double digits. They aren't winning by accident. Imagine if PSU had to play IU then Georgia. They'd be out 😅😅😅 you PSU fans are absolutely delusional! ND about to beat you with more than 25% of their starters out with injury then you can stop babbling nonsense. Not only will you have to beat the players, you'll have to beat the coaches and that just isn't happen. Franklin beats himself 9/10 times, Freeman coaches to win and has a far superior OC/DC/STC trio. You got IUs leftovers.

    • @fbharris67
      @fbharris67 День тому +1

      @@ThereWentTheIrish You must be drinking the Silly Excuses Conference Kool Aid or Irish Whiskey because you are winning hypothetical matchups, an SEC pastime. ND beat Georgia fair and square. Their defense was really impressive. Just the same, Georgia did have a talented (but inexperienced QB). You got me on the points replication. I fully expect PSU to give up 7 on a KO return and Allar will fumble on his own 10 yard line near the end of the first half. But PSU has a secret weapon. They are sneaking 7 players from Northern Illinois through a little know transfer portal loophole.

    • @ThereWentTheIrish
      @ThereWentTheIrish День тому

      @fbharris67 everything I said was fact. Make a real argument

    • @fbharris67
      @fbharris67 День тому +1

      @@ThereWentTheIrish Don't get upset over a little bit of Northern Illinois transfer portal satire. It is obvious that you are very emotional. I am not a Penn State fan, and offered reasonable ideas about the relative strengths and weaknesses of this game. I tend to agree that ND head coach seems to have the secret sauce. Sometimes I scratch my head watching PSU. I remember watching my beloved Illini and wondering "how is Illinois in this game when PSU is obviously vastly superior in the trenches?" Yes, I think that PSU shoots itself in the foot sometimes with poor offensive play calling. That being said, both SMU and BSU are still pretty good teams. Try to look at this game objectively. Imagine how ND would have done with PSU's schedule and vice versa. And I am not trying to be funny about this. If I were a sober ND fan, I would be deeply concerned about scoring points on PSU. ND does not have OSU or Oregon's offense. And after subtracting the two TDs against Georgia, ND really didn't show much offense.

    • @MrRyanZellmer
      @MrRyanZellmer День тому

      Texas a&m had no turnovers against the Irish

  • @stephenmoist623
    @stephenmoist623 2 дні тому +5

    PSU is the Better team !!!!

    • @delby66
      @delby66 День тому

      Not a chance, especially on defense.

  • @michaelmorris6406
    @michaelmorris6406 День тому

    I don't know if you know this but Brian's a big time Notre Dame fan. It's going to be a fun game. Everybody seems to underestimate Notre Dame. They say they can't do this. They can't do that. They just seem to win. Good luck Penn State. Go Irish 🍀

  • @PichiMaude
    @PichiMaude День тому

    Thanks for sharing such valuable information! A bit off-topic, but I wanted to ask: I have a SafePal wallet with USDT, and I have the seed phrase. (alarm fetch churn bridge exercise tape speak race clerk couch crater letter). How should I go about transferring them to Binance?

  • @moedean3342
    @moedean3342 День тому

    Penn St. biggest win was against who? Illinois? Get ready for a close game that will feel like Penn St. was never in it.

  • @Rickydemp2
    @Rickydemp2 День тому

    Drew Allard doesn’t turn the ball over a lot, but when he does, he turns it over in the big games, the games where his team needs him to show up. I saw him turn the ball over two times in the USC game, and I think it was the Ohio State game, and then he also turned it over in the Oregon game. I’ll be honest: Notre Dame‘s defense is probably better than that of Organs and USC combined. I wouldn’t say they’re better than Ohio states, but it takes a lot of confidence in them. I haven’t seen Aller come up in the big moment. He always plays from behind in the big games.

  • @johnlane3640
    @johnlane3640 2 дні тому +5

    I STARTING COLLEGE PENN STATE 1971 MEDIA BEING HATERS AT LEAST THAT LONG

  • @Unclenedi
    @Unclenedi День тому

    I think if Carter and Reed are fine, and Allar doesn’t have a meltdown, we have a slight edge. It either if them is out, or if they get to Allar early, we might be cooked 🤷‍♂️

  • @denbo74
    @denbo74 День тому

    Vegas is likely factoring in Franklins record against equivalent competition…which is abysmal

  • @maya_coqsalonga
    @maya_coqsalonga День тому

    What hasn't been mentioned is the PSU kicker Ryan Barker Every kick is down the middle. He's been great and I don't remember him missing a kick since he became the starter. 82% overall, 100% under 40 yards. 45 of 46 xtp.

    • @maya_coqsalonga
      @maya_coqsalonga День тому

      With the game predicted to be tight and fairly low scoring the kickers can win or lose this game.

  • @dannysavagedraftguru
    @dannysavagedraftguru 2 дні тому +1

    Abdul Carter going pull his Hyman warm ups and not go these lines don’t make sense.

    • @AV24274
      @AV24274 День тому +1

      Speaking of not making sense, did you read your comment? Speak english

  • @LockedOnBIG10
    @LockedOnBIG10 17 годин тому

    Totally agree. Penn State has more weapons on both sides of the ball.

  • @B1Gspirit
    @B1Gspirit День тому +1

    I cannot wait for this game.

  • @jonathanrolon7457
    @jonathanrolon7457 День тому +2

    Riley Leonard won the “Air it out” challenge at the Manning Passing Camp. He has proven that he can throw a good ball. I would understand if Riley had a ton of TOs but 3 of his interceptions were on tipped balls. ND has a VERY efficient passing game it just isn’t explosive and that is because protecting the football is their #1 priority on offense. They are not willing to risk a TO and would rather punt than push the ball on 3rd and long. If you watched every ND football game you can see that because we are elite in Special Teams and D we can afford to take less risks on offense.

  • @AllHandlesHaveBeenTaken
    @AllHandlesHaveBeenTaken День тому

    The odds makers took into account Carters injury

  • @gbaby1372
    @gbaby1372 День тому +1

    Do folks know there are alternative spreads 🤔

  • @jarezbear9502
    @jarezbear9502 День тому

    As a Notre Dame fan I agree that you should be favored. Considering that Notre Dame is the most injured team in the playoffs. I just don't see how the depth can hold for another physical game which is what this will be. I am confident in my Irish but we will see.🍀🍀🍀🍀

  • @Gab-cu3oi
    @Gab-cu3oi День тому +2

    Penn State barely beat USC. ND always led in that football game against USC. Penn State came back and won that game. I don’t see Penn St beating ND even with all the third stringers ND has on offense and defense. I didn’t think ND had that much depth and make it this far. It’s pretty awesome. Penn State is a good team. But I don’t think their coaching helps them. PSU has really good players. Especially 44. He’s a beast. But ND is going to win this game by at least 2 scores. I love that it’s the old school teams playing. ND vs PSU. Hope it’s a great game. I’d prefer ND to be the underdog. Cuz ND has been slept on by a lot of folks

    • @ScarletGray-o3j
      @ScarletGray-o3j День тому

      When the bracket came out my prediction was:
      Ohio State defeating Notre Dame in the CFP National Championship Game.

  • @berniecoderre3935
    @berniecoderre3935 День тому +3

    Penn State hasn't beat a team as good as Georgia or Indiana yet! The Irish beat the crap out of Georgia without it's entire starting dline!

    • @brettk9316
      @brettk9316 День тому +3

      And lost to NIU :) Hard beating down year SEC teams with back up QBs in I guess? Indiana beat no one themselves. But keep thinking that lol. Give me PSU 24 ND 17.

    • @Hockeywizard5577
      @Hockeywizard5577 День тому +1

      Indiana is SMU tier tbh. Both were transfer portal teams from the G5

    • @keithrockey8652
      @keithrockey8652 День тому

      Ummmmmm, penn state beat indiana . . . See schedule oct 28 . . . Duh

    • @NYCYardie
      @NYCYardie День тому

      @@keithrockey8652huh??????

    • @NYCYardie
      @NYCYardie День тому +2

      @@keithrockey8652not in this dimension. Indiana has two losses, one to the Irish, and the other to OSU.

  • @SavageWorkouts
    @SavageWorkouts День тому

    The biggest factor for Penn State to be favored? That confirmation bias that has you high out of your mind

  • @BartcoRacing
    @BartcoRacing День тому +1

    Penn state fans are so easily offended ….lol.

  • @mattobrien6053
    @mattobrien6053 День тому +2

    20:54 if you struggled against Boise, let me introduce you to Al Golden

    • @antwha5526
      @antwha5526 День тому

      Al Golden was almost picked as HC after BOB. We took Franklin instead. IMO big mistake.

  •  День тому

    ND's QB was pretty impressive vs GA but I doubt he'll be able to pull than off vs PSU's defense. We'll see if Carter is a go. I imagine he sits the firstr series to see if the defense is going to have any problems without him. I think this game is a "no play" vs the Vegas line but PSU +500 to win everyhting is definitely a bet every PSU fan should make. $55 bux upfront pays $250...someone tell me why to heyell not make that bet. Oh, because OSU is a "lock" to win it all. Good point.

  • @garystevenson6582
    @garystevenson6582 День тому

    You think you know more than Vegas? Vegas doesn’t have feelings. Vegas has this game basically a toss up. Most people who don’t care who wins either way are favoring ND also. This ND defense is the best in the country & thats without arguably their 4 best players on defense. It’s crazy they haven’t taken a step back with all those injuries

  • @GT05578
    @GT05578 День тому

    Amazing that Penn state got handed this easy path to the semis for losing every big game this season. How can you be rewarded an easy path for losing to OSU and Oregon? Makes no sense

  • @jetsteeltherealdeal7827
    @jetsteeltherealdeal7827 День тому +2

    My random spinning wheel app said 49-0 Penn st…sounds about right lol😅 I’m not a fan of either team,I just like college football

  • @antwha5526
    @antwha5526 День тому

    3-19 vs. top ten
    1-13 vs. top five
    That alone should make PSU at least a 5:1 underdog moneyline and
    +4.5 on the point spread.
    Plus, we have been playing sloppy undisciplined (over celebrating, first down arrow, Unsportamanlike, holding).

    • @LockedOnNittanyLions
      @LockedOnNittanyLions  День тому

      How Penn State played against a top 5 team in 2019 has no impact on how they play a team in the Orange Bowl in 2025.

  • @SonNguyen-mk2wq
    @SonNguyen-mk2wq День тому +1

    Ah, I see what you're doing here. Yes, Penn State should win by 20. This isn't a good test for Franklin. He should win this game.

    • @mattobrien6053
      @mattobrien6053 День тому +1

      Way off. ND is far better than PSU.

    • @SonNguyen-mk2wq
      @SonNguyen-mk2wq День тому

      @mattobrien6053 kinda missed the whole joke on Franklin didn't ya?

  • @mattobrien6053
    @mattobrien6053 День тому

    25:27 ND's passing attack relies on short efficient throws. ND doesn't drop back for 5 seconds because they aren't good in pass pro. ND knows this and is one of the best teams in term of low sack rate.

    • @delby66
      @delby66 День тому

      Plus they take care of the ball. Don't give away too many turnovers. The opposite goes for their defense. They create a lot of turnovers and they were the best team in the country at scoring points from them.

  • @1776PatriotYourDuty
    @1776PatriotYourDuty День тому

    People don’t realize how good this ND team is; even with all the injuries (& it’s a lot) they have great depth & a next man up mentality; they were the more physical team against UGA especially on the defensive side of the ball - which never happens; ND should be the favorite; could either team win? Yes! But I wouldn’t count on it if I was a PSU fan…

  • @mikesul16
    @mikesul16 День тому

    Until Penn State beats a real team, I don’t believe it for a second. Franklin always takes a dump in his shorts when it counts. My guess is ND beats the breaks off Penn State.

  • @Jon-PaulPelegreen
    @Jon-PaulPelegreen День тому +2

    Notre Dame is going to win this game. They are the more physical team on both sides of the ball. They dont always play pretty, but they find ways to win. More importantly, the Fighting Irish have covered the spread in 10 consecutive games.

  • @michaelorberg3041
    @michaelorberg3041 День тому

    Should be a good game. PSU can't make stupid mistakes, turn the ball over, Abdul Carter must play.

  • @joe-hl9rl
    @joe-hl9rl День тому

    It'll be a good game, I'm and Irish fan and I hope you're wrong. Either way good luck!

  • @scottstephenson9404
    @scottstephenson9404 День тому

    We both played usc . These teams are close. The question will really be is it the stars of the show in blue and white or the quiet team first do your part mentality in navy and gold. Im excited to see this one . WE ARE

  • @stephenmoist623
    @stephenmoist623 День тому +2

    Carters replacement played Great. VANOVER is a Great DE !!!!

  • @Maddog2020RH
    @Maddog2020RH День тому

    As far as I’m concerned these two teams are about even. It will come down to whoever makes less mistakes

  • @shyguyms
    @shyguyms День тому

    ND By 14... Penn State hasn't beaten a good team all season and Franklin has NEVER won a big game

  • @ryansheard8092
    @ryansheard8092 День тому

    These are fairly evenly matched teams. If PSU can force Leonard to throw, it'll favor the Nittany Lions. This should be a defensive battle that will be one or lost in the 4th qtr.

    • @delby66
      @delby66 День тому

      PSU better watch Faison because he's for real. A clutch catch and run receiver. Makes a lot of yards out of nothing.

  • @NYCYardie
    @NYCYardie День тому

    Saying the odds are wrong is like saying people should like apples more than oranges (or vice versa). The odds are determined by who people feel is better, and that’s a totally subjective matter. You can’t be mad at people because they don’t like your team.

    • @ryansheard8092
      @ryansheard8092 День тому

      Vegas doesn't set the point spread based on who ppl think is better. They set the line based on a ton of factors, but it's really about how they think they can make $.

    • @NYCYardie
      @NYCYardie День тому

      @@ryansheard8092 which all boils down to who Vegas believes the collective sentiment has settled on as the likely winner. People don’t usually think the worse team will win.

    • @douglaserb1
      @douglaserb1 День тому +1

      ​@@ryansheard8092opening line is set based on mathematical models and probability of winning. The line moves from there based on action. Opening up as a 1.5 in a neutral field is close to pick em, however Vegas line makers favor ND slightly.

  • @timelkin838
    @timelkin838 День тому +1

    I think Penn State has better WR than what it looks like on paper. Sometimes they look not quite elite but solid. ND will wear PSU down with that running game and will win the TO. PSU will need Warren in this game but if are better from behind than ND. ND has less of a chance to win a final drive than PSU does because Allar can make NFL arm when they need it most.

    • @mattobrien6053
      @mattobrien6053 День тому

      I dare Allar to throw risky balls against ND. Best pass defense in the nation. Al Golden is a genius.

    • @travis88cards
      @travis88cards День тому

      LMAO 🤡🤡🤡

    • @ScarletGray-o3j
      @ScarletGray-o3j День тому

      Ohio State has a better defense than Notre Dame.
      Ohio State gave up 10.9 ppg this regular season. The only team to give up 11 or less in regular season is Ohio State.
      Notre Dame has the second best defense.

    • @mattobrien6053
      @mattobrien6053 День тому

      @@ScarletGray-o3j I'm talking opponent adjusted stats, like ypc rush, pass completion %, and pass ypc, sack rate, int rate. Are you still playing with raw stats? Tell me, does Indiana have the best rush defense in the nation?

    • @timelkin838
      @timelkin838 День тому

      @mattobrien6053 I'm not denying that although I am sure that could be argued but I think it's a fair statement. I do think Warren is simply someone you can't guard with 1 guy. A great TE has become the weapon of yesterday's future. How can you guard a guy 3 inches taller than the taller CB at 6'2 and with a 25-inch vertical that is 60 pounds bigger and has the hands of an NFL WR. Allar just needs to put in 1 on 1 with in as he's done in an area where only Warren can catch it. I don't see how this is anything but obvious as he's the best offense weapon in this game on either side. Allar can make great throws and is pretty good at taking sacks overthrowing the risky ball. ND will probably pick him off at least once and get a forced fumble. I think the WR group can make get open when ND brings the pressure. ND will get some sacks doing so. I am just pointing out the obvious. What do you do if you are PSU? ND is really good, but every team has shown they are capable of losing and that's how it should be. I think CF is more exciting than ever before especially for ND and PSU who have very similar histories and programs. Before 1993 I believe PSU was independent right next to ND and won 2 national champs in the 80's. How can you not love both of these programs or at least respect them as a fan.

  • @aDistraction-ls4up
    @aDistraction-ls4up День тому

    Notre Dame was 3rd in points per game but you’re suggesting Notre Dame can’t play in a shootout because of….yards per pass?! Got it
    PS- I’m sorry to sound disrespectful. I’m still hungover from dealing with Georgia fans. They’re literally the worst!

  • @erskine68
    @erskine68 День тому

    Penn State is between a USC and Oregon… not real impressive. They definitely have a shortfall in their tackling vs Notre Dame.

  • @BC-lp3sv
    @BC-lp3sv День тому

    Denbrock will have some new wrinkles if necessary - you haven’t seen it all

  • @douglaserb1
    @douglaserb1 День тому +1

    Notre Dame fan here. Ohio State is going to brutalize every team left. This game is a pick em.

  • @Zinter1984
    @Zinter1984 День тому

    ND isn't great, but PSU isn't either and won't be favorites in these games until they show they can win games like these.

  • @Redbirdsfan1970
    @Redbirdsfan1970 День тому +1

    You guys got your defense ranks wrong. PSU is 6th and 8th against the run. ND is 8th and 33rd respectively.

  • @davejohn255
    @davejohn255 День тому

    The important thing is what is the line for the Eagles Packers game.😀 Go PSU.

  • @MrRyanZellmer
    @MrRyanZellmer День тому

    Texas a&m has no turnovers against the Irish

  • @MrRyanZellmer
    @MrRyanZellmer День тому

    Nd has 3 tyler Warren’s. In love, price, and Leonard

  • @samangeles1846
    @samangeles1846 День тому

    Oh Zach. You give PennSt too much credit on defense. PennSt will be exposed as being over rated. PennSt’s defense is very good vs the pass. They will struggle with a OL like Notre Dame that will punch them in the face. Abdul Carter is 245 pounds, let’s see if he is aggressive enough to play a tough OL

  • @hisuiangengar8169
    @hisuiangengar8169 День тому

    Does it really matter? It’s essentially a pickem

  • @jeffcoup6686
    @jeffcoup6686 День тому

    Regardless of what that guy thinks below…WE ARE PENN STATE…WE ARE ‘UNRIVALED’!

    • @shyguyms
      @shyguyms День тому

      yeah maybe they will bring Jerry in the locker
      room before the game to get the boys ready

  • @timelkin838
    @timelkin838 День тому

    It's nearly the same teams but Penn State has Warren who makes Penn State slight favorites, but this is like a 53% to 47% kind of game. It might be a 60/40 at best. If Vegas didn't take a rake this would be profitable by picking Penn State. Not hard to find a passionate Notre Dame fan to give you 3.5 points and if you live in Indiana, you'll find just like with any fanbase the fools who will give you 19 points in a game like this. I once lost a Vegas -4 Spead and getting a fan to give me 28.5 points then losing by half a point and that fan finally learned how betting works like in poker where outcomes are about plus and neg EV yet look absolute after the fact. This will be a 1 score final most likely and low scoring. 23-24 Penn State.

    • @gbaby1372
      @gbaby1372 День тому

      I don't know man one point is hard I don't really see a scenario which will come in between 2 pts. If it comes down to a last pt thing then I think it may be at least a FG lead

  • @ummagumma7826
    @ummagumma7826 День тому

    PSU has played tougher opponents than Notre Dame has played but they haven’t won those games

    • @IamTenzinIamthesonofAang
      @IamTenzinIamthesonofAang День тому

      WVU, Bowling Green, Kent State, and Purdue are just sooooooo hard 😜

    • @ummagumma7826
      @ummagumma7826 День тому

      @ I was thinking Ohio st and Oregon

    • @IamTenzinIamthesonofAang
      @IamTenzinIamthesonofAang День тому

      @@ummagumma7826 I know. Being contrary. But they did play UGA and TAMU… Remember! SEC IS THE MOSTEST ABSOLUTEST BESTEST EVER CONFERENCE

  • @travis88cards
    @travis88cards День тому +4

    LMAO who has Penn state beaten all season? And look at common opponents 😂😂😂

    • @ScarletGray-o3j
      @ScarletGray-o3j День тому

      Getting that 6 over Ohio State was the biggest joke I have ever seen…
      Trash PSU Fans tried telling me that Oregon would smoke us in the Rose Bowl.

  • @Urfeelingsdontmatter
    @Urfeelingsdontmatter День тому

    And yet they arent. Either vegas knows better than you…or nevermind, vegas knows better than you

  • @ryany9399
    @ryany9399 День тому

    This whole how is Notre Dame gonna score is crazy. Georgia had 3 top 12 draft pick on that defense. If Georgia played PSU or Notre Dame schedule they'd easily be top 5-10 in rankings on defense. And whoever that bald guy was. He's obviously a casual and has no idea what he's taking about when it comes to Notre Dame

    • @mattobrien6053
      @mattobrien6053 День тому +1

      Didn't need to once up 20 to 3. ND played keep away in the second half limiting possessions. You know, smart football coaching...

  • @MTLUVR
    @MTLUVR День тому

    ND's will is too good in all three phases; they will wear Penn down and cause turnovers. Tight game. ND gets the win.

  • @JFT6967
    @JFT6967 День тому

    You’ll always know the Locked on Nittany Lions will always be Penn State bias. Lol! May the better defence win. Lol