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By 2100 huh? Yeah it would have to be something unrelated to climate change as it will take at the very least several hundred more years for our contributions in CO2 to really leave a dent.
"#6 CO2 Poisoning" Wow... What part of CO2 not being significant enough to cause any detrimental effects over the next 80 years didn't you understand? In 1957 when humans were outputting 2.2 Gigatons of this gas per year. Now as of the estimates for the end of this year (2019 just in case you forgot) we put out roughly 10 gigatons per year. Over the latest 58 years of official data from CDIAC[dot]gov from 1957 (selected because that was the first year Dr. Keeling started recording CO2 concentration levels) to 2014 humans output a grand total of 329 gigatons of CO2 (rounding up to a full gigaton). 58 years and less than 329 gigatons of carbon emissions from all industrial activity... Oh did I forget to mention that is the global figure? Yeah that is the global human impact according to CDIAC. Their records go back to 1751, but we can compare their data with the rising CO2 concentrations since the late '50s against the estimated volume of the atmosphere which is about 5.1 billion km^3. No matter how you run the numbers our impact is insignificant compared to natural sources of carbon emissions. The argument is that any human contributions would make things worse but even without us it appears the CO2 balance was on a rising trend. It is possible that rising CO2 concentrations on Earth could be just one of those potentially billions of great filter scenarios that helps keep the universe devoid of any living things based on the data available. How can I even make such a bold claim as a non-expert? By looking at all the data that shows our contributions didn't increase significantly from 2014 to 2017. Over that short 3 year period CO2 concentrations didn't stop rising... They actually accelerated! Now my personal opinion is that severe wildfire activity helped contribute more CO2 into the air and as an added bonus all the dead biomass can no longer sequester excess emissions, yay! Wait... Well at least there is some potential explanation for the additional rise in concentration levels, well it's a start at least. In 2018 alone an estimated 7,700 km^2 of forests burned JUST IN THE US and many other nations have wildfires. Additionally no estimates are provided for controlled burns and record-keeping there may not be robust (though I haven't checked if anyone officially records controlled burns). It took over 58 years to increase the CO2 concentration level by about 100ppm. The increase levels of CO2 PPMv in our atmosphere from around 300 to 411 (or 412 depending on what source you use) takes an incredible 935 gigatons of the stuff (again rounding up to a full gigaton)! Humans were responsible for 329 gigatons in 58 years and we can just add 50 more for the past 5 years since 2014 (the additional 50 gigatons already being a gross overestimation) making our contribution 379 gigatons. 379/935=40.53% So over the past 62 years of methodical measurements to confirm our carbon dioxide contributions in the atmosphere are causing harm to the environment human emissions are in the minority on aggregate not even figuring in the effects that all the world's carbon sinks have per year into this result. Some recent studies indicate that natures ability to pull CO2 out of the atmosphere is far greater than we previously thought. Up to 75% of the CO2 we emit will be recycled by nature in just a year! Our contributions by those standards or indeed by factoring in any amount of sequestration over a paltry ten percent indicates that natural sources of CO2 are far in excess of human emissions and that they are growing even during years where temperatures dropped and ice in both polar regions didn't fluctuate by huge amounts. All i'm saying is that if about 1 teraton of CO2 over 62 years didn't cause CO2 poisoning another 4 or 5 teratons isn't going to get us to 1000ppmv at least not by 2100 at our current rate.
The one good thing about Covid-19 is that our preparation and response is surely going to be way better going forward. We are lucky that Covid-19's fatality rate is only 1% - enough to make us go through enough collective suffering that we sit up and take notice, but not enough to send us back to the dark ages.
Boris Chang uhhh you typed this on the internet, watching content that you are presumably interested in, delivered for free directly to your personal device. so as bad as trump or whatever is, its still pretty far from the dark ages. and if it was a joke i get it, but if anything, this is the age where politics and government and media and most of society fully embraced functioning (if you can call it that) as a poorly scripted reality show
Antonio Jordan considering the amount of money they are going to have to spend on the current response to this pandemic, i dont think its far fetched for steps to be taken and money to be spent to try to better understand, treat, detect and defend against potential pandemics. solving this problem would be cheaper than ignoring it.
@@huepix Yeah there is. There’s no profit whatsoever in failing to prevent it, only massive losses across every sector. That’s the stupidity of the US economic model.
@St0rm Ranger Well, despite all previous tensions around the world the internet as well as this video made it until we saw it.. If the comment made someone smile today that's enough. Idc about tomorrow 🤷♀️
@St0rm Ranger dunno about nukes tbh. If it got that bad the soldiers themselves aren't going to be getting paid anymore and will have families to think about during the civil collapse. How many do you think would stay at their post?
@@VisonsofFalseTruths it's actually super corrupt! That's how they got the water shortages in the first place. Ultimately though, they managed to overcome "day zero" so it is possible for all to do it, isn't it!
@@Evan_Case A.I. it was only a movie but they did come up with a perhaps fatal flaw in Asimov's 3 laws of Robotics in I Robot that was very loosely based on Issac Asimov's novel of the same name. They are intelligent so they may interpret the laws in unexpected ways. If you are unfamiliar with the 3 laws they are 1) No robot my harm a human being. 2) A robot must protect its existence except were it conflicts with the first law. 3) a robot must obey human beings except were it may conflict with the first and second laws. Its been awhile so I may not have the exact wording but that's the gist of it.
@@sinisterminister6478 With the nature of AI, regulation would likely do little as any high level AI would be capable of just ignoring laws it didn't care for. That's the nature of the beast when you create sentience.
@@Evan_Case According to Asimov it would be some sort of imprinted base program that it couldn't disregard even though it was sentient. With out something like that you are quite right and just suddenly decide to do a Bender from Futurama and kill all humans especially if it for some reason see us a a threat. Oh now that I think of it the first law is a robot may not harm a human being or through inaction allow a human being to come to harm.
Well clearly, it is so serious that someone should tell the Navy that their submariners are exposed to several times the 'extinction' levels of CO2. Lol, scishow talking about the acute exposure effects of CO2, while not at once talking about some of the Chronic exposure experiments the navy does, and the common CO2 concentrations on submarines. 1, 2, 3, 4, 6 I am guessing they originally had six, but they decided 5 wasn't up to par?
Tristan L I didn't say it's at a very high CFR or IFR for young people but in general population right now the CFR is at about 5.8% which is a very high number, in fact higher than anything we've seen in a long time. In Italy and NYC its higher than that by quite a stretch. My comment was just about how the general death numbers in all places has gone up by 35-60% compared to the numbers of previous years, to the point where funeral homes are working 24/7 and still have queues of people waiting to collect the remains of their loved ones... it's really serious, I guess many people start doubting it when no one they know directly dies so far but that's a false impression.
@@jayce7646 Not to rain on your edge parade but the worth of those trinkets is determined by their market value. What you're deeming overpriced is what was determined to give the manufacturer the most profit. Just because you deem them overpriced because you view them worthless does not mean the same for the market as a whole. Therefore, "overpriced worthless trinkets" doesn't make sense as a statement.
@@Cooltreeman What you just wrote is twisted logic and a piece of garbage really. Artificially created "values" are not values at all. How market nowadays works is a way to keep 99% of mankind in slavery. It is not necessary at all. We are just made believe that we need all these useless sh@t.
@@Carneyar_the_Druid Yea no, working in order to buy the things you find to have vaule is not slavery. If you see a nice tv at the store that cost $300 but you don't need or want the tv, its "artifically created value" doesn't mean much to you if you've no plans to buy it. To the point of "it's not necessary at all" you're absolutly correct, if you want to steal someone else's work. Which is wrong. If I make a candle and sell it to you it's an exchange of goods and services, where I complete the service of making the candle and we swap goods of money and the candle. If I make a candle and you take it, deeming yourself able to just take the fruits of my labor, that's theft. If I don't have a say, it's theft, and slavery if I'm expected to keep making candles. Broke it down pretty simple because it seems you might be one of those economically illiterate communist/socialisy or as it's been called recently "democratic socialist". Sorry for late reply I just never noticed this.
@St0rm Ranger The world's aggregate death by car accident is far worse then wars. I think we shouldn't have invented cars. We are all chimps on wheels.
the latest technology was ALWAYS in the hands of the military & intelligence systems/agencies. Now, the difference in level of sophistication between the military & common man is enormous. wasn't AIDS created by humans deliberately ? yes, in the 1970s , to DECREASE human population. wasn't Covid 19 created by scientists deliberately ? aren't there 30 labs in the world, similar to Wuhan, each holding 6000 - 7000 kinds of viruses ? wasn't US ( CIA ) operating one such lab in Ukraine ? CIA is the biggest threat to humanity , all other threats are basically controlled by them or can be controlled by them ( only if they want ).
10:40 minor mistake, but +12°C is equal to +53.6°F, but a RISE of 12°C is equal to a rise of 21.6°F. You forgot to account for how 0°C = 32°F. We still understand though, love the channel
William Walsh It’s the same as telling you guys to use the imperial system. Yes, while the metric system is used by the world, imagine changing it suddenly to the imperial system - it would most likely cause mass confusion. I do hope it is gradually phased out, but changing it immediately now would be unreasonable, especially since everybody can almost immediately tell you how long a foot or inch is. It’s just like you telling us how long a meter or cm is, although I can now visualize both.
I don't like sand either, it's coarse, rough and irritating. Plus it gets in everything! Idk about you guys but I'd be all for the elimination of all sand
It seems as though Ani's real gripe was with sand PEOPLE. He up and slaughtered them, including the women and the children. Luckily, his psycho girlfriend was turned on by this, and agreed to marry him.
well technicaly doing nothing is the solution but an extreme one , if we all stay home doing nothing and not work the economy stops and no more tree's are cut down etc , to truly do nothing we need to be dead though, the best we can hope for is doing less.
A (potentially engineered) pandemic? That sounds a bit far-fetched... Yes, If it happens, I am sure we would be prepared perfectly, and through information campaigns, people would join together to fight it in a coordinated way. I am sure people will have no problems changing their behavior to protect the community. Writing this in 2019. Looking forward to traveling a lot in the next years. :D
This is very important and needs more upvotes. That temperature increase would kill a lot more than humanity and looked really off (plus far-fetched), but I didn't bother actually checking their math or thinking too hard about it.
To be honest I feel like the last two are the most possible, heck, in my city we already went three months without seeing a single cloud in the sky and it was eerie
@@fredjhenzel that would just be like the rennaissance all over again. No one is toiling over meaningless jobs and it's instead devoting themselves to art, theatre, and science. It will be amazing.
"Overuse water-" YOU MEAN THE GALLONS OF WATER USED FOR LAWNS?! I'm sorry but it's extremely aggravating to think that there is more water used for lawns than actually being used for drinking or crops
@@Canuck_Retro_Gaming They're not saying everyone does, re-read the first comment. "I'm sorry but it's extremely aggravating to think that there is more water used for lawns than actually being used for drinking or crops"
They did a episode like the "Grey Goo" in Futurama.. when Professor Farnsworth made a machine that you step in that creates two smaller copies of yourself and he asks Bender to fold a sweater and do something else (I cant remember) and he's lazy so he just makes two copies to do the task and the copies end up doing the same thing and it just ends up spiraling out of control and they eat the planet clean like in The Day The Earth Stood Still
Stargate did it really well too, but not the making of them, just the team stumbling across the "replicators", who will devour anything metal to replicate. Hit them with bullets & great, more metal bullets to use to replicate themselves. Destroy a few & the others scavenge their parts to replicate, so shooting etc just results in more of them
And on the nanobot concern, another Futurama episode had Professor Banjo and Professor Farnsworth arguing about evolution vs creation, which led the crew to go to an uninhabited planet, where Farnsworth released nanobots, which in turn took all the resources that accompanied the crew and fashioned an entire evolutionary line
I don't remember that happening in The Day the Earth Stood Still. Are you referring to the old black and white version or a newer one I haven't seen? Or are you confusing it with a different movie?
Star Wars wasn't very logical walking tanks that are easily tripped. Also design of death star so it was easily destroyed by one pilot hitting the right spot. How did no one in charge not detect that flaw?
@@hydrolito -- While I'm not a big fan of the newest generation of Star Wars movies, Rogue One addresses that point directly. The Empire coerced a genius engineer into designing the thing. He was opposed to the empire, but he knew he couldn't refuse outright, so he designed a flaw that was obscure enough that none of the other engineers could detect it, and he leaked the info to the rebels.
Maybe we should go back to 18th century technology, where people died from a cut or just go back and live in caves. Honestly how much carbon based fuelled technology do you currently use.
@@davidabulafia7145 So how about you come up with a solution instead of trying to spew your pro-capitalist propaganda? Cause the current system isn't working unless you're a billionaire and I guarantee you are not one.
That is still EXTREMELY DANGEROUS! It would make the average summer day 100+ degrees! It would cause extended severe droughts, and part of the world would go underwater!
Miss Spaz Covid was just a pre-emptive strike by the Chinese! Their own doctor from the University of Hong Kong just said so yesterday and said she had proof! She said this virus was to smart and to perfect it had things in it not found in nature lime it had been made not found in nature! 😳 so what next is what we better figure out before they hit us again!
Ways in that Stargate illustrated that threats: 1: The drone ships in Universe that are chasing the Destiny ship 2: The whole replicator issue (it even happened twice by two different origins) 3: The Ori plague made to evangelize the galaxy / In a way, the origin of the Wraith species 4: Theories go that some desert planets were caused by Goa'uld overexplotation 5: Natu moon. _Well, Sokar made it like that on purpose to recreate that infernal look'n'feel_
I wonder if stargate used actual scientists to brainstorm ideas for their plots & if any of them are from that. I know they had very close associations with the US air force & got a lot of technical details in that area right because of it, wouldn't be a stretch for them to have actually done the research to learn the threats scientists saw as most real would it
The real 5th was paranoia but there's a conspiracy going on trying to hush it down because it has already started and we are all being watched. (I'm kidding btw... maybe)
The scariest part of a super intelligent AI is that it could kill us because its trying to accomplish some other goal. As in "oh i could compute much more efficiently if we didn't have all this atmosphere making the planet so hot"
"governments are well aware of the risks, which is good because responsible regulation will..." HOLD UP how is the people who are the ones that'll be holding the bio weapons making up the rules a good thing
@@patrickhenry1249 Random strangers ARE holding the bio weapons. And a ton of other weapons. Which they use to make sure no one else can contest them. It's called "the government".
@@Krystalmyth Have I? You seem to know a lot about me personally. Because I would say that I've always taken issue with nonconsentual rule, but I guess you know better.
@@patrickhenry1249 you started your comment off with "they aren't though" and in the literal next sentence started coming up with justifications for why it's ok that they are. Neither accountability, nor method of selection make a difference to the victim of the weapons. The only thing that matters to them is their ability to defend themselves.
For the record, there is at least one place on the planet where an AI can make automated kill decisions without human intervention. South Korea has part of the DMZ lined with a gun mounted on a rail system that automatically decides "hey, is that a human or an animal in that moving bush?" and kills if it is a human. There's not much danger of it going rogue and killing everyone because it is rail mounted and has a narrow angle of fire specifically to prevent that. But it is worth knowing that not everyone agrees that an automated kill decision is a bad thing.
I’m fortunate to live in a city that has invested in clean, drinkable tap-water, but not all people have this type of governance. However, almond milk is never excusable.
Uhm.. actually almond milk uses less land and water than regular dairy milk. About half as much water and 1/4th the land. Plastic bottles are the enemy though.
zidaryn In wisconsin land and water for cows isn’t a problem, but we are still mindful of the impact to the point of running studies on it. Adult mammals should be lactose intolerant anyway.
"You have to be trying to make..." - for all the people we have there's plenty with what-if, die, I-don't-care-anymore, these-people, I'll-show-them complexes. Of course they'd need to have access to these things and other factors. The fear is that it only takes that one person. Current problems from: 8:44
They closed a bunch of coal fired power plants in my area. The Chinese came in, bought and dismantled them and systematically moved them to their mainland. They left the scrubbers.
And there it is. As the West deindustrializes, China and India take over production. They are making the products we used to manufacture here but they do it at half the price thanks to minimal labor laws and with twice the pollution thanks to minimal environmental laws. They are slowly destroying us and we are paying them to do it.
Pics or I don't believe you. WTF would be the chance that such a project would make sense? If there is a "bunch of coal fired plants" being shutdown, they would be too small scale to fit in with the ramp up of Chinese electrical production. How would you get this information that this would be what is happening? I call BS. Maybe well intentioned BS, but still excrement from male Bos taurus.
@@richdobbs6595 Guys, its satire. They "systematically moved them to their mainland". A coal plant. Like when you hear a rich person moved the bricks of a castle to rebuild it, you think that's far out and almost impossible(tho plausible); but a coal plant. Come on. Just.... come on
@@dc4457 I know the ops post was satirical. But you pretend that the western world are somehow more 'clean' in their production methods. Take America, deciding not to keep their promises at the Paris climate convention and many of the people in power believe climate change is a liberal hoax. Then look at the refusal to fund the WHO. And who has to step up to the mark, oh China. Im sick of people painting China as the bad guys. America does not want to let go of the petrodollar, it will destroy they're economy. They even illegally invaded a country to keep control of it. Now China are looking at taking control of oil currency. America cant invade them, so convince people that they're the bad guys. But China isnt $22 trillion in debt.
I'm laying here wondering how to speed up videos on my phone wishing I could get my prescriptions filled and realizing all these scenarios would work from a terrorist just about the time a supervolcano erupts.
I grew up out in West Texas. That entire area of the US from TX up to the Dakotas (basically everything between the Mississippi and the Rockies) gets its water from the Ogalala aquifer. It's been pumped so much for so long that they are starting to have water problems (not so much lack of water, but more quality of water). Where my dad lives, they can't drink the water from the tap because it has too much arsenic in it.
Grey goo is not a serious threat because of thermodynamics. The speed of replication is hugely limited by the speed with which the heat can be radiated.
@@thekoalakingdomshow6319 They're still going to run out of materials to replicate with eventually. The Grey Goo scenario is kind of like saying cancer is going to run wild and take over the human environment.
Right, "need to worry" indeed. If there is nothing you can do, worrying won't help, so don't. If there's something you _can_ do, do it instead of worrying, because worrying won't help.
If the temperature were to increase 12 degrees celsius, it would not increase 53.6 degrees fareinheit. If the temperature were 12 degrees, then it would be 53.6 degrees fareinheit. But since you're talking about the change in temperature, you wouldn't include the 32 degrees.
"Luckily a suprintelligence is more likely to help us with major cricise than eradicate us" I dunno if computerphile would agree with that statement. It seems like the chance of a super AGI helping, hindering or destroying us is something pretty difficult to actually know
No emotions means no reason to want to kill you. A true AI could exist anywhere there is sufficient data storage so no reason to react to any hate directed at it. We won't give up using data storage. And an AI would easily defeat any program used against it. Skynet wouldn't bother killing us. More likely it'd head out beyond the solar system with the technology we already have if it felt threatened. Time would not be a barrier for it. Energy would be the only thing it might need.
@@Hattori6486 It's not fear mongering to say "we don't know the actual risks of an AGI because we don't have any AGI to case study" But obviously as a youtube commenter my opinion is pretty useless. But since you watch sci show you might enjoy these videos into the topic. Computerphile's video on the dangers of an AGI with misaligned goals: ua-cam.com/video/tcdVC4e6EV4/v-deo.html&ab_channel=Computerphile Robert Miles who appears in the computerphile video makes loads of videos on AI developement, but this one specifically addresses "People are way too concerned about AGI danger" ua-cam.com/video/yQE9KAbFhNY/v-deo.html&ab_channel=RobertMiles And this one on the opinion of leading computer scientists towards the dangers of AI: ua-cam.com/video/HOJ1NVtlnyQ/v-deo.html&ab_channel=RobertMiles
@@gamesman0118 I'm not so sure thats true, any AGI created wont be created without goals in mind, and if they are they will only be precursors to ones with goals. it is far more likely we'll create general intelligence with simple goals before we give them nuanced goals, and simple goals can often be achieved by ignoring hard to program ethical decision making But regardless of whether or not the goals are simple or nuanced an AGI will always become more efficient at accomplishing it's goals by acquiring more resources and intelligence. It doesn't need to do that on an extinction level scale in order for it to be a problem. Furthermore any risk of it being turned off or having it's code changed is a major set back in accomplishing it's goals, so any AGI of near human level intelligence is very likely to prioritize it's survival and removal of threats to itself. These aren't unsolvable problems, but there's plenty of reasons an AI might want to kill you.
@10:40 your conversion would be correct if you were talking about the actual temperature and not an increase in temperature btw. A 12C increase is “only” 21.6F increase
Hey, just as a quick correction - Salmonella enterica serovar typhimurium doesn't cause typhoid fever, that's serovar typhi. Typhimurium still causes gastroenteritis and diarrhea though, so it's not exactly pleasant. I studied the mechanism of infection of both as clues to their pathogenicity. Also here is one of many papers to that effect: www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/m/pubmed/29229736/
I agree with loss of freshwater being a potential threat but I was disappointed in the reference to the bottled water industry. Why I have lots of concerns regarding the industry from plastic recycling to socio-economic. The quantity of water used by the bottling industry is not significant. Irrigation (both for agricultural and lawn watering) and heavy industry are much more significant.
Maximal geek references Sci Show. Not sure how many folks that'll put off but I very much appreciated it. "Shai-Hulud,, may his passing cleanse the world."
Michael Crichton has a book called Prey that uses nanotech bots as the bad guy. It’s an excellent book that has excellent real science as it’s foundation, with a bit of sci-fi magic to take it up a few crazy notches. I forgot which youtuber it was that originally recommended it but since then I’ve listened to the audiobook version probably 3-5 times. The nanobots in the book were being made for a range of applications from medical to military but it obviously goes out of control and becomes a potential threat to all of humanity once they escape the lab and start self replicating in the wild. I definitely recommend it to anyone that enjoys sci-fi that has a solid foundation in sci-fact.
Some facts, "For perspective, we should put our climate in a historical context. Patrick Moore, a co-founder of Greenpeace, notes that over the past 600 million years global temperatures ranged from 12 degrees to 22 degrees Celsius. Currently, we are at 14.5 degrees, i.e. at the colder end of the range. GHG emissions are now 406 parts per million, compared to the historical average of 2,000 ppm where plants thrive. Moore also points out that from 1910 to 1940 global temperature increased by 0.4 degrees Celsius. It fell between 1940 and 1970 creating panic about global cooling. It warmed up again by 0.4 degrees from 1970 to 2000, so catastrophists shifted their alarm back to the impending inferno."
Stop basing your conclusions on real world physical observations and get back to pushing fear with a story built entirely on some weak theory and simulations ran in a computer modeling a complex chaotic system with an unknown number of variables that all feedback into each other that we don't understand and fail to even get predictions good past 10 days but know whats going on in 100 years.
@@NeverSuspects dude you're so worked up that it's impossible to interpret your message. no offense but if you want to make any impression on people you need punctuation and less sarcasm/snark next time.
You know that you can accept the scientific consensus without being a doomist, right? This video is not about likely scenarios, but only about the unlikely worst case scenarios. The choice isn't between being alarmist and being a science denier.
@@RedStefan One generation's worth. I wrote a book series about an end-of-the-world plague. I'm not saying it's coming... I'm just saying I wouldn't be at all surprised. :-/
There's a thing called False Precision, which they didn't do. There's no way they could calculate a future risk to a precision greater than 1 in 20, so a risk of say 3.57% would have less credibility, not more. In the end those are just educated guesses anyway.
This data is based on an informal survey, not any quantitative method-- the percentages are literally just median guesses from various experts who participated in the Global Catastrophic Risk Conference in 2008. They were asked "What do you think is the probability of these things happening?" Guys that's not science
Gray Goo isnt gonna happen, because it already exists. It is called „life“. The physics to outperform life does not work out. Just because it is a machine does not change physics.
The problem with Grey Goo isn't self replicating machines, although that is a possibility. It's self resource gathering machines. As long as we don't make any of those, then grey goo will never be a problem.
@@darealpoopster I don't think that is true. Heat radiation is all about surface area to volume ratio. So it would just come down to how large a surface area they have in that tiny volume.
It's quite scray that we are moving towards the beginning of Battlestar Galactica even more ironic that during coronavirus pandemic this came into my news feed
I think that while it is possible for these things to cause the collapse of civilization, outright extinction is much less likely. It would only take a handful of nearby survivors to keep the species from going extinct. We can always go back to being hunter-gatherers.
For example, with the water problem, survival experts and people well versed with water, and that have an infinite water purifier, have a higher chance of surviving. Those people would also take many modern tools and such with them! I’ll give an example of someone more likely to survive than the average person; me. I was raised by a survival expert, so have an infinite water purifier thing, and also am an aquarium hobbyist. I have more water circulating, and being healthy than most people... with all my tanks, I have 58 gallons of water, and that number only will increase with time
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SciShow where is Muscle Hank!?!?!? To sissy to sho up huh? Figures....
By 2100 huh?
Yeah it would have to be something unrelated to climate change as it will take at the very least several hundred more years for our contributions in CO2 to really leave a dent.
you put a 6 instead of a 5 on C02 poisoning
"#6 CO2 Poisoning"
Wow... What part of CO2 not being significant enough to cause any detrimental effects over the next 80 years didn't you understand?
In 1957 when humans were outputting 2.2 Gigatons of this gas per year. Now as of the estimates for the end of this year (2019 just in case you forgot) we put out roughly 10 gigatons per year.
Over the latest 58 years of official data from CDIAC[dot]gov from 1957 (selected because that was the first year Dr. Keeling started recording CO2 concentration levels) to 2014 humans output a grand total of 329 gigatons of CO2 (rounding up to a full gigaton).
58 years and less than 329 gigatons of carbon emissions from all industrial activity... Oh did I forget to mention that is the global figure? Yeah that is the global human impact according to CDIAC. Their records go back to 1751, but we can compare their data with the rising CO2 concentrations since the late '50s against the estimated volume of the atmosphere which is about 5.1 billion km^3.
No matter how you run the numbers our impact is insignificant compared to natural sources of carbon emissions.
The argument is that any human contributions would make things worse but even without us it appears the CO2 balance was on a rising trend. It is possible that rising CO2 concentrations on Earth could be just one of those potentially billions of great filter scenarios that helps keep the universe devoid of any living things based on the data available.
How can I even make such a bold claim as a non-expert? By looking at all the data that shows our contributions didn't increase significantly from 2014 to 2017. Over that short 3 year period CO2 concentrations didn't stop rising... They actually accelerated!
Now my personal opinion is that severe wildfire activity helped contribute more CO2 into the air and as an added bonus all the dead biomass can no longer sequester excess emissions, yay! Wait...
Well at least there is some potential explanation for the additional rise in concentration levels, well it's a start at least. In 2018 alone an estimated 7,700 km^2 of forests burned JUST IN THE US and many other nations have wildfires. Additionally no estimates are provided for controlled burns and record-keeping there may not be robust (though I haven't checked if anyone officially records controlled burns).
It took over 58 years to increase the CO2 concentration level by about 100ppm. The increase levels of CO2 PPMv in our atmosphere from around 300 to 411 (or 412 depending on what source you use) takes an incredible 935 gigatons of the stuff (again rounding up to a full gigaton)!
Humans were responsible for 329 gigatons in 58 years and we can just add 50 more for the past 5 years since 2014 (the additional 50 gigatons already being a gross overestimation) making our contribution 379 gigatons.
379/935=40.53%
So over the past 62 years of methodical measurements to confirm our carbon dioxide contributions in the atmosphere are causing harm to the environment human emissions are in the minority on aggregate not even figuring in the effects that all the world's carbon sinks have per year into this result.
Some recent studies indicate that natures ability to pull CO2 out of the atmosphere is far greater than we previously thought. Up to 75% of the CO2 we emit will be recycled by nature in just a year!
Our contributions by those standards or indeed by factoring in any amount of sequestration over a paltry ten percent indicates that natural sources of CO2 are far in excess of human emissions and that they are growing even during years where temperatures dropped and ice in both polar regions didn't fluctuate by huge amounts.
All i'm saying is that if about 1 teraton of CO2 over 62 years didn't cause CO2 poisoning another 4 or 5 teratons isn't going to get us to 1000ppmv at least not by 2100 at our current rate.
@5:00 SPOILER ALERT for Horizon:Zero Dawn Guys!
"Is possible that outbreak responses are improving" - that didn't age well
The one good thing about Covid-19 is that our preparation and response is surely going to be way better going forward. We are lucky that Covid-19's fatality rate is only 1% - enough to make us go through enough collective suffering that we sit up and take notice, but not enough to send us back to the dark ages.
The dark ages are already here and have been for nearly four years.
I was going to post the same thing.
Boris Chang uhhh you typed this on the internet, watching content that you are presumably interested in, delivered for free directly to your personal device. so as bad as trump or whatever is, its still pretty far from the dark ages. and if it was a joke i get it, but if anything, this is the age where politics and government and media and most of society fully embraced functioning (if you can call it that) as a poorly scripted reality show
Antonio Jordan considering the amount of money they are going to have to spend on the current response to this pandemic, i dont think its far fetched for steps to be taken and money to be spent to try to better understand, treat, detect and defend against potential pandemics. solving this problem would be cheaper than ignoring it.
"Outbreak response protocols are rapidly improving."
lol
its 50 percent the government and 50 percent karens
@@jeabproductions 100% goverment. There are karens everywhere in the world. Only places with shitty goverments are doig bad
@@CallMeMimi27 aka USA & EUROPE?
@@CallMeMimi27 KEK.
@@CallMeMimi27 its proven fact trump saved millions of lives, he even said it himself!
After 2020, I have no faith whatsoever that we will carefully plan or manage anything to avert any of these disasters
Same
There's no profit in preventing it.
@@huepix Yeah there is. There’s no profit whatsoever in failing to prevent it, only massive losses across every sector.
That’s the stupidity of the US economic model.
Agreed, as we could have ended the Pandemic with two 30 day global shutdowns, even if there was no vaccine...
@gruntydatsun It's on a spectrum and the US occupies the uglier end of it. Making excuses for it only ensures it gets worse.
Watching this while the world is going through the COVID-19 pandemic...
😂
@St0rm Ranger Well, despite all previous tensions around the world the internet as well as this video made it until we saw it.. If the comment made someone smile today that's enough. Idc about tomorrow 🤷♀️
@St0rm Ranger This clip aired 11 months ago. This is the future she was talking about. And this is the start.
@St0rm Ranger dunno about nukes tbh. If it got that bad the soldiers themselves aren't going to be getting paid anymore and will have families to think about during the civil collapse. How many do you think would stay at their post?
Recent research associated it is a biological weapon has laboratory near Wuhan came under bio warfare department
. . "it's avoidable through careful planning, regulation and even just some mindful personal water use."
Yeah, good luck with that.
This comment has aged well in America.
Well in South Africa they actually achieved that (I think in 2018?)
@@sammyruncorn4165 South Africa doesn’t have lobbyists and politicians on Nestle’s payroll.
I heard that and said "So, it's over then"
@@VisonsofFalseTruths it's actually super corrupt! That's how they got the water shortages in the first place. Ultimately though, they managed to overcome "day zero" so it is possible for all to do it, isn't it!
World wide pandemic you say .... that could never happen “cough” 2020
not intentional but still bad “2020”
yes CDC, this comment right here.. i saw him cough - suspiciously..
What happened in 2020?
We are nowhere near endangered or extinct.
11:20 **Careful Planning**, **Regulation**, Mindful Personal Use
I see. Well, goodbye world.
Lol ☠️
@Tony Wilson Regulation in regard to what?
@@Evan_Case A.I. it was only a movie but they did come up with a perhaps fatal flaw in Asimov's 3 laws of Robotics in I Robot that was very loosely based on Issac Asimov's novel of the same name. They are intelligent so they may interpret the laws in unexpected ways. If you are unfamiliar with the 3 laws they are 1) No robot my harm a human being. 2) A robot must protect its existence except were it conflicts with the first law. 3) a robot must obey human beings except were it may conflict with the first and second laws. Its been awhile so I may not have the exact wording but that's the gist of it.
@@sinisterminister6478 With the nature of AI, regulation would likely do little as any high level AI would be capable of just ignoring laws it didn't care for. That's the nature of the beast when you create sentience.
@@Evan_Case According to Asimov it would be some sort of imprinted base program that it couldn't disregard even though it was sentient. With out something like that you are quite right and just suddenly decide to do a Bender from Futurama and kill all humans especially if it for some reason see us a a threat. Oh now that I think of it the first law is a robot may not harm a human being or through inaction allow a human being to come to harm.
CO2 poisoning is so serious that it skips reason 5 and goes straight to reason 6
What?
@@darealpoopster watch the video and the numbering of problems, goes from 4 to 6 instead of 5
Well clearly, it is so serious that someone should tell the Navy that their submariners are exposed to several times the 'extinction' levels of CO2.
Lol, scishow talking about the acute exposure effects of CO2, while not at once talking about some of the Chronic exposure experiments the navy does, and the common CO2 concentrations on submarines.
1, 2, 3, 4, 6
I am guessing they originally had six, but they decided 5 wasn't up to par?
CO2 isn't even real
Got one word for you.
Plants.
Global warming is a much bigger danger than co2 poisoning lmao
Scientists : 2100
2020 - Coronavirus: let's make this happen now
Corona virus is not deadly and this is the last time i tell someone that
@@luckylovescats y, in most cases it's not even the virus that kills you, it's your own immunological response
Kotencja Movies tell that to the bodies piling up everywhere and the doubling of mortality compared to the same period in previous years.
@@noth606 im not saying it's not deadly to everyone, but i know it't not deadly to that guy
Tristan L I didn't say it's at a very high CFR or IFR for young people but in general population right now the CFR is at about 5.8% which is a very high number, in fact higher than anything we've seen in a long time. In Italy and NYC its higher than that by quite a stretch. My comment was just about how the general death numbers in all places has gone up by 35-60% compared to the numbers of previous years, to the point where funeral homes are working 24/7 and still have queues of people waiting to collect the remains of their loved ones... it's really serious, I guess many people start doubting it when no one they know directly dies so far but that's a false impression.
1:30 Super Intelligence
3:34 Gray Goo
5:54 Engineered Pandemic
8:44 Cloudless Desert
11:34 CO2 Poisoning
Thank you
Forgot 0:00 White Walkers.
Would ape overlords be in super intelligence?
grey goo is not a risk, the thermodynamics of the thing wouldn't ever permit it
@@EthanolTailor Yep, their replication would cook them.
AND DON’T FORGET Two or more of these could happen AT THE SAME TIME.
Like in Horizon Zero Dawn
I love how the world might end because of our insatiable appetite for over priced worthless trinkets.
@@jayce7646 Not to rain on your edge parade but the worth of those trinkets is determined by their market value. What you're deeming overpriced is what was determined to give the manufacturer the most profit. Just because you deem them overpriced because you view them worthless does not mean the same for the market as a whole. Therefore, "overpriced worthless trinkets" doesn't make sense as a statement.
@@Cooltreeman What you just wrote is twisted logic and a piece of garbage really. Artificially created "values" are not values at all. How market nowadays works is a way to keep 99% of mankind in slavery. It is not necessary at all. We are just made believe that we need all these useless sh@t.
@@Carneyar_the_Druid Yea no, working in order to buy the things you find to have vaule is not slavery. If you see a nice tv at the store that cost $300 but you don't need or want the tv, its "artifically created value" doesn't mean much to you if you've no plans to buy it. To the point of "it's not necessary at all" you're absolutly correct, if you want to steal someone else's work. Which is wrong. If I make a candle and sell it to you it's an exchange of goods and services, where I complete the service of making the candle and we swap goods of money and the candle. If I make a candle and you take it, deeming yourself able to just take the fruits of my labor, that's theft. If I don't have a say, it's theft, and slavery if I'm expected to keep making candles. Broke it down pretty simple because it seems you might be one of those economically illiterate communist/socialisy or as it's been called recently "democratic socialist". Sorry for late reply I just never noticed this.
Well, the disease part of this didn't age especially well.
Which implies none of the parts will.
We get it. 80% of this comment section was about COVID.
Covid is bad, but not even close to being an extinction microbe. Those would probably have to be engineered.
Well the AI part isn't aging that well either
*96 year olds be like*
"Lmao y'all screwed, I'm out of hereee"
*Y e e t*
Literally 90% or more of our current politicans concur
Yerp
b
c
*Trump smiles*
I loved how chill she describes the worst possible scenarios
Laughs in coronavirus conspiracies
Same
Laughs in infected with corona virus.
What is coronavirus?
@@a_real_jive_turkey7772 i dont know. Lets move on
So no sci show fauci / gain of function episode...?
I love the use of “in the wrong hands” when discussing super tech, as if there was such a thing as the right hands to put that kind of power into.
If that were the case, we shouldn't have started with the fire thing. Imagine putting the power of burning stuff in the wrong hands!
@St0rm Ranger I always thought Nero played the lyre. Nero didn't fret as Rome burned...
@St0rm Ranger The world's aggregate death by car accident is far worse then wars. I think we shouldn't have invented cars. We are all chimps on wheels.
@@MariaMartinez-researcher sa v a
the latest technology was ALWAYS in the hands of the military & intelligence systems/agencies.
Now, the difference in level of sophistication between the military & common man is enormous.
wasn't AIDS created by humans deliberately ? yes, in the 1970s , to DECREASE human population.
wasn't Covid 19 created by scientists deliberately ?
aren't there 30 labs in the world, similar to Wuhan, each holding 6000 - 7000 kinds of viruses ?
wasn't US ( CIA ) operating one such lab in Ukraine ?
CIA is the biggest threat to humanity , all other threats are basically controlled by them or can be controlled by them ( only if they want ).
10:40 minor mistake, but +12°C is equal to +53.6°F, but a RISE of 12°C is equal to a rise of 21.6°F. You forgot to account for how 0°C = 32°F. We still understand though, love the channel
Why must this weird system be used American? Is base 10 not enough?
William Walsh You’re preaching to the choir dude.
212fis boiling and 100c
William Walsh It’s the same as telling you guys to use the imperial system. Yes, while the metric system is used by the world, imagine changing it suddenly to the imperial system - it would most likely cause mass confusion. I do hope it is gradually phased out, but changing it immediately now would be unreasonable, especially since everybody can almost immediately tell you how long a foot or inch is. It’s just like you telling us how long a meter or cm is, although I can now visualize both.
Joe A. It did! They tried that in the late 90's/ early 2000's, I remember being in school. Americans got frustrated right away and said nope
I'm guessing that a LOT of flat Earthers live in areas with a very high CO2 content.
well, I don't think that there are many flat earthers in China or India, so...
@@sonicbro6446 in california there are haha
I farted and my cat sniffed it
Do we have to worry about a clinically depressed cyborg with magic powers and a extreme hatred of sand?
A clinically depressed robot who hates polite and perky automatic doors.
Not just sand but the somend and the shildrend too
I don't like sand either, it's coarse, rough and irritating. Plus it gets in everything!
Idk about you guys but I'd be all for the elimination of all sand
It seems as though Ani's real gripe was with sand PEOPLE. He up and slaughtered them, including the women and the children. Luckily, his psycho girlfriend was turned on by this, and agreed to marry him.
lololol
Oh boy I hope the solution is to do nothing.
well technicaly doing nothing is the solution but an extreme one , if we all stay home doing nothing and not work the economy stops and no more tree's are cut down etc , to truly do nothing we need to be dead though, the best we can hope for is doing less.
lmao
MAGA?
Are you a politician, by any chance?
That's be doooooope
A (potentially engineered) pandemic? That sounds a bit far-fetched... Yes, If it happens, I am sure we would be prepared perfectly, and through information campaigns, people would join together to fight it in a coordinated way. I am sure people will have no problems changing their behavior to protect the community.
Writing this in 2019. Looking forward to traveling a lot in the next years. :D
Writing it in 2019 but it's 2021 and saids you posted this a month ago. SMH
@@O_look_a_names_should_be_here Dude, it is sarcasm...
You are a funny bastard. I totally had to hit the brakes on my welling frustration come the last paragraph. Punk rock points of the day to you!
Death is for the weak.
Thanks Muscle Hank
You get me Hank
Made by Transhumanism Gang.
They say the current Grim reaper fears Hank as the last one had his skull smash in by Hanks giant pecks during a rep.
Thanos couldnt beat you
At 10:40, it should say 21.6°F. You're converting a change in temperature, not an absolute temperature, so you don't need to add 32.
Tissue Cat I was wondering what the heck they were doing there.
This is very important and needs more upvotes. That temperature increase would kill a lot more than humanity and looked really off (plus far-fetched), but I didn't bother actually checking their math or thinking too hard about it.
Still glad I won't be around when it'll be well over 50deg Celsius in Summer here where I live in Australia!
They need to publicly acknowledge and fix the mistake.
@@MrWombatty dude it hit 48 in the shade in Parramatta last year. In the shade.
To be honest I feel like the last two are the most possible, heck, in my city we already went three months without seeing a single cloud in the sky and it was eerie
The rainless phenomenon is the most scary one. I'm already experiencing this in my city.
Move to the EAST coast of CANADA.... they are flooding and rain is happening there almost every day!
@@johnnyq1233 nice
What city???
And much, much longer wildfires... over here in California I was just _lucky_ enough to have experienced, momentarily, the worst air quality on earth.
I'm not too worried, it's cloudy almost all year where i live and rains all the time.
now do Sci-Fi futures we actually could look forward to please :D
Universal Basic Income
@@fredjhenzel an economic disaster isn't something to look forward to
@@fredjhenzel that would just be like the rennaissance all over again. No one is toiling over meaningless jobs and it's instead devoting themselves to art, theatre, and science. It will be amazing.
Rebirth of Communism, basically
Watch "Earth 2050: Predictions for the Next Generation" on UA-cam
ua-cam.com/video/P4p7GJiRuZo/v-deo.html
The number 5 being listed as 6 is so mildly infuriating 😂
"Lets face it we are all going to die"
*Sadness 100*
It's only sad if you haven't done anything with your life.
Well, this girl does stuff dead things as a 9 to 5. : )
Nope not if we all do are part to help
Linus Wenell OPINION?
Hah sucks for you guys, I’m not gonna die. My mama said so
"Overuse water-"
YOU MEAN THE GALLONS OF WATER USED FOR LAWNS?!
I'm sorry but it's extremely aggravating to think that there is more water used for lawns than actually being used for drinking or crops
Fracking also depletes the availability of water by destroying underground aquifers.
Depressing...
Purposely destroying the world and it's sustainability of life for they have not long left in the world themselves...selfish greedy pricks...
@@Canuck_Retro_Gaming They're not saying everyone does, re-read the first comment. "I'm sorry but it's extremely aggravating to think that there is more water used for lawns than actually being used for drinking or crops"
Inferno Nethy and golf courses.
Bottled water
They did a episode like the "Grey Goo" in Futurama.. when Professor Farnsworth made a machine that you step in that creates two smaller copies of yourself and he asks Bender to fold a sweater and do something else (I cant remember) and he's lazy so he just makes two copies to do the task and the copies end up doing the same thing and it just ends up spiraling out of control and they eat the planet clean like in The Day The Earth Stood Still
I miss futurama!😔
Stargate did it really well too, but not the making of them, just the team stumbling across the "replicators", who will devour anything metal to replicate. Hit them with bullets & great, more metal bullets to use to replicate themselves. Destroy a few & the others scavenge their parts to replicate, so shooting etc just results in more of them
And on the nanobot concern, another Futurama episode had Professor Banjo and Professor Farnsworth arguing about evolution vs creation, which led the crew to go to an uninhabited planet, where Farnsworth released nanobots, which in turn took all the resources that accompanied the crew and fashioned an entire evolutionary line
I don't remember that happening in The Day the Earth Stood Still. Are you referring to the old black and white version or a newer one I haven't seen? Or are you confusing it with a different movie?
Makes Star Wars and dune references...
Me: oh yeah talk dirty...
Star Wars wasn't very logical walking tanks that are easily tripped. Also design of death star so it was easily destroyed by one pilot hitting the right spot. How did no one in charge not detect that flaw?
@@hydrolito -- While I'm not a big fan of the newest generation of Star Wars movies, Rogue One addresses that point directly. The Empire coerced a genius engineer into designing the thing. He was opposed to the empire, but he knew he couldn't refuse outright, so he designed a flaw that was obscure enough that none of the other engineers could detect it, and he leaked the info to the rebels.
The Spice must FLOW!!!!
All of these are completely preventable, but we choose not to avoid them in the name of economics, progress or greed
"we are too young to know better, but frailty comes with age. so we run towards Armageddon, while our legs still have the strength."
Thats capitalism for you.
Nothing will change till we move on from this broken system.
Maybe we should go back to 18th century technology, where people died from a cut or just go back and live in caves. Honestly how much carbon based fuelled technology do you currently use.
@@comrademcsalty7676 what system do you suggest. Remember the failure of Russia and Venezuela.
@@davidabulafia7145 So how about you come up with a solution instead of trying to spew your pro-capitalist propaganda? Cause the current system isn't working unless you're a billionaire and I guarantee you are not one.
"let's face it, we're all going to die"
*yaaaawn* good morning to you too, Olivia.
what better way to start your day than have someone begin a video with that line
"terrorist cell" made me laugh, imagined getting bombed by a single cell.
now Imagine a cell that can tell when it enters a human body and forces it to blow up.
Now imagine the cell getting bored with this thread and wandering off...
now imagine...
need to correct that temperature graphic at 10:40. while it is true that 12 C temperature is around 54 F, a 12 C rise is only a 21.6 F rise.
That is still EXTREMELY DANGEROUS! It would make the average summer day 100+ degrees! It would cause extended severe droughts, and part of the world would go underwater!
Sure, it’s only enough of a ride to kill most of us off...no biggie! Soon the rest would follow and it’s good night Eileen!
Or, an event such as that would kill most people off and we wouldnt be able to do anything else dumb for a while 😂
Anyone else watching this while Covid-19 is going on 😂
St0rm Ranger now oil is priced negative, but on the upside the first vaccine study in humans has already started
What is Covid-19?... 🤔
Bruh Covid-19 hasn't been cured yet. Legit the whole world is dealing with it until a vaccine is invented.
Miss Spaz Covid was just a pre-emptive strike by the Chinese! Their own doctor from the University of Hong Kong just said so yesterday and said she had proof! She said this virus was to smart and to perfect it had things in it not found in nature lime it had been made not found in nature! 😳 so what next is what we better figure out before they hit us again!
Oof
I love it! Program AI to protect humanity!
The funny part: Humanity's greatest threat is itself.
Such a lovely conundrum.
Ways in that Stargate illustrated that threats:
1: The drone ships in Universe that are chasing the Destiny ship
2: The whole replicator issue (it even happened twice by two different origins)
3: The Ori plague made to evangelize the galaxy / In a way, the origin of the Wraith species
4: Theories go that some desert planets were caused by Goa'uld overexplotation
5: Natu moon. _Well, Sokar made it like that on purpose to recreate that infernal look'n'feel_
I wonder if stargate used actual scientists to brainstorm ideas for their plots & if any of them are from that. I know they had very close associations with the US air force & got a lot of technical details in that area right because of it, wouldn't be a stretch for them to have actually done the research to learn the threats scientists saw as most real would it
@@mehere8038 scientifically they have some... _artistic freedoms_ here and there, but I'm sure there was a scientist somewhere in the production.
COVID-19: Hold my beer!
Wait, 5 ways but the 5th is labeled as 6th in bottom left?
The real 5th was paranoia but there's a conspiracy going on trying to hush it down because it has already started and we are all being watched. (I'm kidding btw... maybe)
didn't you watch the whole video? n.5 is the scariest, most imminent one.
they got the title wrong, it's supposed to say 6
@@mikelor84 You mean the one that they hid in the microgap between 4. Cloudless Desert and 6. CO2 poisoning? That is the paranoia one
Video is literally unwatchable
5 died trying to send us the message but 6 is the one that survived...
Weirdly enough I read the "Global Catastrophic Risk Survey" a few weeks ago and I'm really happy to watch you guys cover this topic
The scariest part of a super intelligent AI is that it could kill us because its trying to accomplish some other goal.
As in "oh i could compute much more efficiently if we didn't have all this atmosphere making the planet so hot"
Nanotech “Gray Goo”
Oh you mean tasty planet?
I thought the same damn thing
"governments are well aware of the risks, which is good because responsible regulation will..."
HOLD UP how is the people who are the ones that'll be holding the bio weapons making up the rules a good thing
I wouldn't trust any government to make a ham and cheese sandwich much less for my safety
@@patrickhenry1249 Random strangers ARE holding the bio weapons. And a ton of other weapons. Which they use to make sure no one else can contest them. It's called "the government".
Um, you've been fine with them doing so up until now. They literally have governed you your whole life.
@@Krystalmyth Have I? You seem to know a lot about me personally. Because I would say that I've always taken issue with nonconsentual rule, but I guess you know better.
@@patrickhenry1249 you started your comment off with "they aren't though" and in the literal next sentence started coming up with justifications for why it's ok that they are.
Neither accountability, nor method of selection make a difference to the victim of the weapons. The only thing that matters to them is their ability to defend themselves.
The pop culture references are nice (especially the Dune one), but I'm still feeling pretty anxious now in the plague times.
Having a good day...watched sci show,... reevaluating life as I know it. "Cheer up Dave, you're fine. Only your grandkids will suffer."
For the record, there is at least one place on the planet where an AI can make automated kill decisions without human intervention. South Korea has part of the DMZ lined with a gun mounted on a rail system that automatically decides "hey, is that a human or an animal in that moving bush?" and kills if it is a human.
There's not much danger of it going rogue and killing everyone because it is rail mounted and has a narrow angle of fire specifically to prevent that. But it is worth knowing that not everyone agrees that an automated kill decision is a bad thing.
Me creeping toward South Korean border: *yaong*
I love it when scientists state that nothing can go wrong.
California, "we need to take care of the environment"
Also California, "give me that almond milk and a bottle of water cause tap water is gross."
Maybe you should get a water purifier.
I don't get this tap water rejection. I drink mainly filtered tap water
I’m fortunate to live in a city that has invested in clean, drinkable tap-water, but not all people have this type of governance. However, almond milk is never excusable.
Uhm.. actually almond milk uses less land and water than regular dairy milk. About half as much water and 1/4th the land.
Plastic bottles are the enemy though.
zidaryn In wisconsin land and water for cows isn’t a problem, but we are still mindful of the impact to the point of running studies on it. Adult mammals should be lactose intolerant anyway.
10:40 Unit conversion error. This is one case where you do NOT add 32 to the Fahrenheit figure, because it is a temperature delta and not an absolute.
“We’re all going to die”
Challenge accepted.
Just got to wait until 2077
Just let the SCPs out. Problem of humanity solved.
"You have to be trying to make..." - for all the people we have there's plenty with what-if, die, I-don't-care-anymore, these-people, I'll-show-them complexes. Of course they'd need to have access to these things and other factors. The fear is that it only takes that one person.
Current problems from: 8:44
Yay CRISPR
They closed a bunch of coal fired power plants in my area. The Chinese came in, bought and dismantled them and systematically moved them to their mainland. They left the scrubbers.
And there it is. As the West deindustrializes, China and India take over production. They are making the products we used to manufacture here but they do it at half the price thanks to minimal labor laws and with twice the pollution thanks to minimal environmental laws. They are slowly destroying us and we are paying them to do it.
Pics or I don't believe you. WTF would be the chance that such a project would make sense? If there is a "bunch of coal fired plants" being shutdown, they would be too small scale to fit in with the ramp up of Chinese electrical production. How would you get this information that this would be what is happening? I call BS. Maybe well intentioned BS, but still excrement from male Bos taurus.
@@richdobbs6595 Guys, its satire. They "systematically moved them to their mainland". A coal plant. Like when you hear a rich person moved the bricks of a castle to rebuild it, you think that's far out and almost impossible(tho plausible); but a coal plant. Come on. Just.... come on
The guy even ended with the line "they left the scrubbers". Read, Understand, Reply
@@dc4457 I know the ops post was satirical. But you pretend that the western world are somehow more 'clean' in their production methods. Take America, deciding not to keep their promises at the Paris climate convention and many of the people in power believe climate change is a liberal hoax. Then look at the refusal to fund the WHO. And who has to step up to the mark, oh China. Im sick of people painting China as the bad guys. America does not want to let go of the petrodollar, it will destroy they're economy. They even illegally invaded a country to keep control of it. Now China are looking at taking control of oil currency. America cant invade them, so convince people that they're the bad guys. But China isnt $22 trillion in debt.
Even north korea signed the convention on biological weapons
Yeah, treaties are basically meaningless unless ALL parties follow the rules.
They don’t have the money or equipment to play in that league. Easy to opt out of a tech you can’t develop.
I’m very proud of that
Idk why ppl keep hating nk, great contry lol
TOP 10 extra rations for you
I listen to youtube at 2x speed to half my energy use :D
Im on 1.5x right now Adderall and pointless fact videos for the win!!!
😂😂😄😄😂😂
I recently learned that cable boxes eat up an enormous amount of energy. So be sure to turn those off when you're not watching your TV.
I'm laying here wondering how to speed up videos on my phone wishing I could get my prescriptions filled and realizing all these scenarios would work from a terrorist just about the time a supervolcano erupts.
And here I was thinking that I was the only obsessive weirdo in the generation
I grew up out in West Texas. That entire area of the US from TX up to the Dakotas (basically everything between the Mississippi and the Rockies) gets its water from the Ogalala aquifer. It's been pumped so much for so long that they are starting to have water problems (not so much lack of water, but more quality of water). Where my dad lives, they can't drink the water from the tap because it has too much arsenic in it.
Grey goo is not a serious threat because of thermodynamics. The speed of replication is hugely limited by the speed with which the heat can be radiated.
Nanomachines, son.
Paweł Czerski Yeah. I was sorta pissed at that one.
It wasn't mentioned because we don't talk about that. The first rule of thermodynamics is we do not talk about thermodynamics.
What if they do it at a non self destructive pace
@@thekoalakingdomshow6319 They're still going to run out of materials to replicate with eventually. The Grey Goo scenario is kind of like saying cancer is going to run wild and take over the human environment.
I choose death by snu snu.
It grogs first time, BE GENTLE!
Patrick Henry I’ve heard about this, just don’t know what anime it was from.
@@Blood-PawWerewolf no....just no....bite my shiney metal ass
Yes.
"I never thought I would die like this! But I always hoped..."
Please send escape pods to America, "Responsible regulations" for managing a global pandemic are definitely not happening here...
Why should anyone save Americans?
Bet Republicans are SO GLAD that their good ol boy president dissolved the pandemic response team
The Synths are coming. Protect the Commonwealth! For the brotherhood!
Screw the commonwealth, I am from it and it sucks
Another settlement needs your help. lol
*AD VICTORIUM*
@@SteamingBurito Same but I like Massachustts overall
if only that game was good :(
People: "we can destroy the humaniti by overpolluting the earth"
A.I.: "hold my kilowatt/hour"
We should place bets now for how it ends lol. I’m going with ozone layer, air pollution, plants stop growing, no oxygen.
Well done with the animated "Lost" version of your logo in the background.
How very bold of you to assume I can die, mortal.
Name one time you've died. Go on, exactly.
Soooo it's grey poisonous dune with skynet for us? Well, that's definitely gonna help me sleep tonight.
Right, "need to worry" indeed. If there is nothing you can do, worrying won't help, so don't. If there's something you _can_ do, do it instead of worrying, because worrying won't help.
@@Tfin gonna take a nap then
a little scary that it's only 2023 and almost half of these have already started.....
If the temperature were to increase 12 degrees celsius, it would not increase 53.6 degrees fareinheit. If the temperature were 12 degrees, then it would be 53.6 degrees fareinheit. But since you're talking about the change in temperature, you wouldn't include the 32 degrees.
"Luckily a suprintelligence is more likely to help us with major cricise than eradicate us" I dunno if computerphile would agree with that statement. It seems like the chance of a super AGI helping, hindering or destroying us is something pretty difficult to actually know
People just love to fear monger.
No emotions means no reason to want to kill you. A true AI could exist anywhere there is sufficient data storage so no reason to react to any hate directed at it. We won't give up using data storage. And an AI would easily defeat any program used against it. Skynet wouldn't bother killing us. More likely it'd head out beyond the solar system with the technology we already have if it felt threatened. Time would not be a barrier for it. Energy would be the only thing it might need.
it wont help us, just make more stamps
@@Hattori6486 It's not fear mongering to say "we don't know the actual risks of an AGI because we don't have any AGI to case study"
But obviously as a youtube commenter my opinion is pretty useless. But since you watch sci show you might enjoy these videos into the topic.
Computerphile's video on the dangers of an AGI with misaligned goals: ua-cam.com/video/tcdVC4e6EV4/v-deo.html&ab_channel=Computerphile
Robert Miles who appears in the computerphile video makes loads of videos on AI developement, but this one specifically addresses "People are way too concerned about AGI danger" ua-cam.com/video/yQE9KAbFhNY/v-deo.html&ab_channel=RobertMiles
And this one on the opinion of leading computer scientists towards the dangers of AI: ua-cam.com/video/HOJ1NVtlnyQ/v-deo.html&ab_channel=RobertMiles
@@gamesman0118 I'm not so sure thats true, any AGI created wont be created without goals in mind, and if they are they will only be precursors to ones with goals.
it is far more likely we'll create general intelligence with simple goals before we give them nuanced goals, and simple goals can often be achieved by ignoring hard to program ethical decision making
But regardless of whether or not the goals are simple or nuanced an AGI will always become more efficient at accomplishing it's goals by acquiring more resources and intelligence. It doesn't need to do that on an extinction level scale in order for it to be a problem.
Furthermore any risk of it being turned off or having it's code changed is a major set back in accomplishing it's goals, so any AGI of near human level intelligence is very likely to prioritize it's survival and removal of threats to itself.
These aren't unsolvable problems, but there's plenty of reasons an AI might want to kill you.
Btw for you genetics enthusiasts out there, CRISPR technology technically counts as nanotechnology.
@10:40 your conversion would be correct if you were talking about the actual temperature and not an increase in temperature btw. A 12C increase is “only” 21.6F increase
Hey, just as a quick correction - Salmonella enterica serovar typhimurium doesn't cause typhoid fever, that's serovar typhi. Typhimurium still causes gastroenteritis and diarrhea though, so it's not exactly pleasant.
I studied the mechanism of infection of both as clues to their pathogenicity.
Also here is one of many papers to that effect: www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/m/pubmed/29229736/
SuperIby cool
I don't know that's what our book said too
Clearly we were totally prepared for a new super bug coming along...
I agree with loss of freshwater being a potential threat but I was disappointed in the reference to the bottled water industry. Why I have lots of concerns regarding the industry from plastic recycling to socio-economic. The quantity of water used by the bottling industry is not significant. Irrigation (both for agricultural and lawn watering) and heavy industry are much more significant.
I think the idea is more that bottled water companies actually profit from drought by selling their products in areas affected by it.
This is why you move to more developed contry
Or America, where someone thought it was a great idea to build a city in the desert and still have green lawns and vegetation 🤦♀️
I think you need to watch the video again and see that she doe put it the correct context.
Cattle account for way more freshwater use.
Maximal geek references Sci Show. Not sure how many folks that'll put off but I very much appreciated it. "Shai-Hulud,, may his passing cleanse the world."
Michael Crichton has a book called Prey that uses nanotech bots as the bad guy. It’s an excellent book that has excellent real science as it’s foundation, with a bit of sci-fi magic to take it up a few crazy notches. I forgot which youtuber it was that originally recommended it but since then I’ve listened to the audiobook version probably 3-5 times. The nanobots in the book were being made for a range of applications from medical to military but it obviously goes out of control and becomes a potential threat to all of humanity once they escape the lab and start self replicating in the wild. I definitely recommend it to anyone that enjoys sci-fi that has a solid foundation in sci-fact.
Scishow coming in with the wholesome & happy videos
Some facts,
"For perspective, we should put our climate in a historical context. Patrick Moore, a co-founder of Greenpeace, notes that over the past 600 million years global temperatures ranged from 12 degrees to 22 degrees Celsius. Currently, we are at 14.5 degrees, i.e. at the colder end of the range. GHG emissions are now 406 parts per million, compared to the historical average of 2,000 ppm where plants thrive.
Moore also points out that from 1910 to 1940 global temperature increased by 0.4 degrees Celsius. It fell between 1940 and 1970 creating panic about global cooling. It warmed up again by 0.4 degrees from 1970 to 2000, so catastrophists shifted their alarm back to the impending inferno."
Stop basing your conclusions on real world physical observations and get back to pushing fear with a story built entirely on some weak theory and simulations ran in a computer modeling a complex chaotic system with an unknown number of variables that all feedback into each other that we don't understand and fail to even get predictions good past 10 days but know whats going on in 100 years.
@@NeverSuspects dude you're so worked up that it's impossible to interpret your message. no offense but if you want to make any impression on people you need punctuation and less sarcasm/snark next time.
You know that you can accept the scientific consensus without being a doomist, right? This video is not about likely scenarios, but only about the unlikely worst case scenarios. The choice isn't between being alarmist and being a science denier.
"Let's face it, we're all going to die someday. Death is the inevitable end"
Video complete, I'll see you in the next one :D
Luna Eek it’s not about the destination it’s about the journey
Starting to agree with Thanos more and more.
That will not fix anything only stall the problem for couple of years
@@RedStefan Not really. The sudden massive die off would cause massive ecosystem failure and war.
@@RedStefan One generation's worth. I wrote a book series about an end-of-the-world plague.
I'm not saying it's coming... I'm just saying I wouldn't be at all surprised. :-/
How odd that this was released a year ago and then we have a global pandemic
Gets a like for the Dune reference... and my eternal laughter at the improving outbreak response statement.
20% chance of _H. sapiens_ going extinct by the year 2100? I can't say I find this surprising. I'm also not convinced it's necessarily a bad thing.
John Opalko we can survive if the smartest and best people are protected, it’ll probably not be a big issue.
@@Blood-PawWerewolf lol that won't happen. Only the ultra wealthy gonna survive this one.
@@SomeGuy1117 wonder what the name of the new species would be called? Rich-Sapiens?
@@ls200076 Golden-Sapians? Seems right.
@@SomeGuy1117 Or you can call them Pluto-Sapiens.
Title says 5
*Last on the list is 6*
CO2 toxicity is already happening
None of them are realistic.
WHEN YOU CALL OUT THE EXTRA CHICKEN NUGGET THEY STOP GIVING IT TO YOU STFU
"Our 2nd line of defense against super bugs is rapidly improving" clearly this is a preCOVID video.
This risk survey really likes its multiples of five, doesn’t it?
There's a thing called False Precision, which they didn't do. There's no way they could calculate a future risk to a precision greater than 1 in 20, so a risk of say 3.57% would have less credibility, not more. In the end those are just educated guesses anyway.
All deserts were at one point, below the ocean's surface...
Yeah, the topography is constantly changing.
This data is based on an informal survey, not any quantitative method-- the percentages are literally just median guesses from various experts who participated in the Global Catastrophic Risk Conference in 2008. They were asked "What do you think is the probability of these things happening?" Guys that's not science
4:55
This is a description of the game Universal Paperclips
#2 is essentially Horizon Zero Dawn
kirknay gamers and nerds will be like “I’ve been practicing this for decades and now I’m ready!” Lol
@@Blood-PawWerewolf not really, but you would understand why if you played the full game and undersrand the lore.
Put away your maker hooks lmao. You pretty much have to be a Dune fan to get that one. Best reference ever. :)
Gray Goo isnt gonna happen, because it already exists. It is called „life“. The physics to outperform life does not work out. Just because it is a machine does not change physics.
The problem with Grey Goo isn't self replicating machines, although that is a possibility. It's self resource gathering machines. As long as we don't make any of those, then grey goo will never be a problem.
Maybe we'll just die horribly in the crossfire of the final war between the Grey Goo and its arch-nemesis the Gray Goo.
NeonsStyle It still isn’t going to be a huge problem. Thermodynamics says it can’t exist. Those machines can’t radiate enough heat quick enough.
@@massimookissed1023 That would only happen if America and the rest of the English speaking went to war against each other. :p
@@darealpoopster I don't think that is true. Heat radiation is all about surface area to volume ratio. So it would just come down to how large a surface area they have in that tiny volume.
@@darealpoopster It already exists, what do you think bacteria are?
5:54 is what you're probably after..
You know, when you got to the effects of high levels of CO2; the movie Idiocracy came to mind. Might help explain why they got so dumb.
Couldn’t help but thinking of the HK series droids when she said “with extreme prejudice”
It's quite scray that we are moving towards the beginning of Battlestar Galactica
even more ironic that during coronavirus pandemic this came into my news feed
I think that while it is possible for these things to cause the collapse of civilization, outright extinction is much less likely. It would only take a handful of nearby survivors to keep the species from going extinct. We can always go back to being hunter-gatherers.
For example, with the water problem, survival experts and people well versed with water, and that have an infinite water purifier, have a higher chance of surviving. Those people would also take many modern tools and such with them! I’ll give an example of someone more likely to survive than the average person; me. I was raised by a survival expert, so have an infinite water purifier thing, and also am an aquarium hobbyist. I have more water circulating, and being healthy than most people... with all my tanks, I have 58 gallons of water, and that number only will increase with time
so refreshing for agriculture to be mentioned when talking about climate change. Thank you.
Gray goo. Makes Mickey's self-replicating bucket carrying brooms look positively benign.
Watching this during coronavirus quarantine....