Why Russian Defenses collapse

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  • Опубліковано 3 чер 2024
  • Why do Russian defense collapse on the front lines in Ukraine? In this video we look at various factors that plague the Russian Armed Forces in Ukraine.
    Cover: Original cover from Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, photo.php?fb...
    Modified by vonKickass.
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    »» SOURCES ««
    Grau, Lester W.; Bartles, Charles K.: The Russian Way of War. Force Structure, Tactics, and Modernization of the Russian Ground Forces. Foreign Military Studies Office (FMSO): Fort Leavenworth, Kansas, USA, 2017
    media.law.wisc.edu/m/zgyzz/ru...
    / 1506258337649864710
    rusi.org/explore-our-research...
    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of...
    www.bbc.com/news/world-62512681
    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Uk...
    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Uk...
    understandingwar.org/backgrou...
    / 1506258331152887811
    edition.cnn.com/2022/03/21/po...
    / 1506258337649864710
    / 1506258326925029382
    www.voanews.com/a/russia-name...
    / 1574978581528080384
    www.telegraph.co.uk/world-new...
    / 1574978583885324288
    / 1571843782378749952
    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of...
    www.bbc.com/news/world-62512681
    / 1506258373129474062
    www.themoscowtimes.com/2022/0...
    / 1574794873605324801
    www.economist.com/the-economi...
    foreignpolicy.com/2022/09/14/...
    www.defense.gov/News/News-Sto...
    www.csis.org/analysis/what-do...
    www.businessinsider.com/us-sp... www.nytimes.com/2022/09/10/us...
    www.theatlantic.com/ideas/arc...
    understandingwar.org/backgrou...
    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Uk...
    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Uk...
    00:00 Intro
    01:22 Recent Events & Source Situation
    01:53 No Unity of Command?
    05:52 Leadership Issues
    06:54 Logistics
    10:11 Manpower Issues
    11:53 Deception - Russia redeployed?
    13:17 Intelligence
    14:22 Corruption
    15:26 Morale
    17:22 Summary
    #ukraine #russiaukrainewar #russia

КОМЕНТАРІ • 1,8 тис.

  • @tileux
    @tileux Рік тому +807

    As a former soldier in a western army it is true that we purchased our own gear - but that was pretty much always to make our gear MORE comfortable or easier to use. Issued gear was - as a general rule - always up to the job although not always as practical as could be. The purchases we used to make were more like modifications or improvements. There were one or two issued items that were not fit for purpose, yes, so we'd buy personal replacements for them but over a lot of years I never saw anyone buying major items.

    • @tonyshield5368
      @tonyshield5368 Рік тому +94

      Yep, that was my experience in British army in 1970's. Most common purchase was a Bergen (rucksack) for comfort.

    • @stevebuckley7788
      @stevebuckley7788 Рік тому +17

      The whole story seems to be relating to some volunteers/cadets rather than Reservists and Regulars.
      There are a bunch of grass roots recruitment campaigns happening at oblast level started by Ramzan Kadyrov to provide 1000 men per oblast for a special volunteer army which is not funded at the federal level.

    • @cumgoat
      @cumgoat Рік тому +9

      I'm the marine corps we had to pay for all of our own gear and boots and uniforms and such, I doubt this is different anywhere

    • @rauldelvillar374
      @rauldelvillar374 Рік тому +27

      As a former soldier in a NATO army it is true that we purchased our own gear - because much of the issue kit was junk. We bought as much civvy kit as our officers would let us get away with; boots, winter clothes, bivvy bags, field cooking stoves... you name it. Additionally many would buy out of pocket from CQ whatever top-end gear was temp issue or deployment-only issue. Shortages of equipment and lag behind incorporating civilian commercial technology is normal in all armies.

    • @BH-gh6qm
      @BH-gh6qm Рік тому +41

      i disagree... i spent a thousand dollars on a customized alice pack ( or hog pack) , 300 on better lightweight boots ( like 4 different times) 400 on a more comfortable plate carrier, and countless other little pouches and shit to make life more comfortable..... And a lot of those pouches were actually old school stuff from the 70's and 80's found in surplus stores... A lot of the issued gear is complete shit or uncomfortable as hell. War is already very uncomfortable much of the time, I didnt want to die because of being tired or uncomfortable from dealing with sub par equipment. ( USA military, served in iraq and afghan)

  • @emilchan5379
    @emilchan5379 Рік тому +91

    Great video, but I would like to point out there is a difference between "purchasing my own gear because it is better than standard issue gear" and "purchasing my own gear because there was no standard issue gear".

  • @waiting4aliens
    @waiting4aliens Рік тому +1535

    Unity of command might lead to a commander with battle tested troops loyal to him, who was not a political stooge, that might decide to seize power. Stalin feared Georgy Konstantinovich Zhukov.

    • @Br1cht
      @Br1cht Рік тому +91

      And the US Minecrafted Patton and later Adm Forest to name a few;)

    • @pilopet1150
      @pilopet1150 Рік тому

      @@Br1cht no proof of pattons death being an assasination just a stupid claim thought of decades after it happened

    • @Jame5man
      @Jame5man Рік тому +52

      @@Br1cht or the Germans with Rommel

    • @Treklosopher
      @Treklosopher Рік тому

      @@Br1cht Patton was a trashbag Nazi sympathizer. Real war heroes became Presidents in the U.S. Look at U.S. Grant or Ike, as two examples.

    • @wookiewithacookie6905
      @wookiewithacookie6905 Рік тому +16

      This is 100% spot on.

  • @cyberherbalist
    @cyberherbalist Рік тому +160

    As for the Russian military not supplying basic items to their troops, when I was in the US Army infantry (now nearly 50 years ago, wow), the Army issued what we needed to perform our mission. We received a small allowance to maintain our uniforms, but most of us bought new items as the old ones wore out or went missing. This expense was not large. Many of us went out to the civilian economy and bought extra personal equipment for our own convenience, mainly "comfort-type" items. But by and large, we didn't _need_ to.

    • @J3sseReidSucser
      @J3sseReidSucser Рік тому +5

      Anyway. The European space does not reflect the essence of the situation in Russia, the Western media often confuse the army of Russia and the army of its allies who live on humanitarian aid from Russia and think that Russia has everything very bad, in fact, all are given everything, everyone has enough of everything in abundance. The Russian military doesn't even take money with them to Ukraine because they are provided with everything. There are, of course, individual cases, but it depends on the commanders. Well, of course in Russia there are panicked people who take everything they can, from money to headache pills :D

    • @andersjjensen
      @andersjjensen Рік тому +10

      @@J3sseReidSucser This may be the case for their professional army, but it's abundantly clear that many of the recently conscripted blokes where flat out told that the army was out of sleeping bags and mats, so if they wanted to sleep they had to buy their own. The combat nurse who brought them the news in the video I happened so see informed them that they would be issued with a uniform, helmet, weapon and boots. Everything else was at their own expense.

    • @J3sseReidSucser
      @J3sseReidSucser Рік тому +2

      @@andersjjensen It's entirely possible that this could happen, but everyone I talk to from Russia says the only thing they really don't give is a butt pad

    • @kriegdeathrider7805
      @kriegdeathrider7805 Рік тому

      @@J3sseReidSucser lol units drafted "trained and equiped" by the Russian army and transported through Russia in Russian military veichles to go fight alongside Russian regular conscripts in a war that Russia started are part of the Russian army regardless of whatever little third world Soviet republic they where drug kicking and screaming from, and Russian conscripts are paid almost nothing officers regularly and openly sell issued equipment and supplies on the black market to supplement the poor income, and what little hasn't been sold to anti russian terrorist groups or western collectors is often poorly maintained, the Russian army is a joke at best the writing was on the wall since the Soviet Afghan war

    • @AnimeSunglasses
      @AnimeSunglasses Рік тому +2

      That's overall very similar to what my friends and acquaintances who served recently did - GI gear covered all the REQUIREMENTS, personal purchases were about comfort and upgrades - everything from better underwear to a better sidearm, but not from danger of LACKING a capability.

  • @AlphaAurora
    @AlphaAurora Рік тому +79

    I'd note: Sitting in semi-static frontlines is extremely bad for morale, especially if you don't rotate troops from the front. Its rather telling that what should have been an Shock Breakthrough Unit in 4th Guards Tank Division, sat largely static at Izium on a salient to nowhere, for the better part of 3-4 months. Daily routine without victory saps morale just as badly as all the other morale factors listed.

    • @ItchyTrigahFingah
      @ItchyTrigahFingah Рік тому +13

      Ukrainian troops are rotating to the front for 48 or 72 hours at a time the same cannot be said for the Russian troops.

    • @subtlewhatssubtle
      @subtlewhatssubtle Рік тому

      An interesting point regarding morale comes out of a couple of articles I have read post-mobilization callup by Putin. The phrase "cannon fodder" has been used by men who want to avoid the callup, giving you an idea of how the failures in Ukraine are being perceived by those Russians who thought they would not end up personally involved in the war.
      If your reservists and conscripts already think they are simply being sent out solely to die fruitlessly, that is going to be sheer hell on unit morale, cohesion, and operation. History has shown that units with such an abysmal condition are much more likely to break when engaged.

  • @rogerodle8750
    @rogerodle8750 Рік тому +447

    Q: Why didn't Russian soldiers destroy equipment left behind?
    A1: The Russian army is extremely "Top Down" in nature. Personal initiative is frowned upon. Ergo, they didn't destroy the equipment because they weren't directed to by someone far up the command chain.
    A2: The destruction of equipment left behind is the action of a retreating force. These Russian forces were being routed. They didn't have time, especially when combined with
    item A1 above.

    • @geodkyt
      @geodkyt Рік тому +101

      Russian troops who destroy equipment without *explicit* orders to do so risk being accused of sabotage.

    • @johnneill990
      @johnneill990 Рік тому +8

      A lot of what they left behind was 30 to 40 years old. I hope the Ukrainians have a lot of good mechanics / restorers.

    • @BillySchwarzkopf
      @BillySchwarzkopf Рік тому +23

      @@johnneill990 we do ;) BTW many abandoned vehicles have mines but this doesn’t work.

    • @CellGames2006
      @CellGames2006 Рік тому +20

      @@johnneill990 Tanks to the "tractor troops" Ukraine is able to bring these puppies out into workshops and never ran out of fresh tanks 🙂

    • @michaelkensbock661
      @michaelkensbock661 Рік тому

      In addition to your two points, the destruction of equipment is the act of a retreating force.
      Everyone knows that the Russians didn't retreat. They deliberately redeployed, following a well-planned timetable. Just ask Igor Konashenkov(!)

  • @captaintofu4926
    @captaintofu4926 Рік тому +44

    your pictograms are always top notch. I am often fascinated how you can capture an abstract term in a pictogram

  • @SanguinaryBlues
    @SanguinaryBlues Рік тому +283

    OK, I've written quite a bit below so I wanna open by saying that I appreciate your work and wish more historians were like you. 🙂 Just so we're clear on that.
    8:14 Something a lot of people seem to overlook is the median income of a Russian soldier as opposed to that of an American soldier.
    I can't judge how comfortable a US soldier is buying a 5.11 Tactical gun holster or something, but, as a Russian, trust me when I say a lot of those conscripts are fucking dirt poor, as in food, utilities, and rent consume well over 50% of their income, and likely pushing 85%, in some cases 100%. There's an estimate that a conscript "starter pack" costs something between 120K and 180K rubles (and I forget if this even includes an armor vest and a helmet). The median monthly salary in Dagestan, Buryat Republic, and Khabarovsk Region is 22K, 21K, and 33K rubles respectively. I chose them because the regime likes to draw manpower from there as opposed to richer places like Moscow and St.Petersburg, where people can get real angry real fast. Now, surprise surprise, very few people have savings in places like Dagestan, so it's safe to expect a fair few of them to incur debt before they even get on the bus to training. This also inspires some ridiculous methods of saving costs, like officers advising conscripts to stock up on ladies' tampons to plug gunshot wounds with them.
    Just keep some of that in mind when you think of a Russian conscript buying his own crucial supplies 'cause his fucking country told him he's on his own and a US soldier buying something for himself that prefers over the standard issue stuff.
    End of rant. 🙂

    • @Calzaghe83
      @Calzaghe83 Рік тому +4

      yup

    • @rs2excelsior
      @rs2excelsior Рік тому +39

      100%. There's a huge difference between "I want this really cool accessory for my gun, I'm gonna buy it" and "you have to purchase your own helmets, body armor, uniforms, shoes, sleeping bags, tents, and virtually everything else except for a rifle" (which will quite probably be in terrible condition)

    • @flyboymb
      @flyboymb Рік тому +41

      Let me put it to you this way. The average US Private has to be educated on how not to blow all his money because, if he lives in the barracks, he has free food, free housing, and free equipment as long as he keeps it from getting lost or wrecked.
      When I was in Afghanistan and Iraq, there were car dealerships set up for the guys who were drawing pay with nowhere to spend it. Buy the car in the combat zone tax free and it was delivered to your home when you returned to the states. Soldiers were paying for these brand new cars in cash because who needs to save money right? There were also bazaars where one could purchase televisions, high-quality mattresses, and gaming consoles to make your rack a bit more like home.
      Add in the additional food areas that you could pay for, the MWR areas with recreation such as pool and movies, and hot showers (hot water isn't much of a challenge in a 130 degree desert) and life wasn't that bad when you weren't getting shot at.
      But this motivates a US Soldier (generally there's always exceptions) to be a well-trained, educated, and free-thinking individual compared to your average conscript who is treated like a junkyard dog on the expectation that it will make them "tougher".

    • @takashiross8553
      @takashiross8553 Рік тому +11

      When friends of mine deployed to Afghanistan years ago they talked about how the Army gave them money to upgrade their kit. I’ve no idea if that’s true or not but I doubt the Russian army is shelling out extra rubles for sliders going on deployment.

    • @linda1lee2
      @linda1lee2 Рік тому

      You're right that many Russian soldiers are dirt poor; that's a big reason why they're just common criminals stealing everything including toilets! But tampons are very good for plugging bullets wounds. I think even many US soldiers have them.

  • @Subjectivity13
    @Subjectivity13 Рік тому +46

    Something about a German explaining war just makes it sound so much more... authentic.

    • @TheTomasio1975
      @TheTomasio1975 Рік тому +12

      I believe he's Austrian though.

    • @fumble_brewski5410
      @fumble_brewski5410 Рік тому +2

      Achtung, baby!

    • @SirAntoniousBlock
      @SirAntoniousBlock Рік тому +19

      @@TheTomasio1975 You know who else was Austrian?

    • @Les537
      @Les537 Рік тому

      Germans said the Nazis were winning last time too.

    • @heikki7949
      @heikki7949 Рік тому +18

      @@SirAntoniousBlock Mozart?? Sigmund Freud?? Arnold Schwarzenegger?? 😉🙃

  • @Slavalanche
    @Slavalanche Рік тому +16

    I was a soldier in Russian army from October 2021 until May 2022. Thankfully, I managed to leave the army and flee from the country the night mobilization was enforced, 30 minutes before they closed the borders.
    Many points in this video are completely true, or at least to some extent. If you guys want, I can answer some questions about insides of our army

    • @therealbosstopob4l974
      @therealbosstopob4l974 Рік тому

      Why do some Russian military equipment look old and rusty? What’s the training like compared to western armies counterparts?

    • @Slavalanche
      @Slavalanche Рік тому +8

      @@therealbosstopob4l974 The problem with Russian army is complete indifference to the equipment and/or just basic lack of it. Corruption is widespread and deeply rooted in the system, which makes it almost impossible to acquire new equipment. Only those divisions which are created for "show" get it (AK-12, Armata T-14 tanks e.t.c), in reality all the new tanks and weapons are just nowhere to be found. In our division we had 4 tanks: 3 T-72B3M, and 1 T-64. When they were being prepared for relocation, T-64 didn't start up, one T-72 didn't as well, and other two barely made it to the border having a lot of engine problems. Out of 8 BTRs only 4 started up and went to Ukraine.
      When it comes to training, we have none. Those who serve by law (we have conscription law, where if you are from 18 to 27 you have to serve 1 year, except if you go to university's military courses and become an officer) usually just clean the barracks, as well as the territory of their base. Maybe 1-2 times in their year of service they go to the shooting range, and once a week they have morning training. At other times we were just sleeping, browsing internet and being depressed that our girlfriends probably cheat on us while we do that useless shit (cause you can't go home, maybe once, twice a year, or you can go every weekend, if you have money. You know what I mean)
      Those who serve by contract have a bit more training, but it's up to them. As they are privileged, they can just do nothing all day, and no one will say anything to them. Or they can actually go to shooting ranges, workout and keep their body in shape, but I've seen maybe 10-15 of them doing actual military things, but also I've seen hundreds doing jackshit.
      Whenever you see these military competitions, where Russian and US soldiers do boxing, or wrestling, or compete in any other sports, Russia usually send guys who were previously trained, e.g guys who were professional boxers as civilians, and learned nothing new while in the military, while Navy SEALs actually learn how to fight and shoot while serving. So overall I would say average quality of soldiers is way higher in western armies.
      We Russians excel in one thing - Defence.
      We don't have any attacking capabilities when we are unmotivated and have nothing to fight for (like now. This war is useless), however, as we've seen many times in history, when Russia gets boxed and attacked, for whatever reason, be it genetic memory, our roots, or just sheer anger and unwillingness to die (or all together) people start fighting like cornered animals, even with no guns, even with no armored vehicles or tanks, and honestly, any army in the world, even US, will have absolutely horrible time inside our borders, cause there will be so many guerillas. Any man, woman or child would be a potential threat, not to mention, that anybody who will be able to hold a gun, will sign in to fight. Think of it as a national spirit. And also winter... the deeper you go into Russia, the colder it will get, and trust me, at some point even Abrams will just stop working cause oil will freeze.

    • @yanqingliu1761
      @yanqingliu1761 Рік тому

      @@Slavalanche Hi mate, before the war I heard Ukrainian army was as corrupt. Their weapons weren't any better initially. What's your take?

  • @jon-paulfilkins7820
    @jon-paulfilkins7820 Рік тому +57

    The WW1 battles of Tannenberg and the Masurian Lakes suggest Russian forces have a tradition of not working together unless there is someone definitely in charge!

    • @taesu8
      @taesu8 Рік тому +21

      Yes, look at poor Brusilov. He led a successful campaign but his counterpart delayed and then did not use new tactics he employed.

    • @Reichsritter
      @Reichsritter Рік тому

      Like Stalin with Zhukov

    • @umjackd
      @umjackd Рік тому +3

      It should be noted that following those battles, Russia still took another 3 years to break. They learned a lot in that time too. Never count them out entirely.

    • @SirAntoniousBlock
      @SirAntoniousBlock Рік тому

      If you live in a society like Russia you learn to fear and mistrust everyone, especially authority figures.

  • @JumpinJoe
    @JumpinJoe Рік тому +17

    8:15 western troops did buy some of their own gear for use in Iraq and Afghanistan such as boots, magazines, and weapon attachments before some units began to issue them. The boots and magazines were purchased because they were upgrades from the government issued gear not because they were sent without

    • @pierredunn68
      @pierredunn68 Рік тому

      russian ppl have no money to buy military equipment.
      Even here, in Ukraine, you have to save up, in order to buy a Glock.
      Thus, buying bodyarmor, CADs, and other stuff, means you have to take a loan from a bank, and there are actually advertisements on ''mobilization loans''.
      Basically its: ''U see, Ivan, you die or go in debt for lifetime, but most likely both, good luck, pray to putin''

  • @zadarthule
    @zadarthule Рік тому +13

    SUN TZU has some fitting quotes:
    - The Moral Law causes the people to be in complete accord with their ruler, so that they will follow him regardless of their lives, undismayed by any danger.
    - There are three ways in which a ruler can bring misfortune upon his army:
    (2) By attempting to govern an army in the same way as he administers a kingdom, being ignorant of the conditions which obtain in an army. This causes restlessness in the soldier's minds.
    - There is no instance of a country having benefited from prolonged warfare.

    • @stupidburp
      @stupidburp Рік тому

      This is what you get when a dictator with expertise only in suppressing internal dissent and promoting propaganda is in charge of a major offensive military operation.

    • @howardsimpson489
      @howardsimpson489 Рік тому

      Perhaps look at NK, but benefitted is questionable.

    • @mojewjewjew4420
      @mojewjewjew4420 Рік тому

      ussr benefited from prolonged warfare,aslo the quote is innacurate.

  • @raseli4066
    @raseli4066 Рік тому +191

    This is a great example of why I go to UA-cam for some of my news intake. Mhv has been a source of knowledge for me for years now, and these videos on recent events is always super appreciated

    • @SwitchTF2
      @SwitchTF2 Рік тому +7

      Not to mention there's more accurate context here than most news broadcasters can stomach. Even DW and BBC are full of basic errors. I saw a UATV report that identified a swedish AT-4 as Russian RPG 26. These journalists must be on speed, with the number of stupid mistakes they make.

    • @Despiser25
      @Despiser25 Рік тому +1

      Rumble wont censor him for saying Nahtzee. Alphabet is evil.

    • @HegelsOwl
      @HegelsOwl Рік тому +1

      MHV uses no methodology to rule-out his biases, and therefore states only his biases. Correct? So, how much were you paid to advertise the nonsence you posted?

    • @seventy18
      @seventy18 Рік тому

      @@SwitchTF2
      Ukraine was killing Russian Speaking Ukrainians in all the border towns. Russia put an end to that.
      They moved in unchallenged held every inch of the territory they took... They then moved Ukrainians from a few areas and withdrew some areas.
      Ukraine was completely nullified in every aspect.
      Now the pathetic western media says Ukraine is winning when Russia has simply withdrawn from unimportant and worthless land.
      The Border has been annexed and their isn't anything Ukraine can do about it.

    • @SwitchTF2
      @SwitchTF2 Рік тому +2

      @@HegelsOwl Can you name a few biases and explain this? I'm probably wasting my time, but since you can spell, maybe you can think too.

  • @Paxdk
    @Paxdk Рік тому +4

    Once again a very informative video, with a great selection of sources as well as illustrations. You have a consistently high level of quality in your videos mate - keep it up!

  • @russwoodward8251
    @russwoodward8251 Рік тому +196

    Bernhard, your research, detailed explanations, and careful analysis are of great value. Many thanks once again.

    • @MilitaryHistoryVisualized
      @MilitaryHistoryVisualized  Рік тому +13

      Glad you like them!

    • @johnsmith1474
      @johnsmith1474 Рік тому +2

      It's just conjecture. I find it amusing that you though you admit via your appreciation you know nothing yourself, you feel qualified to label the video detailed and careful. For all you know, it's end to end bullshit. You are simply reacting to the cartoon grade entertainment graphics and stylish accent of the speaker.

    • @russwoodward8251
      @russwoodward8251 Рік тому +11

      @@johnsmith1474 He cites his sources John Smith. His "conjecture" is directly trace-able. Like any good journalist Bernhard, invests a lot of time on his subjects. Go through his series of videos. He confers with museum curators, armor and military experts, and many other educated professionals. Once you've got an idea of the body of his work, then I don't think you'll claim he's "talking out his ass".

    • @t.n.h.ptheneohumanpatterna8334
      @t.n.h.ptheneohumanpatterna8334 Рік тому

      @@MilitaryHistoryVisualized hi 😅

    • @ToddSauve
      @ToddSauve Рік тому +1

      @@johnsmith1474 You speak very loudly for someone who doesn't seem to know the high quality reports Military History Visualized produces consistently. Try watching more of their content before wading in with both guns blazing.

  • @MrBlueBurd0451
    @MrBlueBurd0451 Рік тому +261

    I extremely highly recommend an old essay by the name of 'Why Arabs Lose Wars'. Sure, the essay itself refers to Arab militaries in the modern era, but I've found a LOT of the principles denoted within the essay strongly apply to the Russian military right now. Perhaps you should take a look at this essay as well?

    • @majungasaurusaaaa
      @majungasaurusaaaa Рік тому

      Arabs only fight well if driven by religious fervor. Arab nationalism is non existent.

    • @cnlbenmc
      @cnlbenmc Рік тому +72

      When The Russians start even coming close to resembling ANYTHING like THAT; they've got cataclysmic problems... Hell the Iraqi Republican Guard in the 1991 Gulf War seems to be more competent than most Russian Formations in Ukraine and they lost Half their Force in that WAR...

    • @alman5568
      @alman5568 Рік тому

      The Russian military is the one that trained the arabs.

    • @phunkracy
      @phunkracy Рік тому +11

      its a really bad essay tho. but MHV takedown would be entertaining

    • @phunkracy
      @phunkracy Рік тому +27

      @@cnlbenmc trust me while RU has its problems the Iraq never even approached the Ukraine or Russia in military prowess. if you think Russia does poorly you havent read on how Iraq performed, it would make Soviet Winter War blush

  • @glock17games
    @glock17games Рік тому +22

    08:10 On western troops bringing their own gear to afghan.
    I do think theres a big difference on troops bringing some bits and bobs that they think are better then allready provided by their armies. WHich is something soldiers always do in pretty much any war in history.
    Compared to needing to buy your own medkit or tampons, sleeping bags, wintercoat, boots and body armor ....... (thats going back to medieval times tbh )

    • @patsy02
      @patsy02 Рік тому +6

      Even in medieval times your baron would arm and armour you if you were to join his army. This is more like ancient times when each levied citizen brought his own family hoplon and linothorax if he could afford one.

  • @markb8468
    @markb8468 Рік тому

    Great video! Thanks. Been a fan for a long time and it's good to see your analysis on this topic.

  • @thomasjgallagher924
    @thomasjgallagher924 Рік тому +1

    An excellent summary of the factors contributing to the inevitable change in the momentum of the war. A piece like this adds to the conversation and understanding. Danke schoen.

  • @CB-vt3mx
    @CB-vt3mx Рік тому +415

    There are two pieces missing from the analysis that may be important: First--is the acquisition of the eastern regions something the average Russian sees as worth fighting over? Likely not. Hard to motivate commanders or troops to lay their lives on the ground for something so obviously not an advantage to Russia.
    Second--What is the level of commitment to the national leadership vice the nation? Russia is not fighting a great patriotic war to liberate lands taken by a foreign adversary. This means that deep mobilization of the nation to fight this war is likely to be very unpopular and resisted internally. The Russian leadership has to gain its objectives--whatever those actually are--while limiting the scope of the war to appease the population.
    Many of the problems experienced by the Russian Army may well trace back to these questions. Fighting a limited war of aggression against a modern state is very difficult. Ukraine is not Georgia, Chechnya, or Armenia (or even Iraq).
    A related third observation may be that Russia really did expect the West (particularly the USA) to sit this one out. Whether that is due to ineptitude on the part of the USA or Russia, I do not know--likely both. But the introduction of western manufacturing and tech fundamentally changed the complexity of the operations in a manner that Russia clearly did not plan for.

    • @MilitaryHistoryVisualized
      @MilitaryHistoryVisualized  Рік тому +133

      yeah, about first, I originally had a "why we fight" part, but it is indirectly covered in the quote about the diversity of Russian troops, particularly the aspect that separatists don't want to fight outside.
      About second, I left the political level out of the picture, should have mentioned that explicitly.

    • @cv990a4
      @cv990a4 Рік тому +79

      Russia did not plan for anything lasting beyond days. The Washington Post has a very impressive long-form article on the lead up to the war, specifically the role of the FSB and how badly it screwed up. FSB leaders for Russia's Ukraine operation had plans to immediately move to Kiev, they were so confident of an immediate victory. It was a huge miscalculation.

    • @majungasaurusaaaa
      @majungasaurusaaaa Рік тому +50

      @@MilitaryHistoryVisualized Wars can not be separated from politics.

    • @asmo1313
      @asmo1313 Рік тому +23

      @@MilitaryHistoryVisualized van Clausewitz is a bit dissapointed in you now :)

    • @olddogoddments675
      @olddogoddments675 Рік тому

      The US and Russia both thought it likely that Ukrainians would not be motivated to put up a real fight. The US had trained the Ukrainian army to some extent but think Afghanistan, they had trained the army there too and it evaporated. As it became clearer and clearer that Ukrainians really backed their government in resisting Russia, and that they were using what they had in smart ways, then the US and the rest of the West dropped any idea of 'sitting it out'. Then Putin's goose was cooked, though it took many months of Western aid and a long, painful Ukrainian fighting retreat to make that fully visible to us all.

  • @jizzlemack9927
    @jizzlemack9927 Рік тому +6

    American military are not required to buy anything that’s necessary for a combat operation. They’re supplied with uniforms, body armor, helmets, night vision, weapons, ammo, food, water, medicine, all personal medical gear, toiletries, sleeping gear, etc. everything they need is available. But they do have the option to purchase additional gear they might want, or upgrade certain things with approved items.

    • @user-xr4wu4rp2r
      @user-xr4wu4rp2r Рік тому +1

      What a horror! We urgently need to send you the Minister of Defense Shoigu. Then your tankers will even have to buy tanks at their own expense. Shoigu will teach American generals how to steal money from the budget! Your soldiers will finally engage in proper military training. They will build houses for the generals.

    • @johanmetreus1268
      @johanmetreus1268 Рік тому +1

      @@user-xr4wu4rp2r
      "Your soldiers will finally engage in proper military training. They will build houses for the generals."
      We had that in Sweden up until the 1990's, where employed staff at various levels could use the state resources for personal use.
      For instance, if the helicopter squadron was scheduled for training with hanging cargo, it could be tasked to deliver building material to the summer house instead of flying a cement block back and forth over the airfield; or have the mechanics under training service the private car when there was little else to do.

    • @user-xr4wu4rp2r
      @user-xr4wu4rp2r Рік тому

      @@johanmetreus1268 Things are much worse with us. I think only mass public executions of generals will help.

  • @speedzero7478
    @speedzero7478 Рік тому +1

    Yes, I very much have been looking forward to your analysis.

  • @FinsburyPhil
    @FinsburyPhil Рік тому +2

    Another excellent analysis Bernhard. Thank you.

  • @Quondom
    @Quondom Рік тому +8

    "A fish rots from the head." Putin is a former KGB officer without military experience, and his minister of defense is a political appointee without military experience. This explains the huge strategic blunders committed, for example, invading Ukraine during the Rasputitsa , the season of the mud. Any competent Russian officer could have told them that was a bad idea, but Putin is an absolute ruler who believes firmly in his own genius and doesn't like to hear objections or complaints.

    • @howardsimpson489
      @howardsimpson489 Рік тому

      Plus he wanted to show brotherhood to Chinese Olympic propaganda.

  • @TheMrCougarful
    @TheMrCougarful Рік тому +3

    Valuable information and synthesis.

  • @markwilson2992
    @markwilson2992 Рік тому +1

    Excellent analysis - thanks! Prefer more of this longer type analysis.

  • @jasonprivately1764
    @jasonprivately1764 Рік тому +1

    An excellent summation. I especially enjoyed the links on your quotes

  • @REOGURU
    @REOGURU Рік тому +3

    I really enjoy your videos, in particular you creative icons!!

  • @johndoe5432
    @johndoe5432 Рік тому +5

    It's hard to look at this conflict and not see significant parallels with the Winter War. There are many differences of course, but as well all know history does not truly repeat itself, it rhymes.

  • @allegrofantasy
    @allegrofantasy Рік тому

    Another excellent presentation- the skill is to take a complex subject and make a short, very informative and focused video.

  • @names1842
    @names1842 Рік тому +1

    seriously high quality content! keep up the quality!

  • @jackray1337
    @jackray1337 Рік тому +8

    Thank you.

  • @rift8966
    @rift8966 Рік тому +13

    8:13. Eh, that's not entirely true. For US troops, you have your standard issue kit, depending on your MOS. You're provided everything. You _can_ purchase additional gear, like laser sights (before the ban), optics, boots, gloves, NODS, bivvy, etc., etc.

    • @rift8966
      @rift8966 Рік тому +3

      @@dxpsumma383...No, it wasn't, which is exactly why I commented. He said US forces also had to buy their gear like Russia ("in some cases"), and that's not true. All the required gear, or kit, is provided to you. You have the choice to buy additional gear, or pieces of your own gear (if it's approved).
      Some things you _are_ required to pay for. I'm not sure how it is in other branches, but in the Marine Corps., for example, you pay for your dress blues, and they cost a couple thousand dollars. They were about $2,800 back in 2001. This isn't part of your kit, though.
      If you're gonna troll, at least don't suck at it.

  • @michaelguerin56
    @michaelguerin56 Рік тому +2

    Thank you Bernhard. Excellent video.

  • @joestendel1111
    @joestendel1111 Рік тому +2

    Thanks for talking in chat Bernard

  • @AndyZach
    @AndyZach Рік тому +3

    Excellent content. Subscribed. Your English is excellent.

  • @andmos1001
    @andmos1001 Рік тому +38

    “Don’t worry, Steiner’s army will relive us” somebody in a bunker, maybe

  • @samstewart4807
    @samstewart4807 Рік тому

    Excellent! So glad you are doing these videos. Sorry I only see this one- I will look for others from u.

  • @vectors2final36
    @vectors2final36 Рік тому +2

    Really great analysis.

  • @ragnarone5409
    @ragnarone5409 Рік тому +9

    Danke für die Zusammenfassung

  • @dmomintz
    @dmomintz Рік тому +192

    Radiation missiles and cheap effective combat drones have been a game changer. The moment the Russians switch on their systems or use their radar they are targeted, and if they hide in their holes and wait, they get grenades dropped on their heads. This is hindering their ability to consolidate leadership under a unified command and keeping their troops off balance with low morale. This is what happens when your military strategy never advanced past WW2.

    • @brucesweatman2146
      @brucesweatman2146 Рік тому

      the only part about this battle that will be like world war two for the Russians?... Yes, millions of Russians will die. But their goals will never be met. как сказать неудача по-русски? Зачем умирать за лилипута Путина, когда есть ради чего жить? при отправке на фронт? массово сдаться и дожить до повешения Путина?
      kak skazat' neudacha po-russki? Zachem umirat' za liliputa Putina, kogda yest' radi chego zhit'? pri otpravke na front? massovo sdat'sya i dozhit' do povesheniya Putina?

    • @inyobill
      @inyobill Рік тому +8

      Of course, "Anti-Radiation Missiles ...", just a typo.

    • @rafaelgoncalvesdias7459
      @rafaelgoncalvesdias7459 Рік тому +10

      Kids Bullshit. Game changer was well trained boots on the ground. As ever since WW1

    • @inyobill
      @inyobill Рік тому +19

      @@rafaelgoncalvesdias7459 No substitute for training. Good equipment is also essential.

    • @ltcuddles685
      @ltcuddles685 Рік тому +51

      @@rafaelgoncalvesdias7459 New tactics aren't "kid's bullshit".
      That kind of thinking is part of why Russia is losing a war they should have won easily.
      That and being horribly corrupt.

  • @briannewton3535
    @briannewton3535 Рік тому

    I really enjoyed this. Many thanks for putting this together in a concise and informative way. This other analysis is also very good by Perun, "Russian Mobilisation - what does it mean for the war in Ukraine?" Though is over an hour long.

  • @x-files5551
    @x-files5551 Рік тому

    Very good analysis very informative! Thank you

  • @davids9520
    @davids9520 Рік тому +7

    Excellent video. I got more information from this video, than I have from all the national news coverage, here in the U.S. Thank you.

  • @jeffmorin1469
    @jeffmorin1469 Рік тому +5

    The difference between the US and Russia, is that troops buy things that are usually better that what is issued, not what the unit fails to issue. During my time I had a complete duplicate set of initial issue TA-50 which I purchased on my own (including K-pot), in case I lost something or it was too damaged to turn back in to the Central Issue Facility (CIF).

    • @baneofbanes
      @baneofbanes Рік тому

      What exactly is a TA-50?

    • @jeffmorin1469
      @jeffmorin1469 Рік тому +2

      @@baneofbanes It's been a while, but Tables of Allowance is what the TA stands for I think. TA-50 is the basic issue you receive based upon the unit to which you are posted. I was in the 82nd Airborne back in the late 80's early 90's. You received the Kevlar ballistic helmet with parachutist shock pad and retention straps; hook/pile tape lowering line and "H" harness; large rucksack with frame; Waterproof bags (2); 2 one quart canteens and one 2 quart canteen, LBE (load bearing equipment) with 2 mag pouches, canteen holders for the canteens; poncho and poncho liner; shelter half and tent pegs/poles; sleeping bag and sleeping mat; wet weather jacket and pants; over boots (galoshes) and Chemical Protective (MOPP suit) and gas mask; last but not least duffle bag.

  • @zetectic7968
    @zetectic7968 Рік тому

    Thanks for an interesting update.analysis

  • @masterstacker2833
    @masterstacker2833 Рік тому

    Top video - good summary.

  • @caldesigner8679
    @caldesigner8679 Рік тому +5

    There's one aspect where the advantage of unity of command shows: Ukraine's left-right punches in Kherson and Kharkiv won't be possible without someone at the top coordinated it. You simply need someone who's above the regional level to run multi-regional op like this. In Ukraine, that person is Zaluzhnyi. I don't think there's a real counterpart to him on Russia's side at the moment.

    • @pierredunn68
      @pierredunn68 Рік тому +2

      there are 2 generals in charge of 2 parts of the frontline in russian army
      northern part is commanded by a lesser general but it is more prioritized
      southern part is under a higher general but has less priority.
      So, uor glorious military hits both sides so those generals constantly fight for supplies and men to be delivered to them.
      Thus, russia has to either completely lose one front, or juggle the supplies and lose both north and south.

    • @schibleh531
      @schibleh531 Рік тому +1

      It won't matter if they had a counterpart at this point. Their professional units took a lot of hammering and I doubt that the newly mobilized troops have the knowledge to carry out a coordinated assault.

  • @drashkeev
    @drashkeev Рік тому +20

    Thanks for a really informative video - I learned a ton! Quick pronunciation tip: the Ukrainian and Russian Kh (Kharkiv, Kherson) is pronounced like the German Ch, or a particularly harsh English H sound. It's never pronounced as K.

    • @PrograError
      @PrograError Рік тому

      so, kharkiv is pronounced as hard-kiv ?

    • @gwtpictgwtpict4214
      @gwtpictgwtpict4214 Рік тому +1

      @@PrograError I think drop the d, so har-kiv?

    • @SovietReunionYT
      @SovietReunionYT Рік тому +4

      @@gwtpictgwtpict4214 It is indeed Harkiv. And Herson.

  • @axeltrujillo5693
    @axeltrujillo5693 Рік тому

    Very insightful breakdown

  • @mcwild11
    @mcwild11 Рік тому +1

    Valiant effort explaining situation.
    Many thanks for providing sources for most statements.
    It helps to separate wheat from chaff in the analysis.
    It would be a bit more work, but consider color coding sources, in same categories as GroundNews does.
    It would be much more informative.
    Thanks

  • @rogerwilco2
    @rogerwilco2 Рік тому +6

    Dictators fear competent people.
    They fear competent people leading a competent army even more.
    That is also why there usually are a lot of competing factions in a dictatorship, with decision making all the way at the top.
    This makes the chain of command long and slow, and will make the lower ranks not show initiative or creativity.

  • @steve_jackson9933
    @steve_jackson9933 Рік тому +31

    They moved a lot of their troops to support Kherson and only left a skeleton crew of mostly untrained units. However, there were some quality units.
    The Ukrainians Blitzed through the area at lightning fast speed. They often overran defenders and bypassed cities/villages, it was a classic tactic from Rommel/Guderian. They used ground based shock and awe. What do you do if you are a unit in an area and out of nowhere from every direction you have armor speeding your way? The Ukrainians also sent their special forces in ahead of time to soften up the area. Whole areas were encircled and then mopped up. They took over in a matter of days what it took the Russians months. They are continuing to advance along that axis as well.
    Right now it is showing the differences in the stark contrasts between military types. Ukraine has a better approach in every aspect.
    Russia is mobilizing men, ok, great. Just sending them off to the meat grinder. They do not have the skills. They will not have the unit cohesion. They are being forced there, which will mean low morale. This is not one of the great patriot wars in defense of the motherland. More and more men are coming home in body bags or wounded. They are also taking a lot of men out of the workforce, already many have left as well. A lot of this is a recipe for disaster.

  • @gregjames666
    @gregjames666 Рік тому +1

    Always a good watch

  • @jensnimike176
    @jensnimike176 Рік тому +1

    As always very well explained! A long time Sübscriber🤗

  • @skeeterhoney
    @skeeterhoney Рік тому +3

    One of your top two or three videos ever. Outstanding synopsis of the situation.

  • @luskvideoproductions869
    @luskvideoproductions869 Рік тому +4

    I've been waiting on pins and needles for your very qualified and researched analysis on current events in Russia, thanks so much, and keep up the great, independent work!!

  • @richardfewer9348
    @richardfewer9348 Рік тому

    Thanks for explaining the situation

  • @vallergergo737
    @vallergergo737 Рік тому +1

    Oh man, looking at the maps & news this minute, this video was prophetically timed.....

  • @roniam
    @roniam Рік тому +4

    Great essay, thank you very much.

  • @adamradziwill
    @adamradziwill Рік тому +8

    The sad thing is this well stated video is already been obsoleted within hours. The Ukrainian Southern counteroffensive around Kherson suddenly started advancing at almost highway speeds in the past 24 hours.

    • @RydarkVoyager
      @RydarkVoyager Рік тому +1

      I wouldn't say this video is obsoleted by Kherson. If anything, it reinforces why after losing Lyman, Kherson would deteriorate. The fundamentals haven't altered.

    • @Wick9876
      @Wick9876 Рік тому

      That's funny but hardly sad.

    • @tonysu8860
      @tonysu8860 Рік тому +1

      Yeah, I don't view the Kherson offensive as "a feint."
      The Kharkhov breakout was more likely an operation of opportunity, particularly because it was effected not by a large buildup of forces but by 15 Ukrainian tanks... That bravely never stopped when they found themselves behind Russian defensive lines and apparently started running roughshod oall over the place causing chaos and disorganization and even over-ran the HQ for the entire Russian region, decapitating C&C. It's remarkable what Ukraine accomplished, the total destruction of the 3rd Army Corp which is a major command group and the 4th Guard Tank Division which is one of Russia's most renowned and distinguished heavy armor in all of Russia. For both those to completely disintegrate within a couple days is an enormous accomplishment almost beyond comprehension what the consequences will be. If Russia cannot re-organize, it literally means the eventual collapse of everything in both the Luhansk and Donbas.
      The Ukrainian offensive in Kherson is exactly what it's advertised to be... a move to retake the gateway to Crimea. Once Kherson falls, it will mean many things... The destruction of collectively nearly all the competent Russian forces (Excepting the Wagner Group which is mostly in the Donetz front). Ukraine was not telling false tales, Ukraine wants to retake Kherson badly no matter what it takes and seems to be making progress. Russia is making a stand in Kherson and everything north and west of the Dneiper River. If Ukraine takes Kherson, Russia will likely lose everything including Crimea within a year and a half.

  • @nicholasmccue2726
    @nicholasmccue2726 Рік тому +2

    "Let us start at the top, or lack thereof" Nice turn of phrase.

  • @augustinbelza2418
    @augustinbelza2418 Рік тому

    Really great presentation.

  • @pag0087
    @pag0087 Рік тому +10

    Wonderful Video.
    Will you make one about mobilisation?

    • @MilitaryHistoryVisualized
      @MilitaryHistoryVisualized  Рік тому +5

      Thank you, unlikely, I wanted to cover the mobilization, but was a bit late for that.

    • @pag0087
      @pag0087 Рік тому +2

      @@MilitaryHistoryVisualized oh sorry, i think i was to ambigous. I was asking about mobilisation as a concept. And maybe the evolution of it.

    • @MilitaryHistoryVisualized
      @MilitaryHistoryVisualized  Рік тому +5

      Unlikely, years ago I wanted to cover various "basics", but I ditched that idea a while ago for several reasons.

    • @dogwhistle8836
      @dogwhistle8836 Рік тому +1

      @@MilitaryHistoryVisualized it nit too late as lots did video before lots of facts were known and a sober video on mobilisation would be interesting

    • @grahamstrouse1165
      @grahamstrouse1165 Рік тому

      @@MilitaryHistoryVisualized Slightly ironic, that…😉

  • @christianlibertarian5488
    @christianlibertarian5488 Рік тому +124

    Great video, pretty much sums up what the situation appears to be from the West.

    • @MilitaryHistoryVisualized
      @MilitaryHistoryVisualized  Рік тому +15

      Glad you enjoyed it.

    • @ernestocienfuegos6800
      @ernestocienfuegos6800 Рік тому +13

      Exactly,.... from the west,....

    • @littlejool5
      @littlejool5 Рік тому +31

      @@ernestocienfuegos6800 OK clever clogs how does the east explain how the Russians advance slower than your toenails?

    • @pmrpla
      @pmrpla Рік тому

      "pretty much sums up what the situation appears to be from the West"
      Exactly. Using only western sources for a video is using only ones sides propaganda, no balance here, no vetting of information, no real analysis.
      This is such a bad take that it made me unsub.
      It will be many years after this war ends that we'll know what really happened and the real statistics, but for this kind on analysis I'll just tune-in to any mainstream western news channel.

    • @nunliski
      @nunliski Рік тому +4

      "from the West" hmmm I wonder if that's a problem . . .

  • @iainmacvicar5858
    @iainmacvicar5858 Рік тому +1

    Excellent, thankyou.

  • @mattphill6349
    @mattphill6349 Рік тому +2

    The U.S. military issues gear but some commanders give the option to the service members to buy their own plate carriers but they still use the issued plates. Some people also buy different pouches like drum pouches for saw drums or mag dump pouches.

    • @geodkyt
      @geodkyt Рік тому

      Yeah, we (late Cold War) always had our "Gucci" gear we purchased, but we could have done quite well with nothing but government issue.
      I mean, I might *prefer* my personally procured stuff, but the USGI stuff wasn't *bad*. In fact, most of my personally purchased stuff was stuff that was in the supply system - I just wanted to make sure I always had *mine* (for example, I preferred the older style H-yoke suspenders on my web gear and the older canvas buttpack in lieu of the then current issue Y-yoke suspenders and nylon buttpack... and the H-yoke meant i could carry *two* buttpacks so I could Lillie out of my web gear without a rucksack for about a week in temperate or hot weather. Super nice for a light infantryman...)

  • @ZzaphodD
    @ZzaphodD Рік тому +163

    Also do not underestimate the dictatorship/fascist dilemma of military leaders. As under an autocratic or fascistic state scapegoating is often used to divert responsibility from the President and lower positions. So apart from managing your forces and coordinating with other commanders, you must also think about political manoeuvring. Your life may depend on it. Rampant and much more deadly under Stalin, but mechanism is there now as well.

    • @kenthanna
      @kenthanna Рік тому +12

      True, a famous American president once said " the buck stops everywhere" and "no, I don't take any responsibility".

    • @darklysm8345
      @darklysm8345 Рік тому +10

      Bs. Nothing to do with fascism or its principles.

    • @phunkracy
      @phunkracy Рік тому +5

      what? the fallout for failure is the same in western countries as in russia, by which I mean ZERO. in fact in russia probably more than in the us, because us leaders never get blowback from their failures. was anyone punished for Iraq, Afghanistan or Lybia? Nah they all kept their positions. this is just reaching, and badly informed at that

    • @count487
      @count487 Рік тому +12

      @@phunkracy As if, a core element of a liberal democracy is an increased responsiveness on the government's part to popular pressure and regular transitions of power to shake up the deadwood. Any leader that stays in power too long eventually becomes detrimental as they lose their grip. The buck stops here is a famous saying, but the principle of collective Cabinet responsibility is a similar tenet in parliamentary democracies. That acceptance that failures by subordinates reflect on the whole government, and the need to appease the people, is what makes democracies better places to live - Chile suffers from frequent earthquakes for instance. They had a particularly bad one in the mid 20th century and greatly reformed their system to keep people safe. Under Pinochet the building laws stagnated, but a flurry of new legislation came out during the 1990s, and when a quake occurred, larger than the devastating one decades prior, casualties were tiny, something like 18 iirc. Meanwhile thousands died in Iran from an earthquake in the 1970s and thousands were still dying from them in the 2000s.

    • @titan_fx
      @titan_fx Рік тому

      Nah, Putin is already blaming everything at the West.
      Russian economic problem? The West.
      Russian retreat in Ukraine? The West.
      Russian military problem? The West.

  • @jimmackenzie5166
    @jimmackenzie5166 Рік тому +13

    I've seen a lot of good WW2 videos of yours. Could you compare the WW2 campaigns and operations with the current war in Ukraine? Seems to me that Kharkiv (and brutality) are always focal points.

  • @angolio265
    @angolio265 Рік тому +2

    I appreciate the detailed deep dive while staying non biased. Great work ethic brotha 💪🏼💯😎

  • @michaelnextdoor8726
    @michaelnextdoor8726 Рік тому

    Great video

  • @frost3840
    @frost3840 Рік тому +35

    Great video, but one small issue. Vladimir Putin did not call 300k men to arms. The number wasn't states anywhere except for what Shoigu said, but that number is nowhere in the actual law, so for all we know, this is a total mobilisation

    • @johanmetreus1268
      @johanmetreus1268 Рік тому +4

      And with the formal annexation of the four Ukrainian territories, Russian conscripts can openly be deployed there.

    • @tonysu8860
      @tonysu8860 Рік тому +4

      The problem though is that if Russia hasn't officially declared war in Ukraine, there is no Russian law that supports a general mobilization that sends troops to another country. Those new conscripts would limited to serving only within Russian borders legally and that's already not happening.

    • @frost3840
      @frost3840 Рік тому +14

      @@tonysu8860 that's certainly true in light of the Russian law, but - and not to be cynical here, do we really believe law carries any meaning in Russia? I conscripted men were indeed sent to Ukraine, who would protest? Who would take responsibility for it?

    • @johanmetreus1268
      @johanmetreus1268 Рік тому +4

      @@frost3840 not following the laws of conscription and mobilisation (invalids, over-aged and so forth dragged into service) caused a high profile statement on Russian state television, demanding the situation to be rectified and the responsible for these abuses suffer the appropriate consequences.

    • @frost3840
      @frost3840 Рік тому +2

      @@johanmetreus1268 I haven't heard of that in truth, but can that change anything? Several city counselors have petitioned for Putin to resign, without any luck. Maybe I'm talking out of my ass here, but I think as long as they cover it up with a good lie, they can do whatever they want

  • @Liferoad371
    @Liferoad371 Рік тому +2

    This was a great🙂 education for me.

  • @Self-replicating_whatnot
    @Self-replicating_whatnot Рік тому +2

    Russian army in Ukraine consists of two parts:
    - professional soldiers who fight for money, and won't defend the lost cause(you can't collect your paycheck if you're dead). They get outflanked, they fall back.
    - conscripts/volunteers who do not have a clue what they are doing, neither in principle nor in practice. They get outflanked, they panic and run or get captured.

  • @nicholasconder4703
    @nicholasconder4703 Рік тому +3

    9:20 I suspect there are 3 reasons why a lot of intact Russian equipment was left behind:
    1) Logistics - lack of fuel and maintenance
    2) Speed of the withdrawal - tanks and other equipment were considered too slow and were left behind, and
    3) Poor training - troops not taught to destroy equipment rather than let it fall into enemy hands.

    • @AviViljoen
      @AviViljoen Рік тому

      Yes, this makes sense.

    • @howardsimpson489
      @howardsimpson489 Рік тому

      And sympathy for Ukraine, getting stronger with every new frontline orc conscript.

  • @thesupertendent8973
    @thesupertendent8973 Рік тому +21

    Like I've been saying to myself since before the Kherson and Kharkiv counter attacks, was that Russia's Half way measures of manpower shortage will catch up and hold out until their eventual crumble and collapse, and right now their whole frontlines is cracking, and crumbling and on the verge of total collapse within the next two months should the new reinforcements not be substantially Trained or used effectively.

    • @CellGames2006
      @CellGames2006 Рік тому +2

      Months?... I can't see Russia hold on for two weeks. By November Ukraine may already have most of Luhansk oblast at this rate.

    • @megsisded8688
      @megsisded8688 Рік тому +1

      @@afdkj 4 weeks (not even a month like looking) have passed since the beginning of the Kharkiv offensive (September 6 and he writes a comment on October 4)
      and the Russian lines were broken again

  • @tomlobos2871
    @tomlobos2871 Рік тому +1

    rather less talked about is how battlefield intelligence evolved. i heard rumors of 3d mapping and looking at the resolution the E-8 can deliver this is not too far from real. dont remember where i read this, but supercomputing and AI allows to estimate even how a countermeasure might appear in local areas, and wich way to go first to trick out the enemy with less risk. the further computing develops, the more information can be added as very detailed values like ground conditions, minefields and so on.

  • @louiscervantez1639
    @louiscervantez1639 Рік тому +2

    First time listening - impressed

  • @user-ey2sw8wx7e
    @user-ey2sw8wx7e Рік тому +8

    Kherson sounds Herson (h as in have), not Kerson.

  • @willragsdale309
    @willragsdale309 Рік тому +24

    As far as "unity of command" it seems that perhaps the Russian war effort is being hindered by the kind of "Hitler military interference" problem that had cost the Nazi invaders so dearly during their invasion of the Soviet invasion. Certain supposedly politically important goals or unobtainable dreams take priority over competent and effective military strategic leadership. Xombi Xombi's comment is spot on.
    A truly strong military leader would be a threat to a paranoid egomaniac narcissist.

    • @djd8305
      @djd8305 Рік тому +1

      YES! That suddenly hit me watching this. Thank Dog! It means, historically, that d'bad guys will eventually lose

    • @johnroach9026
      @johnroach9026 Рік тому +4

      Thing is, German High command wasn't exactly competent by any standards, they were just as politicised as Stalin's army. The only reason they managed to get so far is because they were fighting against nations that hadn't fully embraced combined arms - the Polish army lacked numerical superiority in the air and on the ground, and the French were so convinced of the Maginot's invincibility that they ignored any chance that Germany could go through Belgium again. When it came to the invasion of the USSR, the generals proposed an overly ambitious plan that satisfied their mythos of invincibility rather than any sound military theory. Franz Halder literally ignored strategic goals needed to continue the German war effort, such as the Caucasuses and instead focused on the flashy goals like Moscow that would please Hitler and his own ego

    • @yarbobyarbob8990
      @yarbobyarbob8990 Рік тому

      I think Putin 100% believed that Zelenskiy would run if he made a move towards the capital. Believing some FSB profile. It’s him and the FSB who messed up from the start.

    • @mr.generalissimo5678
      @mr.generalissimo5678 Рік тому +1

      @@johnroach9026 There are a couple things here that I think you don't quite have correct, so if I may.
      1. It's been a while since I've been heavily involved in WW2 history, but to my knowledge, it wasn't necessarily the French being so convinced of the Maginot's plan they forgot about Belgium. Rather, everyone knew the most likely place for a German attack would be Belgium, after all, no idiot would attack head-first into the most heavily fortified defense-in-depth series fortifications (and even if they did, the French would have plenty of time to react); therefore, France prepared to counterattack the expected Belgium offensive. They knew the Ardennes weren't covered very well, but it was heavily forested and narrow, so they expected that should any German forces attempt to attack, they'd either be extremely bogged down, or at the very least, slowed down enough to give France plenty of time to attack. And if the Germans did anything as suicidal as attacking the Maginot head on, then the French High Command could go to bed happy. However, as we all know, this didn't happen. The Germans managed to go through the Ardennes dramatically faster than expected and encircled the French forces counterattacking into Belgium. This was the brainchild of Erich von Manstein, who proposed that the German plan not target going through Belgium, but target the expected counterattack as its main goal.
      In essence, to use an analogy, France is defending a house against an invader and has to cover the back and front. They barricaded the back steel door with heavy sandbags and has a Berthier rifle aimed at the weaker wooden front door. There is a tiny unbarricaded window, barely enough to fit someone (supposedly) in the back of the house, but France wagers that if someone tries to go through it, they'd either get stuck or take so long and make so much noise that France would notice and could take their time countering them. What actually happened was that Germany's brother knocked on the front door, France got its attention turned there as it expected, and then Germany showed off its Olympic gymnast skills and leapt through the back window and had a gun pressed up against France's head before France could react.
      2. As for Moscow being the target, I suggest you search up the Soviet Union's major rail lines in 1939. I have a feeling you'll immediately notice why Moscow might've been an attractive target. Of course, a large part of the motivation for taking Moscow likely would've been political, but the majority of the major railroads in the Soviet Union went through Moscow. If the Soviet Union lost Moscow, logistics would become dramatically more difficult. Not to mention that taking Moscow would have denied the Soviets of a large amount of industry and infrastructure they had built up in Moscow.
      Of course, as you know, the Germans split their forces, and unfortunately for the Germans, Italians, and various allies, and rather fortunately for much of the rest of the world, they found it difficult to continue to execute the war to a victorious conclusion.
      3. I would agree with your assessment that the German military was politicized, especially in the second half of WW2, but I wouldn't say it was anywhere near as bad as the Soviet militarily. The Germans did not conduct a Great Purge for one and I believe it wasn't uncommon for senior military generals to stand up to Hitler, especially in the first half of WW2. The German military I'd say had some very positive military traditions (effective initiative distribution at all levels, positive recruit policies, maneuver warfare primacy, combined arms, officer corps professionalism, and an expectations for senior officers to subject themselves to the harshness the soldiers endured) that served them well in the first half of the war, but which lost some of its lustre after several years of rough wars depleting quality from the rank-and-file. Coupled that with increasing political meddling (a reminder that some of Germany's most visionary and effective military leaders were sacked by Hitler for disagreeing with him either militarily or politically) and increasingly disorganized and incoherent upper echelons of command and I think you could say Germany's military command was rather lacklustre by the later stages of the war, which perhaps you agree with. Though, excepting the death throes of the regime, even when it was particularly bad and with Hitler sacking some of his top commanders, I still wouldn't say the politicization was as bad as the Sovet Unions' politicization of the officer corps; though, I agree that it definitely got pretty bad by the end. Again, for as bad as it got, especially after the attempted coup, it wasn't the Great Purge. I'd say it was more it buckling under the combined stress of 6 years of total war fighting outnumbered constantly under bombardment with numerous structural issues extant since the early days of the war finally revealing its severity when put under pressure. Though, perhaps one could argue that the Soviet command had gotten less politicized by the end of the war. I'd still say the German military command was a leading example of how to build an effective military in the first half of the war minus all of the more unpleasant, potentially internationally illegal stuff. But as I was saying, the second half, maybe not so much. Still offers many lessons. . . on things that may be best avoided.
      My apologies that point 3 is somewhat less organized. I didn't have as clear of a structure when writing it and don't have the time to edit it. I hope it is still coherent enough, unlike the German high command near the end of the war.
      If something I said is wrong, please do let me know. It's been a while and some things (like knowledge of the USSR's military structure) aren't areas where I'm necessarily the most versed in.

    • @veritasabsoluta4285
      @veritasabsoluta4285 Рік тому

      .

  • @kkkiren599
    @kkkiren599 Рік тому +1

    Concise and Comprehensive synopsis which outlines the fundamental imbalances between Russian and Ukrainian Combat Echelons very lucidly. Logically relevant and factual.

  • @atomicgandhi8718
    @atomicgandhi8718 Рік тому +1

    Seeing MHV giving a presentation on something that JUST HAPPENED instead of some ancient WW2 conflict is surreal.

  • @ricktasker8248
    @ricktasker8248 Рік тому +9

    I hope you can do more on the war in Ukraine. You give a lot of insight. Maybe try the Civil War. Many previous narratives are now being re-examined.

  • @Matt_Alaric
    @Matt_Alaric 7 місяців тому +3

    Weird how their lines haven't actually collapsed then... 🤔

  • @theromanorder
    @theromanorder Рік тому

    Please do more videos on unit structures and tactics

  • @davidkish1854
    @davidkish1854 Рік тому +1

    Note: westerns buying gear are usually high speed and or extremely dedicated and the equipment they buy is usually top tier with the basic issue being more than sufficient to operate, this is a case of " we are not the same"

  • @BillHimmel
    @BillHimmel Рік тому +22

    Sehr gute Zusammenfassung!

  • @user-ru8yi9uo7l
    @user-ru8yi9uo7l Рік тому +140

    So, i am Russian, i have no military experience, and my understanding of the situation mostly based on reading telegram an Vkontakte posts of different people, who have different level of connection to ongoing events. And i can say that ur video is almost 100% how it looks for me from the inside. I repeat that i dont have access to some secret information, only open Russian sources. Troops that almost got surrounded in crasny liman, told they had no air support, no artillery support. Seems like we are running out of reserves too, in open telegram channels i was able to see the defections of future Ukrainian assaults weaks before they start. And the steel successfully perform them. Army dont bomb Dnepr bridges, allowing Ukrainians to transfer reserves fast. I cant really express my feelings about it, i am against this war, but loosing to country with African level of economy is a fucking joke.
    P.S speaking about corruption less then 1 week ago 1,5 MILLION military uniforms disappeared recently

    • @user-ru8yi9uo7l
      @user-ru8yi9uo7l Рік тому +10

      *Not defections but directions

    • @rgwaldron
      @rgwaldron Рік тому +26

      The world is appalled at the death of young Russians in this as well.

    • @cronostvg
      @cronostvg Рік тому

      I heard before invasion, Russian military sold fuel to Belarus.

    • @mattaddison1910
      @mattaddison1910 Рік тому +40

      Do not worry my friend, USA lost a war with a bunch of goat farmers and rice farmers before that. That's after 20 years of bombing them into dust. Those countries had primitive tech and no economy to speak of and US forces still fled with tail between legs, leaving millions or even billions of dollars worth of hardware behind for the enemy.
      Now, Ukraine are no goat farmers, they are a MODERN EUROPEAN COUNTRY with what was the largest active military in Europe, entrenched, dug in, well trained and well equipped (even better now with western help). They're fighting on their own turf and have been ready for this war for over a decade, morale is high among the troops since they're defending their land. They've had plenty of time to prepare efficient tactics. I think the only reason that Russia managed to succeed to take all that territory is because of the "Kiyv feint", which diverted Ukraine forces to the capital, allowing Russian forces in the South and East to take and hold effectively. However, attrition is making that difficult now. Ukraine tactic now is to direct overwhelming numbers against small, isolated targets. Bit by bit, they'll continue unless Russian leadership thinks of a viable counter-tactic.
      Modern super power states have no chance at successful invasions with modern warfare doctrine, that includes Russia and the US. I think the days of invasions are pretty much over.
      Do you know how Germans managed to take and hold large swathes of land? They slaughtered the populace and mass executed military leadership. Warsaw uprising? No problem, eradicate the population. Those tactics won't fly today, too many cameras about.

    • @rgwaldron
      @rgwaldron Рік тому

      @@mattaddison1910 and they are still goat herders and bombing themselves into dust

  • @elliedegroot
    @elliedegroot Рік тому

    Over 1 of 2 weken. Er word ook een aanslag op Poetin gepleegd met dodelijke afloop voor Poetin. Dat is wat ik gehoord heb van Robbert van den Broeke - op UA-cam. Helderziende = Very GOOD GUY !

  • @jbsmith966
    @jbsmith966 Рік тому

    Troop motivation and morale plays a big part.

  • @stischer47
    @stischer47 Рік тому +5

    Russian media have reported that 1.5M uniforms are "missing". They must have gotten lost during the mobilization.

    • @tessjuel
      @tessjuel Рік тому +5

      They were lost long before the mobilization. There has been a huge black market for all kinds of Russian military equipment ever since the Soviet Union broke down.

    • @Calzaghe83
      @Calzaghe83 Рік тому

      There were no 1.5M uniforms obviously. Kleptocracy strikes again. We'll see if this moves the needle in regards to Russian citizens penchant to put with outright corruption. Certainly good if you want Putin's admin out.

    • @mr.generalissimo5678
      @mr.generalissimo5678 Рік тому +1

      I'm sure those uniforms are being covertly allocated to General Steinov's secretly gathering army of crack veterans so that Russia could launch a counterattack when the Ukrainians least expect it. Definitely not sold by opportunistic officers and soldiers, of course. ;)

    • @howardsimpson489
      @howardsimpson489 Рік тому

      @@tessjuel I bought ex soviet military gear in Singapore in the early 80s, so tactical losses were well underway before the USSR fall.

  • @knorpelmancer
    @knorpelmancer Рік тому +17

    Concerning your point about abandoned but not destroyed tanks - in several videos where lots of captured tanks could be seen (like captured from a depot) there were no machine guns on the turret. The storages on the side (where tools & kit are stored if I'm correct) as well es the hood in the back (where the engine is) were open.
    To me that seemed like everything of value that was portable was taken by the retreating Russian army, suggesting there was at least time to do basic preparations for retreating. The open engine hoods suggested (to me at least) there has been some tinkering with it.
    I would not count on all of the intact looking tanks being so intact on the inside.
    /edit: great video, as always. :)

    • @PeterJavi
      @PeterJavi Рік тому +4

      That's not the type of sabotage that's going to stop a vehicle from being redeployed and it's obvious. What needs to be done, is throwing a grenade into the engine bay at the very least.

    • @rodwallace6237
      @rodwallace6237 Рік тому +5

      For tanks and armored vehicles, Russia is Ukraines largest arms supplier.
      Many are totaled on the battlefield but salvaged for any useful parts and
      returned with damaged vehicles to rear-area repair facilities. Many are just
      out of fuel and abandoned on the road leading back to the Motherland and
      are painted, the radio present changed and they are ready for battle.

    • @JR-ut2ne
      @JR-ut2ne Рік тому +9

      Many of them are intact though and are quickly reused by the Ukrainians. For example the captured T-90M looked brand new on the inside. It even had the latest targeting system installed. This really goes to show that Russian troops have very low morale and got completely routed during the Kharkiv offensive.

    • @tiberiusgracchus4222
      @tiberiusgracchus4222 Рік тому +6

      @@JR-ut2ne You don't care about the equipment if your army doesn't care about you.

    • @kyosokutai
      @kyosokutai Рік тому

      @@rodwallace6237 while funny meme, it's closer to.. 5th largest arms supplier.

  • @davidk7324
    @davidk7324 Рік тому

    Excellent.

  • @pkre707
    @pkre707 Рік тому

    17:43 notice how partial mobilization does nothing to fix essentially all of the problems which caused this route.

  • @jamesg2382
    @jamesg2382 Рік тому +9

    It's great that you can do analysis of current events, a pity they are happening. Thank you

  • @politicalsheepdog
    @politicalsheepdog Рік тому +5

    When deployed to Irag in 2004/05, we were not issued bayonets or any knives, binoculars, weapons optics, any accessories for our body armor such as ammunition pouches etc. If we felt we needed any of these things, we had to buy them.
    Many of us bought Garmin Rino GPS/radio combo for navigation while on convoy missions. I just used mine for grid coordinates in case we needed to call in support of some kind. Also, most everyone had Green woodland camo body armor while wearing desert camo uniforms.

    • @nvelsen1975
      @nvelsen1975 Рік тому +1

      But that's still a deliberate (and ussually good) decision. If you need a bayonet, lots of things have already gone terribly wrong. That's different from the Russians simply not having them available at all.
      Now if they had told you "Ammo is limited for ourselves and opfor, there will be a lot of fighting at close range with bayonets and knives.....but we're not actually going to issue you any since we don't have them in stock", that would've meant the shit has hit the fan to Russian levels.
      My training was badly abreviated. When I signed everybody who did what I do was one or approaching mandatory deployment cooldown.
      Hand to hand combat went "You know anything about fighting? Oh, you've done competitive kickboxing and Krav Maga? You're a pass, go report for more classes on things that do matter."
      And second time I brought my own boots. The support the Meindl offered was too stiff while the sole was too weak while standing on things other than sand or flat surfaces.
      Cost a pretty penny to not just buy them, but have a shoemaker paint and coat them in a way that they looked to be issue. Does this mean Meindl sucks and shouldn't be issued? No, it means I fractured my foot in the semi-finals for a kickboxing tournament and have had trouble walking long distances in weaker shoes since then.
      Getting replacement boots 1st time also took a month. Why? I've size 46 while most men have 41-44. They simply didn't bring any spares for that one guy and finding them at home once requested took a while. Shitty situation for me, definately. But bad logistics and procurement decision? No, pretty good actually.

    • @PrograError
      @PrograError Рік тому

      sounds like Generation Kill's characters and how they were kit up...

    • @nvelsen1975
      @nvelsen1975 Рік тому

      @@PrograError
      That was no mistake. They knew as long as cpl Person has enough rip fuel, Iraq would fall one way or another. 😉

  • @vladimirpecherskiy1910
    @vladimirpecherskiy1910 Рік тому +1

    This is very good review. But what it is missing is key question of general military organization quality. As business organization lets say. That in general quite a problem in military analytics - because hard to measure and formalize.
    "Troops morale" - only part of this. Troops education level? Behavior habits? Information flow organization and speed? Basically how good this army as organization. And Russian army is pretty bed in all those elements.

  • @Jinseual
    @Jinseual Рік тому +2

    Excellent analysis, I've looked at so many videos on the Ukraine conflict from people supporting either side. Only yours stand above the rest in terms of precision and honesty.

  • @djd8305
    @djd8305 Рік тому +5

    Look at "Perun" to get a sense of the impact of corruption on Russian logistics capabilities. He does a fantastic job of explaining the Trickle Down effect - but not as Regan/Tatcher economists tell it, Jim....

    • @thunderbug8640
      @thunderbug8640 Рік тому +4

      Love that guy’s channel, the fact he provides sources like MHV does makes them 10000x better than most of the commentators on UA-cam.

    • @djd8305
      @djd8305 Рік тому

      @@thunderbug8640 Though Perun does loooooong videos.

    • @thunderbug8640
      @thunderbug8640 Рік тому +5

      @@djd8305 That he does lol. Not padded though which is the important thing.

    • @johanmetreus1268
      @johanmetreus1268 Рік тому +3

      @@djd8305 , most channel viewer tend to think they are too short lol