2010 always stands out to me. Best Picture nominees: Black Swan, 127 Hours, Inception, The Social Network, Toy Story 3..... and then The King's Speech won.
and True Grit! When talking about 2010 movies that one gets a little bit forgotten, but it's my personal favorite from that year. The movie has really grown on me over the years.
Two years that stand out to me are 1994 and 1997, as both gave us movies that almost everyone went to see and either got nominated or won an award, but but had us rooting for them since we may have saw them, one way or another - 1994: The Lion King (4 nominations, 2 wins) Forrest Gump (13 nominations - including Best Picture, 6 wins) True Lies (1 nomination) The Mask (1 nomination) Speed (3 nominations, 2 wins) Four Weddings and a Funeral (2 nominations - including Best Picture) Interview with the Vampire (2 nominations) Clear and Present Danger (2 nominations) Pulp Fiction (7 nominations - including Best Picture, 1 win) 1997: Titanic (14 nominations - including Best Picture, 11 wins) The Lost World: Jurassic Park (1 nomination) Men in Black (3 nominations, 1 win) Air Force One (2 nominations) As Good as It Gets (7 nominations - including Best Picture, 2 wins) My Best Friend's Wedding (1 nomination) The Fifth Element (1 nomination) The Full Monty (4 nominations - including Best Picture, 1 win) Hercules (1 nomination) Face/Off (1 nomination)
I still find it wild how stacked 2019 was. Parasite, Ford v Ferrari, The Irishman, Jojo Rabbit, Joker, Little Women, Marriage Story, 1917, and Once Upon a Time in Hollywood, all great movies and I'd be fine with any one winning (although I'm glad Parasite won, since it was the best out of that bright bunch).
I think it had the same problem as 1999. A diverse bunch of great, successful movies that could have started a new trend, but then a big disaster happened shortly thereafter and people just wanted escapism again
As the years go by, i realise how important the Oscars are in keeping the films remembered. Too many great movies are swept under the carpet with time and putting an Oscar astrix gives it enough cache not to fall into the void of quantity
I've come to appreciate the oscars much more as a simple means to advertise and celebrate film - who cares if they don't always get it right, if it gets people talking about film in a fun way then that's great. Reckon if we all looked back on our own favourite films of each yr we'd probs cringe at some of our choices too lol.
exactly the same reason why i root that my favorite movies are won in major categories... but it's not making them safe against massive hate from the audience of audience disagree with decision
2017 was great, 2019 is goated. unfortunately the wrong movie won best picture for 2017, personally I would say either Three Billboards or Lady Bird shoulda won
Yeah, 2017 in general was a very good movie year! You had fantastic movies like Blade Runner 2049, Phantom Thread and Lady Bird. And just in general many good, fun, interesting movies, like Get Out, Call Me By Your Name, Baby Driver, A Ghost Story, Good Time, Thor: Ragnarok, Spiderman: Homecoming, Paddington 2... (First Reformed is technically also 2017, though it's more a 2018 movie)
I’ve definitely felt a lack of something big to root for lately in terms of Oscar buzz. Big films like Anora, Conclave, Challengers and Dune 2 while all really good in their own right, I don’t have the passion about them I did for last years big films. Aside from my pipe dream of I Saw The TV Glow being nominated which unfortunately won’t happen in a million years, I can’t get behind anything rn and say “I want that to win best picture”.
Another thing I think made last year and last Oscar season so great is that even with so many deserved nominations and wins, there were still so many films and people many of us would of loved to see nominated. Last year was THAT good
I think maybe what you’re talking about is that some years you can tell you’ve got a lot of movies that will probably still be culturally relevant and/or genuinely make an impact while other years it seems like even though the movies can be good, it doesn’t necessarily feel like the kinds of movies people will continue to talk about in the coming years. Sometimes I miss a movie that’s nominated and it just gets completely forgotten by me and seemingly everyone who saw it because I never really hear it mentioned again. I think maybe we can sorta feel when there’s a lot of heavy hitters
I honestly wish Monkey Man would rise from its grave and surprise because I think it would be a great Best Picture nomination especially given what Dev Patel put himself through to see it to its end + how Netflix literally abandoned his creative vision
@@Sharpe1502 I felt like it was a controlled frenzy. Even when Monkey Man "jumped the shark" occasionally it was always interesting. I also don't think there are really 10 movies that are better than this so there's that as well.
My real preference is a year where there are actual surprises, as opposed to last year where everyone knew what the 10 nominees were months beforehand. Because as long as Netflix exists, you're always going to get at least one movie that most film nerds hate in the lineup.
I love a ton of movies that have come out this year, but not a lot really feel like "Oscars" movies. I think it feels this way because 2022 and 2023 had such powerhouse Oscars line-ups. 2022 had Everything Everywhere, Banshees, RRR, Fabelmans, Tar, Aftersun. 2023 had Past Lives, Poor Things, The Holdovers, Killers of the Flower Moon, Oppenheimer, Anatomy of a Fall, Zone of Interest. And a ton more. There aren't even very many options for Oscar-bait Biopic yet.
Just for laughs, these were the Best Picture nominees for 2011: The Artist Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close The Tree of Life Midnight in Paris The Descendants Hugo The Help Moneyball War Horse
Not a good list overall, but The Tree of Life getting nominated was so exciting at the time (especially since it was so divisive - it was not a guarantee) that I think it redeems it. Plus, Hugo was also a genuinely great movie, and Moneyball and The Descendants were excellent.
I think it’s cool that you can just hop on UA-cam, shoot a quick video explaining your take on whatever topic, and post it - and I treat it like any main channel banger that you throw out there . Lfg
Anora being not just an award contender but a best picture frontrunner is pretty insane because for years Baker has been one of those filmmakers people point at when arguing the Oscars are irrelevant and don’t get movies. If The Substance somehow launched into the top 10 (I don’t think it will) it would probably be one of the most populist lineups in a long time for the Letterboxd crowd.
I think, for me, it comes down to a variety of types of films in the BP race. Think of 2010, 2019, and 2023 in terms of variety of genre. Psychological thriller, action, satire, character study, biopic, epic, indie drama, etc. I also think that, when release schedule is stretched across the year, you have more word of mouth and build up for some movies. You have a chance for movies to be seen by more of the public and less of the “I pay attention to art house movies, so I know what’s most likely getting a bunch of Oscar noms” chances.
I agree with the fact that the Oscar nominees don’t automatically determine whether we’ve had a good year for film. Because while the 2021 Oscars were objectively trash, 2021 was also the same year we got The Green Knight, Dune, The Tragedy of Macbeth, The Last Duel, Cop Shop, and Nine Days. All amazing films that the academy ignored because they have this absolute aversion to a little something called genre.
1939 stands out still: Mr. Smith Goes To Washington, Stagecoach, Ninotchka, Wuthering Heights, The Hunchback Of Notre Dame, Of Mice And Men, The Wizard Of Oz, and Gone With The Wind.
Feel like it's gonna be a straight head to head between the Brutalist vs Anora for best picture this year - As I've got older I've come to appreciate the oscars more, less so as a genuine rating system (lol, like realistically if I looked at my favourite film from every yr I'd also cringe at some of my picks from my taste in previous yrs) and more as a big advert for Film - just a solid and fun way to get people talking about and more importantly going to see films that they wouldn't necessarily go to see anyway.
2008 is one of the best Oscar years in relatively recent memory. There will be blood and No Country for Old Men took most of the awards. I love the fact that these films were not your usual winners/nominees. 2007 was a great year for film, anyway. Of course, 2008 cannot compare with films made and awarded at the Oscars during the 60’s and 70’s. The talent and quality in films made back in those days is still unmatched.
2019 was the first year I followed the Oscar’s and it was such a fantastic lineup. Had a little bit of something for everybody and Parasite is such a great pick. Bong Joon Ho that Oscar season was legendary. His best director speech is my fav all time.
I just made recorded a podcast episode about early-early Oscar predictions with one of my best friends, and we really think Conclave will be a lot like All Quiet on the Western Front, and win more awards than expected. The Brutalist might also pick some up too.
Really hoping Challengers gets some noms. This year has been a bit weird though. There's been a lot of great horror this year but the academy's not gonna nominate any of it. The only win that I think is locked is Wild Robot winning best animated feature and even that may not happen lmao.
I'm generally against takes that just label a year as being bad for film because I feel every year has its smattering of great and interesting stuff, it's just you sometimes have to know where to look. Will admit that I don't think this year has been great when looking at uber-mainstream films, but we've still had stuff like Dune: Part 2 and Furiosa which I would say are at least very good to great. When it comes to the Oscars, I tend to call it a good year if I like most of big contenders. Feel like the last few years have been pretty good on that front but others disagreeing depending on their personal taste.
I already set my Gold Derby predictions for either Borderlands or Madame Web winning Best Picture. I feel like Reagan could possibly be a sneak win, but that's just a wild theory.
1993 and 1998 Oscar ceremonies will always stand out to me, honestly one of the most stacked Oscar decades, becuz once u go back in the years prior you get some very strange choices that have not stood the test of time at all. The 90s managed to balance popular acclaim and critical acclaim very well, where you had genuinely huge hits that were also critically beloved and are still fondly remember today
Do you think The Substance has a chance of a nomination, or any nominations? And do you think some distributors are right in delaying some festival acquisitions with buzz (mainly thinking about Neon witth Life of Chuck) to a release next year rather than going for this year's awards season?
A good Oscar year for me is a year were most of the films should be diverse in style, genre, theme and accessibility level. Most of them should 9/10 or above with the few 8s having something worthy. The last 2 years were like that expect both had one mid film that stood out like a sore thumb. 2022 being Triangle of Sadness and 2023 being Maestro. This year would be if Blitz gets in. So far the 10 im predicting on the Awards Expert App are... In order of when I saw them. Dune part 2 - 10/10 Sing Sing - 10/10 The Substance - 9/10 Conclave - 8/10 Emilia Perez - 8/10 Anora - 10/10 A Real Pain - 9/10 Wicked - (seeing Thursday) The Brutalist (Not out yet) Nickel Boys (Not out yet) If the last 3 meet my expectations and all 10 get in, this will be the best Oscars since 2019 cause it would have the things im looking for.
2020 was so great to watch considering it was during the literal peak of the pandemic. It was kinda sad compared to all the joy we received from 2019 which was one of the best of all time but it had its unique quality on its own
2022 was insanely goated, here where i live they all came out at the same time lmao so I had to try to watch like 15 or more movies the same month (;literally it was like 15 movies) and I missed a lot of them sadly, I mean that year we had EEAO babylon top gun maverick the whale the fablesman avatar 2 banshees of inesherin RRR Tar The batman Spiderman into the spiderverse Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio Bones and all lol
Karsten mentioned examples of certain years and their respective Best Picture line-ups. A lot of those movies were and still are talked about mostly in the context of the award season race but nothing beyond. I'm not saying every Best Picture winner should be like "The Return of the King". That's one of the extremes. I'm saying it shouldn't be the other extreme either ("The Artist", anyone?). There should be a middle ground. And a solution would be to change the mentality that all awards contenders should get a proper release after they've already been nominated at the Oscars or other important ceremonies. That should only be reserved for movies that will most likely fly under the radar without that kind of hype. It's pointless to do it with movies that will get enough attention anyway. It's not about which movies get the most votes from Academy members; it's about which movies get the most votes from Academy members *while* the general public roots for them. Look, there's this notion that we celebrate movies at the end of each year as a way to cement them as future classics, but it's harder than it seems. How can we predict which movies will stand the test of time? Which movies will age poorly and which movies will be re-evaluated having been panned at first? A good hint is the Best Picture Oscar... but not in the sense that the trophy validates a consensus; in the sense that a movie can simultaneously leave a mark in the industry and in pop culture.
I think a good film year is one where both its mainstream-side and auteur-driven side are both beloved by the public and their dedicated fan bases similar to 2019, 2022, and 2023.
I’m so sad that at this point my 2 favorites of the year aren’t even being talked about. Civil War might (?) get some technical noms but poor Problemista will absolutely walk away without even a mention, which is too bad.
i think about this from time to time. but its all 100% subjective to my opinions, i dont really care about reviews or acclaim, i just base it off the films that i personally am drawn to watch...it took me forever to watch oppenheimer because it didnt look interesting 😭
I had been predicting Anora to win best picture all year. But now I’m thinking it could be Wicked or The Substance. Weird movies won when Trump was president/won. Not the common Oscar fare (Moonlight, The Shape of Water, and Parasite). I wonder if his win could spark another three or four years of odd wins. In any case, I think the winner next year is going to be something people aren’t expecting. Considering how angry women are, I have a feeling women voters are going to be voting for those two movies.
Partly kinda hoping The Substance goes full Silence of the Lambs and completely sweeps the Oscars, just because it would be the first time a horror film had done that since the latter came out and it would be awesome to see happen
The Grammys isn't a legit awards show. It's mainly just a popularity contest. It's like if Best Picture went to movies like Deadpool, Top Gun: Maverick, and Avengers: Endgame.
@@ytkenny5 I have to agree with this unfortunately. taylor swift's album and songs got a plethora of noms, despite me going the entire year having never heard any of them. Charli, Ariana, Chapelle, etc. all dominated this year, and I'm really hoping they get the acclaim they deserve
Yeah this year feels pretty dead honestly. There doesn’t seem to be any clear front-runner to get the awards circles genuinely excited. I would have said Anora a few weeks ago, but after seeing it it’s really not the crowd pleaser it’s being marketed as. This time last year we had lots of buzz and excitement about Poor Things and KOTFM, and Oppenheimer had already been in the conversation for months
I don’t think this is gonna be a bad Oscar year or a bad year for film overall, however the fact that we’ve just had two all time great film years in a row makes it a bit underwhelming. Even tho 2022 & 2023 were probably more the exception while this year was a step back to reality
I watched Emilia Perez the other day and I thought it was so much worse than last year's awards season villain Maestro. Which probably isn't a good sign.
I loved Dune 2, but it's far, far from a lock. I'd personally replace that with The Brutalist, certainly competing for the top prize by all analysis I've seen.
2014 oscars the best 12 years a slave Captain phillips Gravity Nebraska Dallas buyers club Wolf of wall Street Her Philomena Rush Frozen Blue jasmine August osage County
I'm still baffled why Oppenheimer and Barbie are considered as GREAT movies. They're good and in some technical aspects even groundbraking - but did they really were that interesting/fun to watch? Or did they say something original/worthy of their runtime? In my opinion they're overhyped (still).
i think Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga has a chance to be nominated for Best Picture, if Mad Max: Fury Road could get nominated for best picture back in 2015 i believe Furiosa has a chance.
GTFO. Dune 2 alone would've won Best Picture last year. And Let's add Anora, Substance, Brutalist, Sing Sing (despite bad marketing) Didi, Challengers, Nickel Boys, Furiosa, I Saw The TV Glow, Nosferatu, etc.... It has been a good year. Plus most of the films that person named came out way late in the year. This year will be okay.
RED ONE SWEEP BABYYYYYY!!!!!!
it's gonna be game over
Trap sweep
definitely!!!!
2010 always stands out to me. Best Picture nominees: Black Swan, 127 Hours, Inception, The Social Network, Toy Story 3..... and then The King's Speech won.
and True Grit! When talking about 2010 movies that one gets a little bit forgotten, but it's my personal favorite from that year. The movie has really grown on me over the years.
and The King's Speech won!😅 I really like and adore that film, but over Inception or The Social Network was something.
Two years that stand out to me are 1994 and 1997, as both gave us movies that almost everyone went to see and either got nominated or won an award, but but had us rooting for them since we may have saw them, one way or another -
1994:
The Lion King (4 nominations, 2 wins)
Forrest Gump (13 nominations - including Best Picture, 6 wins)
True Lies (1 nomination)
The Mask (1 nomination)
Speed (3 nominations, 2 wins)
Four Weddings and a Funeral (2 nominations - including Best Picture)
Interview with the Vampire (2 nominations)
Clear and Present Danger (2 nominations)
Pulp Fiction (7 nominations - including Best Picture, 1 win)
1997:
Titanic (14 nominations - including Best Picture, 11 wins)
The Lost World: Jurassic Park (1 nomination)
Men in Black (3 nominations, 1 win)
Air Force One (2 nominations)
As Good as It Gets (7 nominations - including Best Picture, 2 wins)
My Best Friend's Wedding (1 nomination)
The Fifth Element (1 nomination)
The Full Monty (4 nominations - including Best Picture, 1 win)
Hercules (1 nomination)
Face/Off (1 nomination)
Of course it did, it combined all the things the Oscars love: historical dramas, royals, sappy story
tbf I really love The Kings Speech, tho inception is my fav film
I still find it wild how stacked 2019 was. Parasite, Ford v Ferrari, The Irishman, Jojo Rabbit, Joker, Little Women, Marriage Story, 1917, and Once Upon a Time in Hollywood, all great movies and I'd be fine with any one winning (although I'm glad Parasite won, since it was the best out of that bright bunch).
I think it had the same problem as 1999. A diverse bunch of great, successful movies that could have started a new trend, but then a big disaster happened shortly thereafter and people just wanted escapism again
I saw every possible Best Picture movie (and a few others nominated elsewhere) in a theater that year. Absolutely stacked
Im calling it now: the Crow is gonna win best picture
THIS GUY KNOWS IT!
I'm rooting for Borderlands!
@@jonassonstwas752 I’m personally in favour of Venom:The Last Dance ,but you guys know the Oscars would never give it to a threequel.
Are you going to pretend Red One doesnt exist???
Cocaine Bear still elegible???
As the years go by, i realise how important the Oscars are in keeping the films remembered. Too many great movies are swept under the carpet with time and putting an Oscar astrix gives it enough cache not to fall into the void of quantity
I've come to appreciate the oscars much more as a simple means to advertise and celebrate film - who cares if they don't always get it right, if it gets people talking about film in a fun way then that's great. Reckon if we all looked back on our own favourite films of each yr we'd probs cringe at some of our choices too lol.
@julilu423 spot on
exactly the same reason why i root that my favorite movies are won in major categories... but it's not making them safe against massive hate from the audience of audience disagree with decision
I'm still blown away by 2017 and 2019.
My favorite movies those years were the oscars nominated ones, otherwise my favorites have 0 oscar nominations.
2017 was great, 2019 is goated. unfortunately the wrong movie won best picture for 2017, personally I would say either Three Billboards or Lady Bird shoulda won
Yeah, 2017 in general was a very good movie year! You had fantastic movies like Blade Runner 2049, Phantom Thread and Lady Bird. And just in general many good, fun, interesting movies, like Get Out, Call Me By Your Name, Baby Driver, A Ghost Story, Good Time, Thor: Ragnarok, Spiderman: Homecoming, Paddington 2...
(First Reformed is technically also 2017, though it's more a 2018 movie)
I tell people all the time about 2019. A BONKERS year.
I’ve definitely felt a lack of something big to root for lately in terms of Oscar buzz. Big films like Anora, Conclave, Challengers and Dune 2 while all really good in their own right, I don’t have the passion about them I did for last years big films. Aside from my pipe dream of I Saw The TV Glow being nominated which unfortunately won’t happen in a million years, I can’t get behind anything rn and say “I want that to win best picture”.
To this day I am still shocked at how overlooked Tick,Tick BOOM was in 2022....
Imagine if last year's line-up had May December in BP instead of Maestro... would have probably been the uncontested #1 in the expanded line-up era
It could’ve been worse. It could’ve been Nyad. 😂
Another thing I think made last year and last Oscar season so great is that even with so many deserved nominations and wins, there were still so many films and people many of us would of loved to see nominated. Last year was THAT good
Megalopolis sweep
1999 is the ultimate example of this. One of the most exciting years in cinema and the Oscar nominees were... those...
To be fair, I think American Beauty is a perfect snapshot of 1999 for better or worse.
I will drink an entire bottle of worcestershire sauce if The Substance is nominated for Best Picture
Not gonna happen but a demi Moore nomination would be amazing
Yuk. The last 20 min of the movie were gross.
I think maybe what you’re talking about is that some years you can tell you’ve got a lot of movies that will probably still be culturally relevant and/or genuinely make an impact while other years it seems like even though the movies can be good, it doesn’t necessarily feel like the kinds of movies people will continue to talk about in the coming years. Sometimes I miss a movie that’s nominated and it just gets completely forgotten by me and seemingly everyone who saw it because I never really hear it mentioned again. I think maybe we can sorta feel when there’s a lot of heavy hitters
there havent been that many in recent years too which adds to it
I honestly wish Monkey Man would rise from its grave and surprise because I think it would be a great Best Picture nomination especially given what Dev Patel put himself through to see it to its end + how Netflix literally abandoned his creative vision
100%. Fantastic Film
Wholheartedly agree. One of my favorites this year and it feels like it didn’t get the love it deserves.
Monkey Man for Best Picture is INSANE
It’s too messy. It was good and I really look forward to his next venture, but it needed work with the edit.
@@Sharpe1502 I felt like it was a controlled frenzy. Even when Monkey Man "jumped the shark" occasionally it was always interesting. I also don't think there are really 10 movies that are better than this so there's that as well.
My real preference is a year where there are actual surprises, as opposed to last year where everyone knew what the 10 nominees were months beforehand. Because as long as Netflix exists, you're always going to get at least one movie that most film nerds hate in the lineup.
I love a ton of movies that have come out this year, but not a lot really feel like "Oscars" movies. I think it feels this way because 2022 and 2023 had such powerhouse Oscars line-ups. 2022 had Everything Everywhere, Banshees, RRR, Fabelmans, Tar, Aftersun. 2023 had Past Lives, Poor Things, The Holdovers, Killers of the Flower Moon, Oppenheimer, Anatomy of a Fall, Zone of Interest. And a ton more. There aren't even very many options for Oscar-bait Biopic yet.
Just for laughs, these were the Best Picture nominees for 2011:
The Artist
Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close
The Tree of Life
Midnight in Paris
The Descendants
Hugo
The Help
Moneyball
War Horse
Weird year that was
Worst year of the 2010s. Even worse than 2018
Awful year.
Not a good list overall, but The Tree of Life getting nominated was so exciting at the time (especially since it was so divisive - it was not a guarantee) that I think it redeems it. Plus, Hugo was also a genuinely great movie, and Moneyball and The Descendants were excellent.
For a minute I thought you were talking about the Disney version of descendants 😭😭
I think it’s cool that you can just hop on UA-cam, shoot a quick video explaining your take on whatever topic, and post it - and I treat it like any main channel banger that you throw out there . Lfg
Anora being not just an award contender but a best picture frontrunner is pretty insane because for years Baker has been one of those filmmakers people point at when arguing the Oscars are irrelevant and don’t get movies. If The Substance somehow launched into the top 10 (I don’t think it will) it would probably be one of the most populist lineups in a long time for the Letterboxd crowd.
would love to see the substance get some love from the academy , now THATS a movie im rooting for!
I think, for me, it comes down to a variety of types of films in the BP race. Think of 2010, 2019, and 2023 in terms of variety of genre. Psychological thriller, action, satire, character study, biopic, epic, indie drama, etc.
I also think that, when release schedule is stretched across the year, you have more word of mouth and build up for some movies. You have a chance for movies to be seen by more of the public and less of the “I pay attention to art house movies, so I know what’s most likely getting a bunch of Oscar noms” chances.
I agree with the fact that the Oscar nominees don’t automatically determine whether we’ve had a good year for film. Because while the 2021 Oscars were objectively trash, 2021 was also the same year we got The Green Knight, Dune, The Tragedy of Macbeth, The Last Duel, Cop Shop, and Nine Days. All amazing films that the academy ignored because they have this absolute aversion to a little something called genre.
1939 stands out still: Mr. Smith Goes To Washington, Stagecoach, Ninotchka, Wuthering Heights, The Hunchback Of Notre Dame, Of Mice And Men, The Wizard Of Oz, and Gone With The Wind.
🤓
There’s also love affair, goodbye mr chips and dark victory, hunchback of notre dame wasn’t nominated for best picture
I’m hoping dune part 2 gets nominated for best picture
Feel like it's gonna be a straight head to head between the Brutalist vs Anora for best picture this year - As I've got older I've come to appreciate the oscars more, less so as a genuine rating system (lol, like realistically if I looked at my favourite film from every yr I'd also cringe at some of my picks from my taste in previous yrs) and more as a big advert for Film - just a solid and fun way to get people talking about and more importantly going to see films that they wouldn't necessarily go to see anyway.
2008 is one of the best Oscar years in relatively recent memory. There will be blood and No Country for Old Men took most of the awards. I love the fact that these films were not your usual winners/nominees. 2007 was a great year for film, anyway.
Of course, 2008 cannot compare with films made and awarded at the Oscars during the 60’s and 70’s. The talent and quality in films made back in those days is still unmatched.
I personally think an Oscar year is strong when the blockbusters are good and we're not just awarding the same handful of genres.
We need an hour long video on your ranking of all Oscar years Karsten!
2019 ruled
2019 was the first year I followed the Oscar’s and it was such a fantastic lineup. Had a little bit of something for everybody and Parasite is such a great pick. Bong Joon Ho that Oscar season was legendary. His best director speech is my fav all time.
When was the last time you watched Nomadland?
Definitely fits in the "what the hell" category of BP winners, especially since it beat stuff like The Father and Judas and the Black Messiah
It's not a bad movie but I'd never watch it again.
I just made recorded a podcast episode about early-early Oscar predictions with one of my best friends, and we really think Conclave will be a lot like All Quiet on the Western Front, and win more awards than expected. The Brutalist might also pick some up too.
Really hoping Challengers gets some noms. This year has been a bit weird though. There's been a lot of great horror this year but the academy's not gonna nominate any of it. The only win that I think is locked is Wild Robot winning best animated feature and even that may not happen lmao.
literally just saw this tweet earlier today and thought it would be a great topic for a video 😂
I'm generally against takes that just label a year as being bad for film because I feel every year has its smattering of great and interesting stuff, it's just you sometimes have to know where to look. Will admit that I don't think this year has been great when looking at uber-mainstream films, but we've still had stuff like Dune: Part 2 and Furiosa which I would say are at least very good to great.
When it comes to the Oscars, I tend to call it a good year if I like most of big contenders. Feel like the last few years have been pretty good on that front but others disagreeing depending on their personal taste.
I already set my Gold Derby predictions for either Borderlands or Madame Web winning Best Picture. I feel like Reagan could possibly be a sneak win, but that's just a wild theory.
1993 and 1998 Oscar ceremonies will always stand out to me, honestly one of the most stacked Oscar decades, becuz once u go back in the years prior you get some very strange choices that have not stood the test of time at all. The 90s managed to balance popular acclaim and critical acclaim very well, where you had genuinely huge hits that were also critically beloved and are still fondly remember today
Do you think The Substance has a chance of a nomination, or any nominations? And do you think some distributors are right in delaying some festival acquisitions with buzz (mainly thinking about Neon witth Life of Chuck) to a release next year rather than going for this year's awards season?
A good Oscar year for me is a year were most of the films should be diverse in style, genre, theme and accessibility level. Most of them should 9/10 or above with the few 8s having something worthy. The last 2 years were like that expect both had one mid film that stood out like a sore thumb. 2022 being Triangle of Sadness and 2023 being Maestro. This year would be if Blitz gets in. So far the 10 im predicting on the Awards Expert App are... In order of when I saw them.
Dune part 2 - 10/10
Sing Sing - 10/10
The Substance - 9/10
Conclave - 8/10
Emilia Perez - 8/10
Anora - 10/10
A Real Pain - 9/10
Wicked - (seeing Thursday)
The Brutalist (Not out yet)
Nickel Boys (Not out yet)
If the last 3 meet my expectations and all 10 get in, this will be the best Oscars since 2019 cause it would have the things im looking for.
i think nosferatu is going to be THEEEEE movie of the year oh and anora
The older I get, the more I realize every year is awesome for movies. Then, The Oscars end up picking some random movie for Best Picture
2020 was so great to watch considering it was during the literal peak of the pandemic. It was kinda sad compared to all the joy we received from 2019 which was one of the best of all time but it had its unique quality on its own
"People want to see gay tennis players." Wow, quote of the century.
2022 was insanely goated, here where i live they all came out at the same time lmao so I had to try to watch like 15 or more movies the same month (;literally it was like 15 movies) and I missed a lot of them sadly, I mean that year we had EEAO babylon top gun maverick the whale the fablesman avatar 2 banshees of inesherin RRR Tar The batman Spiderman into the spiderverse Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio Bones and all lol
Not having seen The Brutalist and Anora, Emilia Perez is my favorite.
This actually looks like the greatest sh*tpost of a movie ever
this will be the best oscars only for Conan
The On Cinema Oscar Specials make every year a good Oscar year
I'm rooting for "I'm still here". One of the best movies I've seen this year
Karsten do more director filmography’s ranked. I like those.
kursten ranquist you should make “it’s getting dark and i’m looking weird” merch
There are absolutely "Good" Oscar years and "Bad" Oscar years, this statement is not up for debate.
Wtf I put this in my watch later thinking it was a Mike's Mic video
Queen
6:21 much as I enjoyed Hundreds of Beavers, most websites define it as 2022. I guess America just got it 2 years late.
Karsten mentioned examples of certain years and their respective Best Picture line-ups. A lot of those movies were and still are talked about mostly in the context of the award season race but nothing beyond. I'm not saying every Best Picture winner should be like "The Return of the King". That's one of the extremes. I'm saying it shouldn't be the other extreme either ("The Artist", anyone?). There should be a middle ground. And a solution would be to change the mentality that all awards contenders should get a proper release after they've already been nominated at the Oscars or other important ceremonies. That should only be reserved for movies that will most likely fly under the radar without that kind of hype. It's pointless to do it with movies that will get enough attention anyway. It's not about which movies get the most votes from Academy members; it's about which movies get the most votes from Academy members *while* the general public roots for them.
Look, there's this notion that we celebrate movies at the end of each year as a way to cement them as future classics, but it's harder than it seems. How can we predict which movies will stand the test of time? Which movies will age poorly and which movies will be re-evaluated having been panned at first? A good hint is the Best Picture Oscar... but not in the sense that the trophy validates a consensus; in the sense that a movie can simultaneously leave a mark in the industry and in pop culture.
I think a good film year is one where both its mainstream-side and auteur-driven side are both beloved by the public and their dedicated fan bases similar to 2019, 2022, and 2023.
My predictions as of right now:
Anora
Blitz
The Brutalist
A Complete Unknown
Conclave
Dune Part 2
Emilia Perez
Nickel Boys
The Substance
Wicked
Hey Karsten, do you plan on livestreaming your reaction to the Oscars?
I’d watch this
@@jreynosoj You mean the video?
genuinely absurd how karsten continues to transform into James Franco
Hundreds of Beavers for best picture!
On movies, I stand on them like Squidward and say "I hate you all."
If hundreds of beavers even gets nominated for best picture I’ll adopt an orphan
What an Oscat-Bait video!
I’m so sad that at this point my 2 favorites of the year aren’t even being talked about. Civil War might (?) get some technical noms but poor Problemista will absolutely walk away without even a mention, which is too bad.
Kinds of kindness was released this year btw
we’re aware
i think about this from time to time. but its all 100% subjective to my opinions, i dont really care about reviews or acclaim, i just base it off the films that i personally am drawn to watch...it took me forever to watch oppenheimer because it didnt look interesting 😭
I had been predicting Anora to win best picture all year. But now I’m thinking it could be Wicked or The Substance. Weird movies won when Trump was president/won. Not the common Oscar fare (Moonlight, The Shape of Water, and Parasite). I wonder if his win could spark another three or four years of odd wins.
In any case, I think the winner next year is going to be something people aren’t expecting. Considering how angry women are, I have a feeling women voters are going to be voting for those two movies.
Partly kinda hoping The Substance goes full Silence of the Lambs and completely sweeps the Oscars, just because it would be the first time a horror film had done that since the latter came out and it would be awesome to see happen
It would be so devastating but also kinda funny if the trump biopic that came out this year got nominated for a few accolades 😭
Challengers was the best movie of 2024😊if that’s not nominated …..
THE BEAST FOR BEST PICTURE LEA SEYDOUX BEST ACTRESS
its definitely a good grammy year though, an insanely competitive lineup with no obvious/clear contender to sweep
The Grammys isn't a legit awards show. It's mainly just a popularity contest. It's like if Best Picture went to movies like Deadpool, Top Gun: Maverick, and Avengers: Endgame.
@@ytkenny5 I have to agree with this unfortunately. taylor swift's album and songs got a plethora of noms, despite me going the entire year having never heard any of them. Charli, Ariana, Chapelle, etc. all dominated this year, and I'm really hoping they get the acclaim they deserve
Yeah this year feels pretty dead honestly. There doesn’t seem to be any clear front-runner to get the awards circles genuinely excited. I would have said Anora a few weeks ago, but after seeing it it’s really not the crowd pleaser it’s being marketed as. This time last year we had lots of buzz and excitement about Poor Things and KOTFM, and Oppenheimer had already been in the conversation for months
Bro obviously doesn’t know that Kraven the Hunter comes out this year
Sony keeping the streets fed with bangers all year 🙏💯🔥
This year was never gonna be as strong with the recent strikes. Still think its better than 2021. Next year looks to be pretty good
I don’t think this is gonna be a bad Oscar year or a bad year for film overall, however the fact that we’ve just had two all time great film years in a row makes it a bit underwhelming. Even tho 2022 & 2023 were probably more the exception while this year was a step back to reality
I watched Emilia Perez the other day and I thought it was so much worse than last year's awards season villain Maestro. Which probably isn't a good sign.
2014 was a fantastic year for the actors/actresses, but Gravity taking home a bunch of awards ruins it for me.
keep the vids on this channel comin
Major difference is that there is NO clear front-runner, I mean there’s like 10-15 movies shuffling around possible nomination.
brazilians can't relate, we are already 100% invested in cheering for I'm Still Here
ele dizendo que tá chato esse ano enquanto isso já tem fã de emilia perez xingando a gente com 4 meses de antecedência
Literally titled Emilia Pérez and how gringos pronounce it: "Emilia Peréz"
Ypipo so dumb they don't know how pronounce "é" amirite
I loved Dune 2, but it's far, far from a lock. I'd personally replace that with The Brutalist, certainly competing for the top prize by all analysis I've seen.
2014
2014 oscars the best
12 years a slave
Captain phillips
Gravity
Nebraska
Dallas buyers club
Wolf of wall Street
Her
Philomena
Rush
Frozen
Blue jasmine
August osage County
This year isn’t as good as the best recent years like 2023 or 2019, but it’s a solid year.
Was “Challengers” really considered a hit? I mean yes it is beloved on the internet but I feel like it didn’t make any money back from its budget?
For the amount it made and its budget I think so?
Dennis Villeneuve is winning his maiden Oscar this year.
Your second channel is just as great as your main channel, just saying
Please watch Emilia Perez it is so bizarre and camp and it's cinema
I'm still baffled why Oppenheimer and Barbie are considered as GREAT movies. They're good and in some technical aspects even groundbraking - but did they really were that interesting/fun to watch? Or did they say something original/worthy of their runtime? In my opinion they're overhyped (still).
Why is Emilia Perez the villain? Y´all are so tired.
it think the 2021 films dont slap because there was a pandemic
before i watch the video: when the Best Picture nominees dont make me lose all faith in the American filmmaking industry
I thought you were about to get into ranking Best Picture lineups by year before you wisely just ended the video
It will be shame if they give any award to Challengers...
Furiosoa might be in best picture
i think Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga has a chance to be nominated for Best Picture, if Mad Max: Fury Road could get nominated for best picture back in 2015 i believe Furiosa has a chance.
I mean Fury Road was much better lol. Furiosa has no chance
If the academy liked horror Nosferatu would get nominated
Kinda do think the years lineup was bad this year
GTFO. Dune 2 alone would've won Best Picture last year. And Let's add Anora, Substance, Brutalist, Sing Sing (despite bad marketing) Didi, Challengers, Nickel Boys, Furiosa, I Saw The TV Glow, Nosferatu, etc.... It has been a good year. Plus most of the films that person named came out way late in the year.
This year will be okay.
THE SUBSTANCE 🗣️🗣️🫶🏼🫶🏼