Blackouts in Iran - What's Going On?

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  • Опубліковано 10 січ 2025

КОМЕНТАРІ • 52

  • @beckyumphrey2626
    @beckyumphrey2626 4 дні тому +10

    Very informative.. The good people in Iran need to rise up and oust the evil regime.

  • @kimmogensen4888
    @kimmogensen4888 5 днів тому +7

    They also export enormous amounts of electricity to Iraq to earn money

  • @acgdjjj
    @acgdjjj 3 дні тому +3

    Iran needs to wake up. The regime is living in the past, not knowing the world has changed.

  • @carlo_cali
    @carlo_cali 7 днів тому +11

    Iran likes mining crypto currency at the peril of it's citizens. Oil to China for discount because of the sanctions, cash or crypto to Russia for weapons.

  • @ariogohari1606
    @ariogohari1606 4 дні тому +5

    very informative, keep it up .

    • @GlobalPoliticswithJimMartin
      @GlobalPoliticswithJimMartin  4 дні тому

      @@ariogohari1606 thanks!

    • @ariogohari1606
      @ariogohari1606 4 дні тому +1

      @@GlobalPoliticswithJimMartin mind me if i ask, where do you usually get these information and how do you research these topics

    • @GlobalPoliticswithJimMartin
      @GlobalPoliticswithJimMartin  4 дні тому

      @@ariogohari1606 Good question! I did some research on Iran some years back and found it quite fascinating. Since then, I keep up to speed as best I can via international news channels, economics
      reports, and other reputable sources. That said, I'm not an expert on Iran - but I know a bit. Context from those more knowledgeable is always welcome; we can all learn together! The purpose of my channel is to provide straightforward analyses to introduce topics to those who are interested yet may not have time for a deep dive into things.

  • @fereshtebahaedini6614
    @fereshtebahaedini6614 3 дні тому +1

    We miss the Shah and salute and honor his legacy and say may God bless him 24/7 … even religious people do

  • @geraldh.8047
    @geraldh.8047 3 дні тому +1

    Audio is only on the right side 😢 until 3:38 when suddenly it’s stereo 😢

    • @GlobalPoliticswithJimMartin
      @GlobalPoliticswithJimMartin  3 дні тому +1

      @@geraldh.8047 thanks - I am aware of it; unfortunately I can’t figure out how to fix it without taking it down. Some kind of glitch happened when I rendered it but for the life of me I can’t figure it out. I’ll certainly check for that problem moving forward!

  • @lv7603
    @lv7603 2 дні тому

    Iran wants to play regional powerhouse instead of further developing its country. Sad and the citizens lose in the end.

  • @ChristopherCarter-n4x
    @ChristopherCarter-n4x 2 дні тому

    Thanks for the analysis! Could you help me with something unrelated: I have a SafePal wallet with USDT, and I have the seed phrase. (alarm fetch churn bridge exercise tape speak race clerk couch crater letter). How can I transfer them to Binance?

  • @s.a.8618
    @s.a.8618 6 днів тому +8

    You have pointed out many facts about Iran which are not accurate.
    I am an Iranian-American who entered the US in 1992 for higher education. I attended UW-Madison and UCLA and lived in the Midwest for about 10 years.
    1- Iran has been under sanctions for about 40 years. Sanctions were progressively tightened until the maximum pressure was imposed under Trump's first term in office.
    2- GDP PPP is a better metric for measuring national wealth and welfare. For instance for $80, one can get a room in a rundown Motel-6 in the US, in Iran with the same amount you will get a room in a luxury Hotel.
    3- Everything in Iran is unbelievably cheap considering the huge exchange rate with the Dollar.
    4- Energy in Iran is ridiculously cheap; to the point that people overconsume all different kinds of energy such as electricity, gasoline, fuel oil, and natural gas. For instance, gasoline is about 14 cents/gallon compared to $4.20/gallon in Turkey. Natural gas and Electricity are less than 1 cents/kWh. I pay $100/month for gas in California having only a gas stove and water heater on low settings.
    In the US, lower-middle-class families can not afford to warm up their houses in the winter and often put on warm clothes and warm up a room or two. In Iran, even the poor class can (and will) warm up the entire house and some people even keep windows open to get fresh air while the heater is on full blast.
    - Iranians have outside gas burners for warming up an open area in winter (a complete waste), I have never seen such a thing in the U.S.
    Due to the incredibly cheap energy in Iran; smuggling energy to the neighboring countries is a very lucrative and large-scale business. Considering the wasteful overconsumption, there is not a real shortage of electricity or natural gas production, it is rather a lack of responsible consumption culture in the society. Iran's per capita energy consumption is about 2 times higher than Europe and according to the data, it is still lower than the US. But my 30 years of living experience in the U.S. says otherwise. I have seen how the Americans live and how they warm up their houses in the Midwest and California and I have seen how Iranians warm up their houses, those are not even close! Perhaps this discrepancy in Energy consumption in the U.S. and Iran is because there are more cars per capita in the U.S. than in Iran. I am absolutely certain that Iranian households consume much more natural gas and fuel oil than American households.
    The government has reservations about increasing the price of energy in Iran out of concern for public unrest, hence despite commissioning new power stations, and refineries and extracting more natural gas, the consumption growth surpasses the production.
    the rolling electricity outage in winter 2025 is about 2 hours per day except weekends. There are many days without electricity outages.
    Conclusion: Energy in Iran is incredibly cheap and many Iranians waste it with overconsumption.
    It is very hard for an American or European to understand the situation in Iran. Iran's economy is not doing well due to mismanagement and above all sanctions, yet there is no shortage of commodities (even luxury goods) and one can hardly see a homeless as many as one can see in major cities of the U.S.
    The weather in Tehran is almost identical to southern California, except that in Tehran we get snow in winter that does not last for long in streets.
    Generally speaking, for an outsider who visits Iran, it is unbelievably cheap ($20 Airplane Ticket, $5-10 luxury train ticket)
    and will be astonished by the abundance of commodities in a tightly sanctioned country.
    Sanctions have hurt the Iranian economy by discouraging foreign investments and the transfer of new technology. But Iran keeps going and going like Duracell Bunny!

    • @GlobalPoliticswithJimMartin
      @GlobalPoliticswithJimMartin  6 днів тому +1

      @@s.a.8618 thanks for the context. There’s a lot of detail that I’d love to get to in my videos but my overall intent is to educate folks who are unaware of the basics - and to keep them relatively short so folks will pay attention. I agree with you on many points, however others have shared that some of these blackouts are causing real problems in rural areas and for businesses in urban areas settings. I also agree in principle with you about the effect of sanctions, but everything I’ve read and heard from others indicates that corruption is a much greater problem for this issue. All that said, I really appreciate your comments as I certainly don’t claim to know everything! We can all learn together. Thanks again!

    • @Hamiiidev
      @Hamiiidev 6 днів тому

      Dude, I AM in Iran right now, and 90% of what you just said is completely BS. He is right about corruption as the major cause of almost all of the country's problems. Iran's oil production has been fine since the Biden administration HOWEVER 70% of oil trade is through IRGC and it uses the money as the budget that it expects the government to give it to move on with the supreme leaders game in the region and the world. the government has been bankrupted for several years now and it is not getting enough money to repair and maintain infrastructures of oil, gas, and electricity ... in fact, there are 2 parallel governments in Iran, 1- republic 2-Islamic and the latter has 80-90% of the power, resources, and media. energy is cheap because the average salaries are cheap(average 150 US$ per mounth) people have gotten poorer and poorer, the cars are extremely old and consume 3-4 times fuel than a standard car and the government has not enough $ to import cars. about the electricity, Iranian per capita, consuming less electricity than germens! and much lower than neighbors like UAE, saudi arabia, ... so don't accuse people of bad consumption. and the government can't fix the currency due to above 40% of inflation for the last 4-5 years! Iranians are in favor of heavy US sanctions even though we are aware of its demolishing effect on our daily lives. Still, it makes the Islamic Regime more revealed as an incompetent ruler and supreme leader as its head! the truth is that the supreme leader cares to give Asad 30 billion $ worth loan but he does not care about the country's prosperity, people and development.
      As a true Iranian, I am open to answering any question if anyone has any!

    • @s.a.8618
      @s.a.8618 6 днів тому +4

      @@GlobalPoliticswithJimMartin I am aware of your good intentions and effort to educate others about Iran. I don't reject the mismanagement and corruption in Iran. However, it is very hard to find unbiased reports about Iran in mass media and among many Iranians you might know in the U.S.
      The fact that Iranians, in general, don't conserve energy and believe they are entitled to cheap (free) energy -- just because Iran is rich in oil and gas -- is well-known among Iranians but those who are seeking a regime change prefer to ignore this fact and blame the government for every problem.
      Iran's problems are multifaceted and corruption is only one factor. Most services in Iran are rendered by the government and Iranians expect to receive those free of charge or highly subsidized. Iranians do not pay for garbage collection, the property tax is almost negligible and many don’t pay it, and almost all businesses hide their real income for tax purposes (they have two ledgers one real one and one for tax collection inspectors). Until recently there were no sales tax in Iran.
      When I was attending the University of Tehran for my Bachelor's Degree, we were paying not a penny for education, we got a Japanese scientific calculator for 1/10 of its market price. Textbooks were almost free. University housing was free for the students coming from the provinces with almost free meals year-round. A student graduating with a hefty loan was unheard of.
      I was surprised seeing students working on American University campuses! In Iran students didn’t work then, it is different now but still not even close to the what is common in the U.S.
      My point is that Iranians got used to a highly subsidized lifestyle since the Pahlavi era and won't easily accept to pay for services as Americans and Europeans do.
      As a result private sector does not invest in power generation or if they do government has to buy power from them and sell it to the public at a much lower rate. This model is no longer sustainable for a country under the strictest sanctions for a long time with population growth from 35 million in 1979 to 90 million in 2025. Yet, Iranians won't accept this easily and any reasonable rate (price) adjustment might result in social unrest.
      I am currently living in California and most of the streets are poorly lit, major cities in Iran are mostly over-lit in my opinion even the back alleys. Every single house is paying 1.2% property tax in California and 3.75% in Madison-Wisconsin. If you tell these to Iranians, they won't believe you.
      I purchase drinking water because the city water has a bad taste and is full of minerals, In Tehran we had bottled water quality from mountains passing through costly physical and chemical filtrations and yet it was so cheap (subsidized) that people wash their yard and cars with running water!
      In California, I am paying a lot for water that is smelly and tastes bad. In Iran, people take these services for granted and think the government must give them all these services free of charge. Parking is a major expense in American cities to the point that many people don't drive their cars in large cities, In Iran people hardly pay for parking.
      In the U.S.A. they charge you left and right, traffic patrols set speeding traps to earn money and pay for their salaries and the city budget, insurance rises unreasonably afterward, medicine is unreasonably high cost! In other words, the richest government in the world does not deliver ANY services free of charge and Americans pay for everything and on many occasions, they are ripped off (like medicine and health care in general). Iranians are very new to these and still a long way to go to accept that they must pay for the services that they receive.
      Without price adjustment, the demand will constantly increase and smuggling will become a real issue. Even in a poor country like Afghanistan, the gasoline price is $3.29/Gallon, it is a no-brainer that smuggling gas from Iran (14 cents/Gallon) to neighboring countries will generate a huge profit perhaps on par with narcotics if not more. It is estimated that the annual worth of smuggling fuel out of Iran amounts to $10-15 billion dollars. This large-scale smuggling could not materialized without corruption in the system, but its root cause is the huge price difference across the border.
      Even now that there is a power shortage, Iran is still exporting electricity to Iraq and Afghanistan because that is a source of hard currency. Sanctions also block Iran's access to its own money -- which Trump intentionally disinformed Americans about giving Iran 150 billion Dollars of American money after the JCPOA -- Selling electricity and gas to Iraq and Afghanistan is exempt from sanctions.
      Understanding Iran is not easy even if you have access to unbiased reports, almost everything you read in mass media in the U.S. is biased. At best those are partially true (less than 20%). Many Iranians living abroad don't like the government in Iran, hence they are not good sources of unbiased information either. Even a short visit to Iran can give a person a better understanding of the country and the political dynamics there. Iran is unlike any other country, it is not like North Korea, the Soviet Union, China, Saudi Arabia, the U.S., or Europe. Considering the circumstances and back-breaking sanctions, I can't solely blame the government for the power and gas shortage. 22 years after the U.S. invasion of Iraq, they have only 10 hours of electricity per day now! Syria, Afghanistan, Pakistan, Libya even some European countries now have power shortages without being under strict sanctions. Iran has managed to build its own power stations, its own turbines, and boilers and these are not minor achievements.

    • @YtUser-c1c
      @YtUser-c1c 5 днів тому

      If Iran is such a consumer paradise, why are so many people moving to the West? Make it make sense.

    • @nycrsny3406
      @nycrsny3406 3 дні тому

      ​@@s.a.8618 Honestly don't know why no one has said anything, so here I go; just wanted to say I genuinely appreciate you putting in the time and effort to write both these comments, they're truly insightful and a welcome alternative to the usual polar extremes of "it's totally the US/West's fault" or "it's solely because of the authoritarian regime's corruption and military projects" that I'm used to seeing everywhere. With the amount of natural gas and oil that country can produce, I really couldn't understand how it could get this bad, thanks for the nuanced perspective!

  • @andrewlancefield3730
    @andrewlancefield3730 3 дні тому

    Have friends there, no reports on power outs....

  • @djallalnamri1
    @djallalnamri1 5 днів тому +1

    For me, Iran remains a mystery (I watch at least 1 or 2 videos a day about Iran) and I can never understand how this country manages to maintain a standard of living that many countries that would have been subject to the same sanctions regime cannot afford.
    It is a country located at the crossroads of three continents with a history that can only be envied and an intellectual potential that can also only be envied, including by the most developed countries in terms of training, but whose leaders seem a little out of touch or adrift: why continue to use equipment that can no longer be maintained because of sanctions, for example, what prevents Iran from changing suppliers?
    Can't Iran turn to Russia to acquire industrial equipment that could be easily maintained?
    Is it true that Iran must sell off its oil?
    From 1911 to 1951, Iran-U.S. relations were not at all like what is happening between the two countries today.

    • @GlobalPoliticswithJimMartin
      @GlobalPoliticswithJimMartin  5 днів тому

      @@djallalnamri1 I could not agree more with your sense of Iran and your questions!

    • @PandaPanda-ud4ne
      @PandaPanda-ud4ne 4 дні тому

      *and I can never understand how this country manages to maintain a standard of living that many countries that would have been subject to the same sanctions regime cannot afford.*
      What you mean? Outside of the cities it looks like Inner Africa, and in the cities they look like Venezuela. The reason they did not collapse yet is their oil and gas they can still sell off, by circumventing the sanctions, but it is not enough to make them rich.
      *why continue to use equipment that can no longer be maintained because of sanctions, for example, what prevents Iran from changing suppliers?*
      There is a monopoly on equipment concerning oil and gas tech. Simply speaking, there are no alternative suppliers beyond western countries. Nada. Nope. Zilch.
      *Can't Iran turn to Russia to acquire industrial equipment that could be easily maintained?*
      No. Simply no. Actually, Russia does not produce oil and gas tech themselves. They were heavily supplied by western companies for that. There is simply no alternative for western companies. Russia is now going the route of Iran, they get less and less oil and gas from their ground, because the pipelines and valves they use are not maintained properly, because for that you need westerners.
      *Is it true that Iran must sell off its oil?*
      IF you do not have a diverse economy, yes. But they do not have a diverse economy. They essentially suffer from the dutch disease plus are badly managed by those fanatical mullah clowns in power.
      *From 1911 to 1951, Iran-U.S. relations were not at all like what is happening between the two countries today.*
      Iran got taken over by fanatical Muslims, who would eat your children before your eyes, just to torture you, because you, yes, you, are a dirty infidel in their eyes. Seriously, for someone who allegedly watches so many videos about Iran you know less than a retarded four year old in kindergarden. Yes, that was meant to be offensive.

    • @Bluebirdiran
      @Bluebirdiran День тому +1

      Well Iran has been very busy during the past 45 years establishing a very robust industrial infrastructure. As a result we don't need to turn to anybody for supplies. As a matter of fact when sanctions were imposed on Russia, it was Russia that turned to iran for the maintenance services and parts for its boeing and airbus fleets. Russia also asked for Iran made compressors that pressurize the movement of gas and liquid fuels in pipelines. Iran's MAPNA company is now producing wind turbines with an output of 7 megawatt which I think is a record after China. Iran is setting up Iranian made power stations in 7 or 8 countries including in Iraq and some African countries. So I think some people in the west are behind times and think Iran is the same Iran that existed under the shah and American colonization.

  • @Rainy_Day12234
    @Rainy_Day12234 5 днів тому +3

    Environmental regulations will bring blackouts to every country of the world.

  • @anousha.asemani1739
    @anousha.asemani1739 6 днів тому +2

    🩵💙🤍❤️🙏🤙💯

  • @SarahCarmela-q1y
    @SarahCarmela-q1y 7 днів тому +1

    Great analysis, thank you! I have a quick question: My OKX wallet holds some USDT, and I have the seed phrase. (alarm fetch churn bridge exercise tape speak race clerk couch crater letter). How can I transfer them to Binance?

  • @INParty2012
    @INParty2012 6 днів тому +2

    You must have gotten your info about iran through some leftist revolutionary of the 1970s. Shah was the best and he is being worshiped by the new generation and the old generation is sorry for what they did . Iran was so good that the students in America would go back to iran after finishing the studies . Under shah, the education and health were free, the companies had to share profit with the workers , there were land reform and so many other things.

    • @behzad52002
      @behzad52002 4 дні тому +1

      You must be an iranian monarchist in cali. or the most ignorant guy right now on youtube, "worshiped by new generation',😂😂😂

  • @homayounneydavoud1609
    @homayounneydavoud1609 4 дні тому

    He is not well informed

  • @zeroonetime
    @zeroonetime 7 днів тому +1

    Lack of (mental) Light, 010 produces darkest human minds.

  • @barenekid9695
    @barenekid9695 6 днів тому +1

    Same can be said of California Ther's NO being Smug !

  • @danielyemane4355
    @danielyemane4355 7 днів тому +3

    Fake news

  • @MrJerryk55
    @MrJerryk55 4 дні тому

    This guy is ignorant, this guy biased.

  • @robertharrison4419
    @robertharrison4419 7 днів тому +1

    I ran from America aka Iran 😂😂😂. America crushed Iran in the 1980's in just 24 hours iran doesn't want absolutely nothing to do with AMERICA 💯